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GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE:
AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK DEMONSTRATION
OF THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODEL
FRAMEWORK 1
A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-
DISCIPLINARY DIALOGUE
ON
GLOBAL DISASTERS
AND DISASTER RESILIENCE
1. SCOPE
FROM VULNERABLE CONTINUUMS
TO
A DISASTER
TO
DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES
THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF
“THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES” OF DISASTER RESILIENCE
A DISASTER is ---
--- the set of failures that occur when
the continuums of: 1) people, 2)
community (i.e., a set of habitats,
livelihoods, and social constructs),
and 3) recurring events (e.g., landslides,
volcanic eruptions, floods, ...,) intersect
at a point in space and time, when and
where the community is not ready.
THREE DYNAMIC CONTINUUMS
• PEOPLE (7+ Billion and
counting)
• COMMUNITIES
• RECURRING EVENTS
(AKA Natural Hazards, which are
proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)
PEOPLE = INNOVATION
200 NATIONS AND 7+
BILLION PEOPLE
NORTH
AMERICA
CARIBBEAN
BASIN
SUB-SAHARA
AFRICA
MEDITER-
RANEAN
ISLAND
NATIONS
ASIA
SOUTH
AMERICA
EUROPE
INTERSECTION OF THESE
CONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE
SOME INTERSECTIONS WILL
CAUSE A DISASTER,
AND SOME WON’T
THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM
• 7 + BILLION
(DISTRIBUTED
THROUGHOUT
THE WORLD)
LIKE AN INFINITE SERIES: A CONTINUUM
OF INNOVATION NEVER ENDS
LIKE A CHAIN: A CONTINUUM
HAS WEAK LINKS TO IMPROVE
FOUR UNIVERSAL WEAK-LINKS
• IGNORANCE
• APATHY
• DISCIPLINARY
BOUNDARIES
• LACK OF POLITICAL WILL
THE COMMUNITY CONTINUUM:
(SOCIAL CONSTRUCTS TO BENEFIT THE PEOPLE)
• GOVERNMENT
• DWELLINGS
• SCHOOLS
• HEALTH CARE
FACILITIES
• BUSINESSES
• INFRA-
STRUCTURE
• ETC
EACH COMMUNITY MUST BE
READY FOR THE INEVITABLE
INTERSECTION THAT WILL
CHALLENGE ITS
STATE-OF-RESILIENCE
THE RECURRING - EVENTS
CONTINUUM
• LANDSLIDES
• FLOODS
• SEVERE
WINDSTORMS
• EARTHQUAKES
• DROUGHTS
• ETC.
RECURRING VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
RECURRING EARTHQUAKES
RECURRING TROPICAL STORMS
TYPHOONS, HURRICANES, AND CYCLONES
RECURRING FLOODS
RECURRING WILDFIRES (Makes
a locale susceptible to landslides)
CURRENT KNOWLEDGE
IS DEFINED BY ANECTDOTAL,
EMPIRICAL, LINEAR, NON-LINEAR,
STATISTICAL, FUZZY,
PROBABILISTIC, . . . AND
THEORETICAL MODELS
HAVING DIVIDES, GAPS, AND
UNCERTAINTIES
FRAMEWORK 2
A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-
DISCIPLINARY INTEGRATION
OF KNOWLEDGE FOR
THE END GAME OF
DISASTER RESILIENCE
IN THE 21ST CENTURY
POLICIES AND PRACTICES FOR
DISASTER RESILIENCE
Anticipatory Preparedness
Adoption and Implementation of Realistic Urban
Plans, Building Codes & Standards
Monitoring and Timely Early Warning
Timely Emergency Response (including
Evacuation and Emergency Medical Services)
Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction
YOUR
COMMUNITYDATA BASES
AND INFORMATION
HAZARDS:
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
TSUNAMI RUN UP
AFTERSHOCKS
•FLOODS
•SEVERE WIND
STORMS
•EARTHQUAKES
…ETC
A DISASTER
CAUSES
FAILURES IN POLICIES
FAILURES IN PRACTICES
COUNTER MEASURES
• BEST POLICIES
•BEST PRACTICES
DISASTER RESILIENCE
THE END GAME CHALLENGE:
BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES
INNIVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST,
AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND
PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE
PARA-DIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED
FOR MOVING TOWARDS DISASTER
RESILIENCE
BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES
WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSE
KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS,
AND
IDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE
PEOPLE/COMMUNITY
CONTINUUMS
BEST POLICIES AND BEST
PRACTICES WILL
CALL FOR INNOVATIVE
USE OF TECHNOLOGY
AND STRATEGIC
PLANNING
THE STATE-OF-RESILIENCE WILL
INCREASE EXPONEBTIALLY AS ---
a) The CAPACITY of the PEOPLE is
increased, b) Physical and
organizational VULNERABILITIES in
the COMMUNITY are eliminated, and
c) Each people-community-hazard
INTERSECTION is met successfully.
LANDSLIDES
INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESS
USE GLOBAL LANDSLIDE
DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A
BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A”
(Emergency Response) TO “Z”
(Recovery and Reconstruction)
SITING AND BUILDING ON
UNSTABLE SLOPES
LANDSLIDES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO FALLS
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO TOPPLES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO SPREADS
SOIL AND ROCK
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS
PRECIPITATION THAT
TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
SHAKING
GROUND SHAKING THAT
TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
CAUSES
OF
DAMAGE
GLOBAL
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
DISASTER RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR
LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE
• FORECASTS OF
SLOPE FAILURE
• MONITORING
TECHNOLOGIES (E.G.,
THE ISS; SATTELITES;
SENSORS IN LOCAL
ACTIVE SLIDES)
• WARNING SYSTEMS
• DATABASES FOR
EACH LANDSLIDE
• COMPUTER MODELS
OF SPECIFIC
LANDSLIDES
• HAZARD MAPS
• DISASTER PLANNING
SCENARIOS
• RISK ASSESSMENT
MODELS
DISASTER RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE
• PREVENTION
• IDENTIFICATION OF
SPECIFIC RISKS
• IDENTIFICATION OF
LANDSLIDES
AFTER STORMS OR
EARTHQUAKES
• TECHNIQUE
• RETAINING WALLS
(LOCAL SCALE)
• USE OF SITE-
SPECIFIC DATA
• USE OF REMOTE
SENSING
TECHNOLOGIES
SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF
SPECIFIC RISKS
• INTEGRATION OF
SITE-SPECIFIC
GEOLOGIC AND
ENGINEERING DATA
DURING CON-
STRUCTION OF A
HIGHWAY CAN
PREVENT FUTURE
LOSS OF FUNCTION
FROM LANDSLIDES.
SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF
SPECIIC RISKS
• LOSS OF FUNCTION
IS REDUCED WHEN
SITE-SPECIFIC
GEOLOGIC AND
ENGINEERING DATA
ARE WELL
INTEGRATED.
MEXICO: REMOTE SENSING AFTER HEAVY
RAINS, JULY 2007
CHINA: IDENTIFICATION OF
EARTHQUAKE LAKE, MAY 12, 2008
DISASTER RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE
• STABALIZE
HAZARDOUS
SLOPES
• AVOID SPECIFIC
LANDSLIDE
HAZARDS
• TECHNIQUE
• SITE MODIFI-
CATION
• MAPS OF
SPECIFIC
HAZARDS: LAND
USE ZONING
ORDINANCES
CHINA: STABALIZE HAZARDOUS
SLOPES, MAY 12, 2008
CHINA: STABALIZE HAZARDOUS
SLOPES. MAY 12, 2008
CHINA: CREATION OF DIVERSION
CHANNEL, MAY 12, 2008
DISASTER RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES
• PURPOSE
• SEARCH AND
RESCUE
• EVACUATION
• TECHNIQUE
• COMMUNITY
EMERGENCY
RESPONSE PLAN
• COMMUNITY
EVACUATION
PLAN
HONDURAS: SEARCH AND RESCUE
• WHEN A MUDFLOW
TRIGGERED BY A
HURRICANE BURIES
A TOWN, SEARCH
AND RESCUE
BECOMES VERY
URGENT AND VERY
COMPLICATED.
CHINA: SEARCH AND RESCUE:
MAY 12, 2008
LANDSLIDE DEBRIS REMOVAL: COM-
MUNITY EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN
AN URGENT NEED FOR EVACUATION
AS LANDSLIDES DAM RIVER
Evacuation needed! The rising
lake of water behind the debris
dam threatened to break
through its banks and send a
wall of water into the entire
epicentral area.
TANGJIASHAN, LARGEST OF 69
"QUAKE LAKES"
ONE OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES":
BEI HE RIVER DAMMED BY
LANDSLIDE DEBRIS
CHINA: THOUSANDS EVACUATE
•Warned by government
officials, survivors in Beichuan
(100 km; 60 miles south) and
other towns down river
evacuated as fast as possible,
using all available means.
CHINA: EVACUATION, MAY 12,
2008:
TEMPORARY SHELTERS:
COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN
GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE. AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK DEMONSTRATION OF THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODEL

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GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE. AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK DEMONSTRATION OF THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODEL

  • 1. GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE: AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK DEMONSTRATION OF THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODEL
  • 2. FRAMEWORK 1 A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER- DISCIPLINARY DIALOGUE ON GLOBAL DISASTERS AND DISASTER RESILIENCE
  • 3. 1. SCOPE FROM VULNERABLE CONTINUUMS TO A DISASTER TO DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF “THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES” OF DISASTER RESILIENCE
  • 4. A DISASTER is --- --- the set of failures that occur when the continuums of: 1) people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) recurring events (e.g., landslides, volcanic eruptions, floods, ...,) intersect at a point in space and time, when and where the community is not ready.
  • 5. THREE DYNAMIC CONTINUUMS • PEOPLE (7+ Billion and counting) • COMMUNITIES • RECURRING EVENTS (AKA Natural Hazards, which are proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)
  • 6. PEOPLE = INNOVATION 200 NATIONS AND 7+ BILLION PEOPLE NORTH AMERICA CARIBBEAN BASIN SUB-SAHARA AFRICA MEDITER- RANEAN ISLAND NATIONS ASIA SOUTH AMERICA EUROPE
  • 7. INTERSECTION OF THESE CONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE SOME INTERSECTIONS WILL CAUSE A DISASTER, AND SOME WON’T
  • 8. THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM • 7 + BILLION (DISTRIBUTED THROUGHOUT THE WORLD)
  • 9. LIKE AN INFINITE SERIES: A CONTINUUM OF INNOVATION NEVER ENDS
  • 10. LIKE A CHAIN: A CONTINUUM HAS WEAK LINKS TO IMPROVE
  • 11. FOUR UNIVERSAL WEAK-LINKS • IGNORANCE • APATHY • DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES • LACK OF POLITICAL WILL
  • 12. THE COMMUNITY CONTINUUM: (SOCIAL CONSTRUCTS TO BENEFIT THE PEOPLE) • GOVERNMENT • DWELLINGS • SCHOOLS • HEALTH CARE FACILITIES • BUSINESSES • INFRA- STRUCTURE • ETC
  • 13. EACH COMMUNITY MUST BE READY FOR THE INEVITABLE INTERSECTION THAT WILL CHALLENGE ITS STATE-OF-RESILIENCE
  • 14. THE RECURRING - EVENTS CONTINUUM • LANDSLIDES • FLOODS • SEVERE WINDSTORMS • EARTHQUAKES • DROUGHTS • ETC.
  • 17. RECURRING TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS, HURRICANES, AND CYCLONES
  • 19. RECURRING WILDFIRES (Makes a locale susceptible to landslides)
  • 20. CURRENT KNOWLEDGE IS DEFINED BY ANECTDOTAL, EMPIRICAL, LINEAR, NON-LINEAR, STATISTICAL, FUZZY, PROBABILISTIC, . . . AND THEORETICAL MODELS HAVING DIVIDES, GAPS, AND UNCERTAINTIES
  • 21. FRAMEWORK 2 A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER- DISCIPLINARY INTEGRATION OF KNOWLEDGE FOR THE END GAME OF DISASTER RESILIENCE IN THE 21ST CENTURY
  • 22. POLICIES AND PRACTICES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE Anticipatory Preparedness Adoption and Implementation of Realistic Urban Plans, Building Codes & Standards Monitoring and Timely Early Warning Timely Emergency Response (including Evacuation and Emergency Medical Services) Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction
  • 23. YOUR COMMUNITYDATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS •FLOODS •SEVERE WIND STORMS •EARTHQUAKES …ETC A DISASTER CAUSES FAILURES IN POLICIES FAILURES IN PRACTICES COUNTER MEASURES • BEST POLICIES •BEST PRACTICES DISASTER RESILIENCE
  • 24. THE END GAME CHALLENGE: BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES INNIVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE PARA-DIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED FOR MOVING TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE
  • 25. BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSE KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS, AND IDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE PEOPLE/COMMUNITY CONTINUUMS
  • 26. BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL CALL FOR INNOVATIVE USE OF TECHNOLOGY AND STRATEGIC PLANNING
  • 27. THE STATE-OF-RESILIENCE WILL INCREASE EXPONEBTIALLY AS --- a) The CAPACITY of the PEOPLE is increased, b) Physical and organizational VULNERABILITIES in the COMMUNITY are eliminated, and c) Each people-community-hazard INTERSECTION is met successfully.
  • 29.
  • 30. INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESS USE GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A” (Emergency Response) TO “Z” (Recovery and Reconstruction)
  • 31. SITING AND BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES LANDSLIDES SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS PRECIPITATION THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE SHAKING GROUND SHAKING THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE CAUSES OF DAMAGE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORIES
  • 33. EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE • FORECASTS OF SLOPE FAILURE • MONITORING TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., THE ISS; SATTELITES; SENSORS IN LOCAL ACTIVE SLIDES) • WARNING SYSTEMS • DATABASES FOR EACH LANDSLIDE • COMPUTER MODELS OF SPECIFIC LANDSLIDES • HAZARD MAPS • DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIOS • RISK ASSESSMENT MODELS
  • 34. DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES • PURPOSE • PREVENTION • IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIFIC RISKS • IDENTIFICATION OF LANDSLIDES AFTER STORMS OR EARTHQUAKES • TECHNIQUE • RETAINING WALLS (LOCAL SCALE) • USE OF SITE- SPECIFIC DATA • USE OF REMOTE SENSING TECHNOLOGIES
  • 35. SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIFIC RISKS • INTEGRATION OF SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA DURING CON- STRUCTION OF A HIGHWAY CAN PREVENT FUTURE LOSS OF FUNCTION FROM LANDSLIDES.
  • 36. SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIIC RISKS • LOSS OF FUNCTION IS REDUCED WHEN SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA ARE WELL INTEGRATED.
  • 37. MEXICO: REMOTE SENSING AFTER HEAVY RAINS, JULY 2007
  • 39. DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES • PURPOSE • STABALIZE HAZARDOUS SLOPES • AVOID SPECIFIC LANDSLIDE HAZARDS • TECHNIQUE • SITE MODIFI- CATION • MAPS OF SPECIFIC HAZARDS: LAND USE ZONING ORDINANCES
  • 42. CHINA: CREATION OF DIVERSION CHANNEL, MAY 12, 2008
  • 43. DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES • PURPOSE • SEARCH AND RESCUE • EVACUATION • TECHNIQUE • COMMUNITY EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN • COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN
  • 44. HONDURAS: SEARCH AND RESCUE • WHEN A MUDFLOW TRIGGERED BY A HURRICANE BURIES A TOWN, SEARCH AND RESCUE BECOMES VERY URGENT AND VERY COMPLICATED.
  • 45. CHINA: SEARCH AND RESCUE: MAY 12, 2008
  • 46. LANDSLIDE DEBRIS REMOVAL: COM- MUNITY EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN
  • 47.
  • 48. AN URGENT NEED FOR EVACUATION AS LANDSLIDES DAM RIVER Evacuation needed! The rising lake of water behind the debris dam threatened to break through its banks and send a wall of water into the entire epicentral area.
  • 49. TANGJIASHAN, LARGEST OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES"
  • 50. ONE OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES": BEI HE RIVER DAMMED BY LANDSLIDE DEBRIS
  • 51. CHINA: THOUSANDS EVACUATE •Warned by government officials, survivors in Beichuan (100 km; 60 miles south) and other towns down river evacuated as fast as possible, using all available means.