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 The e-magazine created especially for active spreadbetters and CFD traders         Issue 15 - April 2013




A Gold
Mining
Sector
Special
 We hunt for
 potential bargains
 amongst the rubble




Dominic                      Currency                       Zak Mir            Tom
Picarda -                    Corner -                       interviews         Winnifrith’s
A US tech                    Is it time                     Vince              Conviction
focus                        to buy the                     Stanzione          Trade for
special                      pound?                                            April
All your favourite columns including the chance to win £1000 in our Guess the FTSE month end competition
Editorial Contributor                                                                                                                                                                    Zak Mir Interviews - Vince Stanzione




                                          Zak Mir
                                                                                                                        She knew nothing about shares or markets, but she
                                                                                                                        did know about profit margins, buying from the
                                                                                                                                                                                      vs:   I do not use one system, I would describe
                                                                                                                                                                                      myself as the “Bruce Lee” of trading — I change
                                                                                                                        flower market, having too much stock and so on. So
                                                                                                                                                                                      and adapt, but at heart am a trend trader, although
                                                                                                                        really her life experience was helpful when



                                          Interviews
                                                                                                                                                                                      sometimes can be contrarian, and I also pay heed of
                                                                                                                        trading stocks. I did a study on the most successful
                                                                                                                                                                                      seasonality and sentiment.
                                                                                                                        age groups, see: http://www.express.co.uk/finance/
                                                                                                                        city/350636/Silver-surfer-traders-put-youngsters-
                                                                                                                        in-the-shade                                                  ZM:    You may not have just one system for taking



                                          Vince
                                                                                                                                                                                      positions, but of course what kills many a trading
                                                                                                                        ZM:    What would you say that the minimum
                                                                                                                                                                                      account is not the winners but the losers that
                                                                                                                                                                                      outpace them. What are your key signs that you
                                                                                                                        requirements are for successful trading — financial,
                                                                                                                                                                                      were wrong and it is time to get out? Is it just a



                                          Stanzione
                                                                                                                        knowledge, mindset, account size?
                                                                                                                                                                                      matter of a certain amount of money, or are there
                                                                                                                                                                                      other cues that tell you that the factors that brought
                                                                                                                        vs:    I think the minimum to open an account these
                                                                                                                                                                                      you into a trade are no longer valid? Do you find it
                                                                                                                                                                                      easy to take a loss — something which “bad traders”
                                                                                                                        days is £20,000; it can and has been done on less,
                                                                                                                                                                                      have great difficulty doing.
                                          This month Zak interviews self proclaimed                                     but really that is what you should be starting with.
                                                                                                                        Knowledge wise, really sometimes less is better than
                                          spread betting guru Vince Stanzione.                                          more, my workbook takes the assumption that you
                                                                                                                        have never traded before. Mindset? Really someone
                                                                                                                                                                                      vs:     Starting out, I hated taking losses, I would
                                                                                                                                                                                      hold on and “hope” that those bad short term trades
                                                                                                                        that does not get upset when trades don’t work out,
                                                                                                                                                                                      would reverse, of course they largely became bad
                                                                                                                        losing is part of the business and people that are not
                                                                                                                                                                                      long term ones! I would cut the winners far too
                                                                                                                        in a hurry to see instant results generally are more
ZM:    There are cynics out there (including our           My experience is those desperate to make money               profitable.
                                                                                                                                                                                      quickly as we all like instant gratification. As I
                                                                                                                                                                                      matured, I learned to do the opposite. I do have
beloved editor!) who suggest that those who can            never do, that is why having a second income helps.
                                                                                                                                                                                      a fairly mechanical exit, so if a trade is not making
trade do, and those who can’t “advise”. Do you
agree with this and are there any financial markets
                                                           The majority of my students are over 50 years of
                                                           age and are already fairly wealthy — I don’t deal with       “Returns are also                                             money and falls below a certain point it is cut and in
gurus you follow or respect?                               the unemployed or last chance hopers!                        not evenly                                                    many cases I reverse a trade from long to short and
                                                                                                                                                                                      then back again. I have done that a few times with

vs:                                                        ZM:                                                          distributed,                                                  Netflix (NFLX) the last three years.
       I agree 90% of those who offer seminars, tip
services, advising etc. cannot trade or invest
                                                                  So you are effectively vetting your students
                                                           before they start. Does this mean that the                   trading is not a job                                          ZM:
themselves and are getting rich off the “how to”           demographic they represent have the best chance              or pay packet where                                                    I have over the months interviewed several
                                                                                                                                                                                      leading figures in the markets, whether trading for
bandwagon. It can be argued that I fall into that
camp as I wrote my first course on spread betting
                                                           of winning in the markets? It clearly helps if they
                                                           have been successful in their life to date, is that what     you earn X a month,                                           themselves or managing funds, and one thing has
in 1997. I was however already wealthy at that point,      you are saying?                                              some months you                                               stood out which I did not expect. In general, it would
                                                                                                                                                                                      appear they are successful at trading (a losing game
both from other businesses and investing. Most of
the people I respect are dead, but Ralph Acampora          “Trading in an                                               will make nothing                                             for most retail traders) because they are exceptional
and David Tepper I follow today.
                                                           incorrect way is                                             or lose money,                                                — either in discipline, IQ, knowledge or in most cases
                                                                                                                                                                                      all of the above. In other words: just as they are

ZM:                                                        very similar to                                              other months you                                              winners in trading, they would be in business, the
         Much is said about trading for a living, but is
it really worth it given the anecdotal evidence of a       smoking. You get the                                         will do very well.”                                           academic world or probably in anything they put
                                                                                                                                                                                      their minds to. Is there any point getting involved
failure rate for most people of over 90% and so the
risk reward ratio doesn’t stack up? What can those         buzz from the                                                Returns are also not evenly distributed, trading is
                                                                                                                                                                                      in the market if you know you are not highly gifted?

who do, in the face of seemingly insurmountable
odds, decide to embark on this pursuit realistically
                                                           occasional rewards,                                          not a job or pay packet where you earn X a month,
                                                                                                                                                                                      vs:    I am very interested in people and psychology.
expect to make?                                            which keeps you                                              some months you will make nothing or lose money,
                                                                                                                        other months you will do very well. Anyone that is
                                                                                                                                                                                      I made my first million from car phones by watching

                                                           hooked on a path                                             self-employed will know it’s not a smooth curve. I
                                                                                                                                                                                      trends and what the yuppies wanted. I have no real
                                                                                                                                                                                      formal qualifications. Yes, exceptional people, be it
vs:      I would never just be a full time trader; my      which otherwise is                                           think trading is like dating, if you are desperate for a
                                                                                                                        date it shows and women don’t want to date a
                                                                                                                                                                                      in sports, business, TV or trading are wired
experience is that the more time you spend trading
the more you lose. My style is trend trading and so I      doing you little or                                          desperate man! If you are desperate to make money,
                                                                                                                                                                                      differently and in many cases have a different
                                                                                                                                                                                      emotional make up. We don’t really care about
can be in a trade for weeks, months and even years.
It means that I don’t have to watch a screen all day.
                                                           no favours.”                                                 you overtrade making trades when you should do
                                                                                                                        nothing and normally it ends badly.
                                                                                                                                                                                      rejection or being wrong.

I trialled a Bloomberg terminal a few years ago and
gave it back as it was simply too much information!        vs:   Yes you are so right, success breeds success, not      ZM:    Can you describe to us your trading style/             ZM:     You have been quoted as saying that your
                                                           necessarily that they have trading experience. I will give   system and why you think it gives you an “edge”               main successes in the markets have not come from
                                                           you an example: I had a lady I taught to trade that ran a    over the markets?                                             day trading, but more from what would be called
                                                           successful florist shop.                                                                                                   position trading / trend following.




  56 | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | April 2013                                                                                                                                      April 2013   | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | 57
Editorial Contributor



Are such trades based on technical or fundamental
triggers? Is there a typical set up?
                                                           “I believe we are
                                                           in a glorious time,
                                                           the US economy
vs:    Both, it is funny. The so called technicians
often quote fundamental issues and I think they            will power ahead                                                                                            Focus swings back
                                                           and the Dow could
                                                                                                                                                                       onto the PIIGS
should be used together. My typical set up is a stock
that is either hated or loved and then I start seeing
a trend change — Apple both up and now down is a           easily hit 20,000 or
good example.
                                                           30,000+ in the next                                                                                         as the euro crisis
ZM:     The impression given in the media is that
                                                           10 to 15 years.”
you are something of a millionaire recluse who was
successful in the business world and then came to
                                                           Europe is worrying, however, the demographics are
                                                           very bad — too many older people being supported                                                            deepens. Do you:
trade the markets. Why do you want to actually help        by less and less youth. Turkey though is the outlier
others make money — shouldn’t people find out for          as it has good demographics.
themselves as you did?
                                                           ZM:     So you think issues such as the banking                                                             a) Eat less pork and consider
vs: My first business was set up at the age of 12          sector, the Eurozone and a possible bubble in China                                                            becoming vegetarian
— selling computer games on tape. My dad was a             will be resolved successfully? Arguably, the U.S. got
hairdresser and wanted me to take over the                 us into the financial crisis in the first place via Sub
business (looking at my own hair — no way!), and so        Prime, and has kept us, economically, down with the                                                         b) Sell the Euro in expectation that the
I got a job in FX as a junior in 1985 after I watched      Fiscal Cliff — an issue which is still bubbling under                                                          Eurozone will eventually break-up
a program on BBC2, it’s here on the net — http://          the surface?
www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9brMMxI1RY. I then
got wiped out in the 1987 crash and started the car
phone businesses.                                          vs:     Well if you read certain media, the world is
                                                           always ending, so far the world has not (in fact
Then I decided to have another go at investing in          wasn’t it supposed to on Dec 12th last year?!) and if
1990/1991 (when I had money) and bought penny              it does then you have nothing to worry about! But
shares such as Next at 11p via an entity then known        seriously, humans are very resourceful and adaptive,
as Sharelink. I opened my first IG index account in        that is why we don’t use a typewriter or travel by
1990 and I still have the account today (it’s a very       horse and cart anymore. The times I have read that
short account number!). But I learnt from others           oil is going to run out, yet truth is we have plenty
such as Jess Livermore, Jim Rogers and Nick                and cars are far more economical.
Darvas, so why not pass my skills on? But you’re
right, traders must make their own mistakes, it’s part
of growing up in the markets.                              ZM:     Here in the UK we have the possibility of the
                                                           Scots leaving and the UK itself leaving the EU in
                                                           2017. Would you not be particularly bearish
ZM:    Do you have a macro view on the UK / West-          regarding sterling and also the bubble in Central
ern Economy, and is it as grim as the 20 year Japa-        London real estate? This, along with the regulatory
nese Zombie economic scenario that many people             issues in the City of London, give the impression
fear? Do you have any strong views on Gold, and            that Zone 1 London may no longer be the “Monaco”
especially equities now that they are back at multi        style safe haven it used to be?
year highs?


vs: I believe we are in a glorious time, the US            vs:     Well a weaker sterling makes London

                                                                                                                     Can you profit from your predictions?
economy will power ahead and the Dow could                 property look cheaper, especially if you’re from
easily hit 20,000 or 30,000+ in the next 10 to 15          Norway or Canada. Markets normally overshoot up
                                                           and down be it property, fine wines, art or classic
years. The new shale energy and biotech/healthcare
discoveries are underestimated. I liked gold and           cars, but then buyers and sellers regroup and prices      Apply today at CapitalSpreads.com,
platinum 10 years or so ago, but sold it all a few years   adjust, basic demand and supply dynamics reassert.
ago bar a few Canadian Maple leafs. I don’t own gold       It is hard to predict if the UK would leave the EU, but
                                                           I don’t see the UK turning in to some Third World
                                                                                                                     great value for Spread Betting and CFDs.
now as I think you can make more elsewhere. Also
I don’t buy that gold is an inflation hedge, so are        country. The UK is very respected in many fields
stocks — you would have made more in McDonalds             such as biotech, fashion & design, television, music
                                                           & film, tourism to name a few, and these areas can
the last 20 years than gold. I do still own some
                                                           bring a lot of money into the UK.
                                                                                                                     Spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses that exceed
palladium.
                                                                                                                     your initial deposit. This advert should not be construed as investment advice.

                                                                                                                     Capital Spreads is a trading name of London Capital Group Ltd (LCG), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and a member of the London Stock Exchange.
 58 | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | April 2013                                                                                                                                                                  April 2013            | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | 59

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Vince Stanzione Spread Betting Magazine

  • 1. A IT ED PR IO IL N The e-magazine created especially for active spreadbetters and CFD traders Issue 15 - April 2013 A Gold Mining Sector Special We hunt for potential bargains amongst the rubble Dominic Currency Zak Mir Tom Picarda - Corner - interviews Winnifrith’s A US tech Is it time Vince Conviction focus to buy the Stanzione Trade for special pound? April All your favourite columns including the chance to win £1000 in our Guess the FTSE month end competition
  • 2. Editorial Contributor Zak Mir Interviews - Vince Stanzione Zak Mir She knew nothing about shares or markets, but she did know about profit margins, buying from the vs: I do not use one system, I would describe myself as the “Bruce Lee” of trading — I change flower market, having too much stock and so on. So and adapt, but at heart am a trend trader, although really her life experience was helpful when Interviews sometimes can be contrarian, and I also pay heed of trading stocks. I did a study on the most successful seasonality and sentiment. age groups, see: http://www.express.co.uk/finance/ city/350636/Silver-surfer-traders-put-youngsters- in-the-shade ZM: You may not have just one system for taking Vince positions, but of course what kills many a trading ZM: What would you say that the minimum account is not the winners but the losers that outpace them. What are your key signs that you requirements are for successful trading — financial, were wrong and it is time to get out? Is it just a Stanzione knowledge, mindset, account size? matter of a certain amount of money, or are there other cues that tell you that the factors that brought vs: I think the minimum to open an account these you into a trade are no longer valid? Do you find it easy to take a loss — something which “bad traders” days is £20,000; it can and has been done on less, have great difficulty doing. This month Zak interviews self proclaimed but really that is what you should be starting with. Knowledge wise, really sometimes less is better than spread betting guru Vince Stanzione. more, my workbook takes the assumption that you have never traded before. Mindset? Really someone vs: Starting out, I hated taking losses, I would hold on and “hope” that those bad short term trades that does not get upset when trades don’t work out, would reverse, of course they largely became bad losing is part of the business and people that are not long term ones! I would cut the winners far too in a hurry to see instant results generally are more ZM: There are cynics out there (including our My experience is those desperate to make money profitable. quickly as we all like instant gratification. As I matured, I learned to do the opposite. I do have beloved editor!) who suggest that those who can never do, that is why having a second income helps. a fairly mechanical exit, so if a trade is not making trade do, and those who can’t “advise”. Do you agree with this and are there any financial markets The majority of my students are over 50 years of age and are already fairly wealthy — I don’t deal with “Returns are also money and falls below a certain point it is cut and in gurus you follow or respect? the unemployed or last chance hopers! not evenly many cases I reverse a trade from long to short and then back again. I have done that a few times with vs: ZM: distributed, Netflix (NFLX) the last three years. I agree 90% of those who offer seminars, tip services, advising etc. cannot trade or invest So you are effectively vetting your students before they start. Does this mean that the trading is not a job ZM: themselves and are getting rich off the “how to” demographic they represent have the best chance or pay packet where I have over the months interviewed several leading figures in the markets, whether trading for bandwagon. It can be argued that I fall into that camp as I wrote my first course on spread betting of winning in the markets? It clearly helps if they have been successful in their life to date, is that what you earn X a month, themselves or managing funds, and one thing has in 1997. I was however already wealthy at that point, you are saying? some months you stood out which I did not expect. In general, it would appear they are successful at trading (a losing game both from other businesses and investing. Most of the people I respect are dead, but Ralph Acampora “Trading in an will make nothing for most retail traders) because they are exceptional and David Tepper I follow today. incorrect way is or lose money, — either in discipline, IQ, knowledge or in most cases all of the above. In other words: just as they are ZM: very similar to other months you winners in trading, they would be in business, the Much is said about trading for a living, but is it really worth it given the anecdotal evidence of a smoking. You get the will do very well.” academic world or probably in anything they put their minds to. Is there any point getting involved failure rate for most people of over 90% and so the risk reward ratio doesn’t stack up? What can those buzz from the Returns are also not evenly distributed, trading is in the market if you know you are not highly gifted? who do, in the face of seemingly insurmountable odds, decide to embark on this pursuit realistically occasional rewards, not a job or pay packet where you earn X a month, vs: I am very interested in people and psychology. expect to make? which keeps you some months you will make nothing or lose money, other months you will do very well. Anyone that is I made my first million from car phones by watching hooked on a path self-employed will know it’s not a smooth curve. I trends and what the yuppies wanted. I have no real formal qualifications. Yes, exceptional people, be it vs: I would never just be a full time trader; my which otherwise is think trading is like dating, if you are desperate for a date it shows and women don’t want to date a in sports, business, TV or trading are wired experience is that the more time you spend trading the more you lose. My style is trend trading and so I doing you little or desperate man! If you are desperate to make money, differently and in many cases have a different emotional make up. We don’t really care about can be in a trade for weeks, months and even years. It means that I don’t have to watch a screen all day. no favours.” you overtrade making trades when you should do nothing and normally it ends badly. rejection or being wrong. I trialled a Bloomberg terminal a few years ago and gave it back as it was simply too much information! vs: Yes you are so right, success breeds success, not ZM: Can you describe to us your trading style/ ZM: You have been quoted as saying that your necessarily that they have trading experience. I will give system and why you think it gives you an “edge” main successes in the markets have not come from you an example: I had a lady I taught to trade that ran a over the markets? day trading, but more from what would be called successful florist shop. position trading / trend following. 56 | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | April 2013 April 2013 | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | 57
  • 3. Editorial Contributor Are such trades based on technical or fundamental triggers? Is there a typical set up? “I believe we are in a glorious time, the US economy vs: Both, it is funny. The so called technicians often quote fundamental issues and I think they will power ahead Focus swings back and the Dow could onto the PIIGS should be used together. My typical set up is a stock that is either hated or loved and then I start seeing a trend change — Apple both up and now down is a easily hit 20,000 or good example. 30,000+ in the next as the euro crisis ZM: The impression given in the media is that 10 to 15 years.” you are something of a millionaire recluse who was successful in the business world and then came to Europe is worrying, however, the demographics are very bad — too many older people being supported deepens. Do you: trade the markets. Why do you want to actually help by less and less youth. Turkey though is the outlier others make money — shouldn’t people find out for as it has good demographics. themselves as you did? ZM: So you think issues such as the banking a) Eat less pork and consider vs: My first business was set up at the age of 12 sector, the Eurozone and a possible bubble in China becoming vegetarian — selling computer games on tape. My dad was a will be resolved successfully? Arguably, the U.S. got hairdresser and wanted me to take over the us into the financial crisis in the first place via Sub business (looking at my own hair — no way!), and so Prime, and has kept us, economically, down with the b) Sell the Euro in expectation that the I got a job in FX as a junior in 1985 after I watched Fiscal Cliff — an issue which is still bubbling under Eurozone will eventually break-up a program on BBC2, it’s here on the net — http:// the surface? www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9brMMxI1RY. I then got wiped out in the 1987 crash and started the car phone businesses. vs: Well if you read certain media, the world is always ending, so far the world has not (in fact Then I decided to have another go at investing in wasn’t it supposed to on Dec 12th last year?!) and if 1990/1991 (when I had money) and bought penny it does then you have nothing to worry about! But shares such as Next at 11p via an entity then known seriously, humans are very resourceful and adaptive, as Sharelink. I opened my first IG index account in that is why we don’t use a typewriter or travel by 1990 and I still have the account today (it’s a very horse and cart anymore. The times I have read that short account number!). But I learnt from others oil is going to run out, yet truth is we have plenty such as Jess Livermore, Jim Rogers and Nick and cars are far more economical. Darvas, so why not pass my skills on? But you’re right, traders must make their own mistakes, it’s part of growing up in the markets. ZM: Here in the UK we have the possibility of the Scots leaving and the UK itself leaving the EU in 2017. Would you not be particularly bearish ZM: Do you have a macro view on the UK / West- regarding sterling and also the bubble in Central ern Economy, and is it as grim as the 20 year Japa- London real estate? This, along with the regulatory nese Zombie economic scenario that many people issues in the City of London, give the impression fear? Do you have any strong views on Gold, and that Zone 1 London may no longer be the “Monaco” especially equities now that they are back at multi style safe haven it used to be? year highs? vs: I believe we are in a glorious time, the US vs: Well a weaker sterling makes London Can you profit from your predictions? economy will power ahead and the Dow could property look cheaper, especially if you’re from easily hit 20,000 or 30,000+ in the next 10 to 15 Norway or Canada. Markets normally overshoot up and down be it property, fine wines, art or classic years. The new shale energy and biotech/healthcare discoveries are underestimated. I liked gold and cars, but then buyers and sellers regroup and prices Apply today at CapitalSpreads.com, platinum 10 years or so ago, but sold it all a few years adjust, basic demand and supply dynamics reassert. ago bar a few Canadian Maple leafs. I don’t own gold It is hard to predict if the UK would leave the EU, but I don’t see the UK turning in to some Third World great value for Spread Betting and CFDs. now as I think you can make more elsewhere. Also I don’t buy that gold is an inflation hedge, so are country. The UK is very respected in many fields stocks — you would have made more in McDonalds such as biotech, fashion & design, television, music & film, tourism to name a few, and these areas can the last 20 years than gold. I do still own some bring a lot of money into the UK. Spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses that exceed palladium. your initial deposit. This advert should not be construed as investment advice. Capital Spreads is a trading name of London Capital Group Ltd (LCG), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and a member of the London Stock Exchange. 58 | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | April 2013 April 2013 | www.spreadbetmagazine.com | 59