SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  13
SOCIETY AND EDUCATION IN THE WORLD OF 2040
Society and Education in the World of 2040
Benjamin Kahn
Western Oregon University, Masters of Education, Information Technology Program
Society and Education in the World of 2040
Abstract
This report offers a speculative look at the world in 2040 and imagines how emerging
information technology will change the way people live, work, and learn. The influence of major
advancements in Artificial Intelligence and the spread of the Internet of Things and Big Data are
discussed, and the resulting impacts on the economy and individual privacy are considered. In
this broader context, we look at how the education industry will be reshaped in these new
societal and economic conditions and how the types of learning outcomes schools seek must
adapt to prepare students to thrive in the hyperconnected and digitally intelligent world of 2040.
Finally, the reader is asked to consider how cultural and societal values must change when
technology is challenging assumptions about what it means to be human what constitutes a
valuable contribution to society.
Keywords: artificial intelligence, virtual reality, augmented reality, Internet of Things, Big
Data, ambient computing
Society and Education in the World of 2040
In the world of 2040, nearly everyone and everything is connected to the worldwide
network. Not only will the sum of the world's knowledge be available to those who know how to
seek it, but situational, timely, personalized data will also be fed to individuals proactively,
discretely, and constantly. Human intelligence will be digitally augmented in work, school, and
play. A lower percentage of Americans will be actively engaged in the traditional workforce than
at any time in the past, but many will pursue lifelong learning, entrepreneurship, activism,
service, or the arts. Others will languish, unable or unwilling to navigate the digital, connected,
distraction-filled, fast-moving world of cyber-citizenship or completely immersed in online
fantasy worlds.
Literal Office Drones
The largest shifts in society will come from the systematic and relentless replacement of
knowledge and service workers with Artificial Intelligence (AI). (Stevens 2016) If the early 21st-
century economy was defined by globalization and automation of the manufacturing industry
with robotics, the late 30s and early 40s will be the era when mid-level service and knowledge
economy jobs disappear en masse. Many of the same companies who dominated the consumer
digital information revolution of the early 21st century will control this technology: Google,
Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Microsoft will all compete fiercely for this nascent mega-
business. Chinese competitors such as Baidu will also play a significant role internationally.
Google, whose search engine has previously been the most disruptive information
technology in world history, will have long since completed its “transformation” into an “AI
first” company. (Lewis-Kraus 2016) The other major players will not be far behind. The big
firms will methodically buy-out smaller companies that produce breakthroughs in artificial
intelligence, machine learning, or robotics; Google has gobbled up at least 14 AI companies in
Society and Education in the World of 2040
recent years, including the well-known acquisition of the machine learning startup DeepMind.
(Kelly, 2016, p. 36)
Rather than posing an existential threat to humanity directly as “a discrete machine
animated by a charismatic (yet potentially homicidal) humanlike consciousness,” AI in 2040
“looks more like Amazon Web Services—cheap, reliable, industrial-grade digital smartness
running behind everything, and almost invisible except when it blinks off... You’ll simply plug
into the grid and get AI as if it was electricity.” (Kelly 2016, 32) AI won’t make war on
humanity. It will simply be much faster, cheaper, and more reliable at performing routine
knowledge and service tasks than any human could ever hope to be, making many people
obsolete by the economic standard in which society has traditionally judged their worth.
Infinite Data
The Internet of Things (IoT), in which all “ordinary products become connected,” will be
fully mature by 2040. Anything consumers can buy, and any household or industrial equipment
like “sewer pipes or trash cans,” will collect a steady stream of data. Even “human bodies will
join the network.” (Regalado 2014)
The virtual world will likewise be a font of rich data. Social norms will have changed,
and regulations protecting individual privacy will have long since been rolled back. It will be
understood that permission to access, exploit, and sell your data to the highest bidder is the price
of admission to the network, with “few legal roadblocks standing in the way” of providers
making use of data in whatever ways they see fit. (Finley 2017)
Meanwhile, tens of billions of users will knowingly share data on social media. Ultra-fast
Internet access will reach the most remote areas on the planet using technology developed by
powerhouses such as Facebook and Google. (Brodkin 2015) There will be “more sharing, more
Society and Education in the World of 2040
disclosure, more transparency. I would sum it up like this: Vanity trumps privacy.” (Kelly 2016,
204)
Privacy will be a thing of the past, valued less than social interaction, security,
convenience, efficiency, health, access, and profit.
Machine Learning
The confluence of fully realized Big Data and AI, and the systematic analysis of
unstructured data, will define the world of 2040. Day-to-day activities — commuting, getting a
coffee from Starbucks, banking — will be fully automated as AI learns the skills to do more and
more jobs. (Rotman 2015) Experiential, concierge service with a human touch will come with a
premium price tag whose purchase signifies conspicuous consumption, just as “when nighttime
electrical lighting was new and scarce, it was the poor who burned common candles. Later, when
electricity became easily accessible and practically free, our preference flipped and candles at
dinner became a sign of luxury.” (Kelly 2016, 67)
Fields such as research, healthcare, finance, and education will be revolutionized as
digital intelligence provides “huge amounts of data, along with the statistical tools to crunch
these numbers” and “offers a whole new way of understanding the world.” (Anderson 2008)
At the same time, humanity will face increasingly tough social, economic, and
environmental problems. While automation will displace those engaged in work that is “fixed,
middle-skill, routine and repetitive,” skills like “judgement, flexibility, creativity, social
intelligence, and abstract thinking” will be in high demand. (Stevens 2016, 369) The best and
brightest of humanity will need to work closely with AI as a kind of “bionic-software” (Khosla,
Do We Need Doctors or Algorithms? 2012) to problem-solve against pandemics like climate
change, food security, disease, and income inequality. (Knight 2016)
Society and Education in the World of 2040
21st Century Skills
Initiatives to remake the core curriculum of primary and secondary schools for the digital
age will be complete by 2040. Learning objectives will be less focused on retaining information
and rote recitation, and instead, will aim to prepare students to participate in a world where
constant connectivity and persistent data have completed the process of “changing how we
remember.” (Estes 2011) The problem learners are preparing for isn’t that they don’t have
enough information; it’s deciding what data out of a nearly infinite set to look at, and what to do
with it.
From a young age, we will place great emphasis on teaching foundational 21st-century
skills like collaboration, skilled communication, digital literacy, innovation, self-direction, and
creative, real-world problem-solving. (SRI International n.d.) As children move into adolescence
and adulthood, they will put these meta-skills to use as they face the need to rapidly adapt to new
information, stay up to date with constantly emerging professional technologies, and grow
accustomed to a fast-moving social and professional landscape. The core mission of education
will be to teach humans how to use their unique skills to succeed in a hyperconnected and
digitally intelligent world. Collaborating across cultures and with AI resources effectively will be
crucial to solving complex problems such as climate change, which “involves so many variables
— pollution, transportation, economics, etc. — that it’s impossible for any one expert to have all
of the solutions, or even understand all of the issues.” (Trafton 2009)
New Education Paradigms
Education will not be immune to the automation that changes society and culture. As U.S.
government funding for education has steadily dropped while costs rise (Mortenson, 2012;
Leachman & Mai, 2014) automation will be deployed to defray the costs of administrative bloat.
Society and Education in the World of 2040
AI and Big Data will also be present in the classroom. We will learn the effectiveness of
active and self-directed pedagogies, using project-based and experiential learning to teach
collaboration and creative problem-solving. The best teachers will produce innovative learning
content that can be consumed by any student, anytime, anywhere, but in schools, in-class lectures
will be a thing of the past. Most teachers will transition away from traditional classroom roles
into the role of facilitator, mediator, and coach. Learning analytics fed into mobile, gamified,
social learning systems will allow personalized and adaptive education as students’ progress
through competency-based, “fixed learning, variable time” programs that have replaced today’s
“fixed time, variable learning” systems. (Khosla, Will We Need Teachers or Algorithms? 2012)
Learning will be much more flexible as physical presence in the classroom and face-to-face
access to experts will be an optional luxury. Many students will work with software tutors,
collaborate with peers, and hold regular meetings with learning coaches through virtual
telepresence. Virtual reality (VR) simulations will allow students to get hands-on, situational
training and experience and real-time feedback on performance before they go into the field.
(Kelly 2016, 217)
As the lines between formal and informal learning disappear and education becomes
credentialing and skills based rather than degree based, adults will find themselves moving in
and out of instructional programs frequently. Lifelong learning will become necessary to
maintain economic and professional relevance.
Home Life and Society
AI, IoT, and VR/AR will be equally transformative in our home lives, where it will be
applied to make our relationships to services, culture, and entertainment more efficient,
personalized, and adaptive. The concept of ownership will be de-emphasized as we see new
Society and Education in the World of 2040
ways of accessing anything and everything as a service. Purchasing living space, transportation,
food, entertainment, education, technology devices, and more “is not a one-time event; it’s an
ongoing relationship.” (Kelly 2016, 111) Autonomous transportation and distribution networks
will move goods and food to market or straight to subscribers’ homes. If you do want to enter a
store, you’ll need an account before you’re granted access, and you won’t check out with a clerk
— you’ll simply walk in, get what you need, and leave, as ambient systems record the
transaction.
Meanwhile, computing built into everything around us and into our own bodies will
change the way we access technology from intentional to second-natured to instinctive. It will
respond to our voices, gestures, habits, and even our mood. When we have leisure time, we’ll be
able to access highly social and immersive virtual worlds catering to all kinds of interests and
tastes.
In the past, the man has been first. In the future, the system must be first.
From a sociological standpoint, perhaps the dominance of AI and Big Data is simply the
logical conclusion of Western Enlightenment-era emphasis on rationality, meritocracy, and above
all, efficiency. Thinkers have noted the parallels between Silicon Valley’s thirst for inhuman
productivity and the Industrial-era Scientific Management Theory of Frederick Taylor, which
sought to purge human inefficiency from the manufacturing process by recording, breaking
down, standardizing, and tightly regulating each task performed by a worker. As the digital
scholar Nicholas Carr put it, “the Googleplex is the Internet’s High Church, and the religion
practiced inside is Taylorism.” (Carr 2008, 62) Amazon, whose Alexa AI service is already
available in speakers, appliances, wearables, home appliances, and mobile devices, and will
continue to see rapid adoption, has been similarly taken to task for the human cost of its
Society and Education in the World of 2040
efficiency-obsessed corporate culture. (Head 2014) The companies who will produce the most
valued and transformational technologies of 2040 sell process, efficiency, and reliability. A major
source of strife in 2040 will be caused by technology “eliminating the livelihoods of many
people, even as they produce great wealth for others.” (Rotman 2015) Solutions such as a
universal basic income, shortened-work week, and major wealth redistribution will be
implemented in many countries with varying degrees of success.
Conclusion
The World of 2040 will be remade by information technology like AI, Big Data, and
VR/AR. Artificial intelligence will drive seismic changes in the economy and culture, with the
accompanying strain on social cohesion. Data will drive almost all processes — omnipresent
sensors will constantly collect endless quantities of information, and the intelligent cloud-
powered software needed to decode it will be widely available. The resulting algorithmic
intelligence will be embedded everywhere — our cities, homes, schools, workplaces, and even
our bodies — and in any device or service you can imagine.
In 2040, we will face major decisions about what it means to be authentically and freely
human in a world where so much is accomplished automatically behind the scenes. We will need
to re-evaluate what kinds of contributions are valuable, and how society can nurture and support
the development of the human experience for its own sake. It will be all too easy for too many to
be devalued because can’t make money for owners of capital as well as machines can. As
Western society gets closer than ever to achieving its dream of total rationality and efficiency,
humankind in 2040 will need to decide if it’s going to leave billions of people behind. Perhaps
they can be distracted with immersive VR entertainment and social networks. But instead, I hope
Society and Education in the World of 2040
we will find new ways to celebrate and encourage humans to do what they do best when
supported and encouraged – connect, create, and make meaning together.
Society and Education in the World of 2040
References
Anderson, Chris. 2008. The End of Theory: The Data Deluge Makes the Scientific Method
Obsolete. June 23. https://www.wired.com/2008/06/pb-theory/.
Brodkin, John. 2015. Facebook: Our drones will use lasers to deliver 10Gbps Internet access.
July 31. https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2015/07/facebook-our-drones-
will-use-lasers-to-deliver-10gbps-internet-access/.
Carr, Nicholas. 2008. "Is Google Making Us Stupid?" The Atlantic, July/August: 56-63.
Estes, Adam Clark. 2011. Google Is Making Us Stupid and Smart at the Same Time? July 15.
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/07/google-making-us-stupid-and-
smart-same-time/352885/.
Finley, Klint. 2017. The FCC Seems Unlikely to Stop Internet Providers from Selling Your Data.
March 01. https://www.wired.com/2017/03/fcc-graciously-sets-internet-providers-free-
sell-data/.
Head, Simon. 2014. Worse than Wal-Mart: Amazon’s sick brutality and secret history of
ruthlessly intimidating workers. Feb. 23.
http://www.salon.com/2014/02/23/worse_than_wal_mart_amazons_sick_brutality_and_s
ecret_history_of_ruthlessly_intimidating_workers/.
Kelly, Kevin. 2016. The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape
Our Future. New York: Viking.
Khosla, Vinod. 2012. Do We Need Doctors or Algorithms? January 5. Accessed 3 17, 2017.
https://techcrunch.com/2012/01/10/doctors-or-algorithms/.
—. 2012. Will We Need Teachers or Algorithms? January 15.
https://techcrunch.com/2012/01/15/teachers-or-algorithms/.
Society and Education in the World of 2040
Knight, Will. 2016. Could AI Solve the World’s Biggest Problems? January 12.
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/545416/could-ai-solve-the-worlds-biggest-
problems/.
Leachman, Michael, and Chris Mai. 2014. Most States Funding Schools Less Than Before the
Recession. May 20. http://www.cbpp.org/research/most-states-funding-schools-less-than-
before-the-recession.
Lewis-Kraus, Gideon. 2016. "The Great A.I Awakening." New York Times Magazine, December
14.
Mortenson, Thomas G. 2012. State Funding: A Race to the Bottom. http://www.acenet.edu/the-
presidency/columns-and-features/Pages/state-funding-a-race-to-the-bottom.aspx.
Regalado, Antonio. 2014. Business Adapts to a New Style of Computer. May 20.
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/527356/business-adapts-to-a-new-style-of-
computer/#comments.
Rotman, David. 2015. Who Will Own the Robots. June.
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/538401/who-will-own-the-robots/.
SRI International. n.d. 21st Century Learning Design. https://www.sri.com/work/projects/21st-
century-learning-design-21cld.
Stevens, Yvonne A. 2016. "The Future: Innovation and Jobs." Jurimetrics: The Journal of Law,
Science & Technology 367-385.
Trafton, Anne. 2009. Putting heads (and computers) together to solve global problems. January
13. http://news.mit.edu/2009/cci-0113.
Society and Education in the World of 2040

Contenu connexe

Tendances

How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning
How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning
How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning GlobalTechCouncil
 
The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022
The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022
The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022Bernard Marr
 
2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And Forecast
2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And Forecast2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And Forecast
2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And ForecastRamachariTBRC
 
10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good
10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good 10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good
10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good Bernard Marr
 
Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?
Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?
Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?Bernard Marr
 
What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?
What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?
What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?Bernard Marr
 
Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?
Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?
Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?Bernard Marr
 
What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?
What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?
What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?Bernard Marr
 
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?Candarine
 
The Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business Success
The Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business SuccessThe Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business Success
The Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business SuccessBernard Marr
 
Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?
Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?
Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?Bernard Marr
 
Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help
Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help
Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help Bernard Marr
 
How AI Creates Synthetic Speech
How AI Creates Synthetic SpeechHow AI Creates Synthetic Speech
How AI Creates Synthetic SpeechBernard Marr
 
The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022
The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022
The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022Bernard Marr
 
New Assumptions for Designing for the Social Web
New Assumptions for Designing for the Social WebNew Assumptions for Designing for the Social Web
New Assumptions for Designing for the Social WebChris Messina
 
The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...
The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...
The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...Bernard Marr
 
How Mining Companies Are Using AI, Machine Learning And Robots To Get Ready...
How Mining Companies Are Using  AI, Machine Learning And Robots  To Get Ready...How Mining Companies Are Using  AI, Machine Learning And Robots  To Get Ready...
How Mining Companies Are Using AI, Machine Learning And Robots To Get Ready...Bernard Marr
 
Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...
Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...
Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...Bernard Marr
 
The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021
The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021
The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021Bernard Marr
 

Tendances (20)

How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning
How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning
How can artificial intelligence be used in e learning
 
The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022
The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022
The 7 Biggest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trends In 2022
 
Annual Day at iLabs
Annual Day at iLabsAnnual Day at iLabs
Annual Day at iLabs
 
2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And Forecast
2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And Forecast2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And Forecast
2021 HR Advisory Services Market Size, Growth, Drivers, Trends And Forecast
 
10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good
10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good 10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good
10 Wonderful Examples Of Using Artificial Intelligence (AI) For Good
 
Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?
Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?
Artificial Intelligence Can Now Copy Your Voice: What Does That Mean For Humans?
 
What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?
What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?
What Is The Next Level Of AI Technology?
 
Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?
Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?
Can Machines And Artificial Intelligence Be Creative?
 
What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?
What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?
What Are The Negative Impacts Of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?
 
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
What Will a Future Workforce Look Like?
 
The Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business Success
The Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business SuccessThe Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business Success
The Amazing Ways eBay Is Using Artificial Intelligence To Boost Business Success
 
Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?
Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?
Are Tech Giants With Their AIs And Algorithms Becoming Too Powerful?
 
Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help
Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help
Fake news is rampant, here is how artificial intelligence can help
 
How AI Creates Synthetic Speech
How AI Creates Synthetic SpeechHow AI Creates Synthetic Speech
How AI Creates Synthetic Speech
 
The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022
The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022
The 5 Biggest Data Science Trends In 2022
 
New Assumptions for Designing for the Social Web
New Assumptions for Designing for the Social WebNew Assumptions for Designing for the Social Web
New Assumptions for Designing for the Social Web
 
The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...
The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...
The Future Role Of AI And The UK National AI Strategy – Insights From Profess...
 
How Mining Companies Are Using AI, Machine Learning And Robots To Get Ready...
How Mining Companies Are Using  AI, Machine Learning And Robots  To Get Ready...How Mining Companies Are Using  AI, Machine Learning And Robots  To Get Ready...
How Mining Companies Are Using AI, Machine Learning And Robots To Get Ready...
 
Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...
Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...
Robot-Powered Pizza, Anyone? How Automation Is Transforming The Fast-Food Ind...
 
The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021
The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021
The 10 Best AI And Data Science Undergraduate Courses For 2021
 

Similaire à Society and Education in the Future

The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...
The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...
The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...eraser Juan José Calderón
 
Digital divide
Digital divideDigital divide
Digital dividenatsw7
 
AreYouReadyCommunityShift
AreYouReadyCommunityShiftAreYouReadyCommunityShift
AreYouReadyCommunityShiftAngela Hattman
 
Education technology and future implications
Education technology and future implicationsEducation technology and future implications
Education technology and future implicationsTamara Mitchell
 
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022Alper Utku
 
Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020
Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020
Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020Maria H. Andersen
 
Student Presentation: AI & Government
Student Presentation: AI & GovernmentStudent Presentation: AI & Government
Student Presentation: AI & GovernmentShaynaBlum
 
Implementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - Condensed
Implementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - CondensedImplementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - Condensed
Implementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - Condensedbmock3
 
Irving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital Presentation
Irving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital PresentationIrving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital Presentation
Irving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital PresentationIrving Chavez
 
Sci Fi YAL Presentation
Sci Fi YAL PresentationSci Fi YAL Presentation
Sci Fi YAL Presentationamypiotrowski
 
The evolution of AI in workplaces
The evolution of AI in workplacesThe evolution of AI in workplaces
The evolution of AI in workplacesElisabetta Delponte
 
Siciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptx
Siciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptxSiciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptx
Siciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptxAnilDongre8
 
Evolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge Organisation
Evolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge OrganisationEvolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge Organisation
Evolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge OrganisationCollabor8now Ltd
 

Similaire à Society and Education in the Future (20)

The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...
The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...
The Fragmentation of Culture, Learning, Teaching and Technology: Implications...
 
The Internet of Things and what it mean for librarians
The Internet of Things and what it mean for librariansThe Internet of Things and what it mean for librarians
The Internet of Things and what it mean for librarians
 
Digital divide
Digital divideDigital divide
Digital divide
 
The future of technology
The future of technologyThe future of technology
The future of technology
 
AreYouReadyCommunityShift
AreYouReadyCommunityShiftAreYouReadyCommunityShift
AreYouReadyCommunityShift
 
Education technology and future implications
Education technology and future implicationsEducation technology and future implications
Education technology and future implications
 
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
Future Trends Forum Megatrends 2022
 
Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020
Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020
Facing the Future of Technology and Learning OLC Nov 2020
 
Student Presentation: AI & Government
Student Presentation: AI & GovernmentStudent Presentation: AI & Government
Student Presentation: AI & Government
 
Aishowcase4pdf
Aishowcase4pdfAishowcase4pdf
Aishowcase4pdf
 
Implementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - Condensed
Implementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - CondensedImplementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - Condensed
Implementing ICT’s in Developing Countries - Condensed
 
Irving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital Presentation
Irving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital PresentationIrving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital Presentation
Irving Chavez _Forecasting Project_Digital Presentation
 
Societal and ethical issues of digitization
Societal and ethical issues of digitizationSocietal and ethical issues of digitization
Societal and ethical issues of digitization
 
Sci Fi YAL Presentation
Sci Fi YAL PresentationSci Fi YAL Presentation
Sci Fi YAL Presentation
 
The evolution of AI in workplaces
The evolution of AI in workplacesThe evolution of AI in workplaces
The evolution of AI in workplaces
 
Siciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptx
Siciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptxSiciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptx
Siciety 5.0_challenges in Super Smart Society .pptx
 
IFIF 2011 opening - Willie Donnelly
IFIF 2011 opening - Willie DonnellyIFIF 2011 opening - Willie Donnelly
IFIF 2011 opening - Willie Donnelly
 
Evolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge Organisation
Evolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge OrganisationEvolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge Organisation
Evolution of Social Media and its effects on Knowledge Organisation
 
7682_RiskWatch_Winter2015_The Future of Cyber Risk
7682_RiskWatch_Winter2015_The Future of Cyber Risk7682_RiskWatch_Winter2015_The Future of Cyber Risk
7682_RiskWatch_Winter2015_The Future of Cyber Risk
 
Beyond gov uk
Beyond gov ukBeyond gov uk
Beyond gov uk
 

Dernier

How to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptx
How to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptxHow to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptx
How to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptxmanuelaromero2013
 
18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdf
18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdf18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdf
18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdfssuser54595a
 
Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Education
Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher EducationIntroduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Education
Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Educationpboyjonauth
 
Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...
Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...
Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...EduSkills OECD
 
Z Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot Graph
Z Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot GraphZ Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot Graph
Z Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot GraphThiyagu K
 
The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13
The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13
The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13Steve Thomason
 
Separation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and Actinides
Separation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and ActinidesSeparation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and Actinides
Separation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and ActinidesFatimaKhan178732
 
A Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy Reform
A Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy ReformA Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy Reform
A Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy ReformChameera Dedduwage
 
Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)
Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)
Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)eniolaolutunde
 
“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...
“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...
“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...Marc Dusseiller Dusjagr
 
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17Celine George
 
Mastering the Unannounced Regulatory Inspection
Mastering the Unannounced Regulatory InspectionMastering the Unannounced Regulatory Inspection
Mastering the Unannounced Regulatory InspectionSafetyChain Software
 
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and Mode
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and ModeMeasures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and Mode
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and ModeThiyagu K
 
SOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptx
SOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptxSOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptx
SOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptxiammrhaywood
 
Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991
Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991
Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991RKavithamani
 

Dernier (20)

How to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptx
How to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptxHow to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptx
How to Make a Pirate ship Primary Education.pptx
 
18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdf
18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdf18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdf
18-04-UA_REPORT_MEDIALITERAСY_INDEX-DM_23-1-final-eng.pdf
 
Staff of Color (SOC) Retention Efforts DDSD
Staff of Color (SOC) Retention Efforts DDSDStaff of Color (SOC) Retention Efforts DDSD
Staff of Color (SOC) Retention Efforts DDSD
 
Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Education
Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher EducationIntroduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Education
Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Education
 
Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...
Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...
Presentation by Andreas Schleicher Tackling the School Absenteeism Crisis 30 ...
 
Z Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot Graph
Z Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot GraphZ Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot Graph
Z Score,T Score, Percential Rank and Box Plot Graph
 
The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13
The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13
The Most Excellent Way | 1 Corinthians 13
 
Separation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and Actinides
Separation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and ActinidesSeparation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and Actinides
Separation of Lanthanides/ Lanthanides and Actinides
 
A Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy Reform
A Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy ReformA Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy Reform
A Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy Reform
 
Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: Structured Data, Assistants, & RAG"
Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: Structured Data, Assistants, & RAG"Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: Structured Data, Assistants, & RAG"
Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: Structured Data, Assistants, & RAG"
 
INDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptx
INDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptxINDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptx
INDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptx
 
Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)
Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)
Software Engineering Methodologies (overview)
 
TataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdf
TataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdfTataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdf
TataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdf
 
“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...
“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...
“Oh GOSH! Reflecting on Hackteria's Collaborative Practices in a Global Do-It...
 
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
 
Mastering the Unannounced Regulatory Inspection
Mastering the Unannounced Regulatory InspectionMastering the Unannounced Regulatory Inspection
Mastering the Unannounced Regulatory Inspection
 
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and Mode
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and ModeMeasures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and Mode
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and Mode
 
SOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptx
SOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptxSOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptx
SOCIAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT - LFTVD.pptx
 
Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: The Basics of Prompt Design"
Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: The Basics of Prompt Design"Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: The Basics of Prompt Design"
Mattingly "AI & Prompt Design: The Basics of Prompt Design"
 
Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991
Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991
Industrial Policy - 1948, 1956, 1973, 1977, 1980, 1991
 

Society and Education in the Future

  • 1. SOCIETY AND EDUCATION IN THE WORLD OF 2040 Society and Education in the World of 2040 Benjamin Kahn Western Oregon University, Masters of Education, Information Technology Program
  • 2. Society and Education in the World of 2040 Abstract This report offers a speculative look at the world in 2040 and imagines how emerging information technology will change the way people live, work, and learn. The influence of major advancements in Artificial Intelligence and the spread of the Internet of Things and Big Data are discussed, and the resulting impacts on the economy and individual privacy are considered. In this broader context, we look at how the education industry will be reshaped in these new societal and economic conditions and how the types of learning outcomes schools seek must adapt to prepare students to thrive in the hyperconnected and digitally intelligent world of 2040. Finally, the reader is asked to consider how cultural and societal values must change when technology is challenging assumptions about what it means to be human what constitutes a valuable contribution to society. Keywords: artificial intelligence, virtual reality, augmented reality, Internet of Things, Big Data, ambient computing
  • 3. Society and Education in the World of 2040 In the world of 2040, nearly everyone and everything is connected to the worldwide network. Not only will the sum of the world's knowledge be available to those who know how to seek it, but situational, timely, personalized data will also be fed to individuals proactively, discretely, and constantly. Human intelligence will be digitally augmented in work, school, and play. A lower percentage of Americans will be actively engaged in the traditional workforce than at any time in the past, but many will pursue lifelong learning, entrepreneurship, activism, service, or the arts. Others will languish, unable or unwilling to navigate the digital, connected, distraction-filled, fast-moving world of cyber-citizenship or completely immersed in online fantasy worlds. Literal Office Drones The largest shifts in society will come from the systematic and relentless replacement of knowledge and service workers with Artificial Intelligence (AI). (Stevens 2016) If the early 21st- century economy was defined by globalization and automation of the manufacturing industry with robotics, the late 30s and early 40s will be the era when mid-level service and knowledge economy jobs disappear en masse. Many of the same companies who dominated the consumer digital information revolution of the early 21st century will control this technology: Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Microsoft will all compete fiercely for this nascent mega- business. Chinese competitors such as Baidu will also play a significant role internationally. Google, whose search engine has previously been the most disruptive information technology in world history, will have long since completed its “transformation” into an “AI first” company. (Lewis-Kraus 2016) The other major players will not be far behind. The big firms will methodically buy-out smaller companies that produce breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, machine learning, or robotics; Google has gobbled up at least 14 AI companies in
  • 4. Society and Education in the World of 2040 recent years, including the well-known acquisition of the machine learning startup DeepMind. (Kelly, 2016, p. 36) Rather than posing an existential threat to humanity directly as “a discrete machine animated by a charismatic (yet potentially homicidal) humanlike consciousness,” AI in 2040 “looks more like Amazon Web Services—cheap, reliable, industrial-grade digital smartness running behind everything, and almost invisible except when it blinks off... You’ll simply plug into the grid and get AI as if it was electricity.” (Kelly 2016, 32) AI won’t make war on humanity. It will simply be much faster, cheaper, and more reliable at performing routine knowledge and service tasks than any human could ever hope to be, making many people obsolete by the economic standard in which society has traditionally judged their worth. Infinite Data The Internet of Things (IoT), in which all “ordinary products become connected,” will be fully mature by 2040. Anything consumers can buy, and any household or industrial equipment like “sewer pipes or trash cans,” will collect a steady stream of data. Even “human bodies will join the network.” (Regalado 2014) The virtual world will likewise be a font of rich data. Social norms will have changed, and regulations protecting individual privacy will have long since been rolled back. It will be understood that permission to access, exploit, and sell your data to the highest bidder is the price of admission to the network, with “few legal roadblocks standing in the way” of providers making use of data in whatever ways they see fit. (Finley 2017) Meanwhile, tens of billions of users will knowingly share data on social media. Ultra-fast Internet access will reach the most remote areas on the planet using technology developed by powerhouses such as Facebook and Google. (Brodkin 2015) There will be “more sharing, more
  • 5. Society and Education in the World of 2040 disclosure, more transparency. I would sum it up like this: Vanity trumps privacy.” (Kelly 2016, 204) Privacy will be a thing of the past, valued less than social interaction, security, convenience, efficiency, health, access, and profit. Machine Learning The confluence of fully realized Big Data and AI, and the systematic analysis of unstructured data, will define the world of 2040. Day-to-day activities — commuting, getting a coffee from Starbucks, banking — will be fully automated as AI learns the skills to do more and more jobs. (Rotman 2015) Experiential, concierge service with a human touch will come with a premium price tag whose purchase signifies conspicuous consumption, just as “when nighttime electrical lighting was new and scarce, it was the poor who burned common candles. Later, when electricity became easily accessible and practically free, our preference flipped and candles at dinner became a sign of luxury.” (Kelly 2016, 67) Fields such as research, healthcare, finance, and education will be revolutionized as digital intelligence provides “huge amounts of data, along with the statistical tools to crunch these numbers” and “offers a whole new way of understanding the world.” (Anderson 2008) At the same time, humanity will face increasingly tough social, economic, and environmental problems. While automation will displace those engaged in work that is “fixed, middle-skill, routine and repetitive,” skills like “judgement, flexibility, creativity, social intelligence, and abstract thinking” will be in high demand. (Stevens 2016, 369) The best and brightest of humanity will need to work closely with AI as a kind of “bionic-software” (Khosla, Do We Need Doctors or Algorithms? 2012) to problem-solve against pandemics like climate change, food security, disease, and income inequality. (Knight 2016)
  • 6. Society and Education in the World of 2040 21st Century Skills Initiatives to remake the core curriculum of primary and secondary schools for the digital age will be complete by 2040. Learning objectives will be less focused on retaining information and rote recitation, and instead, will aim to prepare students to participate in a world where constant connectivity and persistent data have completed the process of “changing how we remember.” (Estes 2011) The problem learners are preparing for isn’t that they don’t have enough information; it’s deciding what data out of a nearly infinite set to look at, and what to do with it. From a young age, we will place great emphasis on teaching foundational 21st-century skills like collaboration, skilled communication, digital literacy, innovation, self-direction, and creative, real-world problem-solving. (SRI International n.d.) As children move into adolescence and adulthood, they will put these meta-skills to use as they face the need to rapidly adapt to new information, stay up to date with constantly emerging professional technologies, and grow accustomed to a fast-moving social and professional landscape. The core mission of education will be to teach humans how to use their unique skills to succeed in a hyperconnected and digitally intelligent world. Collaborating across cultures and with AI resources effectively will be crucial to solving complex problems such as climate change, which “involves so many variables — pollution, transportation, economics, etc. — that it’s impossible for any one expert to have all of the solutions, or even understand all of the issues.” (Trafton 2009) New Education Paradigms Education will not be immune to the automation that changes society and culture. As U.S. government funding for education has steadily dropped while costs rise (Mortenson, 2012; Leachman & Mai, 2014) automation will be deployed to defray the costs of administrative bloat.
  • 7. Society and Education in the World of 2040 AI and Big Data will also be present in the classroom. We will learn the effectiveness of active and self-directed pedagogies, using project-based and experiential learning to teach collaboration and creative problem-solving. The best teachers will produce innovative learning content that can be consumed by any student, anytime, anywhere, but in schools, in-class lectures will be a thing of the past. Most teachers will transition away from traditional classroom roles into the role of facilitator, mediator, and coach. Learning analytics fed into mobile, gamified, social learning systems will allow personalized and adaptive education as students’ progress through competency-based, “fixed learning, variable time” programs that have replaced today’s “fixed time, variable learning” systems. (Khosla, Will We Need Teachers or Algorithms? 2012) Learning will be much more flexible as physical presence in the classroom and face-to-face access to experts will be an optional luxury. Many students will work with software tutors, collaborate with peers, and hold regular meetings with learning coaches through virtual telepresence. Virtual reality (VR) simulations will allow students to get hands-on, situational training and experience and real-time feedback on performance before they go into the field. (Kelly 2016, 217) As the lines between formal and informal learning disappear and education becomes credentialing and skills based rather than degree based, adults will find themselves moving in and out of instructional programs frequently. Lifelong learning will become necessary to maintain economic and professional relevance. Home Life and Society AI, IoT, and VR/AR will be equally transformative in our home lives, where it will be applied to make our relationships to services, culture, and entertainment more efficient, personalized, and adaptive. The concept of ownership will be de-emphasized as we see new
  • 8. Society and Education in the World of 2040 ways of accessing anything and everything as a service. Purchasing living space, transportation, food, entertainment, education, technology devices, and more “is not a one-time event; it’s an ongoing relationship.” (Kelly 2016, 111) Autonomous transportation and distribution networks will move goods and food to market or straight to subscribers’ homes. If you do want to enter a store, you’ll need an account before you’re granted access, and you won’t check out with a clerk — you’ll simply walk in, get what you need, and leave, as ambient systems record the transaction. Meanwhile, computing built into everything around us and into our own bodies will change the way we access technology from intentional to second-natured to instinctive. It will respond to our voices, gestures, habits, and even our mood. When we have leisure time, we’ll be able to access highly social and immersive virtual worlds catering to all kinds of interests and tastes. In the past, the man has been first. In the future, the system must be first. From a sociological standpoint, perhaps the dominance of AI and Big Data is simply the logical conclusion of Western Enlightenment-era emphasis on rationality, meritocracy, and above all, efficiency. Thinkers have noted the parallels between Silicon Valley’s thirst for inhuman productivity and the Industrial-era Scientific Management Theory of Frederick Taylor, which sought to purge human inefficiency from the manufacturing process by recording, breaking down, standardizing, and tightly regulating each task performed by a worker. As the digital scholar Nicholas Carr put it, “the Googleplex is the Internet’s High Church, and the religion practiced inside is Taylorism.” (Carr 2008, 62) Amazon, whose Alexa AI service is already available in speakers, appliances, wearables, home appliances, and mobile devices, and will continue to see rapid adoption, has been similarly taken to task for the human cost of its
  • 9. Society and Education in the World of 2040 efficiency-obsessed corporate culture. (Head 2014) The companies who will produce the most valued and transformational technologies of 2040 sell process, efficiency, and reliability. A major source of strife in 2040 will be caused by technology “eliminating the livelihoods of many people, even as they produce great wealth for others.” (Rotman 2015) Solutions such as a universal basic income, shortened-work week, and major wealth redistribution will be implemented in many countries with varying degrees of success. Conclusion The World of 2040 will be remade by information technology like AI, Big Data, and VR/AR. Artificial intelligence will drive seismic changes in the economy and culture, with the accompanying strain on social cohesion. Data will drive almost all processes — omnipresent sensors will constantly collect endless quantities of information, and the intelligent cloud- powered software needed to decode it will be widely available. The resulting algorithmic intelligence will be embedded everywhere — our cities, homes, schools, workplaces, and even our bodies — and in any device or service you can imagine. In 2040, we will face major decisions about what it means to be authentically and freely human in a world where so much is accomplished automatically behind the scenes. We will need to re-evaluate what kinds of contributions are valuable, and how society can nurture and support the development of the human experience for its own sake. It will be all too easy for too many to be devalued because can’t make money for owners of capital as well as machines can. As Western society gets closer than ever to achieving its dream of total rationality and efficiency, humankind in 2040 will need to decide if it’s going to leave billions of people behind. Perhaps they can be distracted with immersive VR entertainment and social networks. But instead, I hope
  • 10. Society and Education in the World of 2040 we will find new ways to celebrate and encourage humans to do what they do best when supported and encouraged – connect, create, and make meaning together.
  • 11. Society and Education in the World of 2040 References Anderson, Chris. 2008. The End of Theory: The Data Deluge Makes the Scientific Method Obsolete. June 23. https://www.wired.com/2008/06/pb-theory/. Brodkin, John. 2015. Facebook: Our drones will use lasers to deliver 10Gbps Internet access. July 31. https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2015/07/facebook-our-drones- will-use-lasers-to-deliver-10gbps-internet-access/. Carr, Nicholas. 2008. "Is Google Making Us Stupid?" The Atlantic, July/August: 56-63. Estes, Adam Clark. 2011. Google Is Making Us Stupid and Smart at the Same Time? July 15. https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/07/google-making-us-stupid-and- smart-same-time/352885/. Finley, Klint. 2017. The FCC Seems Unlikely to Stop Internet Providers from Selling Your Data. March 01. https://www.wired.com/2017/03/fcc-graciously-sets-internet-providers-free- sell-data/. Head, Simon. 2014. Worse than Wal-Mart: Amazon’s sick brutality and secret history of ruthlessly intimidating workers. Feb. 23. http://www.salon.com/2014/02/23/worse_than_wal_mart_amazons_sick_brutality_and_s ecret_history_of_ruthlessly_intimidating_workers/. Kelly, Kevin. 2016. The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future. New York: Viking. Khosla, Vinod. 2012. Do We Need Doctors or Algorithms? January 5. Accessed 3 17, 2017. https://techcrunch.com/2012/01/10/doctors-or-algorithms/. —. 2012. Will We Need Teachers or Algorithms? January 15. https://techcrunch.com/2012/01/15/teachers-or-algorithms/.
  • 12. Society and Education in the World of 2040 Knight, Will. 2016. Could AI Solve the World’s Biggest Problems? January 12. https://www.technologyreview.com/s/545416/could-ai-solve-the-worlds-biggest- problems/. Leachman, Michael, and Chris Mai. 2014. Most States Funding Schools Less Than Before the Recession. May 20. http://www.cbpp.org/research/most-states-funding-schools-less-than- before-the-recession. Lewis-Kraus, Gideon. 2016. "The Great A.I Awakening." New York Times Magazine, December 14. Mortenson, Thomas G. 2012. State Funding: A Race to the Bottom. http://www.acenet.edu/the- presidency/columns-and-features/Pages/state-funding-a-race-to-the-bottom.aspx. Regalado, Antonio. 2014. Business Adapts to a New Style of Computer. May 20. https://www.technologyreview.com/s/527356/business-adapts-to-a-new-style-of- computer/#comments. Rotman, David. 2015. Who Will Own the Robots. June. https://www.technologyreview.com/s/538401/who-will-own-the-robots/. SRI International. n.d. 21st Century Learning Design. https://www.sri.com/work/projects/21st- century-learning-design-21cld. Stevens, Yvonne A. 2016. "The Future: Innovation and Jobs." Jurimetrics: The Journal of Law, Science & Technology 367-385. Trafton, Anne. 2009. Putting heads (and computers) together to solve global problems. January 13. http://news.mit.edu/2009/cci-0113.
  • 13. Society and Education in the World of 2040