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Fundamental Analysis & Analyst Recommendations - World Top Agriculture Co.
1. This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be
viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an
offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis &
Analyst Recommendations
World Top Agriculture Related Co.
May 2012
Q M S Advisors
. .
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
4. 18.05.2012
Wilmar International Ltd
Wilmar International Ltd. is an agribusiness company. The Company is involved Price/Volume
in oil palm cultivation, edible oils refining, oilseeds crushing, consumer pack
7 90.0 M
edible oils processing and merchandising, specialty fats, oleochemicals and 80.0 M
6
biodiesel manufacturing, and grains processing and merchandising. Wilmar also 70.0 M
manufactures and distributes fertilizers and owns a fleet of vessels. 5
60.0 M
4 50.0 M
Valuation Analysis 3 40.0 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2011 30.0 M
2
20.0 M
LTM as of: 12/yy 1 10.0 M
52-Week High (15.02.2012) 6.05
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (18.05.2012) 3.71 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12
Daily Volume 14'367'000.00
Current Price (5/dd/yy) 3.79 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -37.36% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 2.16% Beta 1.04
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 0.00% Equity Float 2'331.40
Shares Out 18.05.2012 6'402.3 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 24'264.74 1 Yr Total Return -29.86%
Total Debt 20'888.94 YTD Return -23.72%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.042
Minority Interest 878.2 Analyst Recs 27
Cash and Equivalents 1'710.50 Consensus Rating 3.111
Enterprise Value 37'902.46 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 14'385'000
WIL SP EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 8'285'034
WIL SP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 11'475'110
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2007 31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 12/yy 12/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 06/12 Q2 09/12 Q3
Total Revenue 16'466.2 29'145.2 23'885.1 30'377.5 44'710.0 30'377.5 44'710.0 48'159.5 54'110.5 11'852.0 13'296.7
TEV/Revenue 1.74x 0.57x 1.60x 1.48x 1.00x 5.36x 4.16x 0.67x 0.61x - -
EBITDA 833.6 1'969.8 2'424.9 1'409.2 1'933.4 1'409.2 2'329.5 2'695.3 3'026.8 757.5 782.0
TEV/EBITDA 34.28x 8.46x 15.75x 31.95x 23.14x 31.91x 19.21x 14.06x 12.52x 12.04x 11.91x
Net Income 580.4 1'531.0 1'882.0 1'324.0 1'600.8 1'324.0 1'600.8 1'555.0 1'803.4 458.5 471.0
P/E 29.28x 8.10x 15.52x 21.19x 15.43x 21.19x 15.49x 12.14x 10.51x 10.04x 9.72x
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 1'933.39 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 1'454.82 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 3.25% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 4.65% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 4.34% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 12.69% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital 6.48% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 3.74
Asset Turnover 1.21% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 0.73
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 9.92
Gross Margin 8.7% Total Debt/EBITDA 10.80
EBITDA Margin 4.3% Reference
EBIT Margin 3.3% Total Debt/Equity 156.2%
Net Income Margin 3.6% Total Debt/Capital 59.4%
Structure Asset Turnover 1.21
Current Ratio 1.07 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 6.51
Quick Ratio 0.24 Accounts receivable turnover-days 27.03
Debt to Assets 52.70% Inventory Days 62.57
Tot Debt to Common Equity 156.24% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 13.93
Accounts Receivable Turnover 13.50 Cash Conversion Cycle 75.67
Inventory Turnover 5.83
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
90.00 50'000.0
80.00 45'000.0
70.00 40'000.0
35'000.0
60.00
30'000.0
50.00
25'000.0
40.00
20'000.0
30.00 15'000.0
20.00 10'000.0
10.00 5'000.0
0.00
0.0
02.01.2009 02.07.2009 02.01.2010 02.07.2010 02.01.2011 02.07.2011 02.01.2012 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
5. 18.05.2012
Wilmar International Ltd
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
PPB GROUP BHD n/a Co File 1'172'614'755 18.32 - 06.03.2012 Corporation
GLOBAL COCOA HOLDING n/a Co File 356'399'775 5.57 - 06.03.2012 Other
WILMAR INTL HOLDINGS n/a Co File 354'961'795 5.54 - 06.03.2012 n/a
LONGHLIN ASIA LTD n/a Co File 336'009'921 5.25 - 06.03.2012 n/a
ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLA n/a Co File 335'625'280 5.24 - 06.03.2012 Corporation
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN n/a EXCH 317'267'061 4.96 (7'808'000) 23.02.2011 Investment Advisor
FIREFLY LTD n/a Co File 294'801'479 4.6 - 06.03.2012 n/a
BOLNEY ENTERPRISES L n/a Co File 294'801'372 4.6 - 06.03.2012 n/a
HARPOLE RESOURCES LT n/a Co File 256'211'778 4 - 06.03.2012 n/a
NOBLESPIRIT CORP n/a Co File 242'600'000 3.79 - 06.03.2012 n/a
HPR INVESTMENTS LTD n/a Co File 230'461'271 3.6 - 06.03.2012 n/a
HONG LEE HOLDINGS PT n/a Co File 179'204'971 2.8 - 06.03.2012 n/a
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 88'990'316 1.39 120'000 01.05.2012 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 85'920'000 1.34 (10'305'000) 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
BONOTO INVESTMENTS L n/a Co File 51'267'514 0.8 - 06.03.2012 n/a
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 36'537'000 0.57 (80'996'000) 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
YONG TEO KIM n/a Co File 33'852'274 0.53 - 21.01.2012 n/a
NATALON CO LTD n/a Co File 33'760'355 0.53 - 06.03.2012 n/a
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 31'973'000 0.5 - 02.05.2012 Investment Advisor
DALEX INVESTMENTS LT n/a Co File 30'405'900 0.47 - 06.03.2012 Corporation
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Standard Chartered ADRIAN FOULGER in-line 3 D 5 12 month 30.04.2012
HSBC THILAN WICKRAMASINGHE neutral 3 U 5 Not Provided 26.04.2012
Morgan Stanley CHARLES C SPENCER Overwt/In-Line 5 M 6 12 month 20.04.2012
OSK (Asia) Securities ALVIN TAI neutral 3 M 5 12 month 16.04.2012
Phillip Securities LEE KOK JOO neutral 3 U 5 12 month 13.04.2012
BNP Paribas Equity Research MICHAEL GREENALL hold 3 M 5 12 month 12.04.2012
TA Securities Holdings Berhad JAMES RATNAM hold 3 M 6 Not Provided 12.04.2012
UOB Kay Hian TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 M 6 Not Provided 10.04.2012
JPMorgan YING-JIAN CHAN overweight 5 M 6 6 month 09.04.2012
Nomura TANUJ SHORI neutral 3 M 6 Not Provided 09.04.2012
Jefferies ARYA SEN underperform 1 M 4 12 month 14.03.2012
Euro Pacific Capital Inc STEVE WILDER buy 5 N 6 12 month 13.03.2012
OCBC Investment Research CAREY WONG hold 3 M 5 12 month 12.03.2012
DBS Vickers BEN SANTOSO buy 5 M 6 12 month 06.03.2012
Kim Eng Securities ROHAN SUPPIAH sell 1 M 5 12 month 28.02.2012
Deutsche Bank ELTRICIA LI CHING FOONG buy 5 M 6 12 month 27.02.2012
Goldman Sachs PATRICK TIAH neutral/neutral 3 D 5 12 month 26.02.2012
Credit Suisse TAN TING MIN outperform 5 M 6 Not Provided 23.02.2012
Macquarie CONRAD WERNER neutral 3 D 5 12 month 23.02.2012
CIMB IVY NG neutral 3 D 5 12 month 23.02.2012
AmResearch Sdn Bhd GAN HUEY LING hold 3 D 6 12 month 23.02.2012
DMG & Partners Securities TEAM COVERAGE neutral 3 D 5 12 month 23.02.2012
IIFL ZUO LI sell 1 M 4 12 month 23.02.2012
RBS JOHN DANIEL RACHMAT hold 3 D 5 12 month 22.02.2012
Religare Capital Markets VINCENT FERNANDO buy 5 M 6 12 month 06.02.2012
Affin Securities Sdn Bhd ONG KENG WEE not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 02.02.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 30.11.2011
Frontier Investment & Capital Advisors PRIYO MAYENGBAM buy 5 M 8 12 month 13.05.2010
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
6. 18.05.2012
Tiger Brands Ltd
Tiger Brands Limited manufactures, processes and distributes food products which Price/Volume
include milling and baking, confectioneries, general foods, edible oils and
35000 4.0 M
derivatives. The Group also owns a South African pharmaceutical manufacturer and
30000 3.5 M
distributor.
25000 3.0 M
2.5 M
20000
2.0 M
Valuation Analysis 15000
1.5 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 09/2011 10000 1.0 M
LTM as of: 01/yy 5000 .5 M
52-Week High (04.05.2012) 29'321.00
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (23.05.2011) 18'113.00 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12
Daily Volume 235'283.00
Current Price (5/dd/yy) 26885 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -8.31% Dividend Yield 2.94
52-Week Low % Change 48.43% Beta 0.76
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 83.90% Equity Float 160.32
Shares Out 07.12.2011 190.7 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 51'258.14 1 Yr Total Return 50.47%
Total Debt 2'177.00 YTD Return 9.36%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.762
Minority Interest 386.0 Analyst Recs 11
Cash and Equivalents 506.00 Consensus Rating 2.636
Enterprise Value 53'315.14 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 578'312
TBS SJ EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 579'478
TBS SJ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 669'861
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
30.09.2007 30.09.2008 30.09.2009 30.09.2010 30.09.2011 01/yy 01/yy 09/12 Y 09/13 Y - -
Total Revenue 16'209.9 18'954.0 20'430.4 19'316.0 20'430.0 - - 22'971.0 24'749.0 - -
TEV/Revenue 1.85x 1.35x 1.31x 1.88x 2.06x - - 2.29x 2.09x - -
EBITDA 2'675.1 2'994.8 3'468.7 3'446.9 3'629.0 - - 4'223.7 4'599.3 - -
TEV/EBITDA 11.22x 8.52x 7.73x 10.53x 11.59x - - 12.62x 11.59x - -
Net Income 2'242.8 2'273.7 2'485.5 2'192.3 2'584.0 - - 2'819.9 3'165.3 - -
P/E 14.17x 9.02x 10.70x 13.61x 13.33x - - 15.51x 13.86x - -
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 3'629.00 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 3'245.00 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 15.88% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 17.58% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 17.71% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 28.43% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital 24.10% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 43.20
Asset Turnover 1.40% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 9.30
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 0.46
Gross Margin 37.7% Total Debt/EBITDA 0.60
EBITDA Margin 17.8% Reference
EBIT Margin 15.9% Total Debt/Equity 22.1%
Net Income Margin 12.6% Total Debt/Capital 17.5%
Structure Asset Turnover 1.40
Current Ratio 1.41 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 6.92
Quick Ratio 0.11 Accounts receivable turnover-days 45.53
Debt to Assets 13.44% Inventory Days 90.34
Tot Debt to Common Equity 22.08% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 43.86
Accounts Receivable Turnover 8.02 Cash Conversion Cycle 92.02
Inventory Turnover 4.04
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00 25'000.0
14.00
20'000.0
12.00
10.00 15'000.0
8.00
10'000.0
6.00
4.00 5'000.0
2.00
0.00
0.0
03.10.2008 03.04.2009 03.10.2009 03.04.2010 03.10.2010 03.04.2011 03.10.2011 03.04.2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
7. 18.05.2012
Tiger Brands Ltd
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
PUBLIC INVESTMENT CO n/a Research 20'018'986 10.5 - 06.01.2012 Government
LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM n/a Research 11'630'077 6.1 - 06.01.2012 Investment Advisor
TIGER CONSUMER BRAND n/a Research 10'295'478 5.4 - 06.01.2012 n/a
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'110'168 3.2 217'804 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
FIRST STATE INVESTME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'237'384 2.22 258'145 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
INVESTEC FUND GROUP Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'687'460 1.93 532'291 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'605'342 1.37 - 02.05.2012 Investment Advisor
ALLAN GRAY UNIT TRUS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'365'800 1.24 (591'136) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'338'479 1.23 379'111 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
DWS INVESTMENT S A Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'377'698 0.72 - 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
CORONATION FUND MANA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'307'994 0.69 (490'728) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
JPMORGAN ASSET MANAG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'057'911 0.55 15'557 20.01.2012 Investment Advisor
FRANKLIN RESOURCES I Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 943'219 0.49 558'520 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
FIRST STATE INVESTME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 881'243 0.46 29'881 31.01.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
MOMENTUM Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 854'312 0.45 37'145 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
MONTGOMERY ASSET MAN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 746'545 0.39 61'000 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor
ABSA FUND MANAGERS L Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 503'972 0.26 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
MASSACHUSETTS FINANC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 468'681 0.25 2'706 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 452'412 0.24 (3'654) 01.05.2012 Investment Advisor
HARRIS TRUST & SAVIN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 431'100 0.23 104'500 30.12.2011 Unclassified
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Investec ANTHONY GEARD hold 3 M 30'000 Not Provided 26.04.2012
Afrifocus Securities TANUJA CHITRE sell 1 D #N/A N/A Not Provided 29.03.2012
Deutsche Bank WARREN GOLDBLUM hold 3 D 27'000 12 month 14.03.2012
Morgan Stanley VIKHYAT SHARMA Underwt/In-Line 1 D 24'000 12 month 01.03.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE overweight 5 U #N/A N/A Not Provided 08.02.2012
HSBC MICHELE OLIVIER underweight 1 D 25'200 Not Provided 06.02.2012
Avior Research JITEN BECHOO hold 3 N 28'637 Not Provided 25.01.2012
Credit Suisse MUKHTAR MUSTAPHA underperform 1 M 21'800 Not Provided 24.01.2012
SBG Securities BRENDAN GRUNDLINGH sell 1 M 21'000 12 month 20.01.2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |