A presentation of FTTE trends as of early 2018.

1. Crunch Time
Selected future of education trends

2. Greetings from springtime Vermont

3. http://futureofeducation.us/
The Future of Education Observatory

4. The Future Trends Forum

5.  Monthly
environmental
scan report
 Trends
identified,
tested,
projected
Trendlines

7. Globalization of higher education
 International higher ed systems
building up
 Growing international market
 US opening branches abroad

8. Globalization of higher education
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2017/new-night-lights-maps-open-up-possible-real-time-applicatio
 Now global student #s in US drop

9. Demographics
Youth population
shrinkage
Expanding senior
population…

10. 10

11. 11

13. “U.S. and World
Population Clock”
https://www.census.go
v/popclock/

14. Population changes
12

15. Macroeconomic changes

16. Labor transformations
• manufacturing->service
• 1 job/career->many gigs
• declining participation
• income stagnation
• automation

17. Political changes
Rural urban
split
Race
Gender
Economic
anxiety
Nationalism/
nativism or
globalism

18. Education trends
Reform movements
Alternative certification
Alternative business
models and schools

19. Student population
changes
 Near-majority
adult
 Increasing first-
generation
students
 Veterans
 Learning
disabilities
12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/

20. Student population changes
12

21. Student enrollment changes
12
National Student Clearinghouse Research Center

22. Adjunctification rising

23. Defunding public universities

24. How financialization plays out

26. https://www.flickr.com/photos/seeyoujimmy/2631905283/

27. https://www.flickr.com/photos/streetmatt/15083719955/

28. Established and growing
• Mobile
• Social media
• Cloud computing
• Digital video
• Gaming

29. The post-
Snowden
world
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden

30. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_Kelly_(editor)

31. Screening
Flowing
Accessing
Sharing
Cognifying
Filtering
Remixing
Interacting

32. Screening
Flowing
Accessing
Sharing
Cognifying
Filtering
Remixing
Interacting

33. Automation on the rise

34. Automation on the rise
http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/

35. Taking automation seriously

36. Taking automation seriously
• Robots in industry
• “ “ cars
• “ at war
• Spambots
• High frequency trading
• Automated writing…

39. Design for mobile *first *

40. New device ecosystem

41. VR

44. VR + AR = MR

45. New device ecosystem
Android battles iOS
Disintegrated computing:
Wearables
Very small cameras and
computers…

46. New device ecosystem
Leading to…

47. https://www.reddit.com/r/IllBeYourGuide/

48. Two huge horizons
Moore’s Law
End of the Web

49. https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/

50. https://www.flickr.com/photos/btckeychain/19574064780/

51. Teaching and learning and tech

52. blended/
flipped /
hybrid
classroom

53. Changes in the LMS world?
http://i0.wp.com/mfeldstein.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/walledgarden5.jpg

54. Teaching and learning and tech
 distance learning
grows
 generational gaps

55. Open…
 OER
 Open access
 Open teaching

56. The rise of the
Maker movement
BYOD
VR/AR
Analytics

57. Uses of social media
Uses of Web video
Ebooks + etextbooks
gaming in education

58. MOOCs on the move

59. Technology-mediated research
Simulations
http://web.archive.org/web/20150418162758/http://www.futurict.eu
/

60. Textual research
Digital humanities

61. Textual research
Law: e-discovery
http://criminalintent.org/

62. The new community of scholars, 1*
*Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation

63. The new
community of
scholars, 2

64. What happens to the library?
•Shift from collection development
to digital literacy consultation
•Open scholarship
•Classroom engagement
•Transforms to research
entrepreneurship
National Science Library at the Chinese Academy of

65. Which of these
trends are the
most powerful?

66. Which of these
trends are the most
unpredicatble?

67. All of these
are in the present.

68. So what’s next?

69. Extrapolations:
Transnational
campuses
Average
student age:
40
Hourly faculty
 Privatizing
public
universities
 Hogwarts vs
poor
campuses
What comes next?

70. • Rich
multimedia
environment
• Some
gamification
• Student as
producer
Disintegrated
computing as
a service
Extensive data
analysis,
surveillance,
creativity
Campus of
networked
things

71. Classes?
• Blended learning is campus
norm
• Some classes outsourced
to DL
• Classrooms in studio mode
• All campus is blended
learning environment
(“place as library”)
• Hands-on learning (maker
culture, tinkering):
production + studies

72. A higher education bubble?

73. A higher education bubble?
 Continued cost/quality anxiety
 Student and parent anxieties
about debt
 Grad school crises
 Political pressure

74. The
Queen
sacrifice
gambit

75. Yet the college premium
persists

76. Will universities fight Trump?
Campuses
defending
immigrants

77. https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2016/1
2/02/outlining-commitments-undocumented-
immigrant-students-some-presidents-avoid-
term
What do campuses
do during civil
unrest?

78. Taking automation seriously

79. Curriculum and life:
is school for
unemployment or
working with AIs?
Post-AI education

80. Pedagogy:
• Apps instead of classes
• Computer-assisted
creativity
• Cyborg teaching and
becoming
Post-AI education

81. Curriculum and life:
what does it mean to be
human when machines
exceed us?
Post-AI education

82. The best digital literacy
storytelling
https://www.youtube.com/wat
ch?v=W6yVCgoBn-I

83. What comes next?

84. Collaborate with each
other, across
institutions, sectors,
nations, populations,
professions
What can we do now?

85. Use social media

86. Use social media
Use and be open

87. Rethink everything
in terms of
automation’s
possibilities

88. Imagine different worlds
and inhabiting them -
yourselves, your
institution, your children
and the generation to
come

89. http://futureofeducation.us/
http://twitter.com/bryanalexander