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Combining numerical modeling with a
participative approach
for the design of sustainable and applicable cropping systems

Meylan, L., Sibelet, N., Gary, C., Rapidel, B.

1
Scientific context
• Objective: designing agroforestry systems with
multiple performance requirements
• Challenge: interaction of several spp; complex
and long-term effects to take into account
• Two common approaches

?

– Modeling: useful for complex interactions often
found in agroforestry; many trials, low cost; but
theoretical results and few developed models
Vereijken, 1997; Rapidel et al, 2009; Whitbread et al, 2009

– Participative: involving farmers, suitable
solutions, but solutions not generic
Tixier et al, 2006; Malézieux et al, 2009
Case study: shaded coffee in
Llano Bonito, Costa Rica
• Coffea arabica (mostly Caturra) + shade trees (mostly
Erythrina and Musa spp)
• Relatively small farms (1-2ha) supporting many families;
600 farmers in the Llano Bonito watershed (18km²)
• Intensive production (400kg of N/ha/yr) sold at
premium price
Case study: shaded coffee in
Llano Bonito, Costa Rica
• High erosion rates due to steep
slopes and rainy season
(+3000 mm of rain/year)
• Operation of downstream
hydroelectric dam threatened by
sedimentation of Pirris river
• Interest in PES (Payment for
Environmental Service) scheme
for coffee growers to reduce
erosion
Case study: shaded coffee in
Llano Bonito, Costa Rica
Coffee production
shade trees
erosion
• Trees help prevent erosion
• … but how many trees in coffee systems to
maximize performance in both areas?

?

Actual shade tree densities vary
between 100 and 400 trees/ha;
most trees are pruned 2-3 times a year
Shade trees can have positive or negative
effects on coffee production depending on
climate, environment, management…

Minimum shade level needed – what is the optimum?
CAF2007: numerical model for
coffee shaded systems

Van Oijen et al, 2010
CAF: numerical model for coffee
shaded systems

Can we combine the information from a
numerical model with farmers’ knowledge to
design sustainable AND practicable systems?
Van Oijen et al, 2010
Research objectives
1. Involve coffee growers in the modeling
process in order to identify potential systems
that farmers would be willing put into place
themselves
2. Evaluate usefulness of CAF2007 in generating
improved agroforestry systems that are
acceptable to farmers
Participative modeling sessions
• Preparation
– Previous data and conceptual
model to introduce trees, coffee
& erosion relationship
– Progressively introduce new
concepts – graphs/charts, model

• Participants asked to think about what they
would test “on the field”
• All questions and suggestions recorded verbatim
– number of variables in each “what if” question
– topics covered
Participative modeling sessions
• 19 farmers in 4 groups; 5 sessions of 2hrs each
S1

S2

S3

S4

S5

• Ideas for experimentation – no model

• Conceptual model, check outcomes of S1
• Numerical data
• What does “model” mean?
• Presentation of CAF2007, potential scenarios to be simulated

• Evaluation of simulation outcomes
Participative modeling sessions
6

15

Low intensive
Work intensive

5

Shaded systems
Complexity
(mean number
of variables per
question)

Diversity
(mean number
of variables per
farmer)

Inputs intensive

4
3

10

Low intensive

5

2

Work intensive
Shaded systems

1

Inputs intensive
0

0

S1

S2
S4
Working session

S5

Increased
participation, complexity of
questions, and number of topics
covered after introduction of
CAF2007 in S4

S1

S2
S4
Working session

S5
Evaluation of CAF2007 by participants
Mostly disagreed
with model output
•
•
•

Shade tree density
Shade tree pruning
Coffee pruning

• High interest in simulation of
N cycling and fertilization
• Model inaccuracies: effect of
shade tree on yield over
several years

Missing
•
•

Pests & disease
Annual yield
variations (e.g.
dieback effect)

Mostly agreed with
model output
•
•
•

Fertilization
Mineral N pool
Coffee LAI and
vegetative growth
Conclusions
• Coffee growers actively engaged with a
numerical model to discuss changes in their
management
– “what if?” and simulation requests; increased
number, scope and complexity with CAF2007
– both positive and negative feedback on model
performance
– exploration of normally “invisible” processes shown
in model, e.g. erosion, mineral N pool

• New systems (change in management) were
identified – to be tested by growers themselves
For more information…
pcp-agroforestry.org
Contact info:
bruno.rapidel@cirad.fr
louise.meylan@cirad.fr
ADDITIONAL SLIDES
Typology of coffee plots
1: low
intensity

2: labor
intensive

3: shaded
systems

4: agrochemical
intensive

Fertilizer
(USD/ha/yr)

518 c

1395 a

909 b

1157 a,b

Fungicide
(USD/ha/yr)

51 a,b

28 b

16 b

79 a

Manual weed
control
(hrs/ha/yr)

131 a

203 a

120 a

144 a

Shade tree
density (#/ha)

288 a,b

332 a,b

539 a

235 b

Yield (t/ha/yr)

4.2 b

8.9 a

7.2 a

8.1 a

1.1 a,b

1.9 a

0.6 b

1.2 a,b

Erosion control
Effect of shade tree density
on coffee yield

Coffee yield (t/ha/yr)

12

10
R² = 0.301
Group 1

8

Group 2
6

Group 3

R² = 0.565

Group 4
4

2
0

200

400

600

Shade tree density

800

1000
Conceptual model
Conceptual model
Effect of shade trees on coffee
1.0

5

0.9
Infiltration delay 0-30cm (h)

5

kg of litter per m²

4
4

3
3
2
2
1

1

0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1

0
full sun

Erythrina
shade treatment

0.0

banana

Full sun

Erythrina

Banana

6000

g of dry vegetation/m²

5000
4000
Full sun

3000

Erythrina
2000

Banana

1000
0
0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

Infiltration delay (h)

1.00

1.10

1.20

No significant effect
of shade on
production; but
positive effect on soil
litter and
infiltration, used
here as proxies for
erosion (actual runoff and
erosion data forthcoming)
Preparing the model
Variable
Yield

Site 1

Site 2

Site 3

Initial simulation

1.22

1.68

1.69

2.01

1.2

0.52

0.88

0.67

Initial simulation

1.22

1.48

1.63

After calibration

0.89

0.70

Initial simulation

2.30

2.01

1.87

0.34

0.46

0.33

Initial simulation

0.22

-

0.14

After calibration

0.06

-

Left: RMSE for
output values
used in model
calibration

0.45

After calibration
Soil water content

1.08

After calibration

Coffee wood biomass

3.47

Initial simulation

Tree LAI

1.95

After calibration
Coffee LAI

2.36

0.04

Carbon in coffee wood
1
0.8
kg of C / m2

Right: example of
calibration effect on
simulated coffee
wood biomass values

after
calibration

0.6

measured
data

0.4
0.2

before
calibration

0
4000

4200

4400
4600
days of simulation

4800

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Session 5.2 Combining numerical modeling with a participative approach

  • 1. Combining numerical modeling with a participative approach for the design of sustainable and applicable cropping systems Meylan, L., Sibelet, N., Gary, C., Rapidel, B. 1
  • 2. Scientific context • Objective: designing agroforestry systems with multiple performance requirements • Challenge: interaction of several spp; complex and long-term effects to take into account • Two common approaches ? – Modeling: useful for complex interactions often found in agroforestry; many trials, low cost; but theoretical results and few developed models Vereijken, 1997; Rapidel et al, 2009; Whitbread et al, 2009 – Participative: involving farmers, suitable solutions, but solutions not generic Tixier et al, 2006; Malézieux et al, 2009
  • 3. Case study: shaded coffee in Llano Bonito, Costa Rica • Coffea arabica (mostly Caturra) + shade trees (mostly Erythrina and Musa spp) • Relatively small farms (1-2ha) supporting many families; 600 farmers in the Llano Bonito watershed (18km²) • Intensive production (400kg of N/ha/yr) sold at premium price
  • 4. Case study: shaded coffee in Llano Bonito, Costa Rica • High erosion rates due to steep slopes and rainy season (+3000 mm of rain/year) • Operation of downstream hydroelectric dam threatened by sedimentation of Pirris river • Interest in PES (Payment for Environmental Service) scheme for coffee growers to reduce erosion
  • 5. Case study: shaded coffee in Llano Bonito, Costa Rica Coffee production shade trees erosion • Trees help prevent erosion • … but how many trees in coffee systems to maximize performance in both areas? ? Actual shade tree densities vary between 100 and 400 trees/ha; most trees are pruned 2-3 times a year Shade trees can have positive or negative effects on coffee production depending on climate, environment, management… Minimum shade level needed – what is the optimum?
  • 6. CAF2007: numerical model for coffee shaded systems Van Oijen et al, 2010
  • 7. CAF: numerical model for coffee shaded systems Can we combine the information from a numerical model with farmers’ knowledge to design sustainable AND practicable systems? Van Oijen et al, 2010
  • 8. Research objectives 1. Involve coffee growers in the modeling process in order to identify potential systems that farmers would be willing put into place themselves 2. Evaluate usefulness of CAF2007 in generating improved agroforestry systems that are acceptable to farmers
  • 9. Participative modeling sessions • Preparation – Previous data and conceptual model to introduce trees, coffee & erosion relationship – Progressively introduce new concepts – graphs/charts, model • Participants asked to think about what they would test “on the field” • All questions and suggestions recorded verbatim – number of variables in each “what if” question – topics covered
  • 10. Participative modeling sessions • 19 farmers in 4 groups; 5 sessions of 2hrs each S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 • Ideas for experimentation – no model • Conceptual model, check outcomes of S1 • Numerical data • What does “model” mean? • Presentation of CAF2007, potential scenarios to be simulated • Evaluation of simulation outcomes
  • 11. Participative modeling sessions 6 15 Low intensive Work intensive 5 Shaded systems Complexity (mean number of variables per question) Diversity (mean number of variables per farmer) Inputs intensive 4 3 10 Low intensive 5 2 Work intensive Shaded systems 1 Inputs intensive 0 0 S1 S2 S4 Working session S5 Increased participation, complexity of questions, and number of topics covered after introduction of CAF2007 in S4 S1 S2 S4 Working session S5
  • 12. Evaluation of CAF2007 by participants Mostly disagreed with model output • • • Shade tree density Shade tree pruning Coffee pruning • High interest in simulation of N cycling and fertilization • Model inaccuracies: effect of shade tree on yield over several years Missing • • Pests & disease Annual yield variations (e.g. dieback effect) Mostly agreed with model output • • • Fertilization Mineral N pool Coffee LAI and vegetative growth
  • 13. Conclusions • Coffee growers actively engaged with a numerical model to discuss changes in their management – “what if?” and simulation requests; increased number, scope and complexity with CAF2007 – both positive and negative feedback on model performance – exploration of normally “invisible” processes shown in model, e.g. erosion, mineral N pool • New systems (change in management) were identified – to be tested by growers themselves
  • 14. For more information… pcp-agroforestry.org Contact info: bruno.rapidel@cirad.fr louise.meylan@cirad.fr
  • 15.
  • 17. Typology of coffee plots 1: low intensity 2: labor intensive 3: shaded systems 4: agrochemical intensive Fertilizer (USD/ha/yr) 518 c 1395 a 909 b 1157 a,b Fungicide (USD/ha/yr) 51 a,b 28 b 16 b 79 a Manual weed control (hrs/ha/yr) 131 a 203 a 120 a 144 a Shade tree density (#/ha) 288 a,b 332 a,b 539 a 235 b Yield (t/ha/yr) 4.2 b 8.9 a 7.2 a 8.1 a 1.1 a,b 1.9 a 0.6 b 1.2 a,b Erosion control
  • 18. Effect of shade tree density on coffee yield Coffee yield (t/ha/yr) 12 10 R² = 0.301 Group 1 8 Group 2 6 Group 3 R² = 0.565 Group 4 4 2 0 200 400 600 Shade tree density 800 1000
  • 21. Effect of shade trees on coffee 1.0 5 0.9 Infiltration delay 0-30cm (h) 5 kg of litter per m² 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 full sun Erythrina shade treatment 0.0 banana Full sun Erythrina Banana 6000 g of dry vegetation/m² 5000 4000 Full sun 3000 Erythrina 2000 Banana 1000 0 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 Infiltration delay (h) 1.00 1.10 1.20 No significant effect of shade on production; but positive effect on soil litter and infiltration, used here as proxies for erosion (actual runoff and erosion data forthcoming)
  • 22. Preparing the model Variable Yield Site 1 Site 2 Site 3 Initial simulation 1.22 1.68 1.69 2.01 1.2 0.52 0.88 0.67 Initial simulation 1.22 1.48 1.63 After calibration 0.89 0.70 Initial simulation 2.30 2.01 1.87 0.34 0.46 0.33 Initial simulation 0.22 - 0.14 After calibration 0.06 - Left: RMSE for output values used in model calibration 0.45 After calibration Soil water content 1.08 After calibration Coffee wood biomass 3.47 Initial simulation Tree LAI 1.95 After calibration Coffee LAI 2.36 0.04 Carbon in coffee wood 1 0.8 kg of C / m2 Right: example of calibration effect on simulated coffee wood biomass values after calibration 0.6 measured data 0.4 0.2 before calibration 0 4000 4200 4400 4600 days of simulation 4800