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INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT EUN / RESNICK Third Edition Chapter Objective: This chapter serves to introduce the student to the balance of payments. How it is constructed and how balance of payments data may be interpreted. 3 Chapter Three The Balance of Payments
Chapter Three Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Balance of Payments Accounting ,[object Object],[object Object]
Balance of Payments Example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Balance of Payments Accounts
The Current Account ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Capital Account ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Statistical Discrepancy ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Official Reserves Account ,[object Object]
The Balance of Payments Identity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Balance of Payments Data   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
U.S. Balance of Payments Data In 2000, the U.S. imported more than it exported, thus running a current account deficit of $444.69 billion.   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
U.S. Balance of Payments Data During the same year, the U.S. attracted net investment of $444.26 billion—clearly the rest of the world found the U.S. to be a good place to invest.   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
U.S. Balance of Payments Data Under a pure flexible exchange rate regime, these numbers would balance each other out.   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
U.S. Balance of Payments Data In the real world, there is a statistical discrepancy.    Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
U.S. Balance of Payments Data Including that, the balance of payments identity should hold: BCA + BKA =  –  BRA ($444.69) + $444.26   + $0.73  =  $0.30 =  – ($0.30)   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P Exchange rate $ S D   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P As U.S. citizens import, they are supply dollars to the FOREX market. Exchange rate $ S D   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P As U.S. citizens export, others demand dollars at the FOREX market. Exchange rate $ S D   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P S D As the U.S. government sells dollars, the supply of dollars increases. S 1 Exchange rate $   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
Balance of Payments Trends ,[object Object],[object Object]
Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of the United States Source: IMF  International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of United Kingdom Source: IMF  International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of Japan Source: IMF  International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of Germany Source: IMF  International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of China Source: IMF  International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
Balance of Payments Trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of Five Major Countries Source: IMF  International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
End Chapter Three

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Chap003

  • 1. INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT EUN / RESNICK Third Edition Chapter Objective: This chapter serves to introduce the student to the balance of payments. How it is constructed and how balance of payments data may be interpreted. 3 Chapter Three The Balance of Payments
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. U.S. Balance of Payments Data   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 12. U.S. Balance of Payments Data In 2000, the U.S. imported more than it exported, thus running a current account deficit of $444.69 billion.   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 13. U.S. Balance of Payments Data During the same year, the U.S. attracted net investment of $444.26 billion—clearly the rest of the world found the U.S. to be a good place to invest.   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 14. U.S. Balance of Payments Data Under a pure flexible exchange rate regime, these numbers would balance each other out.   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 15. U.S. Balance of Payments Data In the real world, there is a statistical discrepancy.   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 16. U.S. Balance of Payments Data Including that, the balance of payments identity should hold: BCA + BKA = – BRA ($444.69) + $444.26 + $0.73 = $0.30 = – ($0.30)   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 17. Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P Exchange rate $ S D   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 18. Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P As U.S. citizens import, they are supply dollars to the FOREX market. Exchange rate $ S D   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 19. Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P As U.S. citizens export, others demand dollars at the FOREX market. Exchange rate $ S D   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 20. Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate Q P S D As the U.S. government sells dollars, the supply of dollars increases. S 1 Exchange rate $   Credits Debits Current Account     1 Exports $1,418.64   2 Imports   ($1,809.18) 3 Unilateral Transfers $10.24 ($64.39)   Balance on Current Account ($444.69) Capital Account     4 Direct Investment $287.68 ($152.44) 5 Portfolio Investment $474.39 ($124.94) 6 Other Investments $262.64 ($303.27)   Balance on Capital Account $444.26   7 Statistical Discrepancies     Overall Balance $0.30   Official Reserve Account ($0.30) 0.73
  • 21.
  • 22. Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of the United States Source: IMF International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
  • 23. Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of United Kingdom Source: IMF International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
  • 24. Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of Japan Source: IMF International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
  • 25. Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of Germany Source: IMF International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
  • 26. Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of China Source: IMF International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000
  • 27.
  • 28. Balances on the Current (BCA) and Capital (BKA) Accounts of Five Major Countries Source: IMF International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 2000