This document discusses several global mega trends that will transform the world by 2025. It identifies key trends such as urbanization, connectivity and convergence, changing retail models, social trends, and future mobility. Specific trends covered include the internet of things, big data, augmented and virtual reality, smart cities, and the rise of emerging economies. The document advocates analyzing how these macro trends will impact industries, products, technologies and developing strategies to capitalize on opportunities.

1. GIL 2014: MONACO The Global Community of Growth, Innovation and Leadership
#GILMonaco

2. Fast-Forward to 2025: New Mega Trends Transforming the World as We Know It Macro to Micro Opportunities on Future Business, Cultures and Personal Lives

3. 1.Introduction and Definition of Mega Trends
2.Key Insights into the Global Mega Trends
3.Conclusions
4.The Macro to Micro Approach
3
Agenda

4. What is a Mega Trend?
What is a Mega Trend?
Mega trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with their far reaching impact on business, societies, economies, cultures and personal lives.
Urbanization – City as a Customer
Smart is the New Green
Social Trends
Connectivity and Convergence
Bricks and Clicks
Innovating to Zero
New Business Models: Value for Many
Beyond BRIC: The Next Game Changers
Future Infrastructure Development
Health, Wellness and Well Being
Future of Mobility
4
Top Mega Trends Covered By The Visionary Innovation Research Division
Future of Energy

5. 5
Mega Trends Universe We Track*
*This list is not exhaustive

6. 6
News Headlines in 2025
Robots have entered our homes for personal use.
Sensory devices guide our everyday lives.
Mobile financial transactions are now in crypto-currencies.
Big data has entered the Zettabyte era.
3D printing is commonplace. 4D printing is gaining mainstream acceptance .
High Speed Rail to connect from China to Europe.
There are 6 million autonomous cars in Europe and North America.
Summer Sale: Low-cost holidays in space.

7. Connectivity & Convergence

8. Digital Currency: $11 billion worth of Bitcoins in circulation currently
Connected Living: $730 Billion Market Opportunity in 2020
Personal Robots: Robots priced between $1,566 and $4,699 could enter our personal lives
3D/4D Printing:
$7.3 Billion Market Opportunity by 2020
Augmented Reality/Virtual World: New Markets of Augmented Shopping and Virtual Commerce
Space Jam: 1,213 Total Number of satellites globally by 2021
4D Printing: Self- assembling objects could enter our lives by 2050
Nanobots: Swarms of Nanobots could enter manufacturing and energy by 2030
Sensorization of Devices: From Touchscreen to Brain-controlled devices
Wearable Devices: Over $11 billion market estimated for 2020
Big Data: 40% annual growth in big data to 2020
80 Billion Connected Devices in 2020 and $14.7Tr internet economy
Powered Exoskeletons : Self- assembling objects could enter our lives by 2050

9. 9
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Connected Home – 31%
Connected Work –15%
Connected City – 54%
•Home Automation
•Home Energy
•Home Health
•Home Entertainment
•Mobility - Mobile email, Unified Communication
•Mobile Working
•Enterprise Social Networking
•eGovernance
•eCitizens
•Personal and Freight Mobility
•E-learning
•Mobile banking
Sub Trend: Future Connected Living Ecosystem Connected life contains three important aspects of connected home, connected city, and connected work
Connected Living Total Market: $730 Billion in 2020

10. 10
QIVICON B2B Business Hub including partners from…
Health (E.g Tunstall)
Multimedia
(E.g Samsung)
Automation
(E.g Belkin)
Security (E.g Pax)
Energy EnBW, Solon
Appliances, electronics (A&E)
Miele, Samsung
QIVICON CONNECTED HOME PLATFORM for consumers aggregating service from all partners.
Consumer Homes
B2B
B2B2C
Case Study: Connected Home’s B2B Platform Of Deutsche Telekom

11. 11
Sub Trend: Sensorization of Things
Multi-Factor sensory-based trackers revolutionise the field of human interaction and personal identification
2000s
2014
2015
2020
2025+
2025+
2020
2015
2014
2000s
Eye
Facial
Voice
Touch
Gesture
Gaze controlled Games
Mobile Eye Scrolling phones
Eye Tracking Analytics in cars
Pay with Face
Face Scanners
Tactical Identification System
Voice
Search (Google)
Speech Recognition
Personal Digital Assistant
AMOLED Touch Screens
Holographic Touchscreen
3D Air gesture control of Mobile devices
Sensory Tracking Technology in Consumers Devices
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
3D modelling on computers
Brain
Mind Controlled Games
Mind Remotes for TV
Mind Controlled Cars
Gesture Gaming

12. Sub Trend: Big Data Analytics 90% of the data in the world has been created in the last two years alone
Source: IBM, Cisco, Frost & Sullivan Analysis
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Global Data Traffic in Zettabytes, 2010-2025
Global Big Data Market in $ billion, 2010-2025
2010
2020
2025
2015
3.56
87.85
122.6
47.37
2010
2020
2025
2015
1.2
34.1
100.2
7.6
Global Data Traffic to
Cross 100 Zettabytes annually by 2025
Global Big Data Market to generate a revenue of over $122 billion by 2025

13. Reality to Virtual World
Reality
Augmented Reality
Augmented Virtuality
Virtual World
Virtual Repair and Maintenance
Virtual Designing
13
Sub Trend : Augmented Reality and Virtual World

14. 14
Implication: Connectivity Is Pushing Convergence Connectivity will Accelerate Convergence of Industries, Products, Technologies and Competition
INDUSTRIES
PRODUCTS
Car
Unmanned Technology
Autonomous Cars
TECHNOLOGIES
Building Technologies
Smart Automation
Smart Home Hubs
Space Industry
Solar Industry
Space Based Solar Power
1
3
2
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
Image Source:: `Creative Commons and Dreamstime.

15. Bricks and Clicks
15

16. Future of Clicks in Retail Industry
Global Online Retail Sales To Reach $4.3 Trillion By 2025 Accounting for 19% of Total Retail
$11.8 Trillion
$23 Trillion
$18.7
Trillion
$11.25 Trillion
$4.3 Trillion
$0.55 Trillion
Online Sales
Non-Online Sales
5%
95%
19%
81%
16
2011
2025
United States
$1.32
Trillion
24%
18%
China
$1.30
Trillion
United Kingdom $0.21 Trillion
Germany $0.09 Trillion
Japan $0.17 Trillion
26%
15%
10%

17. UK Retail – Online Vs. Non Online Online Retail Sales to Account for nearly 1/3rd of Total Retail Sales by 2025
17
Source: Office for National Statistics, IMRG, and Frost & Sullivan Analysis
•Social commerce has an estimated $1 billion market value in the UK
•Mobile now accounts for 51% of the total retail time spent by consumers on digital modes
•9 of top ten retailers in the UK offer either click n collect / in-store pick up options to customers
•35% of sales on JohnLewis.com take click and collect service
£323.5 Billion
£460 Billion
£38.8
Billion
£284.7
Billion
12.5% online
87.5% Offline
£122 Billion
£338 Billion
27% online
73% Offline
2013
2020

18. 18
Fully Digital, Retail-Style Cyberstore
One-stop Experience
for Entire Model Range
Gamification, Augmented Reality Offers Tailor- made services
Specially Trained Dealer Personnel Interactivity
London Flagship Store
Highly personalized customer dialogue
Case Study: Audi City London - First Digital Car Showroom
Example of Future Digital Car Showrooms that will be “Unlimited”, Personalised, Socially Connected and Digitally Integrated

19. 19
Retail Strategy
Channel Strategy
Fulfillment Strategy
No direct retailing
Direct retailing in selected regions; target enthusiasts and DIY segments
Sell through dealer estores
Own web store; dealer estores; marketplace (ex. BMW Direct on eBay)
Primarily click ‘n’ collect from existing dealerships
Likely to explore both click ‘n’ collect and direct delivery
CLICK AND
POST CLICK AND FIT (dealership/mobile CLICK AND COLLECT
Case Study: BMW’s Parts eRetailing Strategy

20. 20
Urban Transhipment Areas
Urban Consolidation Centres
Urban Intermodal Hubs
Locker Boxes
Microdistribution
Mobile Depots / Freight Buses
Sub Trend: Future of Consolidation and Last Mile Delivery
More Bundling, Intermodality and Microdistribution in Urban Areas
Types of Urban Distribution
Types of Urban Last-mile Deliveries
One Hour Deliveries
Click ‘n’ Collect

21. Smart is the New Green

22. 22

23. 20.93
14.11
16.65
13.75
9.09
15.26
10.21
Smart Infrastructure3 CAGR: 8.9% (2012-2020)
Smart cities To Create Huge Business Opportunities With A Market Value Of $1.5 Trillion By 2020
1
2
4
5
6
Smart Governance and Smart Education2
CAGR: 12.4% (2012-2020)
Smart Energy
CAGR: 19.6% (2012-2020)
Smart Transportation
CAGR: 14.8% (2012-2020)
Smart Healthcare
CAGR: 6.9% (2012-2020)
Smart Building CAGR: 8.8% (2012-2020)
7
Smart City Market by Segments,1 Global, 2020
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Note: The graph represent the market share of each segment in the smart city market. For more information on smart city market sectors please refer to appendix
Smart City Market
2Smart Education includes eLearning services for schools, universities, enterprises, and government entities
1These numbers represent the entire smart solutions eco-system in each segment for both urban and non-urban panoramas
Smart Security
CAGR: 14% (2012-2020)
3
3Other Smart Infrastructure such as sensor networks, digital management of water utilities not included in other segments
23

24. There Are Four Different Roles Smart Cities Players Can Take
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Pure-Play Product Vendors
Managed Service Providers
Network Service Providers
Integrators
Smart city integrators are project integrators that bring together various sectors of the smart city through pre-packaged platforms thereby providing a unified , holistic and end-to-end integration of multiple sectors
Example: IBM, Accenture
Smart city network providers offer collaborative networks, data analytics and enterprise working solutions that connect people, assets, systems and products by leveraging on their networking and M2M capabilities.
Example: Cisco, Verizon, Ericsson, AT&T
1
2
3
4
Smart city product vendors provide “hard assets” like smart meters and distribution devices (e.g., automated switches, controllers for capacitor banks and voltage regulators) that operate as the main nodes of connectivity.
Example: Eaton, Honeywell, ABB, Schneider Electric, Siemens
Smart city managed service providers offer round-the-clock monitoring, complete management, compliance monitoring, and on-site consulting. These services are provided either in-house, co-managed, or are completely outsourced (third party providers) Example: IBM, Serco, SAIC, Infosys

25. 25
Smart Cities Business Models
Majority of smart city projects are developed under Build Operate Manage (BOM) business model
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Build Operate Manage
Build Operate Transfer
Build Own Operate
Open Business Model

26. Social Trends

27. 27

28. Heterogeneous
Society
Divide by Income
Sub Trend: Heterogeneous Society The global population is getting more diverse with US and Canada being the most heterogeneous societies
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Divide by Age
Divide by Gender
Divide by Ethnicity

29. 29
Heterogeneous Society Case Study : New Generation’s Boomerang Effect
The son is back

30. Women Empowerment Demographic shifts are driving the empowerment of women
Female junior exec pay in the UK is rising faster than male counterparts’
Earnings
There are 117 female directors of FTSE 100 companies
By 2020 over half of millionaires in the UK will be female
Wealth
Entrepreneurship
The number of women- owned businesses increased by 59% in the US since 2000
Leadership
1
Education
Women are getting the majority of higher education awards
Power
In Nordic countries women could soon have equal political power
2
3
4
5
6

31. Women Dominate Social Media Women are the routers and amplifiers of the social web
127m active users
50% Female
90m active visitors
82% Female
So What?
Women are said to control between 80% and 90% of key spending categories worldwide
Women are said to be more likely than men to interact with and about brands online
Women in the UK are said to control online purchasing (60%) and mobile purchasing (one in six women compared to one in nine men)
845m active users 57% Female
150m active users
68% Female

32. Future Of Mobility
32
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33. Future of Mobility
Micro-mobility
Integrated mobility
Global car sharing
Parking management
Zero emission taxis
New business models
Connected cars
Telematics based insurance
Autonomous Cars
Demand Response Management

34. Economic Trends

35. Sub Trend : The Next Game Changers in 2025 High GDP growth, improved FDIs, and rapid industrialization to give rise to a new lot of emerging countries, beyond BRIC nations, that contend to become next decade’s economic leaders
$2,327 Billion
$1,041 Billion
$2,441 Billion
$653 Billion
$772 Billion
$323 Billion
$483 Billion
Mexico
Egypt
Turkey
Poland
Indonesia
Thailand
Vietnam
Philippines
Next Game Changers
Note : The figure denotes GDP at market prices. Forecasts to 2025 have been extrapolated based on Nominal GDP growth rate projections
Source: International Monetary Fund. Oxford Economics, Frost & Sullivan,
$3,071 Billion
$730 Billion
Nigeria
The trillion dollar economies
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36. Sub Trend : Future of Resources – Redrawing the Resource Map Discovery of new technologies and energy sources has altered the global energy landscape making key resources such as water, food, and minerals more easily accessible
Signs of Shortage
Technologies/ New Discoveries
Future Availability of Resource
+30% demand by 2030 (IFPRI)
•Smart water
•Wastewater treatment
•Water desalination
Water desalination could cover close to 5% of the estimated gap in supply of freshwater
+40% demand by 2030 (IEA)
•Smart grid
•Energy Harvesting
•Shale Gas
Shale gas to contribute 46% of the total US gas supply in 2035
+50% demand by 2030 (FAO)
•Genetically modified food (Golden rice)
•Synthetic meat
•Smart farming
Golden rice could deliver 15-20% of the daily nutrition requirements by 2030
Water
Energy
Food
Source: FAO, IEA, IFPRI, WHO, and Frost & Sullivan Analysis
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37. Conclusion

38. Macro
Micro
From Macro to Micro: Taking Mega Trends from Information to Strategy Implementation
Mega Trend
Selected trends that impact your business and markets
Sub Trend A sub-layer of trends that has a wide ranging impact
Impact to Your Industry Visualising the roadmap of these critical forces through scenario- building and macro economic forecasts
Impact on Future Product/ Technology
Analysis of Opportunities and Unmet Needs
To
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