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Lecture Slides  Elementary Statistics   Eleventh Edition  and the Triola Statistics Series  by Mario F. Triola
Chapter 1 Introduction to Statistics 1-1 Review and Preview 1-2 Statistical Thinking 1-3 Types of Data 1-4 Critical Thinking 1-5 Collecting Sample Data
Section 1-1 Review and Preview
Preview Polls, studies, surveys and other data collecting tools collect data from a small part of a larger group so that we can learn something about the larger group. This is a common and important goal of statistics: Learn about a large group by examining data from some of its members.
Preview In this context, the terms sample and population have special meaning. Formal definitions for these and other basic terms will be given here. In this section we will look at some of the ways to describe data.
[object Object],[object Object],Data
[object Object],[object Object],Statistics
Population ,[object Object],[object Object]
Census versus Sample ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter Key Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object]
Section 1-2  Statistical Thinking
Key Concept This section introduces basic principles of statistical thinking used throughout this book. Whether conducting statistical analysis of data that we have collected, or analyzing a statistical analysis done by someone else, we should not rely on blind acceptance of mathematical calculation. We should consider these factors:
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Key Concept  (continued)
Context ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source of data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling Method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Practical Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Statistical Significance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Section 1-3  Types of Data
Key Concept The subject of statistics is largely about using sample data to make inferences (or generalizations) about an entire population.  It is essential to know and understand the definitions that follow.
[object Object],[object Object],Parameter population parameter
Statistic ,[object Object],[object Object],sample statistic
Quantitative Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Categorical Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Working with Quantitative Data Quantitative data can further be described by distinguishing between  discrete  and  continuous  types.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Discrete Data
[object Object],[object Object],Continuous Data Example:  The amount of milk that a cow produces; e.g. 2.343115 gallons per day
Levels of Measurement Another way to classify data is to use levels of measurement.  Four of these levels are discussed in the following slides.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Nominal Level
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Ordinal Level
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Interval Level
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Ratio Level
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Summary - Levels of Measurement
Recap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],In this section we have looked at:
Section 1-4  Critical Thinking
Key Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Misuses of Statistics 1. Evil intent on the part of dishonest people. 2. Unintentional errors on the part of people who don’t know any better. We should learn to distinguish between statistical conclusions that are likely to be valid and those that are seriously flawed.
Graphs To correctly interpret a graph, you must analyze the  numerical  information given in the graph, so as not to be misled by the graph’s shape. READ labels and units on the axes!
Pictographs Part (b) is designed to exaggerate the difference by increasing each dimension in proportion to the actual amounts of oil consumption.
Bad Samples ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Correlation and Causality ,[object Object],[object Object]
Small Samples Conclusions should not be based on samples that are far too small.  Example:  Basing a school suspension rate on a sample of only  three  students
Percentages Misleading or unclear percentages are sometimes used.  For example, if you take 100% of a quantity,  you take it all . If you have improved 100%, then are you perfect?!  110% of an effort does not make sense.
Loaded Questions If survey questions are not worded carefully, the results of a study can be misleading. Survey questions can be “loaded” or intentionally worded to elicit a desired response. Too little money is being spent on “welfare” versus too little money is being spent on “assistance to the poor.” Results: 19% versus 63%
Order of Questions Questions are unintentionally loaded by such factors as the order of the items being considered. Would you say traffic contributes more or less to air pollution than industry? Results: traffic - 45%; industry - 27% When order reversed. Results: industry - 57%; traffic - 24%
Nonresponse Occurs when someone either refuses to respond to a survey question or is unavailable. People who refuse to talk to pollsters have a view of the world around them that is markedly different than those who will let poll-takers into their homes.
Missing Data Can dramatically affect results. Subjects may drop out for reasons unrelated to the study. People with low incomes are less likely to report their incomes. US Census suffers from missing people (tend to be homeless or low income).
Self-Interest Study Some parties with interest to promote will sponsor studies. Be wary of a survey in which the sponsor can enjoy monetary gain from the results. When assessing validity of a study, always consider whether the sponsor might influence the results.
Precise Numbers Because as a figure is precise, many people incorrectly assume that it is also  accurate . A precise number can be an estimate, and it should be referred to that way.
Deliberate Distortion Some studies or surveys are distorted on purpose.  The distortion can occur within the context of the data, the source of the data, the sampling method, or the conclusions.
Recap ,[object Object],[object Object],In this section we have:
Section 1-5  Collecting Sample Data
Key Concept ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Statistical methods are driven by the data that we collect. We typically obtain data from two distinct sources:  observational studies  and  experiment . Basics of Collecting Data
[object Object],[object Object],Observational Study
[object Object],[object Object],Experiment
Simple Random Sample ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Random & Probability Samples ,[object Object],[object Object]
Random Sampling  selection so that each  individual member has an  equal   chance  of being selected
Systematic Sampling Select some starting point and then  select every  k th element in the population
Convenience Sampling use results that are easy to get
Stratified Sampling subdivide the population into at  least two different subgroups that share the same characteristics, then draw a sample from each subgroup (or stratum)
Cluster Sampling divide the population area into sections  (or clusters); randomly select some of those clusters; choose  all  members from selected clusters
Multistage Sampling Collect data by using some combination of the basic sampling methods In a multistage sample design, pollsters select a sample in different stages, and each stage might use different methods of sampling
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Methods of  Sampling - Summary
Different types of observational studies and experiment design Beyond the Basics of Collecting Data
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Types of Studies
[object Object],[object Object],Randomization
[object Object],Replication Use a sample size that is large enough to let us see the true nature of any effects, and obtain the sample using an appropriate method, such as one based on  randomness .
[object Object],[object Object],Blinding
[object Object],[object Object],Double Blind (1) The subject doesn’t know whether he or she is receiving the treatment or a placebo (2) The experimenter does not know whether he or she is administering the treatment or placebo
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Confounding
Controlling Effects of Variables ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Three very important considerations in the design of experiments are the following: Summary 1. Use  randomization  to assign subjects to different groups 2. Use replication by repeating the experiment on enough subjects so that effects of treatment or other factors can be clearly seen. 3. Control the effects of variables  by using such techniques as blinding and a completely randomized experimental design
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Errors No matter how well you plan and execute the sample collection process, there is likely to be some error in the results.
Recap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Stat11t Chapter1

  • 1. Lecture Slides Elementary Statistics Eleventh Edition and the Triola Statistics Series by Mario F. Triola
  • 2. Chapter 1 Introduction to Statistics 1-1 Review and Preview 1-2 Statistical Thinking 1-3 Types of Data 1-4 Critical Thinking 1-5 Collecting Sample Data
  • 3. Section 1-1 Review and Preview
  • 4. Preview Polls, studies, surveys and other data collecting tools collect data from a small part of a larger group so that we can learn something about the larger group. This is a common and important goal of statistics: Learn about a large group by examining data from some of its members.
  • 5. Preview In this context, the terms sample and population have special meaning. Formal definitions for these and other basic terms will be given here. In this section we will look at some of the ways to describe data.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Section 1-2 Statistical Thinking
  • 12. Key Concept This section introduces basic principles of statistical thinking used throughout this book. Whether conducting statistical analysis of data that we have collected, or analyzing a statistical analysis done by someone else, we should not rely on blind acceptance of mathematical calculation. We should consider these factors:
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Section 1-3 Types of Data
  • 21. Key Concept The subject of statistics is largely about using sample data to make inferences (or generalizations) about an entire population. It is essential to know and understand the definitions that follow.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Working with Quantitative Data Quantitative data can further be described by distinguishing between discrete and continuous types.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Levels of Measurement Another way to classify data is to use levels of measurement. Four of these levels are discussed in the following slides.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Section 1-4 Critical Thinking
  • 37.
  • 38. Misuses of Statistics 1. Evil intent on the part of dishonest people. 2. Unintentional errors on the part of people who don’t know any better. We should learn to distinguish between statistical conclusions that are likely to be valid and those that are seriously flawed.
  • 39. Graphs To correctly interpret a graph, you must analyze the numerical information given in the graph, so as not to be misled by the graph’s shape. READ labels and units on the axes!
  • 40. Pictographs Part (b) is designed to exaggerate the difference by increasing each dimension in proportion to the actual amounts of oil consumption.
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  • 43. Small Samples Conclusions should not be based on samples that are far too small. Example: Basing a school suspension rate on a sample of only three students
  • 44. Percentages Misleading or unclear percentages are sometimes used. For example, if you take 100% of a quantity, you take it all . If you have improved 100%, then are you perfect?! 110% of an effort does not make sense.
  • 45. Loaded Questions If survey questions are not worded carefully, the results of a study can be misleading. Survey questions can be “loaded” or intentionally worded to elicit a desired response. Too little money is being spent on “welfare” versus too little money is being spent on “assistance to the poor.” Results: 19% versus 63%
  • 46. Order of Questions Questions are unintentionally loaded by such factors as the order of the items being considered. Would you say traffic contributes more or less to air pollution than industry? Results: traffic - 45%; industry - 27% When order reversed. Results: industry - 57%; traffic - 24%
  • 47. Nonresponse Occurs when someone either refuses to respond to a survey question or is unavailable. People who refuse to talk to pollsters have a view of the world around them that is markedly different than those who will let poll-takers into their homes.
  • 48. Missing Data Can dramatically affect results. Subjects may drop out for reasons unrelated to the study. People with low incomes are less likely to report their incomes. US Census suffers from missing people (tend to be homeless or low income).
  • 49. Self-Interest Study Some parties with interest to promote will sponsor studies. Be wary of a survey in which the sponsor can enjoy monetary gain from the results. When assessing validity of a study, always consider whether the sponsor might influence the results.
  • 50. Precise Numbers Because as a figure is precise, many people incorrectly assume that it is also accurate . A precise number can be an estimate, and it should be referred to that way.
  • 51. Deliberate Distortion Some studies or surveys are distorted on purpose. The distortion can occur within the context of the data, the source of the data, the sampling method, or the conclusions.
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  • 53. Section 1-5 Collecting Sample Data
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  • 55. Statistical methods are driven by the data that we collect. We typically obtain data from two distinct sources: observational studies and experiment . Basics of Collecting Data
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  • 60. Random Sampling selection so that each individual member has an equal chance of being selected
  • 61. Systematic Sampling Select some starting point and then select every k th element in the population
  • 62. Convenience Sampling use results that are easy to get
  • 63. Stratified Sampling subdivide the population into at least two different subgroups that share the same characteristics, then draw a sample from each subgroup (or stratum)
  • 64. Cluster Sampling divide the population area into sections (or clusters); randomly select some of those clusters; choose all members from selected clusters
  • 65. Multistage Sampling Collect data by using some combination of the basic sampling methods In a multistage sample design, pollsters select a sample in different stages, and each stage might use different methods of sampling
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  • 67. Different types of observational studies and experiment design Beyond the Basics of Collecting Data
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  • 75. Three very important considerations in the design of experiments are the following: Summary 1. Use randomization to assign subjects to different groups 2. Use replication by repeating the experiment on enough subjects so that effects of treatment or other factors can be clearly seen. 3. Control the effects of variables by using such techniques as blinding and a completely randomized experimental design
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