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Roadmap to Recovery Economic Outlook 2011  Clarington Board of Trade & Office of Economic Development  May 30, 2011
A Strategic Approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
What is Manufacturing? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
Manufacturing in Canada ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Manufacturing Sales By Province (Oct 2008 – Oct 2009) Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
Manufacturing Sales (June 2009 – June 2010) Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
Economic Outlook 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Outlook 2011
Canada’s Export Rebound 2010 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Manufacturers’ New Orders & Sales
Manufacturing Sales by Sector (October 2009 – October 2010)
Manufacturing Sales by Sector (October 2009 – October 2010)
After-Tax Profits Rebound ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Canada’s Corporate Tax Rates are Falling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
Impact on Employment Federal Tax Rate Reductions between 2000 and 2010 Federal Tax Rate Reductions between 2007 and 2010 Rate Reduction from 18% in 2010 to 15% in 2012 Year of Estimated Impact 2010 2010 2012 Impact on After-Tax Profits + $16.5 billion + $7.0 billion + $6.2 billion Impact on After-Tax Profits as a Percent of GDP + 1.02 percentage points + 0.43 percentage points + 0.39 percentage points Impact on Canada’s Unemployment Rate - 0.68 percentage points - 0.29 percentage points - 0.26 percentage points Impact on Employment + 127,000 net jobs + 54,000 net jobs + 49,900 net jobs
 
Corporate Tax Rate Reductions 2011/12 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Surprises ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Business  as Usual is not an Option ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CME Policy Priorities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Open For Business ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
Economic Benefits of Refurbishment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nuclear Supply Chain Opportunities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nuclear Supply Chain Opportunities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Business  as Usual is not an Option ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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2011 Energy Summit - CME Presentation by Ian Howcroft

  • 1. Roadmap to Recovery Economic Outlook 2011 Clarington Board of Trade & Office of Economic Development May 30, 2011
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Manufacturing Sales By Province (Oct 2008 – Oct 2009) Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
  • 6. Manufacturing Sales (June 2009 – June 2010) Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters
  • 7.
  • 9.
  • 11. Manufacturing Sales by Sector (October 2009 – October 2010)
  • 12. Manufacturing Sales by Sector (October 2009 – October 2010)
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.  
  • 16.  
  • 17.  
  • 18. Impact on Employment Federal Tax Rate Reductions between 2000 and 2010 Federal Tax Rate Reductions between 2007 and 2010 Rate Reduction from 18% in 2010 to 15% in 2012 Year of Estimated Impact 2010 2010 2012 Impact on After-Tax Profits + $16.5 billion + $7.0 billion + $6.2 billion Impact on After-Tax Profits as a Percent of GDP + 1.02 percentage points + 0.43 percentage points + 0.39 percentage points Impact on Canada’s Unemployment Rate - 0.68 percentage points - 0.29 percentage points - 0.26 percentage points Impact on Employment + 127,000 net jobs + 54,000 net jobs + 49,900 net jobs
  • 19.  
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.  
  • 30.
  • 31.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. This is the value of manufacturing output in Canada over the last 15 years. Point out: - Manufacturing shipments doubled between 1991 and 2000 - 30% of that growth was due to the falling dollar, about 5% because the US market grew more rapidly than Canada’s. The rest is due to the restructuring that took place in Canadian manufacturing. - Recession since 2000 - Impact of 9/11 - took a year to recover - Downward trend since early 2003 - impact of the higher dollar - Trough in August 2003 is what happens when you turn the power off for a day in Ontario - The trough in mid 1998 = impact of strike at brake plant in Saginaw Michigan - shut down GM supply chain. This shows how integrated the industrial market is, how complex manufacturing supply chains are, and how important the auto industry is - production dropped by 10% in 2 months, then recovered after strike ended
  2. Ontario LTEP EU – currently about 1/3 of EU supply is nuclear power – need for refurbishment
  3. - From 4700 MW at Present - NPCIL – Economic Times - http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2010-10-11/news/27616582_1_pressurised-heavy-water-reactors-fuel-cycle-indian-nuclear-society http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704463804576290182832773712.html - b/c proposal to dispose of water into the sea after being used in cooling systems – tightening of safety standards