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Marriage:
Vermont’s No. 1 Weapon
        Against
   Childhood Poverty
How the Collapse of Marriage Hurts Children
  and Three Steps to Reverse the Damage
            A Heritage Foundation Book of Charts • 2012

    Richard and Helen DeVos Center for Religion and Civil Society
Growth of Out-of-Wedlock Childbearing in Vermont, 1929–2010
   In 2010, a record 39.2 percent               PERCENTAGE OF CHILDREN BORN OUT OF WEDLOCK
of children in Vermont were born
outside marriage. Throughout most               50%
of Vermont’s history, non-marital
childbearing was rare. For example,
in 1950 only two percent of children                                                                           40.8%
in the state were born to unmarried             40%
women. In the late 1970s the rate
                                                                                                               39.2%
was still below ten percent. However,
over the last three decades unwed
childbearing in Vermont has                     30%
increased dramatically.
                                                                                                                    National
Note: Data on non-marital births in                                                                                 Vermont
Vermont are unavailable between 1951
and 1977. However, all states that have         20%
data for this period show rates which
parallel the national trend displayed in the
chart. In these states, the non-marital birth
rates remained low until the onset of the
federal War on Poverty in the mid-1960s,        10%
and then began to rise steadily. The
Vermont unwed birth rate between 1934
and 1979 very likely parallels the overall
national trend.
                                                 0%
Sources: U.S. Government, U.S. Census
Bureau, and National Center for Health             1930   1940   1950   1960   1970   1980   1990   2000   2010
Statistics.


                                                                   Chart 1 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont      heritage.org
In Vermont, Marriage Drops the Probability of Child Poverty
by 89 Percent
   The rapid rise in out-of-           PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES WITH CHILDREN THAT ARE POOR
wedlock childbearing is a major         35%
cause of high levels of child pov-                   32.7%
erty in Vermont.
                                        30%
   Some 32.7 percent of single
mothers with children are poor
compared to 3.5 percent of mar-         25%
ried couples with children.
  Single-parent families with           20%
children are nine times more likely
to be poor than families in which
the parents are married.                15%

  The higher poverty rate among
single-mother families is due both      10%
to the lower education levels of the
mothers and the lower income due
                                         5%                                          3.5%
to the absence of the father.

                                         0%
                                                  Single-Parent,             Married,Two-Parent
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American             Female-Headed                     Families
Community Survey, 2007–2009 data.                    Families

                                                       Chart 2 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont   heritage.org
In Vermont, One-Third of All Families with Children Are Not Married

  Overall, married couples head
about two-thirds of families with
children in Vermont. One-third
are single-parent families.


                                       Unmarried
                                        Families
                                         33.2%
                                                                 Married
                                                                 Families
                                                                  66.8%




Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American
Community Survey, 2007–2009 data.

                                       Chart 3 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont   heritage.org
In Vermont, 80 Percent of Poor Families with Children Are Not Married

  Among poor families with
children in Vermont, four in five
are not married. By contrast, only
one-fifth of poor families with
                                                             Married
children are headed by married                               Families
couples.
                                                              19.9%



                                         Unmarried
                                          Families
                                           80.1%




Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American
Community Survey, 2007–2009 data.

                                       Chart 4 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont   heritage.org
In Vermont, Few Unwed Births Occur to Teenagers
   Out-of-wedlock births are often      PERCENTAGE OF OUT-OF-WEDLOCK BIRTHS
confused erroneously with teen          BY AGE OF MOTHER
                                                                              Under
births, but only 3.8 percent of                                               Age 18:
out-of-wedlock births in Vermont                                               3.8%
occur to girls under age 18.
  By contrast, some 79 percent of
out-of-wedlock births occur to                            Age
young adult women between the                            30–54:                Age
ages of 18 and 29.                                       17.6%                18–19:
                                                                              13.7%



                                                     Age
                                                    25–29:                   Age
                                                    24.4%                   20–24:
                                                                            40.5%


Note: Figures have been rounded.

Source: U.S. Department of Health and
Human Services, Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS
data.

                                                      Chart 5 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont   heritage.org
Less-Educated Women Are More Likely to Give Birth
Outside of Marriage
  Unwed childbearing occurs             PERCENTAGE OF BIRTHS THAT ARE MARITAL
most frequently among the               OR OUT OF WEDLOCK
women who will have the greatest        100%
                                                                                           9.6%        Unmarried
difficulty supporting children by
                                         90%
                                                                                                       Mothers
themselves: those with low levels
of education.                                                               40.0%
                                         80%
   In Vermont, among women who                                59.4%
are high school dropouts, about          70%
75.6 percent of all births occur                 75.6%
                                         60%                                                           Married
outside marriage. Among women                                                             90.4%
who have only a high school              50%                                                           Mothers
diploma, nearly six in ten births
occur outside marriage. By con-          40%
                                                                            60.0%
trast, among women with at least a       30%
college degree, only 9.6 percent of                           40.6%
births are out of wedlock.               20%

                                         10%     24.4%

                                          0%
                                               High School High School      Some        College        Mother’s
Source: U.S. Department of Health and           Dropout     Graduate       College      Graduate       education
Human Services, Centers for Disease               (0–11        (12         (13–15         (16+         level
Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS
data.                                             Years)      Years)        Years)       Years)

                                                           Chart 6 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont    heritage.org
Both Marriage and Education Are Highly Effective
in Reducing Child Poverty in Vermont
   The poverty rate of married         PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES                  Poverty Rate of Families by
                                       WITH CHILDREN THAT                                                          Single
couples with children is dramati-                                             Education and Marital Status
                                       ARE POOR                                                                    Married
cally lower than the rate for house-                                           of the Head of Household
holds headed by single parents.          60%
This is true even when the married
couple is compared to single par-               49.3%
ents with the same education level.      50%

  For example, in Vermont, the
poverty rate for a single mother         40%
who has only a high school                                         31.8%
diploma is 31.8 percent, but the         30%                                          29.3%
poverty rate for a married couple                       22.6%
family headed by an individual           20%
who, similarly, has only a high
school degree is far lower at                                                                           13.2%
7.2 percent.                             10%                               7.2%
                                                                                              3.1%
  On average, marriage drops the                                                                                 1.1%
poverty rate by around 78 percent         0%
among families with the same                    High School        High School           Some             College
                                                 Dropout            Graduate            College           Graduate
education level.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American   Note: Virtually none of the heads of families in the chart who are high school
Community Survey, 2005–2009 data.      dropouts are minor teenagers.

                                                                Chart 7 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont        heritage.org
Unwed Birth Rates Vary Strongly by Race in Vermont
   In 2008 (the most recent year        PERCENT OF BIRTHS THAT ARE OUT OF WEDLOCK
for which racial breakdown is
available), nearly four in ten births   70%
(38.8 percent) overall in Vermont                                                          8.3%
occurred outside marriage.
                                        60%                                                        56.0%
   Among white non-Hispanics,
about four in ten births (39.1
percent) occurred outside mar-          50%
riage. This was the third-highest
non-marital birth rate among                   38.8%            39.1%            40.2%
                                        40%
white non-Hispanic women in the
nation.
  Among blacks, 40.2 percent of         30%
births were to unmarried women.
Among Hispanics, 56 percent of
                                        20%
births were out of wedlock.

                                        10%


                                         0%
Source: U.S. Department of Health and         All Races         White            Black            Hispanic
Human Services, Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS                                Non-             Non-
data.                                                          Hispanic         Hispanic

                                                          Chart 8 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont     heritage.org
Racial Composition of All Births and Out-of-Wedlock Births in Vermont
   In Vermont in 2008, some 95.1                  ALL BIRTHS                        OUT-OF-WEDLOCK BIRTHS
percent of all births occurred to
non-Hispanic whites, 1.6 percent
occurred to non-Hispanic blacks,
and 1.2 percent occurred to His-
panics.
  The racial composition of
unwed births was nearly identical.
In 2008, 95.9 percent of all non-
marital births in Vermont were to                      95.1%               White Non-             95.9%
non-Hispanic whites, 1.7 percent                                            Hispanic
were to Hispanic women, and 1.6
percent were to black non-
Hispanic women.




                                                                2.1%     Asian/Other    0.8%
                                                                1.6% Black Non-Hispanic 1.6%
Source: U.S. Department of Health and                           1.2%       Hispanic     1.7%
Human Services, Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS
data.                                   Note: Figures have been rounded.

                                                               Chart 9 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont   heritage.org
Non-Married White Families Are Nine Times More Likely to Be Poor
in Vermont
   Marriage leads to lower poverty        PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES THAT ARE POOR
rates for whites and Hispanics.*
  For example, in 2009, the pov-           30%
erty rate for married white families
in Vermont was 2.7 percent. But
the poverty rate for non-married           25%                                         24.2%
white families was nearly nine
times higher at 24.2 percent.
                                           20%


                                           15%


                                           10%


                                            5%
                                                        2.7%
* The black population in Vermont is
too small to provide reliable estimates
of poverty by family structure.             0%
                                                   Married Families            Non-Married Families
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American
Community Survey, 2007–2009 data.

                                                        Chart 10 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont    heritage.org
Non-Married Hispanic Families Are Roughly 13 Times More Likely
to Be Poor in Vermont
  In 2009, the poverty rate for        PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES THAT ARE POOR
Hispanic married families in Ver-
mont was 3.3 percent, while the
                                        45%                                         42.3%
poverty rate among non-married
families was nearly 13 times
                                        40%
higher at 42.3 percent.
                                        35%

                                        30%

                                        25%

                                        20%

                                        15%

                                        10%

                                         5%          3.3%

                                         0%
                                                Married Families            Non-Married Families
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American
Community Survey, 2007–2009 data.

                                                     Chart 11 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont    heritage.org
Three Steps to Reduce Child Poverty through Marriage

1) Provide information on the benefits of marriage in reducing child poverty
   and improving child well-being.

    Marriage is a highly effective institution which greatly decreases parental and child
  poverty while improving long-term outcomes for children. Conversely, the absence of
  marriage greatly increases welfare costs and imposes added burdens on taxpayers.
    Unfortunately, almost no information on these topics is available in low-income
  communities. This information deficit should be corrected in the following manner:

     • Explain the benefits of marriage in middle and high schools with a high
       proportion of at-risk youth;
     • Create public education campaigns in low-income communities on the
       benefits of marriage; and,
     • Require federally funded birth control clinics to provide information on the
       benefits of marriage and the skills needed to develop stable families to
       interested low-income clients.

2) Reduce anti-marriage penalties in means-tested welfare programs.

3) Promote life-goal-planning, marriage-strengthening, and divorce-reduction
   programs to increase healthy marriages and reduce divorce and separation.
The Family & Religion Initiative is one of 10 Transformational Initiatives making up The Heritage
Foundation’s Leadership for America campaign. For more products and information related to this initiative
or to learn more about the Leadership for America campaign, please visit heritage.org.




  The Heritage Foundation is a research and educational institution—a think tank—whose mission is to
formulate and promote conservative public policies based on the principles of free enterprise, limited gov-
ernment, individual freedom, traditional American values, and a strong national defense.
  Our vision is to build an America where freedom, opportunity, prosperity, and civil society flourish. As
conservatives, we believe the values and ideas that motivated our Founding Fathers are worth conserving.
As policy entrepreneurs, we believe the most effective solutions are consistent with those ideas and values.




                                     214 Massachusetts Avenue, NE • Washington, D.C. 20002 • (202) 546-4400 • heritage.org

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Marriage Poverty - Vermont

  • 1. Marriage: Vermont’s No. 1 Weapon Against Childhood Poverty How the Collapse of Marriage Hurts Children and Three Steps to Reverse the Damage A Heritage Foundation Book of Charts • 2012 Richard and Helen DeVos Center for Religion and Civil Society
  • 2. Growth of Out-of-Wedlock Childbearing in Vermont, 1929–2010 In 2010, a record 39.2 percent PERCENTAGE OF CHILDREN BORN OUT OF WEDLOCK of children in Vermont were born outside marriage. Throughout most 50% of Vermont’s history, non-marital childbearing was rare. For example, in 1950 only two percent of children 40.8% in the state were born to unmarried 40% women. In the late 1970s the rate 39.2% was still below ten percent. However, over the last three decades unwed childbearing in Vermont has 30% increased dramatically. National Note: Data on non-marital births in Vermont Vermont are unavailable between 1951 and 1977. However, all states that have 20% data for this period show rates which parallel the national trend displayed in the chart. In these states, the non-marital birth rates remained low until the onset of the federal War on Poverty in the mid-1960s, 10% and then began to rise steadily. The Vermont unwed birth rate between 1934 and 1979 very likely parallels the overall national trend. 0% Sources: U.S. Government, U.S. Census Bureau, and National Center for Health 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Statistics. Chart 1 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 3. In Vermont, Marriage Drops the Probability of Child Poverty by 89 Percent The rapid rise in out-of- PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES WITH CHILDREN THAT ARE POOR wedlock childbearing is a major 35% cause of high levels of child pov- 32.7% erty in Vermont. 30% Some 32.7 percent of single mothers with children are poor compared to 3.5 percent of mar- 25% ried couples with children. Single-parent families with 20% children are nine times more likely to be poor than families in which the parents are married. 15% The higher poverty rate among single-mother families is due both 10% to the lower education levels of the mothers and the lower income due 5% 3.5% to the absence of the father. 0% Single-Parent, Married,Two-Parent Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Female-Headed Families Community Survey, 2007–2009 data. Families Chart 2 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 4. In Vermont, One-Third of All Families with Children Are Not Married Overall, married couples head about two-thirds of families with children in Vermont. One-third are single-parent families. Unmarried Families 33.2% Married Families 66.8% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2007–2009 data. Chart 3 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 5. In Vermont, 80 Percent of Poor Families with Children Are Not Married Among poor families with children in Vermont, four in five are not married. By contrast, only one-fifth of poor families with Married children are headed by married Families couples. 19.9% Unmarried Families 80.1% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2007–2009 data. Chart 4 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 6. In Vermont, Few Unwed Births Occur to Teenagers Out-of-wedlock births are often PERCENTAGE OF OUT-OF-WEDLOCK BIRTHS confused erroneously with teen BY AGE OF MOTHER Under births, but only 3.8 percent of Age 18: out-of-wedlock births in Vermont 3.8% occur to girls under age 18. By contrast, some 79 percent of out-of-wedlock births occur to Age young adult women between the 30–54: Age ages of 18 and 29. 17.6% 18–19: 13.7% Age 25–29: Age 24.4% 20–24: 40.5% Note: Figures have been rounded. Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS data. Chart 5 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 7. Less-Educated Women Are More Likely to Give Birth Outside of Marriage Unwed childbearing occurs PERCENTAGE OF BIRTHS THAT ARE MARITAL most frequently among the OR OUT OF WEDLOCK women who will have the greatest 100% 9.6% Unmarried difficulty supporting children by 90% Mothers themselves: those with low levels of education. 40.0% 80% In Vermont, among women who 59.4% are high school dropouts, about 70% 75.6 percent of all births occur 75.6% 60% Married outside marriage. Among women 90.4% who have only a high school 50% Mothers diploma, nearly six in ten births occur outside marriage. By con- 40% 60.0% trast, among women with at least a 30% college degree, only 9.6 percent of 40.6% births are out of wedlock. 20% 10% 24.4% 0% High School High School Some College Mother’s Source: U.S. Department of Health and Dropout Graduate College Graduate education Human Services, Centers for Disease (0–11 (12 (13–15 (16+ level Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS data.  Years) Years) Years) Years) Chart 6 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 8. Both Marriage and Education Are Highly Effective in Reducing Child Poverty in Vermont The poverty rate of married PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES Poverty Rate of Families by WITH CHILDREN THAT Single couples with children is dramati- Education and Marital Status ARE POOR Married cally lower than the rate for house- of the Head of Household holds headed by single parents. 60% This is true even when the married couple is compared to single par- 49.3% ents with the same education level. 50% For example, in Vermont, the poverty rate for a single mother 40% who has only a high school 31.8% diploma is 31.8 percent, but the 30% 29.3% poverty rate for a married couple 22.6% family headed by an individual 20% who, similarly, has only a high school degree is far lower at 13.2% 7.2 percent. 10% 7.2% 3.1% On average, marriage drops the 1.1% poverty rate by around 78 percent 0% among families with the same High School High School Some College Dropout Graduate College Graduate education level. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Note: Virtually none of the heads of families in the chart who are high school Community Survey, 2005–2009 data. dropouts are minor teenagers. Chart 7 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 9. Unwed Birth Rates Vary Strongly by Race in Vermont In 2008 (the most recent year PERCENT OF BIRTHS THAT ARE OUT OF WEDLOCK for which racial breakdown is available), nearly four in ten births 70% (38.8 percent) overall in Vermont 8.3% occurred outside marriage. 60% 56.0% Among white non-Hispanics, about four in ten births (39.1 percent) occurred outside mar- 50% riage. This was the third-highest non-marital birth rate among 38.8% 39.1% 40.2% 40% white non-Hispanic women in the nation. Among blacks, 40.2 percent of 30% births were to unmarried women. Among Hispanics, 56 percent of 20% births were out of wedlock. 10% 0% Source: U.S. Department of Health and All Races White Black Hispanic Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS Non- Non- data. Hispanic Hispanic Chart 8 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 10. Racial Composition of All Births and Out-of-Wedlock Births in Vermont In Vermont in 2008, some 95.1 ALL BIRTHS OUT-OF-WEDLOCK BIRTHS percent of all births occurred to non-Hispanic whites, 1.6 percent occurred to non-Hispanic blacks, and 1.2 percent occurred to His- panics. The racial composition of unwed births was nearly identical. In 2008, 95.9 percent of all non- marital births in Vermont were to 95.1% White Non- 95.9% non-Hispanic whites, 1.7 percent Hispanic were to Hispanic women, and 1.6 percent were to black non- Hispanic women. 2.1% Asian/Other 0.8% 1.6% Black Non-Hispanic 1.6% Source: U.S. Department of Health and 1.2% Hispanic 1.7% Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008 NHS data. Note: Figures have been rounded. Chart 9 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 11. Non-Married White Families Are Nine Times More Likely to Be Poor in Vermont Marriage leads to lower poverty PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES THAT ARE POOR rates for whites and Hispanics.* For example, in 2009, the pov- 30% erty rate for married white families in Vermont was 2.7 percent. But the poverty rate for non-married 25% 24.2% white families was nearly nine times higher at 24.2 percent. 20% 15% 10% 5% 2.7% * The black population in Vermont is too small to provide reliable estimates of poverty by family structure. 0% Married Families Non-Married Families Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2007–2009 data. Chart 10 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 12. Non-Married Hispanic Families Are Roughly 13 Times More Likely to Be Poor in Vermont In 2009, the poverty rate for PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES THAT ARE POOR Hispanic married families in Ver- mont was 3.3 percent, while the 45% 42.3% poverty rate among non-married families was nearly 13 times 40% higher at 42.3 percent. 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 3.3% 0% Married Families Non-Married Families Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2007–2009 data. Chart 11 • Marriage and Poverty in Vermont heritage.org
  • 13. Three Steps to Reduce Child Poverty through Marriage 1) Provide information on the benefits of marriage in reducing child poverty and improving child well-being. Marriage is a highly effective institution which greatly decreases parental and child poverty while improving long-term outcomes for children. Conversely, the absence of marriage greatly increases welfare costs and imposes added burdens on taxpayers. Unfortunately, almost no information on these topics is available in low-income communities. This information deficit should be corrected in the following manner: • Explain the benefits of marriage in middle and high schools with a high proportion of at-risk youth; • Create public education campaigns in low-income communities on the benefits of marriage; and, • Require federally funded birth control clinics to provide information on the benefits of marriage and the skills needed to develop stable families to interested low-income clients. 2) Reduce anti-marriage penalties in means-tested welfare programs. 3) Promote life-goal-planning, marriage-strengthening, and divorce-reduction programs to increase healthy marriages and reduce divorce and separation.
  • 14. The Family & Religion Initiative is one of 10 Transformational Initiatives making up The Heritage Foundation’s Leadership for America campaign. For more products and information related to this initiative or to learn more about the Leadership for America campaign, please visit heritage.org. The Heritage Foundation is a research and educational institution—a think tank—whose mission is to formulate and promote conservative public policies based on the principles of free enterprise, limited gov- ernment, individual freedom, traditional American values, and a strong national defense. Our vision is to build an America where freedom, opportunity, prosperity, and civil society flourish. As conservatives, we believe the values and ideas that motivated our Founding Fathers are worth conserving. As policy entrepreneurs, we believe the most effective solutions are consistent with those ideas and values. 214 Massachusetts Avenue, NE • Washington, D.C. 20002 • (202) 546-4400 • heritage.org