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PART I: LOC AND EXAM OF GEO-POLITICS.

PART II: SOCIAL AND CULTURAL RAMIFICATIONS.


PART III: DYNAMICS OF POLITICAL STRUCTURE.

PART IV: ECONOMIC POLICIES AND INDUSTRIAL
POTENTIAL.
LOC AND EXAM OF GEOSTRAT
      SIGNIFICANCE
9.6 MILLION SQ KMS
        4900 KMS
          3000 KMS
BOUNDARIES & COASTLINE


AFGANISTAN


    MOREKMS 2000COASTLINE
 14,500  THAN OF KMS OF LAND
21,000 KMS OF IS DISPUTED
       FRONTIER
                LAND FRONTIER




                            PS
                        S G
                      EF ND
                    RE A
                  D ISL
                AN 00
                 50
RESOURCES
• PETROLIUM
 MINERAL RESOURCES
 COAL
• TWO MILLION BRLS PER
 MORE THAN 140 TYPES
 RES OF 44 MILLION TONS
  DAY
 IRON RES OF 44 MILLION
• 20 TRILLION BRLS AS RES
  TONS
• 100 BILLION BRLS OF
  OFFSHORE RES
TOPOGRAPHY
        AL                     RT
           TA               SE
TIEN SHAN I               DE
                       BI
  TARIM BASIN
   TURFAN DEPRESSION GO
TAKLA MAKAN
    KUNLUN            DENSELY
    32% OF AREA IS MOUNTAINS
                     YPOPULATED
            AND LOAM
 TIBET PLATEAU  CANYONS
 HI M            SOIL LOWLANDS
      ALA
          YAS PLATEAU
                                  AL
                                IC T
                             OP AS
                          TR CO
                           SE
DRAINAGE AND RIVERS
• GRND IS SLOPING WEST TO EAST
• RIVERS
• MORE THAN 26 LAKH MILLION CUBIC
  METERS OF WATER FLOW
    – YANGTSE
    – YELLOW
    – AMUR
    – TSANG PO
   MOST RIVER ARE USED FOR TPT & COMN
CLIMATE

• GREAT VARIANCE FROM PLACE TO
  PLACE
• REGIONAL SEASONS
• WINTER WINDS FROM SIBERIA
• SUMMER WINDS FROM SOUTH CHINA
  SEA
• DESTRUCTIVE TYPHOONS
COMMUNICATIONS
• ROADS
• MORE THAN ONE MILLION KMS OF
  RDS
• RDS ARE UNSURFACED IN OUTER
  REGIONS
• RLYS
• 50,000 KMS OF RLY TR CONC IN
  EASTERN PART
• ELECTRIFICATION IS UNDER
  PROGRESS
COMMUNICATIONS
 WATERWAYS
• 1/3rd OF INTERNAL FRIEGHT IS
  BY WATERWAYS
• GRAND CANAL FROM BEIJING
  TO HANGCHOW
• MISC
• GREAT MAJORITY STILL USE
  BYCYCLES
SINO – RUSSIAN
        REGION
   FROM PAMIR KNOT TO
VLADIVOSTOK ON THE    PACIFIC
COAST.
   IT INCL :
     SINGKIANG AREA.
     MONGOLIAN BORDER.
     MANCHURIA.
•3000 KMs OF BORDER WITH
           RUSSIA.

           • FRONTIERS WITH INDIA,
SINKIANG
           POK, AFGHANISTAN AND
           MONGOLIA

           •KHUNJERAB PASS - VITAL
           FOR MOV FROM SINGKIANG
       CHINA
           TO POK ALONG KARAKORAM
           HIGHWAY.

           •KASHGAR - AN IMP COMN
           CENTRE.
MONGOLIA




SHORTEST ROUTE
FOR RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE.
TRN - OPEN & PARTIALLY
DESERT.
MANCHURIA




DIFFERENCES WITH RUSSIA ON
THE ALIGNMENT OF BORDER.
POTENTIAL FOR A BASE TO CUT
OFF EASTERN SEA BD OF RUSSIA.
SOCIAL
 social     CULTURAL
             cultural


  RAMIFICATION
ETHNIC
     DIVISIONS
HAN CHINESE SOCIETY
MULTI-ETHNIC OFFICIAL POLICY
REPRESENTATION OF EVERY
MINORITY NATIONALITY IN
NATIONAL PEOPLE’S CONGRESS
5 NATIONAL AUTONOMOUS AND 75
AUTONOMOUS COUNTIES
ETHNIC TENSION
•RELIGION

•ORGANISATION OF THE SOCIETY

•WORK PLACE--STATE v/s
COLLECTIVES
URBAN-RURAL DISTINCTIONS
            L
            E
            G
            A
            L


            D
            I
            S
            T
            I
            N
            C
            T
            I
            O
            N
CHINESE CULTURE

        •TORTUOUS DEVELOPMENT
        •LITERATURE


• OPERA & THEATRE
• MUSIC
PRESENT DAY
         ATMOSPHERE

•LOSS OF IDEALISM

•EASY LIFESTYLE OF THE PEOPLE

•THE FORBIDDEN CITY

•THE LIVING STANDARDS
• TAONISM

• LEGALISM

• CONFUCIANISM
THE CENTRAL NATIONAL
 CONGRESS
ORGANISATION OF
 PROVINCES AND
 AUTONOMOUS REGION
BASIC LEVEL
 ORGANISATION
• ONE MAN RULE.


• BUREAUCRATIC
SYSTEM.

• LEGITIMACY.
OPENING CHINA TO
 WESTERN WORLD
ALLOWING FOREIGN
 INVESTORS
CHINESE NATIONALS INTO
 WESTERN WORLD
POPULAR POLICIES
CHANGE IN ECONOMIC
 POLICIES
ECONOMIC P  OLICIES
        AND
INDUSTRIAL POTENTIAL
GEN NATUTRE OF
      ECONOMY
 AUTHORITARIAN SOCIALIST
  ECONOMY SINCE 1949.

 INSTRUMENT OF PRODUCTION HAS BEEN
  STATE OWNED.

 GOVT DETERMINED ECONOMIC GOALS
  AND CONT PROD PROCESS.

 MOB OF RESOURCES TO INCR NATIONAL
  ECONOMIC OUTPUT.
MODERNISATION
  OF ECONOMY
 BASED ON MODERNISATION
  PROGRAM BT ZHOU ENLAI IN
  1975.

 STARTED UNDER HUA GUO-FENG
  AND DENG XIAOPING.
THE FOUR
MODERNIZATION
     S
AGRICULTURE
PEASANTS ALLOCATED
OWN PLOTS AFTER
1978.
LED TO AN INCR IN
AGRICULTURAL PROD.

FIRST CLEAR SUCCESS.
AGRICULTURAL
        PRODUCTION
2000               $ 124.55 BILLION




1978
       $ 12.34 BILLION
INDUSTRY
ALL ROUND GROWTH FROM 1980
 ONWARDS.
PROD INCR BY 600%.
ELECTRICITY GEN INCR BY
300%.
STEEL PROD ROSE BY 250%.
COAL PROD UP BY 200%.
S NCE AND TE NOL
 CIE        CH  OGY

LOSS OF ONE GENERATION OF
SCIENTISTS AND TECHNICIANS.
PEOPLE EDUCATED FROM WEST
ENCOURAGED TO TEACH IN UNIV.
5000 NEW INSTITUTES WERE
OPENED BY GOVT AND WITH MIL
SP.
ECONOMY IN
      1990’s
GREATEST PERIOD OF CHINESE
ECONOMY.

STEP UP AGRI PROD ,
STRENGTHEN INDUSTRY AND
ACCELERATE DEVP OF SCI &
TECN AND EDN.

FLY PLG, ENVIRON PROT &
NARROW INCOME GAP.
ECONOMY IN
       1990’s
ADOPTION OF
“CONSTRUCTION OF
SOCIALIST MKT ECONOMY”.

SOE’s CORPORATISED AND
MADE MORE COMPETITIVE.

TWO THIRD SOE’s TURNED
INTO JT STK COYS.
ECONOMY IN 1990’s

LESS PROFITABLE SOE’s
MADE BANKRUPT.

VIGOROUS PUSH OF
COMPETITIVENESS.
EXTERNAL CAPITAL INFLOW

                       $ 19.3 BILLION

1993




       $ 2.4 BILLION
1980
PROBLEMS
• IDEOLOGICAL
  CONTRADICTIONS.
• REGIONAL
  IMBALANCES.
• INFLATION.
PROBLEMS
BUDGET DISPARITY
AND DEFICIT.
UNEMPLOYMENT.
FISCAL MGMT.
PROBLEMS
POOR
PERFORMANCE OF
SOE’s.
INFRASTRUCTURE
BOTTLENECKS.
POLITICAL
PATRONAGE.
ECONOMY
CHINA IS CALLED AN
AWAKENED DRAGON
AND A LATE RISER.

LOW CAPITAL, STATE
OWNERSHIP AND CENT CONT
OVER PLG & FIN SYS.
ECONOMY
• FAILED TO ENTER THE ERA OF
  MODERN ECONOMIC GROWTH
  UNTIL 1949.

• INCREASED RAPIDLY AFTER
  1949.

• CHANGED OVER TO OPEN MKT
  SYS AFTER 1957.
ECONOMY
OPEN MKT SYS MIRACLE?


INCR IN AGRICULTURAL PROD.


PERIOD   OF   THE   “THE   GREAT
LEAP FORWARD”.
ECONOMY
• PVT   OWNERSHIP    BROUGHT
 UNDER STATE CONT.
• GROWTH RATE OF 9%.
• FOREIGN TRADE PROCEDURES
 EASED FROM 1957 ONWARDS.
ECONOMY
LIVING STDS IMPROVED.

REVIVAL OF EDN SYS.

ADOPTION OF FOREIGN TECH.

DISPERSAL OF      INDUSTRIAL
ENTERPRISES.
FOUR POINT MODERNISATION
           PROGRAMME
•   AGRICULTURE.

• INDUSTRY.


• SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY.

• ARMED FORCES.
CULTURAL CHANGES

•INCREASED INFLUENCE OF
RELIGION.
•VISIBLE IMPACT OF WESTERN
CULTURE.
•OPENNESS IN POPULATION.
•BREAK - UP OF FAMILY
BONDS & TENSION IN
CHINESE SOCIETY.
POLITICS & DEMOCRACY
• CPC’S ABILITY TO ENFORCE
  DECISION IS LIKELY TO DIMINISH.
• DEMOCRACY LIKELY TO GAIN
  MORE GRND.
• ONE COUNTRY TWO SYSTEM
  CONCEPT
ECONOMY
• SEC LARGEST ECONOMIC
  POWER IN NEXT 15 YRs.
• PURSUIT OF REFORMS &
  OPEN - MARKET POLICY.
• FLOODING OF WORLD
  MARKET WITH CHINESE
  GOODS.
•FULLY DEVP
CORPORATE SECT.
•DOUBLING OF GNP.
•SUSTAINED GROWTH
RATE OF 6 - 8 %.
ENERGY AND MINERAL
     RESOURCES

• PETROLEUM. TOP THREE
  NATIONS IN THE WORLD.
• MINERALS. LARGEST
  PRODUCER OF IRON
  ORE,URANIUM AND STEEL.
FOREIGN POLICY
• MODERATE FOREIGN POLICY.
• BY 2020 IN POSITION FOR GLOBAL
  POWER STATUS.
• USE DIPLOMACY PLUS MODERN,
  MIGHTY PLA TO STRENGTHEN
  CLAIM TO SOUTH CHINA SEA.
• DEVP OF SOUND ECONOMIC BASE.

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China perspective

  • 1.
  • 2. PART I: LOC AND EXAM OF GEO-POLITICS. PART II: SOCIAL AND CULTURAL RAMIFICATIONS. PART III: DYNAMICS OF POLITICAL STRUCTURE. PART IV: ECONOMIC POLICIES AND INDUSTRIAL POTENTIAL.
  • 3.
  • 4. LOC AND EXAM OF GEOSTRAT SIGNIFICANCE
  • 5. 9.6 MILLION SQ KMS 4900 KMS 3000 KMS
  • 6. BOUNDARIES & COASTLINE AFGANISTAN MOREKMS 2000COASTLINE 14,500 THAN OF KMS OF LAND 21,000 KMS OF IS DISPUTED FRONTIER LAND FRONTIER PS S G EF ND RE A D ISL AN 00 50
  • 7. RESOURCES • PETROLIUM  MINERAL RESOURCES  COAL • TWO MILLION BRLS PER  MORE THAN 140 TYPES  RES OF 44 MILLION TONS DAY  IRON RES OF 44 MILLION • 20 TRILLION BRLS AS RES TONS • 100 BILLION BRLS OF OFFSHORE RES
  • 8. TOPOGRAPHY AL RT TA SE TIEN SHAN I DE BI TARIM BASIN TURFAN DEPRESSION GO TAKLA MAKAN KUNLUN DENSELY 32% OF AREA IS MOUNTAINS YPOPULATED AND LOAM TIBET PLATEAU CANYONS HI M SOIL LOWLANDS ALA YAS PLATEAU AL IC T OP AS TR CO SE
  • 9. DRAINAGE AND RIVERS • GRND IS SLOPING WEST TO EAST • RIVERS • MORE THAN 26 LAKH MILLION CUBIC METERS OF WATER FLOW – YANGTSE – YELLOW – AMUR – TSANG PO  MOST RIVER ARE USED FOR TPT & COMN
  • 10. CLIMATE • GREAT VARIANCE FROM PLACE TO PLACE • REGIONAL SEASONS • WINTER WINDS FROM SIBERIA • SUMMER WINDS FROM SOUTH CHINA SEA • DESTRUCTIVE TYPHOONS
  • 11. COMMUNICATIONS • ROADS • MORE THAN ONE MILLION KMS OF RDS • RDS ARE UNSURFACED IN OUTER REGIONS • RLYS • 50,000 KMS OF RLY TR CONC IN EASTERN PART • ELECTRIFICATION IS UNDER PROGRESS
  • 12. COMMUNICATIONS  WATERWAYS • 1/3rd OF INTERNAL FRIEGHT IS BY WATERWAYS • GRAND CANAL FROM BEIJING TO HANGCHOW • MISC • GREAT MAJORITY STILL USE BYCYCLES
  • 13.
  • 14. SINO – RUSSIAN REGION FROM PAMIR KNOT TO VLADIVOSTOK ON THE PACIFIC COAST. IT INCL : SINGKIANG AREA. MONGOLIAN BORDER. MANCHURIA.
  • 15. •3000 KMs OF BORDER WITH RUSSIA. • FRONTIERS WITH INDIA, SINKIANG POK, AFGHANISTAN AND MONGOLIA •KHUNJERAB PASS - VITAL FOR MOV FROM SINGKIANG CHINA TO POK ALONG KARAKORAM HIGHWAY. •KASHGAR - AN IMP COMN CENTRE.
  • 16. MONGOLIA SHORTEST ROUTE FOR RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE. TRN - OPEN & PARTIALLY DESERT.
  • 17. MANCHURIA DIFFERENCES WITH RUSSIA ON THE ALIGNMENT OF BORDER. POTENTIAL FOR A BASE TO CUT OFF EASTERN SEA BD OF RUSSIA.
  • 18. SOCIAL social CULTURAL cultural RAMIFICATION
  • 19. ETHNIC DIVISIONS HAN CHINESE SOCIETY MULTI-ETHNIC OFFICIAL POLICY REPRESENTATION OF EVERY MINORITY NATIONALITY IN NATIONAL PEOPLE’S CONGRESS 5 NATIONAL AUTONOMOUS AND 75 AUTONOMOUS COUNTIES ETHNIC TENSION
  • 20. •RELIGION •ORGANISATION OF THE SOCIETY •WORK PLACE--STATE v/s COLLECTIVES
  • 21. URBAN-RURAL DISTINCTIONS L E G A L D I S T I N C T I O N
  • 22. CHINESE CULTURE •TORTUOUS DEVELOPMENT •LITERATURE • OPERA & THEATRE • MUSIC
  • 23. PRESENT DAY ATMOSPHERE •LOSS OF IDEALISM •EASY LIFESTYLE OF THE PEOPLE •THE FORBIDDEN CITY •THE LIVING STANDARDS
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 27. THE CENTRAL NATIONAL CONGRESS ORGANISATION OF PROVINCES AND AUTONOMOUS REGION BASIC LEVEL ORGANISATION
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. • ONE MAN RULE. • BUREAUCRATIC SYSTEM. • LEGITIMACY.
  • 31. OPENING CHINA TO WESTERN WORLD ALLOWING FOREIGN INVESTORS CHINESE NATIONALS INTO WESTERN WORLD POPULAR POLICIES CHANGE IN ECONOMIC POLICIES
  • 32.
  • 33. ECONOMIC P OLICIES AND INDUSTRIAL POTENTIAL
  • 34. GEN NATUTRE OF ECONOMY  AUTHORITARIAN SOCIALIST ECONOMY SINCE 1949.  INSTRUMENT OF PRODUCTION HAS BEEN STATE OWNED.  GOVT DETERMINED ECONOMIC GOALS AND CONT PROD PROCESS.  MOB OF RESOURCES TO INCR NATIONAL ECONOMIC OUTPUT.
  • 35. MODERNISATION OF ECONOMY  BASED ON MODERNISATION PROGRAM BT ZHOU ENLAI IN 1975.  STARTED UNDER HUA GUO-FENG AND DENG XIAOPING.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. AGRICULTURE PEASANTS ALLOCATED OWN PLOTS AFTER 1978. LED TO AN INCR IN AGRICULTURAL PROD. FIRST CLEAR SUCCESS.
  • 40. AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION 2000 $ 124.55 BILLION 1978 $ 12.34 BILLION
  • 41.
  • 42. INDUSTRY ALL ROUND GROWTH FROM 1980 ONWARDS. PROD INCR BY 600%. ELECTRICITY GEN INCR BY 300%. STEEL PROD ROSE BY 250%. COAL PROD UP BY 200%.
  • 43. S NCE AND TE NOL CIE CH OGY LOSS OF ONE GENERATION OF SCIENTISTS AND TECHNICIANS. PEOPLE EDUCATED FROM WEST ENCOURAGED TO TEACH IN UNIV. 5000 NEW INSTITUTES WERE OPENED BY GOVT AND WITH MIL SP.
  • 44. ECONOMY IN 1990’s GREATEST PERIOD OF CHINESE ECONOMY. STEP UP AGRI PROD , STRENGTHEN INDUSTRY AND ACCELERATE DEVP OF SCI & TECN AND EDN. FLY PLG, ENVIRON PROT & NARROW INCOME GAP.
  • 45. ECONOMY IN 1990’s ADOPTION OF “CONSTRUCTION OF SOCIALIST MKT ECONOMY”. SOE’s CORPORATISED AND MADE MORE COMPETITIVE. TWO THIRD SOE’s TURNED INTO JT STK COYS.
  • 46. ECONOMY IN 1990’s LESS PROFITABLE SOE’s MADE BANKRUPT. VIGOROUS PUSH OF COMPETITIVENESS.
  • 47. EXTERNAL CAPITAL INFLOW $ 19.3 BILLION 1993 $ 2.4 BILLION 1980
  • 48. PROBLEMS • IDEOLOGICAL CONTRADICTIONS. • REGIONAL IMBALANCES. • INFLATION.
  • 51. ECONOMY CHINA IS CALLED AN AWAKENED DRAGON AND A LATE RISER. LOW CAPITAL, STATE OWNERSHIP AND CENT CONT OVER PLG & FIN SYS.
  • 52. ECONOMY • FAILED TO ENTER THE ERA OF MODERN ECONOMIC GROWTH UNTIL 1949. • INCREASED RAPIDLY AFTER 1949. • CHANGED OVER TO OPEN MKT SYS AFTER 1957.
  • 53. ECONOMY OPEN MKT SYS MIRACLE? INCR IN AGRICULTURAL PROD. PERIOD OF THE “THE GREAT LEAP FORWARD”.
  • 54. ECONOMY • PVT OWNERSHIP BROUGHT UNDER STATE CONT. • GROWTH RATE OF 9%. • FOREIGN TRADE PROCEDURES EASED FROM 1957 ONWARDS.
  • 55. ECONOMY LIVING STDS IMPROVED. REVIVAL OF EDN SYS. ADOPTION OF FOREIGN TECH. DISPERSAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES.
  • 56. FOUR POINT MODERNISATION PROGRAMME • AGRICULTURE. • INDUSTRY. • SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY. • ARMED FORCES.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59. CULTURAL CHANGES •INCREASED INFLUENCE OF RELIGION. •VISIBLE IMPACT OF WESTERN CULTURE.
  • 60. •OPENNESS IN POPULATION. •BREAK - UP OF FAMILY BONDS & TENSION IN CHINESE SOCIETY.
  • 61. POLITICS & DEMOCRACY • CPC’S ABILITY TO ENFORCE DECISION IS LIKELY TO DIMINISH. • DEMOCRACY LIKELY TO GAIN MORE GRND. • ONE COUNTRY TWO SYSTEM CONCEPT
  • 62. ECONOMY • SEC LARGEST ECONOMIC POWER IN NEXT 15 YRs. • PURSUIT OF REFORMS & OPEN - MARKET POLICY. • FLOODING OF WORLD MARKET WITH CHINESE GOODS.
  • 63. •FULLY DEVP CORPORATE SECT. •DOUBLING OF GNP. •SUSTAINED GROWTH RATE OF 6 - 8 %.
  • 64. ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES • PETROLEUM. TOP THREE NATIONS IN THE WORLD. • MINERALS. LARGEST PRODUCER OF IRON ORE,URANIUM AND STEEL.
  • 65. FOREIGN POLICY • MODERATE FOREIGN POLICY. • BY 2020 IN POSITION FOR GLOBAL POWER STATUS. • USE DIPLOMACY PLUS MODERN, MIGHTY PLA TO STRENGTHEN CLAIM TO SOUTH CHINA SEA. • DEVP OF SOUND ECONOMIC BASE.