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19 October 2010




    AfrOil
                                                                                                                                                                                  Week 41

                                                                                                                                                                         Issue 361
                                                                                                                                                                                 News
                                                                                                                                                                             Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                          Intelligence
                                                                                                                                                                             Published by
  AFRICA OIL & GAS MONITOR
                                                                                                                                                                  NewsBase
COMMENTARY                                            2         NEWS THIS WEEK…



                                                                   Gabon delay
  Gabon struggles to sustain plans on
  auction delay                                        2

  Centric chases rift frontier potential               4
                                                                   The Gabonese government has announced an
INVESTMENT                                            6
                                                                   indefinite delay to the launch of its 10th bid round.
  African refining plans fall short                    6

  Zuma backs economic case for Project
                                                                          Gabon’s oil production has been declining for
  Mthombo                              6                                  some years. The country hopes that exploration of
  Sirius Petroleum shines light on Nigeria’s                              its ultra-deepwater will turn this trend around. (Page 2)
  Ke field                                 7
                                                                          The country’s reasons for putting off the bid
PERFORMANCE                                           7
                                                                          round focus on concerns highlighted by BP’s Gulf
  Spain, Algeria fight on gas pricing                  7                  of Mexico disaster.                           (Page 9)
  Confidence in Libya continues to
  deteriorate

  Petroceltic updates North African
                                                       8
                                                                   Refining woes
  appraisal programme                                  8           Africa’s refining sector is slow-moving and very
POLICY                                                9            few schemes actually make progress.
  Tullow continues Kinshasa dispute                    9                  CITAC has diagnosed the downstream industry
  Gabon postpones round again                          9                  and appears unimpressed.                 (Page 6)


                                                                   Libyan squeeze
  Obasanjo aide charged over NLNG case10

  Abyei talks collapse, jeopardising
  Sudanese production                                10
                                                                   Tripoli has proved to be a difficult partner in many
PROJECTS & COMPANIES                                11
                                                                   ways and this is slowing development.
  Shell to launch Marsa el-Brega tender 11

  Sonangol and PetroSA plot refinery joint
                                                                          A number of companies have dropped licences as
  venture                                11                               a result of poor results and tough terms. (Page 8)

NEWS IN BRIEF                                       12
                                                                          Reports suggest work on Marsa el-Brega may
COURSES                                             20                    soon be up for tender again, but it is unclear that
CONFERENCES                                         21
                                                                          things will be any better this time around. (Page 11)


For analysis and commentary on these and other stories, plus the latest oil and gas developments, see inside…
                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 2


                                                                       COMMENTARY

Gabon struggles to sustain
plans on auction delay
Libreville has announced another delay to its 10th licence round, throwing into question
the country’s plans to sustain production levels through licensing the technically difficult
ultra-deepwater offshore
By Alfonse Dubere
   The round was due to be held on October 27 but has been postponed indefinitely
   Environmental concerns are said to be a major factor in the decision to delay the round
   Gabon needs production from new areas to overcome the decline of the last few years

Gabon has postponed its planned 10th                              Total, which have recently announced                                 Petroleum and Hydrocarbons Minister
licensing round yet again. The news will                          imminent Gabonese commitments.                                       Julien Nkoghe Bekale said on October
come as a disappointment to explorers                               The official line from Libreville is that                          12. The minister said exploration costs
that have been eyeing the West African                            the auction of 42 offshore drilling blocks                           and environmental concerns had changed
country’s deeper offshore waters as a                             – which had originally been scheduled                                since the Gulf of Mexico spill.
new oil frontier opportunity – a view                             for March and was then put off until                                    “This approach is consistent with our
mirrored by foreign majors LUKoil and                             October 27 – has been postponed                                      hopes to achieve the best standards for
                                                                                             indefinitely,                             risk prevention and industrial safety, and
                                                                                             owing to a                                compliance with environmental
                                                                                             number of                                 standards,” he was reported as saying by
                                                                                             factors,                                  Reuters.
                                                                                             including a                                  The Gabonese authorities want “to be
                                                                                             requirement                               assured of certain guarantees, notably
                                                                                             for improved                              with regard to security, the environment
                                                                                             security and                              and the opportunities for operators,” an
                                                                                             environment                               official said. Libreville is taking into
                                                                                             guarantees.                               account what happened in the Gulf of
                                                                                                Africa’s                               Mexico, where the worst oil spill in US
                                                                                             seventh largest                           history occurred in April 2010. “No one
                                                                                             crude supplier                            is immune from that sort of accident ...
                                                                                             increasingly                              which means that we are taking the time
                                                                                             needs to                                  to prepare things in the best way.”
                                                                                             combat steep                                 Concerns over environmental issues
                                                                                             declines from                             are on the rise around the world, with a
                                                                                             its existing                              number of company officials reporting
                                                                                             fields, but                               increased interest as a result of the
                                                                                             “wisdom has                               Macondo disaster.
                                                                                             prevailed,                                   Mba said some companies had shown
                                                                                             since new                                 interest in the new blocks, reiterating past
                                                                                             factors and                               statements from the government that the
                                                                                             objectives                                auction had been delayed to October 27
                                                                                             have arisen,”                             because of heightened international
                                                                                             Gabonese                                  interest.
                                                                                             Mines,




                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 3


                                                                       COMMENTARY
   CGG Veritas, which has worked on                               fresh exploration ventures, as well as the                           Sud.
marketing the round, said in late 2009                            oil companies that buy into the blocks.
that some industry majors and larger                              This, now, is in question.                                           Existing plays
independents had already shown an                                                                                                      Gabon’s attraction as a hydrocarbons
initial interest in the acreage. Recent                           Ultra-deep prospects                                                 market remain strong, though, as shown
reports cited China’s Sinopec – already                           Oil remains Gabon’s main source of                                   by recent comments from LUKoil,
an existing player in Gabon – as lining                           wealth, accounting for about 60% of the                              Russia’s second largest oil company,
up major potential bids at the auction.                           country’s budget, but output has been                                which is considering joining an upstream
   Mba underlined that one of the key                             declining for more than a decade after                               oil and gas project in Gabon as part of its
external concerns – new regulations for                           hitting a peak of 371,000 barrels per day                            strategy of expanding in West Africa. No
the Gabonese industry – was being                                 in 1997, falling to around 220,000-                                  further details were provided by
drawn up, and would lay down a number                             250,000 bpd. The new licensing round,                                LUKoil’s president, Vagit Alekperov,
of rules that firms currently operating in                        which was due to open on October 27                                  who told reporters on October 13 that
Gabon and those hoping to do so would                             with a grand event in Libreville, was                                “we’re looking at Gabon.”
have to obey. A French law firm, Gide                             therefore seen as key to Gabon’s                                        Far more specific is French Total,
Loyrette Nouel, came up with a draft                              hydrocarbons future, marking the first                               which is eyeing a multi-billion
hydrocarbons law in 2009, but work on                             time that Gabon had offered blocks in the                            investment into its Gabonese oil acreage.
this would appear to be ongoing.                                  offshore ultra-deepwater.                                            “We are planning to invest some very
   It may be significant in this respect                             Here, untapped subsalt deposits have                              large sums, nearly US$2 billion in our
that, according to Reuters, a Gabonese                            been touted as offering complex but                                  installations and at the same time get
energy official said recently that in                             potentially highly lucrative opportunities                           access to new resources,” Total’s head of
addition to royalties and production                              for players prepared to gamble that                                  exploration and production, Yves-Louis
costs, Gabon would seek a 50% share of                            drilling successes across the Atlantic in                            Darricarrere, told Gabon’s national
production for fields producing up to                             Brazil’s offshore can be replicated.                                 television on October 13.
75,000 bpd, and a greater percentage for                             The untapped potential of Gabon’s                                    Darricarrere reportedly hinted that
fields where output was even higher.                              subsalt section was recently highlighted                             Total Gabon’s Anguille oilfield would
   Whatever Gabon’s rationale for the                             by Spain’s Repsol, which said it wanted                              not be the only investment in the years
move, the news has, yet again, placed on                          to “export” the Brazilian model to Gabon                             ahead by the French super-major, which
hold what some market observers have                              and other West African countries.                                    also controls the 6,000-square km Diaba
envisaged will be a potential 10-year                                Several small subsalt discoveries have                            block. His comments came after a
period of offshore exploration in Gabon.                          already been made offshore the Republic                              meeting with Gabonese President Ali
   It had seemed entirely plausible that a                        of Congo (Brazzaville), giving rise to                               Ben Bongo, who took office in August
range of drilling activity could begin                            predictions that this trend could run all                            2009, replacing his father.
across the newly licensed blocks by mid-                          the way up to Tullow Oil’s discoveries                                  Bongo has held up a range of targets
2011, bringing opportunities for the                              offshore Ghana.                                                      for economic revitalisation, including the
drilling contractors and subsea                                      Data for bidders pursuing this play                               replacement of gas flaring with re-
equipment manufacturers that feed on                              offshore Gabon have been handled by                                  injection techniques. Like many African
                                                                                           CGG Veritas,                                leaders, though, he has failed to match
                                                                                           which has been                              the ambitious talk with project
                                                                                           retained to advise                          implementation. Analysts said the 10th
                                                                                           the Direction                               licensing round would be seen as a key
                                                                                           Generale des                                gauge of the progress made by the new
                                                                                           Hydrocarbures                               president, given the government’s long-
                                                                                           (DGH) on the                                term need to turn around years of slow
                                                                                           promotion of the                            production decline from maturing
                                                                                           licensing round. It                         shallow-water fields and thereby sustain
                                                                                           has acquired                                its future economic development.
                                                                                           almost 13,000 km                               For the time being, it will be down to
                                                                                           of seismic data                             existing explorers such as Maurel et
                                                                                           and reprocessed                             Prom, Royal Dutch/Shell, Perenco and
                                                                                           5,000 km across                             Vaalco Energy to prop up production
                                                                                           the two                                     levels, but these will only ever swing
                                                                                           deepwater regions                           back past the previous peak if the focus
                                                                                           involved, Zone                              of activities can move out into Gabon’s
                                                                                           Nord and Zone                               deepwater offshore acreage.

                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 4


                                                                       COMMENTARY

Centric chases rift frontier potential
The company has significant acreage in two frontier countries, Mali and Kenya, and is on
the look out for additions
By Ed Reed
   Centric has 88,000 square km of acreage in Mali and Kenya, working with Heritage and Tullow
   The Kenyan block is under-explored, with plans to investigate the on- and offshore
   Seismic is to get under way in Mali this year and an exploration well could be drilled in 2011

Success in Uganda has helped drive                                claim. A hearing is to be held on October                               Under its licence, Centric has
enthusiasm for Kenyan work, a sentiment                           27 on the matter.                                                    committed to carrying out an airborne
corroborated by Tullow Oil’s decision to                             Exploration has been moving in fits                               gravity survey and acquiring 200 km of
strike a deal with Centric Energy on its                          and starts in Kenya for many years,                                  2-D seismic on the block in the first
Block 10BA.                                                       although there have been relatively few                              three-year phase. The company has
   Tullow is to take a 50% stake in                               wells.                                                               received satellite images of Lake
Centric’s production-sharing contract                                                                                                  Turkana to look for slicks that might
(PSC), assuming it gains approval from                            Kenyan programme                                                     have come from oil seeps.
the Kenyan government. “We have had                               Robinson said the sheer size of the area –                              “The next step is to get out on the lake
indications that the Kenyan government                            Block 10BA covers 16,205 square km –                                 to sample these and we will need to do
is pleased, so we do not anticipate any                           meant there was substantial untapped                                 seismic onshore and in the lake. We have
difficulties in that regard,” Centric’s                           exploration potential. On this large                                 also initiated reprocessing of the old
CEO and president, Alec Robinson, told                            expanse only one well has been drilled                               seismic data and reinterpretation of the
AfrOil. Tullow, he said, “will be a strong                        and around 1,500 km of seismic                                       old gravity and magnetic data,” Robinson
partner for Kenya.”                                               acquired.                                                            said.
   One potential concern, though, is a                              “The latest seismic [on the block] was                                Should Centric – and Tullow’s – hopes
Kenyan court case, under which                                    shot in 1992,” Centric’s CEO said. “We                               for oil be successful in Kenya, the
Interstate Petroleum has sought a judicial                        feel that the opportunities that are                                 companies would face some challenges
review of the block’s award, although                             demonstrated by the seismic are                                      in terms of exporting the crude, as there
Centric has said there is no basis for the                        significant.”                                                        is no nearby infrastructure at present.
                                                                                                                                                                  Robinson,
                                                                                                                                                                though, was
                                                                                                                                                                confident a
                                                                                                                                                                solution could be
                                                                                                                                                                found, saying
                                                                                                                                                                success at Block
                                                                                                                                                                10BA could
                                                                                                                                                                piggyback on
                                                                                                                                                                other export
                                                                                                                                                                schemes, either
                                                                                                                                                                from Sudan or
                                                                                                                                                                Uganda.
                                                                                                                                                                  South Sudan is
                                                                                                                                                                set to hold a
                                                                                                                                                                referendum in
                                                                                                                                                                January 2011 on
                                                                                                                                                                potential
                                                                                                                                                                secession.




                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 5


                                                                       COMMENTARY
   Should independence be approved, as                               “They are both part of the interior rift                          were in the blocks. “The survey is
seems likely, the new country would face                          system, although of slightly different                               sufficiently high-resolution that we can
an interesting dilemma over how to                                ages. The rift basin in Mali is                                      use it to decide where to shoot more
export its oil. South Sudan holds the                             Cretaceous-age and the rift basin in                                 seismic. As I mentioned, seismic is
majority of the country’s production but,                         Kenya is Tertiary, so it is younger. The                             planned to start later this year.
for now, output flows to the north, to                            rift basin in Kenya is north to south, and                           Depending on the results, drilling should
Port Sudan.                                                       crossing it at an angle is the Cretaceous                            start [in 2011].”
   Should Sudan break up, this export                             rift, known as the Anza Graben, that                                    Although Mali has mostly flown under
route may come under pressure and                                 continues into southern Sudan,” he said.                             the radar, a number of high-profile
schemes have emerged for a link to be                                Robinson went on to note the potential                            companies have signed up to work in the
constructed to transport crude through                            presence of “lake sediment, which forms                              Sahelian state. Algeria’s state-owned
Kenya. Such a plan, which has been                                                                                                     Sonatrach, for instance, has Block 20 and
backed by Toyota Tsusho, would involve                                                                                                 a stake in Block 4, alongside Italy’s Eni.
building a pipeline probably passing
                                                                    “The Agadem block, in                                                 “The Agadem block, in Niger, is of a
through Centric’s block.                                            Niger, is of a similar age                                         similar age and may indicate the
   Alternately, the plan could tie into a                                                                                              potential of our licences in Mali,”
Ugandan scheme. “The export pipeline
                                                                      and may indicate the                                             Robinson said. “One study by another
for Uganda’s oil, if it [passes] through                           potential of our licences in                                        company suggests it has 350 million
Kenya, will come very close to our                                                                                                     barrels of oil in place. It is reported that a
operation,” Robinson said. “The ideal
                                                                     Mali,” Robinson said                                              Chinese company paid a signature bonus
solution would be a pipeline network,                                                                                                  of US$300 million about two years ago
                                                                  source rocks and generates oil, as seen in
bringing together Sudanese, Ugandan                                                                                                    to acquire the licence.”
                                                                  Uganda.” Finally, the licence terms in
and Kenyan oil.”
                                                                  both states are good and the tax regimes
   The pipeline would have to be heated                                                                                                Looking to the future
                                                                  are “acceptable. We’re a small company,
to more than 40 degrees Celsius,                                                                                                       Centric’s strategy is to focus on
                                                                  so we have to go to regions where,
Robinson explained, in order to “keep the                                                                                              opportunities in areas “where there is
                                                                  currently, there is less competition.”
oil flowing, because of [its] wax                                                                                                      evidence of hydrocarbons, in countries
                                                                     Another link, tying Mali to Uganda, is
content.”                                                                                                                              that have favourable commercial terms
                                                                  the presence of Heritage Oil, which
   Despite the block’s proximity to                                                                                                    and that accept direct applications for
                                                                  acquired a 75% stake in the blocks in
Sudan, the Centric official was                                                                                                        exploration acreage.”
                                                                  2008, committing to carry Centric
unconcerned about security issues. There                                                                                                 Robinson said the company was on the
                                                                  through the acquisition of seismic and
is a disputed area nearby, he said, but                                                                                                lookout for additional deals and that its
                                                                  the drilling of a first exploration well.
there does not appear to be any fighting                                                                                               focus was on sub-Saharan Africa. “We
                                                                     Centric’s two areas, Blocks 7 and 11,
there. “It’s important to have strong                                                                                                  don’t just look at geology: we look at
                                                                  are in southeast Mali, in the Cretaceous-
community programmes in the areas of                                                                                                   deal flow, competition, business
                                                                  age Goa rift basin. Between the two
operations. It is good common sense.                                                                                                   environment and fiscal regime when
                                                                  blocks, Robinson said, is a water well in
Local people should see the benefit our                                                                                                considering where to go next.”
                                                                  which oil and gas have been detected.
presence – it’s partly altruistic, partly                                                                                                Centric has previously been linked to
                                                                  “BP sampled it in the 1970’s and
wise business.”                                                                                                                        Eritrean opportunities, which have also
                                                                  confirmed that the oil [there] is a seep of
                                                                                                                                       been under-explored, appearing to match
                                                                  natural crude oil and not pollution. This
Mali                                                                                                                                   the company’s plans to seek up and
                                                                  gives us some indication of hydrocarbons
As a result of the Tullow deal and other                                                                                               coming plays. With the completion of the
                                                                  in the basin,” he said.
corporate activity much has been made                                                                                                  Kenya deal and the start-up of seismic in
                                                                     Heritage is planning to acquire seismic
of East African assets in recent times, but                                                                                            Mali looming, Centric seems to have
                                                                  on the blocks in the fourth quarter of this
Centric also has two blocks in Mali,                                                                                                   proved its ability to sign up frontier
                                                                  year. An aeromagnetic survey, covering
covering 72,850 square km.                                                                                                             acreage. Now the company needs to
                                                                  42,000 line km, has already been shot on
  Robinson told AfrOil that there were a                                                                                               establish its ability to move into the
                                                                  the blocks, “which is about the
number of links between Mali and                                                                                                       exploration phase and firm up its
                                                                  circumference of the world.”
Kenya, including the geology, lake                                                                                                     hopes.
                                                                     Robinson said this had given clear
sediments and licence terms.
                                                                  indications of where the basins of interest




                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 6


                                                                           INVESTMENT

African refining plans fall short
Africa’s refining plans have failed, for                          company has been instrumental in                                     more support for refining plans and must
the most part, to make any progress                               building plants in Sudan, Algeria, Chad                              honour long-term commitments.
beyond the drawing board, CITAC                                   and Niger, while Citadel Capital is                                  Subsidies can act to distort the market, it
Africa pointed out at a recent forum.                             involved in a facility being planned in                              continued, and governments must pay
  The group’s executive director, Gary                            Egypt.                                                               these on time, should they be maintained.
Still, speaking at a downstream event in                             The CITAC official said the Chinese                                 The World Bank and International
Lagos on October 14, said that while                              involvement in these downstream areas                                Monetary Fund (IMF) should support the
there had been 60 announcements of                                “may lead to the acquisition of prime                                construction of refineries over product
plans for new refineries in Africa, only                          exploration concessions, which may                                   imports, which would draw in
one had actually been built.                                      become future Chinese-controlled crude                               commercial backing. Finally, CITAC
  CITAC said that 90% of the proposals                            reserves for years to come.” Local                                   said, refineries should focus on meeting
for refineries fail to make any progress.                         governments benefit from these                                       domestic demand in land-locked
Some make it as far as a feasibility study                        investments, with the introduction of new                            countries, rather than marginal exports.
but are then dropped once backers try to                          product capacity as well as securing                                   Still said as long as these factors were
raise financing. Slow progress in African                         upstream commitments.                                                uncertain, African refining plans would
refining has been further compounded by                              Still also said the African refining                              continue to struggle and “perhaps only
weak international margins, with some                             sector was “desperately searching for                                CNPC will be prepared to take the
experts saying the world needs to cut as                          financing to improve product quality.”                               commercial risk of the necessary
much as 7 million barrels per day of                                 There would be significant health and                             investment by supplying soft loans.”
capacity.                                                         economic benefits for countries                                      Even CNPC, though, would look to
  The prime driver of downstream                                  switching to clean fuels, CITAC said, but                            balance its downstream investment risk
projects in Africa, CITAC continued, has                          in sub-Saharan states alone this would                               through securing upstream
been China National Petroleum Corp.                               require US$10-15 billion of investment                               concessions.
(CNPC), which has been involved in five                           by 2020.
out of seven schemes. The Chinese                                    CITAC said governments should show




Zuma backs economic
case for Project Mthombo
South African President Jacob Zuma has                            billion rand (US$1.8 billion) per year in                              The Project Mthombo refinery is
given his support to PetroSA's planned                            energy costs once it was running, and                                expected to ease some of this pressure,
refinery in the Coega industrial                                  “could export oil [products] across                                  with Zuma singling out state-owned
development zone, near Port Elizabeth.                            Africa.”                                                             PetroSA’s recent track record as a reason
The president said the project would                                 While the refinery would “showcase                                for optimism.
reduce South Africa’s dependency on                               South Africa’s competitive ability” it                                 “We welcome the fact that PetroSA is
energy imports and improve the country's                          would also help the country escape from                              making its impact, not only in job
image overseas.                                                   its current dependency trap, where                                   creation but in empowering the people as
   Construction of the US$11 billion                              demand for refined automotive products                               well. It employs close to 2,000 people,
facility, which will have 400,000 barrels                         relies on imports, he added.                                         while 27,500 more will be absorbed
per day of capacity, is expected to start in                         Despite South Africa's status as one of                           within the crude oil refinery that is
2012, with the refinery to come onstream                          the most developed economies in sub-                                 [being] planned,” Zuma said.
by 2015. Once completed it will be the                            Saharan Africa, it has frequently                                      “To be able to reach the markets in
largest oil refinery on the continent.                            struggled to maintain a consistent and                               Europe, the US, the Caribbean, the
   Speaking at a visit to PetroSA’s gas-to-                       secure energy supply, with both domestic                             Middle East and the Far East is an
liquids (GTL) refinery in Mossel Bay on                           use and its large-scale and resource-                                important achievement,” the president
October 14, Zuma said the project would                           intensive mining sector regularly                                    said.
help South Africa save an estimated 12.6                          disrupted.


                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 7


                                                                           INVESTMENT

Sirius Petroleum shines
light on Nigeria’s Ke field
UK-listed minnow Sirius Petroleum said                            was originally discovered in 1965 by                                 barrels of crude.
it had raised GBP15.7 million (US$24.9                            Chevron, which retains a small royalty                                  Trading in the company’s shares has
million) to help develop Nigeria’s Ke                             interest in any production income from                               been halted on London’s Alternative
field, a small oil discovery in the                               the Ke farm-out area.                                                Investment Market (AIM) while the
southern part of the Niger Delta.                                    The area, which covers 52 square km,                              transaction is in play.
   The company said last week that it                             was originally part of Oil Mining                                       The move into Nigeria’s oil sector
would place about 313.9 million shares at                         Licence (OML) 55 and was awarded to                                  marks a major strategic shift for Sirius
GBP0.05 (US$0.08) per share to raise the                          Del Sigma in 2003, as part of the                                    Petroleum, which has had no substantive
money. Sirius agreed earlier this year to                         Department of Petroleum Resources                                    trading business since 2007, following a
acquire a 40% interest in the field, held                         (DPR) marginal field round.                                          decision to cease its gaming industry
by Nigerian independent Del Sigma                                    Del Sigma presently holds a 100%                                  aggregation software business.
Petroleum, in a reverse takeover deal.                            participating interest in the field.                                    Starting with the Ke field, it now plans
   The deal is still awaiting Nigerian                               According to Sirius Petroleum,                                    to focus on marginal oilfields,
government approval, which is                                     potential recoverable reserves at the Ke                             particularly in Nigeria. The Sirius board
anticipated later this month. The Ke field                        field are expected to exceed 25 million                              said the project “has unrealised value.”


                                                                      PERFORMANCE

Spain, Algeria fight on gas pricing
The gas price dispute between Spain’s                             the Paris arbitration court over 2007-09                             to 50% from 60%. The 60% level was set
Gas Natural Fenosa and Algeria’s                                  gas prices, and must now pay Sonatrach                               in 2004 by another royal decree.
Sonatrach is now a full blown political                           up to US$2 billion in unpaid costs, which                              Gas Natural is Spain’s biggest gas
conflict between the two countries,                               is more than Gas Natural’s annual net                                group, with more than 60% of all
Spanish Industry Minister Miguel                                  profit.                                                              Spanish gas customers. The economic
Sebastian told Parliament on October 13.                             The legal change to limit a foreign                               nature of the dispute has become political
   Sebastian revealed he would be                                 company’s gas market share to 30%                                    for several reasons. One is that Gas
travelling to Algeria in the week                                 would restrict Sonatrach’s power in                                  Natural’s debt to Sonatrach could end up
commencing October 18 to discuss the                              Spain. The power the Algerian company                                being paid partly by Gas Natural’s
matter with Algerian Energy Minister                              wields is set to increase radically when                             customers. Gas Natural has asked the
Youcef Yousfi.                                                    the Algeria-Spain underwater Medgaz                                  government to allow some of the huge
   As the Spanish government angles for                           gas pipeline comes into operation later                              debt to be paid through Spaniards’ gas
a solution through dialogue, Gas Natural                          this year.                                                           bills.
is studying legal measures to limit                                  Almost worse for Gas Natural is that                                Another reason is the much greater
Sonatrach’s power in Spain as the                                 Sonatrach has a licence to trade its gas in                          power Sonatrach could wield once
country’s main gas supplier. One is to                            Spain, which means it can sell directly to                           Medgaz began operating, which would
reduce by law the 50% maximum gas                                 end users without going through                                      include the power to condition prices.
supply market share a foreign company                             intermediaries, such as Gas Natural,                                   Sonatrach holds the largest stake in
can have in Spain to 30%. Sonatrach’s                             Iberdrola or Endesa. Sonatrach already                               Medgaz, with a 36% stake. Gas Natural
current share is 32%.                                             has a 1.04% trading market share, and                                has no stake in Medgaz, although
   Another is to take Sonatrach’s                                 Algeria’s ambassador in Spain has                                    Iberdrola and CEPSA have 20% each,
intention of raising gas supply prices for                        indicated the company may triple this.                               while Endesa and Gaz de France each
2010-12 by a further 30% to another                                  A Spanish royal decree issued in 2007                             own 12%. Sonatrach’s gas currently
international arbitration court. In August,                       had already lowered the gas supply                                   reaches Spain via the Maghreb pipeline,
Gas Natural lost a case with Sonatrach in                         market limit for a non-Spanish company                               which passes through Morocco.


                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 8


                                                                      PERFORMANCE

Confidence in Libya
continues to deteriorate
Confidence in Libya’s oil and gas                                 November.                                                            were lifted in 2005.
marketplace took another hit this month                              The announcements reiterate the                                      Many have looked to the experience of
as a series of international firms                                feeling of general unease surrounding                                Canada’s Verenex Energy and have
announced they would exit the country                             Libya, with the lacklustre finds of many                             begun to wonder if the risk of investing
because of low returns and an unstable                            international companies made worse by                                in the country is worth the hassle.
political climate.                                                erratic comments and behaviour on the                                   The Calgary-based company agreed to
  Following BG Group, which                                       part of the government. Libya had                                    a sale to China National Petroleum Corp.
announced its exit in late August after                           appeared to be moving towards                                        (CNPC) but, following opposition from
three consecutive dry wells, Chevron,                             modernisation but shifting power                                     local interests, was forced to accept an
Occidental Petroleum, Woodside                                    balances within the Tripoli regime have                              offer of 30% less from the Libyan
Petroleum and Abu Dhabi-based Liwa                                swung back towards more conservative                                 Investment Authority (LIA),
Energy have said they will not renew                              figures. Poor results and comments                                      However, while many companies are
their licences.                                                   suggesting a nationalisation of Libya’s                              cutting Libyan projects, others have
  The planned exits follow a summer of                            resources have created an uneasy                                     elected to remain, such as Hess,
delays as BP has struggled to move                                atmosphere for foreign investors.                                    Petrobras, Indonesia’s Medco Energi, Oil
forward on a US$900 million offshore                                 In addition to threatening needed                                 India Ltd (OIL) and Algeria’s Sonatrach.
drilling project. The company has been                            exploration and infrastructure                                       In addition, Italy’s Eni has reiterated its
criticised by European Union officials for                        investment, this loss of confidence                                  pledge to invest US$25 billion in Libya
planning to drill in the Mediterranean                            jeopardises the country’s growth rates,                              over the next decade.
Sea. The UK-based super-major appears                             which have been driven by the promise
to be set to begin drilling in Libya in                           of its oil and gas industry since sanctions




Petroceltic updates North African
appraisal programme
Drilling is to start at Petroceltic                               appraisal drilling programme lasting six                             Bir Ben Tartar reservoir unit, a detailed
International’s Ain Tsila discovery in                            months at the gas condensate field, where                            evaluation of the data indicated oil
Algeria’s Isarene permit in November,                             three test wells have revealed “an                                   saturation and reservoir characteristics
but its Tunisian exploration well is to be                        extensive and probably continuous gas                                were insufficient to justify fracture
plugged and abandoned.                                            accumulation” that, following fracture                               stimulation and well bore testing.
   Petroceltic confirmed these contrasting                        stimulation, is capable of flowing at rates                             Petroceltic’s CEO, Brian O'Cathain,
fortunes from its North African wells in                          exceeding 850,000 cubic metres per day.                              commented that, while the ST-4
an operations update issued on October                               This latest appraisal programme aims                              exploration results were disappointing,
12.                                                               to confirm recoverable hydrocarbon                                   “the extensive modern logging data
   The Irish-headquartered independent                            reserves and to optimise development                                 collected” would be reviewed “before
said it was making good progress at its                           plans for the discoveries and gas sales                              making a decision on whether to
Ain Tsila (AT-4) well in Algeria, where                           contracts.                                                           continue with any further exploration” on
it holds a 75% stake as operator in a joint                                                                                            that block.
venture with state-owned Sonatrach.                               Tunisia                                                                 ST-4 is part of a work programme
   Civil engineering works are now                                Meanwhile, the Sidi Toui-4 (ST-4) well,                              agreed when Petroasian Energy Holdings
complete and the site is ready to receive                         at the Ksar Hadada permit in Tunisia, is                             farmed into the permit, in which
the Dalma No 12 rig. Drilling is expected                         to be plugged and abandoned without                                  Petroceltic is the operator with a 27.03%
to begin during the first week of                                 testing. The CTF Rig 06 will be                                      interest. Petroasian’s holding is 51% and
November and take around 40 days.                                 demobilised.                                                         there are three other partners.
   This will be the first in a multi-well                            Despite encountering oil shows in the

                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                       page 9


                                                                                     POLICY

Tullow continues Kinshasa dispute
Tullow Oil said last week it would                                companies owned by Khulubuse Zuma,                                   of Hydrocarbons Celestin Mbuyu told
continue to pursue a court case in order                          the nephew of South African President                                members of parliament that Tullow did
to uphold its claims to two blocks on the                         Jacob Zuma. In June of this year, a                                  not have the right to seek arbitration in
western side of Lake Albert, in the                               presidential decree endorsing the award                              the Paris court. He asserted that the
Democratic Republic of Congo                                      of Blocks 1 and 2 to Caprikat and                                    presidential decree signed in June
(Kinshasa).                                                       Foxwhelp was signed.                                                 invalidated the sections of the Irish
  Tullow’s vice president, Tim                                       According to the Congolese                                        company’s agreement that provided for
O’Hanlon, told Bloomberg that his                                 government, the signing of the                                       arbitration of future disputes.
company had no choice but to seek a                               presidential decree means that the only                                 He also said Kinshasa had sent letters
judicial remedy for its claims to Blocks 1                        valid contract for the blocks is the one                             to both Tullow and DIG giving notice of
and 2, located in the northeast part of                           signed with Caprikat and Foxwhelp.                                   cancellation and offering instructions on
Congo (Kinshasa). “Since Tullow is not                            However, Tullow has challenged                                       securing compensation from the
in the habit of buying back goods which                           Kinshasa’s actions, saying that the                                  Congolese Ministry of Finance.
have been stolen from us, I defy anybody                          original deal should stand. It has filed                             O’Hanlon told Bloomberg that his
to show what alternative we had to these                          cases against Congo (Kinshasa) in the                                company was not aware of any such
legal actions,” he said in an email                               International Court of Arbitration in Paris                          letter. However, DIG’s director, Andrea
message.                                                          and in a British Virgin Islands court.                               Brown, told the news agency that her
  Kinshasa had awarded the blocks to                                 The latter court recently made a ruling                           company had received Kinshasa’s letter
Tullow in 2006. Before the project had                            in Tullow’s favour. On September 21, it                              and was in negotiations on
reached the step of being approved by                             issued an injunction barring Caprikat and                            compensation.
presidential decree, though, the                                  Foxwhelp from exercising or transferring                                Tullow also holds rights to several
Congolese government announced that it                            rights to the blocks and from working at                             blocks on the Ugandan side of Lake
had been cancelled. In 2008, it awarded                           either site. It also said a new hearing on                           Albert. These blocks contain about 1
the two blocks to Divine Inspiration                              the case would be held on October 18.                                billion barrels of crude oil and are set to
Group (DIG) of South Africa.                                         As of press time, it was not clear                                begin production in 2014-15. They may
  This deal also fell through and                                 whether the Congolese government had                                 come to yield 200,000 barrels per day.
Kinshasa later turned the blocks over to                          commented on the injunction.
two British Virgin Islands-registered                                In early October, Congolese Minister




Gabon postpones round again
Gabon has opted to push back the start of                         Hydrocarbons Ministry official, Guy                                  produce 220,000-240,000 barrels per
its offer of blocks indefinitely, attributing                     Martial Mbeang Mba, told AFP on                                      day, are in decline and the country is
the delay to security concerns and                                October 13 that the government wanted                                seeking to diversify its economic reliance
environmental guarantees in the wake of                           to “be assured of certain guarantees,                                on oil, which is said to account for
BP’s Gulf of Mexico disaster.                                     notably with regard to security, the                                 around 60% of its budget.
   The sale of 42 Gabonese offshore                               environment and the opportunities for                                   Earlier this year, an energy official said
blocks, which was originally set for May                          operators.”                                                          Gabon would be asking for a 50% share
5 and then delayed until October 27                                  Without announcing a new auction                                  of production from fields generating up
because of greater than expected                                  date, Mba confirmed Gabon was drawing                                to 75,000 bpd, with a greater amount due
international interest, is now in jeopardy.                       up a code of conduct for companies                                   from those with a higher output, in
   A government official linked the latest                        working in its energy industry, taking                               addition to receiving royalty payments
deferral to a need to “adopt a new                                “international factors” into account. “No                            and production costs.
approach rather than just launch into this                        one is immune from that sort of                                         The country has also suffered from
operation” following the loss of life and                         accident,” he said, adding the oil-rich                              numerous strikes and, early this month,
environmental damage caused by an                                 state was “taking the time to prepare                                Gabon said it was to move towards
explosion on and the subsequent sinking                           things in the best way.”                                             strengthening the role of local content, in
of BP’s Deepwater Horizon rig in April.                              Gabon is Africa's seventh largest crude                           a move that might prove difficult for
   A Gabonese Mining, Oil and                                     supplier but its existing fields, which                              foreign investors.


                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                     page 10


                                                                                     POLICY

Obasanjo aide charged
over NLNG case
The long-running case centred on bribes                           Technip, Snamprogetti and JGC. TSKJ is                               to the government.
paid to secure construction contracts at                          said to have paid around US$180 million                                The Nigerian government has also
Nigeria LNG (NLNG) took a fresh twist                             in order to secure work on the NLNG                                  been reported as preparing to sue
last week as an official close to Nigeria’s                       project. The US government has also                                  Halliburton, which was the parent
former president, Olusegun Obasanjo,                              chosen to pursue these companies, with                               company of KBR at the time of the
was charged with money laundering.                                KBR, Technip and Snamprogetti having                                 scandal, for US$2 billion in US courts.
  A senior aide in the Obasanjo                                   paid out or set aside cash to cover fines.
administration, Adeyanju Bodunde, was                                Charges filed in September had named                              Panalpina
charged with six counts of money                                  a number of participants in the scandal,                             In related news, the Wall Street Journal
laundering on October 14. He pleaded                              but suits against many foreigners were                               reported Panalpina, a Swiss logistics
not guilty to all the charges and was                             dropped last week. Among those                                       company, and Royal Dutch/Shell were
subsequently freed on bail.                                       previously named and then dropped are                                nearing a settlement with the US
  Bodunde was accused of accepting                                Jeffrey Tesler, George Mark and the                                  government over foreign bribery.
around US$5 million in cash from                                  local affiliate of construction giant                                   Panalpina’s actions are being
various businessmen. The aide denied                              Bilfinger Berger.                                                    investigated in a number of foreign
wrongdoing, saying in local reports that                             Tesler, who resides in the UK, is                                 states, including Nigeria. The logistics
he was merely acting to raise                                     fighting attempts by the US government                               company is to pay US$85 million, while
contributions for Nigeria’s ruling                                to extradite him, to face charges of                                 Shell will have to stump up US$30
People’s Democratic Party (PDP).                                  contravening the Foreign Corrupt                                     million for using Panalpina’s services in
  The charges stem from actions taken                             Practices Act (FCPA). Julius Berger is                               Nigeria.
by TSKJ Nigeria, a consortium of                                  said to have reached an out of court
international service companies – KBR,                            settlement, paying around US$30 million




Abyei talks collapse, jeopardising
Sudanese production
Prospects for the Heglig and Unity                                US-mediated talks in Addis Ababa                                     be aggravated by the looming dispute
oilfields, in Sudan’s Muglad Basin, have                          collapsed, shattering any hopes by the                               between NCP and SPLM, both of whom
been thrown into question following the                           Greater Nile Petroleum Operating                                     have agreed to a fresh round of
collapse of the latest negotiations over                          Company (GNPOC), the major operator                                  negotiations later in the month. The two
the over the future of the oil-producing                          of the two oilfields, of boosting the                                sides are also accusing each other of
Abyei region.                                                     falling production figures and of                                    amassing troops along the demarcation
  The Khartoum-based National                                     enhancing the capacity of the Greater                                boundary.
Congress Party (NCP) and the                                      Nile Oil Pipeline. The link runs from the                               GNPOC oil production in Blocks 1, 2,
Government of Southern Sudan’s Sudan                              fields to Port Sudan, on the Red Sea.                                4, which include areas in Unity State,
People's Liberation Movement (SPLM)                                  “Despite serious efforts and many                                 Southern Kordofan and Abyei, generated
have been locked in unsuccessful                                  productive discussions, [the delegates]                              around 175,000 barrels per day in 2009,
negotiations over the control of Abyei.                           did not succeed in reaching an agreement                             down from an estimated 252,000 bpd in
The area is to hold a separate referendum                         on the eligibility criteria for voters in the                        2006.
from the south, under which the two                               Abyei area referendum,” the NCP and                                     Under the Comprehensive Peace
dominant tribes in the area – the                                 the SPLM said in a joint statement,                                  Agreeement (CPA) of 2005, the oil
Messiriya and Ngok Dinka – will decide                            quoted in the International Business                                 produced in the country, over 80% of
whether to throw in with Juba or                                  Times.                                                               which comes from the south, was to be
Khartoum.                                                            Statistics show falling production from                           shared equally between Khartoum and
  Despite frantic efforts last week, the                          the two fields, a situation that is likely to                        the Government of South Sudan.

                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil                                                                     19 October 2010, Week 41                                                                                     page 11


                                                     PROJECTS & COMPANIES

Shell to launch Marsa
el-Brega tender
A new tender is close to being issued to                          has been operating for around 40 years –                             a new plant or upgrade.
overhaul the Marsa el-Brega liquefaction                          it was only the second in the world to                                  Libyan expectations about price are
facility in Libya, according to a report in                       begin producing. It originally had a                                 also likely to cause trouble, with a
Upstream.                                                         capacity of 3.2 million tonnes per year                              previous tender being scrapped because
  A note from IHS Global Insight on                               but this has fallen to around 700,000                                contractor quotes were around double
October 14 picked up on the report but                            tonnes per year.                                                     NOC’s forecasts.
warned that contractors remained                                     The plant lacks the capacity to strip                                Leading contenders in the new tender,
“sceptical and risk-averse” about                                 liquid petroleum gas (LPG) from its                                  Global Insight said, would be similar to
operations in Libya. Global Insight                               feedstock, which restricts its exports to                            those from the previous effort, with
reported Shell and Sirte Oil Co. (SOC)                            one destination – a Spanish regasification                           Italy’s Bonatti and the UK’s Petrofac.
were close to re-launching the tender,                            facility run by Enagas. This problem                                 Upstream suggested Greece's
noting hopes from contractors that the                            would be tackled in the first phase of                               Consolidated Contractors Co. (CCC)
project had been carved up into more                              work, Global Insight said.                                           would also be interested in the deal.
manageable packages.                                                 Shell’s deal with Libya also involves                                NOC’s failures with the Marsa el-
  Shell struck a bilateral deal to work on                        the company securing sufficient reserves                             Brega deal demonstrate wider problems
the Marsa el-Brega plant in 2005 but                              to drive the construction of a new LNG                               with the Libyan regime and its attitude
progress has been slow – hampered by                              facility, as well as new reserves for the                            towards investments and various
Libyan bureaucracy and a lack of clarity                          existing plant. The note said Shell and                              fluctuations in the administration.
about reserves. Problems at the plant                             SOC had not disclosed their exploration                                 “Inflexibility and decision-making
expose “the organisational problems                               results but quoted the two firms as saying                           paralysis have become permanent,”
within the structures of the National Oil                         these had been “encouraging.”                                        Global Insight said, noting the
Corporation (NOC) and its subsidiaries,”                             Upstream quoted industry sources as                               “micromanaging of the sector from the
Global Insight’s analyst, Samuel Ciszuk,                          saying there was uncertainty about what                              highest levels [at NOC], in what always
said.                                                             Libya wanted from Marsa el-Brega –                                   has been a very top-heavy
  The liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant                           whether it was to “patch things up,” build                           organisation.”




Sonangol and PetroSA
plot refinery joint venture
Angola’s state-run Sonangol and South                                Although no other details were given,                             PetroSA.
Africa’s PetroSA are looking at ways to                           both countries are keenly interested in                                 “Angola briefed South Africa about its
work together in the refining sector and                          developing new refining capacity.                                    new oil exploration strategy, which will
upstream. Angola’s oil ministry said in a                            Angola has been planning a large                                  be approved at the end of 2010,
statement, seen by Bloomberg, that the                            refinery in Lobito, with a capacity of                               providing an opportunity for PetroSA to
two state energy companies were                                   around 200,000 barrels per day, for                                  take part in licence bidding,” a ministry
contemplating setting up a joint venture                          years. The country’s only other refinery                             statement said. It said PetroSA wanted to
to build and manage oil refineries.                               is a much smaller facility, with a                                   import oil and liquefied natural gas
   “The parties are considering the                               maximum capacity of 41,000 bpd.                                      (LNG) from Angola.
possibility of creating a joint venture                              PetroSA has a refinery of similar size                               The two sides may sign a
between Sonangol and PetroSA to                                   at its Mossel Bay plant, although South                              memorandum of understanding (MoU)
construct and manage refineries and                               Africa too has been crafting plans for a                             on energy issues when Angolan President
finished petroleum products,” the                                 much larger capacity plant, up to 400,000                            Jose Eduardo dos Santos visits South
ministry’s statement said.                                        bpd, for some years.                                                 Africa, the ministry statement added,
   It follows recent talks between the two                           Angola’s oil ministry also said there                             although it did not specify when the trip
sides in the Angolan capital, Luanda.                             were upstream opportunities too for                                  would take place.

                                                                            Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                       Edited by Ed Reed
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential
AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential

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AfrOil 19th Oct 2010 - Centric’s African rift frontier potential

  • 1. 19 October 2010 AfrOil Week 41 Issue 361 News Analysis Intelligence Published by AFRICA OIL & GAS MONITOR NewsBase COMMENTARY 2 NEWS THIS WEEK… Gabon delay Gabon struggles to sustain plans on auction delay 2 Centric chases rift frontier potential 4 The Gabonese government has announced an INVESTMENT 6 indefinite delay to the launch of its 10th bid round. African refining plans fall short 6 Zuma backs economic case for Project Gabon’s oil production has been declining for Mthombo 6 some years. The country hopes that exploration of Sirius Petroleum shines light on Nigeria’s its ultra-deepwater will turn this trend around. (Page 2) Ke field 7 The country’s reasons for putting off the bid PERFORMANCE 7 round focus on concerns highlighted by BP’s Gulf Spain, Algeria fight on gas pricing 7 of Mexico disaster. (Page 9) Confidence in Libya continues to deteriorate Petroceltic updates North African 8 Refining woes appraisal programme 8 Africa’s refining sector is slow-moving and very POLICY 9 few schemes actually make progress. Tullow continues Kinshasa dispute 9 CITAC has diagnosed the downstream industry Gabon postpones round again 9 and appears unimpressed. (Page 6) Libyan squeeze Obasanjo aide charged over NLNG case10 Abyei talks collapse, jeopardising Sudanese production 10 Tripoli has proved to be a difficult partner in many PROJECTS & COMPANIES 11 ways and this is slowing development. Shell to launch Marsa el-Brega tender 11 Sonangol and PetroSA plot refinery joint A number of companies have dropped licences as venture 11 a result of poor results and tough terms. (Page 8) NEWS IN BRIEF 12 Reports suggest work on Marsa el-Brega may COURSES 20 soon be up for tender again, but it is unclear that CONFERENCES 21 things will be any better this time around. (Page 11) For analysis and commentary on these and other stories, plus the latest oil and gas developments, see inside… Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 2. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 2 COMMENTARY Gabon struggles to sustain plans on auction delay Libreville has announced another delay to its 10th licence round, throwing into question the country’s plans to sustain production levels through licensing the technically difficult ultra-deepwater offshore By Alfonse Dubere The round was due to be held on October 27 but has been postponed indefinitely Environmental concerns are said to be a major factor in the decision to delay the round Gabon needs production from new areas to overcome the decline of the last few years Gabon has postponed its planned 10th Total, which have recently announced Petroleum and Hydrocarbons Minister licensing round yet again. The news will imminent Gabonese commitments. Julien Nkoghe Bekale said on October come as a disappointment to explorers The official line from Libreville is that 12. The minister said exploration costs that have been eyeing the West African the auction of 42 offshore drilling blocks and environmental concerns had changed country’s deeper offshore waters as a – which had originally been scheduled since the Gulf of Mexico spill. new oil frontier opportunity – a view for March and was then put off until “This approach is consistent with our mirrored by foreign majors LUKoil and October 27 – has been postponed hopes to achieve the best standards for indefinitely, risk prevention and industrial safety, and owing to a compliance with environmental number of standards,” he was reported as saying by factors, Reuters. including a The Gabonese authorities want “to be requirement assured of certain guarantees, notably for improved with regard to security, the environment security and and the opportunities for operators,” an environment official said. Libreville is taking into guarantees. account what happened in the Gulf of Africa’s Mexico, where the worst oil spill in US seventh largest history occurred in April 2010. “No one crude supplier is immune from that sort of accident ... increasingly which means that we are taking the time needs to to prepare things in the best way.” combat steep Concerns over environmental issues declines from are on the rise around the world, with a its existing number of company officials reporting fields, but increased interest as a result of the “wisdom has Macondo disaster. prevailed, Mba said some companies had shown since new interest in the new blocks, reiterating past factors and statements from the government that the objectives auction had been delayed to October 27 have arisen,” because of heightened international Gabonese interest. Mines, Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 3. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 3 COMMENTARY CGG Veritas, which has worked on fresh exploration ventures, as well as the Sud. marketing the round, said in late 2009 oil companies that buy into the blocks. that some industry majors and larger This, now, is in question. Existing plays independents had already shown an Gabon’s attraction as a hydrocarbons initial interest in the acreage. Recent Ultra-deep prospects market remain strong, though, as shown reports cited China’s Sinopec – already Oil remains Gabon’s main source of by recent comments from LUKoil, an existing player in Gabon – as lining wealth, accounting for about 60% of the Russia’s second largest oil company, up major potential bids at the auction. country’s budget, but output has been which is considering joining an upstream Mba underlined that one of the key declining for more than a decade after oil and gas project in Gabon as part of its external concerns – new regulations for hitting a peak of 371,000 barrels per day strategy of expanding in West Africa. No the Gabonese industry – was being in 1997, falling to around 220,000- further details were provided by drawn up, and would lay down a number 250,000 bpd. The new licensing round, LUKoil’s president, Vagit Alekperov, of rules that firms currently operating in which was due to open on October 27 who told reporters on October 13 that Gabon and those hoping to do so would with a grand event in Libreville, was “we’re looking at Gabon.” have to obey. A French law firm, Gide therefore seen as key to Gabon’s Far more specific is French Total, Loyrette Nouel, came up with a draft hydrocarbons future, marking the first which is eyeing a multi-billion hydrocarbons law in 2009, but work on time that Gabon had offered blocks in the investment into its Gabonese oil acreage. this would appear to be ongoing. offshore ultra-deepwater. “We are planning to invest some very It may be significant in this respect Here, untapped subsalt deposits have large sums, nearly US$2 billion in our that, according to Reuters, a Gabonese been touted as offering complex but installations and at the same time get energy official said recently that in potentially highly lucrative opportunities access to new resources,” Total’s head of addition to royalties and production for players prepared to gamble that exploration and production, Yves-Louis costs, Gabon would seek a 50% share of drilling successes across the Atlantic in Darricarrere, told Gabon’s national production for fields producing up to Brazil’s offshore can be replicated. television on October 13. 75,000 bpd, and a greater percentage for The untapped potential of Gabon’s Darricarrere reportedly hinted that fields where output was even higher. subsalt section was recently highlighted Total Gabon’s Anguille oilfield would Whatever Gabon’s rationale for the by Spain’s Repsol, which said it wanted not be the only investment in the years move, the news has, yet again, placed on to “export” the Brazilian model to Gabon ahead by the French super-major, which hold what some market observers have and other West African countries. also controls the 6,000-square km Diaba envisaged will be a potential 10-year Several small subsalt discoveries have block. His comments came after a period of offshore exploration in Gabon. already been made offshore the Republic meeting with Gabonese President Ali It had seemed entirely plausible that a of Congo (Brazzaville), giving rise to Ben Bongo, who took office in August range of drilling activity could begin predictions that this trend could run all 2009, replacing his father. across the newly licensed blocks by mid- the way up to Tullow Oil’s discoveries Bongo has held up a range of targets 2011, bringing opportunities for the offshore Ghana. for economic revitalisation, including the drilling contractors and subsea Data for bidders pursuing this play replacement of gas flaring with re- equipment manufacturers that feed on offshore Gabon have been handled by injection techniques. Like many African CGG Veritas, leaders, though, he has failed to match which has been the ambitious talk with project retained to advise implementation. Analysts said the 10th the Direction licensing round would be seen as a key Generale des gauge of the progress made by the new Hydrocarbures president, given the government’s long- (DGH) on the term need to turn around years of slow promotion of the production decline from maturing licensing round. It shallow-water fields and thereby sustain has acquired its future economic development. almost 13,000 km For the time being, it will be down to of seismic data existing explorers such as Maurel et and reprocessed Prom, Royal Dutch/Shell, Perenco and 5,000 km across Vaalco Energy to prop up production the two levels, but these will only ever swing deepwater regions back past the previous peak if the focus involved, Zone of activities can move out into Gabon’s Nord and Zone deepwater offshore acreage. Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 4. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 4 COMMENTARY Centric chases rift frontier potential The company has significant acreage in two frontier countries, Mali and Kenya, and is on the look out for additions By Ed Reed Centric has 88,000 square km of acreage in Mali and Kenya, working with Heritage and Tullow The Kenyan block is under-explored, with plans to investigate the on- and offshore Seismic is to get under way in Mali this year and an exploration well could be drilled in 2011 Success in Uganda has helped drive claim. A hearing is to be held on October Under its licence, Centric has enthusiasm for Kenyan work, a sentiment 27 on the matter. committed to carrying out an airborne corroborated by Tullow Oil’s decision to Exploration has been moving in fits gravity survey and acquiring 200 km of strike a deal with Centric Energy on its and starts in Kenya for many years, 2-D seismic on the block in the first Block 10BA. although there have been relatively few three-year phase. The company has Tullow is to take a 50% stake in wells. received satellite images of Lake Centric’s production-sharing contract Turkana to look for slicks that might (PSC), assuming it gains approval from Kenyan programme have come from oil seeps. the Kenyan government. “We have had Robinson said the sheer size of the area – “The next step is to get out on the lake indications that the Kenyan government Block 10BA covers 16,205 square km – to sample these and we will need to do is pleased, so we do not anticipate any meant there was substantial untapped seismic onshore and in the lake. We have difficulties in that regard,” Centric’s exploration potential. On this large also initiated reprocessing of the old CEO and president, Alec Robinson, told expanse only one well has been drilled seismic data and reinterpretation of the AfrOil. Tullow, he said, “will be a strong and around 1,500 km of seismic old gravity and magnetic data,” Robinson partner for Kenya.” acquired. said. One potential concern, though, is a “The latest seismic [on the block] was Should Centric – and Tullow’s – hopes Kenyan court case, under which shot in 1992,” Centric’s CEO said. “We for oil be successful in Kenya, the Interstate Petroleum has sought a judicial feel that the opportunities that are companies would face some challenges review of the block’s award, although demonstrated by the seismic are in terms of exporting the crude, as there Centric has said there is no basis for the significant.” is no nearby infrastructure at present. Robinson, though, was confident a solution could be found, saying success at Block 10BA could piggyback on other export schemes, either from Sudan or Uganda. South Sudan is set to hold a referendum in January 2011 on potential secession. Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 5. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 5 COMMENTARY Should independence be approved, as “They are both part of the interior rift were in the blocks. “The survey is seems likely, the new country would face system, although of slightly different sufficiently high-resolution that we can an interesting dilemma over how to ages. The rift basin in Mali is use it to decide where to shoot more export its oil. South Sudan holds the Cretaceous-age and the rift basin in seismic. As I mentioned, seismic is majority of the country’s production but, Kenya is Tertiary, so it is younger. The planned to start later this year. for now, output flows to the north, to rift basin in Kenya is north to south, and Depending on the results, drilling should Port Sudan. crossing it at an angle is the Cretaceous start [in 2011].” Should Sudan break up, this export rift, known as the Anza Graben, that Although Mali has mostly flown under route may come under pressure and continues into southern Sudan,” he said. the radar, a number of high-profile schemes have emerged for a link to be Robinson went on to note the potential companies have signed up to work in the constructed to transport crude through presence of “lake sediment, which forms Sahelian state. Algeria’s state-owned Kenya. Such a plan, which has been Sonatrach, for instance, has Block 20 and backed by Toyota Tsusho, would involve a stake in Block 4, alongside Italy’s Eni. building a pipeline probably passing “The Agadem block, in “The Agadem block, in Niger, is of a through Centric’s block. Niger, is of a similar age similar age and may indicate the Alternately, the plan could tie into a potential of our licences in Mali,” Ugandan scheme. “The export pipeline and may indicate the Robinson said. “One study by another for Uganda’s oil, if it [passes] through potential of our licences in company suggests it has 350 million Kenya, will come very close to our barrels of oil in place. It is reported that a operation,” Robinson said. “The ideal Mali,” Robinson said Chinese company paid a signature bonus solution would be a pipeline network, of US$300 million about two years ago source rocks and generates oil, as seen in bringing together Sudanese, Ugandan to acquire the licence.” Uganda.” Finally, the licence terms in and Kenyan oil.” both states are good and the tax regimes The pipeline would have to be heated Looking to the future are “acceptable. We’re a small company, to more than 40 degrees Celsius, Centric’s strategy is to focus on so we have to go to regions where, Robinson explained, in order to “keep the opportunities in areas “where there is currently, there is less competition.” oil flowing, because of [its] wax evidence of hydrocarbons, in countries Another link, tying Mali to Uganda, is content.” that have favourable commercial terms the presence of Heritage Oil, which Despite the block’s proximity to and that accept direct applications for acquired a 75% stake in the blocks in Sudan, the Centric official was exploration acreage.” 2008, committing to carry Centric unconcerned about security issues. There Robinson said the company was on the through the acquisition of seismic and is a disputed area nearby, he said, but lookout for additional deals and that its the drilling of a first exploration well. there does not appear to be any fighting focus was on sub-Saharan Africa. “We Centric’s two areas, Blocks 7 and 11, there. “It’s important to have strong don’t just look at geology: we look at are in southeast Mali, in the Cretaceous- community programmes in the areas of deal flow, competition, business age Goa rift basin. Between the two operations. It is good common sense. environment and fiscal regime when blocks, Robinson said, is a water well in Local people should see the benefit our considering where to go next.” which oil and gas have been detected. presence – it’s partly altruistic, partly Centric has previously been linked to “BP sampled it in the 1970’s and wise business.” Eritrean opportunities, which have also confirmed that the oil [there] is a seep of been under-explored, appearing to match natural crude oil and not pollution. This Mali the company’s plans to seek up and gives us some indication of hydrocarbons As a result of the Tullow deal and other coming plays. With the completion of the in the basin,” he said. corporate activity much has been made Kenya deal and the start-up of seismic in Heritage is planning to acquire seismic of East African assets in recent times, but Mali looming, Centric seems to have on the blocks in the fourth quarter of this Centric also has two blocks in Mali, proved its ability to sign up frontier year. An aeromagnetic survey, covering covering 72,850 square km. acreage. Now the company needs to 42,000 line km, has already been shot on Robinson told AfrOil that there were a establish its ability to move into the the blocks, “which is about the number of links between Mali and exploration phase and firm up its circumference of the world.” Kenya, including the geology, lake hopes. Robinson said this had given clear sediments and licence terms. indications of where the basins of interest Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 6. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 6 INVESTMENT African refining plans fall short Africa’s refining plans have failed, for company has been instrumental in more support for refining plans and must the most part, to make any progress building plants in Sudan, Algeria, Chad honour long-term commitments. beyond the drawing board, CITAC and Niger, while Citadel Capital is Subsidies can act to distort the market, it Africa pointed out at a recent forum. involved in a facility being planned in continued, and governments must pay The group’s executive director, Gary Egypt. these on time, should they be maintained. Still, speaking at a downstream event in The CITAC official said the Chinese The World Bank and International Lagos on October 14, said that while involvement in these downstream areas Monetary Fund (IMF) should support the there had been 60 announcements of “may lead to the acquisition of prime construction of refineries over product plans for new refineries in Africa, only exploration concessions, which may imports, which would draw in one had actually been built. become future Chinese-controlled crude commercial backing. Finally, CITAC CITAC said that 90% of the proposals reserves for years to come.” Local said, refineries should focus on meeting for refineries fail to make any progress. governments benefit from these domestic demand in land-locked Some make it as far as a feasibility study investments, with the introduction of new countries, rather than marginal exports. but are then dropped once backers try to product capacity as well as securing Still said as long as these factors were raise financing. Slow progress in African upstream commitments. uncertain, African refining plans would refining has been further compounded by Still also said the African refining continue to struggle and “perhaps only weak international margins, with some sector was “desperately searching for CNPC will be prepared to take the experts saying the world needs to cut as financing to improve product quality.” commercial risk of the necessary much as 7 million barrels per day of There would be significant health and investment by supplying soft loans.” capacity. economic benefits for countries Even CNPC, though, would look to The prime driver of downstream switching to clean fuels, CITAC said, but balance its downstream investment risk projects in Africa, CITAC continued, has in sub-Saharan states alone this would through securing upstream been China National Petroleum Corp. require US$10-15 billion of investment concessions. (CNPC), which has been involved in five by 2020. out of seven schemes. The Chinese CITAC said governments should show Zuma backs economic case for Project Mthombo South African President Jacob Zuma has billion rand (US$1.8 billion) per year in The Project Mthombo refinery is given his support to PetroSA's planned energy costs once it was running, and expected to ease some of this pressure, refinery in the Coega industrial “could export oil [products] across with Zuma singling out state-owned development zone, near Port Elizabeth. Africa.” PetroSA’s recent track record as a reason The president said the project would While the refinery would “showcase for optimism. reduce South Africa’s dependency on South Africa’s competitive ability” it “We welcome the fact that PetroSA is energy imports and improve the country's would also help the country escape from making its impact, not only in job image overseas. its current dependency trap, where creation but in empowering the people as Construction of the US$11 billion demand for refined automotive products well. It employs close to 2,000 people, facility, which will have 400,000 barrels relies on imports, he added. while 27,500 more will be absorbed per day of capacity, is expected to start in Despite South Africa's status as one of within the crude oil refinery that is 2012, with the refinery to come onstream the most developed economies in sub- [being] planned,” Zuma said. by 2015. Once completed it will be the Saharan Africa, it has frequently “To be able to reach the markets in largest oil refinery on the continent. struggled to maintain a consistent and Europe, the US, the Caribbean, the Speaking at a visit to PetroSA’s gas-to- secure energy supply, with both domestic Middle East and the Far East is an liquids (GTL) refinery in Mossel Bay on use and its large-scale and resource- important achievement,” the president October 14, Zuma said the project would intensive mining sector regularly said. help South Africa save an estimated 12.6 disrupted. Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 7. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 7 INVESTMENT Sirius Petroleum shines light on Nigeria’s Ke field UK-listed minnow Sirius Petroleum said was originally discovered in 1965 by barrels of crude. it had raised GBP15.7 million (US$24.9 Chevron, which retains a small royalty Trading in the company’s shares has million) to help develop Nigeria’s Ke interest in any production income from been halted on London’s Alternative field, a small oil discovery in the the Ke farm-out area. Investment Market (AIM) while the southern part of the Niger Delta. The area, which covers 52 square km, transaction is in play. The company said last week that it was originally part of Oil Mining The move into Nigeria’s oil sector would place about 313.9 million shares at Licence (OML) 55 and was awarded to marks a major strategic shift for Sirius GBP0.05 (US$0.08) per share to raise the Del Sigma in 2003, as part of the Petroleum, which has had no substantive money. Sirius agreed earlier this year to Department of Petroleum Resources trading business since 2007, following a acquire a 40% interest in the field, held (DPR) marginal field round. decision to cease its gaming industry by Nigerian independent Del Sigma Del Sigma presently holds a 100% aggregation software business. Petroleum, in a reverse takeover deal. participating interest in the field. Starting with the Ke field, it now plans The deal is still awaiting Nigerian According to Sirius Petroleum, to focus on marginal oilfields, government approval, which is potential recoverable reserves at the Ke particularly in Nigeria. The Sirius board anticipated later this month. The Ke field field are expected to exceed 25 million said the project “has unrealised value.” PERFORMANCE Spain, Algeria fight on gas pricing The gas price dispute between Spain’s the Paris arbitration court over 2007-09 to 50% from 60%. The 60% level was set Gas Natural Fenosa and Algeria’s gas prices, and must now pay Sonatrach in 2004 by another royal decree. Sonatrach is now a full blown political up to US$2 billion in unpaid costs, which Gas Natural is Spain’s biggest gas conflict between the two countries, is more than Gas Natural’s annual net group, with more than 60% of all Spanish Industry Minister Miguel profit. Spanish gas customers. The economic Sebastian told Parliament on October 13. The legal change to limit a foreign nature of the dispute has become political Sebastian revealed he would be company’s gas market share to 30% for several reasons. One is that Gas travelling to Algeria in the week would restrict Sonatrach’s power in Natural’s debt to Sonatrach could end up commencing October 18 to discuss the Spain. The power the Algerian company being paid partly by Gas Natural’s matter with Algerian Energy Minister wields is set to increase radically when customers. Gas Natural has asked the Youcef Yousfi. the Algeria-Spain underwater Medgaz government to allow some of the huge As the Spanish government angles for gas pipeline comes into operation later debt to be paid through Spaniards’ gas a solution through dialogue, Gas Natural this year. bills. is studying legal measures to limit Almost worse for Gas Natural is that Another reason is the much greater Sonatrach’s power in Spain as the Sonatrach has a licence to trade its gas in power Sonatrach could wield once country’s main gas supplier. One is to Spain, which means it can sell directly to Medgaz began operating, which would reduce by law the 50% maximum gas end users without going through include the power to condition prices. supply market share a foreign company intermediaries, such as Gas Natural, Sonatrach holds the largest stake in can have in Spain to 30%. Sonatrach’s Iberdrola or Endesa. Sonatrach already Medgaz, with a 36% stake. Gas Natural current share is 32%. has a 1.04% trading market share, and has no stake in Medgaz, although Another is to take Sonatrach’s Algeria’s ambassador in Spain has Iberdrola and CEPSA have 20% each, intention of raising gas supply prices for indicated the company may triple this. while Endesa and Gaz de France each 2010-12 by a further 30% to another A Spanish royal decree issued in 2007 own 12%. Sonatrach’s gas currently international arbitration court. In August, had already lowered the gas supply reaches Spain via the Maghreb pipeline, Gas Natural lost a case with Sonatrach in market limit for a non-Spanish company which passes through Morocco. Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 8. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 8 PERFORMANCE Confidence in Libya continues to deteriorate Confidence in Libya’s oil and gas November. were lifted in 2005. marketplace took another hit this month The announcements reiterate the Many have looked to the experience of as a series of international firms feeling of general unease surrounding Canada’s Verenex Energy and have announced they would exit the country Libya, with the lacklustre finds of many begun to wonder if the risk of investing because of low returns and an unstable international companies made worse by in the country is worth the hassle. political climate. erratic comments and behaviour on the The Calgary-based company agreed to Following BG Group, which part of the government. Libya had a sale to China National Petroleum Corp. announced its exit in late August after appeared to be moving towards (CNPC) but, following opposition from three consecutive dry wells, Chevron, modernisation but shifting power local interests, was forced to accept an Occidental Petroleum, Woodside balances within the Tripoli regime have offer of 30% less from the Libyan Petroleum and Abu Dhabi-based Liwa swung back towards more conservative Investment Authority (LIA), Energy have said they will not renew figures. Poor results and comments However, while many companies are their licences. suggesting a nationalisation of Libya’s cutting Libyan projects, others have The planned exits follow a summer of resources have created an uneasy elected to remain, such as Hess, delays as BP has struggled to move atmosphere for foreign investors. Petrobras, Indonesia’s Medco Energi, Oil forward on a US$900 million offshore In addition to threatening needed India Ltd (OIL) and Algeria’s Sonatrach. drilling project. The company has been exploration and infrastructure In addition, Italy’s Eni has reiterated its criticised by European Union officials for investment, this loss of confidence pledge to invest US$25 billion in Libya planning to drill in the Mediterranean jeopardises the country’s growth rates, over the next decade. Sea. The UK-based super-major appears which have been driven by the promise to be set to begin drilling in Libya in of its oil and gas industry since sanctions Petroceltic updates North African appraisal programme Drilling is to start at Petroceltic appraisal drilling programme lasting six Bir Ben Tartar reservoir unit, a detailed International’s Ain Tsila discovery in months at the gas condensate field, where evaluation of the data indicated oil Algeria’s Isarene permit in November, three test wells have revealed “an saturation and reservoir characteristics but its Tunisian exploration well is to be extensive and probably continuous gas were insufficient to justify fracture plugged and abandoned. accumulation” that, following fracture stimulation and well bore testing. Petroceltic confirmed these contrasting stimulation, is capable of flowing at rates Petroceltic’s CEO, Brian O'Cathain, fortunes from its North African wells in exceeding 850,000 cubic metres per day. commented that, while the ST-4 an operations update issued on October This latest appraisal programme aims exploration results were disappointing, 12. to confirm recoverable hydrocarbon “the extensive modern logging data The Irish-headquartered independent reserves and to optimise development collected” would be reviewed “before said it was making good progress at its plans for the discoveries and gas sales making a decision on whether to Ain Tsila (AT-4) well in Algeria, where contracts. continue with any further exploration” on it holds a 75% stake as operator in a joint that block. venture with state-owned Sonatrach. Tunisia ST-4 is part of a work programme Civil engineering works are now Meanwhile, the Sidi Toui-4 (ST-4) well, agreed when Petroasian Energy Holdings complete and the site is ready to receive at the Ksar Hadada permit in Tunisia, is farmed into the permit, in which the Dalma No 12 rig. Drilling is expected to be plugged and abandoned without Petroceltic is the operator with a 27.03% to begin during the first week of testing. The CTF Rig 06 will be interest. Petroasian’s holding is 51% and November and take around 40 days. demobilised. there are three other partners. This will be the first in a multi-well Despite encountering oil shows in the Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 9. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 9 POLICY Tullow continues Kinshasa dispute Tullow Oil said last week it would companies owned by Khulubuse Zuma, of Hydrocarbons Celestin Mbuyu told continue to pursue a court case in order the nephew of South African President members of parliament that Tullow did to uphold its claims to two blocks on the Jacob Zuma. In June of this year, a not have the right to seek arbitration in western side of Lake Albert, in the presidential decree endorsing the award the Paris court. He asserted that the Democratic Republic of Congo of Blocks 1 and 2 to Caprikat and presidential decree signed in June (Kinshasa). Foxwhelp was signed. invalidated the sections of the Irish Tullow’s vice president, Tim According to the Congolese company’s agreement that provided for O’Hanlon, told Bloomberg that his government, the signing of the arbitration of future disputes. company had no choice but to seek a presidential decree means that the only He also said Kinshasa had sent letters judicial remedy for its claims to Blocks 1 valid contract for the blocks is the one to both Tullow and DIG giving notice of and 2, located in the northeast part of signed with Caprikat and Foxwhelp. cancellation and offering instructions on Congo (Kinshasa). “Since Tullow is not However, Tullow has challenged securing compensation from the in the habit of buying back goods which Kinshasa’s actions, saying that the Congolese Ministry of Finance. have been stolen from us, I defy anybody original deal should stand. It has filed O’Hanlon told Bloomberg that his to show what alternative we had to these cases against Congo (Kinshasa) in the company was not aware of any such legal actions,” he said in an email International Court of Arbitration in Paris letter. However, DIG’s director, Andrea message. and in a British Virgin Islands court. Brown, told the news agency that her Kinshasa had awarded the blocks to The latter court recently made a ruling company had received Kinshasa’s letter Tullow in 2006. Before the project had in Tullow’s favour. On September 21, it and was in negotiations on reached the step of being approved by issued an injunction barring Caprikat and compensation. presidential decree, though, the Foxwhelp from exercising or transferring Tullow also holds rights to several Congolese government announced that it rights to the blocks and from working at blocks on the Ugandan side of Lake had been cancelled. In 2008, it awarded either site. It also said a new hearing on Albert. These blocks contain about 1 the two blocks to Divine Inspiration the case would be held on October 18. billion barrels of crude oil and are set to Group (DIG) of South Africa. As of press time, it was not clear begin production in 2014-15. They may This deal also fell through and whether the Congolese government had come to yield 200,000 barrels per day. Kinshasa later turned the blocks over to commented on the injunction. two British Virgin Islands-registered In early October, Congolese Minister Gabon postpones round again Gabon has opted to push back the start of Hydrocarbons Ministry official, Guy produce 220,000-240,000 barrels per its offer of blocks indefinitely, attributing Martial Mbeang Mba, told AFP on day, are in decline and the country is the delay to security concerns and October 13 that the government wanted seeking to diversify its economic reliance environmental guarantees in the wake of to “be assured of certain guarantees, on oil, which is said to account for BP’s Gulf of Mexico disaster. notably with regard to security, the around 60% of its budget. The sale of 42 Gabonese offshore environment and the opportunities for Earlier this year, an energy official said blocks, which was originally set for May operators.” Gabon would be asking for a 50% share 5 and then delayed until October 27 Without announcing a new auction of production from fields generating up because of greater than expected date, Mba confirmed Gabon was drawing to 75,000 bpd, with a greater amount due international interest, is now in jeopardy. up a code of conduct for companies from those with a higher output, in A government official linked the latest working in its energy industry, taking addition to receiving royalty payments deferral to a need to “adopt a new “international factors” into account. “No and production costs. approach rather than just launch into this one is immune from that sort of The country has also suffered from operation” following the loss of life and accident,” he said, adding the oil-rich numerous strikes and, early this month, environmental damage caused by an state was “taking the time to prepare Gabon said it was to move towards explosion on and the subsequent sinking things in the best way.” strengthening the role of local content, in of BP’s Deepwater Horizon rig in April. Gabon is Africa's seventh largest crude a move that might prove difficult for A Gabonese Mining, Oil and supplier but its existing fields, which foreign investors. Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 10. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 10 POLICY Obasanjo aide charged over NLNG case The long-running case centred on bribes Technip, Snamprogetti and JGC. TSKJ is to the government. paid to secure construction contracts at said to have paid around US$180 million The Nigerian government has also Nigeria LNG (NLNG) took a fresh twist in order to secure work on the NLNG been reported as preparing to sue last week as an official close to Nigeria’s project. The US government has also Halliburton, which was the parent former president, Olusegun Obasanjo, chosen to pursue these companies, with company of KBR at the time of the was charged with money laundering. KBR, Technip and Snamprogetti having scandal, for US$2 billion in US courts. A senior aide in the Obasanjo paid out or set aside cash to cover fines. administration, Adeyanju Bodunde, was Charges filed in September had named Panalpina charged with six counts of money a number of participants in the scandal, In related news, the Wall Street Journal laundering on October 14. He pleaded but suits against many foreigners were reported Panalpina, a Swiss logistics not guilty to all the charges and was dropped last week. Among those company, and Royal Dutch/Shell were subsequently freed on bail. previously named and then dropped are nearing a settlement with the US Bodunde was accused of accepting Jeffrey Tesler, George Mark and the government over foreign bribery. around US$5 million in cash from local affiliate of construction giant Panalpina’s actions are being various businessmen. The aide denied Bilfinger Berger. investigated in a number of foreign wrongdoing, saying in local reports that Tesler, who resides in the UK, is states, including Nigeria. The logistics he was merely acting to raise fighting attempts by the US government company is to pay US$85 million, while contributions for Nigeria’s ruling to extradite him, to face charges of Shell will have to stump up US$30 People’s Democratic Party (PDP). contravening the Foreign Corrupt million for using Panalpina’s services in The charges stem from actions taken Practices Act (FCPA). Julius Berger is Nigeria. by TSKJ Nigeria, a consortium of said to have reached an out of court international service companies – KBR, settlement, paying around US$30 million Abyei talks collapse, jeopardising Sudanese production Prospects for the Heglig and Unity US-mediated talks in Addis Ababa be aggravated by the looming dispute oilfields, in Sudan’s Muglad Basin, have collapsed, shattering any hopes by the between NCP and SPLM, both of whom been thrown into question following the Greater Nile Petroleum Operating have agreed to a fresh round of collapse of the latest negotiations over Company (GNPOC), the major operator negotiations later in the month. The two the over the future of the oil-producing of the two oilfields, of boosting the sides are also accusing each other of Abyei region. falling production figures and of amassing troops along the demarcation The Khartoum-based National enhancing the capacity of the Greater boundary. Congress Party (NCP) and the Nile Oil Pipeline. The link runs from the GNPOC oil production in Blocks 1, 2, Government of Southern Sudan’s Sudan fields to Port Sudan, on the Red Sea. 4, which include areas in Unity State, People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) “Despite serious efforts and many Southern Kordofan and Abyei, generated have been locked in unsuccessful productive discussions, [the delegates] around 175,000 barrels per day in 2009, negotiations over the control of Abyei. did not succeed in reaching an agreement down from an estimated 252,000 bpd in The area is to hold a separate referendum on the eligibility criteria for voters in the 2006. from the south, under which the two Abyei area referendum,” the NCP and Under the Comprehensive Peace dominant tribes in the area – the the SPLM said in a joint statement, Agreeement (CPA) of 2005, the oil Messiriya and Ngok Dinka – will decide quoted in the International Business produced in the country, over 80% of whether to throw in with Juba or Times. which comes from the south, was to be Khartoum. Statistics show falling production from shared equally between Khartoum and Despite frantic efforts last week, the the two fields, a situation that is likely to the Government of South Sudan. Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 11. AfrOil 19 October 2010, Week 41 page 11 PROJECTS & COMPANIES Shell to launch Marsa el-Brega tender A new tender is close to being issued to has been operating for around 40 years – a new plant or upgrade. overhaul the Marsa el-Brega liquefaction it was only the second in the world to Libyan expectations about price are facility in Libya, according to a report in begin producing. It originally had a also likely to cause trouble, with a Upstream. capacity of 3.2 million tonnes per year previous tender being scrapped because A note from IHS Global Insight on but this has fallen to around 700,000 contractor quotes were around double October 14 picked up on the report but tonnes per year. NOC’s forecasts. warned that contractors remained The plant lacks the capacity to strip Leading contenders in the new tender, “sceptical and risk-averse” about liquid petroleum gas (LPG) from its Global Insight said, would be similar to operations in Libya. Global Insight feedstock, which restricts its exports to those from the previous effort, with reported Shell and Sirte Oil Co. (SOC) one destination – a Spanish regasification Italy’s Bonatti and the UK’s Petrofac. were close to re-launching the tender, facility run by Enagas. This problem Upstream suggested Greece's noting hopes from contractors that the would be tackled in the first phase of Consolidated Contractors Co. (CCC) project had been carved up into more work, Global Insight said. would also be interested in the deal. manageable packages. Shell’s deal with Libya also involves NOC’s failures with the Marsa el- Shell struck a bilateral deal to work on the company securing sufficient reserves Brega deal demonstrate wider problems the Marsa el-Brega plant in 2005 but to drive the construction of a new LNG with the Libyan regime and its attitude progress has been slow – hampered by facility, as well as new reserves for the towards investments and various Libyan bureaucracy and a lack of clarity existing plant. The note said Shell and fluctuations in the administration. about reserves. Problems at the plant SOC had not disclosed their exploration “Inflexibility and decision-making expose “the organisational problems results but quoted the two firms as saying paralysis have become permanent,” within the structures of the National Oil these had been “encouraging.” Global Insight said, noting the Corporation (NOC) and its subsidiaries,” Upstream quoted industry sources as “micromanaging of the sector from the Global Insight’s analyst, Samuel Ciszuk, saying there was uncertainty about what highest levels [at NOC], in what always said. Libya wanted from Marsa el-Brega – has been a very top-heavy The liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant whether it was to “patch things up,” build organisation.” Sonangol and PetroSA plot refinery joint venture Angola’s state-run Sonangol and South Although no other details were given, PetroSA. Africa’s PetroSA are looking at ways to both countries are keenly interested in “Angola briefed South Africa about its work together in the refining sector and developing new refining capacity. new oil exploration strategy, which will upstream. Angola’s oil ministry said in a Angola has been planning a large be approved at the end of 2010, statement, seen by Bloomberg, that the refinery in Lobito, with a capacity of providing an opportunity for PetroSA to two state energy companies were around 200,000 barrels per day, for take part in licence bidding,” a ministry contemplating setting up a joint venture years. The country’s only other refinery statement said. It said PetroSA wanted to to build and manage oil refineries. is a much smaller facility, with a import oil and liquefied natural gas “The parties are considering the maximum capacity of 41,000 bpd. (LNG) from Angola. possibility of creating a joint venture PetroSA has a refinery of similar size The two sides may sign a between Sonangol and PetroSA to at its Mossel Bay plant, although South memorandum of understanding (MoU) construct and manage refineries and Africa too has been crafting plans for a on energy issues when Angolan President finished petroleum products,” the much larger capacity plant, up to 400,000 Jose Eduardo dos Santos visits South ministry’s statement said. bpd, for some years. Africa, the ministry statement added, It follows recent talks between the two Angola’s oil ministry also said there although it did not specify when the trip sides in the Angolan capital, Luanda. were upstream opportunities too for would take place. Copyright © 2010 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ed Reed All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents