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Intelligent Information
Systems
Evolutionary
Step

Business Question

Enabling
Technologies

Product
Providers

Characteristics

Data
Collection
(1960s)

"What was my total
revenue in the last
five years?"

Computers, tapes
, disks

IBM, CDC

Retrospective,
static data
delivery

Data Access
(1980s)

"What were unit
sales in New England
last March?"

Relational
databases
(RDBMS), Struct
ured Query
Language
(SQL), ODBC

Oracle, Sybas Retrospective,
e, Informix, I dynamic data
BM, Microsoft delivery at
record level

Data
Warehousing
&
Decision
Support
(1990s)

"What were unit
sales in New England
last March? Drill
down to Boston."

On-line analytic
processing
(OLAP),
multidimensional
databases, data
warehouses

Pilot,
Comshare,
Arbor,
Cognos,
Microstrategy

Retrospective,
dynamic data
delivery at
multiple levels

Data Mining
(Emerging
Today)

"What’s likely to
happen to Boston
unit sales next
month? Why?"

Advanced
algorithms,
multiprocessor
computers,
massive
databases

Pilot,
Lockheed,
IBM, SGI,
numerous
start-ups
(nascent

Prospective,
proactive
information
delivery
• Standard database operations present

results to the user as they existed in
databases
• A report showing the breakdown of sales
by
product
line
and
region
is
straightforward for the user to understand
because they intuitively know that this kind
of information already exists in the database




Business Intelligence (BI) tools such as
query and reporting are used to answer
questions by the user
These questions deal primarily with the
analysis of historical results and trends
- what were our sales in the past month in a
certain region?
- what were our most profitable products?
- which of our suppliers were most reliable?
- which customers generated the most
revenue?
• Extracts information from a database that the
user did not know existed
• Relationships
between
variables
and
customer behaviour that are non-intuitive is
the vital information that data mining extracts
• Since the user does not know beforehand
what the data mining process has discovered,
it is a much bigger leap to take the output of
the system and translate it into a solution for a
business problem
Datamining tools provide answers to questions related
to the detection of previously undetected patterns and
are undirected in nature such as:

and

cost-

- Who are our best suppliers or most profitable customers?
- Should we extend credit to a particular customer?
- Which customers are likely to become profitable, when
to what extent?
- How do we optimally allocate resources to ensure
profitability and growth targets?
- What are the root causes of quality issues and can we
effectively minimize them?
- What factors or combinations of factors are directly
impacting marketing campaigns?
• Intelligence is the aptitude to learn,
comprehend, or to counter new or trying
situations
• It is the skillful use of reason and the capacity
to apply knowledge to influence one's
environment or to think conceptually
• Business intelligence is a set of notions,
methods, and practices, which improves
business decisions. It uses information from
multiple sources and applies experience and
assumptions that helps in understanding
accurately the intricacies of business dynamics.
• Business Intelligence (coined by
Gartner in the late 1980s) is “a usercentered process that includes accessing
and exploring information, analyzing this
information, and developing insights and
understanding, which leads to improved
and informed decision making.”
• BI is the means by which organizations interpret the
sea of organizational data to derive insights that are
critical to competing in the new economy
• BI aids in:
- a deeper understanding of customer and partner
relationships
- indicating key performance indicators
- a consistent view of the organization from the executive
level to the front line

By translating these insights into action companies
can:
•

- increase

profits
- respond more quickly to changing market demands
- improve accountability by giving every employee an
accurate view of the organization


The track - analyze - model decide –
monitor loop is referred to as the
closed loop model for business
intelligence
• Track extracting, transforming, loading
(ETL), and integrating data into a data
warehouse as well as monitoring data in a
real-time or near real-time environment
• Transaction capturing systems or
operational systems capture data which is
later transformed, integrated, and loaded
into a data warehouse
• Analyze (analyzing data using BI tools)
- query and reporting, multi-dimensional analysis, and data mining
- Simple analysis methods like regression, co-relation , factor analysis etc.
are available in MS-EXCEL , ORACLE , SPSS, etc., .

- Data mining tools are available with software packages like SPSS, SAS,
Intelligent Miner, and Data Mind
• Model

- formulating models for forecasting,
optimization, and scenario planning
- utilizing advanced analytics tools

•A

model (a rule or a hypotheses) is made
based on the patterns discovered by data
mining tools
•Decide
- arriving at a decision based on analysis and preexisting or newly developed models
- decision support systems use the models
developed as a result of data-mining and business
intelligence modeling processes for decision

making
•Act

- a business manager uses the business analysis results
to take an action (e.g., launching a new marketing
campaign based on the analysis of previous campaign
results, customer behavior, new promotional plan or
inventory levels)
- approving or denying a request for credit based on
past financial activity
- re-negotiating sourcing contracts based on supplier
delivery trends, product quality, and warranty activity
trends, adjusting the type of data being tracked for
analysis, etc., .
• Identify buying behavior from customers
• Find
associations
among
customer
demographic characteristics
• Predict responses to mailing campaigns
• Market basket analysis
• Detect patterns of fraudulent credit card use
• Identify loyal customers
• Predict customers likely to change their credit
card affiliation
• Determine credit cards spending by customer
groups
• Find hidden correlations between different
financial indicators
• Identify stock trading rules from historical data
• Claims analysis
• Predict which customers will buy new
policies
• Identify behaviour patterns of risky
customers
• Identify fraudulent behaviour
• Determine the distribution schedules
among
outlets

• Analyze loading patterns
• Successful BI architecture has
four parts
-

information architecture The information
architecture defines what business application
systems you need to access, report, and analyze
information to enable business decision making.
- data architecture The data architecture defines the
data, source systems and framework for
transforming data into useful information.
- technical architecture The technical architecture
defines the technology of the products and
infrastructure.
- product architecture The product architecture
includes the actual products used


Phase I Data Preparation:
- Data Integration
- Data Selection and Pre-analysis
- Data Integration refers to the process of merging data
which
typically resides in an operational environment having
multiple
files or databases



Phase II Data Mining processor:
- accesses a Data Warehouse that uses a relational database
such
as DB2 for AIX/6000
- access is done through a standard SQL interface using a
middleware product which allows mining of data from
multiple
sources



Phase III Presentation of facts and follow up:
• a class of computer software built around

mathematical
models
and
algorithms
(procedures) which, by converting data into
information and intelligence, help a manager
make better decisions for his organization
• DSS are interactive computer based systems and
subsystems intended to help decision makers
use communication technologies , data ,
documents , knowledge and/ or models to
successfully complete decision process tasks

• DSS can be divided into five basic tasks:
- communications-driven DSS
- data-driven DSS

- knowledge-driven DSS
- document-driven DSS
- model-driven DSS

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Mis jaiswal-chapter-08

  • 2. Evolutionary Step Business Question Enabling Technologies Product Providers Characteristics Data Collection (1960s) "What was my total revenue in the last five years?" Computers, tapes , disks IBM, CDC Retrospective, static data delivery Data Access (1980s) "What were unit sales in New England last March?" Relational databases (RDBMS), Struct ured Query Language (SQL), ODBC Oracle, Sybas Retrospective, e, Informix, I dynamic data BM, Microsoft delivery at record level Data Warehousing & Decision Support (1990s) "What were unit sales in New England last March? Drill down to Boston." On-line analytic processing (OLAP), multidimensional databases, data warehouses Pilot, Comshare, Arbor, Cognos, Microstrategy Retrospective, dynamic data delivery at multiple levels Data Mining (Emerging Today) "What’s likely to happen to Boston unit sales next month? Why?" Advanced algorithms, multiprocessor computers, massive databases Pilot, Lockheed, IBM, SGI, numerous start-ups (nascent Prospective, proactive information delivery
  • 3. • Standard database operations present results to the user as they existed in databases • A report showing the breakdown of sales by product line and region is straightforward for the user to understand because they intuitively know that this kind of information already exists in the database
  • 4.   Business Intelligence (BI) tools such as query and reporting are used to answer questions by the user These questions deal primarily with the analysis of historical results and trends - what were our sales in the past month in a certain region? - what were our most profitable products? - which of our suppliers were most reliable? - which customers generated the most revenue?
  • 5. • Extracts information from a database that the user did not know existed • Relationships between variables and customer behaviour that are non-intuitive is the vital information that data mining extracts • Since the user does not know beforehand what the data mining process has discovered, it is a much bigger leap to take the output of the system and translate it into a solution for a business problem
  • 6. Datamining tools provide answers to questions related to the detection of previously undetected patterns and are undirected in nature such as: and cost- - Who are our best suppliers or most profitable customers? - Should we extend credit to a particular customer? - Which customers are likely to become profitable, when to what extent? - How do we optimally allocate resources to ensure profitability and growth targets? - What are the root causes of quality issues and can we effectively minimize them? - What factors or combinations of factors are directly impacting marketing campaigns?
  • 7. • Intelligence is the aptitude to learn, comprehend, or to counter new or trying situations • It is the skillful use of reason and the capacity to apply knowledge to influence one's environment or to think conceptually • Business intelligence is a set of notions, methods, and practices, which improves business decisions. It uses information from multiple sources and applies experience and assumptions that helps in understanding accurately the intricacies of business dynamics.
  • 8. • Business Intelligence (coined by Gartner in the late 1980s) is “a usercentered process that includes accessing and exploring information, analyzing this information, and developing insights and understanding, which leads to improved and informed decision making.”
  • 9. • BI is the means by which organizations interpret the sea of organizational data to derive insights that are critical to competing in the new economy • BI aids in: - a deeper understanding of customer and partner relationships - indicating key performance indicators - a consistent view of the organization from the executive level to the front line By translating these insights into action companies can: • - increase profits - respond more quickly to changing market demands - improve accountability by giving every employee an accurate view of the organization
  • 10.
  • 11.  The track - analyze - model decide – monitor loop is referred to as the closed loop model for business intelligence
  • 12. • Track extracting, transforming, loading (ETL), and integrating data into a data warehouse as well as monitoring data in a real-time or near real-time environment • Transaction capturing systems or operational systems capture data which is later transformed, integrated, and loaded into a data warehouse
  • 13. • Analyze (analyzing data using BI tools) - query and reporting, multi-dimensional analysis, and data mining - Simple analysis methods like regression, co-relation , factor analysis etc. are available in MS-EXCEL , ORACLE , SPSS, etc., . - Data mining tools are available with software packages like SPSS, SAS, Intelligent Miner, and Data Mind
  • 14. • Model - formulating models for forecasting, optimization, and scenario planning - utilizing advanced analytics tools •A model (a rule or a hypotheses) is made based on the patterns discovered by data mining tools
  • 15. •Decide - arriving at a decision based on analysis and preexisting or newly developed models - decision support systems use the models developed as a result of data-mining and business intelligence modeling processes for decision making
  • 16. •Act - a business manager uses the business analysis results to take an action (e.g., launching a new marketing campaign based on the analysis of previous campaign results, customer behavior, new promotional plan or inventory levels) - approving or denying a request for credit based on past financial activity - re-negotiating sourcing contracts based on supplier delivery trends, product quality, and warranty activity trends, adjusting the type of data being tracked for analysis, etc., .
  • 17. • Identify buying behavior from customers • Find associations among customer demographic characteristics • Predict responses to mailing campaigns • Market basket analysis
  • 18. • Detect patterns of fraudulent credit card use • Identify loyal customers • Predict customers likely to change their credit card affiliation • Determine credit cards spending by customer groups • Find hidden correlations between different financial indicators • Identify stock trading rules from historical data
  • 19. • Claims analysis • Predict which customers will buy new policies • Identify behaviour patterns of risky customers • Identify fraudulent behaviour
  • 20. • Determine the distribution schedules among outlets • Analyze loading patterns
  • 21. • Successful BI architecture has four parts - information architecture The information architecture defines what business application systems you need to access, report, and analyze information to enable business decision making. - data architecture The data architecture defines the data, source systems and framework for transforming data into useful information. - technical architecture The technical architecture defines the technology of the products and infrastructure. - product architecture The product architecture includes the actual products used
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.  Phase I Data Preparation: - Data Integration - Data Selection and Pre-analysis - Data Integration refers to the process of merging data which typically resides in an operational environment having multiple files or databases  Phase II Data Mining processor: - accesses a Data Warehouse that uses a relational database such as DB2 for AIX/6000 - access is done through a standard SQL interface using a middleware product which allows mining of data from multiple sources  Phase III Presentation of facts and follow up:
  • 25. • a class of computer software built around mathematical models and algorithms (procedures) which, by converting data into information and intelligence, help a manager make better decisions for his organization • DSS are interactive computer based systems and subsystems intended to help decision makers use communication technologies , data , documents , knowledge and/ or models to successfully complete decision process tasks • DSS can be divided into five basic tasks: - communications-driven DSS - data-driven DSS - knowledge-driven DSS - document-driven DSS - model-driven DSS