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Integrated Supply and Demand 
Planning 
Jorge H. Chavez 
Business Development Director 
jorge.chavez@ideumgroup.com 
IDEUM GROUP HEADQUARTERS 
1507 53rd 480 Chicago, IL 60615 
USA 
+1(312) 324 0367 
Co-founder 
IDEUM S.A. CHILE 
Hernando de Aguirre 162 # 502 
Santiago, CHILE 
+562-22337559 +569-93358867 
Jorge H. Chavez© Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Integrated Supply & Demand Planning 
Agenda 
• Why do you need a Supply Chain Planning Solution? 
• Functional Structure & Management by Average 
• Scattergram™ Methodology for Segmentation 
• Hierarchical Relationship of Performance Measure 
• Underlying Methodology in the Forecast Models 
• Basic Assumptions in the Traditional Inventory 
Models 
• “Why our solution is different,” demo presentation of 
RASTPro™ 
2 Jorge H. Chavez©
IMPORT / 
EXPORT 
FORECASTING 
PLANNING TOOL 
3 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning 
MRP 
REPLENISHMENT 
ORDERS 
DATA 
CALCULATION 
DATA 
CLEANING 
WMS
Functional Organization (Silos) 
PROCUREMENT FINANCE 
MARKETING DISTRIBUTION 
SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT 
PRODUCTION 
SALES 
Jorge H. Chavez© 4 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Typical problems we have found in most companies 
 Too much data / poor information 
 Large investment in hardware / software apps 
 High error in forecast 
 Too many KPI 
 Excess inventory 
 Poor fill-rate & imperfect order delivery 
 Decrease of profitability 
 High turnover of clients / consumers 
 Management by average 
 Too many coordination meetings 
Jorge H. Chavez.© 5 Supply & Demand Planning
Most metrics are Hierarchical 
Forecast 
Accuracy 
WAPA = ( 1- MAPE) 
Fill Rate OTIF Perfect Order 
Total 
Inventory 
Cash to Cash 
Non-Working 
Inventory 
Inventory 
Turns 
Order Cycle Time 
Supplier 
Quality 
Supplier Delivery 
Service 
Operational Logistic 
Costs 
Supply Chain Total Cost 
Jorge H. Chavez© 6 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
UNITS 
Scattergram© 
BASIC 
COMPLEMENTARY 
HIGH RISK 
INTERMITTENT 
Jorge H. Chavez© 7 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
SALES (USD) 
Scattergram© 
BASIC 
COMPLEMENTARY 
HIGH RISK 
INTERMITTENT 
Jorge H. Chavez© 8 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
MARGIN (USD) 
Scattergram© 
BASIC 
COMPLEMENTARY 
HIGH RISK 
INTERMITTENT 
Jorge H. Chavez© 9 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Customer´s Scattergram© 
OCCASIONAL TO EVALUATE 
??’? 
LOYAL PREMIUM 
Jorge H. Chavez© 10 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Inventory Management 
Statistical Demand Forecast (Time Series) is 
only one input for Demand & Supply planning. 
Integrated Supply & Demand Planning 
Jorge H. Chavez© 11
Example for Differentiated Fill-rate 
Intermittent High Risk 
? 
97% 98,5% 98,5% 
65% 70% 
75% 85% 
Complementary Basic 
Integrated Supply & Demand Planning 
Jorge H. Chavez© 12 
99,5% 99,9% 
98% 
95% 
96% 
93% 
94% 
ELIMINATE ? 
CHECK 
CUSTOMER ? 
IV 
Demand
Normal Distribution Assumption 
• The assumption of normality of demand is incorrect in the 
Integrated Supply & Demand Planning 
majority of cases. 
• The assumption of normality for the delivery times is 
seldom met. 
• Why do many models in the market place make these 
assumptions? 
Empirical research shows that demand and delivery time are 
better modeled as gamma functions. 
Jorge H. Chavez© 13
Main features of RASTPro™ 
• Replacing the EOQ by the dynamic “quantity order” 
• Demand & supply density functions are Gamma. 
• For intermittent demand, Ideum Group has developed 
proprietary models which we are improving continuously. 
• For basic and complementary products, we detect the best 
fit model for each SKU and complement the forecast with 
ones from sales & marketing in a collaborative model to 
avoid bias in the forecast. 
Integrated Supply & Demand Planning 
Jorge H. Chavez© 14
Security Overview 
We take security very seriously and have developed a 
comprehensive set of practices, technologies, and policies to help ensure 
your data is secure. 
Our Security practices are grouped into four different areas: 
 Physical Security 
 Internet Security 
 Enterprise Security 
 Business Continuity 
Jorge H. Chavez© 15 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Physical Security 
Our datacenters are hosted in some of the most secure 
facilities available today: 
24x7x365 security 
Video monitoring 
Controlled entrance 
Undisclosed locations 
Jorge H. Chavez© 16 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Internet Security 
 128-256-bit SSL 
 Next Generation Firewall 
 Geo IP Filtering 
 IDS/IPS 
 Control & Audit 
 Virus Scanning 
Jorge H. Chavez© 17 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Enterprise APP Security 
Strong usernames and passwords 
Least-privileged user account 
Permissions 
Policies 
Control & audit 
Virus protection 
Service packs & hot-fixes 
Built-in RastPro security 
Database security 
Jorge H. Chavez© 18 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
Redundancy 
 Power redundancy 
 Fire prevention 
 Data protection & back-ups 
 Redundant cooling & temperature 
Jorge H. Chavez© 19 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
RastPro™ Solutions 
Rastpro™ 
Rastpro™ Manufacturing (MRP) 
Raspro™ Retail 
Raspro™ Advance Floor Planning (AFP) 
Jorge H. Chavez© 20 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
About Analysis and Information 
Jorge H. Chavez© 21 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning

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Integrated supply & demand planning 2014

  • 1. Integrated Supply and Demand Planning Jorge H. Chavez Business Development Director jorge.chavez@ideumgroup.com IDEUM GROUP HEADQUARTERS 1507 53rd 480 Chicago, IL 60615 USA +1(312) 324 0367 Co-founder IDEUM S.A. CHILE Hernando de Aguirre 162 # 502 Santiago, CHILE +562-22337559 +569-93358867 Jorge H. Chavez© Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 2. Integrated Supply & Demand Planning Agenda • Why do you need a Supply Chain Planning Solution? • Functional Structure & Management by Average • Scattergram™ Methodology for Segmentation • Hierarchical Relationship of Performance Measure • Underlying Methodology in the Forecast Models • Basic Assumptions in the Traditional Inventory Models • “Why our solution is different,” demo presentation of RASTPro™ 2 Jorge H. Chavez©
  • 3. IMPORT / EXPORT FORECASTING PLANNING TOOL 3 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning MRP REPLENISHMENT ORDERS DATA CALCULATION DATA CLEANING WMS
  • 4. Functional Organization (Silos) PROCUREMENT FINANCE MARKETING DISTRIBUTION SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT PRODUCTION SALES Jorge H. Chavez© 4 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 5. Typical problems we have found in most companies  Too much data / poor information  Large investment in hardware / software apps  High error in forecast  Too many KPI  Excess inventory  Poor fill-rate & imperfect order delivery  Decrease of profitability  High turnover of clients / consumers  Management by average  Too many coordination meetings Jorge H. Chavez.© 5 Supply & Demand Planning
  • 6. Most metrics are Hierarchical Forecast Accuracy WAPA = ( 1- MAPE) Fill Rate OTIF Perfect Order Total Inventory Cash to Cash Non-Working Inventory Inventory Turns Order Cycle Time Supplier Quality Supplier Delivery Service Operational Logistic Costs Supply Chain Total Cost Jorge H. Chavez© 6 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 7. UNITS Scattergram© BASIC COMPLEMENTARY HIGH RISK INTERMITTENT Jorge H. Chavez© 7 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 8. SALES (USD) Scattergram© BASIC COMPLEMENTARY HIGH RISK INTERMITTENT Jorge H. Chavez© 8 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 9. MARGIN (USD) Scattergram© BASIC COMPLEMENTARY HIGH RISK INTERMITTENT Jorge H. Chavez© 9 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 10. Customer´s Scattergram© OCCASIONAL TO EVALUATE ??’? LOYAL PREMIUM Jorge H. Chavez© 10 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 11. Inventory Management Statistical Demand Forecast (Time Series) is only one input for Demand & Supply planning. Integrated Supply & Demand Planning Jorge H. Chavez© 11
  • 12. Example for Differentiated Fill-rate Intermittent High Risk ? 97% 98,5% 98,5% 65% 70% 75% 85% Complementary Basic Integrated Supply & Demand Planning Jorge H. Chavez© 12 99,5% 99,9% 98% 95% 96% 93% 94% ELIMINATE ? CHECK CUSTOMER ? IV Demand
  • 13. Normal Distribution Assumption • The assumption of normality of demand is incorrect in the Integrated Supply & Demand Planning majority of cases. • The assumption of normality for the delivery times is seldom met. • Why do many models in the market place make these assumptions? Empirical research shows that demand and delivery time are better modeled as gamma functions. Jorge H. Chavez© 13
  • 14. Main features of RASTPro™ • Replacing the EOQ by the dynamic “quantity order” • Demand & supply density functions are Gamma. • For intermittent demand, Ideum Group has developed proprietary models which we are improving continuously. • For basic and complementary products, we detect the best fit model for each SKU and complement the forecast with ones from sales & marketing in a collaborative model to avoid bias in the forecast. Integrated Supply & Demand Planning Jorge H. Chavez© 14
  • 15. Security Overview We take security very seriously and have developed a comprehensive set of practices, technologies, and policies to help ensure your data is secure. Our Security practices are grouped into four different areas:  Physical Security  Internet Security  Enterprise Security  Business Continuity Jorge H. Chavez© 15 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 16. Physical Security Our datacenters are hosted in some of the most secure facilities available today: 24x7x365 security Video monitoring Controlled entrance Undisclosed locations Jorge H. Chavez© 16 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 17. Internet Security  128-256-bit SSL  Next Generation Firewall  Geo IP Filtering  IDS/IPS  Control & Audit  Virus Scanning Jorge H. Chavez© 17 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 18. Enterprise APP Security Strong usernames and passwords Least-privileged user account Permissions Policies Control & audit Virus protection Service packs & hot-fixes Built-in RastPro security Database security Jorge H. Chavez© 18 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 19. Redundancy  Power redundancy  Fire prevention  Data protection & back-ups  Redundant cooling & temperature Jorge H. Chavez© 19 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 20. RastPro™ Solutions Rastpro™ Rastpro™ Manufacturing (MRP) Raspro™ Retail Raspro™ Advance Floor Planning (AFP) Jorge H. Chavez© 20 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning
  • 21. About Analysis and Information Jorge H. Chavez© 21 Integrated Supply & Demand Planning