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MACRO ECONOMICS
Introduction to Macroeconomics

• Macroeconomics is that branch of economics,
  which studies the aggregate behavior of
  economic system
• Macroeconomics deals with the analysis of
  economic factors on the national level
• Macroeconomics determines the level of total
  economic activity in any nation
Introduction to Macroeconomics
                  Contd…
•   Macroeconomics deals and explains about
•   National Income
•   Employment
•   Output
•   Causes of rise in general price level
•   Inflation Rate
•   Economic growth
•   Investments
•   Savings
•   Consumption
•   Causes of business cycles
•   Balance of payment
•   Exchange Rate
OBJECTIVES OF ECONOMIC POLICIES

• Achieve national level full employment
• Stabilize price fluctuations
• Achieve overall economic growth
• Develop regions equitably
• Improve standards of living of people
• Reduce income inequalities
• Control monopoly market structure
• Avoid cyclical fluctuations in various economic
  activities
• Improve balance of payments
• Bring social justice
NATIONAL INCOME

• Purpose of National Income accounting
• To obtain some measure of the performance of the
  aggregate economy

• MAJOR CONCEPTS USED IN THE NATIONAL INCOME
  CALUCULATIONS
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
• Gross National Product (GNP)
• Net National Product (NNP)
• Personal Income (PI)
• Disposable Income (DI)
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

• GDP is the total market value of a nation’s output
• It measures the market value of annual output of
  goods and services currently produced and counted
  only once to avoid double counting
• Goods and services produced within the domestic
  territory of a country by nationals and non nationals
• Non production transactions such as purely financial
  transactions and second hand sales must be excluded
• Purely financial transactions include transfer payments
  and stock market transactions
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT

• GNP is the market value of all final goods and
  services produced in a year.
• GNP includes net factor income from abroad
• GNP = GDP + Net factor income from abroad
  (Income received by Indians abroad – Income
  paid to foreign nationals working in India)
NET NATIONAL PRODUCT


• NNP at market price is the vale of all final
  goods and services after providing for
  depreciation

• NNP = GNP – Depreciation
PERSONAL INCOME



• PI is the sum of all incomes earned by all
  individuals/households during a given year
• Certain incomes are received but not earned
  such as old age pension, etc.
DISPOSAL INCOME


• Disposal income is calculated by deducting the
  personal taxes like income tax, personal
  property tax from PI

• DI = PI – Personal taxes
     = Consumption + Saving
APPROACHES TO CALCULATE
         NATIONAL INCOME

• Income approach

• Expenditure approach

• approach
INCOME APPROACH

• NI   =   Income of individuals +
           Self employed persons +
           Profits of firms and public corporate
                                    bodies +
           Rent +
           Interest

• NOTE: Transfer payments, scholarships, pensions
  are not included)
EXPENDITURE APPROACH

• NI is calculated by using the expenditure of
  individuals, private, government and foreign
  sectors i.e. the sum of all the expenditure
  made on goods and services during a year
• NI =      Expenditure of individuals +
            Expenditure of Government +
            Expenditure of private firms +
            Expenditure of foreigners
OUTPUT APPROACH

• Value of output produced by firms and other
  organizations in a particular time period is measured
• NI =       Income from agriculture +
             Fishery +
             Forestry +
             Construction +
             Transportation +
             Manufacturing +
             Tourism +
             Water +
             Energy …
FACORS DETERMINING NTIONAL
              INCOME
• Quantity of goods and services produced by
  the country
• Quality of products and services produced in
  the country
• Innovation of more technical skills will
  improve the productivity
• Political stability
DIFFICULTIES IN THE CALCULATION OF
        NATIONAL INCOME
• Any income earned abroad has to be included
• To avoid double counting, value added method should
  be considered
• Services rendered free of charge are not to be included
• Capital gains, transfer payments are not to be included
• Changes in price level will also affect the calculation
• Value of military services will not be taken into
  consideration
PROBLEMS IN MEASURING NATIONAL
        INCOME IN INDIA
• Non monetized sector: In a number of sectors, wages and
  salaries are provided in kind and not in monetary terms
• Illiteracy: Results may be biased
• Lack of occupational specification: Difficulty in classifying
  the nature of the job existing in India
• Unorganized productive activities: They are not fully
  covered in the calculation of NI
• Lack of adequate statistical data: Leads to approximation
  of calculation
• Self consumption: Not considered for NI calculation
• Unpaid services: Services of housewives not reckoned
USES OF NATIONAL INCOME
                 ESTIMATES
•   Is a measure of economic growth
•   Is an indicator of success or failure of planning
•   Useful in estimating per capital income
•   Useful in assessing performance of difference production
    sectors
•   Useful in measuring inequalities in the distribution of
    income
•   Useful in measuring standard of living
•   Useful in revealing the consumption behavior of the society
•   Useful in measuring the level and pattern of investment
•   Makes international comparisons possible
DIFFICULTIES OF COMPARING NATIONAL
      INCOME OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES
Difficult because of differences in
• Population size
• Working hours
• Currency values
• Consumption patterns
• Cultural differences
• Inflationary pressures
• Despite all difficulties, GDP is the major economic
  indicator of an economy
ECONOMIC INDICATORS

•   Economic growth in India
•   Inflation
•   Food inflation
•   Tightening of monetary policy by RBI
•   Weak manufacturing activity
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
               Contd…
•   Rising costs
•   Less revenue to government
•   Higher than budgeted expenditure
•   Adverse global economic environment
•   Turmoil in Euro Zone
•   Outlook of US economy
•   Views of Rating Agencies
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
           Contd…

Sectoral comparison of GDP in India
YEAR         AGRI INDUSTRY          SERVICES
1950-51      53.1       16.6        30.3
2011-12 E    13.9       27.0        59.0
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
             Contd…
Growth in GDP
                     1980           2010
                     (At current prices)

Advanced economies   76.2%            65.8%
India                 1.7%             2.6%

                     (on PPP basis)

Advanced economies   69.0%            52.1%
India                 2.5%             5.5%

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Macro economics

  • 2. Introduction to Macroeconomics • Macroeconomics is that branch of economics, which studies the aggregate behavior of economic system • Macroeconomics deals with the analysis of economic factors on the national level • Macroeconomics determines the level of total economic activity in any nation
  • 3. Introduction to Macroeconomics Contd… • Macroeconomics deals and explains about • National Income • Employment • Output • Causes of rise in general price level • Inflation Rate • Economic growth • Investments • Savings • Consumption • Causes of business cycles • Balance of payment • Exchange Rate
  • 4. OBJECTIVES OF ECONOMIC POLICIES • Achieve national level full employment • Stabilize price fluctuations • Achieve overall economic growth • Develop regions equitably • Improve standards of living of people • Reduce income inequalities • Control monopoly market structure • Avoid cyclical fluctuations in various economic activities • Improve balance of payments • Bring social justice
  • 5. NATIONAL INCOME • Purpose of National Income accounting • To obtain some measure of the performance of the aggregate economy • MAJOR CONCEPTS USED IN THE NATIONAL INCOME CALUCULATIONS • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) • Gross National Product (GNP) • Net National Product (NNP) • Personal Income (PI) • Disposable Income (DI)
  • 6. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT • GDP is the total market value of a nation’s output • It measures the market value of annual output of goods and services currently produced and counted only once to avoid double counting • Goods and services produced within the domestic territory of a country by nationals and non nationals • Non production transactions such as purely financial transactions and second hand sales must be excluded • Purely financial transactions include transfer payments and stock market transactions
  • 7. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT • GNP is the market value of all final goods and services produced in a year. • GNP includes net factor income from abroad • GNP = GDP + Net factor income from abroad (Income received by Indians abroad – Income paid to foreign nationals working in India)
  • 8. NET NATIONAL PRODUCT • NNP at market price is the vale of all final goods and services after providing for depreciation • NNP = GNP – Depreciation
  • 9. PERSONAL INCOME • PI is the sum of all incomes earned by all individuals/households during a given year • Certain incomes are received but not earned such as old age pension, etc.
  • 10. DISPOSAL INCOME • Disposal income is calculated by deducting the personal taxes like income tax, personal property tax from PI • DI = PI – Personal taxes = Consumption + Saving
  • 11. APPROACHES TO CALCULATE NATIONAL INCOME • Income approach • Expenditure approach • approach
  • 12. INCOME APPROACH • NI = Income of individuals + Self employed persons + Profits of firms and public corporate bodies + Rent + Interest • NOTE: Transfer payments, scholarships, pensions are not included)
  • 13. EXPENDITURE APPROACH • NI is calculated by using the expenditure of individuals, private, government and foreign sectors i.e. the sum of all the expenditure made on goods and services during a year • NI = Expenditure of individuals + Expenditure of Government + Expenditure of private firms + Expenditure of foreigners
  • 14. OUTPUT APPROACH • Value of output produced by firms and other organizations in a particular time period is measured • NI = Income from agriculture + Fishery + Forestry + Construction + Transportation + Manufacturing + Tourism + Water + Energy …
  • 15. FACORS DETERMINING NTIONAL INCOME • Quantity of goods and services produced by the country • Quality of products and services produced in the country • Innovation of more technical skills will improve the productivity • Political stability
  • 16. DIFFICULTIES IN THE CALCULATION OF NATIONAL INCOME • Any income earned abroad has to be included • To avoid double counting, value added method should be considered • Services rendered free of charge are not to be included • Capital gains, transfer payments are not to be included • Changes in price level will also affect the calculation • Value of military services will not be taken into consideration
  • 17. PROBLEMS IN MEASURING NATIONAL INCOME IN INDIA • Non monetized sector: In a number of sectors, wages and salaries are provided in kind and not in monetary terms • Illiteracy: Results may be biased • Lack of occupational specification: Difficulty in classifying the nature of the job existing in India • Unorganized productive activities: They are not fully covered in the calculation of NI • Lack of adequate statistical data: Leads to approximation of calculation • Self consumption: Not considered for NI calculation • Unpaid services: Services of housewives not reckoned
  • 18. USES OF NATIONAL INCOME ESTIMATES • Is a measure of economic growth • Is an indicator of success or failure of planning • Useful in estimating per capital income • Useful in assessing performance of difference production sectors • Useful in measuring inequalities in the distribution of income • Useful in measuring standard of living • Useful in revealing the consumption behavior of the society • Useful in measuring the level and pattern of investment • Makes international comparisons possible
  • 19. DIFFICULTIES OF COMPARING NATIONAL INCOME OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES Difficult because of differences in • Population size • Working hours • Currency values • Consumption patterns • Cultural differences • Inflationary pressures • Despite all difficulties, GDP is the major economic indicator of an economy
  • 20. ECONOMIC INDICATORS • Economic growth in India • Inflation • Food inflation • Tightening of monetary policy by RBI • Weak manufacturing activity
  • 21. ECONOMIC INDICATORS Contd… • Rising costs • Less revenue to government • Higher than budgeted expenditure • Adverse global economic environment • Turmoil in Euro Zone • Outlook of US economy • Views of Rating Agencies
  • 22. ECONOMIC INDICATORS Contd… Sectoral comparison of GDP in India YEAR AGRI INDUSTRY SERVICES 1950-51 53.1 16.6 30.3 2011-12 E 13.9 27.0 59.0
  • 23. ECONOMIC INDICATORS Contd… Growth in GDP 1980 2010 (At current prices) Advanced economies 76.2% 65.8% India 1.7% 2.6% (on PPP basis) Advanced economies 69.0% 52.1% India 2.5% 5.5%