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THE PROBLEM:
Energy, Security and American
Leadership
The	
  Challenges	
  


•      Growing	
  Global	
  Demand	
  for	
  Energy	
  
•      Security	
  of	
  Energy	
  Supplies	
  	
  
•      Economic	
  Stability	
  
•      Environmental	
  Sustainability	
  
•      Aging	
  Infrastructure	
  	
  
•      Declining	
  American	
  R&D	
  for	
  the	
  Future	
  

	
  
Challenge:	
  Growing	
  Global	
  Energy	
  Demand	
  

                            EIA	
  ProjecEons:2011-­‐2035	
  
                            •  91%	
  growth	
  in	
  Asia	
  (ex.	
  
                               Japan)	
  	
  	
  
                            •  62%	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  
                               Middle	
  East	
  
                            •  65%	
  growth	
  in	
  Africa	
  	
  
                            •  69%	
  growth	
  	
  in	
  Central	
  
                               and	
  South	
  America	
  
                            •  9%	
  increase	
  in	
  US	
  
Challenge:	
  Security	
  of	
  Energy	
  Supplies	
  


                               •  Energy	
  Dependence	
  
                                  Creates	
  Military	
  
                                  Missions	
  
                               •  Oil	
  Dependence	
  
                                  Undermines	
  American	
  
                                  Foreign	
  Policy	
  
Challenge:	
  Economic	
  Instability	
  
                                                        U.S.	
  Natural	
  Gas	
  Wellhead	
  Prices	
  	
                                                     Oil	
  Price	
  ($WTI)	
  
                                                                     (Henry	
  Hub)	
                                                                       January	
  2007-­‐Present	
  
                                            12	
                                                                                        160	
  


                                                                                                                                        140	
  
                                            10	
  

                                                                                                                                        120	
  
$	
  per	
  thousand	
  cubic	
  feet	
  




                                              8	
  
                                                                                                                                        100	
  




                                                                                                               $	
  per	
  barrel	
  
                                              6	
                                                                                         80	
  


                                                                                                                                          60	
  
                                              4	
  

                                                                                                                                          40	
  

                                              2	
  
                                                                                                                                          20	
  


                                              0	
                                                                                          0	
  
                                                    	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
                                                   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
                                             2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012                                                 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012
Challenge:	
  Environmental	
  Sustainability	
  

•  82%	
  of	
  the	
  US	
  energy	
  
   supply	
  is	
  fossil	
  fuels,	
  
   which	
  produce	
  
   greenhouse	
  gases	
  
•  A	
  changing	
  climate	
  is	
  
   creaEng	
  new	
  missions	
  
   for	
  an	
  already	
  
   overstretched	
  military.	
  
Challenge:	
  Declining	
  American	
  R&D	
  

•  Investment	
  in	
  basic	
  research	
  and	
  
   development	
  is	
  about	
  2.6%	
  of	
  GDP	
  –	
  
   significantly	
  less	
  than	
  the	
  3%	
  that	
  we	
  held	
  as	
  a	
  
   standard	
  through	
  the	
  1960s	
  
•  PrioriEes?	
  	
  
    –  The	
  U.S.	
  spends	
  more	
  annually	
  on	
  a	
  tax	
  break	
  for	
  
       employee	
  parking	
  ($3.1	
  billion)	
  than	
  the	
  
       Department	
  of	
  Energy	
  spent	
  on	
  applied	
  R&D	
  
       ($2.27	
  billion)?	
  
THE	
  OPPOTUNITY:	
  
for American Leadership and
Security
	
  
Aging	
  Energy	
  Infrastructure	
  
New	
  Energy	
  Infrastructure	
  needed	
  	
  
to	
  meet	
  rising	
  demand	
  
Electricity-­‐GeneraEng	
  	
  
Power	
  Plants	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
•  Over	
  500	
  Coal-­‐fired	
  Electricity	
  Plants	
  
•  104	
  Nuclear	
  Reactors	
  
•  Over	
  1,500	
  Natural	
  Gas	
  Electricity	
  Generators	
  
                                     	
  
     All	
  of	
  these	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  be	
  replaced	
  	
  or	
  
            substan5ally	
  refi8ed	
  before	
  2050	
  
•  What	
  will	
  replace	
  them?	
  
The	
  Challenges	
  

       	
  “by	
  the	
  year	
  1980,	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  will	
  not	
  
           be	
  dependent	
  on	
  any	
  other	
  country	
  for	
  the	
  
           energy	
  we	
  need	
  to	
  provide	
  our	
  jobs,	
  to	
  heat	
  
           our	
  homes,	
  and	
  to	
  keep	
  our	
  transportaEon	
  
           moving.”	
  	
  
       	
  –	
  President	
  Richard	
  Nixon,	
  1974	
  
	
  
America's Energy Challenges

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America's Energy Challenges

  • 1. THE PROBLEM: Energy, Security and American Leadership
  • 2. The  Challenges   •  Growing  Global  Demand  for  Energy   •  Security  of  Energy  Supplies     •  Economic  Stability   •  Environmental  Sustainability   •  Aging  Infrastructure     •  Declining  American  R&D  for  the  Future    
  • 3. Challenge:  Growing  Global  Energy  Demand   EIA  ProjecEons:2011-­‐2035   •  91%  growth  in  Asia  (ex.   Japan)       •  62%  growth  in  the   Middle  East   •  65%  growth  in  Africa     •  69%  growth    in  Central   and  South  America   •  9%  increase  in  US  
  • 4. Challenge:  Security  of  Energy  Supplies   •  Energy  Dependence   Creates  Military   Missions   •  Oil  Dependence   Undermines  American   Foreign  Policy  
  • 5. Challenge:  Economic  Instability   U.S.  Natural  Gas  Wellhead  Prices     Oil  Price  ($WTI)   (Henry  Hub)   January  2007-­‐Present   12   160   140   10   120   $  per  thousand  cubic  feet   8   100   $  per  barrel   6   80   60   4   40   2   20   0   0                                           2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012
  • 6. Challenge:  Environmental  Sustainability   •  82%  of  the  US  energy   supply  is  fossil  fuels,   which  produce   greenhouse  gases   •  A  changing  climate  is   creaEng  new  missions   for  an  already   overstretched  military.  
  • 7. Challenge:  Declining  American  R&D   •  Investment  in  basic  research  and   development  is  about  2.6%  of  GDP  –   significantly  less  than  the  3%  that  we  held  as  a   standard  through  the  1960s   •  PrioriEes?     –  The  U.S.  spends  more  annually  on  a  tax  break  for   employee  parking  ($3.1  billion)  than  the   Department  of  Energy  spent  on  applied  R&D   ($2.27  billion)?  
  • 8. THE  OPPOTUNITY:   for American Leadership and Security  
  • 10. New  Energy  Infrastructure  needed     to  meet  rising  demand  
  • 11. Electricity-­‐GeneraEng     Power  Plants  in  the  U.S.   •  Over  500  Coal-­‐fired  Electricity  Plants   •  104  Nuclear  Reactors   •  Over  1,500  Natural  Gas  Electricity  Generators     All  of  these  will  have  to  be  replaced    or   substan5ally  refi8ed  before  2050   •  What  will  replace  them?  
  • 12. The  Challenges    “by  the  year  1980,  the  United  States  will  not   be  dependent  on  any  other  country  for  the   energy  we  need  to  provide  our  jobs,  to  heat   our  homes,  and  to  keep  our  transportaEon   moving.”      –  President  Richard  Nixon,  1974