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POST 2015 & SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT : CAPACITY FOR WHAT?
  GINA LUCARELLI, CD4SD WORKSHOP OCTOBER 15, 2012
Capacity to ______?
1. Risky Projections on MDGs 2.0
2. The MDG format: what can we learn?
3. Cracking the integration challenge: synergies
   and structures
4. Integrated investment choices
5. Getting Political without getting impossible
6. Intrusive..or Conducive? State and the Market
Working Group on Sustainable Development Goals

                                         Members:
                             Working Group comprised of 30
                          representatives nominated by Member
                                 States (September 2012)



                                        Objective:
                           Tasked to develop a proposal for the
                             Sustainable Development Goals




                                          Output:
                            A report to the UNGA containing a
                          proposal for sustainable development
                               goals (between Sep 2013/14)
SG's High-level Panel of Eminent Persons on the post-2015 UN development agenda
                    •   Mandate: MDG+10 Summit
                    •   Output: SG will deliver a report to UNGA by the 2nd quarter of 2013
                    •   Input: Work based on report of UN System Task Team
                    •   Work to be informed by Rio+20 and UNDG's consultations




 Co-Chair:                                    Co-Chair:                            Co-Chair:
 Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono                     Ellen Johnson Sirleaf                David Cameron
 President of Indonesia                       President of Liberia                 Prime Minister of the UK


  Benin    Brazil         China     Colombia         Cuba      France    Germany       Japan




  Jordan   Kenya           India     Latvia         Mexico
                                                              Netherla
                                                                         Nigeria
                                                                                       Russian     CEO
                                                                nds                     Fed
                                                                                                   Unilever

  South     Rep                      Timor-
                          Sweden                    Turkey      USA      Yemen        Ex Officio
  Africa   Korea                      Leste
Risky Projections: What will MDG 2.0
                 look like ?
                                       Environmental
• Correcting the                        sustainability

  Environment
  omission
• Quality of Education
• Non-communicable         Inclusive
                                       Human rights
                                                          Peace and
                          economic        Equality
  diseases?              development
                                       Sustainability
                                                           Security


• Inequality?
• Governance

Universal Goals? Good for              Inclusive social
                                        development
Human development. Good for
MICs
MDG Strengths                    MDG Weaknesses
Simple Beauty                    Aggregate bias undermined
                                 subnational inequities
Gave operational meaning to
human development                Revealed lack of reliable
                                 baseline across countries
Results based format
improved policy monitoring
                                 Emphasized financial gaps
and accountability
                                 over institution building

Global targets tailored to
national realities worked best   Didn’t consider synergies
                                 and tradeoffs
Integration (1): Synergy sound bites
                                                               Fiscally
Better Health
  1/5 diseases in                                              sound:
  Europe can be                                               1 trillion in
   prevented by       Social           Economic            subsidies for oil,
reducing pollution.                    Prosperity            coal and gas.
                      Inclusion                            1 trillion needed
                                                              for a green
                                                               economy



                            Environmental
                                                Yes there will be Job
                              Protection
                                                      Loss…but
                                                    85% of carbon emissions
                                                     employ 12% of Europe.
Integration (2): Structures: from lava
              lamp to puzzle
                                   Effort to get
Inter-
                                   _____ into
sectoral
                                   the Medium
committee
                                   Term
on _____
                                   Expenditure
                                   Framework


                                  Increase
National                          public
Strategy on                       awareness
________         Municipal        by
                 Pilot on         measuring
                 ________         _______.
Investment choices: Prisons or pensions?


    • Life
      expectancy
    • Math &
      Literacy
    • Infant
      mortality
    • Homicides
    • Imprisonment




Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level         www.equalitytrust.org.uk
More for Finance Ministers: fossil fuel
              subsidies
Intelligent policy…even when it’s
                  political
    Where is the                        Versus the
     Resistance                         Injustice?
Removing Fossil Fuel Subsidies…not impossible
1. Estimate how much is spent.
2. Determine who is hurt most by its removal
3. Have a plan for how to phase out: most harmful first,
   what are acceptable trade offs?
4. Do it gradually and substitute
Conducive States for a Green Economy
• Pulling the state out of where it doesn’t belong
• Injecting state efforts to
   o Target support to the poorest
   o Reduce inequality
   o Investing in R and D until green is profitable
• Ready to remove administrative barriers
• Deal with people as consumers, citizens..co-creators?

 To “do” sustainable development, governments
need a longer term perspective…where does this
                  come from?
WANTED….Capacities for Post MDG
          frontier
               • Achieve results without
                 clinging to silos
               • Holistic investment
               • Build constituencies and
                 accountability
               • Take out the political
                 sting and get on with it.

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Post 2015 and Sustainable Development

  • 1. POST 2015 & SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT : CAPACITY FOR WHAT? GINA LUCARELLI, CD4SD WORKSHOP OCTOBER 15, 2012
  • 2. Capacity to ______? 1. Risky Projections on MDGs 2.0 2. The MDG format: what can we learn? 3. Cracking the integration challenge: synergies and structures 4. Integrated investment choices 5. Getting Political without getting impossible 6. Intrusive..or Conducive? State and the Market
  • 3. Working Group on Sustainable Development Goals Members: Working Group comprised of 30 representatives nominated by Member States (September 2012) Objective: Tasked to develop a proposal for the Sustainable Development Goals Output: A report to the UNGA containing a proposal for sustainable development goals (between Sep 2013/14)
  • 4. SG's High-level Panel of Eminent Persons on the post-2015 UN development agenda • Mandate: MDG+10 Summit • Output: SG will deliver a report to UNGA by the 2nd quarter of 2013 • Input: Work based on report of UN System Task Team • Work to be informed by Rio+20 and UNDG's consultations Co-Chair: Co-Chair: Co-Chair: Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono Ellen Johnson Sirleaf David Cameron President of Indonesia President of Liberia Prime Minister of the UK Benin Brazil China Colombia Cuba France Germany Japan Jordan Kenya India Latvia Mexico Netherla Nigeria Russian CEO nds Fed Unilever South Rep Timor- Sweden Turkey USA Yemen Ex Officio Africa Korea Leste
  • 5. Risky Projections: What will MDG 2.0 look like ? Environmental • Correcting the sustainability Environment omission • Quality of Education • Non-communicable Inclusive Human rights Peace and economic Equality diseases? development Sustainability Security • Inequality? • Governance Universal Goals? Good for Inclusive social development Human development. Good for MICs
  • 6. MDG Strengths MDG Weaknesses Simple Beauty Aggregate bias undermined subnational inequities Gave operational meaning to human development Revealed lack of reliable baseline across countries Results based format improved policy monitoring Emphasized financial gaps and accountability over institution building Global targets tailored to national realities worked best Didn’t consider synergies and tradeoffs
  • 7. Integration (1): Synergy sound bites Fiscally Better Health 1/5 diseases in sound: Europe can be 1 trillion in prevented by Social Economic subsidies for oil, reducing pollution. Prosperity coal and gas. Inclusion 1 trillion needed for a green economy Environmental Yes there will be Job Protection Loss…but 85% of carbon emissions employ 12% of Europe.
  • 8. Integration (2): Structures: from lava lamp to puzzle Effort to get Inter- _____ into sectoral the Medium committee Term on _____ Expenditure Framework Increase National public Strategy on awareness ________ Municipal by Pilot on measuring ________ _______.
  • 9. Investment choices: Prisons or pensions? • Life expectancy • Math & Literacy • Infant mortality • Homicides • Imprisonment Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level www.equalitytrust.org.uk
  • 10. More for Finance Ministers: fossil fuel subsidies
  • 11. Intelligent policy…even when it’s political Where is the Versus the Resistance Injustice? Removing Fossil Fuel Subsidies…not impossible 1. Estimate how much is spent. 2. Determine who is hurt most by its removal 3. Have a plan for how to phase out: most harmful first, what are acceptable trade offs? 4. Do it gradually and substitute
  • 12. Conducive States for a Green Economy • Pulling the state out of where it doesn’t belong • Injecting state efforts to o Target support to the poorest o Reduce inequality o Investing in R and D until green is profitable • Ready to remove administrative barriers • Deal with people as consumers, citizens..co-creators? To “do” sustainable development, governments need a longer term perspective…where does this come from?
  • 13. WANTED….Capacities for Post MDG frontier • Achieve results without clinging to silos • Holistic investment • Build constituencies and accountability • Take out the political sting and get on with it.