Landslides Represent Permanent Deformation Caused By The Downward And Outward Movements Of Large Volumes Of Soil And/Or Rock Under The Influence Of Gravity. Landslides Occur Naturally. Landslides Can Be Triggered And/Or Exacerbated By: 1) Water (From Precipitation During A Tropical Storm, Hurricane, Or Typhoon), Or 2) Vibrations (From Ground Shaking) During An Earthquake. Millions Of Communities Are Not Resilient To Landslide Disasters. The International Community Often Provides Millions To Billions Of Dollars In Relief To Help “pick Up The Pieces, ” But This Strategy Is Not Enough By Itself To Ensure Disaster Resilience. The Challenge Is To Create, Adjust And Realign Programs, Partners And People Until One Has Created The Kind Of "Turning Points" Needed For Moving Towards Landslide Disaster, Resilience. Using Educational Surges Containing The Past And Present Lessons To Foster And Accelerate The Creation Of Turning Points. Integration Of Scientific And Technical Solutions With Political Solutions For Policies On Preparedness, Protection, Early Warning, Emergency Response, And Recovery. Presentation courtesy of Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction
3. 1. SCOPE
FROM VULNERABLE CONTINUUMS
TO
A DISASTER
TO
DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF
“THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES” OF DISASTER RESILIENCE
4. A DISASTER is ---
--- the set of failures that occur when
the continuums of: 1) people, 2)
community (i.e., a set of habitats,
livelihoods, and social constructs),
and 3) recurring events (e.g., landslides,
volcanic eruptions, floods, ...,) intersect
at a point in space and time, when and
where the community is not ready.
5. THREE DYNAMIC CONTINUUMS
• PEOPLE (7+ Billion and
counting)
• COMMUNITIES
• RECURRING EVENTS
(AKA Natural Hazards, which are
proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)
6. PEOPLE = INNOVATION
200 NATIONS AND 7+
BILLION PEOPLE
NORTH
AMERICA
CARIBBEAN
BASIN
SUB-SAHARA
AFRICA
MEDITER-
RANEAN
ISLAND
NATIONS
ASIA
SOUTH
AMERICA
EUROPE
12. THE COMMUNITY CONTINUUM:
(SOCIAL CONSTRUCTS TO BENEFIT THE PEOPLE)
• GOVERNMENT
• DWELLINGS
• SCHOOLS
• HEALTH CARE
FACILITIES
• BUSINESSES
• INFRA-
STRUCTURE
• ETC
13. EACH COMMUNITY MUST BE
READY FOR THE INEVITABLE
INTERSECTION THAT WILL
CHALLENGE ITS
STATE-OF-RESILIENCE
14. THE RECURRING - EVENTS
CONTINUUM
• LANDSLIDES
• FLOODS
• SEVERE
WINDSTORMS
• EARTHQUAKES
• DROUGHTS
• ETC.
20. CURRENT KNOWLEDGE
IS DEFINED BY ANECTDOTAL,
EMPIRICAL, LINEAR, NON-LINEAR,
STATISTICAL, FUZZY,
PROBABILISTIC, . . . AND
THEORETICAL MODELS
HAVING DIVIDES, GAPS, AND
UNCERTAINTIES
21. FRAMEWORK 2
A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-
DISCIPLINARY INTEGRATION
OF KNOWLEDGE FOR
THE END GAME OF
DISASTER RESILIENCE
IN THE 21ST CENTURY
22. POLICIES AND PRACTICES FOR
DISASTER RESILIENCE
Anticipatory Preparedness
Adoption and Implementation of Realistic Urban
Plans, Building Codes & Standards
Monitoring and Timely Early Warning
Timely Emergency Response (including
Evacuation and Emergency Medical Services)
Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction
23. YOUR
COMMUNITYDATA BASES
AND INFORMATION
HAZARDS:
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
TSUNAMI RUN UP
AFTERSHOCKS
•FLOODS
•SEVERE WIND
STORMS
•EARTHQUAKES
…ETC
A DISASTER
CAUSES
FAILURES IN POLICIES
FAILURES IN PRACTICES
COUNTER MEASURES
• BEST POLICIES
•BEST PRACTICES
DISASTER RESILIENCE
24. THE END GAME CHALLENGE:
BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES
INNIVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST,
AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND
PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE
PARA-DIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED
FOR MOVING TOWARDS DISASTER
RESILIENCE
25. BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES
WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSE
KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS,
AND
IDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE
PEOPLE/COMMUNITY
CONTINUUMS
26. BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES WILL
CALL FOR INNOVATIVE
USE OF TECHNOLOGY
AND STRATEGIC
PLANNING
27. THE STATE-OF-RESILIENCE WILL
INCREASE EXPONEBTIALLY AS ---
a) The CAPACITY of the PEOPLE is
increased, b) Physical and
organizational VULNERABILITIES in
the COMMUNITY are eliminated, and
c) Each people-community-hazard
INTERSECTION is met successfully.
30. INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESS
USE GLOBAL LANDSLIDE
DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A
BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A”
(Emergency Response) TO “Z”
(Recovery and Reconstruction)
31. SITING AND BUILDING ON
UNSTABLE SLOPES
LANDSLIDES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO FALLS
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO TOPPLES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO SPREADS
SOIL AND ROCK
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS
PRECIPITATION THAT
TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
SHAKING
GROUND SHAKING THAT
TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
CAUSES
OF
DAMAGE
GLOBAL
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
33. EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR
LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE
• FORECASTS OF
SLOPE FAILURE
• MONITORING
TECHNOLOGIES (E.G.,
THE ISS; SATTELITES;
SENSORS IN LOCAL
ACTIVE SLIDES)
• WARNING SYSTEMS
• DATABASES FOR
EACH LANDSLIDE
• COMPUTER MODELS
OF SPECIFIC
LANDSLIDES
• HAZARD MAPS
• DISASTER PLANNING
SCENARIOS
• RISK ASSESSMENT
MODELS
34. DISASTER RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE
• PREVENTION
• IDENTIFICATION OF
SPECIFIC RISKS
• IDENTIFICATION OF
LANDSLIDES
AFTER STORMS OR
EARTHQUAKES
• TECHNIQUE
• RETAINING WALLS
(LOCAL SCALE)
• USE OF SITE-
SPECIFIC DATA
• USE OF REMOTE
SENSING
TECHNOLOGIES
35. SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF
SPECIFIC RISKS
• INTEGRATION OF
SITE-SPECIFIC
GEOLOGIC AND
ENGINEERING DATA
DURING CON-
STRUCTION OF A
HIGHWAY CAN
PREVENT FUTURE
LOSS OF FUNCTION
FROM LANDSLIDES.
39. DISASTER RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE
• STABALIZE
HAZARDOUS
SLOPES
• AVOID SPECIFIC
LANDSLIDE
HAZARDS
• TECHNIQUE
• SITE MODIFI-
CATION
• MAPS OF
SPECIFIC
HAZARDS: LAND
USE ZONING
ORDINANCES
43. DISASTER RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE
• SEARCH AND
RESCUE
• EVACUATION
• TECHNIQUE
• COMMUNITY
EMERGENCY
RESPONSE PLAN
• COMMUNITY
EVACUATION
PLAN
44. HONDURAS: SEARCH AND RESCUE
• WHEN A MUDFLOW
TRIGGERED BY A
HURRICANE BURIES
A TOWN, SEARCH
AND RESCUE
BECOMES VERY
URGENT AND VERY
COMPLICATED.
48. AN URGENT NEED FOR EVACUATION
AS LANDSLIDES DAM RIVER
Evacuation needed! The rising
lake of water behind the debris
dam threatened to break
through its banks and send a
wall of water into the entire
epicentral area.
50. ONE OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES":
BEI HE RIVER DAMMED BY
LANDSLIDE DEBRIS
51. CHINA: THOUSANDS EVACUATE
•Warned by government
officials, survivors in Beichuan
(100 km; 60 miles south) and
other towns down river
evacuated as fast as possible,
using all available means.