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As 2013 begins…



 (At Least) 5 Local
Economic Stories to
   Jump On Now
          Day One

      Marilyn Geewax
  NPR Senior Business Editor
What We Will Explore Today
•  The 2013 Economy: Another Recession
   Coming? Or A Boom?
•  What Does President Obama Want?
•  What Does the GOP-led House Want?
•  What Do Business Groups Want?
•  What Does Labor Want?
•  Tomorrow: How can you find local
   angles?
Five Years of Troubles
Job Losses – The Key Problem
Unemployment Shot Up




           http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
2008 Was A Brutal Year




       http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth
Try to Remember…
•  Think Back to January 2008.

                                 •  Did You
                                 Realize Then
                                 That The U.S.
                                 Economy Was
                                 Tanking?
You Rarely Know What’s
Happening in Such a Big Economy
The slowdown in the housing
sector “is a concern, but at this
point we don't see it as being a
broad financial concern or a major
factor in assessing the course of
the economy.”
 -- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
Speaking to the House in February
2007.
POLL QUESTION #1
Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen.



   What’s coming in 2013?

                              •    A recession
                              •    A boom
                              •    Slow growth
                              •    I don’t know.
What’s Coming in 2013?

Q. Another Recession?
 Or A Boom?

A. Most economists say
  the economy is
  growing, but at a
  sluggish pace.
Jobless Rate – The Key Number
•  7.7 percent today, which is lousy
•  But in October 2009, it was 10 percent




                         http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
12 Million Unemployed Now
   Nearly 5 million are Long-Term Unemployed
3.7 Million Job Openings
New-Home Sales Up 15% from
  the Same Time Last Year
GDP Is Rising




   http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth
POLL QUESTION #2
Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen.


   Which state has the lowest
   unemployment rate?
                              •    Oregon
                              •    North Dakota
                              •    Virginia
                              •    Nebraska
Fair To Say the Economy is Uneven,
  with Huge Regional Differences
 •  North Dakota is looking great, with 3.1
    percent unemployment.




         Oil rig in Williston, N.D., by Flickr user lindsey gee
POLL QUESTION #3
Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen.


   Which state has the highest
   unemployment rate?
                              •    California
                              •    Florida
                              •    Nevada
                              •    Arizona
Fair To Say the Economy is Uneven,
  with Huge Regional Differences

 •  North Dakota is looking great, with 3.1
    percent unemployment

 •  But in Nevada, the
 jobless rate remains
 nearly 11 percent.


                                  Photo by Flickr user Thomas Hawk
Some Economists Think 2013
Could Bring Much Better Growth

  Three reasons:
    1.  Energy Expansion
    2.  Agriculture Boom
    3.  Construction Resumption
Booming Oil Industry Struggling
      to Fill Job Openings




http://www.npr.org/2012/05/09/152366886/booming-oil-industry-struggles-to-fill-jobs
Farmers Have Been Adding Land




               Abby Fentress Swanson/Harvest Public Media
New-Home Sales Create Jobs for
Landscapers, Furniture Stores, Etc.
POLL QUESTION #4
Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen.




On a scale of 1 (Nevada – highest
employment) to 5 (North Dakota – lowest
employment)…

Where would you rank your state’s
employment?
What Does President Obama
          Want?
•    More Jobs
•    Deficit Reduction
•    Corporate-Tax Reform
•    Immigration Reform
•    More Green Energy
•    Transportation-Infrastructure Upgrades

                     http://www.whitehouse.gov/economy
American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act of 2009
What Do House Republicans Want?

 •    Lower Corporate Taxes
 •    Cut Federal Spending
 •    Expand Energy Extraction and Refining
 •    Reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac




                         http://www.speaker.gov/initiatives
GOP Has Had Few Wins Lately




              Win McNamee/Getty Images
What Does Business Want?
•  Corporate-Tax Reform
•  More Spending for Roads, Bridges, Ports
   and Airports
•  Immigration Reform
•  Better Schools and Universities
•  Tort Reform


                       http://tinyurl.com/b9ka87z
What Does Labor Want?
•  More Spending for Transportation,
   Schools and Energy Infrastructure
•  Trade-Policy Reforms
•  More Federal Aid to State and Local
   Governments to Prevent Layoffs
•  Wall Street Reforms
•  Minimum-Wage Hike

                        http://www.aflcio.org/Issues
By Tomorrow:
Email your favorite local economic stories
to Cassandra.Nicholson@businessjournalism.org.
We’ll share the links!

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Local Economic Stories to Jump on Now - Session 1 by Marilyn Geewax

  • 1. As 2013 begins… (At Least) 5 Local Economic Stories to Jump On Now Day One Marilyn Geewax NPR Senior Business Editor
  • 2. What We Will Explore Today •  The 2013 Economy: Another Recession Coming? Or A Boom? •  What Does President Obama Want? •  What Does the GOP-led House Want? •  What Do Business Groups Want? •  What Does Labor Want? •  Tomorrow: How can you find local angles?
  • 3. Five Years of Troubles
  • 4. Job Losses – The Key Problem
  • 5. Unemployment Shot Up http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
  • 6. 2008 Was A Brutal Year http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth
  • 7. Try to Remember… •  Think Back to January 2008. •  Did You Realize Then That The U.S. Economy Was Tanking?
  • 8. You Rarely Know What’s Happening in Such a Big Economy The slowdown in the housing sector “is a concern, but at this point we don't see it as being a broad financial concern or a major factor in assessing the course of the economy.” -- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Speaking to the House in February 2007.
  • 9. POLL QUESTION #1 Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen. What’s coming in 2013? •  A recession •  A boom •  Slow growth •  I don’t know.
  • 10. What’s Coming in 2013? Q. Another Recession? Or A Boom? A. Most economists say the economy is growing, but at a sluggish pace.
  • 11. Jobless Rate – The Key Number •  7.7 percent today, which is lousy •  But in October 2009, it was 10 percent http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
  • 12. 12 Million Unemployed Now Nearly 5 million are Long-Term Unemployed
  • 13. 3.7 Million Job Openings
  • 14. New-Home Sales Up 15% from the Same Time Last Year
  • 15. GDP Is Rising http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth
  • 16. POLL QUESTION #2 Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen. Which state has the lowest unemployment rate? •  Oregon •  North Dakota •  Virginia •  Nebraska
  • 17. Fair To Say the Economy is Uneven, with Huge Regional Differences •  North Dakota is looking great, with 3.1 percent unemployment. Oil rig in Williston, N.D., by Flickr user lindsey gee
  • 18. POLL QUESTION #3 Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen. Which state has the highest unemployment rate? •  California •  Florida •  Nevada •  Arizona
  • 19. Fair To Say the Economy is Uneven, with Huge Regional Differences •  North Dakota is looking great, with 3.1 percent unemployment •  But in Nevada, the jobless rate remains nearly 11 percent. Photo by Flickr user Thomas Hawk
  • 20. Some Economists Think 2013 Could Bring Much Better Growth Three reasons: 1.  Energy Expansion 2.  Agriculture Boom 3.  Construction Resumption
  • 21. Booming Oil Industry Struggling to Fill Job Openings http://www.npr.org/2012/05/09/152366886/booming-oil-industry-struggles-to-fill-jobs
  • 22. Farmers Have Been Adding Land Abby Fentress Swanson/Harvest Public Media
  • 23. New-Home Sales Create Jobs for Landscapers, Furniture Stores, Etc.
  • 24. POLL QUESTION #4 Please answer by clicking the radio button on the upcoming screen. On a scale of 1 (Nevada – highest employment) to 5 (North Dakota – lowest employment)… Where would you rank your state’s employment?
  • 25. What Does President Obama Want? •  More Jobs •  Deficit Reduction •  Corporate-Tax Reform •  Immigration Reform •  More Green Energy •  Transportation-Infrastructure Upgrades http://www.whitehouse.gov/economy
  • 27. What Do House Republicans Want? •  Lower Corporate Taxes •  Cut Federal Spending •  Expand Energy Extraction and Refining •  Reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac http://www.speaker.gov/initiatives
  • 28. GOP Has Had Few Wins Lately Win McNamee/Getty Images
  • 29. What Does Business Want? •  Corporate-Tax Reform •  More Spending for Roads, Bridges, Ports and Airports •  Immigration Reform •  Better Schools and Universities •  Tort Reform http://tinyurl.com/b9ka87z
  • 30. What Does Labor Want? •  More Spending for Transportation, Schools and Energy Infrastructure •  Trade-Policy Reforms •  More Federal Aid to State and Local Governments to Prevent Layoffs •  Wall Street Reforms •  Minimum-Wage Hike http://www.aflcio.org/Issues
  • 31.
  • 32. By Tomorrow: Email your favorite local economic stories to Cassandra.Nicholson@businessjournalism.org. We’ll share the links!