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PRESENTATION ONQUANTITATIVE
TECHNIQUES
By- Paridhi Kariwala
About Banking Sector in India:
The Banking sector in India has always been one of the most preferred
destinations for employment. In this decade, this sector has emerged
as a sunrise sector in the Indian economy. Banking sector index has
grown at a compounded annual rate of over 51 per cent since the
year 2001.The Banking Industry is recruiting in a big way. In the next
five years , banks will have to recruit almost 7.5 lakh people .
Now, banks have diversified their activities and getting into new
products and services. The expansion of the banking sector and its
convergence with the other financial sectors such as
insurance,NBFCs and Capital markets,retirement of the existing
employees and financial inclusion have created more number of
opportunities in the banking sector.
Top 3 Banks in India:


State Bank of India.



ICICI Bank.



Punjab National
Bank.
1. State Bank Of India








The Largest state owned banking and financial
services company in India.
Which provides banking services to the customers,
and was incorporated in the year 1955.
Provided a range of financial services , which
includes life insurance, merchant banking, mutual
funds, credit card, factoring, security trading, pension
fund management and primary dealership in the
money market.
Its market capitalization is around (Rs. Cr.) 113,751
Revenue generated by SBI (Mar’09Mar’13)
Forecast of SBI for the year
2014
YEAR

NET PROFIT OF SBI(in
crore)(y)

Yt=a+bx(10295+1 Yt/y*10
251.5x)
0

RELATIVE TIME(X)

XY

X2
4

7792

85.42

2009

9121

-2

18242

2010
2011

9166
7370

-1
0

-9166
0

1
0

9043.5
10295

98.67
139.68

2012

11713

1

11713

1

11546.5

98.57

2013

14105

2

28210

4

12798

90.7

12515

10

51475

a=51475/5 = 10295

b=12515/10 =
1251.5

FORECAST FOR THE YEAR 2014
Yt=a+bx(10295+151.5*3) = 14049.5
The Graphical Presentation for
SBI
14000
12000
10000
RELATIVE TIME(X)
8000
6000
NET PROFIT OF SBI(in
crore)(y)

4000
2000
0
2009

2010

2011

2012
2. ICICI Bank








ICICI Bank is the second largest bank with total
assets of Rs. 3849.70 bn and profit after tax Rs.
17.42 bn for the half year ended Sept 30th, 2008.
The bank has a network of about 1,400 branches
and 4,530 ATM’s in India and presence in 18
countries.
ICICI’s shareholding in ICICI Bank was reduced to
46% through a public offering of shares in India in
1998.
The fields where the bank deals in are
Deposits, Loans, Investments, Cards, Insurance, Onl
ine Services.
Revenue generated by ICICI Bank
(Mar’09- Mar’13)
Forecast of ICICI Bank for the year
2014
YEAR
2009

NET PROFIT
OF ICICI(IN
CRORE)(y)
6193

RELATIVE
TIME(X)
-2

XY
-12386

X2
4

2010

6834

-1

-6834

1

7398.8

108.26

2011

8615

0

0

0

9700.8

112.6

2012

11483

1

11483

1

12002.9

104.5

2013

15379

2

30758

4

14305

93.01

23021

10

48504
a=48504/5 = 9700.8

Yt=a+bx(9700.8+2
302.1x)
Yt/y*100
5096.6
82.2

b=23021/10 = 2302.1

FORECAST FOR THE YEAR 2014
Y=a+bx(9700.8+2302.1*3) =16607.1
The Graphical Presentation for ICICI
Bank
15000
10000
5000

NET PROFIT OF
ICICI(IN CRORE)(y)
RELATIVE TIME(X)

0
2009
-5000
-10000

-15000

2010

2011

2012

XY
3. Punjab National
Bank









PNB is a state financial services company.
Registered on May 19, 1894.
The third largest government - owned commercial
Bank.
Ranked 1243 in Forbes Global 2000.
5100 branches across 764 cities which includes 5
overseas branches.
More than 60 million satisfied customers.
Revenue generated by Punjab National
Bank
(Mar’09- Mar’13)
Forecast of PNB Bank for the year
2014
YEAR
2009

NET PROFIT
OF PNB(in
crores)(y)
3090

RELATIVE
TIME(X)
-2

XY
-6180

X2
4

2010

3913

-1

-3913

1

3784.9

96.72

2011

4433

0

0

0

4213.4

95.04

2012

4884

1

4884

1

4641.9

94.49

2013

4747

2

9494

4

3356.4

70.7

4285

10

21067
a=21067/5 = 4213.4

Yt=a+bx(4213.4+428.5
*x)
Yt/y*100
3356
108.6

b=4285/10 = 428.5

FORECAST FOR THE YEAR 2014
Yt=a+bx(4213.4+428.5*3)=5498.9
The Graphical Presentation for PNB
Bank
12000

10000
8000
XY

6000

RELATIVE TIME(X)

4000

NET PROFIT OF
PNB(in crores)(y)

2000
0

-2000
-4000

2009

2010

2011

2012
Quantitative Techinques

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Quantitative Techinques

  • 2. About Banking Sector in India: The Banking sector in India has always been one of the most preferred destinations for employment. In this decade, this sector has emerged as a sunrise sector in the Indian economy. Banking sector index has grown at a compounded annual rate of over 51 per cent since the year 2001.The Banking Industry is recruiting in a big way. In the next five years , banks will have to recruit almost 7.5 lakh people . Now, banks have diversified their activities and getting into new products and services. The expansion of the banking sector and its convergence with the other financial sectors such as insurance,NBFCs and Capital markets,retirement of the existing employees and financial inclusion have created more number of opportunities in the banking sector.
  • 3. Top 3 Banks in India:  State Bank of India.  ICICI Bank.  Punjab National Bank.
  • 4. 1. State Bank Of India     The Largest state owned banking and financial services company in India. Which provides banking services to the customers, and was incorporated in the year 1955. Provided a range of financial services , which includes life insurance, merchant banking, mutual funds, credit card, factoring, security trading, pension fund management and primary dealership in the money market. Its market capitalization is around (Rs. Cr.) 113,751
  • 5. Revenue generated by SBI (Mar’09Mar’13)
  • 6. Forecast of SBI for the year 2014 YEAR NET PROFIT OF SBI(in crore)(y) Yt=a+bx(10295+1 Yt/y*10 251.5x) 0 RELATIVE TIME(X) XY X2 4 7792 85.42 2009 9121 -2 18242 2010 2011 9166 7370 -1 0 -9166 0 1 0 9043.5 10295 98.67 139.68 2012 11713 1 11713 1 11546.5 98.57 2013 14105 2 28210 4 12798 90.7 12515 10 51475 a=51475/5 = 10295 b=12515/10 = 1251.5 FORECAST FOR THE YEAR 2014 Yt=a+bx(10295+151.5*3) = 14049.5
  • 7. The Graphical Presentation for SBI 14000 12000 10000 RELATIVE TIME(X) 8000 6000 NET PROFIT OF SBI(in crore)(y) 4000 2000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012
  • 8. 2. ICICI Bank     ICICI Bank is the second largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3849.70 bn and profit after tax Rs. 17.42 bn for the half year ended Sept 30th, 2008. The bank has a network of about 1,400 branches and 4,530 ATM’s in India and presence in 18 countries. ICICI’s shareholding in ICICI Bank was reduced to 46% through a public offering of shares in India in 1998. The fields where the bank deals in are Deposits, Loans, Investments, Cards, Insurance, Onl ine Services.
  • 9. Revenue generated by ICICI Bank (Mar’09- Mar’13)
  • 10. Forecast of ICICI Bank for the year 2014 YEAR 2009 NET PROFIT OF ICICI(IN CRORE)(y) 6193 RELATIVE TIME(X) -2 XY -12386 X2 4 2010 6834 -1 -6834 1 7398.8 108.26 2011 8615 0 0 0 9700.8 112.6 2012 11483 1 11483 1 12002.9 104.5 2013 15379 2 30758 4 14305 93.01 23021 10 48504 a=48504/5 = 9700.8 Yt=a+bx(9700.8+2 302.1x) Yt/y*100 5096.6 82.2 b=23021/10 = 2302.1 FORECAST FOR THE YEAR 2014 Y=a+bx(9700.8+2302.1*3) =16607.1
  • 11. The Graphical Presentation for ICICI Bank 15000 10000 5000 NET PROFIT OF ICICI(IN CRORE)(y) RELATIVE TIME(X) 0 2009 -5000 -10000 -15000 2010 2011 2012 XY
  • 12. 3. Punjab National Bank       PNB is a state financial services company. Registered on May 19, 1894. The third largest government - owned commercial Bank. Ranked 1243 in Forbes Global 2000. 5100 branches across 764 cities which includes 5 overseas branches. More than 60 million satisfied customers.
  • 13. Revenue generated by Punjab National Bank (Mar’09- Mar’13)
  • 14. Forecast of PNB Bank for the year 2014 YEAR 2009 NET PROFIT OF PNB(in crores)(y) 3090 RELATIVE TIME(X) -2 XY -6180 X2 4 2010 3913 -1 -3913 1 3784.9 96.72 2011 4433 0 0 0 4213.4 95.04 2012 4884 1 4884 1 4641.9 94.49 2013 4747 2 9494 4 3356.4 70.7 4285 10 21067 a=21067/5 = 4213.4 Yt=a+bx(4213.4+428.5 *x) Yt/y*100 3356 108.6 b=4285/10 = 428.5 FORECAST FOR THE YEAR 2014 Yt=a+bx(4213.4+428.5*3)=5498.9
  • 15. The Graphical Presentation for PNB Bank 12000 10000 8000 XY 6000 RELATIVE TIME(X) 4000 NET PROFIT OF PNB(in crores)(y) 2000 0 -2000 -4000 2009 2010 2011 2012