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Investor Conference Call
FY/Q4 2012 Results


February 28, 2013 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
Disclaimer
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current
assumptions and forecasts made by Bayer Group or subgroup management.
Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to
material differences between the actual future results, financial situation,
development or performance of the company and the estimates given here.
These factors include those discussed in Bayer’s public reports which are
available on the Bayer website at www.bayer.com.
The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-looking
statements or to conform them to future events or developments.




Page 2 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
2012 Has Been a Very Successful
Year For Bayer

 Operationally, a record year driven by strong execution and currency tailwind
 All subgroups contributed to top and bottom line improvement
 5% organic sales growth to ~€40bn, driven by LifeSciences
 Special charges of €1.7bn, mainly further provisions for litigation resulted in reported
  EBITDA / net income on prior-year level
 Adj. EBITDA up 9% at €8.3bn, core EPS up 11%, group targets achieved, proposed
  DPS of €1.90 up 15% (payout ratio 35.5%)
 Excellent innovation pipeline progress strengthens LifeScience businesses
 Encouraging growth (+7%) in the emerging markets (37% of group sales, up by ~80
  basis points)
 Q4 – strong finish to a very successful year
 Outlook 2013 projects continuing record performance in anniversary year



Page 3 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
4th Quarter 2012 –
Strong Finish to a Very Successful Year

Sales                                           EBIT                     EBITDA                 Core EPS
in € million                                                             adjusted*
% currency & portfolio adj.                     in € million             in € million           in €


                  9,862
   9,191                                                                                1,825
                                                                            1,541

                                                                                                       0.97       1.00
                                                                 735
                                                     629




  Q4’11          Q4’12                              Q4’11        Q4’12      Q4’11       Q3’12      Q4’11         Q4’12




     +6%                                           +17%                    +18%                        +3%
                                                                                                       *before special items
 Page 4 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
4th Quarter 2012 –
All Subgroups With Higher Sales and Earnings
Sales & adjusted EBITDA ∆ in € million, sales ∆% y-o-y Fx and portfolio adjusted
                         ∆ Sales Y-o-Y                                      ∆ Adj. EBITDA Y-o-Y

                                                                328                                 162
HealthCare
                                                                +5%                                 +14%

                                        187                                      69
Pharma
                                        +5%                                     +9%

Consumer                      141                                                      93
Health                        +5%                                                     +22%

                                       180                            16
CropScience                           +9%                             +6%

                165                                                                               149
MaterialScience +5%
                                                                                                  +141%




Page 5 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
4th Quarter 2012 –
Performance Driven by Emerging Markets
In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted
        Q4’12 Group Sales by Region                                                      Emerging Economies
                                                                                                +14%
                                                            Emerging           +7%
       USA                                                                                      ~1,560
                                                           Economies¹
       +5%                                                                    ~1,420
                                                              +9%
                            20%
                                                         40%



                                                                                                                  +12%
                         30%
    Western                                                                                                        ~520             -1%
                                              10%               Others²
    Europe
                                                                 +2%                                                                ~460
     +1%

                         Group €9,862m; +5%
                                                                           Emerging            Latin             Eastern        Africa &
                                                                             Asia³            America            Europe        Middle East

                                                                          ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,
                                                                               New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
Page 6 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                                 ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
                                                                                       ³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
Full Year 2012 –
All Targets Achieved
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, EBITDA before special items
                             2012
                            Outlook                      2012     ∆ vs.
                                                                                 Comments
                                                         actual   2011
                            original

                            +~3% or                                        Raised to 4-5% or
 Sales                       €37bn
                                                        €39.8bn   +5%
                                                                            €39-40bn in Q2



 adj.                         slightly                                     Raised to a high-single-
                                                         €8.3bn   +9%
 EBITDA                      improve                                        digit % increase in Q2



 Core                        slightly
                                                          €5.35   +11%     Raised to ~10% in Q2
 EPS                         improve



Page 7 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
2013 – 2015:
                                                                Aspirations by
                                                                  Subgroup


Page 8 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
HealthCare –
Building Growth Momentum, Improving Margins
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales
                                                                                                               Target                Aspiration
 Priority                                                                                2012
                                                                                                               2013*                   2015

                                                                                                        mid-single-digit CAGR ~6%
 HealthCare: Accelerate sales growth                                                  €18.6bn
                                                                                                         % to ~€19bn towards €22bn

 Pharma: Successfully commercialize new                                                                        CAGR ~7%
                                                                                       €10.8bn mid-single-digit
  products and realize emerging markets                                                         % to ~€11bn towards €13bn
  (EM) opportunity
   New product sales¹                                                                  €368m                ~€1bn          >€2.5bn
   EM growth                                                                            7.5%             high-single     high-single
                                                                                                            digit %         digit %
 Consumer Health: Aspire to become #1                                                                  mid-single-digit
                                                                                        €7.8bn                               ~€9bn
  OTC company                                                                                            % to ~€8bn
 HealthCare: Improve margins                                                            27.2%             slightly up   towards 29%
   Pharma                                                                               29.6%             slightly up       ≥31%
   Consumer Health                                                                      23.9%               at level        ~25%

                                                            ¹ Xarelto, Eylea, Stivarga, Radium-223-Dichloride and Riociguat; subject to regulatory approval
Page 9 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                                                            *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
                                                                        Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
Pharma – New Products Drive Growth and
Rejuvenate Portfolio
Sales from new Pharma pipeline in € m

                                                         >2,500  Successful launch, 2012 sales above target –
                                                                  important countries with outstanding uptake,
                                                                  disappointing so far in Japan

             Xarelto 322
             Eylea 14                                              Encouraging early feedback on first launches
             Stivarga 32


                                                                   Positive early indications on commercial launch
                                       ~1,000                       in the US, approved for GIST in the US, CHMP
                                                                    opinion expected 1H 2013
                                                                  Radium-223- Dichloride
                        368                                        Submitted for treating bone metastases in
                                                                    patients with CRPC (Dec. 2012)
      86

    2011              2012              2013e             2015e    Submitted for PAH and CTEPH (Feb. 2013)

Page 10 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Pharma Aspiration – Targeting High-Single
Digit Emerging Market Growth
In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted
         2012 Pharma Sales by Region                                           Highlights Emerging Economies
                                                                       Portfolio of established brands and
   Developed                                              Emerging      innovative medicines further expanding
    Markets                                              Economies¹
     +2%                                                   +7.5%       Sales CAGR of 11% in EM for the last 5
                                                                        years
                     64%                               36%
                                                                       Women’s Health business growing 8%
                                                                       PR China sales above €1bn, up 23%




                        Total €10,803m; +4%




                                                                      ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,
Page 11 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers             New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
                                                                                         ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
Consumer Health –
Aspire to Become #1 OTC Company
Sales Consumer Care in € million; ∆% Fx & portfolio adj.

                                                                         Product Highlights 2012
                                                                 +6%
                                                                             * €494m (+1%)
                                                                 3,853
                                                      3,534
                                         3,371
                            3,080                                             €323 (+5%)
               3,020
  2,634

                                                                              €269 (+14%)


                                                                              €250 (+8%)


                                                                              €196 (+4%)

 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
                                                                                             * Only Aspirin CC
Page 12 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
CropScience – Above Market Growth at
Benchmark Profitability
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales
                                                                                                        Target               Aspiration
   Priority                                                                        2012
                                                                                                        2013*                  2015

                                                                                                     high-single             CAGR ~6%
                                                                                 +12.4%
  Above-market sales growth                                                                           digit %                towards
                                                                                to €8.4bn
                                                                                                   towards €9bn                €10bn
  Translate R&D effectively into new
                                                                                  €1.1bn               ~€1.4bn                  ~€1.9bn
   product sales (CP products launched since 2006)
                                                                                                 double-digit % double-digit %
  Extend seeds footprint                                                          +14%
                                                                                                    growth       growth p.a.
                                                                                                      slight
  Maintain industry leading profitability level                                  24.0%                                           ~24%
                                                                                                   improvement




                                                                                                                               CP: Crop Protection
Page 13 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                                                   *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
                                                                 Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
CropScience – Translate R&D Effectively
into New Product Sales
Sales from new Crop Protection
products launched since 2006 in € bn
                                                                   ~1.9                2012 Highlights
∆% y-o-y, () Fx adj.
                                                                           Xpro (+61%) - New cereal fungicide with
                                                                            yield-boosting effect
                                                            ~1.4           Adengo family (+85%) - Excellent weed
                                                                            control in corn and cereal crops, also in
                                               1.1                          case of glyphosate resistance
                               +60%
                                                                           Belt (+54%) – Broad-spectrum
                                 0.7                                        insecticide with fast and long-lasting
                                                                            action
                                                                           Launch of Luna fungicide in the US
                   0.3
                                                                           First launch of new SeedGrowth family
   0.02                                                                     EverGol/Emesto in Canada

  2007           2009          2011          2012 2013e 2015e


Page 14 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Seeds – Double-Digit Growth in All Our
Broad-Acre Crops in 2012
Sales in € million; ∆% y-o-y, () Fx & portfolio adj.
                                                                                    2012 Highlights
                                 Double-digit %                           High demand for InVigor in Canada;
                                CAGR expected                              launch of conventional oilseed rape
                                   +14%
                                                                           in Europe
               +14%                                                       Expansion of cotton seed business
                +14%
                           962                                             driven by US and Brazil
                                     Other
      820                            Soybean (+83%)                       Growing rice seed business in Asia
                            47       Rice (+23%)
                                                                           (esp. India)
        40                 199       Cotton (+10%)
       179                                                                About 70 new vegetable seed varieties
                                                                           launched
                           311       Oilseeds (+33%)                      Successful launch of Bayer soybean
       227
                                                                           seed in the US
                                                                          Build-up of global wheat seed business
       299                 304       Vegetables (-2%)
                                                                           continued with new research
                                                                           cooperations
     2011                 2012                                   2015e

Page 15 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
MaterialScience – Higher Asset Utilization &
Efficiency Measures Are Driving Performance
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales



                                                                                                         Grow business (volume)
                                                                                                          above global GDP
                                                                                                         Defend market leading
                                                                                                          positions in PCS and PUR
                                                             Sales to slightly increase                 Realize 150 bp margin
                                                              to ~€12bn                                   contribution through new
  Sales +3.0% to €11.5bn                                    Adj. EBITDA to further                      efficiency initiative
     (volumes +2%)                                                                                       Optimize asset structure
                                                              improve
  Adj. EBITDA +7% to                                        Q1‘2013 vs Q4‘2012:                         in Germany
   €1,251m                                                    Sales to further increase                  CFROI# > WACC
  CFROI# 5.6% < WACC                                         and adj. EBITDA at same
   7.1%                                                       level

                      2012                                         Target 2013                                 Aspiration 2015
                                                                                                                   *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Page 16 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                                                                    #after reproduction

                                                                   Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
Group
                                                                 Outlook


Page 17 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Full Year 2013 –
R&D And CapEx Budgets

             R&D 2013e: ~€3.2bn (+7%)                                        CapEx (PPE) 2013e: ~€1.9bn (+24%)


 HealthCare                       MaterialScience                               HealthCare       MaterialScience
 ~€2.1n                                         ~€0.2bn                         ~€0.6bn                    ~€0.6bn
 thereof
 Pharma                               7%
 ~€1.7bn
                                                            CropScience
                                                                                       28%
                                                                  ~€0.8bn                            32%
                                                      26%



           65%                                                                        14%
                                                                 2%
                                                            Reconciliation                     25%
                                                                 ~€0.1bn
                                                                             Reconciliation          CropScience
                                                                             ~€0.3bn                        ~€0.5bn


Page 18 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Full Year 2013 Outlook Projects Further
Growth And Higher Earnings
Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA before special items


                                                  2012                ∆ vs. 2011                                          2013E



                                                                                                                        +4-5% to
 Sales                                        €39.8bn                       +5%
                                                                                                                        ~€41bn*


                                                                                                                 mid-single-digit %
 adj. EBITDA                                    €8.3bn                      +9%
                                                                                                                     increase


                                                                                                                high-single-digit %
 Core EPS                                        €5.35                     +11%
                                                                                                                     increase


                                                                                                                 *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Page 19 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers   Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
Investor Conference Call
FY/Q4 2012 Results


February 28, 2013 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
Appendix



Page 21 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Q4’2012 –
Cash Flow and Net Debt Development
Cash Flow in € million, Net Debt in € billion
                               Q4’12 Cash Flow                                    Net Debt Development



                      GCF                      NCF               Invest-   oFCF             +€223m    7.0
                                               cont.             ments              6.8


                        755                      903              743      160


   ∆%
   y-o-y                 -25                     -22               +2      -63
                                                                                    Q3´12            Q4´12

 Net debt increase of €1bn due to pension funding, partly offset
  by positive cash generation
Page 22 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Q4’2012 –
HealthCare
In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted
                              Q4’12 Sales                                                     Earnings
    Consumer                                                                      Adj.                    Adj.
                                                36%               Pharma
      Health                                                                    EBITDA*                  EBIT*
                                                                 +7% (+5%)
    +7% (+5%)
                            2,056                2,867
                                                                                      1,342 +14%
                                                                              1,180
                                                                                                               1,001 +23%
                                                                                       827
                                                                                              +9%    815
                                                                              758
                                                                                                                594 +19%
                                                                                                     498


                                                                                       515 +22%
                 HealthCare €4,923m; +7% (+5%)                                422                               407 +28%
                                                                                                     317
      Price                Volume                   Fx            Portfolio
       0%                   +5%                    +2%              0%        Q4‘11   Q4‘12         Q4‘11     Q4‘12

                                                                                                           *before special items
Page 23 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Q4’2012 –
CropScience
In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted
                              Q4’12 Sales                                                    Earnings
  Environmental                                         Crop Protection          Adj.                    Adj.
     Science                                             +12% (+11%)           EBITDA*                  EBIT*
   +18% (+16%)                      174
                                                 1,540
                          142                                                         289    +6%
                                                                             273

                                                                                                               162 +12%
                                                                                                    145

    Seeds
 -10% (-11%)


              CropScience €1,856m; +11% (+9%)
      Price                Volume                   Fx           Portfolio
       0%                   +9%                    +2%             0%        Q4‘11   Q4‘12         Q4‘11     Q4‘12

                                                                                                          *before special items
Page 24 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Q4’2012 –
MaterialScience
In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted
                              Q4’12 Sales                                                    Earnings

  Polycarbonates                                         Polyurethanes           Adj.                            Adj.
     0% (-3%)                                             +11% (+9%)           EBITDA*                          EBIT*

                                                  1,473                               255 +141%
                           669




   CAS**
 +3% (+5%)              451
                                                                             106
                                                                                                                      93 +294%
     IO***                       168
    0% (-1%)

             MaterialScience €2,761m; +6% (+5%)
                                                                                                        Q4‘11
      Price                Volume                   Fx           Portfolio
                                                                             Q4‘11   Q4‘12                          Q4‘12
      +2%                   +3%                    +2%             -1%
                                                                                                          -48
                                                                                                                *before special items
Page 25 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                               **CAS: Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties
                                                                                                        *** IO: Industrial Operations
FY’2012 –
Cash Flow and Net Debt Development
Cash Flow in € million, Net Debt in € billion
                               2012 Cash Flow                                      Net Debt Development



                      GCF                      NCF               Invest-   oFCF       7.0     +€15m    7.0
                                               cont.             ments


                      4,599                    4,532              1,929    2,603


   ∆%
   y-o-y                 -11                     -10              +19       -24
                                                                                      FY´11           FY´12

 Net debt constant, despite €1bn pension funding in Q4’2012

Page 26 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
FY’2012 –
Regional Performance
In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted

               2012 Group Sales by Region                                                       Emerging Economies
                                                                                            +5%
   USA                                                            Emerging
   +9%                                                           Economies¹
                                                                                           ~5,700
                                                                    +7%                                   +12%
                        21%
                                                                                                          ~4,900

                                                          37%

                                                                                                                         +10%
                                                                                                                         ~2,400           0%
                      31%                                                                                                               ~1,800
                                                11%
 Western Europe                                          Others²
 0%                                                       +4%
                                                                                         Emerging         Latin        Eastern        Africa &
                     Group €39,760m; +5%                                                  Asia³          America       Europe        Middle East

                                                                              ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,
                                                                                   New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
Page 27 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                                    ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
                                                                                           ³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
FY’2012 –
HealthCare
In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted
                              2012 Sales                                                      Earnings
    Consumer                                                                      Adj.                    Adj.
                                                36%               Pharma
      Health                                                                    EBITDA*                  EBIT*
                                                                 +9% (+4%)
    +8% (+4%)
                            7,809               10,803
                                                                                      5,068 +8%
                                                                              4,702
                                                                                                             3,736 +11%
                                                                                      3,203 +8%      3,367
                                                                              2,972
                                                                                                             2,298 +13%
                                                                                                     2,042



                                                                                      1,865 +8%
                HealthCare €18,612m; +8% (+4%)                                1,730                          1,438 +9%
                                                                                                     1,325
      Price                Volume                   Fx            Portfolio
       0%                   +4%                    +4%              0%        FY‘11   FY‘12          FY‘11   FY‘12

                                                                                                         *before special items
Page 28 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
FY’2012 –
CropScience
In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted
                              2012 Sales                                                     Earnings
  Environmental                                         Crop Protection          Adj.                    Adj.
     Science                                             +16% (+13%)           EBITDA*                  EBIT*
    +9% (+5%)                       680
                                                 6,741
                          962                                                        2,008 +21%

                                                                             1,654
                                                                                                            1,526 +31%


   Seeds                                                                                            1,168
+17% (+14%)


             CropScience €8,383m; +16% (+12%)
      Price                Volume                   Fx           Portfolio
      +1%                   +12%                   +4%             -1%       FY‘11   FY‘12          FY‘11   FY‘12

                                                                                                        *before special items
Page 29 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
FY’2012 –
MaterialScience
In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted
                              2012 Sales                                                     Earnings

  Polycarbonates                                         Polyurethanes           Adj.                           Adj.
     -2% (-7%)                                            +12% (+8%)           EBITDA*                         EBIT*

                                                  5,995
                          2,823                                                      1,251 +7%
                                                                             1,171


   CAS**                                                                                                               629 +7%
 +3% (+4%) 1,972                                                                                          589

     IO***                         713
   +8% (+6%)

            MaterialScience €11,503m; +6% (+3%)
      Price                Volume                   Fx           Portfolio
                                                                             FY‘11   FY‘12               FY‘11       FY‘12
      +1%                   +2%                    +4%             -1%

                                                                                                                 *before special items
Page 30 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                                **CAS: Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties
                                                                                                         *** IO: Industrial Operations
MaterialScience –
Planning Assumptions 2013

        Global Economic GDP Outlook                                                      Key Customer Industries Outlook
GDP growth % prev. year                                                           Sales by industry 2012 and expected 2013 growth


                                                                                  Others                                          Automotive
   5                                                             5.1              (incl.                                               (+2%)
                                                                                  Chemicals)
                                                                                                    28%                   20%
   4
   3

   2            2.5
                                                                                                                               16%
                                                      1.7
   1                                                                                                                                 Electro /
                                                                                                    17%
                             0.1         0.4                                     Furniture                           19%             Electronic
                                                                                     (+5%)
                                                                                                                                        (+5%)

                                                                                                        Construction
                                                                                                               (+4%)


                                                                                                                       *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Page 31 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers         Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report

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FY / Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call Presentation

  • 1. Investor Conference Call FY/Q4 2012 Results February 28, 2013 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
  • 2. Disclaimer This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and forecasts made by Bayer Group or subgroup management. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the actual future results, financial situation, development or performance of the company and the estimates given here. These factors include those discussed in Bayer’s public reports which are available on the Bayer website at www.bayer.com. The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-looking statements or to conform them to future events or developments. Page 2 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 3. 2012 Has Been a Very Successful Year For Bayer  Operationally, a record year driven by strong execution and currency tailwind  All subgroups contributed to top and bottom line improvement  5% organic sales growth to ~€40bn, driven by LifeSciences  Special charges of €1.7bn, mainly further provisions for litigation resulted in reported EBITDA / net income on prior-year level  Adj. EBITDA up 9% at €8.3bn, core EPS up 11%, group targets achieved, proposed DPS of €1.90 up 15% (payout ratio 35.5%)  Excellent innovation pipeline progress strengthens LifeScience businesses  Encouraging growth (+7%) in the emerging markets (37% of group sales, up by ~80 basis points)  Q4 – strong finish to a very successful year  Outlook 2013 projects continuing record performance in anniversary year Page 3 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 4. 4th Quarter 2012 – Strong Finish to a Very Successful Year Sales EBIT EBITDA Core EPS in € million adjusted* % currency & portfolio adj. in € million in € million in € 9,862 9,191 1,825 1,541 0.97 1.00 735 629 Q4’11 Q4’12 Q4’11 Q4’12 Q4’11 Q3’12 Q4’11 Q4’12 +6% +17% +18% +3% *before special items Page 4 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 5. 4th Quarter 2012 – All Subgroups With Higher Sales and Earnings Sales & adjusted EBITDA ∆ in € million, sales ∆% y-o-y Fx and portfolio adjusted ∆ Sales Y-o-Y ∆ Adj. EBITDA Y-o-Y 328 162 HealthCare +5% +14% 187 69 Pharma +5% +9% Consumer 141 93 Health +5% +22% 180 16 CropScience +9% +6% 165 149 MaterialScience +5% +141% Page 5 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 6. 4th Quarter 2012 – Performance Driven by Emerging Markets In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted Q4’12 Group Sales by Region Emerging Economies +14% Emerging +7% USA ~1,560 Economies¹ +5% ~1,420 +9% 20% 40% +12% 30% Western ~520 -1% 10% Others² Europe +2% ~460 +1% Group €9,862m; +5% Emerging Latin Eastern Africa & Asia³ America Europe Middle East ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe Page 6 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada ³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
  • 7. Full Year 2012 – All Targets Achieved Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, EBITDA before special items 2012 Outlook 2012 ∆ vs. Comments actual 2011 original +~3% or  Raised to 4-5% or Sales €37bn €39.8bn +5% €39-40bn in Q2 adj. slightly  Raised to a high-single- €8.3bn +9% EBITDA improve digit % increase in Q2 Core slightly €5.35 +11%  Raised to ~10% in Q2 EPS improve Page 7 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 8. 2013 – 2015: Aspirations by Subgroup Page 8 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 9. HealthCare – Building Growth Momentum, Improving Margins Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales Target Aspiration Priority 2012 2013* 2015 mid-single-digit CAGR ~6%  HealthCare: Accelerate sales growth €18.6bn % to ~€19bn towards €22bn  Pharma: Successfully commercialize new CAGR ~7% €10.8bn mid-single-digit products and realize emerging markets % to ~€11bn towards €13bn (EM) opportunity  New product sales¹ €368m ~€1bn >€2.5bn  EM growth 7.5% high-single high-single digit % digit %  Consumer Health: Aspire to become #1 mid-single-digit €7.8bn ~€9bn OTC company % to ~€8bn  HealthCare: Improve margins 27.2% slightly up towards 29%  Pharma 29.6% slightly up ≥31%  Consumer Health 23.9% at level ~25% ¹ Xarelto, Eylea, Stivarga, Radium-223-Dichloride and Riociguat; subject to regulatory approval Page 9 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per € Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
  • 10. Pharma – New Products Drive Growth and Rejuvenate Portfolio Sales from new Pharma pipeline in € m >2,500  Successful launch, 2012 sales above target – important countries with outstanding uptake, disappointing so far in Japan Xarelto 322 Eylea 14  Encouraging early feedback on first launches Stivarga 32  Positive early indications on commercial launch ~1,000 in the US, approved for GIST in the US, CHMP opinion expected 1H 2013 Radium-223- Dichloride 368  Submitted for treating bone metastases in patients with CRPC (Dec. 2012) 86 2011 2012 2013e 2015e  Submitted for PAH and CTEPH (Feb. 2013) Page 10 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 11. Pharma Aspiration – Targeting High-Single Digit Emerging Market Growth In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted 2012 Pharma Sales by Region Highlights Emerging Economies  Portfolio of established brands and Developed Emerging innovative medicines further expanding Markets Economies¹ +2% +7.5%  Sales CAGR of 11% in EM for the last 5 years 64% 36%  Women’s Health business growing 8%  PR China sales above €1bn, up 23% Total €10,803m; +4% ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia, Page 11 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
  • 12. Consumer Health – Aspire to Become #1 OTC Company Sales Consumer Care in € million; ∆% Fx & portfolio adj. Product Highlights 2012 +6% * €494m (+1%) 3,853 3,534 3,371 3,080 €323 (+5%) 3,020 2,634 €269 (+14%) €250 (+8%) €196 (+4%) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 * Only Aspirin CC Page 12 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 13. CropScience – Above Market Growth at Benchmark Profitability Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales Target Aspiration Priority 2012 2013* 2015 high-single CAGR ~6% +12.4%  Above-market sales growth digit % towards to €8.4bn towards €9bn €10bn  Translate R&D effectively into new €1.1bn ~€1.4bn ~€1.9bn product sales (CP products launched since 2006) double-digit % double-digit %  Extend seeds footprint +14% growth growth p.a. slight  Maintain industry leading profitability level 24.0% ~24% improvement CP: Crop Protection Page 13 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per € Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
  • 14. CropScience – Translate R&D Effectively into New Product Sales Sales from new Crop Protection products launched since 2006 in € bn ~1.9 2012 Highlights ∆% y-o-y, () Fx adj.  Xpro (+61%) - New cereal fungicide with yield-boosting effect ~1.4  Adengo family (+85%) - Excellent weed control in corn and cereal crops, also in 1.1 case of glyphosate resistance +60%  Belt (+54%) – Broad-spectrum 0.7 insecticide with fast and long-lasting action  Launch of Luna fungicide in the US 0.3  First launch of new SeedGrowth family 0.02 EverGol/Emesto in Canada 2007 2009 2011 2012 2013e 2015e Page 14 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 15. Seeds – Double-Digit Growth in All Our Broad-Acre Crops in 2012 Sales in € million; ∆% y-o-y, () Fx & portfolio adj. 2012 Highlights Double-digit %  High demand for InVigor in Canada; CAGR expected launch of conventional oilseed rape +14% in Europe +14%  Expansion of cotton seed business +14% 962 driven by US and Brazil Other 820 Soybean (+83%)  Growing rice seed business in Asia 47 Rice (+23%) (esp. India) 40 199 Cotton (+10%) 179  About 70 new vegetable seed varieties launched 311 Oilseeds (+33%)  Successful launch of Bayer soybean 227 seed in the US  Build-up of global wheat seed business 299 304 Vegetables (-2%) continued with new research cooperations 2011 2012 2015e Page 15 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 16. MaterialScience – Higher Asset Utilization & Efficiency Measures Are Driving Performance Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales  Grow business (volume) above global GDP  Defend market leading positions in PCS and PUR  Sales to slightly increase  Realize 150 bp margin to ~€12bn contribution through new  Sales +3.0% to €11.5bn  Adj. EBITDA to further efficiency initiative (volumes +2%)  Optimize asset structure improve  Adj. EBITDA +7% to  Q1‘2013 vs Q4‘2012: in Germany €1,251m Sales to further increase  CFROI# > WACC  CFROI# 5.6% < WACC and adj. EBITDA at same 7.1% level 2012 Target 2013 Aspiration 2015 *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per € Page 16 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers #after reproduction Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
  • 17. Group Outlook Page 17 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 18. Full Year 2013 – R&D And CapEx Budgets R&D 2013e: ~€3.2bn (+7%) CapEx (PPE) 2013e: ~€1.9bn (+24%) HealthCare MaterialScience HealthCare MaterialScience ~€2.1n ~€0.2bn ~€0.6bn ~€0.6bn thereof Pharma 7% ~€1.7bn CropScience 28% ~€0.8bn 32% 26% 65% 14% 2% Reconciliation 25% ~€0.1bn Reconciliation CropScience ~€0.3bn ~€0.5bn Page 18 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 19. Full Year 2013 Outlook Projects Further Growth And Higher Earnings Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA before special items 2012 ∆ vs. 2011 2013E +4-5% to Sales €39.8bn +5% ~€41bn* mid-single-digit % adj. EBITDA €8.3bn +9% increase high-single-digit % Core EPS €5.35 +11% increase *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per € Page 19 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
  • 20. Investor Conference Call FY/Q4 2012 Results February 28, 2013 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
  • 21. Appendix Page 21 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 22. Q4’2012 – Cash Flow and Net Debt Development Cash Flow in € million, Net Debt in € billion Q4’12 Cash Flow Net Debt Development GCF NCF Invest- oFCF +€223m 7.0 cont. ments 6.8 755 903 743 160 ∆% y-o-y -25 -22 +2 -63 Q3´12 Q4´12  Net debt increase of €1bn due to pension funding, partly offset by positive cash generation Page 22 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 23. Q4’2012 – HealthCare In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted Q4’12 Sales Earnings Consumer Adj. Adj. 36% Pharma Health EBITDA* EBIT* +7% (+5%) +7% (+5%) 2,056 2,867 1,342 +14% 1,180 1,001 +23% 827 +9% 815 758 594 +19% 498 515 +22% HealthCare €4,923m; +7% (+5%) 422 407 +28% 317 Price Volume Fx Portfolio 0% +5% +2% 0% Q4‘11 Q4‘12 Q4‘11 Q4‘12 *before special items Page 23 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 24. Q4’2012 – CropScience In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted Q4’12 Sales Earnings Environmental Crop Protection Adj. Adj. Science +12% (+11%) EBITDA* EBIT* +18% (+16%) 174 1,540 142 289 +6% 273 162 +12% 145 Seeds -10% (-11%) CropScience €1,856m; +11% (+9%) Price Volume Fx Portfolio 0% +9% +2% 0% Q4‘11 Q4‘12 Q4‘11 Q4‘12 *before special items Page 24 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 25. Q4’2012 – MaterialScience In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted Q4’12 Sales Earnings Polycarbonates Polyurethanes Adj. Adj. 0% (-3%) +11% (+9%) EBITDA* EBIT* 1,473 255 +141% 669 CAS** +3% (+5%) 451 106 93 +294% IO*** 168 0% (-1%) MaterialScience €2,761m; +6% (+5%) Q4‘11 Price Volume Fx Portfolio Q4‘11 Q4‘12 Q4‘12 +2% +3% +2% -1% -48 *before special items Page 25 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers **CAS: Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties *** IO: Industrial Operations
  • 26. FY’2012 – Cash Flow and Net Debt Development Cash Flow in € million, Net Debt in € billion 2012 Cash Flow Net Debt Development GCF NCF Invest- oFCF 7.0 +€15m 7.0 cont. ments 4,599 4,532 1,929 2,603 ∆% y-o-y -11 -10 +19 -24 FY´11 FY´12  Net debt constant, despite €1bn pension funding in Q4’2012 Page 26 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 27. FY’2012 – Regional Performance In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted 2012 Group Sales by Region Emerging Economies +5% USA Emerging +9% Economies¹ ~5,700 +7% +12% 21% ~4,900 37% +10% ~2,400 0% 31% ~1,800 11% Western Europe Others² 0% +4% Emerging Latin Eastern Africa & Group €39,760m; +5% Asia³ America Europe Middle East ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe Page 27 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada ³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
  • 28. FY’2012 – HealthCare In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted 2012 Sales Earnings Consumer Adj. Adj. 36% Pharma Health EBITDA* EBIT* +9% (+4%) +8% (+4%) 7,809 10,803 5,068 +8% 4,702 3,736 +11% 3,203 +8% 3,367 2,972 2,298 +13% 2,042 1,865 +8% HealthCare €18,612m; +8% (+4%) 1,730 1,438 +9% 1,325 Price Volume Fx Portfolio 0% +4% +4% 0% FY‘11 FY‘12 FY‘11 FY‘12 *before special items Page 28 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 29. FY’2012 – CropScience In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted 2012 Sales Earnings Environmental Crop Protection Adj. Adj. Science +16% (+13%) EBITDA* EBIT* +9% (+5%) 680 6,741 962 2,008 +21% 1,654 1,526 +31% Seeds 1,168 +17% (+14%) CropScience €8,383m; +16% (+12%) Price Volume Fx Portfolio +1% +12% +4% -1% FY‘11 FY‘12 FY‘11 FY‘12 *before special items Page 29 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 30. FY’2012 – MaterialScience In € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted 2012 Sales Earnings Polycarbonates Polyurethanes Adj. Adj. -2% (-7%) +12% (+8%) EBITDA* EBIT* 5,995 2,823 1,251 +7% 1,171 CAS** 629 +7% +3% (+4%) 1,972 589 IO*** 713 +8% (+6%) MaterialScience €11,503m; +6% (+3%) Price Volume Fx Portfolio FY‘11 FY‘12 FY‘11 FY‘12 +1% +2% +4% -1% *before special items Page 30 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers **CAS: Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties *** IO: Industrial Operations
  • 31. MaterialScience – Planning Assumptions 2013 Global Economic GDP Outlook Key Customer Industries Outlook GDP growth % prev. year Sales by industry 2012 and expected 2013 growth Others Automotive 5 5.1 (incl. (+2%) Chemicals) 28% 20% 4 3 2 2.5 16% 1.7 1 Electro / 17% 0.1 0.4 Furniture 19% Electronic (+5%) (+5%) Construction (+4%) *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per € Page 31 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report