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International Forestry Review Vol.8(4), 2006 439 
A comparison between TCM and CVM in assessing the 
recreational use value of urban forestry 
P. CHAUDHRY and V.P. TEWARI 
Silviculture Division, Arid Forest Research Institute, Jodhpur 342 005, India 
Email: pradeepifs@yahoo.com, vptewari@yahoo.com 
SUMMARY 
In a developing country such as India the contingent valuation method (CVM) cannot always provide a correct valuation of recreational use 
benefits of an environmental resource given the huge size of the parallel economy involving different categories of middle to upper income 
group families which have the capacity to move as tourists. The ‘participant observation method’ and ‘unstructured interview schedule’ 
are necessary tools to be used in such cases, in addition to a ‘structured interview schedule’ which is used for primary data collection in 
the travel cost method (TCM) and the CVM under normal circumstances. A general model depicting the relation of the ratio of consumer 
surplus estimated in TCM and CVM with ‘corruption perception index’ has been developed in the case of tourists from various countries 
with different world rankings in so far as their parallel economy and level of corruption are concerned. 
Keywords: TCM, CVM, Chandigarh, urban forestry, recreational use value 
Comparaison entre la méthode de coût de déplacement et celle de la valuation contingente 
dans leur évaluation de la valeur récréative de la foresterie urbaine 
P. CHAUDHRY et V.P. TEWARI 
Dans un pays en voie de développement comme l’Inde, la méthode de valuation contingente (CVM) ne peut pas toujours fournir une 
évalutation correcte des avantages de l’utilisation récréative d’une ressource environnementale, du fait de la taille imposante d’une économie 
parrallèle qui implique plusieurs catégories de familles aux revenus moyens et supérieurs possédant la capacité de se déplacer en touristes. 
La “méthode d’observation participationnelle” et les “projets d’interview non-structurés” sont des outils qu’il est nécessaire d’utiliser dans 
ces cas, en plus d’un “programme d’interview structuré” utilisé pour la prise de données de base dans la méthode du coût de déplacement 
(TCM), et la CVM, quand les circonstances sont normales. Un modèle général décrivant la relation de la proportion du surplus estimé 
des consommateurs dans la TCM et la VCM, avec l’ “index de perception de la corruption”, a été développé dans le cas de touristes en 
provenance de parties du monde classées différemment, du point de vue de leur économie parrallèle et de leur degré de corruption. 
Una comparación entre los métodos MCV y MVC para la evaluación del valor para uso 
recreacional del manejo forestal urbano: ejemplo de un país en vías de desarrollo con fuerte 
influencia de dinero negro 
P. CHAUDHRY y V.P. TEWARI 
En un país en vías de desarrollo como la India, el método de valoración contingente (MVC) no es siempre capaz de proporcionar una 
evaluación correcta de los beneficios de uso recreacional de un recurso ambiental, dada la importancia abrumadora de la economía paralela, 
que abarca diferentes categorías de familias de ingresos medios y altos que tienen la posibilidad de hacer turismo. El “método de observación 
por participantes” y el “programa no estructurado de entrevistas” constituyen instrumentso necesarios para estos casos, además de un 
“programa estructurado de entrevistas” que se utiliza en circunstancias normales para la recolección de datos primarios según el método del 
costo de viaje (MCV) y el MVC. Se ha desarrollado un modelo general que describe la relación entre el ratio de excedentes de consumidores 
(calculado según el MCV y el MVC y el “índice de percepción de la corrupción”, para aplicar en el caso de turistas procedentes de varios 
países con diferente clasificación mundial en lo que se refiere a su economía paralela y nivel de corrupción. 
INTRODUCTION 
Forests are increasingly exposed to intensive recreational use 
and leisure activities (Cole 1996, Dwyer 1994, Satchell 1998) 
particularly in and around urban areas (Winter et al. 1999). 
An increase in the middle-class population in urban areas, 
their educational background, income, mobility, accessibility 
to easy credits from banks and leisure for large population
P. Chaudhry 440 and V.P. Tewari 
groups have contributed to growing participation in urban 
forest recreation. Concern for the urban-forest recreation 
and other park related activities has risen as a public issue 
(Mohd Shahwahid et al.. 1998). Awareness of the potential 
value of forest recreation and other non-market benefits is 
not new, but serious attempts at quantification of such values 
are comparatively recent (Christensen 1983, Willis and 
Benson 1989). 
Estimation of non-market benefits of forests has for 
a long time assumed a prominent place in developed and 
industrialized nations of Europe. The National Audit Office 
(1986) of Great Britain has pointed out the importance of 
recreational value of country’s forests and has given the 
opinion that it was extremely desirable that the benefits of 
such non-market or non-priced facilities provided by the 
Forestry Commission e.g. forest walks, picnic areas etc. 
should be valued and estimated in a commensurate way, to 
add to the benefits of forestry as recorded through the sale of 
timber. The National Audit Office report has said, ‘Although 
charges for using the Commission’s non-commercial 
facilities are levied where practicable, the cost of providing 
them is mainly subsidised through the forest recreation and 
amenity subsidy. In national economic terms, these non-commercial 
facilities produce a ‘consumer surplus’ which 
has been estimated to be around ten million pounds per 
annum, worked out in terms of the cost of travelling etc. 
to make use of them. Due to various assumptions in the 
calculation, it is possible that this surplus could be slightly 
greater (Willis 1991). 
The various benefits, both the market and non-market, of 
urban forests are often ignored. On the other hand, various 
developmental options to the area may be attractive to 
politicians and bureaucrats due to immediate return from 
development projects. It has been observed that urban 
parks and open spaces left for green belt formation in the 
future are subject to development pressure, particulalry 
in developing countries. One possible reason for this is 
that recreation planners and researchers have been unable 
to articulate their value in economic terms (More et al.. 
1988). If benefits from the urban forest areas are not 
properly assessed, the authorities’ decision may be biased 
to implementing development activities such as construction 
of schools, shopping-complex, housing-flats etc. in open and 
green spaces. Once the monetary valuation of recreational 
and other non-market benefits is done, it can be introduced 
into public decision-making and cost–benefit analysis of 
the projects. Moreover urban development projects often 
decrease the amenity values of green spaces, which should 
be taken into consideration in planning. 
Bearing these facts in mind, a study was undertaken to 
quantify the recreational benefits of urban forestry of the city 
of Chandigarh in India, which was created after the country’s 
independence in 1947 and known for its urban forestry. To 
estimate the recreational value of the avenues, boulevards 
and green areas of Chandigarh, the contingent valuation 
method (CVM) with open-ended (OE) format was used to 
elicit information from residents of the city while CVM as 
well as the zonal travel cost method (ZTCM) were used for 
estimating consumer surplus per visit in respect of domestic 
tourists coming to the city for tourism purpose. However, in 
this paper only the analysis on the part of domestic tourists 
has been presented. 
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 
Techniques used 
The CVM is used to estimate economic values for all kinds 
of ecosystem and environmental services. This method 
involves directly asking people, in surveys, how much they 
would be willing to pay for a specific environmental service. 
The CVM is referred to us a ‘stated preference’ method, 
because it asks people to directly state their value, rather 
than inferring values from actual choices, as the ‘revealed 
reference’ methods do. 
The travel cost method (TCM) is used to estimate 
economic use values associated with ecosystems or sites that 
are used for recreation. The basic premise of the travel cost 
method is that time and travel cost expenses that people incur 
to visit a site represent the ‘price’ of access to the site. Thus, 
people’s willingness to pay to visit the site can be estimated 
based on the number of trips that they make at different travel 
costs. This is analogous to estimating people’s willingness to 
pay for a marketed good based on the quantity demanded at 
different prices. 
There are several ways to approach the problem, using 
variations of the travel cost method. These include the 
following: 
1. A simple zonal travel cost approach, using mostly 
secondary data, with some simple data collected 
from visitors. 
2. An individual travel cost approach, using a more 
detailed survey of visitors. 
3. A random utility approach using survey and other 
data, and more complicated statistical techniques. 
In the present study, the zonal travel cost method has 
been used as visitors come to Chandigarh city from different 
states of India. The reason is that in the ZTCM the unit of 
analysis is zone i.e. different states or distances from where 
visitors are coming. Under this method visitors are divided 
into different zones of origin. If we consider the criteria as 
distance rather than states, we may draw concentric circles 
around the study site to define zones which has been done 
in the present study. In the ITCM, the concept of zoning is 
absent and the dependent variable is simply the number of 
visits made by the respondent to the site during a year. 
Study site 
Le Corbusier, an eminent French architect and urban 
theorist, is known to be main architect of Chandigarh city’s 
planning. Le Corbusier saw the master plan of Chandigarh 
as analogous to a living organism, with a clearly defined
A comparison between TCM and CVM in urban forestry 441 
head (the Capital Complex, Sector 1), heart (the City Centre, 
Sector 17), lungs (the leisure valley, innumerable open spaces 
and sector greens), the intellect (the cultural and educational 
institutions), the circulatory system (the network of roads, 
the 7 Vs), and the viscera (the industrial Area). The city is 
bounded on the northeast by the Shivalik range of the Green 
Himalayas. 
Tree plantation and landscaping has been an integral part 
of the city’s Master plan. The most fascinating feature of 
the city’s landscaping is perhaps the tree plantation along 
avenues, open spaces, green belts and around building 
complexes. A number of beautiful avenues with conspicuous 
tree species, well wooded forests along the periphery of city, 
Sukhna Lake against the backdrop of lake reserve forest and 
green belts running across the length and breadth of the city 
enhance recreational and aesthetic value of the whole city. 
The total forest cover in the Union Territory is 32.42 sq.km, 
which forms 23.50% of the overall geographical area. The 
green spaces such as the 1900 small and big parks/gardens 
maintained by Municipal Corporation, Chandigarh, green 
belts, road-avenues etc. are in addition to this forest cover of 
23.50%. Thus the green cover of the city is more than 33% 
of its area. The meandering Leisure Valley with its myriad 
colours and texture of its trees and flowers, attract not only 
city dwellers but tourists and other city-planners also. On the 
whole, the city gives the impression of a luxuriant garden. 
A few majestic ornamental trees, which have the capacity 
of attracting an environmentally conscious tourist’s attention 
because of other impressive foliage/flowers in the city, and 
include Chukrasia tabularis, Ficus benjamina, Mognolia 
grandiflora, and Pterospermum acerifolium. 
Data collection 
The study was mainly based on primary data, which was 
collected by using structured and unstructured interview 
schedules and the Participant observation method 
(Manoharan 1996). The unstructured interview schedule 
and Participant observation method are very important 
and crucial in comparing observed behaviour vis-à-vis the 
stated preference of tourists visiting the city. As far as 
structured interview schedule is concerned, a questionnaire 
was prepared for the tourists seeking details about place of 
residence, the mode of transport used, cost of travel, time 
spent on travel and on the site, frequency of visits to the 
city etc. Data on socio-economic status such as occupation, 
education and household income was also sought. It is often 
the case that people in developing countries are reluctant to 
disclose their incomes during surveys, therefore, they were 
requested to tick mark on the ‘income band’ they belong to 
like below Rs. 5000/-, Rs. 5000/- to 10,000/- per month, net 
household income etc. 
Respondents were asked particularly to mention the 
percentage contribution of greenery in the form of urban 
forestry of Chandigarh, which was responsible for making 
the city attractive from tourism point of view. They were 
presented with a range of choices such as 25%, 50%, 75%, 
100% or others. Under the ‘others’ category they were free 
to record any other reason making city attractive for the 
tourists. 
The CVM question was worded in such a way as to 
emphasize how much the individual would be willing to pay 
for only one entrance fee for visiting any park/garden or any 
other tourist spot such as museum etc. in the city. The actual 
wording of the CVM question used to assess recreational 
benefits is as follows: 
‘For the proper maintenance of city environment, mainly 
for maximum greenery in the city and pollution control 
measures, suppose Chandigarh Administration creates an 
ENVIRONMENT FUND. What amount would you be willing 
to contribute per person, while entering the city? No other 
entrance fee shall be charged for visiting any park/garden or 
other spot in the city.’ 
Please bear the following points in your mind while 
answering above question: 
1. Chandigarh is a unique well-planned and green city 
in India. 
2. Your income is limited and has important alternative 
uses. 
3. There are other cities also in India. At present, kindly 
concentrate upon the Chandigarh city only, for 
valuation of recreational aspects of urban forestry.’ 
Sample size and common biases 
Mitchell and Carson (1989) devised a system to determine 
an appropriate sample size for OE contingent valuation 
questions, which relies on the researcher’s choice of an 
acceptable deviation between true WTP and estimated WTP. 
They have also argued that for applications which seek to 
evaluate policy, the sample size should be at least 600. At 
the same time, sample sizes in other studies of TCM and 
CVM, conducted elsewhere, were also seen. Taking all 
these aspects into account, a sample size of 865 tourist 
responses was selected. However, the actual survey produced 
information on 3113 visitors, as a single questionnaire 
was used to interview 904 numbers of groups/families. 
During the course of interviews, a total of 1120 visitors 
were contacted, taking into account proper proportion of 
frequent and non-frequent visitors. Out of this, 154 were 
not considered as their prime objective to the city was not 
tourism, while 62 produced incomplete questionnaire forms, 
resulting in 904 complete forms. The first author carried 
out all the interviews personally during the summer and 
winter seasons of the year 2002. April, May and June were 
treated as summer months, while October, November and 
December were considered as winter months. In this way 
the peak tourist seasons of both summer and winter holidays 
were taken into account. By conducting the survey himself 
an effort was made to maintain a neutral stance throughout 
the interview, to make respondents aware of the questions 
properly and to minimize various kinds of biases associated 
with the two techniques, particularly CVM. Pre-testing of 
the questionnaire for the tourists was carried out during the 
last week of March 2002.
The travel cost method has some common biases that 
were accommodated in the calculation of total travel 
costs for each individual. One recognized problem in the 
application of TCM concerns dealing with multi-destination 
or multi-purpose trips. The problem of multi-purpose trips 
was resolved by contacting only those tourists whose prime 
objective of the visit was tourism. The multiple destination 
trip bias in recreation benefit estimation has remained a 
problem in TCM and has been dealt by Haspel and Johnson 
(1982) and Christensen et al. (1985). Of 904 tourist families, 
501 were on a multi-city visit, mostly to the nearby states 
of Himachal Pradesh and Uttaranchal. The remainder had 
come to visit Chandigarh only on ‘Destination Chandigarh’. 
The majority of tourists who were on a multi-city visit were 
graduates, as revealed during the pre-testing period. They 
were asked what proportion/percentage of their travel-related 
expenditure they would like to allocate to visit of the city in 
order that the problem related to a bias of multi-destination 
visit could be accounted for so that an exaggerated estimate 
of annual recreational use value might not occur. 
Another main problem/bias in the TCM concerns the value 
of the travelling time to reach the site. Some researchers (e.g. 
Smith and Kavanagh 1969, Cesario 1976) indicate that the 
value of travelling time should be included in any analysis 
of recreational demand. In the present study the tourists 
were asked whether they received positive utility from the 
travel experience to the city (from a tourism point of view) 
or whether this travelling had resulted in loss of income-earning 
opportunity. Only 15.80% (143 out of 904) of them 
responded that loss of income-earning opportunity had taken 
place for them and they did not get any positive utility from 
the trip. The remainder of the tourists recevied positive 
utility from their visits. In addition, 15.8% of respondents, 
who were mostly from nearby states, categorically stated 
that they did not get any positive utility out of the trip. Travel 
time costs were added to round trip transportation costs to 
make up total travel costs only for those tourists who noted 
loss of income-earning opportunities. Travel time costs were 
estimated as the product of the round trip travel and on-site 
time (in days) stated by visitors, their monthly average 
income and a factor of 0.3 to reflect the value of time while 
going on vacation is less than the gross wage rate. As far as 
on-site time is concerned, it may be stated that travel time 
is a pure cost for those who do not derive benefit from the 
journey itself. However, for everyone willingness to spend 
time on site time must be regarded as an indication of benefit 
but at the same time its expenditure represents a cost and as 
a result it is possible to ignore on-site time costs. It differs 
fundamentally from travel cost in the classical TCM because 
travel time varies systematically with journey cost, while on-site 
time may not do so. 
Responses of tourists to the CVM questionnaire 
Urban forestry and landscaping has a definite place in making 
Chandigarh city attractive for tourists. When this question 
was put to them the tourists’ response was overwhelmingly 
favourable with 87.67% of respondents citing the city’s 
parks and gardens, ornamental trees and green avenues as 
attractive features thereby suggesting the attractive power of 
city’s urban forestry. 
Of 904 respondents interviewed, 584 answered that 
they had visited Chandigarh more than once during the past 
15-20 years. Out of these, 487 gave their opinion about 
improvement or deterioration in the city’s green cover in 
the form of tree avenues, boulevards, parks and gardens etc. 
during the period. Most respondents (76.88%) were of the 
opinion that this green cover in various forms had improved 
during this period, while only 6.50% (38/584) disagreed. 
The biggest metropolitan cities, i.e. Delhi, Kolkata, 
Mumbai and Chennai, accounted for 12% of the tourists 
(109/904). Approximately 58% of tourists (525/904) came 
from areas up to 400 km from the city, i.e. covering the 
bordering states of the city, while about 68% of them came 
from areas up to 1000 km from the city. The remaining 32% 
of the tourists (traveling from 1000 to 3000 km) mainly 
came from other big cities such as Bhopal, Bangalore, 
Mysore, Nagpur, Cuttack, Coimbatore, Madurai, Selam, 
Vadodara, Indore, Gandhi Nagar, Ahemdabad, Hyderabad, 
Pune, Jabalpur etc. 
Mean willingness to pay (WTP) for the ‘Environment 
Fund’ was found to be highest in the professional category of 
tourists, i.e. Rs. 9.25 per person, followed by private service 
category tourists (Rs. 7.93), Government service (Rs. 7.55), 
and then businessmen (Rs.6.60). The minimum WTP came 
from agriculturists (Rs. 2.20), while the overall mean WTP 
for all the tourists was Rs. 6.734. 
Correlation between WTP and Socio-economic 
variables 
Willingness to pay (WTP) was found to have some correlation 
(r=0.50) with socio-economic variables of the domestic 
tourists such as age, income and education. WTP and age 
were found to be negatively correlated (p<0.01) indicating 
younger visitors were willing to contribute more than the 
older ones. WTP was found to have positive correlation with 
income and education (p<0.01), suggesting that tourists with 
higher incomes and education were willing to pay more. 
These results are in accordance with an earlier study in India 
carried out by Murthy and Menkhaus (1994). 
TCM Analysis 
For TCM (Clawson 1959, Clawson and Knetsch 1966), the 
tourists were segregated district-wise. In total, all the 3113 
visitors from 904 families came from 162 districts covering 
various states of India. The distance travelled by the visitors 
from a particular district was taken from the respective 
district headquarters. The average travel cost per visitor 
was calculated for each district based upon travel cost data 
received during the survey. During the questionnaire survey, 
the mode of transport i.e. personal car (with make/model), 
public bus, train (with class of travel), motor bike etc. was 
recorded and the travel costs mentioned by visitors were 
crosschecked with available standards e.g. for cars, average 
P. Chaudhry 442 and V.P. Tewari
distance covered per litre of fuel which was provide by the 
dealers. Bus and train fares were checked out from concerned 
authorities/timetables. The zonal data model was developed 
using concentric circles at 100 km. intervals from the site. 
Travel costs up to the site for a particular district were 
assumed from the respective District Head Quarter and thus 
for each district a mean cost was computed. This resulted in 
thirty completely filled-up zones. Data for foreign visitors 
was ignored in the analysis, as their number was not sufficient 
to carry out regression analysis. The population figures for 
different districts were taken from provisional census figures 
available for the year 2001, with the Directorate of census 
operations, Government of India, Ministry of Home affairs, 
Chandigarh. 
Travel cost per person for each zone was calculated 
as the weighted average travel cost taking into account 
the number of visits from different districts falling in that 
particular zone and average travel cost per person in each 
district. The analysis was conducted using the Statistical 
Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS 8.0 for Windows). 
Observed numbers of visits per zone (obsvis) were compiled 
on a spreadsheet from survey data, the proportion of visits in 
each zone (propvis) was calculated by dividing the number 
visits in that zone by the total number of visitors. Actual 
numbers of visits (actuvis) was estimated by multiplying 
respective zonal proportions of visits by number of visitors 
per day i.e. 822. Although the average number of tourists per 
year coming to the city on the basis of last four years data, 
is around 462 000 (Directorate of Economics and Statistics, 
2001 and 2002), for analysis purpose, number of tourists 
have been taken on a conservative lower side of 300 000 per 
year or about 822 per day. Visitation rate (vrate) for each 
zone i.e. actual number of visits per zone divided by zonal 
population is given in Table 1. 
Statistical regression was carried out on the zonal model 
with the visitation rate as the dependent variable and travel 
cost as independent variable. Visitation rate was added as 
raw data, and SPSS selected an appropriate curve fit, which 
was a non-linear curve fit obtained through the equation 
vrate = -1.0529 + 2561.81/Travel cost. A plot of the fitted 
TABLE 1 Calculation of Visitation rate for different zones 
A comparison between TCM and CVM in urban forestry 443 
model of the demand curve generated through regression is 
shown in Figure 2 which represents the whole experience 
demand curve. Various models were applied on the data 
and were tested for their predictive ability (based on R2 
and SEE value) in compiling an unbiased estimate of the 
demand curve estimating total number of tourists to the site. 
The inverse model (V/P = a + b/C +error) of the fitting was 
finally selected as the coefficient of determination was found 
to be highest (R2 = 0.981) for this model. From the plot of 
the curve, it is observed that visitation rate becomes almost 
constant irrespective of travel cost after zone number 10. 
This may be due to the fact that nearly all the tourist families 
who were on a ‘Destination Chandigarh’ visit came from first 
ten zones, i.e. up to 1000 km away. The majority of tourists 
beyond 1000 km were on a multi-city visit. Pearse (1990) 
mentions that TCM becomes less reliable when applied 
to recreational sites that attract visitors from a wide area, 
encompassing large populations having different recreational 
alternatives. In order to arrive at a conservative estimate of 
consumer surplus, a statistical regression was carried out 
with visitation rate as the dependent variable and travel 
costs up to 10 zones or 1000 km as the independent variable. 
During the survey it was found that, in general, out of every 
30 tourist families, 20 came to the city for purely tourism 
purposes while remaining 10 families were for other than 
tourism purpose also. Most of such families solely coming 
for tourism were from the first ten zones. Therefore, taking 
two-thirds of average number of tourists per year (462 000, 
average of total number of tourists visited the site from 1998 
to 2001 as per the records of the Directorate of Economics 
and Statistics, Chandigarh Administration), a figure of 300 
000 is arrived at, or 822 per day, which has been used in the 
analysis. 
The above whole-experience demand curve has been used 
for creating a ‘net recreational demand curve’ by adding a 
hypothetical entrance fee to travel costs, e.g. Rs. 25, 50, 100 
etc., and forecasting number of tourists as shown in Table 2. 
The resultant ‘net recreational demand curve’ between 
number of visitors and travel cost with added entrance fee 
was plotted (Figure 3). The curve was fitted through a non- 
Zone Population (P) Travel cost (Rs.) obsvis propvis 
actuvis 
(V) 
vrate 
(V/P) x 106 
A 6882814 60 709 0.360 296 43.00 
B 19524558 168 555 0.280 230 11.78 
C 47448701 340 337 0.170 140 2.95 
D 20459829 766 64 0.032 26 1.27 
E 17613550 1018 58 0.029 24 1.36 
F 12758387 1204 67 0.033 27 2.12 
G 6345267 1209 29 0.014 12 1.89 
H 13574380 1907 68 0.034 28 2.06 
I 22410090 1669 65 0.033 27 1.20 
J 6836040 1960 27 0.013 12 1.61
P. Chaudhry 444 and V.P. Tewari 
TABLE 2 Variation of tourists’ population with hypothetical entry fee 
Hypothetical entrance fee (Rs.) 25 50 75 100 150 
Expected number of tourists/day 820 730 647 587 495 
Hypothetical entrance fee (Rs.) 200 500 1000 1500 2000 
Expected number of tourists/day 427 216 86 31 07 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
2% 
19 
3% 
25 
Other reasons 
Twenty five percent 
Fifty percent 
Seventy five percent 
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 
Travel cost (Rs.) 
Visitation rate 
FIGURE 1 Percent contribution of urban greenary in making city attracrtive from tourism point of view 
FIGURE 2 Whole experience demand curve 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 
Travel cost (Rs.) 
Visitation rate 
FIGURE 3 Net recreational demand curve 
900 
800 
700 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
0 
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 
Hypothetical entry fee (Rs.) 
Number of tourist/day 
556 
249 
55 
61,50% 
27,50% 
6% 
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 
Hundred percent 
Urban forestry contribution in percent 
Number of responses
A comparison between TCM and CVM in urban forestry 445 
linear curve fitting technique using SPSS software. The 
exponential form of the function (y = a*eb*x) was found to be 
more appropriate (R2 = 0.99) to fit the curve. The area under 
this curve gives the consumer surplus per day enjoyed by the 
tourists, i.e. Rs. 253 000 for the urban greens and landscape 
features of the Chandigarh. Dividing this figure by 822 
i.e. average number of tourists per day, it was possible to 
calculate the net benefits received by each individual from 
recreational experience, i.e. Rs. 308/- per individual visit. 
This provides a measure of the average willingness to pay 
by tourists for the recreational benefits provided by urban 
forestry of the city as derived from the sample data through 
revealed preference technique. 
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 
Comparison of CVM and TCM 
Research in developed countries has illustrated that the open 
ended (OE) format has produced underestimated values 
of the consumer surplus (Seller et al. 1985), whereas the 
dichotomous choice format, one of the possible variants 
of the close-ended format questionnaire in CVM studies 
where respondents are given only two alternative answers to 
choose from, yielded more plausible results. This fact is also 
supported by other studies (e.g. Hanley 1989, Cropper and 
Oates 1992). Kealy and Turner (1993) also found that open-ended 
WTP questions appear to give lower estimates than 
the dichotomous choice format. TCM is likely to give an 
overestimate if a multi-site journey is involved and some of 
the value for visits from further origins is attributable to other 
sites visited en route to specific site. A comparison between 
CVM and TCM or the use of other evaluative techniques 
reveals that, in most cases, there is broad consistency between 
these methods. Price et al. (1986) found some similarity of 
estimate between CVM and TCM, but only after correcting 
for multi-site visits. 
In the present study the consumer surplus estimated by 
ZTCM is calculated as Rs. 308/-, whereas from OE CV 
format it is Rs. 6.73/-. The study shows that in a developing 
country such as India, the gap between the two estimates 
as provided by ZTCM and CVM (OE) is much more in 
comparison to the developed countries. This is because 
of the fact that TCM is based on observed behaviour of 
the respondents in actual markets, i.e. based on revealed 
preference, whereas CVM is based on expressed or stated 
preferences. In practice, getting information close to reality 
from respondents through revealed preference derived from 
observed behaviour and stated preferences of the respondents 
on a piece of paper in India is a difficult task given the socio-economic 
and political background of the majority of middle 
and upper middle class of people (moving as tourists) and 
the role of black money (income generated through illegal 
means and is a part in which goods and services for cash 
is not reported as income) influencing the economy. Lavish 
style of living and spending is clearly revealed (as in TCM) 
in real life situations of upper middle class population of 
India, whereas on paper, stated preference (as in CVM) is 
consistent with low stated income for tax purposes. 
In developed countries TCM and CVM have produced 
similar results for a particular recreational site. One of the 
major reasons for this is the higher participation rate of the 
people in nation building through compliance with tax-related 
rules. Under such circumstances, in developed countries, 
the stated and revealed behaviour of respondents becomes 
nearly the same, and gap in the results obtained from CVM 
and TCM studies is less. Estimated figures reveal that the 
proportion of the total population who are the income tax 
payers is 43% in Australia, 48%in Canada and 62% in the 
USA. In India, the number of income tax payers has hardly 
reached 2% of total population, even after implementing the 
well publicised ‘one out of six’ scheme (Malhotra 2003). 
However, a study of different income classes in India revealed 
that from 1992-93 to 1998-99 there was a clear movement 
of a large number of Indians from lower and lower-middle 
classes to middle and upper-middle classes, due to which a 
large number of multinationals are eyeing this group in the 
field of consumer goods (Technopack 2003). 
Corrupt duplicity was clearly visible at the data collection 
stage among respondents of the northern Indian region, 
particularly amongst businessmen, the private sector and the 
so-called agriculturist groups, where the monthly income 
stated by them was rather low yet they were maintaining 
luxury cars, staying in expensive hotels and had children 
studying in costly boarding public schools, as revealed 
through the unstructured interview schedule. In twenty-seven 
cases of tourists, it was found that even the car used for the 
trip was deliberately listed as a small car, e.g. Maruti 800, 
during the survey, even though such tourists mostly used 
luxury cars for travelling, such as Honda City, Mitsubishi 
Lancer, Ford Ikon, and Hyundai Accent as revealed by 
participant observation. 
The wide gap or high ratio between ZTCM and CVM 
as revealed from observed market behaviour and stated 
behaviour of the Indian domestic tourists points towards 
another important aspect in the economic valuation of 
environmental amenities. This pertains to the prevailing 
socio-politico-economic climate of the country in general 
and the relative size of the underground economy of 
developing countries such as India. Schmeider (1999) 
attempted to measure the size of the black/shadow economy 
in 76 developed and emerging economies of the world. 
In his sample, most of the developed countries have been 
included and on average black economy activity has been 
equivalent to 15% of officially recorded GDP in developed 
economics and around one-third of GDP in developing ones. 
This feature of the black economy is also reflected in the 
‘corruption perception index’ (CPI), used as an indicator of 
relative corruption in more than one hundred of the world’s 
countries, which includes all developed and most of the 
developing countries. This index is published annually by 
the Berlin-based NGO ‘Transparency International’, and 
employs a scale of 1 to 10. – where the higher the score the 
more the country is perceived to be ‘highly clean’. India’s 
score is nearly constant with CPI ranging between 2.7 to 2.8
P. Chaudhry 446 and V.P. Tewari 
REFERENCES 
ABLESON, P. 1996. Project appraisal and valuation methods 
for the environment with special reference to developing 
for the years 2001 to 2003 (Transparency International 2001- 
2003) whereas countries such as Canada, USA, Australia, 
New Zealand, most of the European countries, and Japan, 
Malaysia, and Singapore record scores >5. 
It is worth mentioning that some countries in South 
America, Africa, and small island states of the Caribbean 
and Pacific, who have scored CPI < 5 are blessed with the 
world’s best natural resources in the form of forests, wildlife 
and landscapes having immense ecotourism recreational 
value. For example, Nepal’s protected area tourism earnings 
are 3 times more than the National Parks budget of $3M 
(Munasinghe 1994), and protected areas in Kenya account 
for over a third of foreign exchange earnings (Emerton 1999). 
As ecotourists visiting such areas are mostly from developed 
and rich countries comparison of consumer surplus/visit 
through TCM and CVM techniques in such cases is likely 
to yield results with fairly high consistency and accuracy 
(Grandstaff and Dixon 1986, Mercer et al. 1995, Navrud and 
Mungatana 1994). 
The model describing domestic and international tourists 
vis-à-vis TCM and CVM in different parts of the world may 
be described as: 
Cx 
True Reftection of 
of Behaviour in Market 
Calculated Ruse to Camouflage the Market Behaviour 
Revealed Prefenence 
Stated Preference 
ZTCM 
CVM(OE) 
= = = 
where C is the corruption perception index and x is an 
exponent, whose value will depend on the revealed and 
stated behaviour of the respondents (tourists in the present 
case) of a specific country. 
Carson et al. (1996) made a comprehensive comparison 
of a large number of TCM and CVM consumer surplus 
estimates for recreational purposes. They presented results 
of a meta-analysis of studies that compared CV estimates for 
quasi-public goods with estimates obtained from revealed 
preference (RP) techniques. The authors found that CV 
estimates were smaller than RP estimates for quasi-public 
goods. In developing countries there are not many studies 
conducted where such comparison of estimates have been 
made from the data from tourists. Grandstaff and Dixon 
(1986) conducted the case study of Lumpinee Public 
Park, Bangkok and estimated valuation of the park as 
132 millions Baht based on travel cost admitted by actual 
users, and as 130 millions Baht based on hypothetical WTP 
by actual users. In another study undertaken on WTP for 
water quality improvement in Davao, Philippines (Choe et 
al.. 1996), the estimates obtained from two methods i.e. 
CVM and TCM were found fairly close. The respondents 
in both of the above cases were local residents and not 
distant tourists as in case of present study. Based on the 
results of many such studies conducted in different parts 
of the world, on estimating economic recreational use 
value of different sites, the value of exponent variable ‘x’ 
is estimated to be less than 1 for developed countries and 
>1 for developing/emerging countries. In present study, it 
is calculated to be: 
308/6.743 = (2.8)x or x = 3.71 
TCM results reflect a prodigal and flamboyant living 
style of respondents, whereas CVM represents a low-income 
family status of the same group of respondents 
on paper or other government records. Some researchers 
in the field of economic valuation appear to concur with 
the limited applicability of CVM in developing countries 
(Munasinghe and Lutz 1993, Abelson 1996) whereas others 
explicitly point out the cost and difficulty of data collection 
and specific problems with perceived biases (Ahmad 1993, 
Abelson 1996). The present study, involving local Indian 
tourists revealed a typical problem of a ‘Government 
Dependence’ approach (i.e., local Government should do 
every thing for its citizens, whether it is an environmental 
issue or any other socio-economic issue) which, coupled 
with black economy, related to the majority of middle and 
upper middle strata of the Indian society,. This is reflected 
in the attitude by which even educated people do not want 
to pay anything to the Government for developmental 
works. 
CONCLUSION 
Based on the current study involving Indian tourists it would 
be unfair to assess the recreational use value of a city’s 
urban forestry on the basis of CVM results. The estimate of 
consumer surplus per visit obtained through ZTCM appears 
to be more realistic as some possible sources of bias have 
been taken into account during the survey stage itself. The 
CVM result appears to be on the low side due to strategic 
reasons related to the inherent tendency of the majority of 
local tourists to state nil or low amounts. The city’s greenery 
in the form of magnificent parks and gardens, boulevards, tree 
avenues and reserved forests deserves an annual recreational 
value of Rs. 92.4 millions as obtained from ZTCM study 
while taking a conservative estimate of 300 000 domestic 
tourists visiting the city on annual basis. This estimated 
value may be somewhat high and the incorporation of multi-site 
journeys may result in a lower figure. 
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 
The author wishes to thank Professor Colin Price for his 
advice on the development of the paper. This paper forms 
part of the authors’ research project entitled ‘Valuing 
recreational benefits of urban forestry- A study on Chandigarh 
city’ funded by Department of Science and Technology, 
Chandigarh Administration, India during 2002-03.
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A Comparison Between TCM and CVM in Assessing the Recreational Use Value of Urban Forestry

  • 1. International Forestry Review Vol.8(4), 2006 439 A comparison between TCM and CVM in assessing the recreational use value of urban forestry P. CHAUDHRY and V.P. TEWARI Silviculture Division, Arid Forest Research Institute, Jodhpur 342 005, India Email: pradeepifs@yahoo.com, vptewari@yahoo.com SUMMARY In a developing country such as India the contingent valuation method (CVM) cannot always provide a correct valuation of recreational use benefits of an environmental resource given the huge size of the parallel economy involving different categories of middle to upper income group families which have the capacity to move as tourists. The ‘participant observation method’ and ‘unstructured interview schedule’ are necessary tools to be used in such cases, in addition to a ‘structured interview schedule’ which is used for primary data collection in the travel cost method (TCM) and the CVM under normal circumstances. A general model depicting the relation of the ratio of consumer surplus estimated in TCM and CVM with ‘corruption perception index’ has been developed in the case of tourists from various countries with different world rankings in so far as their parallel economy and level of corruption are concerned. Keywords: TCM, CVM, Chandigarh, urban forestry, recreational use value Comparaison entre la méthode de coût de déplacement et celle de la valuation contingente dans leur évaluation de la valeur récréative de la foresterie urbaine P. CHAUDHRY et V.P. TEWARI Dans un pays en voie de développement comme l’Inde, la méthode de valuation contingente (CVM) ne peut pas toujours fournir une évalutation correcte des avantages de l’utilisation récréative d’une ressource environnementale, du fait de la taille imposante d’une économie parrallèle qui implique plusieurs catégories de familles aux revenus moyens et supérieurs possédant la capacité de se déplacer en touristes. La “méthode d’observation participationnelle” et les “projets d’interview non-structurés” sont des outils qu’il est nécessaire d’utiliser dans ces cas, en plus d’un “programme d’interview structuré” utilisé pour la prise de données de base dans la méthode du coût de déplacement (TCM), et la CVM, quand les circonstances sont normales. Un modèle général décrivant la relation de la proportion du surplus estimé des consommateurs dans la TCM et la VCM, avec l’ “index de perception de la corruption”, a été développé dans le cas de touristes en provenance de parties du monde classées différemment, du point de vue de leur économie parrallèle et de leur degré de corruption. Una comparación entre los métodos MCV y MVC para la evaluación del valor para uso recreacional del manejo forestal urbano: ejemplo de un país en vías de desarrollo con fuerte influencia de dinero negro P. CHAUDHRY y V.P. TEWARI En un país en vías de desarrollo como la India, el método de valoración contingente (MVC) no es siempre capaz de proporcionar una evaluación correcta de los beneficios de uso recreacional de un recurso ambiental, dada la importancia abrumadora de la economía paralela, que abarca diferentes categorías de familias de ingresos medios y altos que tienen la posibilidad de hacer turismo. El “método de observación por participantes” y el “programa no estructurado de entrevistas” constituyen instrumentso necesarios para estos casos, además de un “programa estructurado de entrevistas” que se utiliza en circunstancias normales para la recolección de datos primarios según el método del costo de viaje (MCV) y el MVC. Se ha desarrollado un modelo general que describe la relación entre el ratio de excedentes de consumidores (calculado según el MCV y el MVC y el “índice de percepción de la corrupción”, para aplicar en el caso de turistas procedentes de varios países con diferente clasificación mundial en lo que se refiere a su economía paralela y nivel de corrupción. INTRODUCTION Forests are increasingly exposed to intensive recreational use and leisure activities (Cole 1996, Dwyer 1994, Satchell 1998) particularly in and around urban areas (Winter et al. 1999). An increase in the middle-class population in urban areas, their educational background, income, mobility, accessibility to easy credits from banks and leisure for large population
  • 2. P. Chaudhry 440 and V.P. Tewari groups have contributed to growing participation in urban forest recreation. Concern for the urban-forest recreation and other park related activities has risen as a public issue (Mohd Shahwahid et al.. 1998). Awareness of the potential value of forest recreation and other non-market benefits is not new, but serious attempts at quantification of such values are comparatively recent (Christensen 1983, Willis and Benson 1989). Estimation of non-market benefits of forests has for a long time assumed a prominent place in developed and industrialized nations of Europe. The National Audit Office (1986) of Great Britain has pointed out the importance of recreational value of country’s forests and has given the opinion that it was extremely desirable that the benefits of such non-market or non-priced facilities provided by the Forestry Commission e.g. forest walks, picnic areas etc. should be valued and estimated in a commensurate way, to add to the benefits of forestry as recorded through the sale of timber. The National Audit Office report has said, ‘Although charges for using the Commission’s non-commercial facilities are levied where practicable, the cost of providing them is mainly subsidised through the forest recreation and amenity subsidy. In national economic terms, these non-commercial facilities produce a ‘consumer surplus’ which has been estimated to be around ten million pounds per annum, worked out in terms of the cost of travelling etc. to make use of them. Due to various assumptions in the calculation, it is possible that this surplus could be slightly greater (Willis 1991). The various benefits, both the market and non-market, of urban forests are often ignored. On the other hand, various developmental options to the area may be attractive to politicians and bureaucrats due to immediate return from development projects. It has been observed that urban parks and open spaces left for green belt formation in the future are subject to development pressure, particulalry in developing countries. One possible reason for this is that recreation planners and researchers have been unable to articulate their value in economic terms (More et al.. 1988). If benefits from the urban forest areas are not properly assessed, the authorities’ decision may be biased to implementing development activities such as construction of schools, shopping-complex, housing-flats etc. in open and green spaces. Once the monetary valuation of recreational and other non-market benefits is done, it can be introduced into public decision-making and cost–benefit analysis of the projects. Moreover urban development projects often decrease the amenity values of green spaces, which should be taken into consideration in planning. Bearing these facts in mind, a study was undertaken to quantify the recreational benefits of urban forestry of the city of Chandigarh in India, which was created after the country’s independence in 1947 and known for its urban forestry. To estimate the recreational value of the avenues, boulevards and green areas of Chandigarh, the contingent valuation method (CVM) with open-ended (OE) format was used to elicit information from residents of the city while CVM as well as the zonal travel cost method (ZTCM) were used for estimating consumer surplus per visit in respect of domestic tourists coming to the city for tourism purpose. However, in this paper only the analysis on the part of domestic tourists has been presented. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Techniques used The CVM is used to estimate economic values for all kinds of ecosystem and environmental services. This method involves directly asking people, in surveys, how much they would be willing to pay for a specific environmental service. The CVM is referred to us a ‘stated preference’ method, because it asks people to directly state their value, rather than inferring values from actual choices, as the ‘revealed reference’ methods do. The travel cost method (TCM) is used to estimate economic use values associated with ecosystems or sites that are used for recreation. The basic premise of the travel cost method is that time and travel cost expenses that people incur to visit a site represent the ‘price’ of access to the site. Thus, people’s willingness to pay to visit the site can be estimated based on the number of trips that they make at different travel costs. This is analogous to estimating people’s willingness to pay for a marketed good based on the quantity demanded at different prices. There are several ways to approach the problem, using variations of the travel cost method. These include the following: 1. A simple zonal travel cost approach, using mostly secondary data, with some simple data collected from visitors. 2. An individual travel cost approach, using a more detailed survey of visitors. 3. A random utility approach using survey and other data, and more complicated statistical techniques. In the present study, the zonal travel cost method has been used as visitors come to Chandigarh city from different states of India. The reason is that in the ZTCM the unit of analysis is zone i.e. different states or distances from where visitors are coming. Under this method visitors are divided into different zones of origin. If we consider the criteria as distance rather than states, we may draw concentric circles around the study site to define zones which has been done in the present study. In the ITCM, the concept of zoning is absent and the dependent variable is simply the number of visits made by the respondent to the site during a year. Study site Le Corbusier, an eminent French architect and urban theorist, is known to be main architect of Chandigarh city’s planning. Le Corbusier saw the master plan of Chandigarh as analogous to a living organism, with a clearly defined
  • 3. A comparison between TCM and CVM in urban forestry 441 head (the Capital Complex, Sector 1), heart (the City Centre, Sector 17), lungs (the leisure valley, innumerable open spaces and sector greens), the intellect (the cultural and educational institutions), the circulatory system (the network of roads, the 7 Vs), and the viscera (the industrial Area). The city is bounded on the northeast by the Shivalik range of the Green Himalayas. Tree plantation and landscaping has been an integral part of the city’s Master plan. The most fascinating feature of the city’s landscaping is perhaps the tree plantation along avenues, open spaces, green belts and around building complexes. A number of beautiful avenues with conspicuous tree species, well wooded forests along the periphery of city, Sukhna Lake against the backdrop of lake reserve forest and green belts running across the length and breadth of the city enhance recreational and aesthetic value of the whole city. The total forest cover in the Union Territory is 32.42 sq.km, which forms 23.50% of the overall geographical area. The green spaces such as the 1900 small and big parks/gardens maintained by Municipal Corporation, Chandigarh, green belts, road-avenues etc. are in addition to this forest cover of 23.50%. Thus the green cover of the city is more than 33% of its area. The meandering Leisure Valley with its myriad colours and texture of its trees and flowers, attract not only city dwellers but tourists and other city-planners also. On the whole, the city gives the impression of a luxuriant garden. A few majestic ornamental trees, which have the capacity of attracting an environmentally conscious tourist’s attention because of other impressive foliage/flowers in the city, and include Chukrasia tabularis, Ficus benjamina, Mognolia grandiflora, and Pterospermum acerifolium. Data collection The study was mainly based on primary data, which was collected by using structured and unstructured interview schedules and the Participant observation method (Manoharan 1996). The unstructured interview schedule and Participant observation method are very important and crucial in comparing observed behaviour vis-à-vis the stated preference of tourists visiting the city. As far as structured interview schedule is concerned, a questionnaire was prepared for the tourists seeking details about place of residence, the mode of transport used, cost of travel, time spent on travel and on the site, frequency of visits to the city etc. Data on socio-economic status such as occupation, education and household income was also sought. It is often the case that people in developing countries are reluctant to disclose their incomes during surveys, therefore, they were requested to tick mark on the ‘income band’ they belong to like below Rs. 5000/-, Rs. 5000/- to 10,000/- per month, net household income etc. Respondents were asked particularly to mention the percentage contribution of greenery in the form of urban forestry of Chandigarh, which was responsible for making the city attractive from tourism point of view. They were presented with a range of choices such as 25%, 50%, 75%, 100% or others. Under the ‘others’ category they were free to record any other reason making city attractive for the tourists. The CVM question was worded in such a way as to emphasize how much the individual would be willing to pay for only one entrance fee for visiting any park/garden or any other tourist spot such as museum etc. in the city. The actual wording of the CVM question used to assess recreational benefits is as follows: ‘For the proper maintenance of city environment, mainly for maximum greenery in the city and pollution control measures, suppose Chandigarh Administration creates an ENVIRONMENT FUND. What amount would you be willing to contribute per person, while entering the city? No other entrance fee shall be charged for visiting any park/garden or other spot in the city.’ Please bear the following points in your mind while answering above question: 1. Chandigarh is a unique well-planned and green city in India. 2. Your income is limited and has important alternative uses. 3. There are other cities also in India. At present, kindly concentrate upon the Chandigarh city only, for valuation of recreational aspects of urban forestry.’ Sample size and common biases Mitchell and Carson (1989) devised a system to determine an appropriate sample size for OE contingent valuation questions, which relies on the researcher’s choice of an acceptable deviation between true WTP and estimated WTP. They have also argued that for applications which seek to evaluate policy, the sample size should be at least 600. At the same time, sample sizes in other studies of TCM and CVM, conducted elsewhere, were also seen. Taking all these aspects into account, a sample size of 865 tourist responses was selected. However, the actual survey produced information on 3113 visitors, as a single questionnaire was used to interview 904 numbers of groups/families. During the course of interviews, a total of 1120 visitors were contacted, taking into account proper proportion of frequent and non-frequent visitors. Out of this, 154 were not considered as their prime objective to the city was not tourism, while 62 produced incomplete questionnaire forms, resulting in 904 complete forms. The first author carried out all the interviews personally during the summer and winter seasons of the year 2002. April, May and June were treated as summer months, while October, November and December were considered as winter months. In this way the peak tourist seasons of both summer and winter holidays were taken into account. By conducting the survey himself an effort was made to maintain a neutral stance throughout the interview, to make respondents aware of the questions properly and to minimize various kinds of biases associated with the two techniques, particularly CVM. Pre-testing of the questionnaire for the tourists was carried out during the last week of March 2002.
  • 4. The travel cost method has some common biases that were accommodated in the calculation of total travel costs for each individual. One recognized problem in the application of TCM concerns dealing with multi-destination or multi-purpose trips. The problem of multi-purpose trips was resolved by contacting only those tourists whose prime objective of the visit was tourism. The multiple destination trip bias in recreation benefit estimation has remained a problem in TCM and has been dealt by Haspel and Johnson (1982) and Christensen et al. (1985). Of 904 tourist families, 501 were on a multi-city visit, mostly to the nearby states of Himachal Pradesh and Uttaranchal. The remainder had come to visit Chandigarh only on ‘Destination Chandigarh’. The majority of tourists who were on a multi-city visit were graduates, as revealed during the pre-testing period. They were asked what proportion/percentage of their travel-related expenditure they would like to allocate to visit of the city in order that the problem related to a bias of multi-destination visit could be accounted for so that an exaggerated estimate of annual recreational use value might not occur. Another main problem/bias in the TCM concerns the value of the travelling time to reach the site. Some researchers (e.g. Smith and Kavanagh 1969, Cesario 1976) indicate that the value of travelling time should be included in any analysis of recreational demand. In the present study the tourists were asked whether they received positive utility from the travel experience to the city (from a tourism point of view) or whether this travelling had resulted in loss of income-earning opportunity. Only 15.80% (143 out of 904) of them responded that loss of income-earning opportunity had taken place for them and they did not get any positive utility from the trip. The remainder of the tourists recevied positive utility from their visits. In addition, 15.8% of respondents, who were mostly from nearby states, categorically stated that they did not get any positive utility out of the trip. Travel time costs were added to round trip transportation costs to make up total travel costs only for those tourists who noted loss of income-earning opportunities. Travel time costs were estimated as the product of the round trip travel and on-site time (in days) stated by visitors, their monthly average income and a factor of 0.3 to reflect the value of time while going on vacation is less than the gross wage rate. As far as on-site time is concerned, it may be stated that travel time is a pure cost for those who do not derive benefit from the journey itself. However, for everyone willingness to spend time on site time must be regarded as an indication of benefit but at the same time its expenditure represents a cost and as a result it is possible to ignore on-site time costs. It differs fundamentally from travel cost in the classical TCM because travel time varies systematically with journey cost, while on-site time may not do so. Responses of tourists to the CVM questionnaire Urban forestry and landscaping has a definite place in making Chandigarh city attractive for tourists. When this question was put to them the tourists’ response was overwhelmingly favourable with 87.67% of respondents citing the city’s parks and gardens, ornamental trees and green avenues as attractive features thereby suggesting the attractive power of city’s urban forestry. Of 904 respondents interviewed, 584 answered that they had visited Chandigarh more than once during the past 15-20 years. Out of these, 487 gave their opinion about improvement or deterioration in the city’s green cover in the form of tree avenues, boulevards, parks and gardens etc. during the period. Most respondents (76.88%) were of the opinion that this green cover in various forms had improved during this period, while only 6.50% (38/584) disagreed. The biggest metropolitan cities, i.e. Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai, accounted for 12% of the tourists (109/904). Approximately 58% of tourists (525/904) came from areas up to 400 km from the city, i.e. covering the bordering states of the city, while about 68% of them came from areas up to 1000 km from the city. The remaining 32% of the tourists (traveling from 1000 to 3000 km) mainly came from other big cities such as Bhopal, Bangalore, Mysore, Nagpur, Cuttack, Coimbatore, Madurai, Selam, Vadodara, Indore, Gandhi Nagar, Ahemdabad, Hyderabad, Pune, Jabalpur etc. Mean willingness to pay (WTP) for the ‘Environment Fund’ was found to be highest in the professional category of tourists, i.e. Rs. 9.25 per person, followed by private service category tourists (Rs. 7.93), Government service (Rs. 7.55), and then businessmen (Rs.6.60). The minimum WTP came from agriculturists (Rs. 2.20), while the overall mean WTP for all the tourists was Rs. 6.734. Correlation between WTP and Socio-economic variables Willingness to pay (WTP) was found to have some correlation (r=0.50) with socio-economic variables of the domestic tourists such as age, income and education. WTP and age were found to be negatively correlated (p<0.01) indicating younger visitors were willing to contribute more than the older ones. WTP was found to have positive correlation with income and education (p<0.01), suggesting that tourists with higher incomes and education were willing to pay more. These results are in accordance with an earlier study in India carried out by Murthy and Menkhaus (1994). TCM Analysis For TCM (Clawson 1959, Clawson and Knetsch 1966), the tourists were segregated district-wise. In total, all the 3113 visitors from 904 families came from 162 districts covering various states of India. The distance travelled by the visitors from a particular district was taken from the respective district headquarters. The average travel cost per visitor was calculated for each district based upon travel cost data received during the survey. During the questionnaire survey, the mode of transport i.e. personal car (with make/model), public bus, train (with class of travel), motor bike etc. was recorded and the travel costs mentioned by visitors were crosschecked with available standards e.g. for cars, average P. Chaudhry 442 and V.P. Tewari
  • 5. distance covered per litre of fuel which was provide by the dealers. Bus and train fares were checked out from concerned authorities/timetables. The zonal data model was developed using concentric circles at 100 km. intervals from the site. Travel costs up to the site for a particular district were assumed from the respective District Head Quarter and thus for each district a mean cost was computed. This resulted in thirty completely filled-up zones. Data for foreign visitors was ignored in the analysis, as their number was not sufficient to carry out regression analysis. The population figures for different districts were taken from provisional census figures available for the year 2001, with the Directorate of census operations, Government of India, Ministry of Home affairs, Chandigarh. Travel cost per person for each zone was calculated as the weighted average travel cost taking into account the number of visits from different districts falling in that particular zone and average travel cost per person in each district. The analysis was conducted using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS 8.0 for Windows). Observed numbers of visits per zone (obsvis) were compiled on a spreadsheet from survey data, the proportion of visits in each zone (propvis) was calculated by dividing the number visits in that zone by the total number of visitors. Actual numbers of visits (actuvis) was estimated by multiplying respective zonal proportions of visits by number of visitors per day i.e. 822. Although the average number of tourists per year coming to the city on the basis of last four years data, is around 462 000 (Directorate of Economics and Statistics, 2001 and 2002), for analysis purpose, number of tourists have been taken on a conservative lower side of 300 000 per year or about 822 per day. Visitation rate (vrate) for each zone i.e. actual number of visits per zone divided by zonal population is given in Table 1. Statistical regression was carried out on the zonal model with the visitation rate as the dependent variable and travel cost as independent variable. Visitation rate was added as raw data, and SPSS selected an appropriate curve fit, which was a non-linear curve fit obtained through the equation vrate = -1.0529 + 2561.81/Travel cost. A plot of the fitted TABLE 1 Calculation of Visitation rate for different zones A comparison between TCM and CVM in urban forestry 443 model of the demand curve generated through regression is shown in Figure 2 which represents the whole experience demand curve. Various models were applied on the data and were tested for their predictive ability (based on R2 and SEE value) in compiling an unbiased estimate of the demand curve estimating total number of tourists to the site. The inverse model (V/P = a + b/C +error) of the fitting was finally selected as the coefficient of determination was found to be highest (R2 = 0.981) for this model. From the plot of the curve, it is observed that visitation rate becomes almost constant irrespective of travel cost after zone number 10. This may be due to the fact that nearly all the tourist families who were on a ‘Destination Chandigarh’ visit came from first ten zones, i.e. up to 1000 km away. The majority of tourists beyond 1000 km were on a multi-city visit. Pearse (1990) mentions that TCM becomes less reliable when applied to recreational sites that attract visitors from a wide area, encompassing large populations having different recreational alternatives. In order to arrive at a conservative estimate of consumer surplus, a statistical regression was carried out with visitation rate as the dependent variable and travel costs up to 10 zones or 1000 km as the independent variable. During the survey it was found that, in general, out of every 30 tourist families, 20 came to the city for purely tourism purposes while remaining 10 families were for other than tourism purpose also. Most of such families solely coming for tourism were from the first ten zones. Therefore, taking two-thirds of average number of tourists per year (462 000, average of total number of tourists visited the site from 1998 to 2001 as per the records of the Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Chandigarh Administration), a figure of 300 000 is arrived at, or 822 per day, which has been used in the analysis. The above whole-experience demand curve has been used for creating a ‘net recreational demand curve’ by adding a hypothetical entrance fee to travel costs, e.g. Rs. 25, 50, 100 etc., and forecasting number of tourists as shown in Table 2. The resultant ‘net recreational demand curve’ between number of visitors and travel cost with added entrance fee was plotted (Figure 3). The curve was fitted through a non- Zone Population (P) Travel cost (Rs.) obsvis propvis actuvis (V) vrate (V/P) x 106 A 6882814 60 709 0.360 296 43.00 B 19524558 168 555 0.280 230 11.78 C 47448701 340 337 0.170 140 2.95 D 20459829 766 64 0.032 26 1.27 E 17613550 1018 58 0.029 24 1.36 F 12758387 1204 67 0.033 27 2.12 G 6345267 1209 29 0.014 12 1.89 H 13574380 1907 68 0.034 28 2.06 I 22410090 1669 65 0.033 27 1.20 J 6836040 1960 27 0.013 12 1.61
  • 6. P. Chaudhry 444 and V.P. Tewari TABLE 2 Variation of tourists’ population with hypothetical entry fee Hypothetical entrance fee (Rs.) 25 50 75 100 150 Expected number of tourists/day 820 730 647 587 495 Hypothetical entrance fee (Rs.) 200 500 1000 1500 2000 Expected number of tourists/day 427 216 86 31 07 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2% 19 3% 25 Other reasons Twenty five percent Fifty percent Seventy five percent 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Travel cost (Rs.) Visitation rate FIGURE 1 Percent contribution of urban greenary in making city attracrtive from tourism point of view FIGURE 2 Whole experience demand curve 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Travel cost (Rs.) Visitation rate FIGURE 3 Net recreational demand curve 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Hypothetical entry fee (Rs.) Number of tourist/day 556 249 55 61,50% 27,50% 6% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Hundred percent Urban forestry contribution in percent Number of responses
  • 7. A comparison between TCM and CVM in urban forestry 445 linear curve fitting technique using SPSS software. The exponential form of the function (y = a*eb*x) was found to be more appropriate (R2 = 0.99) to fit the curve. The area under this curve gives the consumer surplus per day enjoyed by the tourists, i.e. Rs. 253 000 for the urban greens and landscape features of the Chandigarh. Dividing this figure by 822 i.e. average number of tourists per day, it was possible to calculate the net benefits received by each individual from recreational experience, i.e. Rs. 308/- per individual visit. This provides a measure of the average willingness to pay by tourists for the recreational benefits provided by urban forestry of the city as derived from the sample data through revealed preference technique. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Comparison of CVM and TCM Research in developed countries has illustrated that the open ended (OE) format has produced underestimated values of the consumer surplus (Seller et al. 1985), whereas the dichotomous choice format, one of the possible variants of the close-ended format questionnaire in CVM studies where respondents are given only two alternative answers to choose from, yielded more plausible results. This fact is also supported by other studies (e.g. Hanley 1989, Cropper and Oates 1992). Kealy and Turner (1993) also found that open-ended WTP questions appear to give lower estimates than the dichotomous choice format. TCM is likely to give an overestimate if a multi-site journey is involved and some of the value for visits from further origins is attributable to other sites visited en route to specific site. A comparison between CVM and TCM or the use of other evaluative techniques reveals that, in most cases, there is broad consistency between these methods. Price et al. (1986) found some similarity of estimate between CVM and TCM, but only after correcting for multi-site visits. In the present study the consumer surplus estimated by ZTCM is calculated as Rs. 308/-, whereas from OE CV format it is Rs. 6.73/-. The study shows that in a developing country such as India, the gap between the two estimates as provided by ZTCM and CVM (OE) is much more in comparison to the developed countries. This is because of the fact that TCM is based on observed behaviour of the respondents in actual markets, i.e. based on revealed preference, whereas CVM is based on expressed or stated preferences. In practice, getting information close to reality from respondents through revealed preference derived from observed behaviour and stated preferences of the respondents on a piece of paper in India is a difficult task given the socio-economic and political background of the majority of middle and upper middle class of people (moving as tourists) and the role of black money (income generated through illegal means and is a part in which goods and services for cash is not reported as income) influencing the economy. Lavish style of living and spending is clearly revealed (as in TCM) in real life situations of upper middle class population of India, whereas on paper, stated preference (as in CVM) is consistent with low stated income for tax purposes. In developed countries TCM and CVM have produced similar results for a particular recreational site. One of the major reasons for this is the higher participation rate of the people in nation building through compliance with tax-related rules. Under such circumstances, in developed countries, the stated and revealed behaviour of respondents becomes nearly the same, and gap in the results obtained from CVM and TCM studies is less. Estimated figures reveal that the proportion of the total population who are the income tax payers is 43% in Australia, 48%in Canada and 62% in the USA. In India, the number of income tax payers has hardly reached 2% of total population, even after implementing the well publicised ‘one out of six’ scheme (Malhotra 2003). However, a study of different income classes in India revealed that from 1992-93 to 1998-99 there was a clear movement of a large number of Indians from lower and lower-middle classes to middle and upper-middle classes, due to which a large number of multinationals are eyeing this group in the field of consumer goods (Technopack 2003). Corrupt duplicity was clearly visible at the data collection stage among respondents of the northern Indian region, particularly amongst businessmen, the private sector and the so-called agriculturist groups, where the monthly income stated by them was rather low yet they were maintaining luxury cars, staying in expensive hotels and had children studying in costly boarding public schools, as revealed through the unstructured interview schedule. In twenty-seven cases of tourists, it was found that even the car used for the trip was deliberately listed as a small car, e.g. Maruti 800, during the survey, even though such tourists mostly used luxury cars for travelling, such as Honda City, Mitsubishi Lancer, Ford Ikon, and Hyundai Accent as revealed by participant observation. The wide gap or high ratio between ZTCM and CVM as revealed from observed market behaviour and stated behaviour of the Indian domestic tourists points towards another important aspect in the economic valuation of environmental amenities. This pertains to the prevailing socio-politico-economic climate of the country in general and the relative size of the underground economy of developing countries such as India. Schmeider (1999) attempted to measure the size of the black/shadow economy in 76 developed and emerging economies of the world. In his sample, most of the developed countries have been included and on average black economy activity has been equivalent to 15% of officially recorded GDP in developed economics and around one-third of GDP in developing ones. This feature of the black economy is also reflected in the ‘corruption perception index’ (CPI), used as an indicator of relative corruption in more than one hundred of the world’s countries, which includes all developed and most of the developing countries. This index is published annually by the Berlin-based NGO ‘Transparency International’, and employs a scale of 1 to 10. – where the higher the score the more the country is perceived to be ‘highly clean’. India’s score is nearly constant with CPI ranging between 2.7 to 2.8
  • 8. P. Chaudhry 446 and V.P. Tewari REFERENCES ABLESON, P. 1996. Project appraisal and valuation methods for the environment with special reference to developing for the years 2001 to 2003 (Transparency International 2001- 2003) whereas countries such as Canada, USA, Australia, New Zealand, most of the European countries, and Japan, Malaysia, and Singapore record scores >5. It is worth mentioning that some countries in South America, Africa, and small island states of the Caribbean and Pacific, who have scored CPI < 5 are blessed with the world’s best natural resources in the form of forests, wildlife and landscapes having immense ecotourism recreational value. For example, Nepal’s protected area tourism earnings are 3 times more than the National Parks budget of $3M (Munasinghe 1994), and protected areas in Kenya account for over a third of foreign exchange earnings (Emerton 1999). As ecotourists visiting such areas are mostly from developed and rich countries comparison of consumer surplus/visit through TCM and CVM techniques in such cases is likely to yield results with fairly high consistency and accuracy (Grandstaff and Dixon 1986, Mercer et al. 1995, Navrud and Mungatana 1994). The model describing domestic and international tourists vis-à-vis TCM and CVM in different parts of the world may be described as: Cx True Reftection of of Behaviour in Market Calculated Ruse to Camouflage the Market Behaviour Revealed Prefenence Stated Preference ZTCM CVM(OE) = = = where C is the corruption perception index and x is an exponent, whose value will depend on the revealed and stated behaviour of the respondents (tourists in the present case) of a specific country. Carson et al. (1996) made a comprehensive comparison of a large number of TCM and CVM consumer surplus estimates for recreational purposes. They presented results of a meta-analysis of studies that compared CV estimates for quasi-public goods with estimates obtained from revealed preference (RP) techniques. The authors found that CV estimates were smaller than RP estimates for quasi-public goods. In developing countries there are not many studies conducted where such comparison of estimates have been made from the data from tourists. Grandstaff and Dixon (1986) conducted the case study of Lumpinee Public Park, Bangkok and estimated valuation of the park as 132 millions Baht based on travel cost admitted by actual users, and as 130 millions Baht based on hypothetical WTP by actual users. In another study undertaken on WTP for water quality improvement in Davao, Philippines (Choe et al.. 1996), the estimates obtained from two methods i.e. CVM and TCM were found fairly close. The respondents in both of the above cases were local residents and not distant tourists as in case of present study. Based on the results of many such studies conducted in different parts of the world, on estimating economic recreational use value of different sites, the value of exponent variable ‘x’ is estimated to be less than 1 for developed countries and >1 for developing/emerging countries. In present study, it is calculated to be: 308/6.743 = (2.8)x or x = 3.71 TCM results reflect a prodigal and flamboyant living style of respondents, whereas CVM represents a low-income family status of the same group of respondents on paper or other government records. Some researchers in the field of economic valuation appear to concur with the limited applicability of CVM in developing countries (Munasinghe and Lutz 1993, Abelson 1996) whereas others explicitly point out the cost and difficulty of data collection and specific problems with perceived biases (Ahmad 1993, Abelson 1996). The present study, involving local Indian tourists revealed a typical problem of a ‘Government Dependence’ approach (i.e., local Government should do every thing for its citizens, whether it is an environmental issue or any other socio-economic issue) which, coupled with black economy, related to the majority of middle and upper middle strata of the Indian society,. This is reflected in the attitude by which even educated people do not want to pay anything to the Government for developmental works. CONCLUSION Based on the current study involving Indian tourists it would be unfair to assess the recreational use value of a city’s urban forestry on the basis of CVM results. The estimate of consumer surplus per visit obtained through ZTCM appears to be more realistic as some possible sources of bias have been taken into account during the survey stage itself. The CVM result appears to be on the low side due to strategic reasons related to the inherent tendency of the majority of local tourists to state nil or low amounts. The city’s greenery in the form of magnificent parks and gardens, boulevards, tree avenues and reserved forests deserves an annual recreational value of Rs. 92.4 millions as obtained from ZTCM study while taking a conservative estimate of 300 000 domestic tourists visiting the city on annual basis. This estimated value may be somewhat high and the incorporation of multi-site journeys may result in a lower figure. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The author wishes to thank Professor Colin Price for his advice on the development of the paper. This paper forms part of the authors’ research project entitled ‘Valuing recreational benefits of urban forestry- A study on Chandigarh city’ funded by Department of Science and Technology, Chandigarh Administration, India during 2002-03.
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