Ministry of National planning

by
Dr. Shamsuddeen Usman, CON
HONOURABLE MINISTER OF NATIONAL PLANNING
PRESENTED AT THE
MINISTERIAL PLATFORM ON JUNE 24, 2013
(May 2011 – May 2013)
1

4

5 5
NATIONAL PLANNING COMMISSION BUILDING

OUTLINE…
1.0: INTRODUCTION
2.0: The NPC Mandate
3.0: State of the Nigerian Economy
4.0: Key Achievements of the National
Planning Commission, May 2011 to Date
- Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes
- Achievements on Core Mandates
5.0: Outlook and Prospects of the National
Planning Commission, May 2013 - 2015
6.0: Conclusion
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1
1
1
1
INTRODUCTION
SECTION 1

v
1.0 Introduction
8
• Ensuring effective realisation of the objectives of NV20:2020 -
Has reinforced the need for institutionalising strategic planning in Nigeria
during May 2011 to date
• The strategic planning framework of the country is anchored on Nigeria’s Vision
(NV) 20:2020
• Overarching objective of NV20:2020 is for Nigeria to become one of the 20
largest economies in the world by year 2020
• To be actualised through implementation of three medium term strategic plans
 1st NIP, 2010 - 2013
 2nd NIP, 2014 - 2017
 3rd NIP, 2018 - 2020
And the Transformation Agenda (TA) 2011-2015
• The Commission is responsible for the coordination of strategic planning process
of the country
 Including monitoring and evaluation of policies, programmes and projects

v
1.0 Introduction (Cont’d)
9
• NPC is established by Act No 12 of 1992
- Subsequently amended by Act No 71 of 1993
 To determine and advise on policies that will best promote growth and
development of Nigeria
Honourable Minister/Deputy Chairman
National Planning Commission
• Supported by three parastatals in actualising the objective:
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)
- Centre for Management Development (CMD)
- Nigerian Institute for Social and Economic Research (NISER)

v
1.0 Introduction (Cont’d)
10
NBS is the apex
statistical agency
for all the three
tiers of
Government and
is the coordinator
of the National
Statistical System
CMD co-ordinates the activities
of, and gives proper direction to,
institutions engaged in training
and retraining of managerial
personnel in Nigeria.
It stimulates, promotes and
coordinates management
development for the achievement
of management excellence in
every state of Nigeria and beyond
NISER was established to
consistently generate credible
knowledge through quality
research, conduct specialised
training and consultancy services
while interacting with relevant
segments of Nigerian society in
the task of national development
S.G (NBS) D-G (CMD) D-G (NISER)

2
2
2
2
The NPC Mandate
SECTION 2
11

12
2.0 The NPC MANDATE
 Policy research and advice to national and sub-national governments
 Formulation and coordination of national development plans
- Including oversight of the implementation of TA and the
NV20:2020
 Monitoring and evaluation of policies, programmes and projects
 Managing multi-lateral, bi-lateral and regional economic co-operation
- Including development aid and technical assistance
 Carry out surveillance on the economy
 Coordinating and production of official statistics & managing the
National Statistical System
 Capacity development for efficient and effective utilization of
resources
 Generation of credible knowledge for national development
 Serves as secretariat to the National Economic Council

3
3
3
3
State of the Nigerian Economy
SECTION 3
13

3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY
14
 The NPC has been actively involved in the economic management process of the
country during May 2011 to date
- Role undertaken through the implementation of core mandate
Coordinated effective development and implementation of the TA and
NV20:2020
Projects monitoring and evaluation
HMNP is key member of the National Economic Management Team (NEMT)
and the Economic Management Implementation Team (EMIT)
• The Nigerian economy recorded remarkable progress in the implementation of
the TA and NV20:2020 in the last two years
- The various macroeconomic polices implemented have broadly yielded
positive outcomes

3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY Cont’d)
15
Average growth 2011 &2012
• Robust average GDP growth of 7.01% was recorded in
2011 and 2012;
•- Despite the continued slow down in the global economy
•GDP growth rate stood at 6.56 percent at the end of the Q1
2013;
•Eight out of the fourteen broad sectors surpassed their
growth targets in the TA
• Solid minerals
• Financial Institution & Insurance
• Building & Construction
• Transport
• Education
• Roads, Estate
• Public Administration
• Other Services
•Growth driven largely by the non-oil sector of the economy
• Agriculture - 27.64%
• Wholesale and retail trade – 28.4%
• Telecommunications - 24.38%
GDP Performance

3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY (Cont’d)
16
 NV20:2020 on course:
- Nigeria moved eight positions in the past three years in global ranking
on GDP basis (World Bank/IMF ranking)
Moved from 44th in 2010 to 36th position in 2012
• Recorded highest FDI inflow of $7.01 billion in 2012 overtaking South Africa for
the first time
- After a remarkable rise of $8.9 billion in 2011
• Performance is expected to be sustained in the medium term
• Given the massive reform measures being implemented

3.1: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY -
Development in Price Level
17
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
M1
M3
M5
M7
M9
M11
M1
M3
M5
M7
M9
M11
M1
M3
2011 2012 2013
Percent
Head
line
Core
Food
Inflation Rate May, 2011 to May 2013
•Through single digit
inflation target yet to be
achieved
• - Significant success was
recorded over the review
period
High but
Stable
Inflation
rate
•Headline Inflation (Y-on-y)
decelerated to 12.0% in
2012 from 12.4% in May
2011, .
•As at March, April and May
2013, Headline Inflation (y-
on-y) stood at 8.6 and 9.1
percent respectively.
Inflation
within the
single digit
bracket

3.2: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY –
The Capital Market
18
•Market capitalization rose to 8.98
trillion in 2012 from N6.55 trillion in
2011 (37.3% increase).
- Stood at N12.07 trillion as at end May
2013.
- Bond market expanded significantly
by 55.61 percent to N5.82 trillion in
2012 from N3.74 trillion in 2011.
- All-Share Index rose by 35% from
20,773.98 in 2011 to 28,078.81 in 2012.
•Over 37,794 as at end May 2013

3.3: State of the Nigerian Economy –
The External Sector
19
32.34 32.64
43.83
48.57
146
148
150
152
154
156
158
160
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1
External Reserves (US$’ Billion)
Exchange Rate (N/$)
Growth in non-oil exports averaged 29.57% in
2011 and 2012, surpassing TA target of
25.92%;
Growth in the Balance of Trade was 13.01%,
- 1.52% short of the TA target of 14.53%
FDI averaged US$7.97 billion par annual in
2011 and 2012 from US$6.10 billion in 2010.
Still the highest in Africa;
Home remittances increased from US$19.20
billion in 2009 to US$20.61 billion in 2011 and
US$21.89 billion in 2012;
Gross external reserves improved from
US$32.34 billion in 2010, to US$48.8 billion as
at April 26, 2013.

3.3: State of the Nigerian Economy –
The External Sector (Cont’d)
20
 While much progress has been made, especially with the macroeconomy
- There remains some challenges
Translating the robust growth rates to jobs
Issue of security
Addressing the issue of unemployment/under employment
• Good news is that the TA focuses at addressing the issues
- Through the following key initiatives:
SURE-P
YouWin
Agric Transformation Agenda
Quarterly job survey/mapping
- Massive infrastructure development in the Roads, Rail, Aviation and Power
• Other sectoral reforms

4
4
4
4
Key Achievements
of the National Planning
Commission,
May 2011 to Date
SECTION 4
21

4.0: Key Achievements of the National Planning
Commission, May 2011 - Date
22
Over the last two years, NPC has championed
various strategic initiatives
- At the Federal
- And State levels
- Implemented several reforms and initiatives
Leading to improved outcomes

4.1 Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes
23
 Institutionalization of Strategic Planning Process at the Federal level
- Cascading the strategic planning to subnational levels and MDAs
- Professionalization of DPRs at the federal level
- Conducting Needs Assessment of States’ Planning and Statistical Agencies for
enhanced service delivery
Improvement in human and infrastructural capacity of the institutions
- MDAs and States are encouraged to develop the culture of strategic planning
- To align budgetary submissions of MDAs to the plan provisions
 Institutionalisation of Performance Management System & Contracting
- Aimed at measuring ministerial and individual officers’ performance, against
negotiated performance targets
With the introduction of the PMS, the public service has recorded improvement &
clarity in the alignment of institutional & individual performance

4.1 Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes (Cont’d)
24
 Progress made under PMS are:
 Establishment of specialised M&E Department in NPC and M&E units in the
MDAs
 Development of KPIs for tracking service delivery of MDAs
 Development of performance agreements for Ministers & key government
officials
 Signing of 2012 Performance Contract Agreement between the Ministers and
Mr. President
Led to regular ministerial performance reporting at the FEC

4.1 Major Reforms Initiatives and Outcomes (Cont’d)
25
• Reform of Data Generating Process spearheaded by NBS
• Encouraged the establishment of States’ Statistical Bureaux
Number of States’ Statistical Bureaux increased from 2 in 2010 to 8 in 2013:
Embarked on States’ GDP Computation programme
- This involves the disaggregation of economic activities by States
- SGDP computation process is to be implemented in 2 phases
Phase 1 is ongoing in 7 States
Results from the 7 Pilot States are expected to be ready by end July/Aug 2013
• NBS has began the process for rebasing GDP in line with global best practice
• Development Assistance Database (DAD) currently being developed at NPC
- 1st phase of the programme is completed
- To facilitate the tracking of ODA inflows into the country

4.2 Achievements in Core Mandate- Policy
Research and Advice to National Government
26
Conducted several policy based Research &
Studies
• - Educational Manpower Supply Study in
Nigeria, Phase 1
• - The Scrutinized Elite: A Deconstruction of
“Cabals” in the Nigerian Political Economy
• - Social Protection Policy & Bill Preparation
Processes in Nigeria
• - Study on Effective ness of Expatriate Quota
Utilization in manufacturing Industries in
Nigeria
• - Scalable Model for Demand-Led Sanitation
Approaches in Africa
• - Agent-Based Modeling of Herders’
Vulnerability and Adaptation Strategies
Regarding Water Resources in the Context of
Climate Change
• Informal sector study is ongoing
• Underlook Policy Dialogues
• - 1st Annual NISER Policy Dialogue on
Social-Economic Development
• - Review of the Performance of the
Economy in six geopolitical zones
• - Assessment of impact of flood on the
economy

Picture A Picture B
Picture C
Picture A: Workshop on Development of
Sugar and Wheat Value Chains in Nigeria –
Lagos 23 February 2012
Picture B: The First Annual NISER National
Policy Dialogue on Socio- Economic
Development held on 28th – 29 November
2012, Abuja
Picture C: Participants at the NISER Research
Seminar Series “Rural poverty reduction under
a changing climate: Is Agriculture still the Key in
Nigeria?” – 12 February 2013, Ibadan
27
4.2 Achievement on Core Mandates - Policy Research and
Advice to National Governments (Cont’d)

4.3 Ensuring Effective Formulation and Coordination
of National Development Plans
28
Transformation Agenda (2011-
2015)
Transformation
Agenda
Mid-term Review of the
Transformation Agenda
•Coordinated the production of the TA
-Key policies, programmes and projects to be
implemented by the Federal Government,
2011-2015
Guides annual budgetary allocation to MDAs
-To speed up actualisation of NV20:2020
•Production of the mid term review of the TA
- Review provides comprehensive appraisal of
the first two years of this Administration
Allows for a reflection on progress made to
chart a way forward
Consistent with global best practice and
principle of accountability
- Detailed edition of the mid term review of
the TA is on NPC’s website-www.npc.gov.ng

of National Development Plan (Cont’d)
29
1st National
Implementation
Plan (NIP
(2010 – 2013)
National Integrated
Infrastructure Master
Plan
(2014 – 2043)
•NPC is responsible for the development of a
30- year National Integrated Infrastructure
Masterplan (NIIMP) (2014-2043)
-Working closely with all the relevant
stakeholders, including the Development
Partners
•The final NIIMP document to be ready by
August 2013
-Interim NIIMP has been produced to harvest
quick win infrastructure projects
To feed into the 2014 budget
•1st NIP, 2010-13 is currently being
implemented
•A Mid Term Review of 1st NIP been carried
out
-In line with international best practice
-Report to be presented to FEC
-Outcome of the review to serve as critical
input for development of 2nd NIP, 2014-2017

30
of National Development Plan (Cont’d)
•Improving capacity of MDAs to deliver on plan formulation and implementation
- NPC organises conferences and technical sessions for Directors & Senior
officials of Department of PRS in MDAs
- 2012 edition held in Katsina
- 2013 conference planning is ongoing
- To be held in Ibadan

4.4 Institutionalising, Monitoring and Evaluation
(M&E) System for Enhanced Performance
31
Joint development of
KPI with MDAs
Performance
agreements signed and
cascaded
Data Verification
Process for 2011
M&E Performance
Report
Production of 2011
Annual M&E
Performance Report
Production of Annual
and 1st Year 2011 and
2012 Economic
Performance Reports
M&E Capacity
Building/Training Events
•NPC spearheaded the institutionalisation of the M&E system for enhanced
service delivery
•The key activities undertaken from May 2011 to date are highlighted in the
matrix below

4.4 Institutionalising, Monitoring and Evaluation
(M&E) System for Enhanced Performance (Cont’d)
32
National and sub-
national health
projects
2006-2011 Tertiary
Education Trust Fund
Projects
Federal Government
water projects in the
State
Special Intervention
Fund for Agriculture
(SIFA) projects
Community-based
Agricultural Rural
Development
projects
DFID Education
sector support
programme in
Nigeria (ESSPIN)
Partnership for
transforming health
systems programmes
(PATH2)
UNDFA projects in
eleven States
•Undertakinge Joint Monitoring and Evaluation of National and Subnational
programmes

33
4.4 Institutionalising Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) for Enhanced
Performance (Cont’d)
Picture on Inter-ministerial inspection of national water projects –
South East Zone February 2012
The team with Contractor @ the Greater
Onitsha water supply scheme
Dilapidated office block of Water
pumping station
Anambra River inlet for water pumping
station, Feb 2012
Headrace canal inspection, Feb 2012

444.4: Institutionalising Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) System for
Enhanced Delivery Service (Cont’d)
Picture on Projects – Tertiary Education Trust Fund Monitoring,
April 2012
TETF ICT funded projects 34
Vehicle donated by TETFTETF funded classroom

4.5: Enhancing Development Assistance Coordination
35
Review of 488 joint/bi-National agreements (bi-lateral
cooperation)
Review of ODA policy 2012 - 2015
Producing operational manual for Development Assistance
Database (DAD)
Development of a competencies DAD framework
Regular Donor Coordination meetings held under the
coordination of HMNP
Official Engagements with INGOs, WAMI,UNDP, World Bank and
other donor agencies
•Improving Donor Coordination in Nigeria
•Through active participation in innovative financing initiatives
- Nigeria emerged Presidency of the Leading Group on Innovative Financing for Development
- With HMNP as focal person
- Nigeria is leading the group to propose innovative financing resolution at the upcoming UN General
Aassembly in September 2013

(Cont’d)
36
GTZ - 15 people on Performance
Management (Malaysia)
China, Korea, India training
programmes
IDPs focal persons trained on DAD
•Enhanced Capacity building programme for officials through bi-lateral
agreements

37
(Cont’d)
Africa Human Development Report, 21 May, 2012
Dialogue with Development Partners – May 2012

38
(Cont’d)
Signing of 10th EDF Agreement with the EU, 29 October, 2012
Signing of Bi-lateral Agreement with the Democratic Republic of
Germany, 2012

• Improving data generation at national and
subnational levels
•NBS has developed a framework for improved
and better coordination of the national statistical
system
•Timely production of regular statistical series
- CPI and Inflation report (Monthly)
- Economic Review / Outlook (Annually)
- General Household Survey (Annually)
- GDP Report (Quarterly/Annually)
- Foreign Trade News (Quarterly/Annually)
- Access to ICT Report (Annually)
- Sectoral Wages & Emoluments (Annually)
- Unemployment (Annually,>> Quarterly)
- Gender Statistics Newsletter (Quarterly)
- National Literacy Survey (Annually)
-Consumption Pattern in Nigeria (Annually)
•NBS has strengthened its ICT infrastructure
- Over 20 States’ statistical agencies have been
linked to the National Data Centre
4.6: Improving Data Generation and Coordination of Statistical
Systems

4.7: Capacity development and Training for efficient
and effective utilization of resources
• The Centre for Management Development delivered several training and
capacity building programmes for public and private sector officials during the
last 2 years
40
Conducted over 8000 management training programmes during 2011-2013
Undertook accreditation visits to management trainers and institutions
Training manuals developed for several specialised courses
Carried out training needs assessment of all MDAs and States’ DPRS’
Undertook trainers and training Institutions’ awareness raising seminars
Conducted train the trainers workshops

41
Capacity building programme for the police, 2012
PPP capacity building programme for ICRC , 27 – 30 August 2012
4.7: Capacity development and training for efficient
and effective utilization of resources (Cont’d)

4.8: Strengthening the Plan-Budget Link
42
• Ensuring capital budgetary proposals of Federal MDAs are aligned with priorities
of TA and V20:2020:
- Transformation Agenda as basis for 2012 and 2013 budgets
Also to guide 2014 -2015 budgets
Budget outcomes and economic performance to be enhanced in 2013 and beyond
4.9: Improving Economic Management at Subnational Level
• Critical Role of NPC in facilitating improved economic management at the sub-
national level
- NPC as secretariat for monthly National Economic Council meetings
- Monitoring and evaluation of specific FGN projects
-Water Resources Projects
-TET Fund projects
-Other projects

4.9: Improving Economic Management at the
Subnational Level (Cont’d)
43
• Coordinating activities of Joint Planning Board and National Council on
Development Planning
- Assisting State Governments to establish and strengthen their State
Planning Commissions and State Bureaux of Statistics for enhanced
planning and quality data production.
- Positive results in virtually all zones of the Federation, with many States’
planning and statistical offices now up and running
4.10: Economic Performance Tracking
• To enhance tracking of implementation of our plans:
- Revived production of Nigeria’s Economic Performance Report
- Economic reports produced on bi-annual and annual basis
- Stocktaking of macroeconomic and sectoral performance

4.10: Economic Performance Tracking (Cont’d)
44
• Four reports published in the last one year
- Annual report for 2010
- Half year report for 2011
- Performance monitoring report of Federal MDAs for 2010 and
2011
• Reports received commendation by all stakeholders in the Nigerian
economy, including the media

45
4.11 Enhancing Public Private Partnership in Nigeria
•Deepening relations with the private sector, in particular the Nigerian Economic Summit
Group (NESG)
17th – 18th Nigerian Economic Summit (NES17) organised by NESG in close
collaboration with NPC
-NES#17 November 2011
-NES#18 – December 2012
The Summit, as platform for key stakeholders from public and private sectors
to discuss and articulate strategies for development
•Planning for NES#19 in progress
- Expected to take place in September 2013

4.12: Reforming the NPC to Deliver its Mandate
46
• In pursuit of its reform mantra of becoming a pace setting agency, NPC has:
- Enhanced staff capacity for improved service delivery
• Improved IT infrastructure , e.g.
 Enhanced public access to all reports, including the NV20:2020, 1st NIP,
Transformation Agenda, Economic reports, M&E reports and key policy
outputs of the NPC available via website
 Increased ICT use by all staff
 Intranet and Internet access for all staff

4.12: Reforming the NPC to Deliver its Mandate (Cont’d)
47
• Regular Management meetings, chaired by the HMNP to enhance decision
making
• Encouraging needs-driven training and capacity building
• Streamlining Knowledge Management into our processes
• Encouraging transformational management in the organisation

5.0 Outlook and Prospects of The National Planning Commission
May 2013-2015
48
•Outlook and prospects in the medium term very bright
• Key benchmarks and targets for May 2013 – 2015, to:
-Consolidate gains made in the last two years
-Deepen the institutionalisation of strategic planning process at
the Federal and subnational levels
Facilitate the realisation of the goals and objectives of TA and
NV20:2020
-Deepen performance management system in the country
-Coordinating the implementation of the 30 year National
Integrated Infrastructure Master Plan (NIIMP)
-Development and effective implementation of the 2nd National
Implementation Plan (NIP 2014-2017
Strengthening the link between the annual budgets and the
National plans

5.0 Outlook and Prospects of The National Planning Commission
May 2013-2015 (Cont’d)
49
•Other key targets are:
-Ensuring effective coordination of Official Development
Assistance inflow to the country
-Professionalisation of the planning cadre
And the repositioning of PRS Departments in the MDAs for
enhanced service delivery
-Complete the computation of States’ GDP
Institutionalise process for computation at the State level on
annual basis

6.0 Conclusion
50
• NPC has succeeded in achieving significant aspects of its mandate
- Especially with respect to output and outcome targets for May 2011 to Date
• NPC’s outlook and prospects in the short and medium term remain very bright
• The outlook to be shaped by the following key targets
- Institutionalisation of the strategic planning process at all levels
- Deepening performance management system in the country
- Ensuring evidence based polices and decision making
- Strengthening effective link between annual budgets and National plan

THANK YOU
FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
421, Constitution Avenue,
Central Business District, Abuja.
Website: www.npc.gov.ng
51

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