Pathway to a Resilent Dorset - Workshop Presentation - Peter Head
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The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST) platform is an open-source, free IP city-region platform for collaborative, low-carbon, planning and investment, which integrates human-ecological-economic systems. In order for Dorset to 'grow through business enterprise, whilst safeguarding the environment’, a select group of leaders will debate whether The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST) integrated platform is a good solution for the county. TEST is an open-source, free IP city-region platform for collaborative, low-carbon, planning and investment. It integrates human-ecological-economic systems; a system which calculates the current resource flows from human and ecological activity (e.g. in soils, air, water, industrial plants and infrastructure) and enables economically beneficial urban-rural resource management to be funded and implemented through ‘good’ projects, together with insurance against extreme risks with an integrated focus on energy, water and food security. The Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP), Bournemouth University and Mouchel have agreed to support a short study to investigate whether The Ecological Sequestration Trust integrated planning and investment platform (TEST), is a good option for Dorset to help ‘deliver growth through business enterprise, whilst safeguarding the environment’. Our objective is to support good governance for sustainable development and explain the very latest methods of using data and systems integration in decision making. What is the TEST platform? TEST is an open-source regional platform for collaborative, low-carbon, planning and investment. It integrates human-ecological-economic systems; a system which calculates the current resource flows from human and ecological activity (e.g. in soils, air, water, industrial plants and infrastructure) and enables economically beneficial urban-rural resource management to be funded and implemented through ‘good’ projects, together with insurance against extreme risks with an integrated focus on energy, water and food security. Why would Dorset benefit from it? Dorset prides itself on its business, social and natural environment. All of these must be nurtured in order to grow. Business leaders and governments acknowledge that growth and development needs a new operating model that is less dependent on primary energy and material inputs. However, unless resource use and supply chains are holistically understood, this can be a challenge. Easy access to robust data, which can be converted into useful information that builds knowledge and understanding, is crucial for good decision making and development in all sectors...
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Pathway to a Resilent Dorset - Workshop Presentation - Peter Head
- 1. Pathway to a Resilient Future for Dorset Peter Head @peterheadCBE #dorset
- 2. Supporting the creation of an EU and Global hub for trade and business Providing a planning tool to prioritise investment for resilient economic growth that embraces rural and urban communities Attracting inward investment to create a more competitive lower cost economy with more jobs and better services Leadership for a Resilient Future for Dorset
- 3. __ Growing global instability Contents Section 1 Section 2 __ Global Action for resilience Section 3 __Observatory to Collaboratory __ Funding and opportunitiesSection 4 Section 5 __ The way forward
- 4. 1. Growing global instability
- 5. Our Shrinking Earth Population growing at 80m per year YEAR Hectares of Land Per Capita USA 9.5 UK 5.8 China 2.3 India 1.3
- 6. China’s Ecological Footprint growing at 4% per year =100 million hectares of new land per year
- 7. Industrial development is polluting and wasteful Air pollution alone costs the UK between £9-19 billion annually in health damages
- 8. HDI-Ecological Footprint Graph Malaysia Hong Kong Dorset
- 9. The UK National Ecosystem Assessment concluded in 2011 that 30% of ecosystems are in decline, and many others are in a reduced or degraded state.
- 10. 2. Global action for resilience
- 11. SDSN Action Agenda Report Sustainable Development Solutions Network
- 12. In 2013 China changed the legal constitution for development towards the “Ecological Civilisation” • To take a scientific approach to development • To make Ecological Progress China now has an environmental court and a circular economy law Global Action - China
- 13. The Circular Economy THE ELLEN MACARTHUR FOUNDATION ‘The evolution of our economy from an increasingly resource- constrained ‘take-make-dispose’ model towards one that is circular and re- generative by intention poses a huge opportunity for business innovation. This report highlights the significant economic opportunities, both immediate and long-term, that are available across the EU-a recurring 3-4% GDP cost saving. The report offers the catalyst for a sector wide re-design revolution’.
- 14. Moving from Ownership to Services ‘Innovative business models, especially changing from ownership to performance-based payment models, are instrumental in translating products designed for reuse into attractive value propositions ‘Enablers to improve cross-cycle and cross-sector performance include higher transparency, alignment of incentives, and the establishment of industry standards for better cross-chain and cross-sector collaboration; access to financing and risk management tools; regulation and infrastructure development; and—last but not least— education, both to increase general awareness and to create the skill base to drive circular innovation’.
- 15. Competitive Dorset How economy will improve from substantial net savings on material and energy costs, improved mitigation of volatility and supply risks (eg renewables), higher multipliers due to sectoral shifts and reduced externalities How companies will win by creating new profit pools and competitive advantage, building resilience against some of today’s most strategic challenges, and the opportunity for growth How consumers and users will win by gaining more choice, experiencing fewer hassles from premature obsolescence, and enjoying improved service quality
- 16. Castlepoint Electricity – ‘Watts Up!’ - 2005 annual electricity bill = £138,000 – 2,045 KWHRS - 2013 annual electricity bill = £115,000 – 1,211 KWHRS - No increase to tenants.
- 17. ENERGY WATER FOOD RAW MATERIALS By 2030 world needs 30% more water, 40% more energy & 50% more food Resource Efficiency
- 18. 11.1 Waste and the circular economy
- 19. Materials and Waste –Systems Approach Hillier, Graham. “Construction Products for a Sustainable Society” Sustainability - Steel and the Environment Conference. 2 November 2004
- 20. Food, paper, cardboard, metal recycling
- 21. 1. A Regional Approach Is Fundamental 2. Gather regional data, develop regional knowledge, embed integrated regional planning, build regional capacity and shared confidence to act 3. Uniting economic, societal and environmental perspectives and shape interventions with a common/credible economic analyses Approach to Sustainable Regions Greenhouse gases Greenhouse gases Greenhouse gases Solid waste Degraded waters Manufactured goods INTERLAND Manufactured goods Fuels and Raw materials Water Food Land and sea
- 22. Public Sector Geographies Private Sector Research NGO & Philanthropy Specialisms Sectors TEST TEST stepped into the space between existing institutions to facilitate systems integration and scale up Specialisms Degraded waters Manufactured goods
- 23. 3. Observatory to Collaboratory
- 24. Licence Form Region Application name Organisation Partnership agreement Technical support service
- 25. Dorset land use 75% agriculture 11% woodland 12% built up/other
- 26. Earth(in solar system) Simulator Region Simulator A planning tool to prioritise investment www.icesfoundation.orgwww.ecosequestrust.org
- 27. In the last twenty years, the world has • Deployed a global, high-bandwidth network • Created a population of over 1 billion Internet users • And another population of some 6 billion mobile telephones • Embedded some billions of sensors in our environment and infrastructure • Invented globally-integrated business processes
- 29. Crowd-sourced data Apps and sensors
- 31. nativi@iia.cnr.it empoweredby Brokering Framework Data brokering framework linked to Systems Model Engine
- 32. The system of community life
- 33. Syn City City resources IIER Economics EFI Forestry PROFILE Soil-agriculture
- 35. Earth observation and ground sensors for land use data Soil and geology PROFILE
- 36. Government data eg demographics, employment Crowd-sourced agent Data – mobility 4G 5G 6G
- 37. Resource flows Sankey Diagrams
- 38. Integrated Sustainable Infrastructure transport logistics and waste management sewerage, potable and non-potable water energy agriculture, landscape and urban design
- 39. Economic Region Social, Env, Economic Targets Data Processor Boundaries
- 40. Economic Region Social, Env, Economic TargetsPower Water Treatment Industry Mining Building cluster Railway BIM IIMProcessor Boundaries Agriculture, grassland Forest Data Processor Boundaries Energy Water Mass goods &minerals Agents
- 41. BIPV on roof Thin film photovoltaics are factory applied to the roof sheeting, offering a robust and aesthetically pleasing solution. TSC on walls Transpired solar collector on south facing walls draws warm air into the building to provide space heating either directly or to be stored for later use. Storage Warm air from the TSC is stored in a tank supplying the heating system. Electricity generated by the photovoltaics is stored in batteries. Water purification Rainfall on the roof passes over a photoactive TiO2 coated metal roof sheeting, which removes organic matter. This is collected, passed through a filter and stored for use in the house. Release Energy generated by the building envelope is released throughout the house via heating, lighting, electrical equipment and water use. B u i l d i n g s a s P o w e r S t a t i o n s SPECIFIC http://www.specific.eu.com
- 43. 43 Education On-line science, engineering, maths, economics, social science, politics, humanities MOOCSline Gaming for school childrenCockpit
- 44. The system of community life
- 45. Ecology Health Air Water Soil Quality Human Health well-being nutrition, life-span, healthcare costs Labour- skill, job availability, salary, productivity Training & Education- skill and knowledge through learning and education Human agents and their well-being Economy Asset Value Goods High quality Inclusive resilient growth “Green, circular, Knowledge economy”
- 46. - 2 bee hives put at back of centre. - Bees forage in Townsend housing estate next door. - Local residents of Edentide Homes are now able to come into the centre and buy jars of honey produced from there own gardens. - 45 jars were produced in 2013. Castlepoint Bees
- 47. Art and Culture Community Leadership and Cultural Planning “Trust”
- 48. 4. Funding and opportunities
- 49. The Open-Source, Agent-based Urban-Rural Resource and Economics Systems Platform Model
- 50. Integrated urban systems design/planning and procurement for sustainability and resilience Now Where we could be with systems thinking and performance based procurement • Sequential and silo-ed approach – conventional economic assessment dominates how we design (cities, policies, technology interventions etc) • Short term political and finance cycles dominate economic plane • Environment plane silo-ed (i.e. water-food-energy, urban and rural viewed separately) • Social benefit at the end of the line – abstract relationship to earlier planes . • INTEGRATED DESIGN • INTEGRATED PLANNING • ACCELERATED DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT PLANNING DESIGN DESIGN PLANNING DEVELOPMENT
- 51. 5th Strategic planning and investment for flood protection 5th June 2014
- 52. Output Successful improvement in energy-water-food security and quality of life “Project portfolio” Evidence- based ‘trusted’ independent model Regional Investment Fund - ‘Green Growth’ ‘Climate Adaptation’ ‘Social Impact Bonds’ 1-2% GDP per annum Sources of capital-MNB’s Pension Funds Sovereign Wealth Funds Return Investment Assurance “Attracting inward investment into Dorset” 1% GDP= £160m/yr
- 53. 5. The way forward
- 54. Supporting the creation of an EU and Global hub in Dorset CHINA NDRC MOHURD APEC Eco Demo Regions International Centre Chongqing University UK-EU Demo region Dorset LEP IFS DFID Cities Alliance Country programme 5 Centres African Centre for Cities African Urban Research Initiative Mainland Europe ICLEI GIZ Climate KIC-IFS Global UNEP UN Habitat UNDP UNSDSN UCCRN Mongolia Demo region UN ADB FCO Brazil Rio de Janeiro Academy of Science
- 56. TEST “Accelerator Scale-Up Fund” Build open source platform & set it up in demo regions using loan Demonstration region savings enable pay back of set-up loan costs over 7 years plus interest & attract funds for more regions Platform development funders to get use of and value from platform • DFID • Climate KIC • ESA • China Government ®ions • MNB’s $ $ Independent Fund Manager
- 57. Dorset LEP can be the first EU demonstration region to show transformational change to a resilient inclusive high quality growth model in which communities can participate. Local businesses can develop new business models and gain access to global markets. Inward investment can be attracted. Understanding extinction and demonstrating resilience
Notes de l'éditeur
- Animated Earths appearing In 1998 WWF started publishing a biennial Planet Report. The 2006 Report showed that we are now living in severe ecological overshoot. We are now consuming 25% more resources than the planet can replace and are drawing down the stock of natural capital that supports our lives. The key metric is the ‘ecological footprint’ of the population of each country. This is the area of earth surface required to support the population’s lifestyle with water, energy, food and resources and waste absorption. In 1900 we had an average of 8ha of land to support everyone’s life on the planet, but today with population growth and loss of productive land from pollution we only have 2ha. In Britain we are living as if this hasn’t happened and we are using 6ha on average each-3 planets worth of resources.
- Unseen reality ….
- Words fade into images then fade to the next slide automatically So what are the big issues and opportunities for resource efficiency in food, water, energy and raw materials?
- There is a new phrase being used now ; the circular economy. The trouble with the easy to say phrase is that as an economy it does not exist! The economy exists, business development, new opportunities exist but nothing goes round in a loop. However, as shown here the concept is very apt because it indicates that there is generally a solution to all routes for recovery before one has to pay for wastage. What a diagram cannot show is that we are not just talking about turning glass bottles into new glass bottles. Whilst this is important there are other added value routes fro glass. It can be used as filtration material at a value many times higher than its bottle worth. Other uses of higher value also exist as they do for most materials. We are not then just interested in recycling but in a wider approach to conserving resource use, adding value by developing new markets in both materials and energy fields, reducing carbon, and generally being of more sustainable use to society. The concept of not having waste is critical. This is the cultural paradigm we seek. In ‘East of Eden’ Steinbeck’s character xxx the father of the two brothers says to them. ‘waste is something I do not like, I cannot afford it’
- 4 arrows appear 1 by 1 Let’s start our look at what the Biomimicry principles can deliver in terms of practical change to reach a footprint of 1.44ha per person by 2050, starting with ‘using materials sparingly’, ‘using waste as a resource’ and ‘not drawing down non-renewable’. This is a global issue so lets take in low and high income countries together. We need to reduce non-renewable resource consumption. The way to do this is to reuse as much of existing things in their current form and if this is not possible then either remanufacture them back into a new product or recycle them back into useable feedstock. Studies in the UK have shown that to get to one planet living, all products will need to come from 80 to 100% sustainable sourcing and this will need regulated quality labels to show the impact of the product lifecycle. Manufacturers will need to be clustered using industrial symbiosis principles which means sharing resources and having integrated supply chain management. It has been estimated in the UK that this can lead to a 75% overall reduction in the ecological footprint of products.
- The Trust has also chosen Chongming Island in Shanghai which is a demonstrator region for China State Government’s ecological development plans, Kigali in Rwanda which aims to implement Rwanda’s low carbon action plan and the Swansea Region of South Wales which aims to regenerate the local economy through green sustainable growth.