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Local Economic Development and
           Urbanism



      Israeli Mayors Institute on City Renewal
                    June 2010
                nachman@miu.org.il
                   www.miu.org.il
Nachman Shelef
•   Serial high-tech and social entrepreneur. Founder or member of the
    starting team of high-tech and clean-tech startups such as Nice,
    NiceCom, Atrica, ConteXtream, EnStorage, My6Sense; of Benchmark
    Israel a venture capital fund; and of NGOs such as IVN – Israel
    Venture Network, and MIU – the Movement for Israeli Urbanism.
•   Former general partner in Benchmark Capital, an international venture
    capital fund that invested $490M in Israeli startups.
•   Former vice-president at 3Com, a multi-national corporation, and
    general manager of business units that spanned CA, MA, and Israel.
•   B.Sc. Summa cum Laude in electrical and computer engineering from
    the Technion.
Agenda
• A brief history of LED
  – Summary of current thinking
• LED in the context of cities and towns
  – Urban Economics
  – Cities have natural economic advantages
  – How does the urban economy develop?
  – How can we jumpstart economic development?
What is LED?
• The purpose of Local Economic
  Development is
  – to build up the economic capacity of a local area
  – to improve its economic future and
  – the quality of life for all.
• It is a process by which
  – public, business and non-governmental sector
    partners work collectively
  – to create better conditions for economic growth
    and employment generation.
Economic Development
  before the 1800s…
              • …was boring!
                – Production followed
                  Population




 Production
The Industrial Revolution




                  English-speaking
                  Japan
                  northwest Europe
                  the rest of Europe and Europe-dominated
                      economies in Latin America.
                  the rest of Asia and Africa.
A Brief History of LED
Prior to WWII                            Post WWII
•   Economic Development was     •         A new concept was born - Economic
    focused by each nation on              Development aid to other nations
    developing their own economy           aimed at improving quality of life
    – Included trade with other            without altering basic social structures
      nations                              (conquering)
    – Included investment in                – Driven by multiple factors:
      territories, colonies and other           • The recognized need for global
      nations directly or indirectly              stability – to avert another WW
      under the control of empires in           • Political influence – the ―cold war‖
      order to exploit their resources          • Create bigger markets for goods and
                                                  services – globalization
                                            – Creation of the UN, the WorldBank,
                                              the IMF, ITO / GATT / WTO
                                            – The Marshall Plan
                                            – Creation of USAID
                                         • Continued investment in own LED
A Brief History of LED
• Results of Marshall Plan seemed
  promising
  – Investment in hard infrastructure brought on
    rapid economic growth in western Europe
• The recipe for LED seemed to be clear
  and this brought on huge investments that
  kicked off three waves of LED
• Most of these investments have been
  fruitless…
A Brief History of LED
• Since the 1960s, LED has passed through three
  broad stages or 'waves' of development.
  – In each of these waves LED practitioners have
    developed a better understanding of successful and
    unsuccessful programs.
  – Today LED is in its 'third wave'.
  – Although LED has moved through each of these waves,
    elements of each wave are still practiced today.
  – Each of the waves had some basis in a prevailing
    economic development theory
  – With each wave the appreciation of the difficulty and
    complexity of LED grew
The Three Waves of LED

    1960s to         1980s to mid         Late1990s
   early1980s           1990s              onwards




                     Regions /          Cities and
  Nations
                      Sectors            Towns

                                        Skills/Education,
       Hard           Attract Foreign
                                        Attractive Policies
Infrastructure and   Investment and
                                                and
  Manufacturing       Support Local
                                          Public/Private
    Transplants        Businesses
                                           Partnerships
Summary of Current Thinking on LED


                     Goal is quality of life for all

  Employment         Environment           Livibility        Social inclusion



  Participatory            Growth of local
                                                         Focus on cities
   approach                 businesses
• Including all           • Promotion and               • As engines of
  stakeholders and          support of                    economic
  sectors                   innovation and                development
• Led by local              entrepreneurship            • Urban regeneration
  government                (both business and            as a tool
                            social)
                          • Business friendly
                            policies
Have we all learnt the lessons
   of past LED attempts?
Which Programs Do Not Work
   (But We Still Keep Using Them!)
   • Unfortunately there are countless examples of failed
     LED strategies and projects. These include:
        – Expensive untargeted foreign direct investment marketing
          campaigns
        – Supply-led training programs
        – Excessive reliance on grant-led investments
        – Over-generous financial inducements for inward investors (not
          only can this be an inefficient use of taxpayers money, it can
          breed considerable resentment amongst local businesses that
          may not be entitled to the same benefit).
        – Business retention subsidies (where firms are paid to stay in the
          area despite the fact that financial viability of the plant is at risk)
        – Reliance on "low-road" techniques, e.g., cheap labor and
          subsidized capital
        – Government-conceived, -controlled, and -directed strategies
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTURBANDEVELOPMENT/EXTLED/0,,print:Y~isCURL:Y~contentMDK:
20185187~menuPK:402643~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK:341139,00.html
Typical Shortcuts proposed for LED

• Attract:
  – Outside investment
  – Outside transplants
  – Outside talent
  – Outside residents
• Connect:
  – Under-developed regions to successful ones


  … if only LED was so easy…
Agenda
• A brief history of LED
  – Summary of current thinking
• LED in the context of cities and towns
  – Urban Economics
  – Cities have natural economic advantages
  – How does the urban economy develop?
  – How can we jumpstart economic development?
Urban Economics from

Econ171 Economic Development
         UC Berkeley

  Lecture 27 Urbanization by Atanu Dey

                                         16
Cities are the biggest idea
• Cities represent the largest and the most
  persistent human artifact
• Cities are the aggregation of the biggest
  ideas of humans
• Urbanization matters because that is what
  humans naturally tend to do



               Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey   17
Urbanization Matters
• Economic Growth and Urbanization are bi-
  directionally causally connected

   Economic Growth                               Urbanization




• ―… no country in the industrial age has
  ever achieved significant economic growth
  without urbanization.‖

                     Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey          18
Urbanization Matters for
           Economic Growth
• Why is this so?
  – Economies of scale and of agglomeration




                    Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey   19
The Big Picture
• The World is getting more urbanized




                                              Half the world’s population
                                              occupies only 1.5 percent
              Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu
                          Dey
                                              of the world’s land area
                                                                    20
Ginza Area in Greater Tokyo




                                    21
Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
Share of World Population Residing in Urban Areas
       By World Region 1950-2030
                    100
                                                                                  Israel 92%
                                                                                                                                         87
                                                                                                                     85
                                                                                                     80                             80
                    80                                                                                          77
                                                                                                                               74                       73 75
                                                                                                73                                                 72

                                                                                           66                             64
                                         61                                                                    61                             61
                    60
          Percent




                                                             54                  54
                                                                                      51
                                    48

                                                                                                          42
                                                        39                  39
                    40         37

                          29
                                                   25                  24

                    20                        15
                                                                  17




                     0
                          World                Africa                  Asia           Europe                Latin   Northern                  Oceania
                                                                                                           America America
                                                                                                           and the
                                                                                                          Caribbean
                                                                                                                                                          22
Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
                                                        1950            1975               2003            2030
Economic Activity is Spiky




• Wealth is unequally distributed
• North America, European Union
  and Japan account for 75% of
  the world’s wealth
• Around 1 billion have less than
  2% of the world’s wealth
Agenda
• A brief history of LED
  – Summary of current best practices
• LED in the context of cities and towns
  – Urban Economics
  – Cities have natural economic advantages
  – How does the urban economy develop?
  – How can we jumpstart economic development?
Cities have natural economic
         advantages
• The advantages outweigh the disadvantages
   – Successful cities grow to metros grow to mega-metros

• Positive relationship between size and productivity
   – Doubling city size will increase productivity by 3%-10%

• Larger cities produce more innovations
   – In the US, 96% of all innovations occur in metros

• Cities are engines of economic growth
   – They manufacture wealth

                                                               25
                  Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
Mega Regions
   • 40 mega-regions, 1.2 billion people
        – Around 70% of world output
        – 85% of all innovations
   • 5 billion people living in 191 countries produce the rest
   • A resident of a mega-region is 8 times as productive in
     goods, and 24 times as productive in innovations




1955                                   2015
                                                                 26
11 mega-metros                         60 mega-metros
Cities are Engines of Growth
• They manufacture wealth
  – Manufacturing occurs in urban areas
  – Why rich countries are predominantly urban
• Urbanization makes mass production possible
  – Manufacturing is related to scale economies
  – Scale economies require people in terms of variety
    and quantity
• As producers seek scale economies, agriculture
  disperses but manufacturing clusters
• Services become even more clustered than
  manufacturing
                                                         27
               Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
Cities and Lower Costs
• Transaction Costs are lower in cities
• Infrastructure has scale economies
  – Transportation, water, sewage, electricity…
  – High fixed costs. Higher with sprawl!
  – High aggregate demand reduces the average costs
• Education can be more efficiently produced and
  consumed in cities
  – Major factor in economic growth
  – Scale economies are huge in education
     • High fixed costs and low marginal costs

                 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey    28
Internal Scale Economies

• The cost of producing each unit of
  something changes when the volume
  produced increases or decreases
• Economies arise from sharing of fixed costs




                                                29
            Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
External Agglomeration Economies

• Localization economies
  – Clustering of Firms in the same Industry
  – Arise from clustering of activities near a specific
    facility, such as a transport terminal, a big market
    or a large university.
• Urbanization economies
  – Diversity of different Industries in the same area
  – Arise from common infrastructure, the diversity of
    labour and market size.


                                                           30
                    Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
Economies
• Internal scale economies arise from
  sharing of fixed costs by a large quantity of
  outputs and are higher in heavier
  industries
• External Agglomeration Economies:
  – Localization economies arise from input-
    sharing and competition within the industry
  – Urbanization economies come from industrial
    diversity that fosters innovation and exchange
    of ideas and technology
                                                31
            Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
The 12 Urban Economies of Scale
Type of economy of scale                                       Example
                1. Pecuniary                                   Being able to purchase intermediate inputs at volume discounts
                                           2. Static
Internal                                                       Falling average costs because of fixed costs of operating a plant
                                           technological
                Technological
                                           3. Dynamic
                                                               Learning to operate a plant more efficiently over time
                                           technological
                                           4. ―Shopping‖       Shoppers are attracted to places where there are many sellers

                                                               Outsourcing allows both the upstream input suppliers and downstream firms to
                                           5. ―Adam Smith‖
                                Static                         profit from productivity gains because of specialization
                Localization               6. ―Marshall‖       Workers with industry-specific skills are attracted to a location where there is a
                                           labor pooling       greater concentration
                                           7. ―Marshall-
                                                               Reductions in costs that arise from repeated and continuous production activity
                                Dynamic    Arrow-Romer‖
                                                               over time and which spill over between firms in the same place
                                           learning by doing

                                           8. ―Jane Jacobs‖    The more that different things are done locally, the more opportunity there is for
                                           innovation          observing and adapting ideas from others
External or
agglomeration                              9. ―Marshall‖       Workers in an industry bring innovations to firms in other industries; similar to
                                Static     labor pooling       no. 6 above, but the benefit arises from the diversity of industries in one location.

                Urbanization
                                                             Similar to no. 5 above, the main difference being that the division of labor is
                                           10. ―Adam Smith‖
                                                             made possible by the existence of many different buying industries in the same
                                           division of labor
                                                             place

                                           11. ―Romer‖         The larger the market, the higher the profit; the more attractive the location to
                                Dynamic    endogenous          firms, the more jobs there are; the more labor pools there, the larger the
                                           growth              market—and so on

                                                               Spreading fixed costs of infrastructure over more taxpayers; diseconomies arise
                12. ―Pure‖ agglomeration
                                                               from congestion and pollution
Cities, it turns out, have
       natural advantages
•   Cities naturally offer Variety, a wide range of valued choices. They
    naturally offer Convenience. In cities, there are more choices close
    at hand. Discovery is another city advantage. Cities offer people
    more chances to discover things they didn't know they liked, things
    they didn't know they wanted to know, and people they didn't know
    they could make things with (including fun and babies). And cities
    naturally offer more Opportunity to their citizens in the form of
    access to jobs, education and smart people.

•   But here's the problem: We keep screwing it up.
•   We keep undermining the city’s natural advantages. Instead of
    building compact cities that magnify, amplify and intensify these city
    advantages, we've blown it…
Agenda
• A brief history of LED
  – Summary of current thinking
• LED in the context of cities and towns
  – Urban Economics
  – Cities have natural economic advantages
  – How does the urban economy develop?
  – How can we jumpstart economic development?
LED in the Context of Cities
     from the easiest to the most difficult

                             LED in a Great City


                   LED in the Region of a Great City


           LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


                       LED in a City that is not Great




         A Great City generates much more wealth than it consumes for mere existence.
A Great City generates enough wealth to support growth in the city as well in its surrounding region.
LED in a Great City


    LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great
                                             LED in a Great City
                                            What makes the city the true engine of LED

      • Compact and vibrant mixed population communities lead to
        interaction, opportunity and innovation
      • Easy access to skilled and unskilled talent
      • Easy access to customers and markets
      • Easy access to suppliers
      • Easy access to technology and knowhow
      • Easy access to credit
      • Easy access to low-cost startup space and to expansion
        space
      • Low regulatory barriers to small business
      • Lot’s of imports to replace
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great
                                            LED in a Great City
     •           What is the role of Urban Planning and Transportation in creating a
                 great place to live and to develop economically?


                                            If the City provides
                                                        Mixed age   Small
           Density                          Mixed use
                                                        buildings   Blocks




                          It can become a LED generator
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City          The cycle of city development
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great

                                                                 Density
                                                  Quality        Variety
                                                    Of             &
                                                   Life          Access




                                                                           Innovation
                                  Opportunities         People                 &
                                                                             Culture




                                                  Intensity   Development
LED in a Great City




                                              LED in the Region of a Great City
 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great




 •                 Create a great place to live and to develop
                   economically
 •                 Provide attractive and efficient access to the City
 •                 The City will do the rest
               – The Five Economic Forces Exerted by Cities on Their
                 Own Regions
                             1.             City markets
                             2.             City jobs
                             3.             City developed technology
                             4.             Transplanted city work
                             5.             City generated capital
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City
                                                Leveraging the five forces to
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region     accelerate LED in the region of a
                                                         Great City
      LED in a City that is not Great




                                            ToD in the Center of Regional Towns of a Great City

                                                                                                Is Beer-Sheva a Great City?




                Stockholm
          The Gr Stockholm Transit
          Oriented Metropolis                                                                The Gr Copenhagen Transit
                                                                                             Oriented Metropolis


      What about rail stations in
      the center of the towns?                              The 1961 National Capital Plan         Source – Prof. Danny Gatt
                                                            for Gr Washington BC
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City              LED in a Town Outside a Great
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great
                                                         City Region
•         Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby)

                                            • Leverage current thinking on LED
                                            • Create a great place to live and to develop economically
            How?                              • In the existing center of town




                                            • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning
    Jumpstart the
                                              any advantage into an opportunity
      economy



                                            • Earn Imports
                                            • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar towns
Leverage initial                              through innovation and improvisation
   sales to                                 • Repeat last two steps forever
LED in a Great City


 LED in the Region of a Great City
                                                LED in a City that is not Great
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great




•         Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby)

                                            • Leverage current thinking on LED
                                            • Create a great place to live and to develop economically
            How?                              • In a small focused area of the city (urban acupuncture)




                                            • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning
    Jumpstart the
                                              any advantage into an opportunity
      economy



                                            • Earn Imports
                                            • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar cities
Leverage initial                              through innovation and improvisation
   sales to                                 • Repeat last two steps forever
LED in a Great City                How to Jumpstart the cycle of city
                                                     development
 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great

                                                             Density
                                             Quality         Variety
                                               Of              &
                                              Life           Access                 Where is the
                                                                                     ―handle‖ ?


                                                                       Innovation
     Opportunities                                  People                 &
                                                                         Culture




                                             Intensity     Development
Summary of Current Thinking on LED


                     Goal is quality of life for all

  Employment         Environment           Livibility        Social inclusion



  Participatory            Growth of local
                                                         Focus on cities
   approach                 businesses
• Including all           • Promotion and               • As engines of
  stakeholders and          support of                    economic
  sectors                   innovation and                development
• Led by local              entrepreneurship            • Urban regeneration
  government                (both business and            as a tool
                            social)
                          • Business friendly
                            policies
Local Agenda 21




• The Local Agenda 21 (LA21) Campaign promotes a
  participatory, long-term, strategic planning process that
  helps municipalities identify local sustainability priorities
  and implement long-term action plans.
• It supports good local governance and mobilizes local
  governments and their citizens to undertake such multi-
  stakeholder process.

• A 2002 survey found that
   – more than 6,400 local governments in
   – 113 countries have become involved in LA21 activities over a
   – 10-year period.
But, a great strategic plan…
• … in a binder on the shelf…

• Is just that -

• A great plan on the shelf!

• The questions remain the same:
   – How do you advance ever closer to your vision of a
     successful town, based on daily decisions and based
     on existing budgets?
   – How do you jump-start the cycle of city development?
LED in a Great City                How to Jumpstart the cycle of city
                                                     development
 LED in the Region of a Great City


LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region


      LED in a City that is not Great

                                                             Density
                                             Quality         Variety
                                               Of              &                      The
                                              Life           Access
                                                                                    ―handle‖



                                                                       Innovation
     Opportunities                                  People                 &
                                                                         Culture




                                             Intensity     Development
Urban Regeneration as a LED Tool
                                                 or
        How to increase Density, Variety and Access
•Provide loans to accelerate
private storefront and
                                                       Use the ―charrette‖ collaborative urban
residence renewal                                      planning tool as the basis of a LED program
                                                             •Create a great place to live for local
                                                             residents
                                                             •Create a great place to succeed for local
                        First stage:                         businesses
                        • Surgical urban                     •Leverage the true identity of the city / town
                          intervention plan in               as seen by the local residents
                          the public space
                                                             •Local residents strengthen their sense of
                                                             belonging by planning their town

                                                                           •Leverage existing budgets for
                                                                           public building projects to
                                                                           implement the plan
Third stage:                                                               •Local residents are
• Private Development
                                                 Second stage:             empowered by seeing their
  Construction and                               • Renewal of the          plans adopted and
  Renovation near the                              public space            implemented
  public space
The critical role of the MIU in
             LED in Israel
                       Goal is quality of life for all
In order to improve the quality of living in Israel, while contributing to the global
 sustainability effort, the MIU promotes qualityLivibility
  Employment              Environment             urban living based on compact,
                                                                    Social inclusion
                   quality and sustainable urban environments.


   Participatory               Growth of local
                                                              Focus on cities
    approach                    businesses
• Charrette all
  Including –                 • Making theand
                                Promotion local             • Weengines of as
                                                              As view the city
  collaborative and
  stakeholders                  environment great
                                support of                    the key mechanism
                                                              economic
  planning
  sectors with all              for the locals
                                innovation and                that provides
                                                              development
• stakeholders
  Led by local                • entrepreneurship
                                Compact, quality            • peopleregeneration
                                                              Urban the
• government
  Quality in Density            (both business and
                                and sustainable               opportunities to fulfill
                                                              as a tool
  Toolbox for all               social)
                                cities provide                their inherent
  sectors                     • opportunities and
                                Business friendly             potential
• Mayors Institute              breed innovation
                                policies
Thank You

nachman@miu.org.il
    June 2010
  www.miu.org.il

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Local Economic Development (LED) and Urbanism for the Israeli Mayors' Institute

  • 1. Local Economic Development and Urbanism Israeli Mayors Institute on City Renewal June 2010 nachman@miu.org.il www.miu.org.il
  • 2. Nachman Shelef • Serial high-tech and social entrepreneur. Founder or member of the starting team of high-tech and clean-tech startups such as Nice, NiceCom, Atrica, ConteXtream, EnStorage, My6Sense; of Benchmark Israel a venture capital fund; and of NGOs such as IVN – Israel Venture Network, and MIU – the Movement for Israeli Urbanism. • Former general partner in Benchmark Capital, an international venture capital fund that invested $490M in Israeli startups. • Former vice-president at 3Com, a multi-national corporation, and general manager of business units that spanned CA, MA, and Israel. • B.Sc. Summa cum Laude in electrical and computer engineering from the Technion.
  • 3. Agenda • A brief history of LED – Summary of current thinking • LED in the context of cities and towns – Urban Economics – Cities have natural economic advantages – How does the urban economy develop? – How can we jumpstart economic development?
  • 4. What is LED? • The purpose of Local Economic Development is – to build up the economic capacity of a local area – to improve its economic future and – the quality of life for all. • It is a process by which – public, business and non-governmental sector partners work collectively – to create better conditions for economic growth and employment generation.
  • 5. Economic Development before the 1800s… • …was boring! – Production followed Population Production
  • 6. The Industrial Revolution English-speaking Japan northwest Europe the rest of Europe and Europe-dominated economies in Latin America. the rest of Asia and Africa.
  • 7. A Brief History of LED Prior to WWII Post WWII • Economic Development was • A new concept was born - Economic focused by each nation on Development aid to other nations developing their own economy aimed at improving quality of life – Included trade with other without altering basic social structures nations (conquering) – Included investment in – Driven by multiple factors: territories, colonies and other • The recognized need for global nations directly or indirectly stability – to avert another WW under the control of empires in • Political influence – the ―cold war‖ order to exploit their resources • Create bigger markets for goods and services – globalization – Creation of the UN, the WorldBank, the IMF, ITO / GATT / WTO – The Marshall Plan – Creation of USAID • Continued investment in own LED
  • 8. A Brief History of LED • Results of Marshall Plan seemed promising – Investment in hard infrastructure brought on rapid economic growth in western Europe • The recipe for LED seemed to be clear and this brought on huge investments that kicked off three waves of LED • Most of these investments have been fruitless…
  • 9. A Brief History of LED • Since the 1960s, LED has passed through three broad stages or 'waves' of development. – In each of these waves LED practitioners have developed a better understanding of successful and unsuccessful programs. – Today LED is in its 'third wave'. – Although LED has moved through each of these waves, elements of each wave are still practiced today. – Each of the waves had some basis in a prevailing economic development theory – With each wave the appreciation of the difficulty and complexity of LED grew
  • 10. The Three Waves of LED 1960s to 1980s to mid Late1990s early1980s 1990s onwards Regions / Cities and Nations Sectors Towns Skills/Education, Hard Attract Foreign Attractive Policies Infrastructure and Investment and and Manufacturing Support Local Public/Private Transplants Businesses Partnerships
  • 11. Summary of Current Thinking on LED Goal is quality of life for all Employment Environment Livibility Social inclusion Participatory Growth of local Focus on cities approach businesses • Including all • Promotion and • As engines of stakeholders and support of economic sectors innovation and development • Led by local entrepreneurship • Urban regeneration government (both business and as a tool social) • Business friendly policies
  • 12. Have we all learnt the lessons of past LED attempts?
  • 13. Which Programs Do Not Work (But We Still Keep Using Them!) • Unfortunately there are countless examples of failed LED strategies and projects. These include: – Expensive untargeted foreign direct investment marketing campaigns – Supply-led training programs – Excessive reliance on grant-led investments – Over-generous financial inducements for inward investors (not only can this be an inefficient use of taxpayers money, it can breed considerable resentment amongst local businesses that may not be entitled to the same benefit). – Business retention subsidies (where firms are paid to stay in the area despite the fact that financial viability of the plant is at risk) – Reliance on "low-road" techniques, e.g., cheap labor and subsidized capital – Government-conceived, -controlled, and -directed strategies http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTURBANDEVELOPMENT/EXTLED/0,,print:Y~isCURL:Y~contentMDK: 20185187~menuPK:402643~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK:341139,00.html
  • 14. Typical Shortcuts proposed for LED • Attract: – Outside investment – Outside transplants – Outside talent – Outside residents • Connect: – Under-developed regions to successful ones … if only LED was so easy…
  • 15. Agenda • A brief history of LED – Summary of current thinking • LED in the context of cities and towns – Urban Economics – Cities have natural economic advantages – How does the urban economy develop? – How can we jumpstart economic development?
  • 16. Urban Economics from Econ171 Economic Development UC Berkeley Lecture 27 Urbanization by Atanu Dey 16
  • 17. Cities are the biggest idea • Cities represent the largest and the most persistent human artifact • Cities are the aggregation of the biggest ideas of humans • Urbanization matters because that is what humans naturally tend to do Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 17
  • 18. Urbanization Matters • Economic Growth and Urbanization are bi- directionally causally connected Economic Growth Urbanization • ―… no country in the industrial age has ever achieved significant economic growth without urbanization.‖ Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 18
  • 19. Urbanization Matters for Economic Growth • Why is this so? – Economies of scale and of agglomeration Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 19
  • 20. The Big Picture • The World is getting more urbanized Half the world’s population occupies only 1.5 percent Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey of the world’s land area 20
  • 21. Ginza Area in Greater Tokyo 21 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
  • 22. Share of World Population Residing in Urban Areas By World Region 1950-2030 100 Israel 92% 87 85 80 80 80 77 74 73 75 73 72 66 64 61 61 61 60 Percent 54 54 51 48 42 39 39 40 37 29 25 24 20 15 17 0 World Africa Asia Europe Latin Northern Oceania America America and the Caribbean 22 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 1950 1975 2003 2030
  • 23. Economic Activity is Spiky • Wealth is unequally distributed • North America, European Union and Japan account for 75% of the world’s wealth • Around 1 billion have less than 2% of the world’s wealth
  • 24. Agenda • A brief history of LED – Summary of current best practices • LED in the context of cities and towns – Urban Economics – Cities have natural economic advantages – How does the urban economy develop? – How can we jumpstart economic development?
  • 25. Cities have natural economic advantages • The advantages outweigh the disadvantages – Successful cities grow to metros grow to mega-metros • Positive relationship between size and productivity – Doubling city size will increase productivity by 3%-10% • Larger cities produce more innovations – In the US, 96% of all innovations occur in metros • Cities are engines of economic growth – They manufacture wealth 25 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
  • 26. Mega Regions • 40 mega-regions, 1.2 billion people – Around 70% of world output – 85% of all innovations • 5 billion people living in 191 countries produce the rest • A resident of a mega-region is 8 times as productive in goods, and 24 times as productive in innovations 1955 2015 26 11 mega-metros 60 mega-metros
  • 27. Cities are Engines of Growth • They manufacture wealth – Manufacturing occurs in urban areas – Why rich countries are predominantly urban • Urbanization makes mass production possible – Manufacturing is related to scale economies – Scale economies require people in terms of variety and quantity • As producers seek scale economies, agriculture disperses but manufacturing clusters • Services become even more clustered than manufacturing 27 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
  • 28. Cities and Lower Costs • Transaction Costs are lower in cities • Infrastructure has scale economies – Transportation, water, sewage, electricity… – High fixed costs. Higher with sprawl! – High aggregate demand reduces the average costs • Education can be more efficiently produced and consumed in cities – Major factor in economic growth – Scale economies are huge in education • High fixed costs and low marginal costs Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 28
  • 29. Internal Scale Economies • The cost of producing each unit of something changes when the volume produced increases or decreases • Economies arise from sharing of fixed costs 29 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
  • 30. External Agglomeration Economies • Localization economies – Clustering of Firms in the same Industry – Arise from clustering of activities near a specific facility, such as a transport terminal, a big market or a large university. • Urbanization economies – Diversity of different Industries in the same area – Arise from common infrastructure, the diversity of labour and market size. 30 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
  • 31. Economies • Internal scale economies arise from sharing of fixed costs by a large quantity of outputs and are higher in heavier industries • External Agglomeration Economies: – Localization economies arise from input- sharing and competition within the industry – Urbanization economies come from industrial diversity that fosters innovation and exchange of ideas and technology 31 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
  • 32. The 12 Urban Economies of Scale Type of economy of scale Example 1. Pecuniary Being able to purchase intermediate inputs at volume discounts 2. Static Internal Falling average costs because of fixed costs of operating a plant technological Technological 3. Dynamic Learning to operate a plant more efficiently over time technological 4. ―Shopping‖ Shoppers are attracted to places where there are many sellers Outsourcing allows both the upstream input suppliers and downstream firms to 5. ―Adam Smith‖ Static profit from productivity gains because of specialization Localization 6. ―Marshall‖ Workers with industry-specific skills are attracted to a location where there is a labor pooling greater concentration 7. ―Marshall- Reductions in costs that arise from repeated and continuous production activity Dynamic Arrow-Romer‖ over time and which spill over between firms in the same place learning by doing 8. ―Jane Jacobs‖ The more that different things are done locally, the more opportunity there is for innovation observing and adapting ideas from others External or agglomeration 9. ―Marshall‖ Workers in an industry bring innovations to firms in other industries; similar to Static labor pooling no. 6 above, but the benefit arises from the diversity of industries in one location. Urbanization Similar to no. 5 above, the main difference being that the division of labor is 10. ―Adam Smith‖ made possible by the existence of many different buying industries in the same division of labor place 11. ―Romer‖ The larger the market, the higher the profit; the more attractive the location to Dynamic endogenous firms, the more jobs there are; the more labor pools there, the larger the growth market—and so on Spreading fixed costs of infrastructure over more taxpayers; diseconomies arise 12. ―Pure‖ agglomeration from congestion and pollution
  • 33. Cities, it turns out, have natural advantages • Cities naturally offer Variety, a wide range of valued choices. They naturally offer Convenience. In cities, there are more choices close at hand. Discovery is another city advantage. Cities offer people more chances to discover things they didn't know they liked, things they didn't know they wanted to know, and people they didn't know they could make things with (including fun and babies). And cities naturally offer more Opportunity to their citizens in the form of access to jobs, education and smart people. • But here's the problem: We keep screwing it up. • We keep undermining the city’s natural advantages. Instead of building compact cities that magnify, amplify and intensify these city advantages, we've blown it…
  • 34. Agenda • A brief history of LED – Summary of current thinking • LED in the context of cities and towns – Urban Economics – Cities have natural economic advantages – How does the urban economy develop? – How can we jumpstart economic development?
  • 35. LED in the Context of Cities from the easiest to the most difficult LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great A Great City generates much more wealth than it consumes for mere existence. A Great City generates enough wealth to support growth in the city as well in its surrounding region.
  • 36. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great
  • 37. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great LED in a Great City What makes the city the true engine of LED • Compact and vibrant mixed population communities lead to interaction, opportunity and innovation • Easy access to skilled and unskilled talent • Easy access to customers and markets • Easy access to suppliers • Easy access to technology and knowhow • Easy access to credit • Easy access to low-cost startup space and to expansion space • Low regulatory barriers to small business • Lot’s of imports to replace
  • 38. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great LED in a Great City • What is the role of Urban Planning and Transportation in creating a great place to live and to develop economically? If the City provides Mixed age Small Density Mixed use buildings Blocks It can become a LED generator
  • 39. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City The cycle of city development LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great Density Quality Variety Of & Life Access Innovation Opportunities People & Culture Intensity Development
  • 40. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great • Create a great place to live and to develop economically • Provide attractive and efficient access to the City • The City will do the rest – The Five Economic Forces Exerted by Cities on Their Own Regions 1. City markets 2. City jobs 3. City developed technology 4. Transplanted city work 5. City generated capital
  • 41. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City Leveraging the five forces to LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region accelerate LED in the region of a Great City LED in a City that is not Great ToD in the Center of Regional Towns of a Great City Is Beer-Sheva a Great City? Stockholm The Gr Stockholm Transit Oriented Metropolis The Gr Copenhagen Transit Oriented Metropolis What about rail stations in the center of the towns? The 1961 National Capital Plan Source – Prof. Danny Gatt for Gr Washington BC
  • 42. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great City Region • Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby) • Leverage current thinking on LED • Create a great place to live and to develop economically How? • In the existing center of town • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning Jumpstart the any advantage into an opportunity economy • Earn Imports • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar towns Leverage initial through innovation and improvisation sales to • Repeat last two steps forever
  • 43. LED in a Great City LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a City that is not Great LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great • Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby) • Leverage current thinking on LED • Create a great place to live and to develop economically How? • In a small focused area of the city (urban acupuncture) • Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning Jumpstart the any advantage into an opportunity economy • Earn Imports • Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar cities Leverage initial through innovation and improvisation sales to • Repeat last two steps forever
  • 44. LED in a Great City How to Jumpstart the cycle of city development LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great Density Quality Variety Of & Life Access Where is the ―handle‖ ? Innovation Opportunities People & Culture Intensity Development
  • 45. Summary of Current Thinking on LED Goal is quality of life for all Employment Environment Livibility Social inclusion Participatory Growth of local Focus on cities approach businesses • Including all • Promotion and • As engines of stakeholders and support of economic sectors innovation and development • Led by local entrepreneurship • Urban regeneration government (both business and as a tool social) • Business friendly policies
  • 46. Local Agenda 21 • The Local Agenda 21 (LA21) Campaign promotes a participatory, long-term, strategic planning process that helps municipalities identify local sustainability priorities and implement long-term action plans. • It supports good local governance and mobilizes local governments and their citizens to undertake such multi- stakeholder process. • A 2002 survey found that – more than 6,400 local governments in – 113 countries have become involved in LA21 activities over a – 10-year period.
  • 47. But, a great strategic plan… • … in a binder on the shelf… • Is just that - • A great plan on the shelf! • The questions remain the same: – How do you advance ever closer to your vision of a successful town, based on daily decisions and based on existing budgets? – How do you jump-start the cycle of city development?
  • 48. LED in a Great City How to Jumpstart the cycle of city development LED in the Region of a Great City LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region LED in a City that is not Great Density Quality Variety Of & The Life Access ―handle‖ Innovation Opportunities People & Culture Intensity Development
  • 49. Urban Regeneration as a LED Tool or How to increase Density, Variety and Access •Provide loans to accelerate private storefront and Use the ―charrette‖ collaborative urban residence renewal planning tool as the basis of a LED program •Create a great place to live for local residents •Create a great place to succeed for local First stage: businesses • Surgical urban •Leverage the true identity of the city / town intervention plan in as seen by the local residents the public space •Local residents strengthen their sense of belonging by planning their town •Leverage existing budgets for public building projects to implement the plan Third stage: •Local residents are • Private Development Second stage: empowered by seeing their Construction and • Renewal of the plans adopted and Renovation near the public space implemented public space
  • 50. The critical role of the MIU in LED in Israel Goal is quality of life for all In order to improve the quality of living in Israel, while contributing to the global sustainability effort, the MIU promotes qualityLivibility Employment Environment urban living based on compact, Social inclusion quality and sustainable urban environments. Participatory Growth of local Focus on cities approach businesses • Charrette all Including – • Making theand Promotion local • Weengines of as As view the city collaborative and stakeholders environment great support of the key mechanism economic planning sectors with all for the locals innovation and that provides development • stakeholders Led by local • entrepreneurship Compact, quality • peopleregeneration Urban the • government Quality in Density (both business and and sustainable opportunities to fulfill as a tool Toolbox for all social) cities provide their inherent sectors • opportunities and Business friendly potential • Mayors Institute breed innovation policies
  • 51. Thank You nachman@miu.org.il June 2010 www.miu.org.il