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Principal	
  Advisor	
  Chief	
  Advisor	
  to	
  
Globalisation	
  
  Process	
  Integration.	
  
  Bilateral	
  trade.	
  
  Diminishing	
  world,	
  
singular	
  demands.	
  
  Right-­‐Cost	
  Country	
  
optimisation.	
  
  Business	
  friendly	
  
Global	
  Banking.	
  
  Borderless	
  consumer.	
  
Growth	
  in	
  
initial	
  areas	
  
extends	
  parity.	
  
Parity	
  feeds	
  demand;	
  
new	
  consumption.	
  
Demand	
  
outpaces	
  
development.	
  
Lack	
  of	
  development	
  
creates	
  bottlenecks.	
  
Bottlenecks	
  
raise	
  costs.	
  
High	
  costs	
  restricts;	
  
feeds	
  aspirations.	
  
Aspirations	
  
provide	
  further	
  
scope.	
  
Enduring	
  Scope	
  is	
  Unending	
  Opportunity.	
  
Enduring	
  Scope	
  is	
  Unending	
  Opportunity.	
  
Chain	
  of	
  business	
  
  Chain	
  of	
  transactions.	
  
  Chain	
  of	
  information.	
  
  Chain	
  of	
  	
  operations.	
  
  Chain	
  of	
  processes.	
  
  Chain	
  of	
  policies.	
  
  Chain	
  of	
  people.	
  
  Value	
  chain.	
  
	
  
Demographics,	
  National	
  Priorities,	
  
Sustainability,	
  Technology,	
  
Information,	
  Affiliation.	
  
Uneven,	
  non-­‐holistic	
  development	
  of	
  
resources!	
  
Cold-­‐chain	
  requires	
  integration	
  across	
  
total	
  activity	
  chain!	
  
Changing	
  priorities,	
  impatient	
  populace	
  –	
  
short	
  cuts!	
  
Fear	
  of	
  missing	
  the	
  bus	
  –	
  short	
  term	
  
strategy	
  for	
  long	
  term	
  solutions!	
  	
  
" Integrated	
  infrastructure	
  development.	
  
" Reverse	
  haulage	
  –	
  capacity	
  utilisation.	
  
" Market	
  capture	
  –	
  barriers	
  and	
  tariffs.	
  
" Training	
  and	
  Skilled	
  deployment.	
  
" Rapid	
  demo-­‐graphic	
  changes.	
  
" Changing	
  global	
  strategies.	
  
" Technology	
  adaption.	
  
" Investment	
  inertia.	
  
FSMA	
  /	
  
FSSAI	
  /	
  
Others	
  
Trend	
  is	
  to	
  move	
  from	
  post-­‐facto	
  control	
  mode	
  to	
  
first	
  mile	
  preventive	
  mode.	
  
Impacts	
  independent	
  development	
  agendas;	
  
changed	
  deployment	
  of	
  resources.	
  
Benefits	
  stakeholders	
  from	
  early	
  compliance;	
  
lowered	
  rejects,	
  opens	
  strategic	
  options.	
  
More	
  inclusion	
  among	
  stakeholders.	
  
Prevent	
  
Controls	
  
Inspect	
  
Compliance	
  
Recall	
  
Response	
  
Partner	
  
Administer	
  
Resource	
  
Labs	
  
Skills	
  
Costs	
  
Fees	
  
Procurement	
  
Onus	
  
Distrust	
  
Sharing	
  
Business	
  
New	
  markets	
  
New	
  pricing	
  
" Human	
  population	
  of	
  1.22	
  
billion.	
  
" with	
  a	
  GDP	
  of	
  USD	
  1.94	
  Trillion.	
  
" Post	
  harvest	
  value	
  loss	
  ~18-­‐40%	
  
of	
  farm	
  produce.	
  
" Foreign	
  Trade	
  USD	
  795	
  billion.	
  
" The	
  largest	
  producer	
  of	
  milk	
  (133	
  million	
  tonnes).	
  
" Largest	
  producer	
  of	
  mangoes	
  (15	
  million	
  tonnes).	
  
" Largest	
  producer	
  of	
  bananas	
  (29	
  million	
  tonnes).	
  
" Largest	
   exporter	
   of	
   beef	
   (1.52	
   million	
   tons),	
  
largest	
  buffalo	
  livestock	
  (105	
  million).	
  
" Second	
  in	
  fruit	
  (80	
  mlllion	
  tonnes)	
  and	
  vegetable	
  
production	
  (160	
  million	
  tonnes).	
  
" Third-­‐largest	
  producer	
  of	
  fish	
  (8.3	
  million	
  tonnes).	
  
" Third	
   largest	
   pharmaceutical	
   producer,	
   8%	
   of	
  
global	
  production.	
  
" not	
  a	
  single	
  perishables	
  
gateway!	
  
" only	
  ~8000	
  reefer	
  trucks.	
  
" limited	
  reefer	
  rail	
  options.	
  
" Containerisation	
  at	
  20%.	
  
" Coastline	
  is	
  more	
  than	
  7,500	
  km	
  long.	
  
" Interspersed	
  with	
  more	
  than	
  200	
  ports.	
  
" International	
  cargo:	
  95%	
  by	
  volume	
   	
  and	
  75%	
  by	
  
value	
  is	
  carried	
  by	
  sea.	
  
" Ports	
  capacity	
  1,247	
  million	
  tonnes,	
  doubling	
  by	
  
2017.	
  
" Railways:	
   87,087	
   km,	
   across	
   7,083	
   stations	
   and	
  
operates	
  more	
  than	
  18,000	
  trains	
  every	
  day.	
  
" 4.2	
   million	
   km	
   Roads	
   :	
   National	
   Highways	
   -­‐	
  
76,818	
  km,	
  State	
  Highways	
  -­‐	
  154,522	
  km,	
  District	
  
Roads	
  -­‐	
  2,577,396	
  km,	
  Rural	
  Roads	
  -­‐	
  1,433,577	
  km.	
  
" DTR:	
  (Tmax)	
  –	
  (Tmin)	
  of	
  20°C	
  	
  
" Shortfall	
  of	
  power,	
  reliance	
  
on	
  diesel	
  gensets.	
  
" Insulation	
  and	
  energy	
  
efficiency	
  standards.	
  
" Portability	
  options	
  min.	
  
" 4th	
   largest	
   electricity	
   consumer,	
   fifth	
   largest	
  
installed	
  capacity	
  (246	
  GW)	
  with	
  11.5%	
  renewable	
  
capacity.	
  
" 300	
   clear	
   days,	
   Solar	
   radiation	
   4	
   to	
   7	
   kWh/m2;	
  
area	
  3.287	
  million	
  sqkms.	
  
" Solar	
  reception	
  5000	
  Petawatt-­‐hours	
  per	
  year.	
  
" Fifth	
  largest	
  in	
  wind	
  power;	
  18,634MW	
  in	
  2013.	
  
" Among	
   lowest	
   ecological	
   footprints	
   of	
   0.9	
   gha/
person.	
  
" Starkly	
   different,	
   tightly	
   clustered;	
   six	
   major	
  
climatic	
  zones.	
  
24.0	
  
25.0	
  
26.0	
  
27.0	
  
28.0	
  
29.0	
  
30.0	
  
31.0	
  
32.0	
  
800	
  
900	
  
1000	
  
1100	
  
1200	
  
1300	
  
%	
  of	
  total	
  
millions	
  
Urban	
  population	
  %	
   Total	
  population	
  million	
  
0.0	
  
0.5	
  
1.0	
  
1.5	
  
2.0	
  
2.5	
  
800	
  
900	
  
1000	
  
1100	
  
1200	
  
1300	
  
%	
  Growth	
  
millions	
  
Total	
  population	
  million	
   Population	
  annual	
  %	
  change	
  
  Indian	
   Economy:	
   growing	
   at	
  
more	
   than	
   8%	
   for	
   last	
   decade,	
  
population	
   growing	
   @	
   1.5%	
  
annually	
  for	
  last	
  two	
  decades.	
  	
  	
  
  Continuous	
  urbanisation	
  of	
  India	
  
due	
  to	
  expanding	
  development.	
  
  Projections:	
  on-­‐going	
  Key	
  socio-­‐
economic	
  changes	
  and	
  four	
  fold	
  
growth	
  in	
  the	
  size	
  of	
  middle	
  to	
  
rich	
   class	
   Indian	
   households;	
  
resulting	
   doubling	
   household	
  
consumptions	
  by	
  2020.	
  	
  	
  
  Young	
   populace,	
   aspirations	
  
overreached	
   and	
   to	
   stay	
  
stretched.	
  
" GDP	
  USD	
  1.94	
  trill	
  in	
  2012	
  from	
  1.25	
  trill	
  
in	
  2006	
  (+56%	
  in	
  6	
  years).	
  
" Spending	
   growth:	
   $991	
   billion	
   in	
   2010	
   to	
  
$3.6	
   trillion	
   by	
   2020	
   (5.8%	
   of	
   global	
  
consumption,	
  doubling	
  from	
  2.7%).	
  
" 1,870,000	
  Consumer	
  Food	
  outlets	
  (2012).	
  
Source: Boston Consulting & CII, IRIS, MoSPI- Govt of India.
474	
  
593	
  
785	
  
1003	
  
354	
  
444	
  
565	
  
735	
  
FY05	
   FY07	
   FY09	
   FY11	
  
Domestic	
  spend	
  (USD	
  from	
  ₹)	
  31-­‐Jan-­‐2012	
  	
  
Per	
  Capita	
  Disposable	
  Income	
   Per	
  Capita	
  Disposable	
  Spending	
  
>2	
  x	
  from	
  2005	
  
61%	
  
17%	
  
10%	
  
6%	
  
4%	
  
3%	
  
India	
  Spends	
  on	
  
Food	
  and	
  Grocery	
  
Others	
  
Clothing	
  and	
  Fashion	
  
Electronics	
  
Beauty	
  and	
  Welness	
  
Furniture	
  and	
  Fixtures	
  
Increased	
  
Demand	
  for	
  
(Cold	
  Chain)	
  
Quality	
  
Foods	
  
Increase	
  in	
  
consumer	
  
class	
  pop.	
  
Purchasing	
  
power,	
  Rise	
  in	
  
income	
  	
  
Changed	
  
consumer	
  
mindset	
  
Easy	
  
consumer	
  
credit	
  
Quality	
  &	
  
Hygiene	
  
consciousness	
  
17	
  
Within	
  Horticulture,	
  perishable	
  commodities	
  trends	
  higher	
  
&	
  drives	
  growing	
  demand	
  for	
  perishable	
  handling.	
  
18	
  
28.6
43.0
50.9
65.6 68.5 71.5
74.9
81.0
58.5
88.6
101.2
128.4
129.1
134.1
146.6
155.0
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
140	
  
160	
  
180	
  
Million	
  
Metric	
  Tons	
  
Horticulture	
  Production	
  
Fruits	
   Vegetables	
   Plantation	
  Crops	
   Others	
  
x	
  2.6	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
x	
  2.8	
  
Others: includes Spices, Loose Flowers, Nuts, Mushroom, Aromatic/medicinal and Honey .
Source: Horticulture Division, Ministry of Agriculture and CrossTree Analysis
Agriculture	
  
cultivated	
  area:	
  150	
  
million	
  hectares	
  
•  Area	
  under	
  
Horticulture:	
  23	
  million	
  
hectares	
  (15%)	
  
$260	
  billion	
  to	
  
Indian	
  GDP	
  by	
  
Agriculture	
  
•  35%	
  of	
  this	
  is	
  from	
  
Horticulture.	
  
" Inflationary	
  trend	
  (40	
  years)	
  shows	
  
Food	
   as	
   prime	
   driver	
   with	
  
perishables	
  contributing	
  highest.	
  
" Despite	
  producers	
  showing	
  robust	
  
response	
  by	
  increasing	
  supply,	
  yet	
  
inflationary	
  pressure	
  exists.	
  	
  
" This	
  may	
  indicate	
  that	
  demand	
  for	
  
perishable	
   products	
   continues	
   to	
  
outstrip	
  supply.	
  
" This	
   also	
   indicates	
   a	
   lack	
   of	
  
efficient	
   supply	
   systems	
   which	
  
continues	
   to	
   feed	
   inflation	
   in	
   food	
  
items.	
   1971-­‐72	
  to	
  
1981-­‐82	
  
1982-­‐83	
  to	
  
1993-­‐94	
  
1995-­‐96	
  to	
  
2004-­‐05	
  
2005-­‐06	
  to	
  
2011-­‐12	
  
All	
  Commodity	
   10.2	
   7.9	
   5.9	
   6.6	
  
Primary	
  Food	
   8.5	
   9.2	
   5.9	
   9.9	
  
F	
  &	
  V	
   9.0	
   10.6	
   7.5	
   9.2	
  
Milk	
   7.1	
   9.0	
   5.7	
   10.1	
  
Eggs,	
  Meat,	
  Fish	
   11.0	
   9.4	
   6.4	
   11.8	
  
10.2	
  
7.9	
  
5.9	
  
6.6	
  
8.5	
  
9.2	
  
5.9	
  
9.9	
  
5.5	
  
6.5	
  
7.5	
  
8.5	
  
9.5	
  
10.5	
  
11.5	
  
Inflation	
  %	
  
Trends	
  -­‐	
  Annual	
  Average	
  WPI	
  Inflation	
  	
  
(from	
  1970	
  to	
  2012)	
  
Continual	
  demand	
  for	
  food	
  distribution	
  and	
  
cold	
  chain	
  is	
  foreseen	
  over	
  coming	
  decade.	
  	
  
Source: RBI, Office of Economic Adviser, MoCI, Govt of India
•  Global	
  Cold	
  chain	
  logis:cs	
  spend	
  from	
  
$5.2	
  billion	
  in	
  2008	
  to	
  $6.9	
  billion	
  in	
  2012.	
  	
  
•  Growth	
  in	
  Asia	
  outstripped	
  all	
  regions.	
  
•  Asia	
  &	
  India	
  conBnue	
  to	
  	
  grow	
  into	
  a	
  major	
  
hub	
  for	
  Bio-­‐Pharma,	
  cold	
  chain	
  demand	
  
from	
  the	
  sector	
  conBnues	
  to	
  rise.	
  
Notes : Figures exclude clinical trials which is separate specialised logistics.
Sources: Cold-Chain BioPharma Logistics Sourcebook 2011 & UN Comptrade database, Orkash and CrossTree Analysis
2.1	
   2.5	
   2.7	
   3.2	
  
1.5	
  
1.7	
   1.9	
  
2.3	
  1.0	
  
1.2	
  
1.5	
  
2.2	
  
0.6	
  
0.6	
  
0.8	
  
1.1	
  
0	
  
2	
  
4	
  
6	
  
8	
  
10	
  
2008	
   2009	
   2012e	
   2015e	
  
BioPharma	
  Logistics	
  Spending	
  (USD	
  Billion)	
  
North	
  America	
   Europe	
   Asia	
   Rest	
  of	
  World	
  
0	
   0.5	
   1	
   1.5	
   2	
   2.5	
   3	
  
North	
  
America	
  
Europe	
  
Asia	
  
Rest	
  of	
  World	
  
Cold	
  Logistics	
  Growth	
  
USD	
  Billion	
  
2012e	
  
2008	
  
$0.6	
  to	
  0.8	
  billion	
  (33%	
  Growth)	
  
$1.0	
  to	
  1.5	
  billion	
  (50%	
  Growth)	
  
$1.5	
  to	
  1.9	
  billion	
  (27%	
  Growth)	
  
$2.1to	
  2.7billion	
  (29%	
  Growth)	
  
Higher-­‐than-­‐average	
   growth	
   in	
   vaccines	
   &	
   specialty	
  
pharmaceuticals	
   and	
   heightened	
   regulatory	
  
requirements	
  continues	
  to	
  drive	
  cold	
  chain	
  for	
  pharma.	
  	
  
3.7	
   4.9	
   4.9	
   6.1	
   7.2	
   8.3	
  
10.5	
  
13.5	
  
16.7	
  
11.5	
  
13.4	
  
15.6	
  
18.4	
  
21.5	
  
24.7	
  
28.4	
  
32.4	
  
36.7	
  
0	
  
10	
  
20	
  
30	
  
40	
  
2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012F	
   2013F	
   2014F	
   2015F	
  
Indian	
  Pharmaceutical	
  USD	
  Billion	
  
Exports	
  
Total	
  
Cold chain shipment growth by region
Note : Total Food Service Outlets is a sum of Standalone , Leisure and Retail outlets
Source : Euromonitor, IBEF, IRIS and CrossTree Analysis
  India	
  is	
  5th	
  largest	
  retail	
  market	
  worldwide.	
  	
  
  1,968,000	
  Consumer	
  Food	
  outlets	
  by	
  2015.	
  
Organised	
  Retail	
  Market	
  is	
  growing	
  despite	
  FDI.	
  This	
  
feeds	
  demand	
  for	
  cold	
  chain.	
  Simultaneous	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  
food	
  service	
  sector	
  accelerates	
  need	
  for	
  the	
  cold-­‐chain.	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
140	
  
160	
  
0	
  
200	
  
400	
  
600	
  
800	
  
1,000	
  
1,200	
  
1,400	
  
1,600	
  
1,800	
  
2,000	
  
2005	
   2006	
   2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012E	
   2013E	
   2014E	
   2015E	
  
Food	
  Service	
  Outlets	
  (‘000)	
  
Standalone	
  	
  (LHS)	
   Leisure	
  (RHS)	
   Retail	
  (RHS)	
  
27.8	
   41.4	
  
88.6	
  
396.1	
  
486.4	
  
780.5	
  
0.0	
  
100.0	
  
200.0	
  
300.0	
  
400.0	
  
500.0	
  
600.0	
  
700.0	
  
800.0	
  
2010	
   2012	
   2015P	
  
Size	
  of	
  Retail	
  Market	
  (USD	
  Billion)	
  
Modern	
  Retail	
  
Traditional	
  
Food	
  &	
  
Grocery	
  
Furniture	
  &	
  
Furnishings	
  
Electronics	
  
Beauty	
  &	
  
Wellness	
  
Clothing	
  &	
  
Fashion	
  
Others	
  
99%	
  
77%	
  
96%	
  
88%	
  
89%	
  
90%	
  
Traditional	
   Modern	
  
Notes: 2009 and 2010 numbers only for NHB and NHM assisted cold storages. Numbers as of Dec 2012
Source: NHB, NHM, Directorate of Marketing and Inspection 2009, Orkash & Crosstree Analysis
0	
  
5000	
  
10000	
  
15000	
  
20000	
  
25000	
  
30000	
  
35000	
  
0	
  
1000	
  
2000	
  
3000	
  
4000	
  
5000	
  
6000	
  
7000	
  
1955	
   1960	
   1965	
   1970	
   1975	
   1979	
   1986	
   2004	
   2007	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012#	
  
(‘000)	
  tons	
  
Number	
  
Cold	
  Storage	
  Availability	
  
Number	
  of	
  Cold	
  Storages	
  
Installed	
  Capacity	
  in	
  '000	
  tons	
  (Cumulative)	
  
In	
  the	
  Last	
  Decade	
  1955-1986
" As	
  of	
  last	
  recorded	
  national	
  level	
  data	
  ,	
  India	
  has	
  6488	
  cold	
  storage	
  with	
  a	
  cumulative	
  
installed	
  capacity	
  of	
  approximately	
  30	
  million	
  Metric	
  Tons	
  .	
  	
  
Key	
  Trends	
  
•  More	
  than	
  25%	
  of	
  the	
  cold	
  storage	
  units	
  (~10	
  mill	
  tons)	
  have	
  been	
  built	
  post	
  2004.	
  
•  Growth	
  (CAGR	
  2004-­‐12	
  )	
  :	
  	
  Numbers	
  of	
  Cold	
  Storage	
  :	
  3.57%,	
  Capacity	
  :	
  5.19%.	
  Growth	
  in	
  Transport	
  capacity	
  22%	
  
•  Current	
  short	
  fall	
  of	
  4000	
  reefer	
  trucks,	
  govt	
  states	
  another	
  30+	
  million	
  tons	
  capacity	
  needed.	
  
The	
  witnessed	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  Cold	
  Storage	
  sector	
  is	
  accepted	
  to	
  only	
  accelerate	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  years	
  
88%	
  
12%	
  
Segments	
  
Storage	
  
Transport	
  
2007-­‐08	
   2010-­‐11	
   2014-­‐15	
  
2.1	
  
3.8	
  
6.9	
  
0.2	
  
0.9	
  
1.9	
  
CC	
  Market	
  U$	
  Billion	
  
Storage	
   Transport	
  
Capacity	
  mostly	
  focused	
  on	
  single	
  product	
  
types	
  –	
  a	
  long	
  learning	
  curve	
  established	
  
Minimal	
  outreach	
  for	
  foods	
  and	
  pharma	
  –	
  
localised	
  operations,	
  earlier	
  focus	
  was	
  storage.	
  
Chain	
  approach	
  to	
  counter	
  Irregular	
  parameters	
  
across	
  regions	
  and	
  within	
  days.	
  
Fragmented	
  development	
  did	
  not	
  encourage	
  
holistic	
  cool	
  logistics	
  for	
  single	
  source	
  service.	
  
Refrigerated	
  systems	
  need	
  adaption	
  to	
  India	
  
specific	
  needs	
  in	
  design	
  and	
  capacity	
  utilisation.	
  
Capacity	
  mostly	
  focused	
  on	
  single	
  product	
  
types	
  –	
  a	
  long	
  learning	
  curve	
  established	
  
Minimal	
  outreach	
  for	
  foods	
  and	
  pharma	
  –	
  
localised	
  operations,	
  earlier	
  focus	
  was	
  storage.	
  
Chain	
  approach	
  to	
  counter	
  Irregular	
  parameters	
  
across	
  regions	
  and	
  within	
  days.	
  
Fragmented	
  development	
  did	
  not	
  encourage	
  
holistic	
  cool	
  logistics	
  for	
  single	
  source	
  service.	
  
Refrigerated	
  systems	
  need	
  adaption	
  to	
  India	
  
specific	
  needs	
  in	
  design	
  and	
  capacity	
  utilisation.	
  
Government as
‘Catalyst’
Encourages
Investments
Agri/Foods
identified as
priority
sector
Encourages
holistic
development
NCCD takes
shape
Liberalises
Marketing
Norms
Focus on
Market links
development
Rationalises
Tax Laws
Move to
uniform VAT/
GST
Credits
Grants &
Subsidies
PPP, Grants,
Negotiable
Warehouse
Receipts
Liberalising
FDI Inflow
100% FDI in
food sector
Increasing	
   focus	
   to	
   create	
   enabling	
   infrastructure	
   by	
   govt.	
   While	
   this	
   support	
   was	
   earlier	
  
focused	
  on	
  static	
  cold	
  storages,	
  recent	
  developments	
  have	
  been	
  to	
  include	
  refrigerated	
  trucks	
  
including	
  containers.	
  NCCD	
  to	
  play	
  pivotal	
  role	
  to	
  correlate	
  industry	
  expectations	
  and	
  policies.	
  
Subsidies	
  
available	
  for	
  
constructing	
  
Cold	
  Chains	
  by	
  
Govt.	
  of	
  India	
  
Capital	
  
Investment	
  
Subsidy	
  /	
  RIDF	
  
Scheme	
  
Integrated	
  Cold	
  
Chain	
  Scheme	
  
PPP-­‐IAD	
  
NVIUC	
  
Public	
  
Entrepreneur	
  
Guarantee	
  
Scheme	
   40.9	
  
593.9	
  
1187.5	
  
0	
  
500	
  
1000	
  
1500	
  
Xth	
  Plan	
   XIth	
  Plan	
   XIIth	
  Plan	
  
USD	
  Billion	
  
Outlay	
  Amounts	
  for	
  Infrastructure	
  
Development	
  
(Five	
  Year	
  Plans)	
  
Initiatives	
  for	
  Infrastructure	
  Development	
  
• Mega	
  Food	
  Parks	
  Scheme.	
  
• Integrated	
  Cold	
  Chain	
  Scheme.	
  
• State	
  level	
  Initiatives.	
  
• National	
  Horticulture	
  Board.	
  
• National	
  Horti	
  and	
  FPI	
  Missions.	
  
NCCD	
  as	
  umbrella	
   	
  agency	
  
to	
  address	
  concerns.	
  
Central	
  Excise	
  Duty	
  
•  100%	
  exemption	
  for	
  specified	
  equipments	
  for	
  storages	
  or	
  transport,	
  self	
  loading	
  /	
  
unloading	
  trailers	
  /	
  semi-­‐trailers.	
  
Customs	
  Duty	
  
•  Full	
  exemption	
  from	
  basic	
  customs	
  duty	
  for	
  manufacture	
  of	
  refrigerated	
  vans/trucks;	
  bio-­‐
polymer/bio-­‐plastics;	
  	
  
•  Concessional	
  duty	
  of	
  5%	
  for	
  initial	
  installing	
  or	
  expansion	
  of	
  a	
  cold	
  storage,	
  cold	
  room,	
  
processing,	
  etc.	
  
Service	
  Tax	
  Exemption	
  
•  ‘Erection,	
  Commissioning	
  or	
  Installation’	
  of	
  Mechanized	
  Handling	
  Systems;	
  Cold	
  Storage	
  
and	
  transport;	
  
•  Cold-­‐chain	
  Service	
  of	
  storage	
  and	
  transporting	
  agriculture	
  produce.	
  
•  Technical	
  Testing;	
  Analysis	
  Service	
  and	
  ‘Technical	
  Inspection	
  and	
  Certification	
  Service’.	
  
Capital	
  Investment	
  
•  Cold	
  Chain	
  &	
  FDI:	
  100%	
  FDI	
  through	
  automatic	
  route.	
  
•  Investment	
  linked	
  Tax	
  deduction	
  :	
  150%	
  of	
  capital	
  investment	
  deductible.	
  
•  Government	
  subsidy	
  on	
  investment:	
  40	
  to	
  55%	
  subsidy	
  on	
  storage	
  and	
  transport	
  
" Industry,	
   PSUs,	
   Government,	
   Investors,	
   Entrepreneurs,	
   Farming	
  
Associations	
  &	
  Knowledge	
  Houses	
  -­‐	
  All	
  Working	
  Together!	
  
Executive	
  
Committee	
  
2
5
3
4
1
Technical	
  Specification,	
  
Standards,	
  Test	
  Laboratory	
  
&	
  Product	
  Certification	
  
Committee.	
  
Training,	
  HRD	
  and	
  
R&D	
  Committee.	
  
Committee	
  for	
  Application	
  of	
  
non-­‐Conventional	
  Energy	
  
Sources	
  in	
  Cold	
  Chain	
  
Infrastructure.	
  
NCCD	
  Members,	
  other	
  	
  
Committee	
  for	
  Supply	
  
Chain	
  &	
  Logistics.	
  
6
Liaison	
  with	
  other	
  NLAs	
  
and	
  States	
  
cold	
  chain	
  sectors	
  
Cold	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  (India):	
  Poised	
  for	
  a	
  Quantum	
  Jump	
  
" Best	
  practises	
  for	
  Sub-­‐continent	
  conditions,	
  market.	
  	
  
" Skill	
  development	
  &	
  training	
  establishments.	
  
" Appropriate	
  &	
  integrated	
  Infrastructure	
  development.	
  
" Adoption	
  of	
  energy	
  efficient	
  technology.	
  
" Partner	
  with	
  Indian	
  logistics	
  companies.	
  
" Adapting	
  from	
  mass	
  storage	
  to	
  direct	
  access	
  storage.	
  
" Manage	
  and	
  develop	
  Multiple	
  markets	
  in	
  region.	
  
" Anticipate	
  ahead	
  of	
  a	
  developing	
  market.	
  
Here is History in the making and the Opportunity to be part of it. A market develops to oblige!
There is a fledgling Cold chain awaiting shape, to serve a billion+ people.
" Innovators	
  and	
  solutions	
  biased	
  companies.	
  
" Technology	
  Provision	
  and	
  implementation.	
  
" Cold	
  Logistics	
  and	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  services.	
  
" Specialised	
  Infrastructure	
  designers	
  and	
  planners.	
  
" Expertise	
  in	
  alternate	
  energy,	
  environmental	
  protection.	
  
" Scalable,	
  Energy	
  efficient	
  Refrigeration	
  technology.	
  
" Refrigerated	
  Vehicles	
  and	
  last	
  mile	
  delivery	
  systems.	
  
" Education,	
  Training	
  &	
  Cold	
  chain	
  management	
  experts.	
  
" Knowledge	
  Managers	
  and	
  Integration	
  specialists.	
  
www.nasa.gov	
  	
  Earth	
  Gallery	
  
www.nasa.gov	
  	
  Earth	
  Gallery	
  
Nodal	
  Body	
  for	
  Cold-­‐chain	
  Development	
  
Ministry	
  of	
  Agriculture	
  
Contact-­‐NCCD@gov.in	
  

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India Cold Chain Opportunity & Challenges 2013

  • 1. Principal  Advisor  Chief  Advisor  to  
  • 2. Globalisation     Process  Integration.     Bilateral  trade.     Diminishing  world,   singular  demands.     Right-­‐Cost  Country   optimisation.     Business  friendly   Global  Banking.     Borderless  consumer.  
  • 3. Growth  in   initial  areas   extends  parity.   Parity  feeds  demand;   new  consumption.   Demand   outpaces   development.   Lack  of  development   creates  bottlenecks.   Bottlenecks   raise  costs.   High  costs  restricts;   feeds  aspirations.   Aspirations   provide  further   scope.   Enduring  Scope  is  Unending  Opportunity.  
  • 4. Enduring  Scope  is  Unending  Opportunity.   Chain  of  business     Chain  of  transactions.     Chain  of  information.     Chain  of    operations.     Chain  of  processes.     Chain  of  policies.     Chain  of  people.     Value  chain.     Demographics,  National  Priorities,   Sustainability,  Technology,   Information,  Affiliation.  
  • 5. Uneven,  non-­‐holistic  development  of   resources!   Cold-­‐chain  requires  integration  across   total  activity  chain!   Changing  priorities,  impatient  populace  –   short  cuts!   Fear  of  missing  the  bus  –  short  term   strategy  for  long  term  solutions!    
  • 6. " Integrated  infrastructure  development.   " Reverse  haulage  –  capacity  utilisation.   " Market  capture  –  barriers  and  tariffs.   " Training  and  Skilled  deployment.   " Rapid  demo-­‐graphic  changes.   " Changing  global  strategies.   " Technology  adaption.   " Investment  inertia.  
  • 7. FSMA  /   FSSAI  /   Others   Trend  is  to  move  from  post-­‐facto  control  mode  to   first  mile  preventive  mode.   Impacts  independent  development  agendas;   changed  deployment  of  resources.   Benefits  stakeholders  from  early  compliance;   lowered  rejects,  opens  strategic  options.   More  inclusion  among  stakeholders.  
  • 8. Prevent   Controls   Inspect   Compliance   Recall   Response   Partner   Administer   Resource   Labs   Skills   Costs   Fees   Procurement   Onus   Distrust   Sharing   Business   New  markets   New  pricing  
  • 9. " Human  population  of  1.22   billion.   " with  a  GDP  of  USD  1.94  Trillion.   " Post  harvest  value  loss  ~18-­‐40%   of  farm  produce.   " Foreign  Trade  USD  795  billion.  
  • 10. " The  largest  producer  of  milk  (133  million  tonnes).   " Largest  producer  of  mangoes  (15  million  tonnes).   " Largest  producer  of  bananas  (29  million  tonnes).   " Largest   exporter   of   beef   (1.52   million   tons),   largest  buffalo  livestock  (105  million).   " Second  in  fruit  (80  mlllion  tonnes)  and  vegetable   production  (160  million  tonnes).   " Third-­‐largest  producer  of  fish  (8.3  million  tonnes).   " Third   largest   pharmaceutical   producer,   8%   of   global  production.  
  • 11. " not  a  single  perishables   gateway!   " only  ~8000  reefer  trucks.   " limited  reefer  rail  options.   " Containerisation  at  20%.  
  • 12. " Coastline  is  more  than  7,500  km  long.   " Interspersed  with  more  than  200  ports.   " International  cargo:  95%  by  volume    and  75%  by   value  is  carried  by  sea.   " Ports  capacity  1,247  million  tonnes,  doubling  by   2017.   " Railways:   87,087   km,   across   7,083   stations   and   operates  more  than  18,000  trains  every  day.   " 4.2   million   km   Roads   :   National   Highways   -­‐   76,818  km,  State  Highways  -­‐  154,522  km,  District   Roads  -­‐  2,577,396  km,  Rural  Roads  -­‐  1,433,577  km.  
  • 13. " DTR:  (Tmax)  –  (Tmin)  of  20°C     " Shortfall  of  power,  reliance   on  diesel  gensets.   " Insulation  and  energy   efficiency  standards.   " Portability  options  min.  
  • 14. " 4th   largest   electricity   consumer,   fifth   largest   installed  capacity  (246  GW)  with  11.5%  renewable   capacity.   " 300   clear   days,   Solar   radiation   4   to   7   kWh/m2;   area  3.287  million  sqkms.   " Solar  reception  5000  Petawatt-­‐hours  per  year.   " Fifth  largest  in  wind  power;  18,634MW  in  2013.   " Among   lowest   ecological   footprints   of   0.9   gha/ person.   " Starkly   different,   tightly   clustered;   six   major   climatic  zones.  
  • 15. 24.0   25.0   26.0   27.0   28.0   29.0   30.0   31.0   32.0   800   900   1000   1100   1200   1300   %  of  total   millions   Urban  population  %   Total  population  million   0.0   0.5   1.0   1.5   2.0   2.5   800   900   1000   1100   1200   1300   %  Growth   millions   Total  population  million   Population  annual  %  change     Indian   Economy:   growing   at   more   than   8%   for   last   decade,   population   growing   @   1.5%   annually  for  last  two  decades.         Continuous  urbanisation  of  India   due  to  expanding  development.     Projections:  on-­‐going  Key  socio-­‐ economic  changes  and  four  fold   growth  in  the  size  of  middle  to   rich   class   Indian   households;   resulting   doubling   household   consumptions  by  2020.         Young   populace,   aspirations   overreached   and   to   stay   stretched.  
  • 16. " GDP  USD  1.94  trill  in  2012  from  1.25  trill   in  2006  (+56%  in  6  years).   " Spending   growth:   $991   billion   in   2010   to   $3.6   trillion   by   2020   (5.8%   of   global   consumption,  doubling  from  2.7%).   " 1,870,000  Consumer  Food  outlets  (2012).   Source: Boston Consulting & CII, IRIS, MoSPI- Govt of India. 474   593   785   1003   354   444   565   735   FY05   FY07   FY09   FY11   Domestic  spend  (USD  from  ₹)  31-­‐Jan-­‐2012     Per  Capita  Disposable  Income   Per  Capita  Disposable  Spending   >2  x  from  2005   61%   17%   10%   6%   4%   3%   India  Spends  on   Food  and  Grocery   Others   Clothing  and  Fashion   Electronics   Beauty  and  Welness   Furniture  and  Fixtures   Increased   Demand  for   (Cold  Chain)   Quality   Foods   Increase  in   consumer   class  pop.   Purchasing   power,  Rise  in   income     Changed   consumer   mindset   Easy   consumer   credit   Quality  &   Hygiene   consciousness  
  • 17. 17   Within  Horticulture,  perishable  commodities  trends  higher   &  drives  growing  demand  for  perishable  handling.  
  • 18. 18   28.6 43.0 50.9 65.6 68.5 71.5 74.9 81.0 58.5 88.6 101.2 128.4 129.1 134.1 146.6 155.0 0   20   40   60   80   100   120   140   160   180   Million   Metric  Tons   Horticulture  Production   Fruits   Vegetables   Plantation  Crops   Others   x  2.6           x  2.8   Others: includes Spices, Loose Flowers, Nuts, Mushroom, Aromatic/medicinal and Honey . Source: Horticulture Division, Ministry of Agriculture and CrossTree Analysis Agriculture   cultivated  area:  150   million  hectares   •  Area  under   Horticulture:  23  million   hectares  (15%)   $260  billion  to   Indian  GDP  by   Agriculture   •  35%  of  this  is  from   Horticulture.  
  • 19. " Inflationary  trend  (40  years)  shows   Food   as   prime   driver   with   perishables  contributing  highest.   " Despite  producers  showing  robust   response  by  increasing  supply,  yet   inflationary  pressure  exists.     " This  may  indicate  that  demand  for   perishable   products   continues   to   outstrip  supply.   " This   also   indicates   a   lack   of   efficient   supply   systems   which   continues   to   feed   inflation   in   food   items.   1971-­‐72  to   1981-­‐82   1982-­‐83  to   1993-­‐94   1995-­‐96  to   2004-­‐05   2005-­‐06  to   2011-­‐12   All  Commodity   10.2   7.9   5.9   6.6   Primary  Food   8.5   9.2   5.9   9.9   F  &  V   9.0   10.6   7.5   9.2   Milk   7.1   9.0   5.7   10.1   Eggs,  Meat,  Fish   11.0   9.4   6.4   11.8   10.2   7.9   5.9   6.6   8.5   9.2   5.9   9.9   5.5   6.5   7.5   8.5   9.5   10.5   11.5   Inflation  %   Trends  -­‐  Annual  Average  WPI  Inflation     (from  1970  to  2012)   Continual  demand  for  food  distribution  and   cold  chain  is  foreseen  over  coming  decade.     Source: RBI, Office of Economic Adviser, MoCI, Govt of India
  • 20. •  Global  Cold  chain  logis:cs  spend  from   $5.2  billion  in  2008  to  $6.9  billion  in  2012.     •  Growth  in  Asia  outstripped  all  regions.   •  Asia  &  India  conBnue  to    grow  into  a  major   hub  for  Bio-­‐Pharma,  cold  chain  demand   from  the  sector  conBnues  to  rise.   Notes : Figures exclude clinical trials which is separate specialised logistics. Sources: Cold-Chain BioPharma Logistics Sourcebook 2011 & UN Comptrade database, Orkash and CrossTree Analysis 2.1   2.5   2.7   3.2   1.5   1.7   1.9   2.3  1.0   1.2   1.5   2.2   0.6   0.6   0.8   1.1   0   2   4   6   8   10   2008   2009   2012e   2015e   BioPharma  Logistics  Spending  (USD  Billion)   North  America   Europe   Asia   Rest  of  World   0   0.5   1   1.5   2   2.5   3   North   America   Europe   Asia   Rest  of  World   Cold  Logistics  Growth   USD  Billion   2012e   2008   $0.6  to  0.8  billion  (33%  Growth)   $1.0  to  1.5  billion  (50%  Growth)   $1.5  to  1.9  billion  (27%  Growth)   $2.1to  2.7billion  (29%  Growth)   Higher-­‐than-­‐average   growth   in   vaccines   &   specialty   pharmaceuticals   and   heightened   regulatory   requirements  continues  to  drive  cold  chain  for  pharma.     3.7   4.9   4.9   6.1   7.2   8.3   10.5   13.5   16.7   11.5   13.4   15.6   18.4   21.5   24.7   28.4   32.4   36.7   0   10   20   30   40   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012F   2013F   2014F   2015F   Indian  Pharmaceutical  USD  Billion   Exports   Total   Cold chain shipment growth by region
  • 21. Note : Total Food Service Outlets is a sum of Standalone , Leisure and Retail outlets Source : Euromonitor, IBEF, IRIS and CrossTree Analysis   India  is  5th  largest  retail  market  worldwide.       1,968,000  Consumer  Food  outlets  by  2015.   Organised  Retail  Market  is  growing  despite  FDI.  This   feeds  demand  for  cold  chain.  Simultaneous  growth  in  the   food  service  sector  accelerates  need  for  the  cold-­‐chain.   0   20   40   60   80   100   120   140   160   0   200   400   600   800   1,000   1,200   1,400   1,600   1,800   2,000   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012E   2013E   2014E   2015E   Food  Service  Outlets  (‘000)   Standalone    (LHS)   Leisure  (RHS)   Retail  (RHS)   27.8   41.4   88.6   396.1   486.4   780.5   0.0   100.0   200.0   300.0   400.0   500.0   600.0   700.0   800.0   2010   2012   2015P   Size  of  Retail  Market  (USD  Billion)   Modern  Retail   Traditional   Food  &   Grocery   Furniture  &   Furnishings   Electronics   Beauty  &   Wellness   Clothing  &   Fashion   Others   99%   77%   96%   88%   89%   90%   Traditional   Modern  
  • 22. Notes: 2009 and 2010 numbers only for NHB and NHM assisted cold storages. Numbers as of Dec 2012 Source: NHB, NHM, Directorate of Marketing and Inspection 2009, Orkash & Crosstree Analysis 0   5000   10000   15000   20000   25000   30000   35000   0   1000   2000   3000   4000   5000   6000   7000   1955   1960   1965   1970   1975   1979   1986   2004   2007   2009   2010   2011   2012#   (‘000)  tons   Number   Cold  Storage  Availability   Number  of  Cold  Storages   Installed  Capacity  in  '000  tons  (Cumulative)   In  the  Last  Decade  1955-1986 " As  of  last  recorded  national  level  data  ,  India  has  6488  cold  storage  with  a  cumulative   installed  capacity  of  approximately  30  million  Metric  Tons  .     Key  Trends   •  More  than  25%  of  the  cold  storage  units  (~10  mill  tons)  have  been  built  post  2004.   •  Growth  (CAGR  2004-­‐12  )  :    Numbers  of  Cold  Storage  :  3.57%,  Capacity  :  5.19%.  Growth  in  Transport  capacity  22%   •  Current  short  fall  of  4000  reefer  trucks,  govt  states  another  30+  million  tons  capacity  needed.   The  witnessed  growth  in  the  Cold  Storage  sector  is  accepted  to  only  accelerate  in  the  coming  years   88%   12%   Segments   Storage   Transport   2007-­‐08   2010-­‐11   2014-­‐15   2.1   3.8   6.9   0.2   0.9   1.9   CC  Market  U$  Billion   Storage   Transport  
  • 23. Capacity  mostly  focused  on  single  product   types  –  a  long  learning  curve  established   Minimal  outreach  for  foods  and  pharma  –   localised  operations,  earlier  focus  was  storage.   Chain  approach  to  counter  Irregular  parameters   across  regions  and  within  days.   Fragmented  development  did  not  encourage   holistic  cool  logistics  for  single  source  service.   Refrigerated  systems  need  adaption  to  India   specific  needs  in  design  and  capacity  utilisation.  
  • 24. Capacity  mostly  focused  on  single  product   types  –  a  long  learning  curve  established   Minimal  outreach  for  foods  and  pharma  –   localised  operations,  earlier  focus  was  storage.   Chain  approach  to  counter  Irregular  parameters   across  regions  and  within  days.   Fragmented  development  did  not  encourage   holistic  cool  logistics  for  single  source  service.   Refrigerated  systems  need  adaption  to  India   specific  needs  in  design  and  capacity  utilisation.  
  • 25. Government as ‘Catalyst’ Encourages Investments Agri/Foods identified as priority sector Encourages holistic development NCCD takes shape Liberalises Marketing Norms Focus on Market links development Rationalises Tax Laws Move to uniform VAT/ GST Credits Grants & Subsidies PPP, Grants, Negotiable Warehouse Receipts Liberalising FDI Inflow 100% FDI in food sector Increasing   focus   to   create   enabling   infrastructure   by   govt.   While   this   support   was   earlier   focused  on  static  cold  storages,  recent  developments  have  been  to  include  refrigerated  trucks   including  containers.  NCCD  to  play  pivotal  role  to  correlate  industry  expectations  and  policies.  
  • 26. Subsidies   available  for   constructing   Cold  Chains  by   Govt.  of  India   Capital   Investment   Subsidy  /  RIDF   Scheme   Integrated  Cold   Chain  Scheme   PPP-­‐IAD   NVIUC   Public   Entrepreneur   Guarantee   Scheme   40.9   593.9   1187.5   0   500   1000   1500   Xth  Plan   XIth  Plan   XIIth  Plan   USD  Billion   Outlay  Amounts  for  Infrastructure   Development   (Five  Year  Plans)   Initiatives  for  Infrastructure  Development   • Mega  Food  Parks  Scheme.   • Integrated  Cold  Chain  Scheme.   • State  level  Initiatives.   • National  Horticulture  Board.   • National  Horti  and  FPI  Missions.   NCCD  as  umbrella    agency   to  address  concerns.  
  • 27. Central  Excise  Duty   •  100%  exemption  for  specified  equipments  for  storages  or  transport,  self  loading  /   unloading  trailers  /  semi-­‐trailers.   Customs  Duty   •  Full  exemption  from  basic  customs  duty  for  manufacture  of  refrigerated  vans/trucks;  bio-­‐ polymer/bio-­‐plastics;     •  Concessional  duty  of  5%  for  initial  installing  or  expansion  of  a  cold  storage,  cold  room,   processing,  etc.   Service  Tax  Exemption   •  ‘Erection,  Commissioning  or  Installation’  of  Mechanized  Handling  Systems;  Cold  Storage   and  transport;   •  Cold-­‐chain  Service  of  storage  and  transporting  agriculture  produce.   •  Technical  Testing;  Analysis  Service  and  ‘Technical  Inspection  and  Certification  Service’.   Capital  Investment   •  Cold  Chain  &  FDI:  100%  FDI  through  automatic  route.   •  Investment  linked  Tax  deduction  :  150%  of  capital  investment  deductible.   •  Government  subsidy  on  investment:  40  to  55%  subsidy  on  storage  and  transport  
  • 28. " Industry,   PSUs,   Government,   Investors,   Entrepreneurs,   Farming   Associations  &  Knowledge  Houses  -­‐  All  Working  Together!   Executive   Committee   2 5 3 4 1 Technical  Specification,   Standards,  Test  Laboratory   &  Product  Certification   Committee.   Training,  HRD  and   R&D  Committee.   Committee  for  Application  of   non-­‐Conventional  Energy   Sources  in  Cold  Chain   Infrastructure.   NCCD  Members,  other     Committee  for  Supply   Chain  &  Logistics.   6 Liaison  with  other  NLAs   and  States   cold  chain  sectors  
  • 29. Cold  Supply  Chain  (India):  Poised  for  a  Quantum  Jump   " Best  practises  for  Sub-­‐continent  conditions,  market.     " Skill  development  &  training  establishments.   " Appropriate  &  integrated  Infrastructure  development.   " Adoption  of  energy  efficient  technology.   " Partner  with  Indian  logistics  companies.   " Adapting  from  mass  storage  to  direct  access  storage.   " Manage  and  develop  Multiple  markets  in  region.   " Anticipate  ahead  of  a  developing  market.   Here is History in the making and the Opportunity to be part of it. A market develops to oblige!
  • 30. There is a fledgling Cold chain awaiting shape, to serve a billion+ people. " Innovators  and  solutions  biased  companies.   " Technology  Provision  and  implementation.   " Cold  Logistics  and  Supply  Chain  services.   " Specialised  Infrastructure  designers  and  planners.   " Expertise  in  alternate  energy,  environmental  protection.   " Scalable,  Energy  efficient  Refrigeration  technology.   " Refrigerated  Vehicles  and  last  mile  delivery  systems.   " Education,  Training  &  Cold  chain  management  experts.   " Knowledge  Managers  and  Integration  specialists.  
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. www.nasa.gov    Earth  Gallery  
  • 36. www.nasa.gov    Earth  Gallery  
  • 37. Nodal  Body  for  Cold-­‐chain  Development   Ministry  of  Agriculture   Contact-­‐NCCD@gov.in