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Peter Johnson
925-788-9394
Peter.Johnson@movement.com
 Appreciate is a result of
The Changing Age Structure Will Boost Levels
of Household Growth Over the Next Two
Decades and Beyond
% of Americans who say homeownership is part of
achieving their PERSONAL AMERICAN DREAM
Trulia
NAR 1/2016
2015 Inventory Levels
Compared to last year
HOUSING
SUPPLY
CoreLogic 12/2015
Forecasted Year-Over-Year % Change in Price
by State
Cumulative House
Appreciation
by 2020
Bulls
All
Projections
Bears
30.4%
Home Price Expectation Survey 2015 4Q
Quarter
Fannie
Mae
Freddie
Mac
MBA NAR
Average
of all four
2016 1Q 4.0% 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 4.10%
2016 2Q 4.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% 4.25%
2016 3Q 4.1% 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% 4.45%
2016 4Q 4.1% 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 4.63%
Mortgage Rate Projections
1/2016
Which Group is
Most Sensitive to
Interest Rates?
First American Real Estate Sentiment Index
 The buying season starts earlier and
earlier
 More inventory comes on in the spring
and summer but there are more
buyers and sellers
 Sellers will be flush with equity and be
motivated to get into another home
quickly pushing prices higher
Forbes
Median Years of Homeowner Tenure before Moving
Pent-Up Seller Demand
NAR
Sellers Trading Up…
$500,000
$518,510
$534,601
$551,191
$568,296
January 2016 January 2017 January 2018 January 2019 January 2020
$68,296
Increased home equity based on price appreciation projected by the Home Price Expectation Survey
potential growth in family wealth over
the next four years based solely on
increased home equity
Home Price Expectation Survey 2015 3Q
Quicken Loans
Appraiser Home Value
Opinions Compared to
Homeowner Estimates
2015

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The Changing Age Structure Will Boost Household Growth and Home Prices

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. The Echo boom generation is huge in sheer numbers. In fact, it is larger than the baby boomers generation. This will have serious implications to the housing market as this generation matures and enters the home buying years.
  2. http://www.trulia.com/blog/trends/2016-housing-predictions/#sthash.8V706Kqs.dpuf
  3. www.realtor.org
  4. http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/researchtrends/corelogic-home-price-insights.aspx#
  5. https://pulsenomics.com/Q4_2015_HPE_Survey.php
  6. mba.com realtor.org fanniemae.com freddiemac.com
  7. http://www.firstam.com/economics/real-estate-sentiment-index/
  8. http://www.forbes.com/sites/lawrenceyun/2015/12/11/rising-homeowner-equity-helping-to-buy-the-next-home/
  9. NAR Research Tweet 10.2.2015
  10. https://pulsenomics.com/Q3_2015_HPE_Survey.php
  11. http://www.quickenloans.com/press-room/2015/12/08/appraised-values-remain-lower/