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Using NAMAs to Generate Carbon
Credits
Case Study: Turkey’s Energy Sector
Amit Bando
Ankara, Turkey
June, 2010
1
ambando@gmail.com
Agenda


Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs)



Carbon Market Trends Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral
Priorities



Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities



Carbon Project Development Needs “Enabling
Environment”
2
Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) -Features


NAMAs should be based on well developed national
and/or sector strategies






maximum impact and avoid overlapping or even contrary
activities
avoids a range of difficulties arising from interdependencies of
single actions

Development finance can be a model for NAMA
finance




existing processes and tools for development finance can give
insights on wins and pitfalls.
existing tools can be adapted where necessary and simplified
where possible
3
Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) Features (continued)

NAMAs are a good tool to target more strategic, long-term,
transformational measures that


 are unlikely to be funded through carbon market mechanisms, which

focus on maximum short-term emission impacts


MRV metrics should follow the setup of the underlying NAMA
 can be based on GHG emissions, but also on other indicators

emissions based MRV at the sectoral level can be possible for broadly
defined NAMAs
 avoids having to attribute reductions to individual measures


4
Carbon Market Trends Need to be Linked to Turkey’s
Sectoral Priorities


Electricity, Energy Market and Supply Security Strategy Document (May, 2009)
includes 500 mini hydro-electric projects planned as part of its focus on using
renewable energy sources


Strategy document aims to increase proportion of hydro-resources in the energy mix




Take full advantage of the nation’s hydro-capacity of 130 billion kWh

Sector plan could benefit by leveraging resources through, among other things


Defining energy products for the carbon market




Capital Market Board is anticipating clarity on this issue before establishing a new trading
exchange

Modifying the energy policy to include carbon finance as a policy instrument


Tie the instrument to a renewable energy master plan

5
Carbon Market Trends Need to be Linked to Turkey’s
Sectoral Priorities (continued)


Turkish government’s Country Partnership Strategy developed with
The World Bank






77% of CO2 emissions originate from the power-generation sector -- the
Strategy is encouraging in its emphasis on the energy sector
Focuses on using a Clean Technology Fund to promote energy efficiency
and clean technology initiatives

Coordinated effort to harmonize energy and environmental initiatives
should generate a steady flow of projects for the VCMs.




Build on chemical and steel industry initiatives to promote industrial
energy efficiency through changes in motors and improvements in enduse efficiencies
The Clean Technology Fund does not consider the “carbon value” of
projects -- this could be corrected to enhance flow of projects into VCMs
6
Carbon Market Trends Need to be Linked to Turkey’s
Sectoral Priorities (continued)


National Afforestation Plan (2008-2012) allows for annual
investments of US$ 700 million on protection and
rehabilitation of forest cover in Turkey




Turkey’s forest cover is increasing over time

Many MoEF (Directorate of Forestry) initiatives could be
turned into carbon projects under the evolving REDD program
in the post-2012 era


Among other options, MoEF could use a Build Own Operate (BOO)
structure to “outsource” process of PDD development, monitoring and
carbon management to private sector entities

7
NAMAs Should Promote Sustainable Development



Climate change mitigation needs international cooperation
guided by the Framework Convention and in accordance with
the principle of “common but differentiated responsibilities



NAMAs by should be coordinated with goals of development
and poverty eradication



Sustainable development will provide effective responses to
climate change
8
For Turkey, NAMAs are Voluntary and Distinct from
Emissions Reduction Targets of Developed Nations



Turkey has no binding emissions reduction targets



The NAMAs should





include concrete actions and project activities
reflect national circumstances, priorities and
sustainable development options
depend on measurable, reportable and verifiable technology, finance
and capacity building support

9
For Turkey, NAMAs should be Enabled by Technology,
Financing and Capacity Building



Initially, public sources should be used to provide
technology, financing and capacity building support that
should be







new, additional and adequate
predictable and sustained
measurable, reportable and verifiable
additional to existing ODA (in the case of international flows)

Aim to trigger market development and sustained support
from private sector
10
Agenda


Carbon Market Trends Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral
Priorities



Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities



Carbon Project Development Needs “Enabling
Environment”

11
Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities



Focus on renewable energy development







Use international standards to develop high quality VERs
Leverage current knowledge in private sector
Focus on grid-connected and non-grid connected projects
Renewable energy certificates (RECs) could be generated

Focus on methane reduction projects





Livestock, landfill and coal mine projects should be the priority
Methane’s global warming potential is very high and project carbon credits are
easy to develop and monitor
Projects are viewed favorably -- global demand is high

12
Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities


Focus on biological carbon sequestration projects







However, forest-based projects are also controversial




Continue to be among the most traded credit type on the market
With its vast forest sector, Turkey should be at the forefront of generating
carbon credits in this sector
May be valued more highly on the OTC market for their bundled social
and environmental co-benefits

Issues such as permanence, leakage, investment risks, and accounting
questions, have plagued this category of projects in VCMs
 One explanation for their decreased market share in the OTC VCMs

Over the next several years, the VCMs will likely become testing
ground for REDD


Turkey is well positioned to take full advantage of this situation
13
Agenda


Carbon Market Trends Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral
Priorities



Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities



Carbon Project Development Needs “Enabling
Environment”

14
Establish an “enabling environment”


Conduct a needs assessment to identify gaps in
command-and-control regime



Develop and strengthen standards, permit process,
monitoring protocols and enforcement mechanisms



Develop and harmonize laws, implementing regulations
and institutional support



Develop baseline data, starting with priority sectors



Determine evaluation protocols and guidelines

15
Establish an “Enabling Environment” - Address
Gaps in Command-and-Control Regime


Create a positive legislative and regulatory environment - in the near term,
new regulations and implementing guidelines could be put in place to:






Guarantee project developers ownership of the carbon rights
Link VERs to CERs to ensure that the two asset classes are fungible
Establish a reasonable time-line for the country-approval process that includes
a process for timely review of sector-specific issues

Legislation should emphasize that, without carbon financing, the nation
stands to lose significant international investment flows into priority sectors

16
Establish an “Enabling Environment” - Address
Gaps in Investment Regime and Harmonize Laws


Develop economic and financial incentives - Clean Technology Fund
could work with the Capital Market Board, Board of Investment and
Chambers of Commerce to facilitate investor participation in carbon
projects



Financial assistance that the government could give to projects include:






Tax incentives for projects
Low interest loans for project development
Direct grants for project development

Overseas investors could be targeted





Encourage FDI and government–to-government investment in carbon projects
Encourage multinational companies to invest in carbon projects in sectors
where they have a large presence as part of their GHG portfolios
Provide project development technical assistance
17
Establish an “Enabling Environment” - Build on the
Momentum Generated by the Private Sector


Experience gained through active private sector participation in the VCMs
could be used to jump-start the national carbon market strategy



In the near term, the government could








Develop sector-based feed-in tariffs for renewable energy projects
Provide a framework for “business-as-usual” scenarios for key sectors
Standardize emissions factors for key processes
Adopt the public-private-partnership (PPP) approach to some type of project
development
Establish a national registry to record carbon projects developed in Turkey
Promote awareness and increase outreach to publicize carbon assets

18
Turkey may not want to wait for the Global Carbon
Markets to mature further


Prepare for the future


Active market participation by the private sector is a reality
-- facilitate it



Average value of Turkey’s VERs is low -- increase it



Opportunity to benefit from the VCM is limited by lack of
institutional support -- improve it
19

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Turkey: Proposed Carbon Registry

  • 1. Using NAMAs to Generate Carbon Credits Case Study: Turkey’s Energy Sector Amit Bando Ankara, Turkey June, 2010 1 ambando@gmail.com
  • 2. Agenda  Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs)  Carbon Market Trends Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral Priorities  Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities  Carbon Project Development Needs “Enabling Environment” 2
  • 3. Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) -Features  NAMAs should be based on well developed national and/or sector strategies    maximum impact and avoid overlapping or even contrary activities avoids a range of difficulties arising from interdependencies of single actions Development finance can be a model for NAMA finance   existing processes and tools for development finance can give insights on wins and pitfalls. existing tools can be adapted where necessary and simplified where possible 3
  • 4. Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) Features (continued) NAMAs are a good tool to target more strategic, long-term, transformational measures that   are unlikely to be funded through carbon market mechanisms, which focus on maximum short-term emission impacts  MRV metrics should follow the setup of the underlying NAMA  can be based on GHG emissions, but also on other indicators emissions based MRV at the sectoral level can be possible for broadly defined NAMAs  avoids having to attribute reductions to individual measures  4
  • 5. Carbon Market Trends Need to be Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral Priorities  Electricity, Energy Market and Supply Security Strategy Document (May, 2009) includes 500 mini hydro-electric projects planned as part of its focus on using renewable energy sources  Strategy document aims to increase proportion of hydro-resources in the energy mix   Take full advantage of the nation’s hydro-capacity of 130 billion kWh Sector plan could benefit by leveraging resources through, among other things  Defining energy products for the carbon market   Capital Market Board is anticipating clarity on this issue before establishing a new trading exchange Modifying the energy policy to include carbon finance as a policy instrument  Tie the instrument to a renewable energy master plan 5
  • 6. Carbon Market Trends Need to be Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral Priorities (continued)  Turkish government’s Country Partnership Strategy developed with The World Bank    77% of CO2 emissions originate from the power-generation sector -- the Strategy is encouraging in its emphasis on the energy sector Focuses on using a Clean Technology Fund to promote energy efficiency and clean technology initiatives Coordinated effort to harmonize energy and environmental initiatives should generate a steady flow of projects for the VCMs.   Build on chemical and steel industry initiatives to promote industrial energy efficiency through changes in motors and improvements in enduse efficiencies The Clean Technology Fund does not consider the “carbon value” of projects -- this could be corrected to enhance flow of projects into VCMs 6
  • 7. Carbon Market Trends Need to be Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral Priorities (continued)  National Afforestation Plan (2008-2012) allows for annual investments of US$ 700 million on protection and rehabilitation of forest cover in Turkey   Turkey’s forest cover is increasing over time Many MoEF (Directorate of Forestry) initiatives could be turned into carbon projects under the evolving REDD program in the post-2012 era  Among other options, MoEF could use a Build Own Operate (BOO) structure to “outsource” process of PDD development, monitoring and carbon management to private sector entities 7
  • 8. NAMAs Should Promote Sustainable Development  Climate change mitigation needs international cooperation guided by the Framework Convention and in accordance with the principle of “common but differentiated responsibilities  NAMAs by should be coordinated with goals of development and poverty eradication  Sustainable development will provide effective responses to climate change 8
  • 9. For Turkey, NAMAs are Voluntary and Distinct from Emissions Reduction Targets of Developed Nations  Turkey has no binding emissions reduction targets  The NAMAs should    include concrete actions and project activities reflect national circumstances, priorities and sustainable development options depend on measurable, reportable and verifiable technology, finance and capacity building support 9
  • 10. For Turkey, NAMAs should be Enabled by Technology, Financing and Capacity Building  Initially, public sources should be used to provide technology, financing and capacity building support that should be      new, additional and adequate predictable and sustained measurable, reportable and verifiable additional to existing ODA (in the case of international flows) Aim to trigger market development and sustained support from private sector 10
  • 11. Agenda  Carbon Market Trends Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral Priorities  Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities  Carbon Project Development Needs “Enabling Environment” 11
  • 12. Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities  Focus on renewable energy development      Use international standards to develop high quality VERs Leverage current knowledge in private sector Focus on grid-connected and non-grid connected projects Renewable energy certificates (RECs) could be generated Focus on methane reduction projects    Livestock, landfill and coal mine projects should be the priority Methane’s global warming potential is very high and project carbon credits are easy to develop and monitor Projects are viewed favorably -- global demand is high 12
  • 13. Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities  Focus on biological carbon sequestration projects     However, forest-based projects are also controversial   Continue to be among the most traded credit type on the market With its vast forest sector, Turkey should be at the forefront of generating carbon credits in this sector May be valued more highly on the OTC market for their bundled social and environmental co-benefits Issues such as permanence, leakage, investment risks, and accounting questions, have plagued this category of projects in VCMs  One explanation for their decreased market share in the OTC VCMs Over the next several years, the VCMs will likely become testing ground for REDD  Turkey is well positioned to take full advantage of this situation 13
  • 14. Agenda  Carbon Market Trends Linked to Turkey’s Sectoral Priorities  Turkey’s Sectoral Plans Suggest Project Priorities  Carbon Project Development Needs “Enabling Environment” 14
  • 15. Establish an “enabling environment”  Conduct a needs assessment to identify gaps in command-and-control regime  Develop and strengthen standards, permit process, monitoring protocols and enforcement mechanisms  Develop and harmonize laws, implementing regulations and institutional support  Develop baseline data, starting with priority sectors  Determine evaluation protocols and guidelines 15
  • 16. Establish an “Enabling Environment” - Address Gaps in Command-and-Control Regime  Create a positive legislative and regulatory environment - in the near term, new regulations and implementing guidelines could be put in place to:     Guarantee project developers ownership of the carbon rights Link VERs to CERs to ensure that the two asset classes are fungible Establish a reasonable time-line for the country-approval process that includes a process for timely review of sector-specific issues Legislation should emphasize that, without carbon financing, the nation stands to lose significant international investment flows into priority sectors 16
  • 17. Establish an “Enabling Environment” - Address Gaps in Investment Regime and Harmonize Laws  Develop economic and financial incentives - Clean Technology Fund could work with the Capital Market Board, Board of Investment and Chambers of Commerce to facilitate investor participation in carbon projects  Financial assistance that the government could give to projects include:     Tax incentives for projects Low interest loans for project development Direct grants for project development Overseas investors could be targeted    Encourage FDI and government–to-government investment in carbon projects Encourage multinational companies to invest in carbon projects in sectors where they have a large presence as part of their GHG portfolios Provide project development technical assistance 17
  • 18. Establish an “Enabling Environment” - Build on the Momentum Generated by the Private Sector  Experience gained through active private sector participation in the VCMs could be used to jump-start the national carbon market strategy  In the near term, the government could       Develop sector-based feed-in tariffs for renewable energy projects Provide a framework for “business-as-usual” scenarios for key sectors Standardize emissions factors for key processes Adopt the public-private-partnership (PPP) approach to some type of project development Establish a national registry to record carbon projects developed in Turkey Promote awareness and increase outreach to publicize carbon assets 18
  • 19. Turkey may not want to wait for the Global Carbon Markets to mature further  Prepare for the future  Active market participation by the private sector is a reality -- facilitate it  Average value of Turkey’s VERs is low -- increase it  Opportunity to benefit from the VCM is limited by lack of institutional support -- improve it 19