1. VALUE CHAIN MONITORING
AND EVALUATION GUIDE
MODULE
2
Developing, Reviewing
and Refining Your Causal
Model

2. GETTING
STARTED
1
May 22, 2012

3. GETTING
STARTED
2
May 22, 2012

4. GETTING
STARTED
3
May 22, 2012

5. MATERIALS / INPUTS
RECOMMENDED
DOCUMENTS PEOPLE
• Goal and Purpose • Field Staff
Statements
• Project Manager
• Master Problem Tree
• Sustainable Solutions • Program Managers
Table
• Key Partner Staff
• Interventions Table
• Possibly Partners
• Risk Manager
4 ***IF YOU ALREADY HAVE A CAUSAL MODEL, SKIP TO
May 22, 2012
STEP 3.***

6. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE
• STRUCTURE YOUR CAUSAL
1 MODEL
• DRAW YOUR CAUSAL MODEL
2
• VERIFY CAUSAL PATHWAYS
3 AND FINALIZE CAUSAL MODEL
• DOCUMENT YOUR WORK
4
5
May 22, 2012

7. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 1
Causal Models are
deliberately flexible in
order to accommodate a IMPACT
LEVEL
wide range of potential
Household
projects and interventions. Domain
The model establishes 4
domains of impact:
Sector
Domain
OUTCOME
LEVEL Women’s
Empowerme
Enterprise nt and
Domain Gender
6 Equity
May 22, 2012 Domain

8. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 1
From bottom to the top, your causal model
should be designed to present the following
information:
Underlying assumptions
Interventions
Outputs
Leading outcomes
Lagging outcomes
7
Impacts
May 22, 2012

9. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 1
TIPS FOR STEP 1
In developing causal models, teams should focus
on ensuring the model is detailed, logical and
realistic and that the final product provides a clear
summary of the project’s intent and expectations
for change.
8
May 22, 2012

10. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE
• STRUCTURE YOUR CAUSAL MODEL
1
• DRAW YOUR CAUSAL MODEL
2
• VERIFY CAUSAL PATHWAYS AND
3 FINALIZE CAUSAL MODEL
• DOCUMENT YOUR WORK
4
9
May 22, 2012

11. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 2
Purpose and Goal
Statements
Assumption Assumption
Intervention Intervention
Outcome Outcome
10
May 22, 2012

12. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 2
COMPLETING STEP 2
To actually draw your causal model, using flip chart
paper and index cards or post-it notes is typically a
good approach as you will likely make many
changes. Once you’ve figured out the format any
of the following programs can be used to create a
formal design:
11
May 22, 2012

13. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 2 FINAL
PRODUCT
12
May 22, 2012

14. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE
• STRUCTURE YOUR CAUSAL
1 MODEL
• DRAW YOUR CAUSAL MODEL
2
• VERIFY CAUSAL PATHWAYS
3 AND FINALIZE CAUSAL MODEL
• DOCUMENT YOUR WORK
4
13
May 22, 2012

15. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 3
At this stage, take a step back and
review the causal model as a
whole.
14
May 22, 2012

16. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 2
Verifying Your Model
Reengage with clients that
have fed into the project design
process.
Engage potential project
participants in your design
process.
15
May 22, 2012

17. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE
• STRUCTURE YOUR CAUSAL
1 MODEL
• DRAW YOUR CAUSAL MODEL
2
• VERIFY CAUSAL PATHWAYS
3 AND FINALIZE CAUSAL MODEL
• DOCUMENT YOUR WORK
4
16
May 22, 2012

18. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
STEP 4
Finalize and
Develop a Formal
Version of Your
Causal Model
17
May 22, 2012

19. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE:
Goal
Achievement
STEP 4 IMPACTS
Purpose Cross Cutting/Gender Equity/
Women’s Empowerment Outcomes Direct Enterprise-Level Outcomes Indirect Sector-Level Outcomes
Achievement
Lagging
Outcomes
Leading
Outcomes
Outputs
Interventions
18
May 22, 2012

20. COMMON
PITFALLS
Allowing important issues or
anticipated results to ‘fall off’ the
model.
Being inflexible or forcing teams
to adopt any particular model will
undermine this exercise.
19
May 22, 2012

21. TEMPLATES AND SUPPORTING
MATERIALS
COMPARISONS BETWEEN TERMINOLOGIES OF DIFFERENT DONOR AGENCIES for RESULTS /
LOGICAL FRAMEWORKS
Ultimate Impact End Intermediate Outputs Interventions
Outcomes Outcomes
Needs-based Higher Consequence Specific Cause Solution Process Inputs
Problem
CARE Program Impact Project Effects Outputs Activities Inputs
terminology Impact
CARE logframe Program Goal Project Intermediate Outputs Activities Inputs
Final Goal Objectives
MEDA logframe Goal / Impact Project Purpose / Outcomes Outputs Resources (inputs /
activities)
PC/LogFrame Goal Purpose Outputs Activities
USAID Results Strategic Objective Intermediate Results Outputs Activities Inputs
Framework
USAID Logframe Final Strategic Goal/ Intermediate results Activities 202E
Goal Objective
DANIDA + DfID Goal Purpose Outputs Activities
CIDA + GTZ Overall goal Project purpose Results/outputs Activities Inputs
European Union Overall Objective Project Results Activities
Purpos
e
FAO + UNDP + Development Objective Immediate Objectives Outputs Activities Inputs
NORAD
UNHCR Sector Objective Goal Project Objective Outputs Activities Input/Resourc
es
World Bank Long-term Objectives Short-term Objectives Outputs Inputs
AusAID
20 Scheme Goal Major Development Outputs Activities Inputs
May 22, 2012 Objectives
Value Chain Causal Goal Lagging Leading Outputs Interventions
Model Outcome Outcomes

22. QUESTIONS
?
COMMENTS
?
21
May 22, 2012

23. Want to Learn More?
Multiple ways to continue the discussion
and continue learning:
• Initiate a monthly session on the M&E guide and
case studies from across CARE. Contact
cpennotti@care.org
• Join the Market Engagement Community of
Practice on LinkedIn.
• Join a task force to review and refine the universal
22
indicators. Contact nardi@careinternational.org
May 22, 2012