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Fiscal Budget:2013-14
IMPLICATIONS ON ENERGY SECTOR

Presented by
Group 4

Amistya Kumar
Hareesh Nalam
Raman Sharma
Saurav Shridhar
Tarini Prasad Sahoo
Agenda
• Fiscal Budget : Backdrop
• Fiscal Budget : Objective
• Fiscal Budget : A macro-economic perspective
• Fiscal Arithmetic for Financial Year 2014
• Fiscal Budget : What’s in for Energy Sector
• Power, Coal, Renewables, Oil & Gas Sector
Backdrop of Budget
• Slowing Global Economy
• Increasing Fiscal Deficit & CAD

• Dark shadow of Inflation
• Quest for sustainable and inclusive development

• Impending General Elections
Fiscal Budget : Objective
Taxation, Public Savings
& Private savings

Development
by effective
Mobilization
of Resources

Investment in Poverty
Alleviation Programmes

Efficient
allocation of
Financial
Resources

Reduction in
inequalities
of Income
and Wealth

Encourage
production
of
desirable goods and discourage
socially undesirable goods.

Facilitates the capital
formation

Reducing the
Deficit in the
Balance of
Payment

Increasing
National
Income

Imposing duties on
imports or by giving
subsidies to export.

Foreign
Exchange
Earnings

Encourage more
exports
Fiscal Budget 2013-14: A macro-economic perspective
• Finance minister has articulated a Fiscal Deficit (FD) target of 4.8% of GDP during FY14
• Total expenditure has been budgeted at 16,652.97 bn, a 16% increase as compared to
the revised estimates (RE) of FY13
• The budget estimates a higher collection of tax and non tax revenue
• Focus of the government towards increasing investment in infrastructure

• Measures would yield the desired results only on effective and timely execution
Fiscal Arithmetic for Financial Year 2014
• Reviving the economy on a sustainable growth remains a major challenge during FY14.
• The subsidy though budgeted to decrease by 10.3% during FY14 from the revised estimates of
FY13; is budgeted to increase by over 21.6% over the budget estimates of FY13.

• For FY14, the gross tax receipts are budgeted to increase by 14.7% over FY13 (BE) and by 19.1%
over FY13 (RE).
• Government plans to generate 558.14 bn through disinvestments which is almost more than
double the revised estimates of FY13 which is 240.00 bn.
Budget Financials
What’s in for Energy Sector?
Power
Announcement in Budget

Implications

Deduction under Section 80 –IA
extended till 31st March 2015

Power generation companies are eligible for 100%
deduction of the profits for 10 consecutive years during
the first 15 years of operations. The benefit under this
section was earlier available only until FY2013 which is
extended till FY2015. This will be of a major advantage to
project developers, as it will substantially reduce their tax
burden.

Positive

Higher allocations
projects

This will see an increased investment in the energy
projects and hence in power projects too

Neutral

This may give an impetus to have more investments in
power equipment manufacturing market and OEM’s might
increase the tune of investments

Neutral

to

Energy

Investment allowance of 15% for
investment in plant & machinery

Impact
What’s in for Energy Sector?
Power
Announcement in Budget

Implications

Impact

30% increase in plan expense

This will see more number of projects coming up in power
and other infra sector, a positive for OEM’s

Positive

CCI to take up decisions on more
Power projects

This will help remove the clearance bottlenecks and will
speed the project commissioning provided if implemented
shortly

Neutral

Power transmission system from
Srinagar to Leh at an expense of
INR 228 Crore in 2013-14

This will provide access of power to the people in remote
areas of the northern part of country and also bring the
surplus power from these regions to deficit regions

Positive
What’s in for Energy Sector?
Coal
Announcement in Budget

Implications

Impact

Differentiation of steam coal and
Cost of imported thermal coal is expected to rise between
bituminous coal removed. To
Rs45 - Rs 75 per tonne. The cost of power generation will
attract 2% custom duty and 2% CVD
increase by 2 to 3 paise per unit.
(Counter veiling duty) on import

Negative

PPP policy framework, with CIL as Indirect opening up the coal market. Competitive bidding and
one of the partners, to increase the ease of clearances.
production of coal
Trading will open up partially

Positive

Focus on coal import, coal blending
and price pooling of coal

Neutral

Ensure fuel supplies to run new power plants coming up by
FY15. Imports to touch 185 MT by FY 17
What’s in for Energy Sector?
Renewables
Announcement in Budget

Implications

Impact

GBI re-introduced in Wind Sector
with allocation of 800 cr.

The industry had pinned their hope on re-introduction of
AD benefit as it helps in greater tax benefit. GBI will allow
the developers to have some additional gains.

Positive

Low interest bearing funds from the
National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF)
to IREDA to on-lend to viable
renewable energy projects. The
scheme will have a life span of 5
years.

NCEF (2010): INR 50/tonne cess; Corpus: INR 5000 crores.
Soft loans @ 5-8% through IREDA will augur well for the
small and medium segment investors to develop
renewable energy projects.

Positive
What’s in for Energy Sector?
Oil & Gas
Announcement in Budget

Implications

Impact

Move to revenue-sharing from
profit-sharing policy

This will bring greater transparency
Risk of producers in terms of not being able to recover
their costs

Neutral

NELP blocks that were awarded but
are stalled will be cleared

Sends out a positive signal for the international investor
community about government will to expedite on
development of O&G blocks

Neutral

+ve Impact: Consumption of diesel rose just 0.24% and LPG only 0.31 % and petrol
rose 8.7% in between Jan and Oct
Fiscal Budget: Oil & Gas Sector
• Budget included some old wine proposals such as Dabhol LNG terminal and
shale E&P policy
• Natural gas pricing may benefit the domestic gas producers but again leaves a
question mark at the level of comfort of power producers.
• No clarity on subsidy sharing, relaxation or extension of tax holiday clauses,

and exemptions from service tax.
Subsidies
Subsidies FY10 to FY14
3 F’s: Fuel, Fertilizer, Food account for 90% of subsidies
300000

250000

200000

Total Subsidy
As % of GDP
Food

150000

Fertilizer
Petroleum
Interest

100000

Others
50000

0
FY10

As % of GDP

FY11

FY12

FY13BE

FY13RE

FY14BE

2.10%

2.10%

2.40%

1.90%

2.60%

2%

FY14 RE:
9% more than BE
At the end, what matters is intentions to implement whatever has
been planned which in turn requires strong administration.
Hopefully there will be a change in the way our policies have been
administered
THANK YOU

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Indian Fiscal Budget 2013-14: Analysis on Energy Sector

  • 1. Fiscal Budget:2013-14 IMPLICATIONS ON ENERGY SECTOR Presented by Group 4 Amistya Kumar Hareesh Nalam Raman Sharma Saurav Shridhar Tarini Prasad Sahoo
  • 2. Agenda • Fiscal Budget : Backdrop • Fiscal Budget : Objective • Fiscal Budget : A macro-economic perspective • Fiscal Arithmetic for Financial Year 2014 • Fiscal Budget : What’s in for Energy Sector • Power, Coal, Renewables, Oil & Gas Sector
  • 3. Backdrop of Budget • Slowing Global Economy • Increasing Fiscal Deficit & CAD • Dark shadow of Inflation • Quest for sustainable and inclusive development • Impending General Elections
  • 4. Fiscal Budget : Objective Taxation, Public Savings & Private savings Development by effective Mobilization of Resources Investment in Poverty Alleviation Programmes Efficient allocation of Financial Resources Reduction in inequalities of Income and Wealth Encourage production of desirable goods and discourage socially undesirable goods. Facilitates the capital formation Reducing the Deficit in the Balance of Payment Increasing National Income Imposing duties on imports or by giving subsidies to export. Foreign Exchange Earnings Encourage more exports
  • 5. Fiscal Budget 2013-14: A macro-economic perspective • Finance minister has articulated a Fiscal Deficit (FD) target of 4.8% of GDP during FY14 • Total expenditure has been budgeted at 16,652.97 bn, a 16% increase as compared to the revised estimates (RE) of FY13 • The budget estimates a higher collection of tax and non tax revenue • Focus of the government towards increasing investment in infrastructure • Measures would yield the desired results only on effective and timely execution
  • 6. Fiscal Arithmetic for Financial Year 2014 • Reviving the economy on a sustainable growth remains a major challenge during FY14. • The subsidy though budgeted to decrease by 10.3% during FY14 from the revised estimates of FY13; is budgeted to increase by over 21.6% over the budget estimates of FY13. • For FY14, the gross tax receipts are budgeted to increase by 14.7% over FY13 (BE) and by 19.1% over FY13 (RE). • Government plans to generate 558.14 bn through disinvestments which is almost more than double the revised estimates of FY13 which is 240.00 bn.
  • 8. What’s in for Energy Sector? Power Announcement in Budget Implications Deduction under Section 80 –IA extended till 31st March 2015 Power generation companies are eligible for 100% deduction of the profits for 10 consecutive years during the first 15 years of operations. The benefit under this section was earlier available only until FY2013 which is extended till FY2015. This will be of a major advantage to project developers, as it will substantially reduce their tax burden. Positive Higher allocations projects This will see an increased investment in the energy projects and hence in power projects too Neutral This may give an impetus to have more investments in power equipment manufacturing market and OEM’s might increase the tune of investments Neutral to Energy Investment allowance of 15% for investment in plant & machinery Impact
  • 9. What’s in for Energy Sector? Power Announcement in Budget Implications Impact 30% increase in plan expense This will see more number of projects coming up in power and other infra sector, a positive for OEM’s Positive CCI to take up decisions on more Power projects This will help remove the clearance bottlenecks and will speed the project commissioning provided if implemented shortly Neutral Power transmission system from Srinagar to Leh at an expense of INR 228 Crore in 2013-14 This will provide access of power to the people in remote areas of the northern part of country and also bring the surplus power from these regions to deficit regions Positive
  • 10. What’s in for Energy Sector? Coal Announcement in Budget Implications Impact Differentiation of steam coal and Cost of imported thermal coal is expected to rise between bituminous coal removed. To Rs45 - Rs 75 per tonne. The cost of power generation will attract 2% custom duty and 2% CVD increase by 2 to 3 paise per unit. (Counter veiling duty) on import Negative PPP policy framework, with CIL as Indirect opening up the coal market. Competitive bidding and one of the partners, to increase the ease of clearances. production of coal Trading will open up partially Positive Focus on coal import, coal blending and price pooling of coal Neutral Ensure fuel supplies to run new power plants coming up by FY15. Imports to touch 185 MT by FY 17
  • 11. What’s in for Energy Sector? Renewables Announcement in Budget Implications Impact GBI re-introduced in Wind Sector with allocation of 800 cr. The industry had pinned their hope on re-introduction of AD benefit as it helps in greater tax benefit. GBI will allow the developers to have some additional gains. Positive Low interest bearing funds from the National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF) to IREDA to on-lend to viable renewable energy projects. The scheme will have a life span of 5 years. NCEF (2010): INR 50/tonne cess; Corpus: INR 5000 crores. Soft loans @ 5-8% through IREDA will augur well for the small and medium segment investors to develop renewable energy projects. Positive
  • 12. What’s in for Energy Sector? Oil & Gas Announcement in Budget Implications Impact Move to revenue-sharing from profit-sharing policy This will bring greater transparency Risk of producers in terms of not being able to recover their costs Neutral NELP blocks that were awarded but are stalled will be cleared Sends out a positive signal for the international investor community about government will to expedite on development of O&G blocks Neutral +ve Impact: Consumption of diesel rose just 0.24% and LPG only 0.31 % and petrol rose 8.7% in between Jan and Oct
  • 13. Fiscal Budget: Oil & Gas Sector • Budget included some old wine proposals such as Dabhol LNG terminal and shale E&P policy • Natural gas pricing may benefit the domestic gas producers but again leaves a question mark at the level of comfort of power producers. • No clarity on subsidy sharing, relaxation or extension of tax holiday clauses, and exemptions from service tax.
  • 15. Subsidies FY10 to FY14 3 F’s: Fuel, Fertilizer, Food account for 90% of subsidies 300000 250000 200000 Total Subsidy As % of GDP Food 150000 Fertilizer Petroleum Interest 100000 Others 50000 0 FY10 As % of GDP FY11 FY12 FY13BE FY13RE FY14BE 2.10% 2.10% 2.40% 1.90% 2.60% 2% FY14 RE: 9% more than BE
  • 16. At the end, what matters is intentions to implement whatever has been planned which in turn requires strong administration. Hopefully there will be a change in the way our policies have been administered