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Ad Tech Event
          London
  October 23rd, 2012
            15 Stratton Street
     London W1J 8LQ, United Kingdom

          10 rue du Mont Thabor
            75001 Paris, France
Who IS
 CLIPPERTON FINANCE ?
Who are We ?


  Values      TOMBSTONES


Multi-LOCAL    Research
Who are We ?

 Independence
 Loyalty
 Intuitu Personae
 Selectiveness
                    TOMBSTONES


Multi-LOCAL          Research
Who are We ?


  Values      TOMBSTONES


Multi-LOCAL    Research
Who are We ?

               $150 million

  Values      $10 million




Multi-LOCAL       Research
Who are We ?


  Values      TOMBSTONES


Multi-LOCAL    Research
Who are We ?


Values    TOMBSTONES


           Research
Who are We ?


  Values      TOMBSTONES


Multi-LOCAL    Research
Thought Leadership
                 Research papers                          Transactions


                Research paper on
E-COMMERCE      EU E-Commerce           Private Sales
                                        eCommerce
                                                          Second hand fashion
                                                           Social Commerce        (Groupe Casino)
                                                                                                               Acquires




                                    Private Placement    Private Placement           Buy-Side                  Buy-Side




                Research paper on
SOCIAL GAMING
                                                                                   Online gaming


                Social gaming          Social Casual        Social Mobile       Secondary placement
                                         Gaming               Gaming                   Seller
                                                                                     Nicomvest


                                    Private Placement    Private Placement           Sell-Side                 Sell-Side




                Research paper on
AD-TECH                                                                                               Nov-09
                                                                                                                sold to
                                                                                 Travel Affiliation
                Ad Technologies
                                      New TV sell-side     Audio Video Ad
                                         platform             Server &
                                                            measurement


                                    Private Placement    Private Placement      Private Placement              Sell-Side
Why Focus on
  AD TECH &
Online Advertising ?
Strong & Steady Usage Growth…

                     2005   2011    CAGR
                                   2005-11

Internet
Users (worldwide)    0.9bn 2.1bn    +15%

Access
POINTS (worldwide)   0.16 0.39      +16%

Time Spent
Online (US)           6h 13h        +14%

Online
Buyers (EU)          18% 34%        +11%
… Has Attracted an Increasing
Amount of Advertising Dollars Online
           Online Advertising Revenue & Forecasts (2003-2014)


         CAGR 2003-14
           +25%

                                                                                      105
                                                                             94
                                                                   82
                                                         71
                                                60
                               49      52
                        39
                   29
         14   20
     9

   2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
                              2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
                                                       2013 2014
                                Source: Clipperton Finance analysis, JPMorgan, Zenithoptimedia
… Which in turn Led to Sustained Investments
     (but subject to economic stress)
          Private Placements in Digital Advertising Businesses
                           (number of $10m+ transactions)

                                                             65
                                62
                      58                            56
                                                                    51
               45                                                   Q4’12
                                                             62      Est.

                                           34
                      52        57
                                                    51
         20    39

                                          31                        35
         19

         1     6      6          5         3         5        3     3
       2005 2006 2007        2008      2009      2010       2011   2012
                           N.. America             Europe
… AND An ever more
COMPLEX ECOSYSTEM!
Yesterday’s Ad Tech Ecosystem

Advertisers              Ad Networks
                                       Publishers
              Agencies




                                       Publishers




                                       Publishers
Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem

Advertisers                                 Ad Networks




                                Analytics
                                                                                    Publishers




                                                                       Analytics
                                                           SSPs
              Agencies


                         DSPs


                                                                                    Publishers



                                            Ad Exchanges




                                                                       Ad Servers
                                                           Analytics
                                DMP




                                                                                    Publishers
What Happens
      NOW ?
What Trends are Driving the Market?

     INNOVATION
                      Innovative tools
                      New formats
                      New devices




     CONVERGENCE
                     Convergence between
                     “Performance” & “Branding”,
                     Devices & Consumer “timeline”




     AUTOMATION
                     Strong demand for automated
                     solutions that increase overall
                     market efficiency




     CONSOLIDATION   Ad tech space features active
                     consolidation mechanics
What Trends are Driving the Market?

     INNOVATION
                      Innovative tools
                      New formats
                      New devices




     CONVERGENCE
                     Convergence between
                     “Performance” & “Branding”,
                     Devices & Consumer “timeline”




     AUTOMATION
                     Strong demand for automated
                     solutions that increase overall
                     market efficiency




     CONSOLIDATION   Ad tech space features active
                     consolidation mechanics
New Tools Empower Advertisers
TARGETING & Customization
             Sophisticated targeting &
              customization capabilities
             Create tailored & highly-
              focused branding campaigns



                                         Measurement & Analytics
               Need for cross-media strategies
               Branding campaigns lack adequate
                measuring tools
               The typical indicators are suited for direct
                marketing, less for branding
New Formats: Video running the Show
       Display Advertising Market will be                                 … a segment in which Start-Ups
         led by Video & Rich Media…                                            have a card to play
                           ($B, 2010-2017)
                                                                             Video ad reach in the US – oct. 12
$30
                                                                     Total Internet                                 54%
$25
                                                                          BrightRoll                          42%
$20
                                                                    Specific Media                       34%
$15
                                                                        ADAP.TV                         31%
 $10                                                                     /
                                                                      Google Sites                     30%
  $5                                                                    TubeMogul                  24%
  $0                                                                 Tremor Video                 21%
    2010 2011
              2012         2013    2014
                                                                         Videology               20%
                                            2015    2016     2017    SpotXchange                 20%
 Video                                Rich media (excl. video)            Auditude              17%
 Static image                         Text ads
                                                                                  Hulu     7%
Source: Forrester Research Online Display Advertising Forecast,     Source: Comscore
New Devices enable New Possibilities
 Mobile Advertising Market                            Smartphone Tablet Connected TV
             ($B, 2010-2015)

       Rest of the world
                                           20.6
      +66%
  5yr-CAGR
                                15.6

                      11.3
                                                        New Possibilities in Sight
               6.8                                      Geo-localized Ads
1.6
       3.3
                                                        Interactive Formats
                                                        LOCAL Ads
                                                        In-App Display
                                                        Augmented Reality
                     Source: Gartner, Deutsche Bank
                                                        …
What Trends are Driving the Market?

     INNOVATION
                      Innovative tools
                      New formats
                      New devices




     CONVERGENCE
                     Convergence between
                     “Performance” & “Branding”,
                     Devices & Consumer “timeline”




     AUTOMATION
                     Strong demand for automated
                     solutions that increase overall
                     market efficiency




     CONSOLIDATION   Ad tech space features active
                     consolidation mechanics
“   Advertisers need greater confidence that their
    online investments are helping them achieve
    their brand goals.      ” Nielsen, “Beyond click & impressions”
“Interactive Is Ready To Lead Brand Campaigns”

                                                                           The old model of branding revolves around TV*
              Nate Elliott, Forrester:
                                                                                                    Performance                Radio
                                                                                  Internet

“    It's time for marketers to wake up to
     the brand building potential of
                                                                                Advertising
                                                                                                                     TV

     interactive channels because:                                                              Branding                       Print
     1. Interactive marketing is proven
            to create brand impact
     2. Interactive tools offer marketers                                      Tomorrow’s branding model will be interactive
            new ways to tell stories
     3. People trust what they learn
            about brands online
                                                 ”                                  Internet
                                                                                  Advertising
                                                                                                    Performance




                                                                                                  Branding           Website
                                                                                                                                       TV




                                                                                                                                  Radio
                                                                                                             Print
Source : Adaption of Nate Elliott’s diagram published in “The Interactive Brand Ecosystem”
What Trends are Driving the Market?

     INNOVATION
                      Innovative tools
                      New formats
                      New devices




     CONVERGENCE
                     Convergence between
                     “Performance” & “Branding”,
                     Devices & Consumer “timeline”




     AUTOMATION
                     Strong demand for automated
                     solutions that increase overall
                     market efficiency




     CONSOLIDATION   Ad tech space features active
                     consolidation mechanics
“   The adoption of automated solutions
    will wreak havoc on existing
                                    ”
    media-buying economics. Shar VanBoskirk, FOrrester
Reallocation of Advertising Dollars: towards
        the Death of Ad Networks?

                    “   Ad networks will transform or die. […] We bet broad, mass-
                        reach ad networks will disappear as DSPs crush ad network
                        margins.
                                           ”                   Shar VanBoskirk, Forrester




             Current Value breakdown                                  Future breakdown: ad networks are gone ?
                              (CPM, $)                                                            (CPM, $)
$5.00                                                                 $4,20

                               An $10B+
          $0,50                opportunity?
                                                                                $0,40
                                                                                          $0.50
                    $2.00                                 $1.80                                   $0.75                     $2,15
                               $0.25                                                                         $0.30 $0.10
                                         $0.35
                                                 $0.10



Advertiser Agency     Ad        Data      Ad      Ad      Publisher   Advertiser Agency    DSP      Data      Ad      Ad    Publisher
                    Network   Provider Exchange Serving                                           Provider Exchange Serving

Source : Tradedoubler “Digital Day”
What Trends are Driving the Market?

     INNOVATION
                      Innovative tools
                      New formats
                      New devices




     CONVERGENCE
                     Convergence between
                     “Performance” & “Branding” ,
                     Devices & Consumer “timeline”




     AUTOMATION
                     Strong demand for automated
                     solutions that increase overall
                     market efficiency




     CONSOLIDATION   Ad tech space features active
                     consolidation mechanics
Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem

Advertisers                                 Ad Networks




                                Analytics
                                                                                    Publishers




                                                                       Analytics
                                                           SSPs
              Agencies


                         DSPs


                                                                                    Publishers



                                            Ad Exchanges




                                                                       Ad Servers
                                                           Analytics
                                DMP




                                                                                    Publishers
Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem

  Advertisers                                     Ad Networks




                                      Analytics
                                                                                          Publishers
       1st Wave: 2007-2008




                                                                             Analytics
                                                                 SSPs
                    Agencies

Ad Networks buy Ad Exchanges
                               DSPs

2008
                                                                                          Publishers
2007

2007
                                                  Ad Exchanges




                                                                             Ad Servers
                                                                 Analytics
                                      DMP




                                                                                          Publishers
Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem
   Trad. Software Vendors




Advertisers                                  Ad Networks     2nd Wave: 2009-2012
                                                           External Software Vendors




                                 Analytics
                                                                               Publishers




                                                                           Analytics
                                                                SSPs
               Agencies                                     Enter the Ad tech game

                                                      2012
                          DSPs
                                                      2012

                                                      2011                              Publishers

                                                      2009
                                             Ad Exchanges
                                                      2009




                                                                           Ad Servers
                                                               Analytics
                                 DMP




                                                                                        Publishers
Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem

Advertisers                                    Ad Networks
                               3rd Wave: 2013-2015




                                   Analytics
                                                                                       Publishers




                                                                          Analytics
                                                              SSPs
                 Agencies


               Vertical Consolidation Strategy?
                            DSPs

               Transversal Integration (mobile, video, …) ?
                                                                                       Publishers
               Continued Consolidation of Tools, SSPs/DSPs
                by Traditional Software Vendors. And more?
                                               Ad Exchanges




                                                                          Ad Servers
                                                              Analytics
                                   DMP




                                                                                       Publishers
Selected M&A transactions in Social Web

                                                                Total Funding DEAL VALUE   CASH on CASH
                                                                   (Venture, $m)   ($m)

                   buys                                                  14        350        25x
                   buys                                                  90        689        8x
                   buys                                                  33        300        9x
                   buys                                                  54        321        6x
                   buys                                                  18        270        15x
                   buys                                                  15        400        27x
                   buys                                                  38        120        3x
                   buys                                                   -        59          -
                   buys                                                  38        414        11x
Source: Thomson One, Venture Source, Crunchbase, Clipperton Finance estimates
Panel discussion

   Jonathan Wolf                 Martijn Hamann
Chief Product Officer   Partner - Board Director of Unruly,
                           Smartclip & Improve Digital




  Sorosh Tavakoli                  Mark Read
       CEO                       CEO WPP Digital

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Clipperton Finance - Ad tech conference, oct 23, 2012

  • 1. Ad Tech Event London October 23rd, 2012 15 Stratton Street London W1J 8LQ, United Kingdom 10 rue du Mont Thabor 75001 Paris, France
  • 2. Who IS CLIPPERTON FINANCE ?
  • 3. Who are We ? Values TOMBSTONES Multi-LOCAL Research
  • 4. Who are We ? Independence Loyalty Intuitu Personae Selectiveness TOMBSTONES Multi-LOCAL Research
  • 5. Who are We ? Values TOMBSTONES Multi-LOCAL Research
  • 6. Who are We ? $150 million Values $10 million Multi-LOCAL Research
  • 7. Who are We ? Values TOMBSTONES Multi-LOCAL Research
  • 8. Who are We ? Values TOMBSTONES Research
  • 9. Who are We ? Values TOMBSTONES Multi-LOCAL Research
  • 10. Thought Leadership Research papers Transactions Research paper on E-COMMERCE EU E-Commerce Private Sales eCommerce Second hand fashion Social Commerce (Groupe Casino) Acquires Private Placement Private Placement Buy-Side Buy-Side Research paper on SOCIAL GAMING Online gaming Social gaming Social Casual Social Mobile Secondary placement Gaming Gaming Seller Nicomvest Private Placement Private Placement Sell-Side Sell-Side Research paper on AD-TECH Nov-09 sold to Travel Affiliation Ad Technologies New TV sell-side Audio Video Ad platform Server & measurement Private Placement Private Placement Private Placement Sell-Side
  • 11. Why Focus on AD TECH & Online Advertising ?
  • 12. Strong & Steady Usage Growth… 2005 2011 CAGR 2005-11 Internet Users (worldwide) 0.9bn 2.1bn +15% Access POINTS (worldwide) 0.16 0.39 +16% Time Spent Online (US) 6h 13h +14% Online Buyers (EU) 18% 34% +11%
  • 13. … Has Attracted an Increasing Amount of Advertising Dollars Online Online Advertising Revenue & Forecasts (2003-2014) CAGR 2003-14 +25% 105 94 82 71 60 49 52 39 29 14 20 9 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Clipperton Finance analysis, JPMorgan, Zenithoptimedia
  • 14. … Which in turn Led to Sustained Investments (but subject to economic stress) Private Placements in Digital Advertising Businesses (number of $10m+ transactions) 65 62 58 56 51 45 Q4’12 62 Est. 34 52 57 51 20 39 31 35 19 1 6 6 5 3 5 3 3 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 N.. America Europe
  • 15. … AND An ever more COMPLEX ECOSYSTEM!
  • 16. Yesterday’s Ad Tech Ecosystem Advertisers Ad Networks Publishers Agencies Publishers Publishers
  • 17. Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem Advertisers Ad Networks Analytics Publishers Analytics SSPs Agencies DSPs Publishers Ad Exchanges Ad Servers Analytics DMP Publishers
  • 18. What Happens NOW ?
  • 19. What Trends are Driving the Market? INNOVATION  Innovative tools  New formats  New devices CONVERGENCE Convergence between “Performance” & “Branding”, Devices & Consumer “timeline” AUTOMATION Strong demand for automated solutions that increase overall market efficiency CONSOLIDATION Ad tech space features active consolidation mechanics
  • 20. What Trends are Driving the Market? INNOVATION  Innovative tools  New formats  New devices CONVERGENCE Convergence between “Performance” & “Branding”, Devices & Consumer “timeline” AUTOMATION Strong demand for automated solutions that increase overall market efficiency CONSOLIDATION Ad tech space features active consolidation mechanics
  • 21. New Tools Empower Advertisers TARGETING & Customization  Sophisticated targeting & customization capabilities  Create tailored & highly- focused branding campaigns Measurement & Analytics  Need for cross-media strategies  Branding campaigns lack adequate measuring tools  The typical indicators are suited for direct marketing, less for branding
  • 22. New Formats: Video running the Show Display Advertising Market will be … a segment in which Start-Ups led by Video & Rich Media… have a card to play ($B, 2010-2017) Video ad reach in the US – oct. 12 $30 Total Internet 54% $25 BrightRoll 42% $20 Specific Media 34% $15 ADAP.TV 31% $10 / Google Sites 30% $5 TubeMogul 24% $0 Tremor Video 21% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Videology 20% 2015 2016 2017 SpotXchange 20% Video Rich media (excl. video) Auditude 17% Static image Text ads Hulu 7% Source: Forrester Research Online Display Advertising Forecast, Source: Comscore
  • 23. New Devices enable New Possibilities Mobile Advertising Market Smartphone Tablet Connected TV ($B, 2010-2015) Rest of the world 20.6 +66% 5yr-CAGR 15.6 11.3 New Possibilities in Sight 6.8 Geo-localized Ads 1.6 3.3 Interactive Formats LOCAL Ads In-App Display Augmented Reality Source: Gartner, Deutsche Bank …
  • 24. What Trends are Driving the Market? INNOVATION  Innovative tools  New formats  New devices CONVERGENCE Convergence between “Performance” & “Branding”, Devices & Consumer “timeline” AUTOMATION Strong demand for automated solutions that increase overall market efficiency CONSOLIDATION Ad tech space features active consolidation mechanics
  • 25. Advertisers need greater confidence that their online investments are helping them achieve their brand goals. ” Nielsen, “Beyond click & impressions”
  • 26. “Interactive Is Ready To Lead Brand Campaigns” The old model of branding revolves around TV* Nate Elliott, Forrester: Performance Radio Internet “ It's time for marketers to wake up to the brand building potential of Advertising TV interactive channels because: Branding Print 1. Interactive marketing is proven to create brand impact 2. Interactive tools offer marketers Tomorrow’s branding model will be interactive new ways to tell stories 3. People trust what they learn about brands online ” Internet Advertising Performance Branding Website TV Radio Print Source : Adaption of Nate Elliott’s diagram published in “The Interactive Brand Ecosystem”
  • 27. What Trends are Driving the Market? INNOVATION  Innovative tools  New formats  New devices CONVERGENCE Convergence between “Performance” & “Branding”, Devices & Consumer “timeline” AUTOMATION Strong demand for automated solutions that increase overall market efficiency CONSOLIDATION Ad tech space features active consolidation mechanics
  • 28. The adoption of automated solutions will wreak havoc on existing ” media-buying economics. Shar VanBoskirk, FOrrester
  • 29. Reallocation of Advertising Dollars: towards the Death of Ad Networks? “ Ad networks will transform or die. […] We bet broad, mass- reach ad networks will disappear as DSPs crush ad network margins. ” Shar VanBoskirk, Forrester Current Value breakdown Future breakdown: ad networks are gone ? (CPM, $) (CPM, $) $5.00 $4,20 An $10B+ $0,50 opportunity? $0,40 $0.50 $2.00 $1.80 $0.75 $2,15 $0.25 $0.30 $0.10 $0.35 $0.10 Advertiser Agency Ad Data Ad Ad Publisher Advertiser Agency DSP Data Ad Ad Publisher Network Provider Exchange Serving Provider Exchange Serving Source : Tradedoubler “Digital Day”
  • 30. What Trends are Driving the Market? INNOVATION  Innovative tools  New formats  New devices CONVERGENCE Convergence between “Performance” & “Branding” , Devices & Consumer “timeline” AUTOMATION Strong demand for automated solutions that increase overall market efficiency CONSOLIDATION Ad tech space features active consolidation mechanics
  • 31. Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem Advertisers Ad Networks Analytics Publishers Analytics SSPs Agencies DSPs Publishers Ad Exchanges Ad Servers Analytics DMP Publishers
  • 32. Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem Advertisers Ad Networks Analytics Publishers 1st Wave: 2007-2008 Analytics SSPs Agencies Ad Networks buy Ad Exchanges DSPs 2008 Publishers 2007 2007 Ad Exchanges Ad Servers Analytics DMP Publishers
  • 33. Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem Trad. Software Vendors Advertisers Ad Networks 2nd Wave: 2009-2012 External Software Vendors Analytics Publishers Analytics SSPs Agencies Enter the Ad tech game 2012 DSPs 2012 2011 Publishers 2009 Ad Exchanges 2009 Ad Servers Analytics DMP Publishers
  • 34. Today’s Ad Tech Ecosystem Advertisers Ad Networks 3rd Wave: 2013-2015 Analytics Publishers Analytics SSPs Agencies  Vertical Consolidation Strategy? DSPs  Transversal Integration (mobile, video, …) ? Publishers  Continued Consolidation of Tools, SSPs/DSPs by Traditional Software Vendors. And more? Ad Exchanges Ad Servers Analytics DMP Publishers
  • 35. Selected M&A transactions in Social Web Total Funding DEAL VALUE CASH on CASH (Venture, $m) ($m) buys 14 350 25x buys 90 689 8x buys 33 300 9x buys 54 321 6x buys 18 270 15x buys 15 400 27x buys 38 120 3x buys - 59 - buys 38 414 11x Source: Thomson One, Venture Source, Crunchbase, Clipperton Finance estimates
  • 36. Panel discussion Jonathan Wolf Martijn Hamann Chief Product Officer Partner - Board Director of Unruly, Smartclip & Improve Digital Sorosh Tavakoli Mark Read CEO CEO WPP Digital