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F E ATURE




                                                                 Bridging the
                                                                 Gap between
                                                                 Consumer and
                                                                 Shopper Marketing
                                                                 Perspectives
                                                                 Joel Rubinson


The consumer insights/brand teams and the shopper insights/shopper marketing
teams have conflicting perspectives on brands.
The consumer insights team is likely to present a view of            to purchase is critical. This worldview leads marketing to
the brand in which market share performance is viewed as             realize the importance of shopper marketing and eventually,
the result of consumer preference based on beliefs about             when it is mature enough, mobile marketing that facilitates
various brands. Improve performance on driver attributes             the shopping process.
and share goes up. This relationship encourages the brand               To think introspectively about the limits of brand
team to believe that the brass ring is to engender a strong          engagement, keep a one-day brand-use diary. I did so and
level of engagement with consumers, implying that engaged            found the following:
consumers account for the (great) majority of brand sales.
    In a social age, the marketing teams that follow this line       1. I used an astounding number of brands in a day (nearly
of thinking will try to move as much money as possible               100 by 2:00 p.m.).
out of paid advertising, and place their priorities on social
media engagement. Such brand teams aspire to maximize                2. The great majority of these brands have little meaning for
their Facebook fan base as well as their followers on Twitter        me (e.g., the brand of countertop, the maker of the coffee
and now Pinterest. In this worldview, shopping is basically          mug, the brand of slippers on my feet).
regarded as the chore someone has to get through to acquire
the brands they prefer and therefore planned to buy.                 3. Of those brands that are meaningful to me, most have
                                                                     acceptable substitutes.
The shopper insights teams would temper this enthusiasm about
engagement marketing. They know that the most preferred              4. Only a handful (10 per cent for me) are brands I care
brand is not automatically bought.                                   about so much that I would have a sense of deprivation if I
    The facts: Estimates are that as high as 70 per cent of          lost access to them (for me, the short list included Twitter,
brand decisions are made in-store; my own research across 19         Facebook, a particular news channel, Dove, Pantene, Diet
consumer packaged goods categories showed an average of              Coke, The New York Yankees).
50 per cent of brand decisions made in-store. Even for loyal
buyers – for example, those buying a brand 50 per cent of            If we focus exclusively on brand engagement marketing, we
the time or more – the retention of loyal buyers over time is        will not create an effective marketing plan to address the
suspect. Half or more of those loyal to a brand in a given year      85 per cent of brand buyers who are not going to become
are not loyal to the same brand one year later (this finding is      extremely attached but who account for half of sales.
consistent between my own brand equity research and analysis             If we focus exclusively on shopper marketing, we run the
of Catalina frequent shopper data).                                  risk of not creating meaningful brand differences that can
    The implication is that consumers usually have acceptable        generate engaged consumers who will be much more valuable
alternatives to consider, so constant persuasion along the path      to the brand and, ultimately, of fighting commoditization.

20 	   vue November 2012
F EATUR E




Loyalty Framework: Reconciling the Two Brand                       Figure 2: Source of growth for a typical 10% share brand
                                                                   growing to 15%
Growth Perspectives
How do marketers reconcile these perspectives, each with its
own truths, and bring them together into a holistic plan for
brand growth?
    I propose that we utilize a framework based on loyalty
segmentation of consumers, and I will show how this
framework brings together the two perspectives, consumer and
shopper, around some surprising insights.
    The beta distribution is used to model the distribution
of probabilities of purchase by individual consumers with
respect to a particular brand of interest. For a typical brand
with 10 per cent market share, the distribution of its share
of requirements (i.e., a brand’s share of purchases by a given
consumer) might look like what is presented in figure 1.           loyalty. While there is some upshifting, it is not so great, and sales
                                                                   still must increase from that segment.
Figure 1: Share of requirement distribution for a typical 10%
share brand; avg. category purchase cycle of 12x/year              Pinpointing Media Strategies to Affect
                                                                   Loyalty Segments
                                                                   Now, the next question is whether or not all media
                                                                   touchpoints are effective against each of these segments. The
                                                                   answer is “Unlikely.” A recent analysis of Compete’s data
                                                                   regarding Facebook fan effects suggests that new Facebook
                                                                   fans of a brand are already predisposed to the brand, and
                                                                   therefore the updates or social impressions they see are
                                                                   disproportionately directed to those who are already loyal.
                                                                   In other words, Facebook appears to be a touchpoint that
                                                                   reinforces the brand beliefs of those in the two most favorable
                                                                   segments, but does little to influence the other segments.
                                                                       Returning to the discussion of shopper marketing at the
                                                                   start of this paper, about half of purchase decisions, on average
                                                                   (depending on the category and brand), are made in the store.
                                                                   However, it is likely that such shopping styles are characteristic
    About 15 per cent of “fringe” buyers will buy your             of the two middle groups (“acceptables” and “preferreds”).
brand at least once during the year (at a one-month category       Hence, effective shopper marketing and promotional practices
purchase cycle). As such, surprising to many, half of a brand’s    will disproportionately affect those in the middle of the curve,
buyers come from this fringe segment, while less than 20 per       an effect that is illustrated in figure 3.
cent of buyers are engaged, that is, buy the brand 75 per cent         By looking at a brand’s loyalty distribution, we can see how
of the time (or greater) and account for less than half of the     shopper and consumer marketing frameworks can dovetail.
brand’s sales. If we add together the “preferred” and “engaged”    Shopper marketing operates primarily to win the purchase at
groups, we see that those who prefer a brand still give about 25   retail against the middle of the curve, where consumers have
per cent of their purchases to other brands.                       more than one acceptable brand and where their preference for
    Now let us consider what happens to this distribution if the   any given brand does not dominate the decision process.
brand grows to a 15 per cent share. Figure 2 shows what that           Consumer marketing’s role is primarily to move people into
would look like.                                                   more favorable loyalty segments, and retain them there, based
    While the engaged segment must grow the most (the double       on brand beliefs.
jeopardy effect), notice that share must increase from each of         Consumer and shopper marketing share a responsibility that
the loyalty segments, as opposed to an alternate hypothesis        is central to branding and is in common across all segments:
which states that the sales increase would come from engaged       the need to give the brand a certain meaning. Brand meaning
and perhaps preferred segments, and that the fringe segment        gives shoppers an ability to anticipate, to predict if a potential
contribution would actually go down as people upshift in their     purchase will serve their needs.

	                                                                                                           vue November 2012          21
F E ATURE




Figure 3: Mapping touchpoints to loyalty                               marketing approach that calls for building brand engagement,
                                                                       placing a premium on social media strategies, is not wrong;
                                                                       but it is incomplete in light of the high level of active decision-
                                                                       making that occurs in-store.
                                                                          Marketers need to develop a fully integrated consumer and
                                                                       shopper media strategy that is mapped to address each of the
                                                                       brand loyalty segments. Use advertising and shopper marketing
                                                                       to build brand meaning that will shift less loyal consumers
                                                                       toward becoming more loyal. Use social and owned media
                                                                       to help build a relationship with consumers that will move
                                                                       their beliefs about a brand to exclusive meaning, leading to
                                                                       engagement. Use shopper marketing to win the 50 per cent of
                                                                       purchases at retail that are up for grabs.
                                                                          From a research point of view, it is important to track the
                                                                       four loyalty segments. Size the segments, understand what
                                                                       the key differentiating beliefs are between segments, and
                                                                       understand how touchpoints map to each of the segments. Set
    Brand meaning, if it is exclusive, can lead to moving              goals for loyalty segment sizes and purchasing levels, toward
consumers into the preferred and engaged segments. In a brand          your brand, such that they tie out to brand growth goals and
equity study, this effect would be reflected by a respondent’s         monitor progress. If one of the segments is falling behind its
checking off that a certain brand, and only that brand, stands for     goals, it suggests that the part of the marketing plan which
a particular attribute. I call this exclusivity owning an attribute.   maps to influencing that segment needs to be dialed up. For
    I have found that standing for an attribute versus owning          that reason, the tracker needs to be timely, and the marketing/
an attribute is the differentiator between someone’s preferring        media plan needs to have the flexibility for adaptive course
a brand versus being engaged with it. However, even if not             correction.
exclusive (e.g., I think your salad dressing is high quality, but
I think others are as well), brand meaning feeds the decision          References
heuristics that shoppers use so the brand can raise share among        Allan L. Baldinger & Joel Rubinson. “Brand Loyalty: The Link
those who only occasionally buy that brand.                            Between Attitude and Behavior.” Journal of Advertising Research, 1996
                                                                       (November/December): 22–34.
    Brand meaning also can lead to engagement. Brand meaning
can and should extend beyond the functional characteristics of         Jack Neff. “This Upfront, P&G May Want to Boost Spend on Piggly
the product. For example, Dove’s Campaign for Real Beauty gave         Wiggly.” Advertising Age, 2010 (May 3). Available at http://adage.com/
the Dove brand meaning about beauty and female self-esteem,            article/news/upfront-p-g-boost-spend-piggly-wiggly/143643/

which reinforced the brand’s values within and beyond the              Ooh-tv. “New POPAI Study Shows That 76% of All Purchase
product categories in which it had offerings. Any product with         Decisions Are Taken In-Store.” Ooh-tv.com, 2012 (May 29). Available
the Dove name would instantly convey a certain meaning, even           at http://en.ooh-tv.com/2012/05/29/new-popai-study-shows-that-76-
                                                                       of-all-purchase-decisions-are-taken-in-store/
if a shopper did not previously use or know about that product.
    How do you influence brand meaning? The obvious answer is          David Raab. “CMO Council Study: Customer Loyalty Is Fleeting.”
advertising, but there are other ways as well. For example, brand      MPM Toolkit, 2009 (July 6). Available at http://mpmtoolkit.blogspot.
meaning can be built and managed by retail activations where           com/2009/07/cmo-council-study-customer-loyalty-is.html
the meaning becomes obvious (e.g., McCormick spices barbeque           Joel Rubinson. “Surprising New Study on Facebook Marketing
center, where there is a free-standing supermarket display of a        Effectiveness for Brands.” Joel Rubinson on Marketing Research, 2012.
variety of products and spices needed for a successful outdoor         Available at http://blog.joelrubinson.net/2012/06/surprising-new-
barbeque). In fact, in 2009, BASES (the leading marketing              study-on-facebook-marketing-effectiveness-for-brands/

research service for forecasting the sales potential of new            Wikipedia. “Double Jeopardy.” Wikipedia, 2011 (June 5). Available at
products) found that in-store exposure was the greatest source of      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_jeopardy_%28marketing%29
brand awareness for new products.
                                                                       Joel Rubinson is president and founder of Rubinson Partners
Summary and Conclusions                                                Inc., a marketing and research consultancy. He is also on the
By bringing together the perspectives from consumer and                faculty of NYU Stern School of Business, where he teaches social
shopper insights into a loyalty framework, we see that the             media strategy. Joel can be reached at JoelRubinson@gmail.com

22 	   vue November 2012

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Bridging the gap between consumer and shopper marketing

  • 1. F E ATURE Bridging the Gap between Consumer and Shopper Marketing Perspectives Joel Rubinson The consumer insights/brand teams and the shopper insights/shopper marketing teams have conflicting perspectives on brands. The consumer insights team is likely to present a view of to purchase is critical. This worldview leads marketing to the brand in which market share performance is viewed as realize the importance of shopper marketing and eventually, the result of consumer preference based on beliefs about when it is mature enough, mobile marketing that facilitates various brands. Improve performance on driver attributes the shopping process. and share goes up. This relationship encourages the brand To think introspectively about the limits of brand team to believe that the brass ring is to engender a strong engagement, keep a one-day brand-use diary. I did so and level of engagement with consumers, implying that engaged found the following: consumers account for the (great) majority of brand sales. In a social age, the marketing teams that follow this line 1. I used an astounding number of brands in a day (nearly of thinking will try to move as much money as possible 100 by 2:00 p.m.). out of paid advertising, and place their priorities on social media engagement. Such brand teams aspire to maximize 2. The great majority of these brands have little meaning for their Facebook fan base as well as their followers on Twitter me (e.g., the brand of countertop, the maker of the coffee and now Pinterest. In this worldview, shopping is basically mug, the brand of slippers on my feet). regarded as the chore someone has to get through to acquire the brands they prefer and therefore planned to buy. 3. Of those brands that are meaningful to me, most have acceptable substitutes. The shopper insights teams would temper this enthusiasm about engagement marketing. They know that the most preferred 4. Only a handful (10 per cent for me) are brands I care brand is not automatically bought. about so much that I would have a sense of deprivation if I The facts: Estimates are that as high as 70 per cent of lost access to them (for me, the short list included Twitter, brand decisions are made in-store; my own research across 19 Facebook, a particular news channel, Dove, Pantene, Diet consumer packaged goods categories showed an average of Coke, The New York Yankees). 50 per cent of brand decisions made in-store. Even for loyal buyers – for example, those buying a brand 50 per cent of If we focus exclusively on brand engagement marketing, we the time or more – the retention of loyal buyers over time is will not create an effective marketing plan to address the suspect. Half or more of those loyal to a brand in a given year 85 per cent of brand buyers who are not going to become are not loyal to the same brand one year later (this finding is extremely attached but who account for half of sales. consistent between my own brand equity research and analysis If we focus exclusively on shopper marketing, we run the of Catalina frequent shopper data). risk of not creating meaningful brand differences that can The implication is that consumers usually have acceptable generate engaged consumers who will be much more valuable alternatives to consider, so constant persuasion along the path to the brand and, ultimately, of fighting commoditization. 20 vue November 2012
  • 2. F EATUR E Loyalty Framework: Reconciling the Two Brand Figure 2: Source of growth for a typical 10% share brand growing to 15% Growth Perspectives How do marketers reconcile these perspectives, each with its own truths, and bring them together into a holistic plan for brand growth? I propose that we utilize a framework based on loyalty segmentation of consumers, and I will show how this framework brings together the two perspectives, consumer and shopper, around some surprising insights. The beta distribution is used to model the distribution of probabilities of purchase by individual consumers with respect to a particular brand of interest. For a typical brand with 10 per cent market share, the distribution of its share of requirements (i.e., a brand’s share of purchases by a given consumer) might look like what is presented in figure 1. loyalty. While there is some upshifting, it is not so great, and sales still must increase from that segment. Figure 1: Share of requirement distribution for a typical 10% share brand; avg. category purchase cycle of 12x/year Pinpointing Media Strategies to Affect Loyalty Segments Now, the next question is whether or not all media touchpoints are effective against each of these segments. The answer is “Unlikely.” A recent analysis of Compete’s data regarding Facebook fan effects suggests that new Facebook fans of a brand are already predisposed to the brand, and therefore the updates or social impressions they see are disproportionately directed to those who are already loyal. In other words, Facebook appears to be a touchpoint that reinforces the brand beliefs of those in the two most favorable segments, but does little to influence the other segments. Returning to the discussion of shopper marketing at the start of this paper, about half of purchase decisions, on average (depending on the category and brand), are made in the store. However, it is likely that such shopping styles are characteristic About 15 per cent of “fringe” buyers will buy your of the two middle groups (“acceptables” and “preferreds”). brand at least once during the year (at a one-month category Hence, effective shopper marketing and promotional practices purchase cycle). As such, surprising to many, half of a brand’s will disproportionately affect those in the middle of the curve, buyers come from this fringe segment, while less than 20 per an effect that is illustrated in figure 3. cent of buyers are engaged, that is, buy the brand 75 per cent By looking at a brand’s loyalty distribution, we can see how of the time (or greater) and account for less than half of the shopper and consumer marketing frameworks can dovetail. brand’s sales. If we add together the “preferred” and “engaged” Shopper marketing operates primarily to win the purchase at groups, we see that those who prefer a brand still give about 25 retail against the middle of the curve, where consumers have per cent of their purchases to other brands. more than one acceptable brand and where their preference for Now let us consider what happens to this distribution if the any given brand does not dominate the decision process. brand grows to a 15 per cent share. Figure 2 shows what that Consumer marketing’s role is primarily to move people into would look like. more favorable loyalty segments, and retain them there, based While the engaged segment must grow the most (the double on brand beliefs. jeopardy effect), notice that share must increase from each of Consumer and shopper marketing share a responsibility that the loyalty segments, as opposed to an alternate hypothesis is central to branding and is in common across all segments: which states that the sales increase would come from engaged the need to give the brand a certain meaning. Brand meaning and perhaps preferred segments, and that the fringe segment gives shoppers an ability to anticipate, to predict if a potential contribution would actually go down as people upshift in their purchase will serve their needs. vue November 2012 21
  • 3. F E ATURE Figure 3: Mapping touchpoints to loyalty marketing approach that calls for building brand engagement, placing a premium on social media strategies, is not wrong; but it is incomplete in light of the high level of active decision- making that occurs in-store. Marketers need to develop a fully integrated consumer and shopper media strategy that is mapped to address each of the brand loyalty segments. Use advertising and shopper marketing to build brand meaning that will shift less loyal consumers toward becoming more loyal. Use social and owned media to help build a relationship with consumers that will move their beliefs about a brand to exclusive meaning, leading to engagement. Use shopper marketing to win the 50 per cent of purchases at retail that are up for grabs. From a research point of view, it is important to track the four loyalty segments. Size the segments, understand what the key differentiating beliefs are between segments, and understand how touchpoints map to each of the segments. Set Brand meaning, if it is exclusive, can lead to moving goals for loyalty segment sizes and purchasing levels, toward consumers into the preferred and engaged segments. In a brand your brand, such that they tie out to brand growth goals and equity study, this effect would be reflected by a respondent’s monitor progress. If one of the segments is falling behind its checking off that a certain brand, and only that brand, stands for goals, it suggests that the part of the marketing plan which a particular attribute. I call this exclusivity owning an attribute. maps to influencing that segment needs to be dialed up. For I have found that standing for an attribute versus owning that reason, the tracker needs to be timely, and the marketing/ an attribute is the differentiator between someone’s preferring media plan needs to have the flexibility for adaptive course a brand versus being engaged with it. However, even if not correction. exclusive (e.g., I think your salad dressing is high quality, but I think others are as well), brand meaning feeds the decision References heuristics that shoppers use so the brand can raise share among Allan L. Baldinger & Joel Rubinson. “Brand Loyalty: The Link those who only occasionally buy that brand. Between Attitude and Behavior.” Journal of Advertising Research, 1996 (November/December): 22–34. Brand meaning also can lead to engagement. Brand meaning can and should extend beyond the functional characteristics of Jack Neff. “This Upfront, P&G May Want to Boost Spend on Piggly the product. For example, Dove’s Campaign for Real Beauty gave Wiggly.” Advertising Age, 2010 (May 3). Available at http://adage.com/ the Dove brand meaning about beauty and female self-esteem, article/news/upfront-p-g-boost-spend-piggly-wiggly/143643/ which reinforced the brand’s values within and beyond the Ooh-tv. “New POPAI Study Shows That 76% of All Purchase product categories in which it had offerings. Any product with Decisions Are Taken In-Store.” Ooh-tv.com, 2012 (May 29). Available the Dove name would instantly convey a certain meaning, even at http://en.ooh-tv.com/2012/05/29/new-popai-study-shows-that-76- of-all-purchase-decisions-are-taken-in-store/ if a shopper did not previously use or know about that product. How do you influence brand meaning? The obvious answer is David Raab. “CMO Council Study: Customer Loyalty Is Fleeting.” advertising, but there are other ways as well. For example, brand MPM Toolkit, 2009 (July 6). Available at http://mpmtoolkit.blogspot. meaning can be built and managed by retail activations where com/2009/07/cmo-council-study-customer-loyalty-is.html the meaning becomes obvious (e.g., McCormick spices barbeque Joel Rubinson. “Surprising New Study on Facebook Marketing center, where there is a free-standing supermarket display of a Effectiveness for Brands.” Joel Rubinson on Marketing Research, 2012. variety of products and spices needed for a successful outdoor Available at http://blog.joelrubinson.net/2012/06/surprising-new- barbeque). In fact, in 2009, BASES (the leading marketing study-on-facebook-marketing-effectiveness-for-brands/ research service for forecasting the sales potential of new Wikipedia. “Double Jeopardy.” Wikipedia, 2011 (June 5). Available at products) found that in-store exposure was the greatest source of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_jeopardy_%28marketing%29 brand awareness for new products. Joel Rubinson is president and founder of Rubinson Partners Summary and Conclusions Inc., a marketing and research consultancy. He is also on the By bringing together the perspectives from consumer and faculty of NYU Stern School of Business, where he teaches social shopper insights into a loyalty framework, we see that the media strategy. Joel can be reached at JoelRubinson@gmail.com 22 vue November 2012