1. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
IBEC3.
Benefits Of Co-operative Systems
Bern Grush, Chief Scientist
Skymeter Corporation
17th ITS World Congress, Busan, Korea
October 25-29, 20101
Thinking about
cooperative vehicle
architecture?
2. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
How should we think about
cooperative system architectures?
What’s fixed?
What’s autonomous?
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3. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
NextGen intelligent integrated systems
National and international
efforts
VII, CVIS, Intellidrive
Manage massive vehicle
fleets or very complex
things about a vehicle – or
both
Sometimes we envision
participation of large fleets,
perhaps an entire extant
fleet
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4. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
New industry initiatives?
E.g., ng Connect
Is this the beginning of commercialization?
Does it signal the end to government’s
dominant innovator role?
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5. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Equipment activities include:
I2V - Tell cars local enviro &
mobility guidance
V2I - Tell the console about
car behaviors
V2V - Cars talk among
themselves
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6. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Do we really need fixed infrastructure?
Expensive
Not pervasive
Monolithic
Anti-autonomous
Anti-evolution
Anti-innovation
6
If we misjudge this, someone else will eat our lunch.
7. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Who knows?
Randal O’Toole (CATO) says we
needs the coming revolution in
automotive technology to reduce
congestion by making cars drive
safer, faster and closer together
Anthony Downs (Brookings) says
this technology will never work
and we are stuck with congestion,
anyway
If O’Toole is right we need
autonomous technology
If Downs is right we would clutter
our landscape for nothing
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Is Downs right?
8. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Technical impedance
Telematics and car-attached systems
can change and multiply rapidly and
dramatically (iPhone model)
see Google self drive…
Aftermarket devices can be now be
made sufficiently reliable
The road-side infrastructure will
never keep up (tolling gantry model)
There will be strong, positive
correlation between the volume and
expense of fixed infrastructure and
rapid obsolescence
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Innovation
promotes
heterogeneity
9. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Fixed won’t fix it
“In an era of wireless
communication, cheap sensors,
miniaturization, free storage,
free processing, redundancy
and some pretty amazing
software, there is no better way
to stifle innovation and
evolution than to stick
something in concrete.”
Grush, B., Overcoming Global Gridlock, 2011
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10. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Can we skip the infrastructure part?
Maybe not yet
Maybe not completely
But pretty soon, according to
Google
Minimize roadside
infrastructure in the interim
Invest mostly in intelligent
telematics first
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11. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Applications include:
V2I – about local context: guidance re speed,
conditions, construction, safety, congestion
I2V – about the car (or neighboring context):
speed, position
V2V – about each other or each other’s
history: collision warnings, convoys
All solvable with little or no roadside
infrastructure
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12. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
Less roadside more in-vehicle
Reduce/replace V2I and I2V with
V2V
Mesh Networks (e.g. Robin Chase’s
Meadow)
On board maps and maps updates
4G (LTE) networks can manage
continuous proximity maps updated by
vehicles recently there (subscription)
FGPS (private, accurate, reliable,
cheap)
FGPS + proximity sensors can provide
crash avoidance
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13. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
We need:
Standards
interoperability
Markets
value and competition
Regulations
Consumer protection
Safety
Certification
Reliability
Licensing
fair market access to protect investment
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14. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
This gives us:
Maximum autonomy
Voluntary systems
Rapid evolution
Competition
Commercial motivation
Clutter free landscapes
Platforms for tag-along
road-pricing
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15. Financial-grade GPS
for mobility payments
IBEC3.
Benefits Of Co-operative Systems
THANK YOU
17th ITS World Congress, Busan, Korea
October 25-29, 201015
Think hard about
cooperative architecture
while it is still greenfield
Notes de l'éditeur
So the road-side stuff will soon become an anchor. It is odd how people wanting to change things design things that then prevent change.