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Specialist in Commodities




               Vienna, March 2010
About MERIT
 MERIT provides tailor-made commodity management services:
                                                 services
     Analysis & monitoring of commodity exposure – effective risk control
     Defining commodity hedging strategies – budget balance
     Realizing commodity trading strategies – stabilisation of company
     earnings
 MERIT was founded in Vienna in 1988 as an independent commodity
 specialist company by visionary Dr. Michael Zillner,
 who is still the CEO today




 MERIT’s methodology is based on a robust +20-year business
 experience with industrial companies in Germany and Austria      Dr. Michael Zillner
                                                                  Founder & CEO of MERIT
                                                                  Group




                                   2                           Vienna, March 2010
MERIT‘s Convictions
 MERIT is strongly convinced that commodity management is now-more-than-ever
 strategically important for industrial companies as a real value driver to
 strengthen company earnings and competitiveness:
                                                         120


   Many companies are confronted with price risks        115




   without taking adequate measures
                                                         110


                                                         105




   Commodity buyers lack the tools -based on
                                                         100


                                                         95


   independent price information and accurate            90



   forecasting methods- for effective control of their   85


                                                         80

   exposure to fluctuations and increases in raw         75
                                                                     Aluminium
                                                                     Lead
                                                                                     Copper
                                                                                     Nickel


   material prices                                       70
                                                          1/4/2010
                                                                     Tin             Zinc

                                                                                 1/18/2010    2/1/2010   2/15/2010   3/1/2010


                                                               YTD Price-evolution, Source: MERIT



 Although good negotiation skills of purchasing departments remain important, the
 importance of commodity risk management and timing is essential to ensure
 relative stability and predictability of company earnings



                                        3                                                     Vienna, March 2010
MERIT‘s Approach
 As a human business MERIT emphasises a client-needs-driven approach
 In-house trained specialists team-up with clients
 Aiming for long-term partnership based on mutual trust
 MERIT offers services developed under one roof:
                                           roof
     Consultancy
     Exposure Management
     Execution Services
     Physical Trading though dedicated wholly-owned group company
     Inventory / Storage Financing




                                     4                     Vienna, March 2010
MERIT‘s Core Services (1/2)
  Consultants
      Identification, analysis and quantification of price risks (commodity and
      financial)
      Developement and optimisation of a customized Management Information
      System (MIS) for continous quantification and controll of all relevant
      price risks
      Definition of hedging strategies
      Daily reporting, customized value- and risk presentation

  Risk- and Exposure Management
       Data capture, analysis and active management of market price risks
       Outsourcing with clearly defined links to client‘s risk department
       Optimisation of the result with best possible product mix
       Exposure Management using quantitative tools to improve overall results




                                       5                           Vienna, March 2010
MERIT‘s Core Services (2/2)
         Execution Services
                Execution of Hedging Strategies via 24h Brokerage Desk*
                Implementation of appropriate account setup
                Signaler function

         Physical Trading
                Physical trading and delivery capabilities

         Inventory / Storage Financing




*Execution in cooperation with group company Merit Alternative Investments GmbH (FMA authorised)


                                                                 6                                 Vienna, March 2010
Related Services
 MERIT Stock Control                                        MERIT Strategy Development
 Elimination of the stock price risk                        Strategic support for company boards with regard to
                                                            financial risks
 MERIT Order Management
 Securing income                                            Active Risk Management
                                                            Taking into account the respective purchasing, sales
 MERIT Procurement Management                               and stock situations
 Control of the purchase price risk
                                                            Scenario Simulation and Evaluation
 MERIT Exposure Management                                  Using our standard software suite RIVa
 Overall risk assessment of a company
                                                            MERIT Overlay Management
 MERIT Budget Management                                    Stabilisation of financial results through targeted
 Assistance in keeping to budget targets                    overlay management of a company’s financial risks

 Reconciliation of group-wide financial risks               MERIT Value Management
 (Currency, interest and raw materials risks)               Results optimisation within pre-defined risk thresholds
 taking correlation and price elasticity into account
                                                            Derivation and Modelling of Hedging
 Direct market access to relevant                           Measures
 exchanges                                                  in accounting systems (IAS 39 – hedge accounting)
 Through the MERIT-Group, with direct exploitation of
 market opportunities to optimise purchasing results        Group Reporting – Risk Report
                                                            Assistance in compiling the risk report for annual
 MERIT Cash Flow Management                                 reports
 Safeguarding cash flows from raw materials risks

                                                        7                                        Vienna, March 2010
Core Industry Expertise
 Automobile producers                    High Energy consuming industries

 Suppliers to automobile industry        Steel Industrie

 Airlines and other transportation       Energy providers / public sector
 businesses                              related

 Metal processors                        Paper and pulp

                                         Other commodity processing
 Utilities
                                         industries




                                     8                        Vienna, March 2010
Markets we cover
    Non-ferrous and precious metals                   Energy
          Copper, aluminium, zinc, nickel, tin,              gas oil, crude oil, natural gas, coal,
          lead, magnesium                                    kerosene
          Gold, silver, palladium, platinum,                 Electricity, CO2
          rhodium

    Steel and steel derivatives                       Plastics
          Long steel, flat-rolled steel, high-                 PP, PE, PA6, PA6.6, ABS, PC/ABS
          grade steel types, tubes,…
          Iron ore



    Soft commodities                                  Pulp
          Corn, wheat, soybeans, sugar, cocoa
          and coffee beans, cotton, palm oil




    Customer-specific special materials and alloys




                                                  9                             Vienna, March 2010
MERIT – Tools                                MERIT Risk Matrix - Example



 Our teams use internally developped tools
 such as:
       MERIT Risk Matrix
       MERIT Sensitivity Analysis
                                             MERIT Sensitivity Analysis - Example
       MERIT Chart – Parameter Analysis

 Academically relevant evaluation models
 such as Value at Risk are actively used:

  MERIT VAR - Example                        MERIT Chart – Example (Gas)




                                    10                                  Vienna, March 2010
Critical Client Challenges
  The budgeting process
      Huge divergence between planning and operational processing / fluctuating
      prices of raw materials / lack of transparent profit centre calculations

  Difficulties with the order calculation process
      Price variation while preparing/processing the order / contribution margin can
      not be estimated/foreseen / sales pressure on costs through large corporations

  Stock & inventory valuation
      Changes in prices between purchase and processing / build-up of risk positions
      and hidden risks / working capital costs

  Difficulties stating earnings
      Dependency on international markets / uncertainty due to external factors /
      imprecise reporting / unpredictable cashflows




                                        11                            Vienna, March 2010
How MERIT turns Challenges into Opportunities (1/3)
Securing price levels to achieve competitive advantages
The prices of nearly all important commodities markets have recovered from their historical lows and
rallied considerably since the beginning of the year. The first signs of recovery in the world economy
are visible. The peaks in prices of last year presented huge problems for many manufacturers and
energy-intensive companies. In the medium term there is an opportunity to secure raw materials
prices and purchasing budgets with some room to the downside. By using standardized options and
futures contracts one can profit from short-term setbacks and hedge against a new rise in prices.



Presentation of the risk factors to investors and lenders of capital
The tightened regulatory capital requirements for financial institutions under Basel II and the shortage
of capital for the banks caused by the financial crisis will make company financing much more difficult
in the future. As a result, a good credit rating and a strong investor relationship will be ever more
important. In addition to the general economic and market factors, company key performance figures
(KPIs) as well as controlling and management functions will become increasingly important.




                                                  12                                 Vienna, March 2010
How MERIT turns Challenges into Opportunities (2/3)
Securing and improving the earnings position
Companies should be able to concentrate on what they’re best at – producing innovative products and
selling them at competitive prices. Supply side situation and competitive product price calculation are
very important. Exogenous variables such as raw materials prices can be actively managed using
standardised finance instruments – use of such instruments leads to a stabilisation in the earnings
position and, over and above this, frequently to an improvement in earnings themselves.
Implementation calls for expertise based on experience, which is often not sufficiently available in
many organisations.


Efficient corporate management
Due to the growing complexity of financial products and the increasing volatility of the financial and
commodities markets senior executives are confronted with increasing expectations to risk
management. Planning is made increasingly more difficult as a result of rising or falling raw materials
prices - and the efficient use of financial products for risk management is hampered because of a lack
of modelling systems.




                                                  13                                 Vienna, March 2010
How MERIT turns Challenges into Opportunities (3/3)
Reduction in the cost of purchased materials
Due to the increasing volatility of raw materials prices planning of raw materials-based purchasing
costs is difficult. These can be partly compensated by medium to long-term supply contracts, which
then leads to increased sales price risk, however.


Evidence of raw materials risks
Production costs are becoming ever more influenced by raw materials prices. The costs not only of
primary products but also of consumables and energy have to be taken into account here too. Pushing
procurement risks and management thereof onto suppliers is an insufficient solution to the problem.
The problems that suppliers in a variety of sectors have recently been experiencing have shown that
those businesses that are actually more at the end of the supply chain are indirectly affected by the
risks.




                                                 14                                 Vienna, March 2010
In Conclusion: Your Benefits of Partnering with MERIT
  Strengthening your business:
        Risk control – knowing the impacting risks and preparing for appropriate action
        Budget balance - independent price information and accurate forecasting
                         improve planning & cost efficiency

        Stabilization of company earnings – improving your bottom line




                          RISK
                                      DEFINITION OF RISK                       Added Value
   Fragility         IDENTIFICATION
                                        MANAGEMENT         EXPOSURE CONTROL
                                          STRATEGIE




  Tailor-made commodity management services based on a robust 20-year
  experience

                                                    15                        Vienna, March 2010
Reference Clients




                    16   Vienna, March 2010
Reference Projects                  (1/2)

         Client              Year                        Description/aim of project
                                    Provision of consultancy on how to approach fixed pricing for
Central European                    customers. Its suppliers having changed the basis for their supply
manufacturer of alloy rims   2008   contracts, our client was faced with the problem of variable prices for
                                    purchasing but supplying to its customers at prices fixed for years in
                                    advance.

                                    New energy purchasing concept for the main operation in Austria and
Multinational
                             2008   thereafter for its subsidiaries in the UK/US. Optimisation of electricity
conglomerate                        supply and development of a strategy for pulp purchasing.


                                    Hedging of stock values and recalibration of the trading risk through
                                    capping overall exposure. Introduction or regular risk reporting to allow
Large European
                             2008   timely control of the relevant risk factors. As a result, the company can
metal trader                        deal with price fluctuations in non-ferrous metals markets in a
                                    controlled way.


                                    Development of a strategy to reconcile the risks at each location.
                                    Definition of a product catalogue to handle the Group’s existing nickel,
Cable manufacturer based
                             2008   plastic and currency exposures. The positive operating result is
in CEE                              therefore assured, even if there are sharp declines in the raw materials
                                    markets.




                                           17                                              Vienna, March 2010
Reference Projects          (2/2)

          Client     Year                        Description/aim of project

                            Cross-hedging analysis of the product portfolio – in particular for long
Important European          steel and flat-rolled steel. Creation of a risk profile for the whole group.
                     2008
steel merchant              Hedging solutions by means of different market segments (cross, LME,
                            OTC…)

                            Data collection and analysis of the overall exposure on raw materials.
German                      Development of measures to demarcate value-added/raw materials
                     2009
car manufacturer            components in purchasing. Development and deployment of strategic
                            overlay management.

                            Analysis and evaluation of the existing fuel supply contracts.
German                      Development of planning and analysis tools to aid optimal fuel stocks.
                     2009
airline                     Establishment of a Group-wide hedging strategy and supervision of its
                            implementation with core banks.




                                   18                                               Vienna, March 2010

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Merit Commodity Management

  • 1. Specialist in Commodities Vienna, March 2010
  • 2. About MERIT MERIT provides tailor-made commodity management services: services Analysis & monitoring of commodity exposure – effective risk control Defining commodity hedging strategies – budget balance Realizing commodity trading strategies – stabilisation of company earnings MERIT was founded in Vienna in 1988 as an independent commodity specialist company by visionary Dr. Michael Zillner, who is still the CEO today MERIT’s methodology is based on a robust +20-year business experience with industrial companies in Germany and Austria Dr. Michael Zillner Founder & CEO of MERIT Group 2 Vienna, March 2010
  • 3. MERIT‘s Convictions MERIT is strongly convinced that commodity management is now-more-than-ever strategically important for industrial companies as a real value driver to strengthen company earnings and competitiveness: 120 Many companies are confronted with price risks 115 without taking adequate measures 110 105 Commodity buyers lack the tools -based on 100 95 independent price information and accurate 90 forecasting methods- for effective control of their 85 80 exposure to fluctuations and increases in raw 75 Aluminium Lead Copper Nickel material prices 70 1/4/2010 Tin Zinc 1/18/2010 2/1/2010 2/15/2010 3/1/2010 YTD Price-evolution, Source: MERIT Although good negotiation skills of purchasing departments remain important, the importance of commodity risk management and timing is essential to ensure relative stability and predictability of company earnings 3 Vienna, March 2010
  • 4. MERIT‘s Approach As a human business MERIT emphasises a client-needs-driven approach In-house trained specialists team-up with clients Aiming for long-term partnership based on mutual trust MERIT offers services developed under one roof: roof Consultancy Exposure Management Execution Services Physical Trading though dedicated wholly-owned group company Inventory / Storage Financing 4 Vienna, March 2010
  • 5. MERIT‘s Core Services (1/2) Consultants Identification, analysis and quantification of price risks (commodity and financial) Developement and optimisation of a customized Management Information System (MIS) for continous quantification and controll of all relevant price risks Definition of hedging strategies Daily reporting, customized value- and risk presentation Risk- and Exposure Management Data capture, analysis and active management of market price risks Outsourcing with clearly defined links to client‘s risk department Optimisation of the result with best possible product mix Exposure Management using quantitative tools to improve overall results 5 Vienna, March 2010
  • 6. MERIT‘s Core Services (2/2) Execution Services Execution of Hedging Strategies via 24h Brokerage Desk* Implementation of appropriate account setup Signaler function Physical Trading Physical trading and delivery capabilities Inventory / Storage Financing *Execution in cooperation with group company Merit Alternative Investments GmbH (FMA authorised) 6 Vienna, March 2010
  • 7. Related Services MERIT Stock Control MERIT Strategy Development Elimination of the stock price risk Strategic support for company boards with regard to financial risks MERIT Order Management Securing income Active Risk Management Taking into account the respective purchasing, sales MERIT Procurement Management and stock situations Control of the purchase price risk Scenario Simulation and Evaluation MERIT Exposure Management Using our standard software suite RIVa Overall risk assessment of a company MERIT Overlay Management MERIT Budget Management Stabilisation of financial results through targeted Assistance in keeping to budget targets overlay management of a company’s financial risks Reconciliation of group-wide financial risks MERIT Value Management (Currency, interest and raw materials risks) Results optimisation within pre-defined risk thresholds taking correlation and price elasticity into account Derivation and Modelling of Hedging Direct market access to relevant Measures exchanges in accounting systems (IAS 39 – hedge accounting) Through the MERIT-Group, with direct exploitation of market opportunities to optimise purchasing results Group Reporting – Risk Report Assistance in compiling the risk report for annual MERIT Cash Flow Management reports Safeguarding cash flows from raw materials risks 7 Vienna, March 2010
  • 8. Core Industry Expertise Automobile producers High Energy consuming industries Suppliers to automobile industry Steel Industrie Airlines and other transportation Energy providers / public sector businesses related Metal processors Paper and pulp Other commodity processing Utilities industries 8 Vienna, March 2010
  • 9. Markets we cover Non-ferrous and precious metals Energy Copper, aluminium, zinc, nickel, tin, gas oil, crude oil, natural gas, coal, lead, magnesium kerosene Gold, silver, palladium, platinum, Electricity, CO2 rhodium Steel and steel derivatives Plastics Long steel, flat-rolled steel, high- PP, PE, PA6, PA6.6, ABS, PC/ABS grade steel types, tubes,… Iron ore Soft commodities Pulp Corn, wheat, soybeans, sugar, cocoa and coffee beans, cotton, palm oil Customer-specific special materials and alloys 9 Vienna, March 2010
  • 10. MERIT – Tools MERIT Risk Matrix - Example Our teams use internally developped tools such as: MERIT Risk Matrix MERIT Sensitivity Analysis MERIT Sensitivity Analysis - Example MERIT Chart – Parameter Analysis Academically relevant evaluation models such as Value at Risk are actively used: MERIT VAR - Example MERIT Chart – Example (Gas) 10 Vienna, March 2010
  • 11. Critical Client Challenges The budgeting process Huge divergence between planning and operational processing / fluctuating prices of raw materials / lack of transparent profit centre calculations Difficulties with the order calculation process Price variation while preparing/processing the order / contribution margin can not be estimated/foreseen / sales pressure on costs through large corporations Stock & inventory valuation Changes in prices between purchase and processing / build-up of risk positions and hidden risks / working capital costs Difficulties stating earnings Dependency on international markets / uncertainty due to external factors / imprecise reporting / unpredictable cashflows 11 Vienna, March 2010
  • 12. How MERIT turns Challenges into Opportunities (1/3) Securing price levels to achieve competitive advantages The prices of nearly all important commodities markets have recovered from their historical lows and rallied considerably since the beginning of the year. The first signs of recovery in the world economy are visible. The peaks in prices of last year presented huge problems for many manufacturers and energy-intensive companies. In the medium term there is an opportunity to secure raw materials prices and purchasing budgets with some room to the downside. By using standardized options and futures contracts one can profit from short-term setbacks and hedge against a new rise in prices. Presentation of the risk factors to investors and lenders of capital The tightened regulatory capital requirements for financial institutions under Basel II and the shortage of capital for the banks caused by the financial crisis will make company financing much more difficult in the future. As a result, a good credit rating and a strong investor relationship will be ever more important. In addition to the general economic and market factors, company key performance figures (KPIs) as well as controlling and management functions will become increasingly important. 12 Vienna, March 2010
  • 13. How MERIT turns Challenges into Opportunities (2/3) Securing and improving the earnings position Companies should be able to concentrate on what they’re best at – producing innovative products and selling them at competitive prices. Supply side situation and competitive product price calculation are very important. Exogenous variables such as raw materials prices can be actively managed using standardised finance instruments – use of such instruments leads to a stabilisation in the earnings position and, over and above this, frequently to an improvement in earnings themselves. Implementation calls for expertise based on experience, which is often not sufficiently available in many organisations. Efficient corporate management Due to the growing complexity of financial products and the increasing volatility of the financial and commodities markets senior executives are confronted with increasing expectations to risk management. Planning is made increasingly more difficult as a result of rising or falling raw materials prices - and the efficient use of financial products for risk management is hampered because of a lack of modelling systems. 13 Vienna, March 2010
  • 14. How MERIT turns Challenges into Opportunities (3/3) Reduction in the cost of purchased materials Due to the increasing volatility of raw materials prices planning of raw materials-based purchasing costs is difficult. These can be partly compensated by medium to long-term supply contracts, which then leads to increased sales price risk, however. Evidence of raw materials risks Production costs are becoming ever more influenced by raw materials prices. The costs not only of primary products but also of consumables and energy have to be taken into account here too. Pushing procurement risks and management thereof onto suppliers is an insufficient solution to the problem. The problems that suppliers in a variety of sectors have recently been experiencing have shown that those businesses that are actually more at the end of the supply chain are indirectly affected by the risks. 14 Vienna, March 2010
  • 15. In Conclusion: Your Benefits of Partnering with MERIT Strengthening your business: Risk control – knowing the impacting risks and preparing for appropriate action Budget balance - independent price information and accurate forecasting improve planning & cost efficiency Stabilization of company earnings – improving your bottom line RISK DEFINITION OF RISK Added Value Fragility IDENTIFICATION MANAGEMENT EXPOSURE CONTROL STRATEGIE Tailor-made commodity management services based on a robust 20-year experience 15 Vienna, March 2010
  • 16. Reference Clients 16 Vienna, March 2010
  • 17. Reference Projects (1/2) Client Year Description/aim of project Provision of consultancy on how to approach fixed pricing for Central European customers. Its suppliers having changed the basis for their supply manufacturer of alloy rims 2008 contracts, our client was faced with the problem of variable prices for purchasing but supplying to its customers at prices fixed for years in advance. New energy purchasing concept for the main operation in Austria and Multinational 2008 thereafter for its subsidiaries in the UK/US. Optimisation of electricity conglomerate supply and development of a strategy for pulp purchasing. Hedging of stock values and recalibration of the trading risk through capping overall exposure. Introduction or regular risk reporting to allow Large European 2008 timely control of the relevant risk factors. As a result, the company can metal trader deal with price fluctuations in non-ferrous metals markets in a controlled way. Development of a strategy to reconcile the risks at each location. Definition of a product catalogue to handle the Group’s existing nickel, Cable manufacturer based 2008 plastic and currency exposures. The positive operating result is in CEE therefore assured, even if there are sharp declines in the raw materials markets. 17 Vienna, March 2010
  • 18. Reference Projects (2/2) Client Year Description/aim of project Cross-hedging analysis of the product portfolio – in particular for long Important European steel and flat-rolled steel. Creation of a risk profile for the whole group. 2008 steel merchant Hedging solutions by means of different market segments (cross, LME, OTC…) Data collection and analysis of the overall exposure on raw materials. German Development of measures to demarcate value-added/raw materials 2009 car manufacturer components in purchasing. Development and deployment of strategic overlay management. Analysis and evaluation of the existing fuel supply contracts. German Development of planning and analysis tools to aid optimal fuel stocks. 2009 airline Establishment of a Group-wide hedging strategy and supervision of its implementation with core banks. 18 Vienna, March 2010