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Trading Binary Options
    Complete Guide To Binary Options Success




This book covers basics of binary options trading and how to trade profitably. Moreover the book also
includes basics of different trading concepts including technical analysis, fundamental analysis, money
management and much more.
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Disclaimer
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN
LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT
REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE
RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN
MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL
ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.
NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE
PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential
rewards, but also large potential risks. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept
them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't
afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No
representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar
to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or
methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

All information on the website or any e-book purchased from the website is for educational
purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. Any statement about profits or
income, expressed or implied, does not represent a guarantee. Your actual trading may result in
losses as no trading system is guaranteed. You accept full responsibilities for your actions,
trades, profit or loss, and agree to hold www.BinaryOptionsGain.com, BinaryOptionsGain and
any authorized distributors of this information harmless in any and all ways. The use of this
system constitutes acceptance of our user agreement.




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Index

  1. Introduction To Binary Options
         i. What Are Binary Options
        ii. Binary Options Trade Example
       iii. Advantages of binary options

  2. Trading Binary Options
        I. Introduction
       II.  The Underlying Asset
      III.  Forecast
      IV. Expiration
       V. Determine Your Investment

  3. Fundamental Analysis
        I. Introduction
       II. Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy
      III. Balance of Payment
      IV. Economic Releases

  4. Technical Analysis
        I. Introduction
       II.  Japanese Candlestick
      III.  Support And Resistance
      IV. Trend Lines
       V. Channel
      VI. Common Chart Indicators
     VII. Multiple Timeframe Analysis

  5. Money Management
        I. Introduction
       II. Learn To Protect Capital First
      III.  Position Sizing
      IV. Common Mistakes



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  6. Putting It All Together
       I. Create a Business Plan
      II.   Maintain A Trading Journal




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1.
Introduction To Binary
Options



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1.1 What Are Binary Options

Binary Options are exciting new type of investment. Rather than buying an asset,
investor speculates the price direction of the asset. Binary Options are also called
digital options, all-or-nothing-options or fixed-return-options (FRO). As the name
implies there are two possible outcomes to a binary options trade, called In-the-
money and out-of-the-money. In simplest terms, if the option expires with the
price in forecasted direction then the option expires in-the-money, else out-of-
the-money.

There are two major types of binary options:
cash-or-nothing binary options, and asset or nothing binary options.
Cash-or-nothing binary options are more common, in which if the options expires
in-the-money investor earn certain amount of cash. Asset-or-nothing pays the
value of the underlying security if the options expires in-the-money.

A binary options trade on a typical platform might look like:
An investor with an outlook that the XYZ stock price will end higher than the
current price at the end of the day, thus he purchase XYZ stock binary option for
$100. If his outlook turns out to be correct he will gain 70%-90% over his
investment.




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1.2 Binary Options Example

There is little difference in binary options contract traded over NADEX or CBOE.
The basic concept remains same when it comes to trading binary options. The
following example describes sample cash-or-nothing type binary option trade.

Call Trade Example

Let’s say the crude oil is trading at $89.299/Barrel on 18:08 15-April-2013 , the
investor believes that the price will end higher (appreciate) by an hour then the
current $89.27 (called Strike Price). In order to take advantage if the price
appreciates the trader will place Call trade, set the option expiry to 1 hour (19:00)
and finally set the amount he wants to invest in this case say $100.




The trades have two possible outcomes.

Outcome 1                                  Outcome 2
Option Expires Above Strike Price          Option Expires Below Strike Price
89.299 (In-The-Money)                      89.299 (Out-Of-The-Money)
Payout $170                                Payout $15




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Put Trade Example

Say the EURUSD is trading at 1.30125 on 18:25 15-April-2013, now the investor
believes the price will fall. In order to take advantage if the price decline the
trader will place Put trade, set the option expiry to 1 hour (19:00) and finally set
the amount he wants to invest in this case say $100.




The trades have two possible outcomes.

Outcome 1                                   Outcome 2
Option Expires Below Strike Price           Option Expires Above Strike Price
1.30962 (In-The-Money)                      1.30962 (Out-Of-The-Money)
Payout $170                                 Payout $15




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1.3 Advantages of Binary Options

Binary options offers numerous advantages over other sort of trading, below are
few of the advantages offered to binary options traders.

Simplicity Above all the advantages offered by binary options is its simplicity to
understand and trade options. Less detailed knowledge is required of an asset to
profit from its price change. In binary options Profit depends on price change
rather than the difference in price.

Calculated Risk Due to very nature of binary options investor is aware of acute
risk per trade. The risk is limited to the invested amount per trade.

High Return The profitability depends on options expiring in or out of the money,
rather than price difference. Binary options generally yield 70% - 80% in relatively
small time.

Small Investor Friendly Binary Options traders’ buys contract other than the asset
itself, which allows larger audience to trade who would otherwise would be
restricted by the high prices.

Volatile Market Advantage Traders have great advantage when they trade binary
options in a volatile market conditions. Regardless of drastic swing in the market,
binary options have fixed returns. While traditional investment could incur huge
losses.




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2.
Trading Binary Options




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2.1 Introduction
Binary trades have 4 key features, i.e.

Underlying Asset
Forecast
Expiry
Risk

It is important that traders understand these four key elements as they are vital
for trading successfully. Each aspect is explained in the upcoming sections.




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2.2 Underlying Asset
When trading binary options you are not actually buying or selling the actual asset
itself but rather predicting the direction of the underlying asset. Rather than
taking ownership of the asset you just take position for or against their
movement.

However it is very important that you understand the peculiarities of the
underlying asset, you are trading binary options of. Each financial instrument has
different factors which affects its movement.

Global market divide assets into 4 groups namely Currencies, Commodities,
Stocks and index (indices). There are further numerous sub groups; each of the
group belongs to association of exchanges or markets. Most of the people are
familiar with New York Stock Exchange, with stocks such as Google, Microsoft and
HSBC traded on its floor. Another example of exchange is foreign exchange
(Forex) where Global currencies are traded. In a similar fashion Commodities are
also traded in their respective exchanges.

Finally indices are made up of bucket of preselected stocks. Buying an index is
similar to buying the entire share that makes up that index, as well as the value of
the index move up and down based on the value of the selected stocks. Few of
the famous indices are S&P500 or the Dow Jones, in US or FTSE in UK and DAX in
Germany.

Binary Options allows you to trade options for different groups of assets including
Foreign Exchange (Forex), Commodities, Stocks and Index (indices). Apart from it
you are only limited to stocks from single exchange or country, but can trade
stocks from Asia, Europe and USA at the same time.




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2.3 Forecast
Another major element of binary options trade is Forecasting either the price will
end above or below. Your forecast will determine the trade type you should
enter. Needless to say, if you analyze the price will end above the strike price, you
will enter call trade, whereas if you analyze the price will below at option expiry,
you will enter put trade.

Unlike other markets when trading binary options you only have to predict either
the price will move above or below certain price (Strike Price). Usually in other
markets apart from predicting the direction you also have to identify the degree
(or the measure in points) by which the price would move. This makes binary
options trading really simple.

Each asset has different peculiarity, your research or analysis method might vary
from asset to asset or from one asset group to another. Economic condition,
Trends, Technical analysis and news releases are just a few methods could be use
to form a trading bias.




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2.4 Expiry
Binary options have different expiration times, ranging from 1minutes to a month.
Expiration times facilitate all type of trading style either short-term (day trading),
medium term or long term.

Day trader’s wants to quickly get in and out of the market with small profit or loss
from individual trades, these high frequency trades could accumulate large
profits. Medium term or longer term traders might set the expiry to 1 hour to
couple of weeks.




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2.5 Determine Your Investment
Determining your investment is one of the most important aspects of trading
binary options and is also the most overlooked aspect of trading. Money
Management rules help protects our equity and also generates long-term
profitability. Trading without sensible money management rules is like playing
Russian roulette. The chapter on “Money Management” elaborately explains how
to determine your investment and manage your risk more sensibly.




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3.
Fundamental Analysis




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3.1 Introduction
Fundament analysis is a form of analysis in which general economy, and factors
that affect supply and demand are analyzed to make trading decisions. In simple
terms it means that we study the health of the economy and if the economy
seems to be in good state then its currency value will appreciate. The chief reason
for this is that other counties and investors will have more trust in that country
and additional capital will flow to the economy.




A fundament analyst can focus on everything such as overall health of the
economy, economic releases, IR (interest rates), earnings, and production.




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3.2 Overview of US Economy
When studying fundamental analysis it is important to have at least a brief
knowledge of how an economy especially United States economy works as USD
(United States Dollar) is major currency.

According to Investopeida.com economy could be defined as the following:

"The large set of inter-related economic production and consumption activities
which aid in determining how scarce resources are allocated. The economy
encompasses everything relating to the production and consumption of goods
and services in an area."

United States Economy is the largest economy in the world which is often
referred as free market or capitalist economy. In a free market economy
businesses are controlled by private sector (non government) including
production and distribution of goods as well as services. Moreover in free market
economy prices are set by supply and demand. Free market or capitalist economy
is opposite if planned or socialist economies in which manufacturing and
distributions of goods and services are done as well as prices are set by the
government.

Practically United States economy is blended economy as the government does
handle some of the tasks which cannot be passed to private sector such as
military, road building, education and law enforcement.

It is important to understand that people usually prefer capitalism and free
market economies therefore any move toward capitalism will generally result into
market rally whereas move away from capitalism will be sensed by market as anti
business and markets generally sell off.




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3.3 Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy is any policy relating to government spending and taxation. Due to
different reasons the economy under goes repeated growth and contraction
which can be broken down as the following.

      1)   Contraction
      2)   Trough
      3)   Expansion
      4)   Peak




                          (image source: Wikipedia.org)

Fiscal policy is an effective tool at government disposal in regulating the business
cycle. Government spending and taxation must be approved by both congress and
the president.


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Monetary Policy

Monetary policy is the process by which Federal Reserve in case of United States
or monetary authority, central bank, or government of a country controls the
following:

      1) Supply of money
      2) Availability of money
      3) Cost of borrowing money (Interest Rate)

These policies are set in order to achieve set of goals which are oriented towards
stability and grown of the country’s economy.

Interest rate and total supply of money have great impact on economy. Monetary
policy is said to be contractionary if it reduces money supply or raises IR (Interest
Rate). Whereas, expansionary policy is used to tackle unemployment, this is
usually done by lowering the interest rate in inflation.




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3.4 Balance of Payment

In long term stream of money from international trade, speculation and
investment eventually decide the value of a country currency. When there is an
increase in demand for export products of a country and/or investment
opportunities look attractive to foreigners then all else being equal they currency
should appreciate.



Trade Flows

Flow of money in and out of a country due to global trade or commerce is called
trade flows. In simple terms it means that money flow from the importing country
to exporters’ country for the goods and services being delivered.

When a state imports goods this add money of the importing country to the
market and generate demand for the currency of the exporting nation. This is due
to the fact that goods are usually purchased in the currency of the country where
they are manufactured or produced, so the country importing the goods must
exchange their currency.



Capital Flows

Flow of capital (money) as a result of investment into and out of countries is
called capital flow. As in previous topic we discussed flow of capital as a result of
international trade however capital flow results due to money flow due to
investments such as stock and bond market, real estate and cross boarder
acquisitions and mergers.




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Current Account

The formula for calculating the current account for a country is as following




 When describing imports and exports you will often hear about current account
surplus or a current account deficit. When a value of country exports are more
than they are importing is known as current account surplus. Current account
deficit is opposite of current account surplus. A country with current account
deficit will generally have a weaker currency, this means that the country is
importing more than it is exporting and the money flow out of the country.



Capital Account

The general formula for calculating the capital account is as following:




Ownership of foreign or domestic assets refers to things such as real estate,
foreign and domestic companies’ investment and cross border mergers and
acquisitions. Portfolio investment refers to investment in stocks and bonds.
Whereas, other investments includes investment in loans and bank accounts.

As we discussed in our lesson on capital flows, when a market in a country is
outperforming the markets in other areas of the world, money will flow into the
country from foreigners seeking to participate in those out sized returns. These
capital flows are reflected in the country's capital account. This is the case

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whether we are talking about a country's stock market, bond market, real estate
market etc.

Countries with aggressive inflows or outflows of funds have straight influence on
its currency. If other things are kept constant then a country with major inflows
create demand for the currency resulting into the appreciation in the value of the
currency.


Balance of Payment

In simple terms balance of payment refers to sum of all the transaction by a
country with rest of the world. By using balance of payment as an indicator Forex
traders can achieve immense imminent into the potential future price action of a
country’s currency.




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3.5 Economic Releases

It is important for a trader to understand major economic releases and their
impact on trading. There are numerous economic releases that are published
every day to cover each economic release will be out of the scope of the book
however some basic economic are briefly touched below.

Gross Domestic Product

GDP which is also referred as Gross domestic income (GDI) is a gauge of national
income and output of any countries economy. For this reason trader and other
market participants closely watch Gross Domestic Product Number (GDP).

High rate of growth is a good indicator for the economy but if markets anticipate
that the growth is not sustainable without excess inflation, participant might
reach negatively. You can read the analysis from different sources including
Bloomberg.com and dailyfx.com are best services available free of cost.



Non Farm Payrolls

Non Farm Payrolls (NFP), economic release is public each month on first Friday at
8:30. NFP is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in United States which is
meant to show the number of jobs added or vanished in the economy over the
period of one month. As the name implies NFP does not include jobs concerning
to farming industry.

When business are hiring people this means they are optimist about the future
health of the economy. This is expressed in form of NFP.




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4.
Technical Analysis




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4.1 Introduction

Study of price movement by analyzing historic price action usually in the form of
charts is called technical analysis. Trader usually looks at price action usually in
chart form and anticipate future price of the instrument.
A technical indicator is a form of chart plotted using mathematical formula which
is derived from the price and/or the traded volume of the financial security. The
graphs are usually above or below the instrument price and are helpful in
forecasting future price movement of the instrument.

Technical indicators can be classified into two broad categories that is lagging and
leading indicators.
Leading indicators are calculated in an effort to anticipate the future movement
of price. As leading indicators try to measure price movement from recent data,
these indicator are prone to errant signals and it is usually recommended to use
such indicators when there is no clear trend in the market.
Lagging indicator pay emphasis on where the market has been and therefore
what will be the future price. Lagging indicator produce least errant signal but at a
cost of delayed entry. Lagging indicators are believe to work better in trending
markets.




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4.2 Japanese Candlestick

Candlestick charts plots price against time. Each candle represents Open, High,
Low and Close (OHLC) of an instrument at a particular time. If the open price is
less than the close price this means for the particular time there was appreciation
in the value and the candle is usually un-shaded or green.

If the close price is less than the open price this means for the particular time the
value of the instrument is depreciated and the candle is usually represented by
shade or red color.




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4.3 Support and Resistance
Support

Support is the price level where the price action tends to find a support for falling
further. At this level there is enough demand from buyers to keep the price from
declining further.

Resistance

Resistance is opposite of support. If the price level of a particular instrument
where there is not enough demand from the buyer to keep the price to surpass
this level.

There are numerous ways to determine support and resistance. One basic way for
identifying support and resistance (S&R) is by analyzing the chart to see were the
price hit a particular level multiple time without breaking it and retraces back. If
the price touches the support or resistance multiple time without breaking it the
more strong the support or resistance becomes.


A very basic strategy that traders use to trade using support and resistance is they
buy at support and sell just before the resistance level.




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4.4 Trend Lines

Trend lines are another most commonly used technical analysis.

In its basic form, traders draw a line below the price in an uptrend (when the
prices are moving upward) in order to identify support areas (valleys).

Where as in downtrend (when prices are moving down) trader draw a line above
the price to identify peaks (resistance areas).




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4.5 Channels

Channels are created by drawing a parallel line at the same angle of the trend
line.

To create an ascending channel (when prices are moving upward), we have to
simply draw a parallel line above the price at the same angle of the upward trend
line.

To create a descending channel (when prices are moving downward), we have to
simply draw a parallel line below the price at the same angle of the downward
trend line.

The channel also shows the range at which the price fluctuate when in an uptrend
or down trend.

Following chart shows how channel are created in an uptrend, downtrend and
sideways (when there is no clear trend and the prices are range bounded.




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4.6 Common Chart Indicators

Moving Average

There are different types of moving averages. Moving averages are plotted on
price chart and smooth out the price action of the security on which it is plotted
by simply taking average of number of periods.

Moving averages are used better representation of long terms direction and filter
out market noise (slight fluctuations in price). In addition moving average can be
used to identify positional support and resistance levels.




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MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is an indicator which is used to
indicate a new trend, either upward (bullish) or downward (bearish).

MACD chart usually have three sub-indicators which include the following

The first is the faster moving average.

The second is the slower moving average of the first one.

And the third is the number of bars which is used to calculate the MA of the
difference between the faster and slower MA (moving average).




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RSI (Relative Strength Index)

RSI (Relative Strength Index) is an indicator which is used to identify overbought
or oversold conditions of the financial instrument. RSI chart has value from 0 to
100. Normally, if the indicator line is below 20, this indicates oversold, while the
value above 80 means overbought.




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Bollinger Bands

Bollinger bands are indicator which is plotted on price chart and is used to measure market
volatility. When the market is not trending and volatility is declining the band contracts. When
there is high volatility in the market the bands expand.




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Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reversal)

Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reversal) is very basic indicator. It simply plots dots below the price if
it is trending up or above to indicate potential reversals in price movement and vice versa. It
generally believed that Parabolic SAR works better in a trending market.




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4.7 Multiple Timeframe

Multiple timeframe analysis means incorporating more than one time frame into
your trading strategy. This gives you edge and ensure you do not trade with trend
against larger timeframe which might change trend of the shorter time frame.

Once you found entry signal in you preferred timeframe it is recommended to
make a strategic decision to go long or short based on the direct of the trend of
upper timeframe.

Follow chart shows how to incorporate multi timeframe analysis into your
trading.

1 Hour




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5 MIN




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DAILY




After analyzing these charts we see the pair is in a down trend in 5 minute and the
hourly chart however when we move to daily chart it shows not only strong but
also an extended uptrend. Therefore it is generally accepted by trader not to
trade against large timeframe trend.




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5.
Money Management




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5.1 Introduction

Money management is one of the most important aspects of trading and is also
the most overlooked aspect trading. Money Management rules help us protecting
out equity and also make us profitable in long run. Trading without sensible
money management rules is merely playing Russian roulette.




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5.2 Learn To Protect Capital First

The primary goal of successful trading is the safeguarding of capital. In order to
explain how difficult is to get out off losses there is an example shown below:

Let’s assume a trader started with $10,000 and go down by $5,000. The
percentage of capital he lost is 50%. Now in order to get out of his losses and to
breakeven even he need to made 100% return on $5,000. In order words he has
to be twice as successful to cover his draw down.

It is important to incorporate sensible risk management into trading. This can be
achieved by never risk more than 2% of your available equity on a single trade.

Dr Alexander Elder stated as following in his renowned book “Trading for a
Living”.

“Many studies have shown that trading strategies and traders who risk more
than 2% of their overall trading capital on any one trade are rarely successful
over the long term. From what I have seen most traders risk way more than this
on an individual trade basis, another large contributor to the high failure rate
among traders.”




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5.3 Position Sizing

Position sizing is the main topic for money management and vital component for
successful trading. Position sizing strategy can be classified into two broad
categories martingale and anti martingale.

Martingale is a strategy for position sizing which increases the trade size as the
trade suffer draw down or after a losing trade. Anti-martingale strategy is
opposite of martingale strategy, which increases position sizing after winning
trade or when the trade moves in trader favor.



Fixed Investment Size

Many traders make the mistake of choosing an arbitrary number such as $10,
$20, $50 per trade or so on when they take first step toward trading. Using fixed
investment sizing has many disadvantages, among is fixed lot sizing does not
allow a trader to trade large amount on trades with high chances of winning and
lower the trade investment on lower probability of success.

% Risk Model

The next level of sophistication in determining your position size is by using
percentage risk method. In % risk based model investment amount is determined
by the risk on each trade in provisions of a percentage of your capital. As we
looked in our previous topic that traders who risk more than 2% of their capital on
any one trade are usually not successful overlong run.

For instance if a trader has $100,000 in his trading capital and identify from his
historic analysis of the strategy that 2% or $2000 of his trading capital is an
appropriate amount to risk per trade.



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5.4 Common Mistakes

Never Risk More Than 2% Per Trade

One of the cardinal rules which is also the most desecrated rules in trading is that
traders lose substantial amount of their account equity in one single trade by
taking too much risk. You will find hundred of stories of traders who lose years of
profits on a single trade that goes terribly wrong. This is the chief cause why the
2% stop-loss rule should not be violated.
The table below demonstrates that large losses are extremely difficult to overcome

      Amount of Equity Loss               Amount of Return Necessary to
                                              Re-store to Original
                 25%                                  33%
                 50%                                 100%
                 75%                                 400%
                 90%                                 1000%



Let’s assume you begin trading with $10,000 and loss 50% of your capital which in
dollar terms is $5000. So in order to breakeven and overcome the losses you now
need 100% gain of on your remaining equity. The best way to avoid this is to have
proper risk management and to avoid large losses. For this reason the 2% rule
hold utmost importance in trading. If you limit 2% loss per trade this means that
you can sustain 10 consecutive losing streaks in a row with a total draw down of
20% of you account equity.


Logic Wins, Impulse Kills


Trader blew up their account more by trading impulsively than by any other
mistake. If you ask a beginner trader the reason for taking a long position on a
currency pair, you might hear the answer, “Because it has gone down enough – so

www.BinaryOptionsGain.com                                                            Page 46
www.BinaryOptionsGain.com

now it’s bound to go positive.” This is an example of impulsive trading and
wishful thinking; the trade decision is not based on a logical reason.

Trading impulsively is merely playing the game of Russian roulette. Logical trading
is extra precise than impulsive trading.

Trading impulsively is simply gambling. It can be a huge rush when the trader is on
a winning streak, but just one bad loss can make the trader give all of the profits
and trading capital back to the market. Logical trader will know price dynamics
and reversals, whereas impulsive traders are only one trade away from
bankruptcy.



Adding To A Loser



Most of the time trader increase their risk and keep on adding to them if trade
goes against them. This is a martingale technique in which traders desperately
hope that a reversal will occur and their losses will convert to profit. However
doing so increases the exposure while the trade goes in loss. In such scenarios a
smart trader will typically close the option or let it expire and head toward next
trade.




www.BinaryOptionsGain.com                                                   Page 47
www.BinaryOptionsGain.com




6.
Putting It All Together




www.BinaryOptionsGain.com   Page 48
www.BinaryOptionsGain.com


6.1 Creating A Business Plan

Many business fail due to their lack of planning and failure to create a business
plan to follow. Creating a business plan give the trader a sense of direction that
they are trying to reach. It set goals, and plan to execute. Most successful traders
will agree that trading is not different than business and in order to be successful
in trading you should have clear and written business plan.

Following are some of the things which should be included into your business plan
for trading.

    What are your reasons for which you want to become a trader?
    What do you hope to achieve from trading?
     Be specific here. If the possibility of making a lot of money has drawn you
     towards trading then list out how much money you want to make from
     trading and what you plan to do with that money if you make it.
    What are the things that are going to separate you from the large majority
     of traders who fail?
    What are your biggest weaknesses?
    How do you plan to address your weaknesses and leverage your strengths?
    How much time can you devote towards actively following the market?
    Do you plan to day trade, swing trade, position trade or a combination of
     the three? Does your choice here reflect the time you have to devote to the
     markets?
    What market or markets do you plan to trade and why?
    At what times throughout the day are you going to spend actually trading,
     researching trades, and then learning about the market?
    What are your criteria for entering a trade?
    What are your criteria for exiting a trade?
    What is your money management strategy?
    How will you know if one of the pieces of your strategy stops working?

www.BinaryOptionsGain.com                                                   Page 49
www.BinaryOptionsGain.com

    After identifying that one of the pieces of your strategy has stopped
     working what will you do to address it?
    What trading software and equipment you will use to trade and how much
     is it?
    What Broker/Brokers will you use?
    Do you plan to add money to your account and if so where is that money
     going to come from?
    If you are profitable do you plan to reinvest profits or withdraw some or all
     of them?
    If you plan to trade full time how you will support yourself if you aren’t
     profitable right away.
    How much money do you plan to start to trade with? Does the math work
     out when considering taxes, all costs, living expenses and your initial
     trading balance?

Those who take time to think about and write down the business plan under
these heading generally have a higher chance of success.




www.BinaryOptionsGain.com                                                 Page 50
www.BinaryOptionsGain.com


6.2 Maintaining A Trading Journal

There is an old saying learn from your mistakes, for traders it mean to maintain a
trading journal. Successful trader looks at each experience or loss as a chance to
learn and grow. Trader openness to leaning from their trades differential
profitable and unprofitable trader. A trader should be willing to put effort to
prepare a document for recoding his trades and from time to time review each
trade.

Trading journals could be used to document trades. You can simply write down
details of your trades in a notebook or a word document. However using spread
sheet software like (excel) provides you more flexibility and handy analysis
options.

Below are 10 things that in my opinion it is important to document about each
trade. :

   1.   What were the market conditions for that day or trade?
   2.   Why you take the trade, entry date, Expiry and price.
   3.   Was the trade short terms or long term?
   4.   Comment on market condition from the time you entered till you close the
        position.
   5.   Money management rules that used for the trade.
   6.   If possible attach a chart with your analysis.
   7.   Address you weakness for the particular trade or day.
   8.   Address your strength for that day or trade.
   9.   You can also add additional comments which you though might be help
        full.




www.BinaryOptionsGain.com                                                  Page 51
www.BinaryOptionsGain.com


What’s Next
For binary options trading strategies and more
tutorials on binary options visit
www.BinaryOptionsGain.com

Join us over Twitter, Facebook and YouTube for more up-to-date
learning material.




www.BinaryOptionsGain.com                                        Page 52

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Trade binary options

  • 1. Trading Binary Options Complete Guide To Binary Options Success This book covers basics of binary options trading and how to trade profitably. Moreover the book also includes basics of different trading concepts including technical analysis, fundamental analysis, money management and much more.
  • 2. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Join us over Twitter, Facebook and YouTube for more up-to-date learning material. It is also recommend that you visit www.BinaryOptionsGain.com , and subscribe for more free up-to-date resources. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 2
  • 3. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Disclaimer CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risks. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. All information on the website or any e-book purchased from the website is for educational purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. Any statement about profits or income, expressed or implied, does not represent a guarantee. Your actual trading may result in losses as no trading system is guaranteed. You accept full responsibilities for your actions, trades, profit or loss, and agree to hold www.BinaryOptionsGain.com, BinaryOptionsGain and any authorized distributors of this information harmless in any and all ways. The use of this system constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 3
  • 4. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Index 1. Introduction To Binary Options i. What Are Binary Options ii. Binary Options Trade Example iii. Advantages of binary options 2. Trading Binary Options I. Introduction II. The Underlying Asset III. Forecast IV. Expiration V. Determine Your Investment 3. Fundamental Analysis I. Introduction II. Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy III. Balance of Payment IV. Economic Releases 4. Technical Analysis I. Introduction II. Japanese Candlestick III. Support And Resistance IV. Trend Lines V. Channel VI. Common Chart Indicators VII. Multiple Timeframe Analysis 5. Money Management I. Introduction II. Learn To Protect Capital First III. Position Sizing IV. Common Mistakes www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 4
  • 5. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 6. Putting It All Together I. Create a Business Plan II. Maintain A Trading Journal www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 5
  • 7. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 1.1 What Are Binary Options Binary Options are exciting new type of investment. Rather than buying an asset, investor speculates the price direction of the asset. Binary Options are also called digital options, all-or-nothing-options or fixed-return-options (FRO). As the name implies there are two possible outcomes to a binary options trade, called In-the- money and out-of-the-money. In simplest terms, if the option expires with the price in forecasted direction then the option expires in-the-money, else out-of- the-money. There are two major types of binary options: cash-or-nothing binary options, and asset or nothing binary options. Cash-or-nothing binary options are more common, in which if the options expires in-the-money investor earn certain amount of cash. Asset-or-nothing pays the value of the underlying security if the options expires in-the-money. A binary options trade on a typical platform might look like: An investor with an outlook that the XYZ stock price will end higher than the current price at the end of the day, thus he purchase XYZ stock binary option for $100. If his outlook turns out to be correct he will gain 70%-90% over his investment. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 7
  • 8. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 1.2 Binary Options Example There is little difference in binary options contract traded over NADEX or CBOE. The basic concept remains same when it comes to trading binary options. The following example describes sample cash-or-nothing type binary option trade. Call Trade Example Let’s say the crude oil is trading at $89.299/Barrel on 18:08 15-April-2013 , the investor believes that the price will end higher (appreciate) by an hour then the current $89.27 (called Strike Price). In order to take advantage if the price appreciates the trader will place Call trade, set the option expiry to 1 hour (19:00) and finally set the amount he wants to invest in this case say $100. The trades have two possible outcomes. Outcome 1 Outcome 2 Option Expires Above Strike Price Option Expires Below Strike Price 89.299 (In-The-Money) 89.299 (Out-Of-The-Money) Payout $170 Payout $15 www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 8
  • 9. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Put Trade Example Say the EURUSD is trading at 1.30125 on 18:25 15-April-2013, now the investor believes the price will fall. In order to take advantage if the price decline the trader will place Put trade, set the option expiry to 1 hour (19:00) and finally set the amount he wants to invest in this case say $100. The trades have two possible outcomes. Outcome 1 Outcome 2 Option Expires Below Strike Price Option Expires Above Strike Price 1.30962 (In-The-Money) 1.30962 (Out-Of-The-Money) Payout $170 Payout $15 www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 9
  • 10. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 1.3 Advantages of Binary Options Binary options offers numerous advantages over other sort of trading, below are few of the advantages offered to binary options traders. Simplicity Above all the advantages offered by binary options is its simplicity to understand and trade options. Less detailed knowledge is required of an asset to profit from its price change. In binary options Profit depends on price change rather than the difference in price. Calculated Risk Due to very nature of binary options investor is aware of acute risk per trade. The risk is limited to the invested amount per trade. High Return The profitability depends on options expiring in or out of the money, rather than price difference. Binary options generally yield 70% - 80% in relatively small time. Small Investor Friendly Binary Options traders’ buys contract other than the asset itself, which allows larger audience to trade who would otherwise would be restricted by the high prices. Volatile Market Advantage Traders have great advantage when they trade binary options in a volatile market conditions. Regardless of drastic swing in the market, binary options have fixed returns. While traditional investment could incur huge losses. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 10
  • 12. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 2.1 Introduction Binary trades have 4 key features, i.e. Underlying Asset Forecast Expiry Risk It is important that traders understand these four key elements as they are vital for trading successfully. Each aspect is explained in the upcoming sections. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 12
  • 13. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 2.2 Underlying Asset When trading binary options you are not actually buying or selling the actual asset itself but rather predicting the direction of the underlying asset. Rather than taking ownership of the asset you just take position for or against their movement. However it is very important that you understand the peculiarities of the underlying asset, you are trading binary options of. Each financial instrument has different factors which affects its movement. Global market divide assets into 4 groups namely Currencies, Commodities, Stocks and index (indices). There are further numerous sub groups; each of the group belongs to association of exchanges or markets. Most of the people are familiar with New York Stock Exchange, with stocks such as Google, Microsoft and HSBC traded on its floor. Another example of exchange is foreign exchange (Forex) where Global currencies are traded. In a similar fashion Commodities are also traded in their respective exchanges. Finally indices are made up of bucket of preselected stocks. Buying an index is similar to buying the entire share that makes up that index, as well as the value of the index move up and down based on the value of the selected stocks. Few of the famous indices are S&P500 or the Dow Jones, in US or FTSE in UK and DAX in Germany. Binary Options allows you to trade options for different groups of assets including Foreign Exchange (Forex), Commodities, Stocks and Index (indices). Apart from it you are only limited to stocks from single exchange or country, but can trade stocks from Asia, Europe and USA at the same time. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 13
  • 14. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 2.3 Forecast Another major element of binary options trade is Forecasting either the price will end above or below. Your forecast will determine the trade type you should enter. Needless to say, if you analyze the price will end above the strike price, you will enter call trade, whereas if you analyze the price will below at option expiry, you will enter put trade. Unlike other markets when trading binary options you only have to predict either the price will move above or below certain price (Strike Price). Usually in other markets apart from predicting the direction you also have to identify the degree (or the measure in points) by which the price would move. This makes binary options trading really simple. Each asset has different peculiarity, your research or analysis method might vary from asset to asset or from one asset group to another. Economic condition, Trends, Technical analysis and news releases are just a few methods could be use to form a trading bias. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 14
  • 15. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 2.4 Expiry Binary options have different expiration times, ranging from 1minutes to a month. Expiration times facilitate all type of trading style either short-term (day trading), medium term or long term. Day trader’s wants to quickly get in and out of the market with small profit or loss from individual trades, these high frequency trades could accumulate large profits. Medium term or longer term traders might set the expiry to 1 hour to couple of weeks. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 15
  • 16. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 2.5 Determine Your Investment Determining your investment is one of the most important aspects of trading binary options and is also the most overlooked aspect of trading. Money Management rules help protects our equity and also generates long-term profitability. Trading without sensible money management rules is like playing Russian roulette. The chapter on “Money Management” elaborately explains how to determine your investment and manage your risk more sensibly. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 16
  • 18. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 3.1 Introduction Fundament analysis is a form of analysis in which general economy, and factors that affect supply and demand are analyzed to make trading decisions. In simple terms it means that we study the health of the economy and if the economy seems to be in good state then its currency value will appreciate. The chief reason for this is that other counties and investors will have more trust in that country and additional capital will flow to the economy. A fundament analyst can focus on everything such as overall health of the economy, economic releases, IR (interest rates), earnings, and production. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 18
  • 19. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 3.2 Overview of US Economy When studying fundamental analysis it is important to have at least a brief knowledge of how an economy especially United States economy works as USD (United States Dollar) is major currency. According to Investopeida.com economy could be defined as the following: "The large set of inter-related economic production and consumption activities which aid in determining how scarce resources are allocated. The economy encompasses everything relating to the production and consumption of goods and services in an area." United States Economy is the largest economy in the world which is often referred as free market or capitalist economy. In a free market economy businesses are controlled by private sector (non government) including production and distribution of goods as well as services. Moreover in free market economy prices are set by supply and demand. Free market or capitalist economy is opposite if planned or socialist economies in which manufacturing and distributions of goods and services are done as well as prices are set by the government. Practically United States economy is blended economy as the government does handle some of the tasks which cannot be passed to private sector such as military, road building, education and law enforcement. It is important to understand that people usually prefer capitalism and free market economies therefore any move toward capitalism will generally result into market rally whereas move away from capitalism will be sensed by market as anti business and markets generally sell off. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 19
  • 20. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 3.3 Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy Fiscal Policy Fiscal policy is any policy relating to government spending and taxation. Due to different reasons the economy under goes repeated growth and contraction which can be broken down as the following. 1) Contraction 2) Trough 3) Expansion 4) Peak (image source: Wikipedia.org) Fiscal policy is an effective tool at government disposal in regulating the business cycle. Government spending and taxation must be approved by both congress and the president. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 20
  • 21. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Monetary Policy Monetary policy is the process by which Federal Reserve in case of United States or monetary authority, central bank, or government of a country controls the following: 1) Supply of money 2) Availability of money 3) Cost of borrowing money (Interest Rate) These policies are set in order to achieve set of goals which are oriented towards stability and grown of the country’s economy. Interest rate and total supply of money have great impact on economy. Monetary policy is said to be contractionary if it reduces money supply or raises IR (Interest Rate). Whereas, expansionary policy is used to tackle unemployment, this is usually done by lowering the interest rate in inflation. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 21
  • 22. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 3.4 Balance of Payment In long term stream of money from international trade, speculation and investment eventually decide the value of a country currency. When there is an increase in demand for export products of a country and/or investment opportunities look attractive to foreigners then all else being equal they currency should appreciate. Trade Flows Flow of money in and out of a country due to global trade or commerce is called trade flows. In simple terms it means that money flow from the importing country to exporters’ country for the goods and services being delivered. When a state imports goods this add money of the importing country to the market and generate demand for the currency of the exporting nation. This is due to the fact that goods are usually purchased in the currency of the country where they are manufactured or produced, so the country importing the goods must exchange their currency. Capital Flows Flow of capital (money) as a result of investment into and out of countries is called capital flow. As in previous topic we discussed flow of capital as a result of international trade however capital flow results due to money flow due to investments such as stock and bond market, real estate and cross boarder acquisitions and mergers. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 22
  • 23. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Current Account The formula for calculating the current account for a country is as following When describing imports and exports you will often hear about current account surplus or a current account deficit. When a value of country exports are more than they are importing is known as current account surplus. Current account deficit is opposite of current account surplus. A country with current account deficit will generally have a weaker currency, this means that the country is importing more than it is exporting and the money flow out of the country. Capital Account The general formula for calculating the capital account is as following: Ownership of foreign or domestic assets refers to things such as real estate, foreign and domestic companies’ investment and cross border mergers and acquisitions. Portfolio investment refers to investment in stocks and bonds. Whereas, other investments includes investment in loans and bank accounts. As we discussed in our lesson on capital flows, when a market in a country is outperforming the markets in other areas of the world, money will flow into the country from foreigners seeking to participate in those out sized returns. These capital flows are reflected in the country's capital account. This is the case www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 23
  • 24. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com whether we are talking about a country's stock market, bond market, real estate market etc. Countries with aggressive inflows or outflows of funds have straight influence on its currency. If other things are kept constant then a country with major inflows create demand for the currency resulting into the appreciation in the value of the currency. Balance of Payment In simple terms balance of payment refers to sum of all the transaction by a country with rest of the world. By using balance of payment as an indicator Forex traders can achieve immense imminent into the potential future price action of a country’s currency. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 24
  • 25. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 3.5 Economic Releases It is important for a trader to understand major economic releases and their impact on trading. There are numerous economic releases that are published every day to cover each economic release will be out of the scope of the book however some basic economic are briefly touched below. Gross Domestic Product GDP which is also referred as Gross domestic income (GDI) is a gauge of national income and output of any countries economy. For this reason trader and other market participants closely watch Gross Domestic Product Number (GDP). High rate of growth is a good indicator for the economy but if markets anticipate that the growth is not sustainable without excess inflation, participant might reach negatively. You can read the analysis from different sources including Bloomberg.com and dailyfx.com are best services available free of cost. Non Farm Payrolls Non Farm Payrolls (NFP), economic release is public each month on first Friday at 8:30. NFP is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in United States which is meant to show the number of jobs added or vanished in the economy over the period of one month. As the name implies NFP does not include jobs concerning to farming industry. When business are hiring people this means they are optimist about the future health of the economy. This is expressed in form of NFP. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 25
  • 27. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 4.1 Introduction Study of price movement by analyzing historic price action usually in the form of charts is called technical analysis. Trader usually looks at price action usually in chart form and anticipate future price of the instrument. A technical indicator is a form of chart plotted using mathematical formula which is derived from the price and/or the traded volume of the financial security. The graphs are usually above or below the instrument price and are helpful in forecasting future price movement of the instrument. Technical indicators can be classified into two broad categories that is lagging and leading indicators. Leading indicators are calculated in an effort to anticipate the future movement of price. As leading indicators try to measure price movement from recent data, these indicator are prone to errant signals and it is usually recommended to use such indicators when there is no clear trend in the market. Lagging indicator pay emphasis on where the market has been and therefore what will be the future price. Lagging indicator produce least errant signal but at a cost of delayed entry. Lagging indicators are believe to work better in trending markets. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 27
  • 28. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 4.2 Japanese Candlestick Candlestick charts plots price against time. Each candle represents Open, High, Low and Close (OHLC) of an instrument at a particular time. If the open price is less than the close price this means for the particular time there was appreciation in the value and the candle is usually un-shaded or green. If the close price is less than the open price this means for the particular time the value of the instrument is depreciated and the candle is usually represented by shade or red color. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 28
  • 29. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 4.3 Support and Resistance Support Support is the price level where the price action tends to find a support for falling further. At this level there is enough demand from buyers to keep the price from declining further. Resistance Resistance is opposite of support. If the price level of a particular instrument where there is not enough demand from the buyer to keep the price to surpass this level. There are numerous ways to determine support and resistance. One basic way for identifying support and resistance (S&R) is by analyzing the chart to see were the price hit a particular level multiple time without breaking it and retraces back. If the price touches the support or resistance multiple time without breaking it the more strong the support or resistance becomes. A very basic strategy that traders use to trade using support and resistance is they buy at support and sell just before the resistance level. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 29
  • 31. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 4.4 Trend Lines Trend lines are another most commonly used technical analysis. In its basic form, traders draw a line below the price in an uptrend (when the prices are moving upward) in order to identify support areas (valleys). Where as in downtrend (when prices are moving down) trader draw a line above the price to identify peaks (resistance areas). www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 31
  • 32. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 4.5 Channels Channels are created by drawing a parallel line at the same angle of the trend line. To create an ascending channel (when prices are moving upward), we have to simply draw a parallel line above the price at the same angle of the upward trend line. To create a descending channel (when prices are moving downward), we have to simply draw a parallel line below the price at the same angle of the downward trend line. The channel also shows the range at which the price fluctuate when in an uptrend or down trend. Following chart shows how channel are created in an uptrend, downtrend and sideways (when there is no clear trend and the prices are range bounded. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 32
  • 34. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 4.6 Common Chart Indicators Moving Average There are different types of moving averages. Moving averages are plotted on price chart and smooth out the price action of the security on which it is plotted by simply taking average of number of periods. Moving averages are used better representation of long terms direction and filter out market noise (slight fluctuations in price). In addition moving average can be used to identify positional support and resistance levels. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 34
  • 35. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is an indicator which is used to indicate a new trend, either upward (bullish) or downward (bearish). MACD chart usually have three sub-indicators which include the following The first is the faster moving average. The second is the slower moving average of the first one. And the third is the number of bars which is used to calculate the MA of the difference between the faster and slower MA (moving average). www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 35
  • 36. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI (Relative Strength Index) is an indicator which is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions of the financial instrument. RSI chart has value from 0 to 100. Normally, if the indicator line is below 20, this indicates oversold, while the value above 80 means overbought. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 36
  • 37. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Bollinger Bands Bollinger bands are indicator which is plotted on price chart and is used to measure market volatility. When the market is not trending and volatility is declining the band contracts. When there is high volatility in the market the bands expand. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 37
  • 38. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reversal) Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reversal) is very basic indicator. It simply plots dots below the price if it is trending up or above to indicate potential reversals in price movement and vice versa. It generally believed that Parabolic SAR works better in a trending market. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 38
  • 39. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 4.7 Multiple Timeframe Multiple timeframe analysis means incorporating more than one time frame into your trading strategy. This gives you edge and ensure you do not trade with trend against larger timeframe which might change trend of the shorter time frame. Once you found entry signal in you preferred timeframe it is recommended to make a strategic decision to go long or short based on the direct of the trend of upper timeframe. Follow chart shows how to incorporate multi timeframe analysis into your trading. 1 Hour www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 39
  • 41. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com DAILY After analyzing these charts we see the pair is in a down trend in 5 minute and the hourly chart however when we move to daily chart it shows not only strong but also an extended uptrend. Therefore it is generally accepted by trader not to trade against large timeframe trend. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 41
  • 43. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 5.1 Introduction Money management is one of the most important aspects of trading and is also the most overlooked aspect trading. Money Management rules help us protecting out equity and also make us profitable in long run. Trading without sensible money management rules is merely playing Russian roulette. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 43
  • 44. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 5.2 Learn To Protect Capital First The primary goal of successful trading is the safeguarding of capital. In order to explain how difficult is to get out off losses there is an example shown below: Let’s assume a trader started with $10,000 and go down by $5,000. The percentage of capital he lost is 50%. Now in order to get out of his losses and to breakeven even he need to made 100% return on $5,000. In order words he has to be twice as successful to cover his draw down. It is important to incorporate sensible risk management into trading. This can be achieved by never risk more than 2% of your available equity on a single trade. Dr Alexander Elder stated as following in his renowned book “Trading for a Living”. “Many studies have shown that trading strategies and traders who risk more than 2% of their overall trading capital on any one trade are rarely successful over the long term. From what I have seen most traders risk way more than this on an individual trade basis, another large contributor to the high failure rate among traders.” www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 44
  • 45. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 5.3 Position Sizing Position sizing is the main topic for money management and vital component for successful trading. Position sizing strategy can be classified into two broad categories martingale and anti martingale. Martingale is a strategy for position sizing which increases the trade size as the trade suffer draw down or after a losing trade. Anti-martingale strategy is opposite of martingale strategy, which increases position sizing after winning trade or when the trade moves in trader favor. Fixed Investment Size Many traders make the mistake of choosing an arbitrary number such as $10, $20, $50 per trade or so on when they take first step toward trading. Using fixed investment sizing has many disadvantages, among is fixed lot sizing does not allow a trader to trade large amount on trades with high chances of winning and lower the trade investment on lower probability of success. % Risk Model The next level of sophistication in determining your position size is by using percentage risk method. In % risk based model investment amount is determined by the risk on each trade in provisions of a percentage of your capital. As we looked in our previous topic that traders who risk more than 2% of their capital on any one trade are usually not successful overlong run. For instance if a trader has $100,000 in his trading capital and identify from his historic analysis of the strategy that 2% or $2000 of his trading capital is an appropriate amount to risk per trade. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 45
  • 46. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 5.4 Common Mistakes Never Risk More Than 2% Per Trade One of the cardinal rules which is also the most desecrated rules in trading is that traders lose substantial amount of their account equity in one single trade by taking too much risk. You will find hundred of stories of traders who lose years of profits on a single trade that goes terribly wrong. This is the chief cause why the 2% stop-loss rule should not be violated. The table below demonstrates that large losses are extremely difficult to overcome Amount of Equity Loss Amount of Return Necessary to Re-store to Original 25% 33% 50% 100% 75% 400% 90% 1000% Let’s assume you begin trading with $10,000 and loss 50% of your capital which in dollar terms is $5000. So in order to breakeven and overcome the losses you now need 100% gain of on your remaining equity. The best way to avoid this is to have proper risk management and to avoid large losses. For this reason the 2% rule hold utmost importance in trading. If you limit 2% loss per trade this means that you can sustain 10 consecutive losing streaks in a row with a total draw down of 20% of you account equity. Logic Wins, Impulse Kills Trader blew up their account more by trading impulsively than by any other mistake. If you ask a beginner trader the reason for taking a long position on a currency pair, you might hear the answer, “Because it has gone down enough – so www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 46
  • 47. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com now it’s bound to go positive.” This is an example of impulsive trading and wishful thinking; the trade decision is not based on a logical reason. Trading impulsively is merely playing the game of Russian roulette. Logical trading is extra precise than impulsive trading. Trading impulsively is simply gambling. It can be a huge rush when the trader is on a winning streak, but just one bad loss can make the trader give all of the profits and trading capital back to the market. Logical trader will know price dynamics and reversals, whereas impulsive traders are only one trade away from bankruptcy. Adding To A Loser Most of the time trader increase their risk and keep on adding to them if trade goes against them. This is a martingale technique in which traders desperately hope that a reversal will occur and their losses will convert to profit. However doing so increases the exposure while the trade goes in loss. In such scenarios a smart trader will typically close the option or let it expire and head toward next trade. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 47
  • 48. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 6. Putting It All Together www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 48
  • 49. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 6.1 Creating A Business Plan Many business fail due to their lack of planning and failure to create a business plan to follow. Creating a business plan give the trader a sense of direction that they are trying to reach. It set goals, and plan to execute. Most successful traders will agree that trading is not different than business and in order to be successful in trading you should have clear and written business plan. Following are some of the things which should be included into your business plan for trading.  What are your reasons for which you want to become a trader?  What do you hope to achieve from trading? Be specific here. If the possibility of making a lot of money has drawn you towards trading then list out how much money you want to make from trading and what you plan to do with that money if you make it.  What are the things that are going to separate you from the large majority of traders who fail?  What are your biggest weaknesses?  How do you plan to address your weaknesses and leverage your strengths?  How much time can you devote towards actively following the market?  Do you plan to day trade, swing trade, position trade or a combination of the three? Does your choice here reflect the time you have to devote to the markets?  What market or markets do you plan to trade and why?  At what times throughout the day are you going to spend actually trading, researching trades, and then learning about the market?  What are your criteria for entering a trade?  What are your criteria for exiting a trade?  What is your money management strategy?  How will you know if one of the pieces of your strategy stops working? www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 49
  • 50. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com  After identifying that one of the pieces of your strategy has stopped working what will you do to address it?  What trading software and equipment you will use to trade and how much is it?  What Broker/Brokers will you use?  Do you plan to add money to your account and if so where is that money going to come from?  If you are profitable do you plan to reinvest profits or withdraw some or all of them?  If you plan to trade full time how you will support yourself if you aren’t profitable right away.  How much money do you plan to start to trade with? Does the math work out when considering taxes, all costs, living expenses and your initial trading balance? Those who take time to think about and write down the business plan under these heading generally have a higher chance of success. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 50
  • 51. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com 6.2 Maintaining A Trading Journal There is an old saying learn from your mistakes, for traders it mean to maintain a trading journal. Successful trader looks at each experience or loss as a chance to learn and grow. Trader openness to leaning from their trades differential profitable and unprofitable trader. A trader should be willing to put effort to prepare a document for recoding his trades and from time to time review each trade. Trading journals could be used to document trades. You can simply write down details of your trades in a notebook or a word document. However using spread sheet software like (excel) provides you more flexibility and handy analysis options. Below are 10 things that in my opinion it is important to document about each trade. : 1. What were the market conditions for that day or trade? 2. Why you take the trade, entry date, Expiry and price. 3. Was the trade short terms or long term? 4. Comment on market condition from the time you entered till you close the position. 5. Money management rules that used for the trade. 6. If possible attach a chart with your analysis. 7. Address you weakness for the particular trade or day. 8. Address your strength for that day or trade. 9. You can also add additional comments which you though might be help full. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 51
  • 52. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com What’s Next For binary options trading strategies and more tutorials on binary options visit www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Join us over Twitter, Facebook and YouTube for more up-to-date learning material. www.BinaryOptionsGain.com Page 52