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Perspectives on the
Energy Industry
2016 – Looking Forward
March 2016
Robert A. Dye Ph.D.
Chief Economist, Comerica Bank
March 2016
The Comerica U.S. Economic Outlook
2016: U.S. Households Versus the World
Increasing confidenceLow inflation
3
Reduced domestic energy exploration
China
Europe
Global Capacity Overhang
Interest rates
Emerging markets
Strong dollar
BREXIT
Job growth
Low energy prices
Increasing house prices
Homeowner equity
Wage gains
Financial market volatility
U.S. Household Spending
Positives and Negatives for U.S. Households
Mostly Global
Mostly U.S.
4
Households Are In a Different Place, Part I
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
14.5
15.0
15.5
16.0
16.5
17.0
17.5
18.0
18.5
'90 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15
Household Savingsand Debt
Personal Savings Rate, percent, (R)
Household Financial Obligations Ratio, percent (L)
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve
5
Households Are In a Different Place, Part II
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
10,000,000
11,000,000
12,000,000
13,000,000
14,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
80,000,000
90,000,000
'90 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15
Homeowner Equity and Net Worth
Homeowner equity, $ mil, (R)
Household net worth
$ mil (L)
Source: Federal Reserve
6
Unemployment Rate Declines, But at a Slower Rate in 2016
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
'07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16
+242k in February, U. Rate 4.9 Percent
Forecast
Payroll Employment, avg monthly diff, ths (L)
Unemployment Rate,
percent (R)
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Comerica Bank
7
Interest Rate Outlook Clouded by Fed Uncertainty
0
1
2
3
4
5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Yield, percent
Fed Funds
10-Year Treasury Bonds
Sources: Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank
8
GDP Forecast, Ongoing Moderate Expansion
(9)
(7)
(5)
(3)
(1)
1
3
5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
U.S. Real GDP Growth,annualizedrate
History Forecast
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Comerica Bank
Robert A. Dye
Subscribe
www.comerica.com/economics
Follow on Twitter
@Comerica_Econ
Disclosures, page
Macro Thoughts….or Why Oil Prices
Recover Sooner
11  March 2016
Dave Pursell
dpursell@tphco.com
 Regulatory vs. Legislative – no change
□ Congress – Will not pass anything meaningful in the near term
□ Executive Branch - Will push initiatives via increased regulation
 Oil exports a win – but no significant impact in the near term.
11
Washington Issues - Now
 Impossible to forecast!
12
Washington Issues – 2017+
13
Global Demand is Weak?
0
3
6
9
Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18
USOilProduction,millionbarrelsperday
Onshore
65kbopd monthly
decline
Global Demand is Weak?
14
Source: IEA, TPH Research
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014
Nope!
15
Why Is Shale Production So Resilient?
0
3
6
9
Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18
USOilProduction,millionbarrelsperday
Onshore
65kbopd monthly
decline
16
Why Is Shale Production So Resilient?
0
3
6
9
Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18
USOilProduction,millionbarrelsperday
Onshore
65kbopd monthly
decline
17
OPEC: Wildcard
Sources: IEA, TPH Research
10
12
14
16
18
20
Jan-08 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18
Production,millionbarrelsperday
Saudi Arabia
Iran
Iraq
Libya
Rest of OPEC
1.5% annual decline
~200kbpd decline in 2016
Further, OPEC growth will come from Saudi, Iran, Iraq, Libya, as
second tier OPEC is in decline
Iran: 1mmbpd of Excess Capacity?
18
Source: IEA, TPH Research
1
2
3
4
5
Jan-08 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18
Millionbarrelsperday
500 kbopd Increase
Sanctions
Post-sanctions, Iran should produce 3.3mmbpd…500kbpd higher than
current. But expect Iraq production to decline 200kbpd (leakage).
19
$80/bbl Oil – It Is Possible!
Texas A&M uses furious
comeback to down Northern
Iowa, 92-88
20
Analyst Certification:
I, Dave Pursell, do hereby certify that, to the best of my knowledge, the views and opinions in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the company and its securities. I have not nor will I
receive direct or indirect compensation in return for expressing specific recommendations or viewpoints in this report.
Important Disclosures:
The analysts above (or members of their household) do not own any securities mentioned in this report. John E. Lowe, Senior Executive Advisor at Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co., serves as a member of the board of
directors of Phillips 66, Agrium Inc., and Apache Corp.
For detailed rating information, distribution of ratings, price charts and disclosures regarding compensation policy and investment banking revenue, please visit our website at http://www.TPHco.com/disclosure or
request a written copy of the disclosures by calling 713-333-2960 (United States).
OTHER DISCLOSURES
Trade Name
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. is the global brand name for Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. (TPHCSI) and its non-US affiliates worldwide including Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP.
Legal Entities Disclosures
U.S.: TPHCSI is a member of FINRA and SIPC. U.K.: Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. OC349535.
Registered Office is 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE.
Canada
The information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to sell securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to
buy securities described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a
prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein is under no circumstances
to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein references securities of an issuer
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similar regulatory authority has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the securities described herein and any representation to the contrary
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United Kingdom
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP does not provide accounting, tax or legal advice. In addition, we mutually agree that, subject to applicable law, you (and your employees, representatives and other
agents) may disclose any aspects of any potential transaction or structure described herein that are necessary to support any UK income tax benefits, and all materials of any kind (including tax opinions and other
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The information contained herein is confidential (except for information relating to tax issues) and may not be reproduced in whole or in part. Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP assumes no responsibility
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future financial performance (including estimates of potential cost savings and synergies) prepared by, reviewed or discussed with the managements of your company and/ or other potential transaction participants
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managements (or, with respect to estimates and forecasts obtained from public sources, represent reasonable estimates). These materials were designed for use by specific persons familiar with the business and
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This information is intended only for the use of professional clients and eligible counterparties or persons who would fall into these categories if they were clients of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, or
any of its affiliates. Retail clients must not rely on this document and should note that the services of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, are not available to them.
Under no circumstances is this presentation to be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy, any security. Prior to making any trade, you should discuss with your professional tax,
accounting, or regulatory advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. This brief statement does not disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of entering into any particular transaction.
Notice to UK Investors: This publication is produced by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. which is regulated in the United States by FINRA. It is to be communicated only to persons of a kind described in
Articles 19 and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005. It must not be further transmitted to any other person without our consent. Any other person should not rely on
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companies or unincorporated associations with net assets or called-up share capital of £5 million or subsidiary companies of the same that have net assets or called-up share capital of £500,000.
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales (registered number OC349535). Its registered office is 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A
3AE. Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP (TPH International) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, and is a separate but affiliated entity of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
Securities, Inc. (TPH Securities). TPH Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. Unless governing law permits otherwise, you must contact the Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. entity in your home jurisdiction if you
want to use our services in effecting a transaction.
See http://www.TPHco.com/disclosure for further information on regulatory disclosures including disclosures relating to potential conflicts of interest.
Copyright 2015, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. This information is confidential and is intended only for the individual named. This information may not be disclosed, copied or disseminated, in whole or in part, without
the prior written permission of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. This communication is based on information which Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. believes is reliable. However, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. does not
represent or warrant its accuracy. The viewpoints and opinions expressed in this communication represent the views of TPH as of the date of this report. These viewpoints and opinions may be subject to change
without notice and TPH will not be responsible for any consequences associated with reliance on any statement or opinion contained in this communication. The viewpoints and opinions herein do not take into
consideration individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies to particular clients. Past performance is not
indicative of future results. This message should not be considered as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Institutional Communication Only. Under FINRA Rule 2210, this communication is deemed
institutional sales material and it is not meant for distribution to retail investors. Recipients should not forward this communication to a retail investor.
**Office of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP. Employed by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP in the United Kingdom and is not registered/qualified with FINRA and is not an
associated person of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc.
Anish Kapadia, Shola Labinjo, and David Gamboa are employed by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP in the United Kingdom and are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA. Mr.
Kapadia, Mr. Labinjo, and Mr. Gamboa are not associated persons of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. and as such are not subject to NASD Rule 2711 restrictions on communications with subject
companies, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
RESEARCH
Oil Service / E&C
Jeff Tillery
713-333-2964
jtillery@TPHco.com
Byron Pope
713-333-7690
bpope@TPHco.com
George O’Leary
713-333-2973
goleary@TPHco.com
Taylor Zurcher
713-333-2974
tzurcher@TPHco.com
Shola Labinjo**
+44 20 3008 6437
slabinjo@TPHco.com
Integrated Oils
Dave Pursell
713-333-2962
dpursell@TPHco.com
Anish Kapadia**
+44 20 3008 6433
akapadia@TPHco.com
David Gamboa**
+44 20 3427 5896
davidgamboa@TPHco.com
Refiners
Chi Chow
303-300-1914
cchow@TPHco.com
Matthew Blair, CFA
303-300-1916
mblair@TPHco.com
TRADINGSALES
Houston
Clay Coneley
713-333-2979
cconeley@TPHco.com
Mike Bradley
713-333-2968
mbradley@TPHco.com
Rusty D’Anna
713-333-2982
rdanna@TPHco.com
Mike Davis
713-333-2971
mdavis@TPHco.com
Oliver Doolin
713-333-2989
odoolin@TPHco.com
John Hurd
713-333-2951
jhurd@TPHco.com
Aly McCaffrey
713-333-2983
amccaffrey@TPHco.com
Houston - (800) 507-2400
Scott McGarvey
smcgarvey@TPHco.com
Seth Williams
swilliams@TPHco.com
Ally Wickman
awickman@TPHco.com
New York - (800) 507-2400
Todd Wood
twood@TPHco.com
London
Harry Grist**
hgrist@TPHco.com
+44 20 3427 5832
Richard Heggs**
rheggs@TPHco.com
+44 20 3427 5833
Denver
Win Oberlin
303-300-1919
woberlin@TPHco.com
New York
Craig Webster
212-610-1652
cwebster@TPHco.com
James Fitzgerald
212-610-1653
jfitzgerald@TPHco.com
London
Jonathan Wright**
+44 20 3008 6436
jwright@TPHco.com
Macro
Dave Pursell
713-333-2962
dpursell@TPHco.com
Brandon Blossman
713-333-2994
bblossman@TPHco.com
Midstream
Jeff Schmidt
713-333-3925
jschmidt@TPHco.com
Colton Bean
713-333-2966
cbean@TPHco.com
Coal
Brandon Blossman
713-333-2994
bblossman@TPHco.com
Utilities / Power
Neel Mitra
713-333-3896
nmitra@TPHco.com
Ryan Caylor
713-333-7694
rcaylor@TPHco.com
E&P
Matt Portillo
713-333-2995
mportillo@TPHco.com
Michael Rowe
713-333-3983
mrowe@TPHco.com
Jeoffrey Lambujon
713-337-7549
jlambujon@TPHco.com
Jamaal Dardar
713-333-3926
jdardar@TPHco.com
Oliver Huang
713-333-3929
ohuang@TPHco.com
Sameer Panjwani
713-333-2996
spanjwani@TPHco.com
E&P International
Anish Kapadia**
+44 20 3008 6433
akapadia@TPHco.com
Shola Labinjo**
+44 20 3008 6437
slabinjo@TPHco.com
David Gamboa**
+44 20 3427 5896
davidgamboa@TPHco.com
March 24, 2016
BOYARMILLER BREAKFAST FORUM
MATT PILON, MANAGING DIRECTOR
SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY 23
U.S. Land Rig Count Back To 80s Levels (1880s!)
¹ Source: Baker Hughes for historical and Simmons Research for projected rig counts.
Current data and projections as of March 18, 2016.
² Source: Capital IQ. As of March 22, 2016.
(Average Number Of Rigs) (Dollars/Barrel)
08 – 09 Peak-To-Trough: (54%)
08 – 09 Year-Over-Year: (43%)
14 – 16P Peak-To-Trough: (77%)
14 – 16P Year-Over-Year: (72%)
Historical And Projected Quarterly Onshore U.S. Rig Count¹
876 833 728
517 422 441 490
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- - -
-
- - - -
-
- - - - - -
- - -
54 59 235 564 775 840 856
1,712
1,797
1,910
1,816
1,244
876
944
1,079
1,308
1,474
1,6081,6671,695
1,803
1,9151,9721,9471,924
1,855
1,7591,7061,7101,7091,6971,724
1,7961,8421,856
1,352
930 892
963
1,081
1,197
1,280
1,345
-$10
$10
$30
$50
$70
$90
$110
$130
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Q1
08
Q2
08
Q3
08
Q4
08
Q1
09
Q2
09
Q3
09
Q4
09
Q1
10
Q2
10
Q3
10
Q4
10
Q1
11
Q2
11
Q3
11
Q4
11
Q1
12
Q2
12
Q3
12
Q4
12
Q1
13
Q2
13
Q3
13
Q4
13
Q1
14
Q2
14
Q3
14
Q4
14
Q1
15
Q2
15
Q3
15
Q4
15
Q1
16P
Q2
16P
Q3
16P
Q4
16P
Historical Projections As Of March 2016 WTI Crude Oil Price²Projections As Of March 2015
24SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Newbuild Delivery
Massive Excess Capacity Across OFS Sectors
¹ Picture source: Houston Chronicle.
² Source: PumpingIQ. As of November 20, 2015.
³ Source: ODS Petrodata for historical data and newbuild statistics. Simmons Research for projected active rig count. Projected
supply based on current supply plus expected newbuild delivery.
U.S. Pressure Pumping² Global Offshore Drilling³
(Number Of Rigs) (Utilization)
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
0
5
10
15
20
25
(Millions HHP) (Utilization)
U.S. Onshore Drilling¹ Current onshore U.S. pad drilling rig utilization
is < 50% (total ~1,000
drilling rigs).
 > 80% of ~180 total newbuild offshore rigs
through 2020 are currently uncontracted.
 Hydraulic fracturing demand has declined by
~47% from end of 2014.
SupplyActive UtilizationSupplyActive Utilization Additions
25SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY
Energy Services And Equipment M&A Activity
¹ Source: Simmons & Company. As of March 15, 2016.
(Number Of Transactions)
Global Quarterly Energy Services And Equipment M&A Transactions: 2009 – QTD 2016¹
29
40
45 43
31
35 36
48
53
69
88
63 62
56
64
91
59
87
72
90
102
84
92
77
65
59 57
37
33
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1
09
Q2
09
Q3
09
Q4
09
Q1
10
Q2
10
Q3
10
Q4
10
Q1
11
Q2
11
Q3
11
Q4
11
Q1
12
Q2
12
Q3
12
Q4
12
Q1
13
Q2
13
Q3
13
Q4
13
Q1
14
Q2
14
Q3
14
Q4
14
Q1
15
Q2
15
Q3
15
Q4
15
QTD
16
26SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY
Recent Energy Services And Equipment Transactions
By Target GeographyBy Target Sector
¹ Source: Simmons.
Consulting/
Engineering/
Data/Software
69
Drilling &
Production Well
Services
46
Equipment
Manufacturing
43
Environmental
Services
16
Pipeline Related
16
Other
13
21%
34%
23%
8%
8%
6%
Total Transactions: 203
2015 Through March 15, 2016 Global M&A Transactions¹
U.S.
123
Europe
44
Canada
14
Asia (Excluding
China)
14
Other
8
61%
22%
7%
7%
4%
27SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY
Recent U.S. Energy Services And Equipment
Transactions
¹ Source: Simmons.
Total Transactions: 123
2015 Through March 15, 2016 U.S. M&A Transactions By Target Sector¹
 ~64%
commoditized
services
 ~70% of
commoditized are
above-ground
services
 Niche services
primarily
downhole-oriented
 ~70% upstream
equipment
 Upstream focus
on production and
intervention
 Downstream
primarily highly-
engineered
products
Consulting/
Engineering/
Data/Software
39
Drilling &
Production Well
Services
25
Equipment
Manufacturing
26
Environmental
Services
12
Pipeline Related
11
Other
10
21%
32%
20%
10%
9%
8%
28SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY
Characteristics Of Recent Transactions
 All-stock merger enables
Archer to retain upside
potential and Quintana
to conserve cash.
 Quintana gains scale and
operating synergies.
 Enables focus on core
operations for Archer.
 Cimation provides
consulting services for
automation.
 Fits with Accenture’s
expansion into asset
management.
 Strategic acquisition
rationale bridges
potential gap in value
expectations.
 PDi provides oilfield
engineering and project
management services.
 Enables Tattva’s strategic
entry into upstream oil
and gas.
 Provides liquidity to
CEONA, which is under
administration.
has acquired the
North American well
Service entities of
December 2015
an affiliate of
has been acquired by
December 2015
has sold its subsidiary
to
January 2016
29SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY
(Dollar amounts in billions)
Energy Services And Equipment Capital Markets Activity
U.S. Quarterly OFS Corporate Bond And Equity Issuances: 2009 – QTD 2016
$3.1
$1.4
$2.0
$0.7
$4.2
$1.1
$1.5
$0.5
$0.9
$4.0
$1.5
$2.0 $2.1
$4.5
$0.8
$0.4
$4.6
$2.2
$1.4
$1.9
$1.2
$1.7
$0.4 $0.5
$0.9
$0.3
$0.7
$0.4
$0.9
$0.2
$0.1
$0.2
$0.3
$0.7
$1.3
$0.9
$1.3
$0.6
$1.1
$0.3
$0.8
$1.4
$0.2
$0.6
$1.0
$0.8
$0.3
$0.8
$3.3
$2.1
$2.4
$1.6
$0.1
$0.2
$4.4
$1.1
$1.7
$0.8
$1.5
$5.2
$2.4
$3.3
$2.1
$5.0
$1.9
$0.7
$5.4
$3.6
$1.6
$2.4
$2.2
$2.4
$0.4
$0.8 $0.9
$0.3
$0.8
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
Q1
09
Q2
09
Q3
09
Q4
09
Q1
10
Q2
10
Q3
10
Q4
10
Q1
12
Q2
12
Q3
12
Q4
12
Q1
12
Q2
12
Q3
12
Q4
12
Q1
13
Q2
13
Q3
13
Q4
13
Q1
14
Q2
14
Q3
14
Q4
14
Q1
15
Q2
15
Q3
15
Q4
15
QTD
16
Corporate Bond Proceeds
Equity Proceeds
30SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY
 First OFS equity issuance in 2016.
 Significant dilution to existing
shareholders.
 Driven by fear; seen as insurance
against potential further decline in
OFS activity.
 Positive market response.
Case Study – Weatherford Equity Offering
¹ Source: Bloomberg.
0
20
40
60
80
100
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120 WFT Volume
WFT
SLB
HAL
OSX
Offering of 100
million ordinary
shares
announced
(Price Indexed To 100) (Volume (Millions))
Weatherford Share Price Performance¹
Dubai
Al Fattan Currency House, Tower 2, Level 7
Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC)
PO Box 506785
Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Phone: +97-1431-999-44
Fax: +97-1431-999-45
London
6 Arlington Street
London SW1A 1RE
United Kingdom
Phone: +44 (0) 207-053-1000
Fax: +44 (0) 207-053-025
Aberdeen
Simmons House
22 Waverley Place
Aberdeen AB10 1XP Scotland
Phone: +44 (0) 1224-202-300
Fax: +44 (0) 1224-202-303
Houston
700 Louisiana, Suite 1900
Houston, Texas 77002
Corporate Finance: (713) 236-9999
Securities: (713) 223-7840
Fax: (713) 223-7800
Piper Jaffray Companies (NYSE: PJC) is a leading investment bank and asset management firm. Securities brokerage and investment banking services are
offered in the United States through Piper Jaffray & Co., member SIPC and FINRA; in Europe through two separate U.K.-based broker/dealers - Piper
Jaffray Ltd., authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and Simmons & Company International Limited, authorized and regulated by
the Financial Conduct Authority and the Dubai Financial Services Authority as a representative office; and in Hong Kong through Piper Jaffray Hong Kong,
registered with the Securities and Futures Commission. Asset management products and services are offered through four separate investment
advisory affiliates―three registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (Advisory Research, Inc.; Piper Jaffray Investment Management
LLC; and PJC Capital Partners LLC), and one international asset management firm registered with the Guernsey Financial Services Commission (Parallel
General Partner Limited).
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BoyarMiller Breakfast Forum: The Energy Industry 2016 – Looking Forward

  • 1. Perspectives on the Energy Industry 2016 – Looking Forward March 2016
  • 2. Robert A. Dye Ph.D. Chief Economist, Comerica Bank March 2016 The Comerica U.S. Economic Outlook 2016: U.S. Households Versus the World
  • 3. Increasing confidenceLow inflation 3 Reduced domestic energy exploration China Europe Global Capacity Overhang Interest rates Emerging markets Strong dollar BREXIT Job growth Low energy prices Increasing house prices Homeowner equity Wage gains Financial market volatility U.S. Household Spending Positives and Negatives for U.S. Households Mostly Global Mostly U.S.
  • 4. 4 Households Are In a Different Place, Part I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 14.5 15.0 15.5 16.0 16.5 17.0 17.5 18.0 18.5 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15 Household Savingsand Debt Personal Savings Rate, percent, (R) Household Financial Obligations Ratio, percent (L) Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve
  • 5. 5 Households Are In a Different Place, Part II 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 8,000,000 9,000,000 10,000,000 11,000,000 12,000,000 13,000,000 14,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 60,000,000 70,000,000 80,000,000 90,000,000 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15 Homeowner Equity and Net Worth Homeowner equity, $ mil, (R) Household net worth $ mil (L) Source: Federal Reserve
  • 6. 6 Unemployment Rate Declines, But at a Slower Rate in 2016 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 -800 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 +242k in February, U. Rate 4.9 Percent Forecast Payroll Employment, avg monthly diff, ths (L) Unemployment Rate, percent (R) Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Comerica Bank
  • 7. 7 Interest Rate Outlook Clouded by Fed Uncertainty 0 1 2 3 4 5 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Yield, percent Fed Funds 10-Year Treasury Bonds Sources: Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank
  • 8. 8 GDP Forecast, Ongoing Moderate Expansion (9) (7) (5) (3) (1) 1 3 5 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 U.S. Real GDP Growth,annualizedrate History Forecast Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Comerica Bank
  • 10. Disclosures, page Macro Thoughts….or Why Oil Prices Recover Sooner 11  March 2016 Dave Pursell dpursell@tphco.com
  • 11.  Regulatory vs. Legislative – no change □ Congress – Will not pass anything meaningful in the near term □ Executive Branch - Will push initiatives via increased regulation  Oil exports a win – but no significant impact in the near term. 11 Washington Issues - Now
  • 12.  Impossible to forecast! 12 Washington Issues – 2017+
  • 13. 13 Global Demand is Weak? 0 3 6 9 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18 USOilProduction,millionbarrelsperday Onshore 65kbopd monthly decline
  • 14. Global Demand is Weak? 14 Source: IEA, TPH Research -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 Nope!
  • 15. 15 Why Is Shale Production So Resilient? 0 3 6 9 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18 USOilProduction,millionbarrelsperday Onshore 65kbopd monthly decline
  • 16. 16 Why Is Shale Production So Resilient? 0 3 6 9 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18 USOilProduction,millionbarrelsperday Onshore 65kbopd monthly decline
  • 17. 17 OPEC: Wildcard Sources: IEA, TPH Research 10 12 14 16 18 20 Jan-08 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18 Production,millionbarrelsperday Saudi Arabia Iran Iraq Libya Rest of OPEC 1.5% annual decline ~200kbpd decline in 2016 Further, OPEC growth will come from Saudi, Iran, Iraq, Libya, as second tier OPEC is in decline
  • 18. Iran: 1mmbpd of Excess Capacity? 18 Source: IEA, TPH Research 1 2 3 4 5 Jan-08 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18 Millionbarrelsperday 500 kbopd Increase Sanctions Post-sanctions, Iran should produce 3.3mmbpd…500kbpd higher than current. But expect Iraq production to decline 200kbpd (leakage).
  • 19. 19 $80/bbl Oil – It Is Possible! Texas A&M uses furious comeback to down Northern Iowa, 92-88
  • 20. 20 Analyst Certification: I, Dave Pursell, do hereby certify that, to the best of my knowledge, the views and opinions in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the company and its securities. I have not nor will I receive direct or indirect compensation in return for expressing specific recommendations or viewpoints in this report. Important Disclosures: The analysts above (or members of their household) do not own any securities mentioned in this report. John E. Lowe, Senior Executive Advisor at Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co., serves as a member of the board of directors of Phillips 66, Agrium Inc., and Apache Corp. For detailed rating information, distribution of ratings, price charts and disclosures regarding compensation policy and investment banking revenue, please visit our website at http://www.TPHco.com/disclosure or request a written copy of the disclosures by calling 713-333-2960 (United States). OTHER DISCLOSURES Trade Name Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. is the global brand name for Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. (TPHCSI) and its non-US affiliates worldwide including Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP. Legal Entities Disclosures U.S.: TPHCSI is a member of FINRA and SIPC. U.K.: Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. OC349535. Registered Office is 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE. Canada The information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to sell securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein is under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein references securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the laws of Canada or a province or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must be conducted through a dealer registered in Canada. No securities commission or similar regulatory authority has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the securities described herein and any representation to the contrary is an offense. United Kingdom Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP does not provide accounting, tax or legal advice. In addition, we mutually agree that, subject to applicable law, you (and your employees, representatives and other agents) may disclose any aspects of any potential transaction or structure described herein that are necessary to support any UK income tax benefits, and all materials of any kind (including tax opinions and other tax analyses) related to those benefits, with no limitations imposed by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP or its affiliates. The information contained herein is confidential (except for information relating to tax issues) and may not be reproduced in whole or in part. Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP assumes no responsibility for independent verification of third-party information and has relied on such information being complete and accurate in all material respects. To the extent such information includes estimates and forecasts of future financial performance (including estimates of potential cost savings and synergies) prepared by, reviewed or discussed with the managements of your company and/ or other potential transaction participants or obtained from public sources, we have assumed that such estimates and forecasts have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of such managements (or, with respect to estimates and forecasts obtained from public sources, represent reasonable estimates). These materials were designed for use by specific persons familiar with the business and the affairs of your company and Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP materials. This information is intended only for the use of professional clients and eligible counterparties or persons who would fall into these categories if they were clients of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, or any of its affiliates. Retail clients must not rely on this document and should note that the services of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, are not available to them. Under no circumstances is this presentation to be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy, any security. Prior to making any trade, you should discuss with your professional tax, accounting, or regulatory advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. This brief statement does not disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of entering into any particular transaction. Notice to UK Investors: This publication is produced by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. which is regulated in the United States by FINRA. It is to be communicated only to persons of a kind described in Articles 19 and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005. It must not be further transmitted to any other person without our consent. Any other person should not rely on or act upon the content of this publication. Persons falling within Article 19 include authorised or exempt investment firms, UK or overseas governments, UK or overseas local authorities or international organisations. Person falling within Article 49 include companies or unincorporated associations with net assets or called-up share capital of £5 million or subsidiary companies of the same that have net assets or called-up share capital of £500,000. Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales (registered number OC349535). Its registered office is 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE. Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP (TPH International) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, and is a separate but affiliated entity of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. (TPH Securities). TPH Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. Unless governing law permits otherwise, you must contact the Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. entity in your home jurisdiction if you want to use our services in effecting a transaction. See http://www.TPHco.com/disclosure for further information on regulatory disclosures including disclosures relating to potential conflicts of interest. Copyright 2015, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. This information is confidential and is intended only for the individual named. This information may not be disclosed, copied or disseminated, in whole or in part, without the prior written permission of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. This communication is based on information which Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. believes is reliable. However, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. does not represent or warrant its accuracy. The viewpoints and opinions expressed in this communication represent the views of TPH as of the date of this report. These viewpoints and opinions may be subject to change without notice and TPH will not be responsible for any consequences associated with reliance on any statement or opinion contained in this communication. The viewpoints and opinions herein do not take into consideration individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies to particular clients. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This message should not be considered as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Institutional Communication Only. Under FINRA Rule 2210, this communication is deemed institutional sales material and it is not meant for distribution to retail investors. Recipients should not forward this communication to a retail investor.
  • 21. **Office of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP. Employed by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP in the United Kingdom and is not registered/qualified with FINRA and is not an associated person of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. Anish Kapadia, Shola Labinjo, and David Gamboa are employed by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP in the United Kingdom and are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA. Mr. Kapadia, Mr. Labinjo, and Mr. Gamboa are not associated persons of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. and as such are not subject to NASD Rule 2711 restrictions on communications with subject companies, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account. RESEARCH Oil Service / E&C Jeff Tillery 713-333-2964 jtillery@TPHco.com Byron Pope 713-333-7690 bpope@TPHco.com George O’Leary 713-333-2973 goleary@TPHco.com Taylor Zurcher 713-333-2974 tzurcher@TPHco.com Shola Labinjo** +44 20 3008 6437 slabinjo@TPHco.com Integrated Oils Dave Pursell 713-333-2962 dpursell@TPHco.com Anish Kapadia** +44 20 3008 6433 akapadia@TPHco.com David Gamboa** +44 20 3427 5896 davidgamboa@TPHco.com Refiners Chi Chow 303-300-1914 cchow@TPHco.com Matthew Blair, CFA 303-300-1916 mblair@TPHco.com TRADINGSALES Houston Clay Coneley 713-333-2979 cconeley@TPHco.com Mike Bradley 713-333-2968 mbradley@TPHco.com Rusty D’Anna 713-333-2982 rdanna@TPHco.com Mike Davis 713-333-2971 mdavis@TPHco.com Oliver Doolin 713-333-2989 odoolin@TPHco.com John Hurd 713-333-2951 jhurd@TPHco.com Aly McCaffrey 713-333-2983 amccaffrey@TPHco.com Houston - (800) 507-2400 Scott McGarvey smcgarvey@TPHco.com Seth Williams swilliams@TPHco.com Ally Wickman awickman@TPHco.com New York - (800) 507-2400 Todd Wood twood@TPHco.com London Harry Grist** hgrist@TPHco.com +44 20 3427 5832 Richard Heggs** rheggs@TPHco.com +44 20 3427 5833 Denver Win Oberlin 303-300-1919 woberlin@TPHco.com New York Craig Webster 212-610-1652 cwebster@TPHco.com James Fitzgerald 212-610-1653 jfitzgerald@TPHco.com London Jonathan Wright** +44 20 3008 6436 jwright@TPHco.com Macro Dave Pursell 713-333-2962 dpursell@TPHco.com Brandon Blossman 713-333-2994 bblossman@TPHco.com Midstream Jeff Schmidt 713-333-3925 jschmidt@TPHco.com Colton Bean 713-333-2966 cbean@TPHco.com Coal Brandon Blossman 713-333-2994 bblossman@TPHco.com Utilities / Power Neel Mitra 713-333-3896 nmitra@TPHco.com Ryan Caylor 713-333-7694 rcaylor@TPHco.com E&P Matt Portillo 713-333-2995 mportillo@TPHco.com Michael Rowe 713-333-3983 mrowe@TPHco.com Jeoffrey Lambujon 713-337-7549 jlambujon@TPHco.com Jamaal Dardar 713-333-3926 jdardar@TPHco.com Oliver Huang 713-333-3929 ohuang@TPHco.com Sameer Panjwani 713-333-2996 spanjwani@TPHco.com E&P International Anish Kapadia** +44 20 3008 6433 akapadia@TPHco.com Shola Labinjo** +44 20 3008 6437 slabinjo@TPHco.com David Gamboa** +44 20 3427 5896 davidgamboa@TPHco.com
  • 22. March 24, 2016 BOYARMILLER BREAKFAST FORUM MATT PILON, MANAGING DIRECTOR
  • 23. SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY 23 U.S. Land Rig Count Back To 80s Levels (1880s!) ¹ Source: Baker Hughes for historical and Simmons Research for projected rig counts. Current data and projections as of March 18, 2016. ² Source: Capital IQ. As of March 22, 2016. (Average Number Of Rigs) (Dollars/Barrel) 08 – 09 Peak-To-Trough: (54%) 08 – 09 Year-Over-Year: (43%) 14 – 16P Peak-To-Trough: (77%) 14 – 16P Year-Over-Year: (72%) Historical And Projected Quarterly Onshore U.S. Rig Count¹ 876 833 728 517 422 441 490 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 54 59 235 564 775 840 856 1,712 1,797 1,910 1,816 1,244 876 944 1,079 1,308 1,474 1,6081,6671,695 1,803 1,9151,9721,9471,924 1,855 1,7591,7061,7101,7091,6971,724 1,7961,8421,856 1,352 930 892 963 1,081 1,197 1,280 1,345 -$10 $10 $30 $50 $70 $90 $110 $130 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16P Q2 16P Q3 16P Q4 16P Historical Projections As Of March 2016 WTI Crude Oil Price²Projections As Of March 2015
  • 24. 24SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Newbuild Delivery Massive Excess Capacity Across OFS Sectors ¹ Picture source: Houston Chronicle. ² Source: PumpingIQ. As of November 20, 2015. ³ Source: ODS Petrodata for historical data and newbuild statistics. Simmons Research for projected active rig count. Projected supply based on current supply plus expected newbuild delivery. U.S. Pressure Pumping² Global Offshore Drilling³ (Number Of Rigs) (Utilization) 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0 5 10 15 20 25 (Millions HHP) (Utilization) U.S. Onshore Drilling¹ Current onshore U.S. pad drilling rig utilization is < 50% (total ~1,000 drilling rigs).  > 80% of ~180 total newbuild offshore rigs through 2020 are currently uncontracted.  Hydraulic fracturing demand has declined by ~47% from end of 2014. SupplyActive UtilizationSupplyActive Utilization Additions
  • 25. 25SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY Energy Services And Equipment M&A Activity ¹ Source: Simmons & Company. As of March 15, 2016. (Number Of Transactions) Global Quarterly Energy Services And Equipment M&A Transactions: 2009 – QTD 2016¹ 29 40 45 43 31 35 36 48 53 69 88 63 62 56 64 91 59 87 72 90 102 84 92 77 65 59 57 37 33 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 QTD 16
  • 26. 26SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY Recent Energy Services And Equipment Transactions By Target GeographyBy Target Sector ¹ Source: Simmons. Consulting/ Engineering/ Data/Software 69 Drilling & Production Well Services 46 Equipment Manufacturing 43 Environmental Services 16 Pipeline Related 16 Other 13 21% 34% 23% 8% 8% 6% Total Transactions: 203 2015 Through March 15, 2016 Global M&A Transactions¹ U.S. 123 Europe 44 Canada 14 Asia (Excluding China) 14 Other 8 61% 22% 7% 7% 4%
  • 27. 27SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY Recent U.S. Energy Services And Equipment Transactions ¹ Source: Simmons. Total Transactions: 123 2015 Through March 15, 2016 U.S. M&A Transactions By Target Sector¹  ~64% commoditized services  ~70% of commoditized are above-ground services  Niche services primarily downhole-oriented  ~70% upstream equipment  Upstream focus on production and intervention  Downstream primarily highly- engineered products Consulting/ Engineering/ Data/Software 39 Drilling & Production Well Services 25 Equipment Manufacturing 26 Environmental Services 12 Pipeline Related 11 Other 10 21% 32% 20% 10% 9% 8%
  • 28. 28SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY Characteristics Of Recent Transactions  All-stock merger enables Archer to retain upside potential and Quintana to conserve cash.  Quintana gains scale and operating synergies.  Enables focus on core operations for Archer.  Cimation provides consulting services for automation.  Fits with Accenture’s expansion into asset management.  Strategic acquisition rationale bridges potential gap in value expectations.  PDi provides oilfield engineering and project management services.  Enables Tattva’s strategic entry into upstream oil and gas.  Provides liquidity to CEONA, which is under administration. has acquired the North American well Service entities of December 2015 an affiliate of has been acquired by December 2015 has sold its subsidiary to January 2016
  • 29. 29SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY (Dollar amounts in billions) Energy Services And Equipment Capital Markets Activity U.S. Quarterly OFS Corporate Bond And Equity Issuances: 2009 – QTD 2016 $3.1 $1.4 $2.0 $0.7 $4.2 $1.1 $1.5 $0.5 $0.9 $4.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.1 $4.5 $0.8 $0.4 $4.6 $2.2 $1.4 $1.9 $1.2 $1.7 $0.4 $0.5 $0.9 $0.3 $0.7 $0.4 $0.9 $0.2 $0.1 $0.2 $0.3 $0.7 $1.3 $0.9 $1.3 $0.6 $1.1 $0.3 $0.8 $1.4 $0.2 $0.6 $1.0 $0.8 $0.3 $0.8 $3.3 $2.1 $2.4 $1.6 $0.1 $0.2 $4.4 $1.1 $1.7 $0.8 $1.5 $5.2 $2.4 $3.3 $2.1 $5.0 $1.9 $0.7 $5.4 $3.6 $1.6 $2.4 $2.2 $2.4 $0.4 $0.8 $0.9 $0.3 $0.8 $0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 QTD 16 Corporate Bond Proceeds Equity Proceeds
  • 30. 30SIMMONS&COMPANYINTERNATIONAL ENERGYSPECIALISTSOFPIPERJAFFRAY  First OFS equity issuance in 2016.  Significant dilution to existing shareholders.  Driven by fear; seen as insurance against potential further decline in OFS activity.  Positive market response. Case Study – Weatherford Equity Offering ¹ Source: Bloomberg. 0 20 40 60 80 100 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 WFT Volume WFT SLB HAL OSX Offering of 100 million ordinary shares announced (Price Indexed To 100) (Volume (Millions)) Weatherford Share Price Performance¹
  • 31. Dubai Al Fattan Currency House, Tower 2, Level 7 Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) PO Box 506785 Dubai, United Arab Emirates Phone: +97-1431-999-44 Fax: +97-1431-999-45 London 6 Arlington Street London SW1A 1RE United Kingdom Phone: +44 (0) 207-053-1000 Fax: +44 (0) 207-053-025 Aberdeen Simmons House 22 Waverley Place Aberdeen AB10 1XP Scotland Phone: +44 (0) 1224-202-300 Fax: +44 (0) 1224-202-303 Houston 700 Louisiana, Suite 1900 Houston, Texas 77002 Corporate Finance: (713) 236-9999 Securities: (713) 223-7840 Fax: (713) 223-7800 Piper Jaffray Companies (NYSE: PJC) is a leading investment bank and asset management firm. Securities brokerage and investment banking services are offered in the United States through Piper Jaffray & Co., member SIPC and FINRA; in Europe through two separate U.K.-based broker/dealers - Piper Jaffray Ltd., authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and Simmons & Company International Limited, authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Dubai Financial Services Authority as a representative office; and in Hong Kong through Piper Jaffray Hong Kong, registered with the Securities and Futures Commission. Asset management products and services are offered through four separate investment advisory affiliates―three registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (Advisory Research, Inc.; Piper Jaffray Investment Management LLC; and PJC Capital Partners LLC), and one international asset management firm registered with the Guernsey Financial Services Commission (Parallel General Partner Limited).