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Whole farm systems analysis of the
  greenhouse gas emissions of
      Australian dairy farms
    Karen Christie, Cameron Gourley, Richard Rawnsley

              CCRSPI Conference, Feb 2011
Presentation overview

•   Accounting for Nutrients (A4N) project

•   Estimating the GHG emissions

•   Greenhouse gas emission results

•   Influence of regional location on GHG emissions intensity

•   Influence of level of grain feeding on GHG emissions intensity

•   Influence of farming system on GHG emissions intensity
A4N dataset

• 41 farms from throughout Australia
• Data originally collected to undertake
nutrient budgets but could be assessed
for GHG emissions
• Diversity of farms with varying farm
and herd sizes, levels of milk production
per cow, level of grain and other
supplementary feeding and also varied
from being predominantly pasture-
based through to partial mixed rations
Estimating GHG emissions

• Dairy Greenhouse gas Abatement Strategies (DGAS) calculator
• Based on Australian and IPCC algorithms, emission factors and
methodologies
• Estimates 4 sources of emissions (all converted to CO2equivalents)
    pre-farm embedded emissions;
    carbon dioxide;
    methane;
    nitrous oxide.
• DGAS presents results as total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e) and milk
GHG emission intensity (t CO2e/t milksolids)
Total farm and milk GHG
                                         emission intensity
                                          10000                                                                      25


                                           9000
Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum)




                                           8000                                                                      20




                                                                                                                          GHG emissions intensity (t CO2e/t MS)
                                           7000


                                           6000                                                                      15


                                           5000


                                           4000                                                                      10


                                           3000


                                           2000                                                                      5


                                           1000


                                             0                                                                       0
                                                  1   4   7   10   13   16   19   22   25   28   31   34   37   40
Total farm and milk GHG
                                         emission intensity
                                          10000                                                                      25


                                           9000
Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum)




                                           8000                                                                      20




                                                                                                                          GHG emissions intensity (t CO2e/t MS)
                                           7000


                                           6000                                                                      15


                                           5000


                                           4000                                                                      10


                                           3000


                                           2000                                                                      5


                                           1000


                                             0                                                                       0
                                                  1   4   7   10   13   16   19   22   25   28   31   34   37   40
Total farm and milk GHG
                                         emission intensity
                                          10000                                                                      25


                                           9000
Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum)




                                           8000                                                                      20




                                                                                                                          GHG emissions intensity (t CO2e/t MS)
                                           7000


                                           6000                                                                      15


                                           5000


                                           4000                                                                      10


                                           3000


                                           2000                                                                      5


                                           1000


                                             0                                                                       0
                                                  1   4   7   10   13   16   19   22   25   28   31   34   37   40
Milk GHG emission intensity

                                             10000
                                                         y = 12.1x + 262.0
   Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum)



                                                              R² = 0.95
                                             8000



                                             6000



                                             4000



                                             2000



                                                0
                                                     0   100    200   300      400     500     600    700   800   900

                                                                       Milk production (t MS/annum)
Cow GHG emission intensity

                                             10000
                                                         y = 6.3x - 28.0
   Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum)



                                                            R² = 0.98
                                             8000



                                             6000



                                             4000



                                             2000



                                                0
                                                     0   200    400        600     800       1000   1200   1400   1600

                                                                             Milking herd size
Area GHG emission intensity

                                             10000
                                                         y = 3.9x + 875.1
   Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum)



                                                             R² = 0.32
                                             8000



                                             6000



                                             4000



                                             2000



                                                0
                                                     0    200       400           600            800   1000   1200

                                                                          Total farm area (ha)
Mean regional GHG emission
      intensity results
Region                                     Milk intensity                       Cow intensity           Area intensity
                                           (t CO2e/t MS)                        (t CO2e/cow)             (t CO2e/ha)
NSW                                                14.4b                                  6.5a               5.8b
QLD                                                14.8b                                  5.8a               4.4b
SA                                                 13.1b                                  6.4a              7.8ab
TAS                                                17.8a                                  5.9a              10.9a
Northern VIC                                       13.0b                                  6.3a              8.6ab
South Eastern VIC                                  13.6b                                  6.2a              10.1a
South Western VIC                                  13.2b                                  5.9a              6.5ab
WA                                                 14.5b                                  6.1a               5.2b
Mean                                                14.3                                   6.2               7.5
Superscript letter which differ indicate a significant (P<0.05) difference in GHG emissions intensity
Influence of grain feeding on
  GHG emissions intensity

  • Three grain feeding groups

   Low: < 1 tonne DM/annum

   Medium: 1 to 2 tonnes DM/annum

   High: > 2 tonnes DM/annum

  • 20 low grain feeding farms

  • 18 medium grain feeding farms

  • 3 high grain feeding farms

  • Combined the medium and high grain feeding farms together
Influence of grain feeding on
   GHG emissions intensity

Grain feeding                           Milk intensity                      Cow intensity               Area intensity
group                                   (t CO2e/t MS)                       (t CO2e/cow)                 (t CO2e/ha)

Low (< 1 t                                      15.3a                                5.9b                    8.6a
DM/cow.lactation)

Med/high (> 1 t                                 13.4b                                6.4a                    6.5a
DM/cow.lactation)

LSD (P=0.05)                                      1.3                                 0.4                    n.s.




Superscript letter which differ indicate a significant (P<0.05) difference in GHG emissions intensity
Influence of farming system on
    GHG emissions intensity

  • Dairy Australia defined farming system (FS) classification

  • A4N dataset only represented 3 of the 4 FS groups

   FS1: low grain/purchased supplements and milk production per cow

   FS2: medium grain/purchased supplements and milk production per
  cow

   FS3: high grain/purchased supplements and milk production per cow
  with some mixed ration on a feedpad as required

  • 19 FS1 farms, 13 FS2 farms and 9 FS3 farms
Influence of farming system on
    GHG emissions intensity
Farming system                          Milk intensity                      Cow intensity               Area intensity
group                                   (t CO2e/t MS)                       (t CO2e/cow)                 (t CO2e/ha)

FS1                                             15.7a                                5.7a                    7.6a


FS2                                             13.1b                                6.3b                    7.6a


FS3                                             12.9b                                7.0c                    7.2a


LSD (P = 0.05)
FS1 v FS2;                                        1.3                                 0.4                    n.s.
FS1 v FS3;                                        1.5                                 0.4                    n.s.
FS2 v FS3.                                        n.s.                                0.5                    n.s.

Superscript letter which differ indicate a significant (P<0.05) difference in GHG emissions intensity
Concluding remarks

•   Strong linear relationship between either milk production or milking
herd size and total farm GHG emissions

•   Increasing grain and/or farm intensity appears to assist in reducing
milk GHG emissions intensity

•   More farm data is required, especially with the most complex farming
systems (feedlot dairies) to qualify this previous statement

•   Will increasing farming intensity, to reduce GHG emissions intensity,
be to the detriment of low cost/ pasture based farming systems that
provides many regions of Australia with it international competitive
advantage?
Acknowledgements


•   Australian Government Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and
Forestry, through its Australia’s Farming Future Climate Change
Research Program, for project funding

•   Dairy Australia for project funding

•   Dr Cameron Gourley (Victorian DPI) and the A4N project team for
collecting the A4N dataset

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Whole farm systems analysis of the greenhouse gas emissions of Australian dairy farms - Karen Christie

  • 1. Whole farm systems analysis of the greenhouse gas emissions of Australian dairy farms Karen Christie, Cameron Gourley, Richard Rawnsley CCRSPI Conference, Feb 2011
  • 2. Presentation overview • Accounting for Nutrients (A4N) project • Estimating the GHG emissions • Greenhouse gas emission results • Influence of regional location on GHG emissions intensity • Influence of level of grain feeding on GHG emissions intensity • Influence of farming system on GHG emissions intensity
  • 3. A4N dataset • 41 farms from throughout Australia • Data originally collected to undertake nutrient budgets but could be assessed for GHG emissions • Diversity of farms with varying farm and herd sizes, levels of milk production per cow, level of grain and other supplementary feeding and also varied from being predominantly pasture- based through to partial mixed rations
  • 4. Estimating GHG emissions • Dairy Greenhouse gas Abatement Strategies (DGAS) calculator • Based on Australian and IPCC algorithms, emission factors and methodologies • Estimates 4 sources of emissions (all converted to CO2equivalents)  pre-farm embedded emissions;  carbon dioxide;  methane;  nitrous oxide. • DGAS presents results as total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e) and milk GHG emission intensity (t CO2e/t milksolids)
  • 5. Total farm and milk GHG emission intensity 10000 25 9000 Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum) 8000 20 GHG emissions intensity (t CO2e/t MS) 7000 6000 15 5000 4000 10 3000 2000 5 1000 0 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40
  • 6. Total farm and milk GHG emission intensity 10000 25 9000 Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum) 8000 20 GHG emissions intensity (t CO2e/t MS) 7000 6000 15 5000 4000 10 3000 2000 5 1000 0 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40
  • 7. Total farm and milk GHG emission intensity 10000 25 9000 Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum) 8000 20 GHG emissions intensity (t CO2e/t MS) 7000 6000 15 5000 4000 10 3000 2000 5 1000 0 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40
  • 8. Milk GHG emission intensity 10000 y = 12.1x + 262.0 Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum) R² = 0.95 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Milk production (t MS/annum)
  • 9. Cow GHG emission intensity 10000 y = 6.3x - 28.0 Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum) R² = 0.98 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Milking herd size
  • 10. Area GHG emission intensity 10000 y = 3.9x + 875.1 Total farm GHG emissions (t CO2e/annum) R² = 0.32 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Total farm area (ha)
  • 11. Mean regional GHG emission intensity results Region Milk intensity Cow intensity Area intensity (t CO2e/t MS) (t CO2e/cow) (t CO2e/ha) NSW 14.4b 6.5a 5.8b QLD 14.8b 5.8a 4.4b SA 13.1b 6.4a 7.8ab TAS 17.8a 5.9a 10.9a Northern VIC 13.0b 6.3a 8.6ab South Eastern VIC 13.6b 6.2a 10.1a South Western VIC 13.2b 5.9a 6.5ab WA 14.5b 6.1a 5.2b Mean 14.3 6.2 7.5 Superscript letter which differ indicate a significant (P<0.05) difference in GHG emissions intensity
  • 12. Influence of grain feeding on GHG emissions intensity • Three grain feeding groups  Low: < 1 tonne DM/annum  Medium: 1 to 2 tonnes DM/annum  High: > 2 tonnes DM/annum • 20 low grain feeding farms • 18 medium grain feeding farms • 3 high grain feeding farms • Combined the medium and high grain feeding farms together
  • 13. Influence of grain feeding on GHG emissions intensity Grain feeding Milk intensity Cow intensity Area intensity group (t CO2e/t MS) (t CO2e/cow) (t CO2e/ha) Low (< 1 t 15.3a 5.9b 8.6a DM/cow.lactation) Med/high (> 1 t 13.4b 6.4a 6.5a DM/cow.lactation) LSD (P=0.05) 1.3 0.4 n.s. Superscript letter which differ indicate a significant (P<0.05) difference in GHG emissions intensity
  • 14. Influence of farming system on GHG emissions intensity • Dairy Australia defined farming system (FS) classification • A4N dataset only represented 3 of the 4 FS groups  FS1: low grain/purchased supplements and milk production per cow  FS2: medium grain/purchased supplements and milk production per cow  FS3: high grain/purchased supplements and milk production per cow with some mixed ration on a feedpad as required • 19 FS1 farms, 13 FS2 farms and 9 FS3 farms
  • 15. Influence of farming system on GHG emissions intensity Farming system Milk intensity Cow intensity Area intensity group (t CO2e/t MS) (t CO2e/cow) (t CO2e/ha) FS1 15.7a 5.7a 7.6a FS2 13.1b 6.3b 7.6a FS3 12.9b 7.0c 7.2a LSD (P = 0.05) FS1 v FS2; 1.3 0.4 n.s. FS1 v FS3; 1.5 0.4 n.s. FS2 v FS3. n.s. 0.5 n.s. Superscript letter which differ indicate a significant (P<0.05) difference in GHG emissions intensity
  • 16. Concluding remarks • Strong linear relationship between either milk production or milking herd size and total farm GHG emissions • Increasing grain and/or farm intensity appears to assist in reducing milk GHG emissions intensity • More farm data is required, especially with the most complex farming systems (feedlot dairies) to qualify this previous statement • Will increasing farming intensity, to reduce GHG emissions intensity, be to the detriment of low cost/ pasture based farming systems that provides many regions of Australia with it international competitive advantage?
  • 17. Acknowledgements • Australian Government Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, through its Australia’s Farming Future Climate Change Research Program, for project funding • Dairy Australia for project funding • Dr Cameron Gourley (Victorian DPI) and the A4N project team for collecting the A4N dataset

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. 394 to 8,870 t CO2e/annum
  2. Milk intensity is 10.4 to 22.4 t CO2e/t MS
  3. Milk intensity mean is 14.3 t CO2e/t MS, 1 stdev is 2.2 t CO2e/t MS with only 9 farms outside 1 stdev
  4. Tassie only location with sig milk intensity difference; no diff in cow intensity; SE Vic and Tas sig higher than NSW, QLD and WA; SA, Nth Vic and SW Vic not sig diff to any region