The document discusses the Anthropocene period, defined as the current geological age marked by human activity significantly impacting the Earth's climate and environment. It traces the evolution of human impacts from early agriculture and industry to the current Anthropocene age, where population growth and industrialization have caused large-scale global disruptions. The document also examines potential future scenarios under continued business-as-usual practices, mitigation efforts, or geoengineering interventions, concluding that transitioning to a more sustainable "Sustainocene" approach will determine the trajectory of the planet.
2. Paul Crutzen (2000)
Naming the Anthropocene
Paul Crutzen, who had shared the Nobel
Prize for Chemistry in 1995 for his
observation of the depletion of the
atmospheric ozone layer over Antarctica,
declared that so extensive has been the
damage to the biosphere caused by human
activities since the industrial transition, that
the present interglacial era, hitherto named
the Holocene, should be re-named the
Anthropocene
3. DEFINING THE ANTHROPOCENE
A period marked by a regime change in the activity of
industrial societies which began at the turn of the nineteenth
century and which has caused global disruptions in the Earth
System on a scale unprecedented in human history: climate
change, biodiversity loss, pollution of the sea, land and air,
resources depletion, land cover degradation, radical
transformation of the biosphere and the geosphere. These
phenomena call for a paradigm shift in the way we frame our
worldviews, and the methods we practice in our inhabitation of
the planet.
4. A Brief Timeline Of Human History
LIFESTYLE TIME PERIOD (in yrs.)
Hunter-Gatherers > 200,000
Agriculture (Holocene) > 10,000
Cities > 5,000
Fossil-fuelled Industry (Anthropocene) > 250
Information Technology > 50
Sustainoncene (???) > 25
5. Holocene: Pre-Anthropocene
The Agricultural Revolution set into motion the
drive of humans to bend nature to their will.
Domestication, Deforestations, and the pseudo-
invention of fire. All these factors aided in this
endeavour, though at a very local or regional
level.
The Invention of Writing, led to ‘Knowledge
Accumulation’ and ‘Social Learning’; and is
considered to be an important catalytic
process.
6. Anthropocene- I (1800-1945)
The Industrial Revolution
The technology for the Anthropocene was launched by
Scottish engineer James Watt, who invented the first effective
coal-driven steam engine in 1754, which progressively
replaced muscle power in factories.
To facilitate transport of goods and people, George
Stephenson in 1829 invented the first workable steam
locomotive, named The Rocket
The expansion of economic society. Demography becomes a
secondary appendage to economic growth
Human population expands from about 750 million to about
2.5 billion. The first global population explosion
7. Anthropocene II (1945- Present )
Age of Acceleration
Soon after World War II, in 1950 with the USA as its
epicenter the most rapid and pervasive shift in the
human-environment relationship began, coinciding
with the advent of the USA as a world military,
economic, and cultural power.
Human population doubled in 50yrs, to 6 billion by
the end of the 20th century. Global Economy
multiplied 15-fold. By the advent of the 21st century,
50% of the population was living in urban areas.
8. Anthropocene III ( Present - Near
Future)
Sustainocene
We are currently standing at a sort of crossroads.
The one species that emerged from nature, to
becoming virtual masters of it.
We have come a long way, from cowering on hearing
rumbling thunder and flashing lightning; to discussing
ways on harnessing nature to fulfil our energy needs, on
a global-scale.
We have become a geo-physical force, battling the
forces of nature to establish our mastery over them.
9. Continued…….
Human-induced change raises disturbing questions
about the future of Earth and the environmental services
that support human civilization.
“The Earth is rapidly moving into a less biologically
diverse, less forested, much warmer, and probably
wetter and stormier state.”
According to a growing section of environmentalists, it is
high time the current environmental model of ‘only
protection and preservation’ is overhauled by more
comprehensive ‘management model’
10. On the global scale during the post-glacial era of the Holocene, the earth’s atmosphere maintained its average of
surface and oceanic temperatures relatively stable at around 14C through the trapping of the sun’s infra-red heat by
so-called greenhouse gases (GHGs), which make life on our planet possible. This mechanism was first proposed by
the French mathematician Fourier, by the English scientist Tindal and organized on a scientific basis by Swedish
physicist and chemist Svante Arrhenius (1859- 1927)
Svante Arrhenius (1896)
Greenhouse gases
11. Characteristics of The
Anthropocene
Huge prevalent nutrition gap.
Excessive sugar intake….. Leading to obesity… and other
related disorders
Homo sedentarius
Species extinction, Ocean Acidification, Global Pollution
and Warming, Ozone Layer Depletion, Peak Fish and
Peak Oil.
Continued Deforestation
Neglecting both the potential in renewable energy
sources and sustainable housing and agricultural
practices
12. Impacts on Human Health
Advantages:
1) Decreased maternal deaths. Double life expectancy.
2) Generally improved material living standards and improvements
in public health and medical care
Disadvantages:
1) Epidemics, Emerging and Re-emerging infectious diseases,
Antibiotic resistance
2) Increasing cases of chronic alcohol and drug abuse
3) Perceived social and mental disorders, Emergence of new
cancer types
13. Impacts on Global Health
Extreme weather events; Polar Vortexes;
Hyperthermia; Habitat Loss
Emergence of both vector-borne and
water-borne diseases. Antibiotic
resistance.
Economic collapse; The Great Recession;
Resource Wars.
14. Olduvai Theory of
Industrialisation
The rush for oil
extraction and fossil
fuel usage, starting
with James Watts’
invention of the
steam engine, and
plunges when the
oil reserves drop to
37%. This prediction
is the most extreme
one, but not
altogether
impossible.
Peak Oil
c. 1930 c. 2025
Pre-Industrial Phase [c. 3,000,000 BC to 1765]
A = Tool making begins (c. 3,000,000 BC)
B = Fire use begins (c. 1,000,000 BC)
C = Neolithic Agricultural Revolution (c. 8,000 BC)
D = Watt's steam engine, 1765
Interval D-E is a transition period.
15. Current Scenario in Brief
Research is ongoing, particularly on
“interdisciplinary work on human-environment
systems”
The emergence of The Internet as “a global self-
organizing information system”
Democratic political systems and the
emergence of sustainable civil societies.
The spread of free and open societies.
16. Road to The Future
There are three ways by which the problems that
have arisen in the Anthropocene, can be
tackled:
1) Business-as-usual
2) Mitigation
3) Geo-engineering
A fourth option still under consideration is Social
Ecology and the concept of Re-inhabitation.
17. ‘Business-As-Usual’ Scenario
This model makes certain assumptions like:
Human-driven changes do not disrupt global
economy and societies.
The ‘market-oriented’ economic system can
adapt quickly to the rapidly changing
conditions
Resources are still plentiful enough to mitigate
the damage already done, without significantly
making any changes.
18. Potential Risks
The long-term momentum built into the Earth
System means that:
By the time humans realize that a business-as-usual
approach may not work;
The world will be committed to further decades or
even centuries of environmental change.
Collapse of modern, globalized society under
uncontrollable environmental change is the one highly
likely outcome.
19. Mitigation Scenario
Improved technology and social
organization
Wiser use of resources
Control of human and animal
population
Conservation and restoration of the
environment
20. Continued…..
Mitigation is currently the preferred option, as it does not
require a drastic overhaul of the entire global economic
system, but the one crucial factor in this particular scenario is
‘ENERGY’
In addition to the many opportunities for energy
conservation, numerous technologies, from solar thermal and
photovoltaic through nuclear fission and fusion to wind power
and biofuels from forests and crops, are available now or are
under development to replace fossil fuels.
Another factor which is stressed upon is dematerialisation. To
do more with less.
21. Geo-engineering Scenario
The main objective of this scenario is the
sequestering of Carbon dioxide in underground
reservoirs, and the controlled release of aerosols
into the stratosphere to reflect the sun’s rays.
But this scenario carries the huge risk of
‘unintended consequences’. The ethical
debates that are raging at the moment
mentions that the cures just might be worse than
the disease.
22. Sustainocene- Hoping for the
future
From 19th century of ancient, dirty, non-renewable
solar CAPITAL
To 21st century of clean renewable solar CURRENCY:
Local: Building design and operation (insulation,
solar hot water, photovoltaics), biofuels
Central: Solar Thermal Electricity (STE): covering
0.5% of deserts with mirrors focused on turbines
would meet all electricity needs.
Also geothermal; wind; waves; tides
23. Continued……
Transport: From road to rail, from air to wind-assisted
ships; hybrid cars; biofuels from algae and crop
wastes, not from food crops or palm oil from cleared
forests; Solar or wind - generated H2 in fuel cells
Agriculture: Cease land clearing; move to organic
agriculture for better water retention, less pesticides,
herbicides; local food production to reduce transport
costs
Health: Equity of resources; healthy nutrition; more
use of muscle power; adaptation to inevitable global
warming.
24. Anthropocene v/s Sustainocene
(The Five "Ps")
POPULATION
POVERTY
POLLUTION
PROFIT
PREPARATION FOR WARFARE
(The Four "Es")
ENLIGHTENMENT
ECOLOGY
EDUCATION
ETHICS
26. CONCLUSION
I conclude by stating that at this point of time,
we are at a tipping point, it does not matter
what the next epoch is named. Rather what
we do in this epoch that will decide where
our world would go from here-on. Will we fulfil
the direst of scientific predictions or will we be
finally be at peace with the evolving planet,
that is our only home, is a question that still
remains to be answered.
27. THANK YOU
We have to save this
planet - It's the only one
with chocolate!