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ABDM4233 ENTREPRENEURSHIP


  Financial Feasibility,
   Financial Planning,
& Cashflow Management


               by
          Stephen Ong


 Principal Lecturer (Specialist)
  Visiting Professor, Shenzhen
Who are the Best?
1.    The way the world tells its story.
2.    Whatever it takes.
3.    United for a more equitable world.
4.    Harnessing the past. Enriching the future.
5.    From harm to home.
6.    Pioneering solutions, lifesaving results.
7.    Defending dignity. Fighting poverty.
8.    Our doctors go to places photographers don’t.
9.    It’s about saving lives.
10.   Changes the way information flows in the world.
11.   No good food should go to waste.
Competitive Analysis Grid for Element
               Bars




                                        5-3
The 6 Ps of Marketing for New Ventures


      Product                        Price




Promotion                                        Place (or
                   Marketing Mix                distribution
                                                 channel)



    Philantrophy                   People (or
                                   Customer
    (Do GOOD)                       Service)

                                                               11-4
Elements of a Feasibility Analysis



      Industry and    Product or Service
         Market          Feasibility
        Feasibility



          Financial
          Feasibility
The 360° CUBE Pitch
  Six Posters in a 6 minute Investor Pitch

 SOCIAL                      MARKETING
PROBLEM                       & SALES
VISION &                 OPERATIONS TEAM
MISSION                   & KEY PARTNERS


BUSINESS                    FINANCIAL
 MODEL                       MILESTONES
360° Business CUBE
1.   The Problem : How BIG is the problem?
2.   The Solution : Our Social Enterprise’s
     Vision & Mission
3.   The Business Model : Getting the JOB done
     for the Customer Segments
4.   Marketing & Sales (and Fundraising)
5.   The Team & Key Partners
6.   The Financial Plan : Goals
     and objectives, with a
     timeline (Milestones)
Assessing a New
Venture’s Financial
  Strength and
     Viability
Financial Management
                                   1 of 2


   Financial Management
       Financial management deals with two things: raising
        money and managing a company’s finances in a way
        that achieves the highest rate of return
       Chapter 10 focuses on raising money. This chapter
        focuses primarily on:
            How a new venture tracks its financial progress through
             preparing, analyzing, and maintaining past financial
             statements.
            How a new venture forecasts future income and expenses by
             preparing pro forma (or projected) financial statements.



                                                                         8-9
Financial Management
                                     2 of 2

 The financial management of a firm deals with such questions on an ongoing basis:
• How    are we doing? Are we making or losing money?
• How    much cash do we have on hand?
• Do   we have enough cash to meet our short-term obligations?
• How    efficiently are we utilizing our assets?
• How    do our growth and net profits compare to those of our industry
peers?
• Where   will the funds we need for capital improvements come from?
• Arethere ways we can partner with other firms to share risk and
reduce the amount of cash we need?
• Overall,   are we in good shape financially?
                                                                               8-10
Financial Objectives of a Firm
             1 of 3
Financial Objectives of a Firm
                                      2 of 3
   Profitability
       Is the ability to earn a profit.
          Many start-ups are not profitable during their first 1 to

           3 years while they are training employees and building their
           brands.
          However, a firm must become profitable to remain viable
           and provide a return to its owners.
   Liquidity
       Is a company’s ability to meet its short-term financial
        obligations.
            Even if a firm is profitable, it is often a challenge to keep
             enough money in the bank to meet its routine
             obligations in a timely manner.
Financial Objectives of a Firm
                                     3 of 3

   Efficiency
       Is how productively a firm utilizes its assets relative to
        its revenue and its profits.
            Air Asia, for example, uses its assets very productively. Its
             turnaround time, or the time its airplanes sit on the ground
             while they are being unloaded and reloaded, is the lowest in
             the airline industry.
   Stability
       Is the strength and vigor of the firm’s overall
        financial posture.
            For a firm to be stable, it must not only earn a profit and
             remain liquid but also keep its debt in check.
The Process of Financial Management
                              1 of 4

   Importance of Financial Statements
       To assess whether its financial objectives are
        being met, firms rely heavily on analysis of
        financial statements.
          A financial statement is a written report that
           quantitatively describes a firm’s financial health.
          The income statement, the balance sheet, and the
           statement of cash flows are the financial statements
           entrepreneurs use most commonly.
   Forecasts
       Are an estimate of a firm’s future income and
        expenses, based on past performance, its
        current circumstances, and its future plans.
The Process of Financial Management
                               2 of 4


   Forecasts (continued)
       New ventures typically base their forecasts on an
        estimate of sales and then on industry averages or the
        experiences of similar start-ups regarding the cost of
        goods sold and other expenses.
   Budgets
       Are itemized forecasts of a company’s income,
        expenses, and capital needs and are also an important
        tool for financial planning and control.
The Process of Financial Management
                           3 of 4

   Financial Ratios
     Depict relationships between items on a firm’s
      financial statements.
     An analysis of its financial ratios helps a firm
      determine whether it is meeting its financial
      objectives and how it stacks up against industry
      peers.
   Importance of Financial Management
       Many experienced entrepreneurs stress the
        importance of keeping on top of the financial
        management of the firm.
The Process of Financial Management
                4 of 4
Financial Statements
   Historical Financial Statements
       Reflect past performance and are usually
        prepared on a quarterly and annual basis.
            Publicly traded firms are required by the SEC to
             prepare financial statements and make them
             available to the public.
   Pro Forma Financial Statements
       Are projections for future periods based on
        forecasts and are typically completed for two to
        three years in the future.
            Pro forma financial statements are strictly planning
             tools and are not required by the SEC.
Importance of Keeping Good Records


             The first step toward prudent
           financial management is keeping
                     good records.
Example : New Venture Fitness Drinks
   New Venture Fitness Drinks
       To illustrate how financial statements are prepared,
        we used New Venture Fitness Drinks, a fictitious
        sports drink company.
          New Venture Fitness Drinks has been in business for five
           years.
          Targeting sports enthusiasts, the company sells a line of
           nutritional fitness drinks.
          The company’s strategy is to place small restaurants,
           similar to smoothie restaurants, near large outdoor sports
           complexes.
          The company is profitable and is growing at a rate of 25%
           per year.
Historical Financial Statements
                Three types of historical financial statements

   Financial Statement                            Purpose

                              Reflects the results of the operations of a firm over a
  Income                    specified period of time. It records all the revenues and
                           expenses for the given period and shows whether the firm
 Statement                         is making a profit or is experiencing a loss.


Balance Sheet               Is a snapshot of a company’s assets, liabilities, and
                                 owner’s equity at a specific point in time.


                           Summarizes the changes in a firm’s cash position for
Statement of                  a specified period of time and details why the
                                            changes occurred.

Cash Flows
Historical Income Statements
Historical Balance Sheets
           1 of 2

          Assets
Historical Balance Sheets
                  2 of 2

  Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
Historical Statement of Cash Flows
Ratio Analysis
   Ratio Analysis
       The most practical way to interpret or make
        sense of a firm’s historical financial statements
        is through ratio analysis, as shown in the next
        slide.
   Comparing a Firm’s Financial Results to
    Industry Norms
       Comparing a firm’s financial results to industry
        norms helps a firm determine how it stacks up
        against its competitors and if there are any
        financial “red flags” requiring attention.
Historical Ratio Analysis
Forecasts
                                 1 of 4
   Forecasts
     The analysis of a firm’s historical financial statements
      are followed by the preparation of forecasts.
     Forecasts are predictions of a firm’s future sales,
      expenses, income, and capital expenditures.
         A firm’s forecasts provide the basis for its pro forma
          financial statements.
         A well-developed set of pro forma financial statements
          helps a firm create accurate budgets, build financial plans,
          and manage its finances in a proactive rather than a
          reactive manner.
Forecasts
                                      2 of 4

   Sales Forecast
       A sales forecast is a projection of a firm’s sales for a
        specified period (such as a year).
       It is the first forecast developed and is the basis for
        most of the other forecasts.
            A sales forecast for a new firm is based on a good-faith
             estimate of sales and on industry averages or the experiences of
             similar start-ups.
            A sales forecast for an existing firm is based on (1) its record of
             past sales, (2) its current production capacity and product
             demand, and (3) any factors that will affect its future product
             capacity and product demand.


                                                                                   8-29
Forecasts
                                3 of 4
Historical and Forecasted Annual Sales for New Venture Fitness Drinks




                                                                        8-30
Forecasts
                                     4 of 4

   Forecast of Costs of Sales and Other Items
       Once a firm has completed its sales forecast, it must
        forecast its cost of sales (or cost of goods sold) and the
        other items on its income statement.
       The most common way to do this is to use the
        percentage-of-sales method, which is a method for
        expressing each expense item as a percentage of sales.
            If a firm determines that it can use the percent-of-sales method
             and it follows the procedures described in the textbook, then
             the net result is that each expense item on its income statement
             will grow at the same rate as sales (with the exception of items
             that can be individually forecast, such as depreciation).


                                                                                8-31
Pro Forma Financial Statements

   Pro Forma Financial Statements
       A firm’s pro forma financial statements are similar to
        its historical financial statements except that they look
        forward rather than track the past.
       The preparation of pro form financial statements helps
        a firm rethink its strategies and make adjustments if
        necessary.
       The preparation of pro forma financials is also
        necessary if a firm is seeking funding or financing.




                                                                    8-32
Types of Pro Forma Financial
                Statements
Financial Statement                         Purpose


 Pro Forma Income     Shows the projected results of the operations of a
     Statement                  firm over a specific period.


                         Shows a projected snapshot of a company’s
Pro Forma Balance     assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity at a specific
      Sheet                                point in time.


Pro Forma Statement   Shows the projected flow of cash into and out of a
    of Cash flows              company for a specific period.




                                                                              8-33
Pro Forma Income Statements




                              8-34
Pro Forma Balance Sheets
          1 of 2

         Assets




                           8-35
Pro Forma Balance Sheets
                  2 of 2
  Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity




                                         8-36
Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows
                  1 of 2

           Operating Activities




                                    8-37
Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows
                         2 of 2

     Investing Activities and Financing Activities




                                                     8-38
Ratio Analysis

   Ratio Analysis
       The same financial ratios used to evaluate a firm’s
        historical financial statements should be used to
        evaluate the pro forma financial statements.
       This work is completed so the firm can get a sense of
        how its projected financial performance compares to its
        past performance and how its projected activities will
        affect its cash position and its overall financial
        soundness.




                                                                  8-39
Ratio Analysis Based on Historical and
  Pro-Forma Financial Statements




                                         8-40
CASH is KING

Managing Cash Flow
The Importance of Cash
“Everything is about cash – raising it,
conserving it, collecting it.”
                        Guy Kawasaki

Common cause of business failure:
           Cash crisis!
Cash Management
   A business can be earning a profit and be
    forced to close because it runs out of cash!

   American Express OPEN Small Business
    Monitor study:
       59% of small business owners
        experience problems with cash flow.
       Their biggest cash flow concern is
        the ability to pay bills on time.
FIGURE 12.1   Small Business Owners’ Strategies for Improving Cash Flow
              Source: American Express OPEN Small Business Monitor, 2008.
Cash Management
   Cash management – forecasting,
    collecting, disbursing, investing, and
    planning for the cash a company
    needs to operate smoothly.
   Young and growing companies
    are “cash sponges.”
   Know your company’s
    cash flow cycle.
The Cash Flow Cycle

                                                        Deliver
                                                        Goods
     Order       Receive    Pay                    Sell           Send       Customer
     Goods       Goods      Invoice                Goods*         Invoice    Pays**




   Day 1          15         40                       218 221 230                280

            14         25                 178               3     9         50

                                                Cash Flow Cycle = 240 days

*Based   on Average Inventory Turnover: **Based on Average Collection Period:
    365 days               = 178 days                365 days    = 50 days
 2.05 times/year                                 7.31 times/year
                                        FIGURE 12.2
Five Cash Management
Roles of an Entrepreneur
1. Cash Finder
2. Cash Planner
3. Cash Distributor
4. Cash Collector
5. Cash Conserver
Cash and Profits
   Cash ≠ profits.
   Profit is the difference between a
    company’s total revenue and total
    expenses.
   Cash is the money that is free and
    readily available to use.
   Cash flow measure a company’s
    liquidity and its ability to pay it bills.
Cash Flow
 Increase in Cash
                          Cash
   Leakage                               Decrease in Cash

Accounts Receivable                       Accounts Payable



    Cash Sales                      Production/Cash Purchases




                        Inventory


     FIGURE 12.3        Leakage
The Cash Budget
   A “cash map” that shows the amount and
    the timing of a firm's cash receipts and
    cash disbursements over time.
   Predicts the amount of cash a company will
    need to operate smoothly.
   Helps to visualize a company’s cash
    receipts and cash disbursements and the
    resulting cash balance.
Preparing a Cash Budget
1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance
   Not too much...
   Not too little...

   But a cash balance that's
    just right ... for you!
Preparing a Cash Budget
               (continued)



1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance
2. Forecast Sales
Forecast Sales
   The heart of the cash budget.
   Sales are ultimately transformed
    into cash receipts and cash
    disbursements.
   Cash forecast is only as accurate
    as the sales forecast from which
    it is derived.
Forecast Sales
                        (continued)


“Lumpy” or seasonal sales patterns
are common.
     15% to 18% of wine and spirits shops’
      annual sales occur between
      December 15 and 31.
     40% of toy sales take place
      in last 6 weeks of the year.
Forecast Sales
Prepare three sales forecasts:
       Pessimistic
       Optimistic
       Most Likely
Sales Forecast for a Start-Up
Example:
Number of cars in trading zone                    84,000
 x Percent of imports                              x 24%
 = Number of imported cars in trading zone        20,160

Number of imports in trading zone        20,160
 x Average expenditure on repairs                x $485
 = Total import repair sales potential       $9,777,600

Total import repair sales potential          $9,777,600
 x Estimated market share                        x 9.9%
  = Sales estimate                             $967,982
Preparing a Cash Budget
               (continued)



1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance
2. Forecast Sales
3. Forecast Cash Receipts
Forecast Cash Receipts
   Record all cash receipts when the
    cash is actually received (i.e. the
    cash method of accounting).
   Determine the collection pattern for
    credit sales; then add cash sales.
   Monitor closely:
    Slow and non-payers.
Collecting Delinquent
                      Accounts
        1                                                                         93.80%

        2                                                                85.20%

        3                                                       73.60%

        6                                              57.80%

        9                                   42.80%
    D
    u
    q
    n
    e
    t
    i
    l




        12                 23.60%
m
M
N
h
n
o
b
u
s
e
r
t
f




        24        13.60%

         0.0%     20.0%             40.0%            60.0%      80.0%         100.0%
                               Probability of Collection
Preparing a Cash Budget
               (continued)



1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance
2. Forecast Sales
3. Forecast Cash Receipts
4. Forecast Cash Disbursements
Forecast Cash Disbursements
   Record disbursements when you expect to
    make them.
   Start with those disbursements that are
    fixed amounts due on certain dates.
   Review the business checkbook to ensure
    accurate estimates.
   Add a cushion to the estimate to account
    for “Murphy’s Law.”
   Don’t know where to begin? Try making a
    daily list of the items that generate cash
    and those that consume it.
Preparing a Cash Budget
                    (continued)



1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance
2. Forecast Sales
3. Forecast Cash Receipts
4. Forecast Cash Disbursements
5. Estimate End-of-Month Cash
  Balance
Estimate
    End-of-Month Balance
   Take Beginning Cash Balance ...
   Add Cash Receipts ...
   Subtract Cash Disbursements
   Result is Cash Surplus
    or Cash Shortage
    (Repay or Borrow?)
Benefits of Cash Management
   Increase amount and speed of cash flowing
    into the company
   Reduce the amount and speed of cash
    flowing out
   Make the most efficient use of available cash
   Take advantage of money-saving
    opportunities such as cash discounts
   Finance seasonal business needs
Benefits of Cash Management
                    (continued)


    Develop a sound borrowing and
     repayment program
    Impress lenders and investors
    Provide funds for expansion
    Plan for investing surplus cash
The “Big Three”
     of Cash Management

1. Accounts Receivable
2. Accounts Payable
3. Inventory
Accounts Receivable
   About 90% of industrial and wholesale
    sales are on credit, and 40% of retail sales
    are on account.
   Survey of small companies across a variety
    of industries found that 77% extend credit
    to their customers.
   Remember: “A sale is not a sale until you
    collect the money.”
   Accounts receivable goal: Collect your
    company’s cash as fast as you can.
FIGURE 12.5   Cash Flow Concerns   Source: Based on American Express Corporation, 2005.
Beating the Cash Crisis
                Accounts Receivable
   Establish a firm credit-granting policy.
       Screen credit customers carefully.
       Develop a system of collecting accounts.
       Send invoices promptly.
       When an account becomes overdue, take
        action immediately.
       Add finance charges to overdue accounts
        (check the law first!).
Accelerating
       Accounts Receivable
   Ensure that invoices are accurate and
    timely.
   Include a description of the goods or
    services purchased.
   Ensure that invoices match purchase
    orders or contracts.
   Highlight the balance dues and due date.
   Include contact information in case
    customers have questions.
Beating the Cash Crisis
              Accounts Payable

   Stretch out payment times as long as
    possible without damaging your credit
    rating.
   Verify all invoices before paying them.
   Take advantage of cash discounts.
The Cost of Foregoing a Cash Discount
               $1,000 invoice 2/10, net 30

                                     $20
Amount                $980                         $1,000



 Day 0                 10                           30
                                   20 days

              I                  $20
         R =           =                     = 37.25%
             PxT            $980 x 20/365

 FIGURE 12.6
Beating the Cash Crisis
                  Accounts Payable
   Negotiate the best possible terms with
    your suppliers.
   Be honest with creditors; avoid the “the
    check is in the mail” syndrome.
   Schedule controllable cash disbursements
    to come due at different times.
   Use credit cards wisely.
Beating the Cash Crisis
                   Inventory
   Monitor it closely; inventory can drain a
    company’s cash.
   Avoid inventory “overbuying.”
    It ties up valuable cash at
    a zero rate of return.
   Arrange for inventory deliveries
    at the latest possible date.
   Negotiate quantity discounts with
    suppliers when possible.
Avoiding the Cash Crunch
   Consider bartering, exchanging goods and
    services for other goods and services, to
    conserve cash.
   Trim overhead costs:
       Ask for discounts and “freebies”
       Periodically evaluate expenses
       Lease rather than buy
       Avoid nonessential cash outlays
       Negotiate fixed loan payments
        to coincide with your
        company’s cash flow
Avoiding the Cash Crunch
                        (continued)


   Trim overhead costs:
       Buy used equipment
       Hire part-time employees and freelancers
       Outsource nonessential activities
       Control employee advances and loans
       Establish an internal security and control
        system
       Develop a system to battle check fraud
       Change shipping terms
Avoiding the Cash Crunch
          (continued)

       Start selling gift cards
       Switch to zero-based
        budgeting
       Be on the lookout for
        employee theft
       Keep your business plan
        current
       Invest surplus cash
Conclusion

“Cash                 is King”
   Cash and profits are not the same.
   Entrepreneurial success means
    operating a company “lean and mean.”
     Trim wasteful expenditures.
     Invest surplus funds.
     Plan and manage cash flow.
Appendix 1 :




Creating a Financial Plan
The Importance of a
           Financial Plan
 Common mistake among business owners: Failing
  to collect and analyze basic financial data.
 Many entrepreneurs run their companies without
  any kind of financial plan.
 Only 11% of business owners analyze their
  companies’ financial statements as part of the
  managerial planning process.
 Financial planning is essential to running a
  successful business and is not that difficult!
Basic Financial Statements
 Balance Sheet – “Snapshot.”
     Estimates the firm’s worth on a given date;
     built on the accounting equation:
       Assets = Liabilities + Owner’s Equity
 Income Statement – “Moving picture.”
     Compares the firm’s expenses against its revenue
  over a period of time to show its net    income (or
  loss):
       Net Income = Sales Revenue - Expenses
 Statement of Cash Flows – Shows the change in the
  firm's working capital over a period of time by listing
  the sources and uses of funds.
Creating Projected
       Financial Statements
 Helps the entrepreneur transform business goals
  into reality
 Challenging for a business start-up
 Start-ups should focus on creating projections
  for two years
 Projected financial statements:
    Income statements
    Balance sheet
Ratio Analysis
 “How is my company doing?”
 A method of expressing the relationships
  between any two elements on financial
  statements.
 Important barometers of a company’s health.
 Studies indicate few small business owners
  compute financial
  ratios and use them to
  manage their businesses.
Twelve Key Ratios
  Liquidity Ratios - Tell whether or not a small business will
  be able to meet its maturing obligations as they come due.
1. Current Ratio - Measures solvency by showing
   the firm's ability to pay current liabilities out of current
   assets.

  Current Ratio =   Current Assets = $686,985 = 1.87:1
                     Current Liabilities $367,850
Twelve Key Ratios
  Liquidity Ratios - Tell whether or not a small business will
  be able to meet its maturing obligations as they come due.
2. Quick Ratio - Shows the extent to which a firm’s most
   liquid assets cover its current liabilities.


Quick Ratio = Quick Assets = 686,985 – 455,455 = .63:1
              Current Liabilities $367,850
Twelve Key Ratios
   Leverage Ratios
       Measure the financing
        provided by the firm's owners
        against that supplied by its
        creditors
       A gauge of the depth of the
        company's debt.
   Careful! Debt is a powerful
    tool, but, like dynamite, you
    must handle it carefully!
Twelve Key Ratios
  Leverage Ratios - Measure the financing provided by a
  firm’s owners against that supplied by its creditors; it is a
  gauge of the depth of the company’s debt.
2. Debt Ratio - Measures the percentage of total assets
   financed by creditors rather than owners.

  Debt Ratio = Total Debt   = $367,850 + 212,150 = .68:1
               Total Assets       $847,655
Twelve Key Ratios
  Leverage Ratios - Measure the financing provided by a
  firm’s owners against that supplied by its creditors; it is a
  gauge of the depth of the company’s debt.
4. Debt to Net Worth Ratio - Compares what a business
   “owes” to “what it is worth.”

  Debt to Net =      Total Debt      = $580,000 = 2.20:1
  Worth Ratio     Tangible Net Worth   $264,155
Twelve Key Ratios
  Leverage Ratios - Measure the financing provided by a
  firm’s owners against that supplied by its creditors;
  it is a gauge of the depth of the company’s debt.
5. Times Interest Earned - Measures the firm's ability to make
   the interest payments on its debt.

Times Interest =       EBIT*         = $60,629 + 39,850 =
   Earned        Total Interest Expense  $39,850

              = $100,479    = 2.52:1
                  $39,850
  *Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
The Right Amount of Debt
                                 is a Balancing Act

                                      Optimal
                                      Zone
Benefits of Leverage




                                   Degree of Leverage

                       Low            FIGURE 11.6       High
Table 11.1 How Lenders View Liquidity and Leverage

                                             Liquidity                                              Leverage
                            If chronic, this is often evidence of                    This is a very conservative position. With
                            mismanagement. It is a sign that the owner               this kind of leverage, lenders are likely to
       Low                  has not planned for the company's working
                            capital needs. In most businesses
                                                                                     lend money to satisfy a company's capital
                                                                                     needs. Owners in this position should
                            characterized by low liquidity, there is                 have no trouble borrowing money.
                            usually no financial plan. This situation is
                            often associated with last minute or "Friday
                            night" financing.

                            This is an indication of good management.                If a company's leverage is comparable to
                            The company is using its current assets                  that of other businesses of similar size in
  Average                   wisely and productively. Although they may
                            not be impressed, lenders feel comfortable
                                                                                     the same industry, lenders are comfortable
                                                                                     making loans. The company is not
                            making loans to companies with adequate                  overburdened with debt and is
                            liquidity.                                               demonstrating its ability to use its
                                                                                     resources to grow.
                            Some lenders look for this because it                    Businesses that carry excessive levels of
                            indicates a most conservative company.                   debt scare most lenders off. Companies in
       High                 However, companies that constantly
                            operate this way usually are forgoing
                                                                                     this position normally will have a difficult
                                                                                     time borrowing money unless they can
                            growth opportunities because they are not                show lenders good reasons for making
                            making the most of their assets.                         loans. Owners of these companies must
                                                                                     be prepared to sell lenders on their ability
                                                                                     to repay.
Ch, 11: Creating a Successful Financial Plan
Source: Adapted from David H. Bangs, Jr., Financial Troubleshooting, Upstart Publishing Company, (Dover, New Hampshire, 1992), p. 124.
                                                                                                                                   11- 91
                                                                                                                                    11- 91
Twelve Key Ratios
  Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance
  and show how effectively it is putting
  its resources to work.
6. Average Inventory Turnover Ratio - Tells the average
   number of times a firm's inventory is “turned over” or sold
   out during the accounting period.

Average Inventory = Cost of Goods Sold = $1,290,117 = 2.05 times
  Turnover Ratio       Average Inventory*    $630,600        a year


*Average Inventory = Beginning Inventory + Ending Inventory
                                         2
Twelve Key Ratios
  Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance and
  show how effectively it is putting
  its resources to work.
7. Average Collection Period Ratio (days sales outstanding, DSO)
   - Tells the average number of days required to collect accounts
   receivable.
  Two Steps:
Receivables Turnover =    Credit Sales     = $1,309,589 = 7.31 times Ratio
                Accounts Receivable      $179,225  a year

Average Collection = Days in Accounting Period   = 365 = 50.0 Period Ratio
        Receivables Turnover Ratio    7.31    days
Twelve Key Ratios
  Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance and
  show how effectively it is putting
  its resources to work.
8. Average Payable Period Ratio - Tells the average number of
   days required to pay accounts payable.
  Two Steps:

Payables Turnover =    Purchases       = $939,827 = 6.16 times
      Ratio           Accounts Payable    $152,580     a year

Average Payable = Days in Accounting Period = 365 = 59.3 days
  Period Ratio        Payables Turnover Ratio   6.16
Twelve Key Ratios
  Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance
  and show how effectively it is putting
  its resources to work.
9. Net Sales to Total Assets Ratio - Measures a firm’s ability to
   generate sales given its asset base.

  Net Sales to = Net Sales = $1,870,841 = 2.21:1
  Total Assets  Total Assets  $847,655
Twelve Key Ratios
   Profitability Ratios - Measure how efficiently a
   firm is operating; offer information about a firm’s
   “bottom line.”

10. Net Profit on Sales Ratio - Measures a firm’s profit per
    dollar of sales revenue.

   Net Profit on =   Net Income = $60,629 = 3.24%
      Sales           Net Sales   $1,870,841
Twelve Key Ratios
  Profitability Ratios - Measure how efficiently a
  firm is operating; offer information about a firm’s
  “bottom line.”

11. Net Profit to Assets (Return on Assets) Ratio – tells how
  much profit a company generates for each dollar of
  assets that it owns.

  Net Profit to =   Net Income     = $60,629 = 7.15%
    Assets          Total Assets       $847,655
Twelve Key Ratios
  Profitability Ratios - Measure how efficiently a
  firm is operating; offer information about a firm’s
  “bottom line.”

12. Net Profit to Equity* Ratio - Measures an
  owner's rate of return on the investment (ROI)
  in the business.

  Net Profit to =  Net Income    = $60,629 = 22.65%
    Equity        Owner’s Equity*  $267,655

  * Also called Net Worth
Interpreting Ratios
 Ratios – useful yardsticks of comparison.
 Standards vary from one industry to another; the
  key is to watch for “red flags.”
 Critical numbers – measure key financial and
  operational aspects of a company’s performance.
  Examples:
     Sales per labor hour at a supermarket
     Food costs as a percentage of sales at a restaurant.
     Load factor (percentage of seats filled with
      passengers) at an airline.
FIGURE 11.7 Trend Analysis of Ratios
Putting Your Ratios to the Test
When comparing your company’s ratios to your industry’s standards,
ask the following questions:

1. Is there a significant difference in my company’s ratio
   and the industry average?

2. If so, is this a meaningful difference?

3. Is the difference good or bad?

4. What are the possible causes of this difference?
   What is the most likely cause?

5. Does this cause require that I take action?

6. If so, what action should I take to correct the problem?
           Source: Adapted from George M. Dawson, “Divided We Stand,” Business Start-Ups, May 2000, p. 34.
Interpreting Ratios

Sam’s Appliance Shop          Industry Median
  Current ratio = 1.87:1      Current ratio = 1.50:1

   Although Sam’s falls short of the rule of thumb
   of 2:1, its current ratio is above the industry
   median by a significant amount. Sam’s should
   have no problem meeting short-term debts as
   they come due.
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop         Industry Median
Quick ratio = 0.63:1         Quick ratio = 0.50:1

Again, Sam is below the rule of thumb of 1:1, but
the company passes this test of liquidity when
measured against industry standards. Sam relies
on selling inventory to satisfy short-term debt (as
do most appliance shops). If sales slump, the result
could be liquidity problems for Sam’s. What steps
should Sam take to deal with this threat?
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop        Industry Median
Debt ratio = 0.68:1         Debt ratio = 0.64:1


  Creditors provide 68% of Sam’s total assets,
  very close to the industry median of 64%.
  Although the company does not appear to be
  overburdened with debt, Sam’s might have
  difficulty borrowing , especially from
  conservative lenders.
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop          Industry Median
Debt to net worth             Debt to net worth
ratio = 2.20:1                ratio = 1.90:1

Sam’s owes $2.20 to creditors for every $1.00 the
owner has invested in the business (compared to
$1.90 to every $1.00 in equity for the typical
business). Many lenders will see Sam’s as
“borrowed up,” having reached its borrowing
capacity. Creditor’s claims are more than twice
those of the owners.
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop           Industry Median
Times interest earned          Times interest
ratio = 2.52:1                 earned ratio = 2.0:1

 Sam’s earnings are high enough to cover the
 interest payments on its debt by a factor of
 2.52:1, slightly better than the typical firm in
 the industry. Sam’s has a cushion (although
 a small one) in meeting its interest
 payments.
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop      Industry Median
Average inventory         Average inventory
turnover ratio = 2.05     turnover ratio = 4.0
times per year            times per year

   Inventory is moving through Sam’s at a
   very slow pace. What could be causing
   this low inventory turnover in Sam’s
   business?
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop          Industry Median
Average collection            Average collection
period ratio = 50.0 days      period ratio = 19.3
                              days

 Sam’s collects the average account receivable
 after 50 days compared to the industry median
 of 19 days - more than 2.5 times longer. What is
 a more meaningful comparison for this ratio?
 What steps can Sam take to improve this ratio?
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop         Industry Median
Average payable period       Average payable
ratio = 59.3 days            period ratio = 43 days


  Sam’s payables are nearly 40 percent slower
  than those of the typical firm in the
  industry. Stretching payables too far could
  seriously damage the company’s credit
  rating. What are the possible causes of this
  discrepancy?
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop          Industry Median
Net sales to total            Net Sales to total
assets ratio = 2.21:1         assets ratio = 2.7:1


   Sam’s Appliance Shop is not generating
   enough sales, given the size of its asset
   base. What factors could cause this?
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop           Industry Median
Net profit on sales            Net profit on sale
ratio = 3.24%                  ratio = 7.6%


   After deducting all expenses, Sam’s has
   just 3.24 cents of every sales dollar left as
   profit - less than half the industry average.
   Sam may discover that some of his
   operating expenses are out of balance.
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop            Industry Median
Net profit to assets            Net Sales to working
ratio = 7.15%                   capital ratio = 5.5%

Sam’s generates a return of 7.15% for every $1 in
assets, which is 30% above the industry average.
Given his asset base, Sam is squeezing an above-
average return out of his company. Is this likely to
be the result of exceptional profitability, or is there
another explanation?
Interpreting Ratios
Sam’s Appliance Shop          Industry Median
Net profit on equity          Net profit on equity
ratio = 22.65%                ratio = 12.6%


   Sam’s return on his investment in the
   business is an impressive 22.65%,
   compared to an industry median of just
   12.6% Is this the result of high profitability,
   or is there another explanation?
Breakeven Analysis
   Breakeven point - the level of operation
    at which a business neither earns a
    profit nor incurs a loss.
   A useful planning tool because it shows
    entrepreneurs minimum level of activity
    required to stay in business.
   With one change in the breakeven
    calculation, an entrepreneur can also
    determine the sales volume required to
    reach a particular profit target.
Calculating the Breakeven Point
Step 1. Determine the expenses the business can expect to
         incur.
Step 2. Categorize the expenses in step 1 into fixed expenses
         and variable expenses.
Step 3. Calculate the ratio of variable expenses to net sales.
         Then compute the contribution margin:

                                    1 -     Variable Expenses
         Contribution Margin =
                                            Net Sales Estimate
Step 4. Compute the breakeven point:
                                           Total Fixed Costs
         Breakeven Point ($)    =         Contribution Margin
Calculating the Breakeven Point:
              The Magic Shop
Step 1. Net Sales estimate is $950,000 with Cost of Goods Sold
         of $646,000 and total expenses
         of $236,500.
Step 2. Variable Expenses: $705,125
         Fixed Expenses:      $177,375
Step 3. Contribution margin:

                                        $705,125
         Contribution Margin =   1 -               = .26
                                        $950,000
Step 4. Breakeven Point:
                           $177,375
         Breakeven Point =                 =   $682,212
                              .26
                $
FIGURE 11.8 Break-Even Chart for the Magic Shop
Conclusion
   Preparing a financial plan is a critical step
   Entrepreneurs can gain valuable insight
    through:
       Pro forma statements
       Ratio analysis
       Breakeven analysis
Further Reading
   Scarborough, Norman, M. 2011. Essentials of
    Entrepreneurship and Small Business
    Management. 6th edition. Pearson.
   Brooks, Arthur C. (2006) Social Entrepreneurship :
    A Modern Approach to Social Value Creation.
    Pearson
   Barringer, Bruce R. & Ireland, R. Duane, 2011
    Entrepreneurship – Successfully launching new
    ventures 4th edition, Pearson.
   Schaper, M., Volery, T., Weber, P. & Lewis, K. 2011.
    Entrepreneurship and Small Business. 3rd Asia
    Pacific edition. John Wiley.

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Abdm4223 lecture week 9 290612

  • 1. ABDM4233 ENTREPRENEURSHIP Financial Feasibility, Financial Planning, & Cashflow Management by Stephen Ong Principal Lecturer (Specialist) Visiting Professor, Shenzhen
  • 2. Who are the Best? 1. The way the world tells its story. 2. Whatever it takes. 3. United for a more equitable world. 4. Harnessing the past. Enriching the future. 5. From harm to home. 6. Pioneering solutions, lifesaving results. 7. Defending dignity. Fighting poverty. 8. Our doctors go to places photographers don’t. 9. It’s about saving lives. 10. Changes the way information flows in the world. 11. No good food should go to waste.
  • 3. Competitive Analysis Grid for Element Bars 5-3
  • 4. The 6 Ps of Marketing for New Ventures Product Price Promotion Place (or Marketing Mix distribution channel) Philantrophy People (or Customer (Do GOOD) Service) 11-4
  • 5. Elements of a Feasibility Analysis Industry and Product or Service Market Feasibility Feasibility Financial Feasibility
  • 6. The 360° CUBE Pitch Six Posters in a 6 minute Investor Pitch SOCIAL MARKETING PROBLEM & SALES VISION & OPERATIONS TEAM MISSION & KEY PARTNERS BUSINESS FINANCIAL MODEL MILESTONES
  • 7. 360° Business CUBE 1. The Problem : How BIG is the problem? 2. The Solution : Our Social Enterprise’s Vision & Mission 3. The Business Model : Getting the JOB done for the Customer Segments 4. Marketing & Sales (and Fundraising) 5. The Team & Key Partners 6. The Financial Plan : Goals and objectives, with a timeline (Milestones)
  • 8. Assessing a New Venture’s Financial Strength and Viability
  • 9. Financial Management 1 of 2  Financial Management  Financial management deals with two things: raising money and managing a company’s finances in a way that achieves the highest rate of return  Chapter 10 focuses on raising money. This chapter focuses primarily on:  How a new venture tracks its financial progress through preparing, analyzing, and maintaining past financial statements.  How a new venture forecasts future income and expenses by preparing pro forma (or projected) financial statements. 8-9
  • 10. Financial Management 2 of 2 The financial management of a firm deals with such questions on an ongoing basis: • How are we doing? Are we making or losing money? • How much cash do we have on hand? • Do we have enough cash to meet our short-term obligations? • How efficiently are we utilizing our assets? • How do our growth and net profits compare to those of our industry peers? • Where will the funds we need for capital improvements come from? • Arethere ways we can partner with other firms to share risk and reduce the amount of cash we need? • Overall, are we in good shape financially? 8-10
  • 11. Financial Objectives of a Firm 1 of 3
  • 12. Financial Objectives of a Firm 2 of 3  Profitability  Is the ability to earn a profit.  Many start-ups are not profitable during their first 1 to 3 years while they are training employees and building their brands.  However, a firm must become profitable to remain viable and provide a return to its owners.  Liquidity  Is a company’s ability to meet its short-term financial obligations.  Even if a firm is profitable, it is often a challenge to keep enough money in the bank to meet its routine obligations in a timely manner.
  • 13. Financial Objectives of a Firm 3 of 3  Efficiency  Is how productively a firm utilizes its assets relative to its revenue and its profits.  Air Asia, for example, uses its assets very productively. Its turnaround time, or the time its airplanes sit on the ground while they are being unloaded and reloaded, is the lowest in the airline industry.  Stability  Is the strength and vigor of the firm’s overall financial posture.  For a firm to be stable, it must not only earn a profit and remain liquid but also keep its debt in check.
  • 14. The Process of Financial Management 1 of 4  Importance of Financial Statements  To assess whether its financial objectives are being met, firms rely heavily on analysis of financial statements.  A financial statement is a written report that quantitatively describes a firm’s financial health.  The income statement, the balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows are the financial statements entrepreneurs use most commonly.  Forecasts  Are an estimate of a firm’s future income and expenses, based on past performance, its current circumstances, and its future plans.
  • 15. The Process of Financial Management 2 of 4  Forecasts (continued)  New ventures typically base their forecasts on an estimate of sales and then on industry averages or the experiences of similar start-ups regarding the cost of goods sold and other expenses.  Budgets  Are itemized forecasts of a company’s income, expenses, and capital needs and are also an important tool for financial planning and control.
  • 16. The Process of Financial Management 3 of 4  Financial Ratios  Depict relationships between items on a firm’s financial statements.  An analysis of its financial ratios helps a firm determine whether it is meeting its financial objectives and how it stacks up against industry peers.  Importance of Financial Management  Many experienced entrepreneurs stress the importance of keeping on top of the financial management of the firm.
  • 17. The Process of Financial Management 4 of 4
  • 18. Financial Statements  Historical Financial Statements  Reflect past performance and are usually prepared on a quarterly and annual basis.  Publicly traded firms are required by the SEC to prepare financial statements and make them available to the public.  Pro Forma Financial Statements  Are projections for future periods based on forecasts and are typically completed for two to three years in the future.  Pro forma financial statements are strictly planning tools and are not required by the SEC.
  • 19. Importance of Keeping Good Records The first step toward prudent financial management is keeping good records.
  • 20. Example : New Venture Fitness Drinks  New Venture Fitness Drinks  To illustrate how financial statements are prepared, we used New Venture Fitness Drinks, a fictitious sports drink company.  New Venture Fitness Drinks has been in business for five years.  Targeting sports enthusiasts, the company sells a line of nutritional fitness drinks.  The company’s strategy is to place small restaurants, similar to smoothie restaurants, near large outdoor sports complexes.  The company is profitable and is growing at a rate of 25% per year.
  • 21. Historical Financial Statements Three types of historical financial statements Financial Statement Purpose Reflects the results of the operations of a firm over a Income specified period of time. It records all the revenues and expenses for the given period and shows whether the firm Statement is making a profit or is experiencing a loss. Balance Sheet Is a snapshot of a company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity at a specific point in time. Summarizes the changes in a firm’s cash position for Statement of a specified period of time and details why the changes occurred. Cash Flows
  • 23. Historical Balance Sheets 1 of 2 Assets
  • 24. Historical Balance Sheets 2 of 2 Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
  • 26. Ratio Analysis  Ratio Analysis  The most practical way to interpret or make sense of a firm’s historical financial statements is through ratio analysis, as shown in the next slide.  Comparing a Firm’s Financial Results to Industry Norms  Comparing a firm’s financial results to industry norms helps a firm determine how it stacks up against its competitors and if there are any financial “red flags” requiring attention.
  • 28. Forecasts 1 of 4  Forecasts  The analysis of a firm’s historical financial statements are followed by the preparation of forecasts.  Forecasts are predictions of a firm’s future sales, expenses, income, and capital expenditures.  A firm’s forecasts provide the basis for its pro forma financial statements.  A well-developed set of pro forma financial statements helps a firm create accurate budgets, build financial plans, and manage its finances in a proactive rather than a reactive manner.
  • 29. Forecasts 2 of 4  Sales Forecast  A sales forecast is a projection of a firm’s sales for a specified period (such as a year).  It is the first forecast developed and is the basis for most of the other forecasts.  A sales forecast for a new firm is based on a good-faith estimate of sales and on industry averages or the experiences of similar start-ups.  A sales forecast for an existing firm is based on (1) its record of past sales, (2) its current production capacity and product demand, and (3) any factors that will affect its future product capacity and product demand. 8-29
  • 30. Forecasts 3 of 4 Historical and Forecasted Annual Sales for New Venture Fitness Drinks 8-30
  • 31. Forecasts 4 of 4  Forecast of Costs of Sales and Other Items  Once a firm has completed its sales forecast, it must forecast its cost of sales (or cost of goods sold) and the other items on its income statement.  The most common way to do this is to use the percentage-of-sales method, which is a method for expressing each expense item as a percentage of sales.  If a firm determines that it can use the percent-of-sales method and it follows the procedures described in the textbook, then the net result is that each expense item on its income statement will grow at the same rate as sales (with the exception of items that can be individually forecast, such as depreciation). 8-31
  • 32. Pro Forma Financial Statements  Pro Forma Financial Statements  A firm’s pro forma financial statements are similar to its historical financial statements except that they look forward rather than track the past.  The preparation of pro form financial statements helps a firm rethink its strategies and make adjustments if necessary.  The preparation of pro forma financials is also necessary if a firm is seeking funding or financing. 8-32
  • 33. Types of Pro Forma Financial Statements Financial Statement Purpose Pro Forma Income Shows the projected results of the operations of a Statement firm over a specific period. Shows a projected snapshot of a company’s Pro Forma Balance assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity at a specific Sheet point in time. Pro Forma Statement Shows the projected flow of cash into and out of a of Cash flows company for a specific period. 8-33
  • 34. Pro Forma Income Statements 8-34
  • 35. Pro Forma Balance Sheets 1 of 2 Assets 8-35
  • 36. Pro Forma Balance Sheets 2 of 2 Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity 8-36
  • 37. Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows 1 of 2 Operating Activities 8-37
  • 38. Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows 2 of 2 Investing Activities and Financing Activities 8-38
  • 39. Ratio Analysis  Ratio Analysis  The same financial ratios used to evaluate a firm’s historical financial statements should be used to evaluate the pro forma financial statements.  This work is completed so the firm can get a sense of how its projected financial performance compares to its past performance and how its projected activities will affect its cash position and its overall financial soundness. 8-39
  • 40. Ratio Analysis Based on Historical and Pro-Forma Financial Statements 8-40
  • 42. The Importance of Cash “Everything is about cash – raising it, conserving it, collecting it.” Guy Kawasaki Common cause of business failure: Cash crisis!
  • 43. Cash Management  A business can be earning a profit and be forced to close because it runs out of cash!  American Express OPEN Small Business Monitor study:  59% of small business owners experience problems with cash flow.  Their biggest cash flow concern is the ability to pay bills on time.
  • 44. FIGURE 12.1 Small Business Owners’ Strategies for Improving Cash Flow Source: American Express OPEN Small Business Monitor, 2008.
  • 45. Cash Management  Cash management – forecasting, collecting, disbursing, investing, and planning for the cash a company needs to operate smoothly.  Young and growing companies are “cash sponges.”  Know your company’s cash flow cycle.
  • 46. The Cash Flow Cycle Deliver Goods Order Receive Pay Sell Send Customer Goods Goods Invoice Goods* Invoice Pays** Day 1 15 40 218 221 230 280 14 25 178 3 9 50 Cash Flow Cycle = 240 days *Based on Average Inventory Turnover: **Based on Average Collection Period: 365 days = 178 days 365 days = 50 days 2.05 times/year 7.31 times/year FIGURE 12.2
  • 47. Five Cash Management Roles of an Entrepreneur 1. Cash Finder 2. Cash Planner 3. Cash Distributor 4. Cash Collector 5. Cash Conserver
  • 48. Cash and Profits  Cash ≠ profits.  Profit is the difference between a company’s total revenue and total expenses.  Cash is the money that is free and readily available to use.  Cash flow measure a company’s liquidity and its ability to pay it bills.
  • 49. Cash Flow Increase in Cash Cash Leakage Decrease in Cash Accounts Receivable Accounts Payable Cash Sales Production/Cash Purchases Inventory FIGURE 12.3 Leakage
  • 50. The Cash Budget  A “cash map” that shows the amount and the timing of a firm's cash receipts and cash disbursements over time.  Predicts the amount of cash a company will need to operate smoothly.  Helps to visualize a company’s cash receipts and cash disbursements and the resulting cash balance.
  • 51. Preparing a Cash Budget 1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance  Not too much...  Not too little...  But a cash balance that's just right ... for you!
  • 52. Preparing a Cash Budget (continued) 1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance 2. Forecast Sales
  • 53. Forecast Sales  The heart of the cash budget.  Sales are ultimately transformed into cash receipts and cash disbursements.  Cash forecast is only as accurate as the sales forecast from which it is derived.
  • 54. Forecast Sales (continued) “Lumpy” or seasonal sales patterns are common.  15% to 18% of wine and spirits shops’ annual sales occur between December 15 and 31.  40% of toy sales take place in last 6 weeks of the year.
  • 55. Forecast Sales Prepare three sales forecasts:  Pessimistic  Optimistic  Most Likely
  • 56. Sales Forecast for a Start-Up Example: Number of cars in trading zone 84,000 x Percent of imports x 24% = Number of imported cars in trading zone 20,160 Number of imports in trading zone 20,160 x Average expenditure on repairs x $485 = Total import repair sales potential $9,777,600 Total import repair sales potential $9,777,600 x Estimated market share x 9.9% = Sales estimate $967,982
  • 57. Preparing a Cash Budget (continued) 1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance 2. Forecast Sales 3. Forecast Cash Receipts
  • 58. Forecast Cash Receipts  Record all cash receipts when the cash is actually received (i.e. the cash method of accounting).  Determine the collection pattern for credit sales; then add cash sales.  Monitor closely: Slow and non-payers.
  • 59. Collecting Delinquent Accounts 1 93.80% 2 85.20% 3 73.60% 6 57.80% 9 42.80% D u q n e t i l 12 23.60% m M N h n o b u s e r t f 24 13.60% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% Probability of Collection
  • 60. Preparing a Cash Budget (continued) 1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance 2. Forecast Sales 3. Forecast Cash Receipts 4. Forecast Cash Disbursements
  • 61. Forecast Cash Disbursements  Record disbursements when you expect to make them.  Start with those disbursements that are fixed amounts due on certain dates.  Review the business checkbook to ensure accurate estimates.  Add a cushion to the estimate to account for “Murphy’s Law.”  Don’t know where to begin? Try making a daily list of the items that generate cash and those that consume it.
  • 62. Preparing a Cash Budget (continued) 1. Determine a Minimum Cash Balance 2. Forecast Sales 3. Forecast Cash Receipts 4. Forecast Cash Disbursements 5. Estimate End-of-Month Cash Balance
  • 63. Estimate End-of-Month Balance  Take Beginning Cash Balance ...  Add Cash Receipts ...  Subtract Cash Disbursements  Result is Cash Surplus or Cash Shortage (Repay or Borrow?)
  • 64. Benefits of Cash Management  Increase amount and speed of cash flowing into the company  Reduce the amount and speed of cash flowing out  Make the most efficient use of available cash  Take advantage of money-saving opportunities such as cash discounts  Finance seasonal business needs
  • 65. Benefits of Cash Management (continued)  Develop a sound borrowing and repayment program  Impress lenders and investors  Provide funds for expansion  Plan for investing surplus cash
  • 66. The “Big Three” of Cash Management 1. Accounts Receivable 2. Accounts Payable 3. Inventory
  • 67. Accounts Receivable  About 90% of industrial and wholesale sales are on credit, and 40% of retail sales are on account.  Survey of small companies across a variety of industries found that 77% extend credit to their customers.  Remember: “A sale is not a sale until you collect the money.”  Accounts receivable goal: Collect your company’s cash as fast as you can.
  • 68. FIGURE 12.5 Cash Flow Concerns Source: Based on American Express Corporation, 2005.
  • 69. Beating the Cash Crisis Accounts Receivable  Establish a firm credit-granting policy.  Screen credit customers carefully.  Develop a system of collecting accounts.  Send invoices promptly.  When an account becomes overdue, take action immediately.  Add finance charges to overdue accounts (check the law first!).
  • 70. Accelerating Accounts Receivable  Ensure that invoices are accurate and timely.  Include a description of the goods or services purchased.  Ensure that invoices match purchase orders or contracts.  Highlight the balance dues and due date.  Include contact information in case customers have questions.
  • 71. Beating the Cash Crisis Accounts Payable  Stretch out payment times as long as possible without damaging your credit rating.  Verify all invoices before paying them.  Take advantage of cash discounts.
  • 72. The Cost of Foregoing a Cash Discount $1,000 invoice 2/10, net 30 $20 Amount $980 $1,000 Day 0 10 30 20 days I $20 R = = = 37.25% PxT $980 x 20/365 FIGURE 12.6
  • 73. Beating the Cash Crisis Accounts Payable  Negotiate the best possible terms with your suppliers.  Be honest with creditors; avoid the “the check is in the mail” syndrome.  Schedule controllable cash disbursements to come due at different times.  Use credit cards wisely.
  • 74. Beating the Cash Crisis Inventory  Monitor it closely; inventory can drain a company’s cash.  Avoid inventory “overbuying.” It ties up valuable cash at a zero rate of return.  Arrange for inventory deliveries at the latest possible date.  Negotiate quantity discounts with suppliers when possible.
  • 75. Avoiding the Cash Crunch  Consider bartering, exchanging goods and services for other goods and services, to conserve cash.  Trim overhead costs:  Ask for discounts and “freebies”  Periodically evaluate expenses  Lease rather than buy  Avoid nonessential cash outlays  Negotiate fixed loan payments to coincide with your company’s cash flow
  • 76. Avoiding the Cash Crunch (continued)  Trim overhead costs:  Buy used equipment  Hire part-time employees and freelancers  Outsource nonessential activities  Control employee advances and loans  Establish an internal security and control system  Develop a system to battle check fraud  Change shipping terms
  • 77. Avoiding the Cash Crunch (continued)  Start selling gift cards  Switch to zero-based budgeting  Be on the lookout for employee theft  Keep your business plan current  Invest surplus cash
  • 78. Conclusion “Cash is King”  Cash and profits are not the same.  Entrepreneurial success means operating a company “lean and mean.”  Trim wasteful expenditures.  Invest surplus funds.  Plan and manage cash flow.
  • 79. Appendix 1 : Creating a Financial Plan
  • 80. The Importance of a Financial Plan  Common mistake among business owners: Failing to collect and analyze basic financial data.  Many entrepreneurs run their companies without any kind of financial plan.  Only 11% of business owners analyze their companies’ financial statements as part of the managerial planning process.  Financial planning is essential to running a successful business and is not that difficult!
  • 81. Basic Financial Statements  Balance Sheet – “Snapshot.” Estimates the firm’s worth on a given date; built on the accounting equation: Assets = Liabilities + Owner’s Equity  Income Statement – “Moving picture.” Compares the firm’s expenses against its revenue over a period of time to show its net income (or loss): Net Income = Sales Revenue - Expenses  Statement of Cash Flows – Shows the change in the firm's working capital over a period of time by listing the sources and uses of funds.
  • 82. Creating Projected Financial Statements  Helps the entrepreneur transform business goals into reality  Challenging for a business start-up  Start-ups should focus on creating projections for two years  Projected financial statements:  Income statements  Balance sheet
  • 83. Ratio Analysis  “How is my company doing?”  A method of expressing the relationships between any two elements on financial statements.  Important barometers of a company’s health.  Studies indicate few small business owners compute financial ratios and use them to manage their businesses.
  • 84. Twelve Key Ratios Liquidity Ratios - Tell whether or not a small business will be able to meet its maturing obligations as they come due. 1. Current Ratio - Measures solvency by showing the firm's ability to pay current liabilities out of current assets. Current Ratio = Current Assets = $686,985 = 1.87:1 Current Liabilities $367,850
  • 85. Twelve Key Ratios Liquidity Ratios - Tell whether or not a small business will be able to meet its maturing obligations as they come due. 2. Quick Ratio - Shows the extent to which a firm’s most liquid assets cover its current liabilities. Quick Ratio = Quick Assets = 686,985 – 455,455 = .63:1 Current Liabilities $367,850
  • 86. Twelve Key Ratios  Leverage Ratios  Measure the financing provided by the firm's owners against that supplied by its creditors  A gauge of the depth of the company's debt.  Careful! Debt is a powerful tool, but, like dynamite, you must handle it carefully!
  • 87. Twelve Key Ratios Leverage Ratios - Measure the financing provided by a firm’s owners against that supplied by its creditors; it is a gauge of the depth of the company’s debt. 2. Debt Ratio - Measures the percentage of total assets financed by creditors rather than owners. Debt Ratio = Total Debt = $367,850 + 212,150 = .68:1 Total Assets $847,655
  • 88. Twelve Key Ratios Leverage Ratios - Measure the financing provided by a firm’s owners against that supplied by its creditors; it is a gauge of the depth of the company’s debt. 4. Debt to Net Worth Ratio - Compares what a business “owes” to “what it is worth.” Debt to Net = Total Debt = $580,000 = 2.20:1 Worth Ratio Tangible Net Worth $264,155
  • 89. Twelve Key Ratios Leverage Ratios - Measure the financing provided by a firm’s owners against that supplied by its creditors; it is a gauge of the depth of the company’s debt. 5. Times Interest Earned - Measures the firm's ability to make the interest payments on its debt. Times Interest = EBIT* = $60,629 + 39,850 = Earned Total Interest Expense $39,850 = $100,479 = 2.52:1 $39,850 *Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
  • 90. The Right Amount of Debt is a Balancing Act Optimal Zone Benefits of Leverage Degree of Leverage Low FIGURE 11.6 High
  • 91. Table 11.1 How Lenders View Liquidity and Leverage Liquidity Leverage If chronic, this is often evidence of This is a very conservative position. With mismanagement. It is a sign that the owner this kind of leverage, lenders are likely to Low has not planned for the company's working capital needs. In most businesses lend money to satisfy a company's capital needs. Owners in this position should characterized by low liquidity, there is have no trouble borrowing money. usually no financial plan. This situation is often associated with last minute or "Friday night" financing. This is an indication of good management. If a company's leverage is comparable to The company is using its current assets that of other businesses of similar size in Average wisely and productively. Although they may not be impressed, lenders feel comfortable the same industry, lenders are comfortable making loans. The company is not making loans to companies with adequate overburdened with debt and is liquidity. demonstrating its ability to use its resources to grow. Some lenders look for this because it Businesses that carry excessive levels of indicates a most conservative company. debt scare most lenders off. Companies in High However, companies that constantly operate this way usually are forgoing this position normally will have a difficult time borrowing money unless they can growth opportunities because they are not show lenders good reasons for making making the most of their assets. loans. Owners of these companies must be prepared to sell lenders on their ability to repay. Ch, 11: Creating a Successful Financial Plan Source: Adapted from David H. Bangs, Jr., Financial Troubleshooting, Upstart Publishing Company, (Dover, New Hampshire, 1992), p. 124. 11- 91 11- 91
  • 92. Twelve Key Ratios Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance and show how effectively it is putting its resources to work. 6. Average Inventory Turnover Ratio - Tells the average number of times a firm's inventory is “turned over” or sold out during the accounting period. Average Inventory = Cost of Goods Sold = $1,290,117 = 2.05 times Turnover Ratio Average Inventory* $630,600 a year *Average Inventory = Beginning Inventory + Ending Inventory 2
  • 93. Twelve Key Ratios Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance and show how effectively it is putting its resources to work. 7. Average Collection Period Ratio (days sales outstanding, DSO) - Tells the average number of days required to collect accounts receivable. Two Steps: Receivables Turnover = Credit Sales = $1,309,589 = 7.31 times Ratio Accounts Receivable $179,225 a year Average Collection = Days in Accounting Period = 365 = 50.0 Period Ratio Receivables Turnover Ratio 7.31 days
  • 94. Twelve Key Ratios Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance and show how effectively it is putting its resources to work. 8. Average Payable Period Ratio - Tells the average number of days required to pay accounts payable. Two Steps: Payables Turnover = Purchases = $939,827 = 6.16 times Ratio Accounts Payable $152,580 a year Average Payable = Days in Accounting Period = 365 = 59.3 days Period Ratio Payables Turnover Ratio 6.16
  • 95. Twelve Key Ratios Operating Ratios - Evaluate a firm’s overall performance and show how effectively it is putting its resources to work. 9. Net Sales to Total Assets Ratio - Measures a firm’s ability to generate sales given its asset base. Net Sales to = Net Sales = $1,870,841 = 2.21:1 Total Assets Total Assets $847,655
  • 96. Twelve Key Ratios Profitability Ratios - Measure how efficiently a firm is operating; offer information about a firm’s “bottom line.” 10. Net Profit on Sales Ratio - Measures a firm’s profit per dollar of sales revenue. Net Profit on = Net Income = $60,629 = 3.24% Sales Net Sales $1,870,841
  • 97. Twelve Key Ratios Profitability Ratios - Measure how efficiently a firm is operating; offer information about a firm’s “bottom line.” 11. Net Profit to Assets (Return on Assets) Ratio – tells how much profit a company generates for each dollar of assets that it owns. Net Profit to = Net Income = $60,629 = 7.15% Assets Total Assets $847,655
  • 98. Twelve Key Ratios Profitability Ratios - Measure how efficiently a firm is operating; offer information about a firm’s “bottom line.” 12. Net Profit to Equity* Ratio - Measures an owner's rate of return on the investment (ROI) in the business. Net Profit to = Net Income = $60,629 = 22.65% Equity Owner’s Equity* $267,655 * Also called Net Worth
  • 99. Interpreting Ratios  Ratios – useful yardsticks of comparison.  Standards vary from one industry to another; the key is to watch for “red flags.”  Critical numbers – measure key financial and operational aspects of a company’s performance. Examples:  Sales per labor hour at a supermarket  Food costs as a percentage of sales at a restaurant.  Load factor (percentage of seats filled with passengers) at an airline.
  • 100. FIGURE 11.7 Trend Analysis of Ratios
  • 101. Putting Your Ratios to the Test When comparing your company’s ratios to your industry’s standards, ask the following questions: 1. Is there a significant difference in my company’s ratio and the industry average? 2. If so, is this a meaningful difference? 3. Is the difference good or bad? 4. What are the possible causes of this difference? What is the most likely cause? 5. Does this cause require that I take action? 6. If so, what action should I take to correct the problem? Source: Adapted from George M. Dawson, “Divided We Stand,” Business Start-Ups, May 2000, p. 34.
  • 102. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Current ratio = 1.87:1 Current ratio = 1.50:1 Although Sam’s falls short of the rule of thumb of 2:1, its current ratio is above the industry median by a significant amount. Sam’s should have no problem meeting short-term debts as they come due.
  • 103. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Quick ratio = 0.63:1 Quick ratio = 0.50:1 Again, Sam is below the rule of thumb of 1:1, but the company passes this test of liquidity when measured against industry standards. Sam relies on selling inventory to satisfy short-term debt (as do most appliance shops). If sales slump, the result could be liquidity problems for Sam’s. What steps should Sam take to deal with this threat?
  • 104. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Debt ratio = 0.68:1 Debt ratio = 0.64:1 Creditors provide 68% of Sam’s total assets, very close to the industry median of 64%. Although the company does not appear to be overburdened with debt, Sam’s might have difficulty borrowing , especially from conservative lenders.
  • 105. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Debt to net worth Debt to net worth ratio = 2.20:1 ratio = 1.90:1 Sam’s owes $2.20 to creditors for every $1.00 the owner has invested in the business (compared to $1.90 to every $1.00 in equity for the typical business). Many lenders will see Sam’s as “borrowed up,” having reached its borrowing capacity. Creditor’s claims are more than twice those of the owners.
  • 106. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Times interest earned Times interest ratio = 2.52:1 earned ratio = 2.0:1 Sam’s earnings are high enough to cover the interest payments on its debt by a factor of 2.52:1, slightly better than the typical firm in the industry. Sam’s has a cushion (although a small one) in meeting its interest payments.
  • 107. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Average inventory Average inventory turnover ratio = 2.05 turnover ratio = 4.0 times per year times per year Inventory is moving through Sam’s at a very slow pace. What could be causing this low inventory turnover in Sam’s business?
  • 108. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Average collection Average collection period ratio = 50.0 days period ratio = 19.3 days Sam’s collects the average account receivable after 50 days compared to the industry median of 19 days - more than 2.5 times longer. What is a more meaningful comparison for this ratio? What steps can Sam take to improve this ratio?
  • 109. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Average payable period Average payable ratio = 59.3 days period ratio = 43 days Sam’s payables are nearly 40 percent slower than those of the typical firm in the industry. Stretching payables too far could seriously damage the company’s credit rating. What are the possible causes of this discrepancy?
  • 110. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Net sales to total Net Sales to total assets ratio = 2.21:1 assets ratio = 2.7:1 Sam’s Appliance Shop is not generating enough sales, given the size of its asset base. What factors could cause this?
  • 111. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Net profit on sales Net profit on sale ratio = 3.24% ratio = 7.6% After deducting all expenses, Sam’s has just 3.24 cents of every sales dollar left as profit - less than half the industry average. Sam may discover that some of his operating expenses are out of balance.
  • 112. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Net profit to assets Net Sales to working ratio = 7.15% capital ratio = 5.5% Sam’s generates a return of 7.15% for every $1 in assets, which is 30% above the industry average. Given his asset base, Sam is squeezing an above- average return out of his company. Is this likely to be the result of exceptional profitability, or is there another explanation?
  • 113. Interpreting Ratios Sam’s Appliance Shop Industry Median Net profit on equity Net profit on equity ratio = 22.65% ratio = 12.6% Sam’s return on his investment in the business is an impressive 22.65%, compared to an industry median of just 12.6% Is this the result of high profitability, or is there another explanation?
  • 114. Breakeven Analysis  Breakeven point - the level of operation at which a business neither earns a profit nor incurs a loss.  A useful planning tool because it shows entrepreneurs minimum level of activity required to stay in business.  With one change in the breakeven calculation, an entrepreneur can also determine the sales volume required to reach a particular profit target.
  • 115. Calculating the Breakeven Point Step 1. Determine the expenses the business can expect to incur. Step 2. Categorize the expenses in step 1 into fixed expenses and variable expenses. Step 3. Calculate the ratio of variable expenses to net sales. Then compute the contribution margin: 1 - Variable Expenses Contribution Margin = Net Sales Estimate Step 4. Compute the breakeven point: Total Fixed Costs Breakeven Point ($) = Contribution Margin
  • 116. Calculating the Breakeven Point: The Magic Shop Step 1. Net Sales estimate is $950,000 with Cost of Goods Sold of $646,000 and total expenses of $236,500. Step 2. Variable Expenses: $705,125 Fixed Expenses: $177,375 Step 3. Contribution margin: $705,125 Contribution Margin = 1 - = .26 $950,000 Step 4. Breakeven Point: $177,375 Breakeven Point = = $682,212 .26 $
  • 117. FIGURE 11.8 Break-Even Chart for the Magic Shop
  • 118. Conclusion  Preparing a financial plan is a critical step  Entrepreneurs can gain valuable insight through:  Pro forma statements  Ratio analysis  Breakeven analysis
  • 119. Further Reading  Scarborough, Norman, M. 2011. Essentials of Entrepreneurship and Small Business Management. 6th edition. Pearson.  Brooks, Arthur C. (2006) Social Entrepreneurship : A Modern Approach to Social Value Creation. Pearson  Barringer, Bruce R. & Ireland, R. Duane, 2011 Entrepreneurship – Successfully launching new ventures 4th edition, Pearson.  Schaper, M., Volery, T., Weber, P. & Lewis, K. 2011. Entrepreneurship and Small Business. 3rd Asia Pacific edition. John Wiley.

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