The document analyzes candidates' performance in the 2013 Unified Tertiary Matriculation Examination (UTME) in Nigeria. It finds that 44.91% of candidates scored 200 and above, a slight improvement from 2012. However, less than 50% of candidates scored at this level. The number of candidates with invalid results or whose results were withheld for malpractice also decreased from previous years. While performance improved in some categories compared to 2012, the 2011 UTME still had the best overall results based on several metrics analyzed in the document.

1. StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©
UTME 2013:UTME 2013:UTME 2013:UTME 2013:
Candidates’ PerformanceCandidates’ PerformanceCandidates’ PerformanceCandidates’ Performance
AnalysisAnalysisAnalysisAnalysis

2. UTME2013:
44.91%44.91%44.91%44.91%
Scored 200
and Above

3. The Joint Admissions and Matriculation Board
(JAMB) released the 2013 Unified Tertiary
Matriculation Examination (UTME) results less than
one week after it was conducted on the 27th of
April, 2013.
InInInIn additionadditionadditionaddition wewewewe willwillwillwill testtesttesttest ifififif::::
“The general performance of candidates in this
year’s examination shows remarkableremarkableremarkableremarkable improvementimprovementimprovementimprovement
compared with last year” (as(as(as(as reportedreportedreportedreported inininin somesomesomesome dailies)dailies)dailies)dailies)
This study is carried out to analyze candidates’
performance in UTME 2013 as well as to establish –
if any – any appreciable improvement and to what
degree from previous performance.

5. A total of 1,735,729 candidates applied for UTME
2013; with the introduction of other testing
modes – ComputerComputerComputerComputer BasedBasedBasedBased TestingTestingTestingTesting (CBT)(CBT)(CBT)(CBT) and DualDualDualDual
(Computer/Paper(Computer/Paper(Computer/Paper(Computer/Paper)))) BasedBasedBasedBased TestingTestingTestingTesting (DBT)(DBT)(DBT)(DBT) – below is
the breakdown of candidates choices:
Exams have been conducted for DBT and PPT
already, totally 1,644,119 candidates. CBT exams
will be conducted from May 18th to June 1st, 2013.
TESTING MODETESTING MODETESTING MODETESTING MODE USEDUSEDUSEDUSED
Computer-Based Testing 91,610
Dual (Computer/Paper) Based Testing 15,008
Paper & Pencil Testing 1,629,111
Grand Total:Grand Total:Grand Total:Grand Total: 1,735,7291,735,7291,735,7291,735,729

6. UTME results are usually announced by the Registrar of
JAMB, Prof. Dibu Ojerinde, in a news conference.
Besides other information, the following are extracted
and therefore used in this analysis:
No. of candidates that sat for UTME
No. that scored 200 and above
No. of UTME candidates scored below 200
No. of UTME candidates scored below 170
No. of UTME candidates scored 170 – 199
No. of UTME candidates scored 200 – 249
No. of UTME candidates scored 250 – 269
No. of UTME candidates scored 270 – 299
No. of UTME candidates scored above 300
No. of UTME candidates with invalid or incomplete results
No. of UTME results withheld for malpractice
No. of UTME results being investigated
Absent

7. No. ofNo. ofNo. ofNo. of Candidates That Sat forCandidates That Sat forCandidates That Sat forCandidates That Sat for UTMEUTMEUTMEUTME
YearYearYearYear Total CandidatesTotal CandidatesTotal CandidatesTotal Candidates % Increase% Increase% Increase% Increase
2009 1,182,381 -
2010 1,375,652 16.35
2011 1,493,604 8.57
2012 1,503,931 0.69
2013 1,735,729* 15.41
UTME started in 2010 following the merger of
Monotechnics, Polytechnics and Colleges of Education
(MPCE) and University Matriculation Examinations
(UME). This could have contributed to the 16.35%
increase in the number of applicants.
Total applicant is 1,735,729 while 1,644,119 applicants have tested already having chosen
PPT and DBT as testing modes. Hence, 1,644,110 will be used in subsequent calculations

8. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates Scored Below 170Candidates Scored Below 170Candidates Scored Below 170Candidates Scored Below 170
Performance in this category is far better for 2013
compared to previous years. Only 14.02% scored less
than 170, UTME 2012 being the worst – 22.36%.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate Below 170Below 170Below 170Below 170 %%%%
2009 1,182,381 167,251 14.15%
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 201,798 13.51%
2012 1,503,931 336,330 22.36%
2013 1,644,119 230,506 14.02%
Evidently, these candidates do not qualify forEvidently, these candidates do not qualify forEvidently, these candidates do not qualify forEvidently, these candidates do not qualify for PostUMEPostUMEPostUMEPostUME
in Universities, may be some Polytechnic/College ofin Universities, may be some Polytechnic/College ofin Universities, may be some Polytechnic/College ofin Universities, may be some Polytechnic/College of
Education would accept them.Education would accept them.Education would accept them.Education would accept them.

9. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates Scored 170Candidates Scored 170Candidates Scored 170Candidates Scored 170 –––– 199199199199
Year 2013 shows a great improvement from 2012;
34.75% scored between 170 and 199. However, UTME
2011 still emerged the best in this category with 42.93%
of candidates.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate 170170170170 –––– 199199199199 %%%%
2009 1,182,381 293,451 24.82
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 641,143 42.93
2012 1,503,931 374,920 24.93
2013 1,644,119 571,298 34.75
This category is qualified for both College ofThis category is qualified for both College ofThis category is qualified for both College ofThis category is qualified for both College of
Education and PolytechnicEducation and PolytechnicEducation and PolytechnicEducation and Polytechnic PostUMEPostUMEPostUMEPostUME....

10. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates Scored Below 200Candidates Scored Below 200Candidates Scored Below 200Candidates Scored Below 200
If most Universities decide to peg PostUME
qualification criterion at 200 marks from
UTME; 41% of candidates will not be
qualified for University admission.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate BelowBelowBelowBelow 200200200200 %%%%
2009 1,182,381 460,702 38.96
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 842,851 56.43
2012 1,503,931 711,250 47.29
2013 1,644,119 674,787 41.04

11. No.No.No.No. That Scored 200That Scored 200That Scored 200That Scored 200 andandandand AboveAboveAboveAbove
44.91% of candidates obtained score greater than or
equal to 200 (of 400). This is just a slight improvement
from that of 2012 with 44.78%.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate ScoreScoreScoreScore ≥≥≥≥ 200200200200 % (% (% (% (≥≥≥≥200)200)200)200)
2009 1,182,381 548,543 46.39%
2010 1,375,652 501,463 36.45%
2011 1,493,604 597,494 40.00%
2012 1,503,931 673,394 44.78%
2013 1,644,119 738,375 44.91%
In essence, less than 50% Candidates
scored 200 and above in UTME 2013.

12. No.No.No.No. That Scored 200That Scored 200That Scored 200That Scored 200 andandandand AboveAboveAboveAbove (contd.)(contd.)(contd.)(contd.)
Even though more candidates scored “200 and above”
in 2013; there are lesser admission opportunity
compared to that of 2012. 70.42% are eligible for
PostUME if 200 is the benchmark for consideration as
agianst 74.25% in 2012.
YearYearYearYear Score ≥ 200Score ≥ 200Score ≥ 200Score ≥ 200
CarryingCarryingCarryingCarrying
CapacityCapacityCapacityCapacity
% of Carrying% of Carrying% of Carrying% of Carrying
CapacityCapacityCapacityCapacity
2009 548,543 183,420 33.44
2010 501,463 - -
2011 597,494 400,000 66.95
2012 673,394 500,000 74.25
2013 738,375 520,000 70.42

13. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates Scored 200Candidates Scored 200Candidates Scored 200Candidates Scored 200 –––– 249249249249
2013 candidates emerged the best in this category;
generally, there is an appreciable increase from 2011 to
2013.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate 200200200200 –––– 249249249249 %%%%
2009 1,182,381 - -
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 495,426 33.17%
2012 1,503,931 601,151 39.97%
2013 1,644,119 704,622 42.86%
About 43% of 1.7million candidates
scored between 200 and 249!.

14. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates Scored 250Candidates Scored 250Candidates Scored 250Candidates Scored 250 –––– 269269269269
There is a sharp drop for 2013 candidates as only 2.01%
achieved a score of 250 – 269.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate 250250250250 –––– 269269269269 %%%%
2009 1,182,381 - -
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 67,732 4.53%
2012 1,503,931 71,339 4.74%
2013 1,644,119 33,115 2.01%
This implies approximately only 2% of
candidates scored 60% of 400 marks!.

15. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates Scored 270Candidates Scored 270Candidates Scored 270Candidates Scored 270 –––– 299299299299
Fewer number of candidates scored 270 – 279
compared to UTME 2011 and 2012.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate 270270270270 –––– 299299299299 %%%%
2009 1,182,381 - -
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 31,444 2.11%
2012 1,503,931 901 0.06%
2013 1,644,119 628 0.04%
There is a progressive and consistent drop
in number of candidates in this category.

16. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates Scored 300 & AboveCandidates Scored 300 & AboveCandidates Scored 300 & AboveCandidates Scored 300 & Above
Candidates in this category increased by
over 300% from that of UTME 2012;
however, UTME 2011 is still of great
achievement compare to others.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate Score ≥ 300Score ≥ 300Score ≥ 300Score ≥ 300 %%%%
2009 1,182,381 - -
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 2,892 0.19363
2012 1,503,931 3 0.00020
2013 1,644,119 10 0.00061

17. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Candidates With InvalidCandidates With InvalidCandidates With InvalidCandidates With Invalid
or Incomplete Resultsor Incomplete Resultsor Incomplete Resultsor Incomplete Results
According to JAMB, those who are in this category
are as a result of either multiple shading or nomultiple shading or nomultiple shading or nomultiple shading or no
shading at allshading at allshading at allshading at all.
YearYearYearYear
TotalTotalTotalTotal
CandidateCandidateCandidateCandidate
Invalid orInvalid orInvalid orInvalid or
Incomplete ResultsIncomplete ResultsIncomplete ResultsIncomplete Results
%%%%
2009 1,182,381 - -
2010 1,375,652 - -
2011 1,493,604 28,069 1.88
2012 1,503,931 5,161 0.34
2013 1,644,119 40,692 2.48
Financially, this is 40,672 x 4,600 = NNNN187,091,200187,091,200187,091,200187,091,200
*A UTME form cost NNNN4,600 [4,600 [4,600 [4,600 [without online registration]]]]

18. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Results Withheld for MalpracticeResults Withheld for MalpracticeResults Withheld for MalpracticeResults Withheld for Malpractice
UTME 2013 malpractice figure is the lowest in the
last five UTME. Technology though has aided
candidates in this act, it also shows that JAMB has
developed a more proven strategy to curbing
malpractices in UTME.
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate WithheldWithheldWithheldWithheld %%%%
2009 1,182,381 23,819 2.01
2010 1,375,652 20,780 1.51
2011 1,493,604 15,160 1.01
2012 1,503,931 27,266 1.81
2013 1,644,119 12,110 0.74

19. No. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTMENo. of UTME Results BeingResults BeingResults BeingResults Being
Investigated & AbsentInvestigated & AbsentInvestigated & AbsentInvestigated & Absent
YearYearYearYear Total CandidateTotal CandidateTotal CandidateTotal Candidate InvestigatedInvestigatedInvestigatedInvestigated AbsentAbsentAbsentAbsent
2009 1,182,381 - -
2010 1,375,652 - 98,857
2011 1,493,604 7,504 -
2012 1,503,931 - -
2013 1,644,119 68,309 47,974
Absent: 47,974 x 4,600 = NNNN220,680,400220,680,400220,680,400220,680,400

20. In Summary:In Summary:In Summary:In Summary:
YearYearYearYear
Rated UTME YearRated UTME YearRated UTME YearRated UTME Year
BestBestBestBest WorstWorstWorstWorst
Scored Below 170 2011 2012
Scored 170 – 199 2009 2011
Scored Below 200 2009 2011
Scored 200 and Above 2013 2010
Scored 200 – 249 2013 2011
Scored 250 – 269 2012 2013
Scored 270 – 299 2011 2013
Scored above 300 2011 2012
Invalid or Incomplete Results 2012 2013
Withheld for Malpractice 2013 2009

21. Even though more candidate scored 200 and
Above in UTME 2013 (44.91% = 738,375), in
comparison with the available admission spaces,
year 2012 is better as more candidates had
higher chances of admission.
From this analysis, we cannot say that this year’s
examination shows “remarkable“remarkable“remarkable“remarkable improvementimprovementimprovementimprovement
comparedcomparedcomparedcompared withwithwithwith lastlastlastlast year”year”year”year”. Though more
candidates can compete for the 520,000 available
admission spaces compared to last year 500,000,
but the carrying capacity of 2012 (74.25%) gave
opportunity to more candidates compared to
2013 (70.42%).

22. Nevertheless, it is still disturbing that for straight
five years we have not been able to achieve 50%
pass rate.
UTME2013:UTME2013:UTME2013:UTME2013: 44.91%44.91%44.91%44.91%
UTME2012: 44.78%UTME2012: 44.78%UTME2012: 44.78%UTME2012: 44.78%
UTME2011:UTME2011:UTME2011:UTME2011: 40.00%40.00%40.00%40.00%
UTME2010: 36.45%UTME2010: 36.45%UTME2010: 36.45%UTME2010: 36.45%
UTME2009:UTME2009:UTME2009:UTME2009: 46.39%46.39%46.39%46.39%
Scored 200 & AboveScored 200 & AboveScored 200 & AboveScored 200 & Above

23. Freely share use and acknowledge the source – © Wale Micaiah
DataDataDataData sourcesourcesourcesource::::
- UTME result as announced in the dailies
Analysis by: WaleWaleWaleWale MicaiahMicaiahMicaiahMicaiah
eeee:::: walegate@yahoo.com
mmmm:::: 08078001800
bbbb:::: walemicaiah.blog.com
wwww.... www.statisense.info

24. StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©
Freely share, freely use and freely recognize the
source – © Wale Micaiah
DataDataDataData sourcesourcesourcesource::::
- JAMB result as announced in the dailies
Analysis by: WaleWaleWaleWale MicaiahMicaiahMicaiahMicaiah
eeee:::: walegate@yahoo.com
mmmm:::: 08078001800
bbbb:::: walemicaiah.blog.com
wwww.... www.statisense.info