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Improved Efficiency
& Reliability for
Servers using
Immersion Cooling
Chet Haibel
©2011 ASQ & Presentation Haibel
Presented live on Apr 12th, 2011
http://reliabilitycalendar.org/webina
rs/english/
ASQ Reliability Division
English Webinar Series
One of the monthly webinars
on topics of interest to
reliability engineers.
To view recorded webinar (available to ASQ Reliability
Division members only) visit asq.org/reliability
To sign up for the free, and available to anyone,
live webinars visit reliabilitycalendar.org/webinars
http://reliabilitycalendar.org/webina
rs/english/
Medical Device
Reliability Program
Originally Presented April 12, 2011
Revised September 14, 2013
Chet Haibel
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 4
Agenda
• Some of the many process-controlling documents
• Simplest process per the QSRs, MDD, ISO 13485
• Gathering all the Requirements and Specifications
• Making Risk Management (ISO 14971) painless
• Using Risk Management to highlight issues
• The shortest path is to add a step to the process
• Overstress testing substitutes for quantity and time
• Good Reliability Procedures
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Some Controlling Documents
FDA’s QSRs: Title 21 CFR Part 820, esp. 820.30
European Union’s MDD 93/42/EEC
ISO 13485:2008 Medical Devices – Quality Management
Systems – Requirements for Regulatory Purposes
ISO 14971:2007 Medical Devices – Application of Risk
Management to Medical Devices
IEC 62304:2006 Medical Device Software – Software
Life Cycle processes
IEC 62366:2007 Medical Devices – Application of
Usability Engineering to Medical Devices
These don’t tell you how to make your product reliable!
5
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Simplest Medical Device Program
6
Validate: Designed the right product
Verify: Designed the product right
Product
Development /
Innovation
Design
Verification
Design
Inputs
Design
Outputs
User
Needs
Prototypes
Design
Transfer
Production
Initial Units
Design
Validation
Production
Units
Design and Development
Planning
Design
History File
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Focus on Gathering Design Inputs
7
Last minute changes really hurt reliability, cost, and
schedule, so do an exceptional job of gathering all the
inputs at the very start of the development project
There are actually a lot of “customers” of
New Product Development to keep happy
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Seven Sources of Critical Information
8
Specification
Development
System
Requirements
User
Human
Factors
External
Standards
Service
Internal
Standards
Safety
Functional
Requirements
Usability
Requirements
Risk Control
Requirements
Consistency
Requirements
Maintainability
Requirements
System
Requirements
Specification
Marketing
Competitive
Requirements
Regulatory
Requirements
Requirements need
to be developed into
specifications
Complete specifications
are verifiable, including
fraction conforming at
statistical confidence
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Setting Specifications
Stress, Time, or Cycles
Customer
Application
Low Specification
(perhaps 1σ)
Product
Performance
Stress, Time, or Cycles
Test must show that
large fraction of
product meets
specification
To demonstrate that a large fraction of the product meets
specification requires large sample size, long test time, or
large number of cycles
Low Specification
(perhaps 1σ)
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Setting Specifications
High Specification
(perhaps 3σ)
Test must only
show that product
typically meets
specification
High Specification
(perhaps 3σ)
Stress, Time, or CyclesStress, Time, or Cycles
To demonstrate that a specification is typically met
requires small sample size (three?), short test time,
or small number of cycles
Customer
Application
Product
Performance
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Setting Specifications
Tough Specifications mean Faster, Cheaper, Better Testing!
Better because testing to tougher specifications produces
failures,
and failures are good!
Failures show how much Design Margin exists
Failures produce numbers (Variable data) which are much
better than pass / fail (Attribute data)
Failures can be analyzed,
which leads to root cause understanding,
which gives opportunities for improvement
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
ISO 14971 (Risk Management) Requires
Risk Management Plan, which has six requirements:
the scope of the planned risk management activities,
identifying and describing the medical device and the life-cycle
phases for which each element of the plan is applicable;
assignment of responsibilities and authorities;
requirements for review of risk management activities;
criteria for risk acceptability, based on the manufacturer’s
policy for determining acceptable risk, including criteria for
accepting risks when the probability of occurrence of harm
cannot be estimated;
verification activities; and
activities related to collection and review of relevant production
and post-production information.
12
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
ISO 14971 Requires (continued 1)
Risk Analysis (typically FTA or FMEA)
Identification of the device and accessories
Identification of the persons / organization who did the analysis
Date of analysis
Intended use / intended purpose of the medical device
Identification of reasonably foreseeable misuse
Identification of qualitative and quantitative characteristics
that could affect safety
Identification of known or foreseeable hazards
Estimation of the risks for each hazard
(combination of Probability and Severity of each Harm)
13
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
ISO 14971 Requires (continued 2)
14
Risk Evaluation per criteria in Risk Management Plan
Probability of Harm
Annual Probability per Device Negligible Marginal Critical Catastrophic
Frequent
Probable
Occasional
Remote
Improbable
Incredible
Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Tolerable
1 in 1,000,000
Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable
Severity of Harm
Intolerable Intolerable Intolerable Intolerable
1 in 100
Tolerable Intolerable Intolerable Intolerable
1 in 1,000
Acceptable Tolerable Intolerable Intolerable
1 in 10,000
Acceptable Acceptable Tolerable Intolerable
1 in 100,000
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
ISO 14971 Requires (continued 3)
15
Risk Control
Risk reduction using “option analysis,” an integrated approach
of prioritizing risk control measures among three broad
categories: inherent safety by design, protective measures,
and information for safety
Verification of implementation of risk control measures
Verification of effectiveness of risk control measures
Identification whether new hazards have been introduced by
risk control measures
Assurance that all identified hazards have been evaluated
Evaluation of overall residual risk acceptability
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
ISO 14971 Requires (continued 4)
16
Risk Management Report, summarizes a review of the risk
management process:
Reviewed by persons with appropriate authority;
Ensures the Risk Management Plan has been appropriately
implemented;
Ensures that the overall residual risk is acceptable;
Ensures that appropriate methods are in place to obtain relevant
production and post-production information.
Risk Management File, containing all risk management
documents; which is reviewed whenever conditions change
and is kept current as new information becomes available.
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Painless Risk Management
As soon as the product concept exists, identify the hazards,
their worst outcomes, and do Fault Tree Analysis (FTA)
with each of these outcomes as Top Event of a Fault Tree
17
Wrong
Infusion
Rate
Motor Failure
Example: IV Pump
How can we “architect” the
product so these single
failures do not lead to this
Top Event?
RAM Failure
Operator Error
18
Wrong
Infusion
Rate
Operator Error
RAM Failure
Motor Failure
Dose Rate Calculator requires
another offsetting input error
Another independent failure in
complementary (shadow) RAM
Precise interfering quadrature
signals like the shaft encoder’s
Painless Risk Management (continued 1)
Fault Tree
Synthesis
During Product
Architecture
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Identify all hazards at the initial concept phase and “architect”
the product to eliminate all single failures that lead to high
Severity Harm (I call this Fault Tree Synthesis)
19
Single
Failures
No Single Failure Results
in the Wrong Infusion Rate!
Initial Fault Tree
Painless Risk Management (continued 2)
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Painless Risk Management (continued 3)
As soon as the steps in using the product can be listed,
generate an Application FMEA that deals with user
misunderstandings, omissions, commissions, and any user
interface issues including potential misuse and abuse
The aFMEA assumes the product will be designed and
manufactured correctly and deals with the whole system
As soon as key components & parts have been conceived,
generate a Design FMEA which considers what happens if
the part fails to do all its functions correctly
The dFMEA assumes the product will be manufactured
correctly but considers misuse and abuse from aFMEA
20
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Painless Risk Management (continued 4)
21
As soon as the earliest sketch of the production flow can be
made, generate the Process FMEA which examines the
effects of errors, commissions, and omissions at each step
in the manufacturing process
The pFMEA assumes the product will be designed cor-
rectly but considers misuse and abuse from the aFMEA
As soon as the field replaceable units (FRUs) can be identi-
fied, list the steps in diagnosing, removing and replacing
FRU, and verifying the repair; generate the Service FMEA
considering errors, commissions, and omissions in repair
The srFMEA assumes the product will be designed and
manufactured correctly but considers misuse and abuse
from the aFMEA
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Feasibility Design V and V Production
Hazard Identification and
Fault Tree Synthesis
Application FMEA
Design FMEA
Review and Updates to
Risk Management File
Complaints
Risk Management
Plan
Verify RCMs are
Implemented and
Effective
Process FMEA
Post-Production
Risk Management
Report
ServiceYields
Regulatory
Submittals
Product
Architecture
Painless Risk Management (continued 5)
22
Risk Control Measures
Fault Tree Synthesis guides product architecture
FMEAs guide design of product and manufacturing process
Risk Control Measures are developed into specifications
Design Verification achieves required verification of RCMs
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Why This Emphasis on Risk Management?
The harm outcomes with high severity indicate where
verification must be done with larger reliability (fraction
conforming) at good statistical confidence Example:
Also, harm outcomes which require low probability of
occurrence are where reliability effort must be focused
Think it through carefully, record it in the Risk
Management documents, then let them guide
product / process design and reliability effort
23
Severity of Potential Harm Negligible Marginal Critical Catastrophic
Reliability (Fraction Conforming) 0.80 0.90 0.95 0.99
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Simplest Medical Device Program
24
Validate: Designed the right product
Verify: Designed the product right
Product
Development /
Innovation
Design
Verification
Design
Inputs
Design
Outputs
User
Needs
Prototypes
Design
Transfer
Production
Initial Units
Design
Validation
Production
Units
Where best should Reliability testing fit in?
Where best to integrate Reliability?
The regulations lead one to think the shortest path is to submit
prototypes directly to Verification Testing to qualify the design
Trying to find reliability issues during Verification is ineffective
because:
Large sample sizes are too expensive unless tooling is done
Changes after tooling are expensive and schedule-destructive
Customer
conditions
are too mild
Sample Size
is too small
Can’t see issues
that will be caused
by long-term
manufacturing
variation
25Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Long-term Process Dynamics
Guideline: over time, a process tends to shift by 1.5
LSL USL
Shift
Happens
Short-Term
Capability
Cpk
Long-Term
Performance
Ppk
26Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Marginal Component’s Strength and Load
Torque, Voltage, Current, etc.
One can build quite a
few prototypes before
encountering the tails
of the strength
distribution
Customer
Conditions
But when many units are built and used by many different customers,
a number of components will fail under normal customer conditions
Long-term
Performance
Most of the components
have been applied with
excellent design margin
and can take much more
than worst case customer
conditions
Design
Margin
Long-term
PerformanceCustomer
Conditions
27Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Trying to find reliability issues
during Verification is ineffective
WRONG !! RIGHT !! Insert Rapid Discovery Step
28
Where best to integrate Reliability?
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Drive this overlap
area up
Increase the load until the
first few components fail
These are components with marginal applications:
design weaknesses
This will necessitate going beyond customer conditions
29
Rapid Issue Discovery
Wide-Ranging
and Increasing
Load
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Rapid Issue Discovery
We are substituting overstress testing for
sample size and time
Big Issue: Are failures found relevant or foolish?
WRONG METHOD !! Judging by the stress level
which caused the failure to occur
RIGHT METHOD !! Perform Failure Analysis to
gain Root Cause Understanding, then decide
whether customers will see the failure mode
30
Discovery versus Verification
Do this first, fast, and often
Fly Through Verification
Result: Shorter Schedule and Product that Doesn’t Fail
31
Signed-Off
Protocol with
Criteria for Succes
Test to
Requirements
Represen-
tative
Samples
Goal
is to
Pass
Statistically
Significant
Quantity
Formal Report
Demonstrating
Criteria for
Success Are Met
Test Beyond
Requirements
Earliest
Prototypes
Force
Failures
Minimum
Quantity
Short Report:
What was Done,
Failures to be
Analyzed
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 32
Operating Time (t)
HazardRate-h(t)
Useful-Life
Failures
Early-Life
Failures
Wear-
Out
Failures
Life to the Beginning of Wear-Out
Random-in-Time Failures
Find by Cycle Testing
Solution in Product Design
or Preventive Maintenance
Find by HALT
Solution in Designing
Product with Margin
Find by HASS
Solution in Mfg. Processes or
Shipping, Handling, Storage
Summary of Failure Types, How Found, and How Solved
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 33
Accelerated (Wear-Out) Test
If possible, set up a repetitive “cycle test” which removes the
“dead time” between cycles. But brainstorm what artifact the
test may be adding and / or what the test may be concealing
Test until a minimum of five failures are produced [Haibel’s rule]
Use Weibull Analysis to fit a distribution to the failure data
If life is not sufficient, determine the reservoir of material and
the process consuming the reservoir. Increase the reservoir
of material and / or slow down the process consuming it
If necessary, replace the reservoir of material periodically
with a scheduled preventive maintenance program
Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 34
Deductive Accelerated (Wear-Out) Test
• Run three unequally sized groups of components (1, 2, 4
quantity ratio) at three levels of stress acceleration
– Smallest quantity run at 10% below the “foolish” level
– Middle quantity 20% below the “foolish” level
• Analyze failures: using Physics of Failure and Weibull
Analysis, estimate the life vs. stress relationship and
whether the component is on track to qualifying
• Based on Project Time resources, establish the lowest
stress level for the largest quantity group
– As close to customer conditions as time permits
– Conservative enough to finish within allotted time
• Project life at customer conditions from all three groups
What Are Your Questions?
Chet@HaibelConsulting.com

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Medical device reliability program

  • 1. Improved Efficiency & Reliability for Servers using Immersion Cooling Chet Haibel ©2011 ASQ & Presentation Haibel Presented live on Apr 12th, 2011 http://reliabilitycalendar.org/webina rs/english/
  • 2. ASQ Reliability Division English Webinar Series One of the monthly webinars on topics of interest to reliability engineers. To view recorded webinar (available to ASQ Reliability Division members only) visit asq.org/reliability To sign up for the free, and available to anyone, live webinars visit reliabilitycalendar.org/webinars http://reliabilitycalendar.org/webina rs/english/
  • 3. Medical Device Reliability Program Originally Presented April 12, 2011 Revised September 14, 2013 Chet Haibel
  • 4. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 4 Agenda • Some of the many process-controlling documents • Simplest process per the QSRs, MDD, ISO 13485 • Gathering all the Requirements and Specifications • Making Risk Management (ISO 14971) painless • Using Risk Management to highlight issues • The shortest path is to add a step to the process • Overstress testing substitutes for quantity and time • Good Reliability Procedures
  • 5. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Some Controlling Documents FDA’s QSRs: Title 21 CFR Part 820, esp. 820.30 European Union’s MDD 93/42/EEC ISO 13485:2008 Medical Devices – Quality Management Systems – Requirements for Regulatory Purposes ISO 14971:2007 Medical Devices – Application of Risk Management to Medical Devices IEC 62304:2006 Medical Device Software – Software Life Cycle processes IEC 62366:2007 Medical Devices – Application of Usability Engineering to Medical Devices These don’t tell you how to make your product reliable! 5
  • 6. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Simplest Medical Device Program 6 Validate: Designed the right product Verify: Designed the product right Product Development / Innovation Design Verification Design Inputs Design Outputs User Needs Prototypes Design Transfer Production Initial Units Design Validation Production Units Design and Development Planning Design History File
  • 7. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Focus on Gathering Design Inputs 7 Last minute changes really hurt reliability, cost, and schedule, so do an exceptional job of gathering all the inputs at the very start of the development project There are actually a lot of “customers” of New Product Development to keep happy
  • 8. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Seven Sources of Critical Information 8 Specification Development System Requirements User Human Factors External Standards Service Internal Standards Safety Functional Requirements Usability Requirements Risk Control Requirements Consistency Requirements Maintainability Requirements System Requirements Specification Marketing Competitive Requirements Regulatory Requirements Requirements need to be developed into specifications Complete specifications are verifiable, including fraction conforming at statistical confidence
  • 9. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Setting Specifications Stress, Time, or Cycles Customer Application Low Specification (perhaps 1σ) Product Performance Stress, Time, or Cycles Test must show that large fraction of product meets specification To demonstrate that a large fraction of the product meets specification requires large sample size, long test time, or large number of cycles Low Specification (perhaps 1σ)
  • 10. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Setting Specifications High Specification (perhaps 3σ) Test must only show that product typically meets specification High Specification (perhaps 3σ) Stress, Time, or CyclesStress, Time, or Cycles To demonstrate that a specification is typically met requires small sample size (three?), short test time, or small number of cycles Customer Application Product Performance
  • 11. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Setting Specifications Tough Specifications mean Faster, Cheaper, Better Testing! Better because testing to tougher specifications produces failures, and failures are good! Failures show how much Design Margin exists Failures produce numbers (Variable data) which are much better than pass / fail (Attribute data) Failures can be analyzed, which leads to root cause understanding, which gives opportunities for improvement
  • 12. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC ISO 14971 (Risk Management) Requires Risk Management Plan, which has six requirements: the scope of the planned risk management activities, identifying and describing the medical device and the life-cycle phases for which each element of the plan is applicable; assignment of responsibilities and authorities; requirements for review of risk management activities; criteria for risk acceptability, based on the manufacturer’s policy for determining acceptable risk, including criteria for accepting risks when the probability of occurrence of harm cannot be estimated; verification activities; and activities related to collection and review of relevant production and post-production information. 12
  • 13. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC ISO 14971 Requires (continued 1) Risk Analysis (typically FTA or FMEA) Identification of the device and accessories Identification of the persons / organization who did the analysis Date of analysis Intended use / intended purpose of the medical device Identification of reasonably foreseeable misuse Identification of qualitative and quantitative characteristics that could affect safety Identification of known or foreseeable hazards Estimation of the risks for each hazard (combination of Probability and Severity of each Harm) 13
  • 14. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC ISO 14971 Requires (continued 2) 14 Risk Evaluation per criteria in Risk Management Plan Probability of Harm Annual Probability per Device Negligible Marginal Critical Catastrophic Frequent Probable Occasional Remote Improbable Incredible Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Tolerable 1 in 1,000,000 Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Acceptable Severity of Harm Intolerable Intolerable Intolerable Intolerable 1 in 100 Tolerable Intolerable Intolerable Intolerable 1 in 1,000 Acceptable Tolerable Intolerable Intolerable 1 in 10,000 Acceptable Acceptable Tolerable Intolerable 1 in 100,000
  • 15. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC ISO 14971 Requires (continued 3) 15 Risk Control Risk reduction using “option analysis,” an integrated approach of prioritizing risk control measures among three broad categories: inherent safety by design, protective measures, and information for safety Verification of implementation of risk control measures Verification of effectiveness of risk control measures Identification whether new hazards have been introduced by risk control measures Assurance that all identified hazards have been evaluated Evaluation of overall residual risk acceptability
  • 16. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC ISO 14971 Requires (continued 4) 16 Risk Management Report, summarizes a review of the risk management process: Reviewed by persons with appropriate authority; Ensures the Risk Management Plan has been appropriately implemented; Ensures that the overall residual risk is acceptable; Ensures that appropriate methods are in place to obtain relevant production and post-production information. Risk Management File, containing all risk management documents; which is reviewed whenever conditions change and is kept current as new information becomes available.
  • 17. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Painless Risk Management As soon as the product concept exists, identify the hazards, their worst outcomes, and do Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) with each of these outcomes as Top Event of a Fault Tree 17 Wrong Infusion Rate Motor Failure Example: IV Pump How can we “architect” the product so these single failures do not lead to this Top Event? RAM Failure Operator Error
  • 18. 18 Wrong Infusion Rate Operator Error RAM Failure Motor Failure Dose Rate Calculator requires another offsetting input error Another independent failure in complementary (shadow) RAM Precise interfering quadrature signals like the shaft encoder’s Painless Risk Management (continued 1) Fault Tree Synthesis During Product Architecture Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
  • 19. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Identify all hazards at the initial concept phase and “architect” the product to eliminate all single failures that lead to high Severity Harm (I call this Fault Tree Synthesis) 19 Single Failures No Single Failure Results in the Wrong Infusion Rate! Initial Fault Tree Painless Risk Management (continued 2)
  • 20. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Painless Risk Management (continued 3) As soon as the steps in using the product can be listed, generate an Application FMEA that deals with user misunderstandings, omissions, commissions, and any user interface issues including potential misuse and abuse The aFMEA assumes the product will be designed and manufactured correctly and deals with the whole system As soon as key components & parts have been conceived, generate a Design FMEA which considers what happens if the part fails to do all its functions correctly The dFMEA assumes the product will be manufactured correctly but considers misuse and abuse from aFMEA 20
  • 21. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Painless Risk Management (continued 4) 21 As soon as the earliest sketch of the production flow can be made, generate the Process FMEA which examines the effects of errors, commissions, and omissions at each step in the manufacturing process The pFMEA assumes the product will be designed cor- rectly but considers misuse and abuse from the aFMEA As soon as the field replaceable units (FRUs) can be identi- fied, list the steps in diagnosing, removing and replacing FRU, and verifying the repair; generate the Service FMEA considering errors, commissions, and omissions in repair The srFMEA assumes the product will be designed and manufactured correctly but considers misuse and abuse from the aFMEA
  • 22. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Feasibility Design V and V Production Hazard Identification and Fault Tree Synthesis Application FMEA Design FMEA Review and Updates to Risk Management File Complaints Risk Management Plan Verify RCMs are Implemented and Effective Process FMEA Post-Production Risk Management Report ServiceYields Regulatory Submittals Product Architecture Painless Risk Management (continued 5) 22 Risk Control Measures Fault Tree Synthesis guides product architecture FMEAs guide design of product and manufacturing process Risk Control Measures are developed into specifications Design Verification achieves required verification of RCMs
  • 23. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Why This Emphasis on Risk Management? The harm outcomes with high severity indicate where verification must be done with larger reliability (fraction conforming) at good statistical confidence Example: Also, harm outcomes which require low probability of occurrence are where reliability effort must be focused Think it through carefully, record it in the Risk Management documents, then let them guide product / process design and reliability effort 23 Severity of Potential Harm Negligible Marginal Critical Catastrophic Reliability (Fraction Conforming) 0.80 0.90 0.95 0.99
  • 24. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Simplest Medical Device Program 24 Validate: Designed the right product Verify: Designed the product right Product Development / Innovation Design Verification Design Inputs Design Outputs User Needs Prototypes Design Transfer Production Initial Units Design Validation Production Units Where best should Reliability testing fit in?
  • 25. Where best to integrate Reliability? The regulations lead one to think the shortest path is to submit prototypes directly to Verification Testing to qualify the design Trying to find reliability issues during Verification is ineffective because: Large sample sizes are too expensive unless tooling is done Changes after tooling are expensive and schedule-destructive Customer conditions are too mild Sample Size is too small Can’t see issues that will be caused by long-term manufacturing variation 25Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
  • 26. Long-term Process Dynamics Guideline: over time, a process tends to shift by 1.5 LSL USL Shift Happens Short-Term Capability Cpk Long-Term Performance Ppk 26Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
  • 27. Marginal Component’s Strength and Load Torque, Voltage, Current, etc. One can build quite a few prototypes before encountering the tails of the strength distribution Customer Conditions But when many units are built and used by many different customers, a number of components will fail under normal customer conditions Long-term Performance Most of the components have been applied with excellent design margin and can take much more than worst case customer conditions Design Margin Long-term PerformanceCustomer Conditions 27Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
  • 28. Trying to find reliability issues during Verification is ineffective WRONG !! RIGHT !! Insert Rapid Discovery Step 28 Where best to integrate Reliability? Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
  • 29. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Drive this overlap area up Increase the load until the first few components fail These are components with marginal applications: design weaknesses This will necessitate going beyond customer conditions 29 Rapid Issue Discovery Wide-Ranging and Increasing Load Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
  • 30. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC Rapid Issue Discovery We are substituting overstress testing for sample size and time Big Issue: Are failures found relevant or foolish? WRONG METHOD !! Judging by the stress level which caused the failure to occur RIGHT METHOD !! Perform Failure Analysis to gain Root Cause Understanding, then decide whether customers will see the failure mode 30
  • 31. Discovery versus Verification Do this first, fast, and often Fly Through Verification Result: Shorter Schedule and Product that Doesn’t Fail 31 Signed-Off Protocol with Criteria for Succes Test to Requirements Represen- tative Samples Goal is to Pass Statistically Significant Quantity Formal Report Demonstrating Criteria for Success Are Met Test Beyond Requirements Earliest Prototypes Force Failures Minimum Quantity Short Report: What was Done, Failures to be Analyzed Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC
  • 32. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 32 Operating Time (t) HazardRate-h(t) Useful-Life Failures Early-Life Failures Wear- Out Failures Life to the Beginning of Wear-Out Random-in-Time Failures Find by Cycle Testing Solution in Product Design or Preventive Maintenance Find by HALT Solution in Designing Product with Margin Find by HASS Solution in Mfg. Processes or Shipping, Handling, Storage Summary of Failure Types, How Found, and How Solved
  • 33. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 33 Accelerated (Wear-Out) Test If possible, set up a repetitive “cycle test” which removes the “dead time” between cycles. But brainstorm what artifact the test may be adding and / or what the test may be concealing Test until a minimum of five failures are produced [Haibel’s rule] Use Weibull Analysis to fit a distribution to the failure data If life is not sufficient, determine the reservoir of material and the process consuming the reservoir. Increase the reservoir of material and / or slow down the process consuming it If necessary, replace the reservoir of material periodically with a scheduled preventive maintenance program
  • 34. Chet Haibel ©2013 Haibel Consulting LLC 34 Deductive Accelerated (Wear-Out) Test • Run three unequally sized groups of components (1, 2, 4 quantity ratio) at three levels of stress acceleration – Smallest quantity run at 10% below the “foolish” level – Middle quantity 20% below the “foolish” level • Analyze failures: using Physics of Failure and Weibull Analysis, estimate the life vs. stress relationship and whether the component is on track to qualifying • Based on Project Time resources, establish the lowest stress level for the largest quantity group – As close to customer conditions as time permits – Conservative enough to finish within allotted time • Project life at customer conditions from all three groups
  • 35. What Are Your Questions? Chet@HaibelConsulting.com