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Berlin
   International Economic Congress

              Brand Ireland
- An Illustration of Damage and Repair -


         Professor Mary Lambkin



     UCD Michael Smurfit School of Business
Outline


                     Ireland as a Nation Brand


             Reputation Damage from financial Crisis


  Prospects of Repair: Research Evidence from other Cases


                  Factors necessary for Success


                       Outlook for the Future


Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Brand Ireland is all about
                     People and Place

                Reflects research evidence
              that Ireland scores in top 10 on
             •    Natural beauty
             •    Friendly locals
             •    Families
             •    Nice place to live
             •    Rest and relaxation
             •    Easy to Do Business With
             •    Preferred destination for conferences
             •    Good to extend a business trip
Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Positioning



       TOURISM                                     BUSINESS




   The island of                                   The island
   character and                                    of vibrant
    characters                                     possibility




Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
The two main Targets
                - Tourism and Business -




Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
A roaring Success


                              Success of Celtic Tiger
GDP growth averaged 6.3% through the 1990s, with close to 10%—between 1995
and 2000. Ireland’s GDP per capita surpassed the UK’s.

FDI averaged over $2.5 billion per year and unemployment reduced to 5%. Fiscal
surpluses became the norm, national debt all but disappeared, and emigrants
returned in droves.

Ireland designated “The World’s Best Country”
“Ireland wins because it successfully combines the most desirable elements of the
new (the fourth highest GDP per head in the world in 2005, low unemployment,
political liberties) with the preservation of certain cozy elements of the old, such as
stable family and community life.”

The Economist Intelligence Unit, Quality of Life Survey, EIU World Report, 2005, p. 86.

Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
We Irish basked in the glow and
   thought we were wonderful
                but
   pride comes before a fall......
          And fall we did!

Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Ireland’s Reputation crumbles


Cowen's global hangover
September 15, 2010


BRIAN Cowen’s hangover went global today.
As the country’s economic standing plummets, the
world’s most influential publications and websites
reported on the Taoiseach’s late night drink-in.

Coverage of the debacle featured in 457 articles in
400 publications across 26 countries.

The Wall Street Journal said the timing of Cowen’s
“bizarre ... slurred and tired” interview, “couldn’t be
worse”.

It said that that the country’s spiralling debt crisis
was “fuelling concerns about the Government’s
ability to weather the storm”.

Fianna Fail TDs were reeling after their annual
think-in was renamed the “drink-in”.



Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Cowen's global Hangover
                       September 15, 2010


  Brian Cowen (Global Coverage 10th – 14th September 2010)

                                                Over 400 publications covered
                                                the story; 457 articles were
                                                published by midnight on 14th
                                                September, less than 24 hours
                                                after the interview;

                                                The coverage represented a
                                                692% increase on the average
                                                daily coverage for Mr Cowen
                                                over the proceeding five days




Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
The Story appeared in Publications in 26 Countries
       including: USA, UK, India and China


     Brian Cowen (Global Coverage 10th – 14th September 2010)




   Country by Counrty Breakdown of International Coverage

  Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Bailout by the IMF and the ECB


Today the 12 men and women from the International
Monetary Fund, in suits and sensible coats, arrived
in Dublin to clear up the financial mess.

By any measure it was an extraordinary day for
Ireland. Historian Diarmuid Ferriter described it as
devastating and a "humiliating milestone" that the
nation's sovereignty was being compromised nearly
100 years after hard-fought independence.
                                                       Ajai Chopra, Deputy Director of the
                                                       IMF European Department, on his
 A leader in the Irish Times talked of ignominy.       way to a meeting at the with the
"There is the shame of it all," it said. "Having       governor of the Central Bank of
                                                       Ireland.
obtained our political independence from Britain to    November 18, 2010
be masters of our own affairs, we have now
surrendered our sovereignty to the European
Commission, the European Central Bank, and the
IMF."


Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
When Irish Eyes Are Crying
     “First Iceland. Then Greece.
    Now Ireland, which headed for
 bankruptcy with its own mysterious
 logic. In 2000, suddenly among the
  richest people in Europe, the Irish
  decided to buy their country—from
one another. After which their banks
and government really screwe them.
         So where’s the rage?

                                        Michael Lewis, March 2011

Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Nation Brands are about trying to achieve
 Convergence between Identity and Image




         Identity                             Image




Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Typically Identity is more positive
                    than Image




            Identity                         Positive



         Neutral or
                                             Image
         Negative


Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
In Ireland’s Case, it is now the reverse




         Neutral or
                                               Image
         Positive



            Identity                          Negative



Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Our Trust in our Institutions crumbled


                                       Global                  55
                                       Brazil                  80
                                       UAE                     78
                                       Netherlands             73
                                       China                   73
                                       Italy                   56
                                       India                   56
                                       Sweden                  52
                                       Spain                   51
                                       France                  50
                                       Poland                  49
                                       Germany                 44
                                       US                      42
                                       UK                      40
                                       Russia                  40
                                       Ireland                 39


Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Ireland less trusting than global Peers of most
                   Industries




 Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Ireland least trusting of Government among all EU
                     Countries




  Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
So, what is the outlook for the future?


Are we Irish and Brand Ireland destined to
reside at the bottom of all rankings for the
foreseeable future?

And, more importantly,

Is this going to damage our economy in a real
and lasting way?



Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
The Answer is -- not necessarily
               For several Reasons

1. Ireland’s problems are relatively minor in the scale of
   events that countries have to deal with.

2. Research demonstrates that corporations (not unlike
   countries) bounce back very quickly, even from very
   grave problems.

3. Strong leadership and good communication have been
   shown to be effective tools in accelerating recovery.

4. Evidence from the Irish economy shows that it has
   actually started to recover already.



Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Catastrophies form a continuum in Terms of Gravity




           Malevolence


 Mismanagement



                                                         Major Natural
                                                           Disaster

                                             Technological
                                               Disaster
                                 Confrontation

   Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Ireland’s Problems are at the low End of the
                  Continuum




          Malevolence


Mismanagement



                                                        Major Natural
                                                          Disaster

                                            Technological
                                              Disaster
                                Confrontation

  Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Research Evidence shows that Corporations recover
      very quickly from catastrophic Events


      • Sales of contaminated or recalled products return to
        their normal levels within 6-12 months, eg Tylenol,
        Perrier, beef.

      • Share prices and volume of trade return to their normal
        levels within a year, eg. Toyota.

      • General corporate reputations return to their previous
        levels inside 3 years--survey of CEOs of major plcs.



   Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Searches about Travel to Ireland have declined by
                more than 60%


                            Interest over Time




  Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Interest in Business in Ireland


                          Interest over Time




Interest in business in Ireland was very high during the boom
years, declined as the recession took hold, but showed signs of
recovery in 2010
Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Irish Exports have held up well and Growth
            accelerated in 2010


                     Export and Import Volumes

 600
 500
 400
 300
 200
 100
    0
         00

               01

                     02

                           03



                                         05

                                               06

                                                     07



                                                                 09

                                                                       10
                                 04




                                                           08
        20

              20

                    20

                          20



                                      20

                                              20

                                                    20



                                                                20

                                                                      20
                                20




                                                          20
                               Exports        Imports


  Irish exports up 6.9% in 2010 compared to EU27 average of -3.9%

Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Ireland’s Share of FDI is Still Very Strong Ranked
             2nd in the world in 2010


                                FDI Index

   6

   5

   4

   3

   2

   1

   0
              il
             re

              d

              d

              p




   Au d
            lia

                                                  a

                                                sia

                                                      UK
           az




                                               di
           Re
          lan

           an




          lan
         po




          ra



                                            ne
                                             In
        Br
       ail
     Ire




      Po

       st
       h
     ga




                                          do
    ec
    Th
  Sin




                                       In
  Cz




  Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Tourism Numbers have suffered but there are Signs
              of Uplift this Year


                        Overseas Visits to Ireland
   9,000
   8,000
   7,000
   6,000
   5,000
   4,000
   3,000
   2,000
   1,000
       0
              00

              01

              02

              03

              04

              05

              06

              07

              08

              09

              10
           20

           20

           20

           20

           20

           20

           20

           20

           20

           20

           20
                               000 Overseas Visits
      Overseas visits to Ireland peaked in 2007 at 8 million, falling to 6
                      million in 2010, a decline of 25%
   Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
Our Trust in our Institutions is also improving


                         Trust in Business
                    Infomred Publics ages 24-64




 Ireland trust in busness now equal to US trust and catching up to EU

Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
And we have a new Government which should bring
   fresh Leadership and better Communication




   Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook

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Berlin International Economic Congress

  • 1. Berlin International Economic Congress Brand Ireland - An Illustration of Damage and Repair - Professor Mary Lambkin UCD Michael Smurfit School of Business
  • 2. Outline Ireland as a Nation Brand Reputation Damage from financial Crisis Prospects of Repair: Research Evidence from other Cases Factors necessary for Success Outlook for the Future Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 3. Brand Ireland is all about People and Place Reflects research evidence that Ireland scores in top 10 on • Natural beauty • Friendly locals • Families • Nice place to live • Rest and relaxation • Easy to Do Business With • Preferred destination for conferences • Good to extend a business trip Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 4. Positioning TOURISM BUSINESS The island of The island character and of vibrant characters possibility Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 5. The two main Targets - Tourism and Business - Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 6. A roaring Success Success of Celtic Tiger GDP growth averaged 6.3% through the 1990s, with close to 10%—between 1995 and 2000. Ireland’s GDP per capita surpassed the UK’s. FDI averaged over $2.5 billion per year and unemployment reduced to 5%. Fiscal surpluses became the norm, national debt all but disappeared, and emigrants returned in droves. Ireland designated “The World’s Best Country” “Ireland wins because it successfully combines the most desirable elements of the new (the fourth highest GDP per head in the world in 2005, low unemployment, political liberties) with the preservation of certain cozy elements of the old, such as stable family and community life.” The Economist Intelligence Unit, Quality of Life Survey, EIU World Report, 2005, p. 86. Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 7. We Irish basked in the glow and thought we were wonderful but pride comes before a fall...... And fall we did! Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 8. Ireland’s Reputation crumbles Cowen's global hangover September 15, 2010 BRIAN Cowen’s hangover went global today. As the country’s economic standing plummets, the world’s most influential publications and websites reported on the Taoiseach’s late night drink-in. Coverage of the debacle featured in 457 articles in 400 publications across 26 countries. The Wall Street Journal said the timing of Cowen’s “bizarre ... slurred and tired” interview, “couldn’t be worse”. It said that that the country’s spiralling debt crisis was “fuelling concerns about the Government’s ability to weather the storm”. Fianna Fail TDs were reeling after their annual think-in was renamed the “drink-in”. Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 9. Cowen's global Hangover September 15, 2010 Brian Cowen (Global Coverage 10th – 14th September 2010) Over 400 publications covered the story; 457 articles were published by midnight on 14th September, less than 24 hours after the interview; The coverage represented a 692% increase on the average daily coverage for Mr Cowen over the proceeding five days Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 10. The Story appeared in Publications in 26 Countries including: USA, UK, India and China Brian Cowen (Global Coverage 10th – 14th September 2010) Country by Counrty Breakdown of International Coverage Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 11. Bailout by the IMF and the ECB Today the 12 men and women from the International Monetary Fund, in suits and sensible coats, arrived in Dublin to clear up the financial mess. By any measure it was an extraordinary day for Ireland. Historian Diarmuid Ferriter described it as devastating and a "humiliating milestone" that the nation's sovereignty was being compromised nearly 100 years after hard-fought independence. Ajai Chopra, Deputy Director of the IMF European Department, on his A leader in the Irish Times talked of ignominy. way to a meeting at the with the "There is the shame of it all," it said. "Having governor of the Central Bank of Ireland. obtained our political independence from Britain to November 18, 2010 be masters of our own affairs, we have now surrendered our sovereignty to the European Commission, the European Central Bank, and the IMF." Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 12. When Irish Eyes Are Crying “First Iceland. Then Greece. Now Ireland, which headed for bankruptcy with its own mysterious logic. In 2000, suddenly among the richest people in Europe, the Irish decided to buy their country—from one another. After which their banks and government really screwe them. So where’s the rage? Michael Lewis, March 2011 Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 13. Nation Brands are about trying to achieve Convergence between Identity and Image Identity Image Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 14. Typically Identity is more positive than Image Identity Positive Neutral or Image Negative Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 15. In Ireland’s Case, it is now the reverse Neutral or Image Positive Identity Negative Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 16. Our Trust in our Institutions crumbled Global 55 Brazil 80 UAE 78 Netherlands 73 China 73 Italy 56 India 56 Sweden 52 Spain 51 France 50 Poland 49 Germany 44 US 42 UK 40 Russia 40 Ireland 39 Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 17. Ireland less trusting than global Peers of most Industries Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 18. Ireland least trusting of Government among all EU Countries Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 19. So, what is the outlook for the future? Are we Irish and Brand Ireland destined to reside at the bottom of all rankings for the foreseeable future? And, more importantly, Is this going to damage our economy in a real and lasting way? Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 20. The Answer is -- not necessarily For several Reasons 1. Ireland’s problems are relatively minor in the scale of events that countries have to deal with. 2. Research demonstrates that corporations (not unlike countries) bounce back very quickly, even from very grave problems. 3. Strong leadership and good communication have been shown to be effective tools in accelerating recovery. 4. Evidence from the Irish economy shows that it has actually started to recover already. Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 21. Catastrophies form a continuum in Terms of Gravity Malevolence Mismanagement Major Natural Disaster Technological Disaster Confrontation Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 22. Ireland’s Problems are at the low End of the Continuum Malevolence Mismanagement Major Natural Disaster Technological Disaster Confrontation Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 23. Research Evidence shows that Corporations recover very quickly from catastrophic Events • Sales of contaminated or recalled products return to their normal levels within 6-12 months, eg Tylenol, Perrier, beef. • Share prices and volume of trade return to their normal levels within a year, eg. Toyota. • General corporate reputations return to their previous levels inside 3 years--survey of CEOs of major plcs. Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 24. Searches about Travel to Ireland have declined by more than 60% Interest over Time Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 25. Interest in Business in Ireland Interest over Time Interest in business in Ireland was very high during the boom years, declined as the recession took hold, but showed signs of recovery in 2010 Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 26. Irish Exports have held up well and Growth accelerated in 2010 Export and Import Volumes 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 00 01 02 03 05 06 07 09 10 04 08 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Exports Imports Irish exports up 6.9% in 2010 compared to EU27 average of -3.9% Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 27. Ireland’s Share of FDI is Still Very Strong Ranked 2nd in the world in 2010 FDI Index 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 il re d d p Au d lia a sia UK az di Re lan an lan po ra ne In Br ail Ire Po st h ga do ec Th Sin In Cz Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 28. Tourism Numbers have suffered but there are Signs of Uplift this Year Overseas Visits to Ireland 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 000 Overseas Visits Overseas visits to Ireland peaked in 2007 at 8 million, falling to 6 million in 2010, a decline of 25% Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 29. Our Trust in our Institutions is also improving Trust in Business Infomred Publics ages 24-64 Ireland trust in busness now equal to US trust and catching up to EU Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook
  • 30. And we have a new Government which should bring fresh Leadership and better Communication Brand Ireland Reputation Damage Prospects of Repair Factors for Success Outlook