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NITLE Prediction Markets, CNI 2008 presentation

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Bryan Alexander
Bryan Alexander

NITLE Prediction Markets, CNI 2008 presentation

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Prediction Markets for Emerging Technology in Higher Education: An Experiment in the Wisdom of Crowds Coalition for Networked Information December 2008
Plan of the talk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
NITLE ,[object Object]
Prediction markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Iowa Electronic Markets, Intrade - 11/04/08 http://b2e.nitle.org/index.php/ 2008/11/04/prediction_markets _forecast_obama_win
Prediction markets ,[object Object],(Cowgill, Wolfers, Zitzewitz, 2008; http://www.ideosphere.com/ )
Exploration for technology and higher education ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pilot phase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(NITLE Summit, San Francisco April 2008)
Pilot ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Beta ,[object Object],[object Object]
Architecture ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Propositions ,[object Object],[object Object],(SurveyMonkey)
Propositions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Propositions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Propositions ,[object Object]
Propositions ,[object Object]
Propositions ,[object Object]
Limitations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lessons ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lessons ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Advantages ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Advantages ,[object Object],[object Object],(Bryan gets it wrong, part 323)
Further reflections ,[object Object],(Jesper Krogstrup, ReBoot 2007; image from Lars Ploughmann, on Flickr)
Further reflections ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some sources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
NITLE Prediction Markets http://markets.nitle.org National Institute for Technology and Liberal Education (NITLE) http://nitle.org Liberal Education Today blog http://b2e.nitle.org

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NITLE Prediction Markets, CNI 2008 presentation

  • 1. Prediction Markets for Emerging Technology in Higher Education: An Experiment in the Wisdom of Crowds Coalition for Networked Information December 2008
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  • 28. NITLE Prediction Markets http://markets.nitle.org National Institute for Technology and Liberal Education (NITLE) http://nitle.org Liberal Education Today blog http://b2e.nitle.org