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Our partners include:
                                                Greater Cleveland Partnership
                                                      Greater Akron Chamber
                                                    Stark Development Board
                                                          Team Lorain County
                                       Youngstown-Warren Regional Chamber
                             Medina County Economic Development Corporation




  Northeast
       Ohio
  Economic
    Review
     December 2008
     Volume 2, Issue 4




Headquarters Sector
Prominent in the
Cleveland Plus Region.
                         ®
As we found in an earlier Northeast Ohio Regional Economic Review,
the business headquaters sector continues to be particularly strong
in the Cleveland Plus ® Region. This report takes a closer look at this
sector’s role in driving the region’s economy.


Economic Review Highlights for 2008
The Northeast Ohio Economic Review was established to provide an aggregate look at long-term trends in Northeast Ohio’s economy. In
2008, we continued our quarterly reports by taking a look at our mix of industries as compared to the U.S., reviewing a 10 year projection
for industry and occupational growth, and reporting the overall climate of industrial and office commercial real estate in the 16 counties
that comprise the Cleveland Plus Region.

Cleveland Plus Mix of Industries
Cleveland Plus has a higher share of output than the national average in many industries, including: Manufacturing, Finance and
Insurance; Healthcare; and Management of Companies and Enterprises (Headquarters). Both Manufacturing and Headquarters have
shares of the Northeast Ohio economy that are more than 50% higher than the national average. Manufacturing represents 22% of the
region’s economy, compared to about 14% for the U.S. as a whole.

10 Year Projection: Growing Industry Sectors
Northeast Ohio’s economy is expected to continue diversifying. The Information industry is expected to grow the fastest, at 34% over the
next 10 years. Despite common misperceptions, manufacturing output is projected to continue growing as well. Other faster-growing
sectors include: Professional and Technical Services; and Finance and Insurance sectors.

10 Year Projection: Higher Paying Jobs Will Grow Faster
Projections for the next ten years show higher paying occupations account for all the expected growth in employment. Jobs with above
average pay are projected to grow 7.5%. Expected high-growth occupations include: Computer/Math, Business/Finance, Education,
Training and Library, Sciences, Legal and Management.

Industrial Real Estate is Strong and Growing
Northeast Ohio is the sixth largest industrial market in North America. Our industrial vacancy rate is among the lowest in the past 5 years,
with the Manufacturing vacancy rate showing a significant decline since 2006. In addition, there are approximately 411 million total
square feet of Industrial space in the region, larger than at any time since 2000.

Office Space Market Continues to Thrive
Even in the face of a soft national economy, the demand for space in the Cleveland Plus office market continues to grow. Occupied Class
A space is up nearly 17% since 2003. In addition, there is more Class A, B, and C occupied space than any time in the past five years.
Total occupied space has increased to almost 112 million square feet. Northeast Ohio’s vacancy rate of 12.1% is nearly on par with the
U.S. average and notably lower than many other major U.S. markets such as Atlanta, Chicago and Phoenix.

In Summary
Even in the face of the current national economic decline, the Cleveland Plus Region continued to benefit in 2008 from its long-term trend
of steady, moderate growth. We are diversifying and transitioning our economy to high-skill industries, indicating that education and
workforce development will become even more valuable in the future. Our industrial and commercial real estate markets remain strong.
By maintaining the course with Northeast Ohio’s advancements in biomedical, alternative energies, high-tech manufacturing, corporate
management and entrepreneurship, the region will accelerate growth and ensure long-term vitality.
“The decision by Goodyear to keep our headquar
     of available talent and the overall positive busines
     possible by the collaborative spirit between the reg
     -Robert J. Keegan, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, commenting


  Cleveland Plus Headquarters
  Employment Strong
  This graph looks at total                                                                    Headquarters Employment: NEO and US Cities 2006
  headquarters employment
  among the top 20 Metro-                                                       120000
  politan Statistical Areas                                                     100000
  (MSAs). The Cleveland
                                                                                 80000
  Plus region ranks 10th in
                                                                   Employment




  terms of total employment,                                                     60000

  and is greater than larger                                                     40000

  regions such as Houston,                                                       20000
  Phoenix and Atlanta.                                                               0




                                                                                                                                      Source: County Business Patterns, 2006


“Headquarters are one of the core
competitive advantages of the region.”
-Edward W. (Ned) Hill, Professor and Distinguished Scholar of Economic Development,
Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs, Cleveland State University
                                                                                                                       Cleveland Plus Headquarters
                                                                                                                                Employment Share
                             Share of Headquarters Employment: NEO vs US Cities
                                                                                                                                     4th Highest in
                                                                                                                                            Nation
          St. Louis
         New York
                                                                                                                                  This graph demonstrates
     San Francisco

                                                                                                                                   the proportion of head-
              NEO
            Detroit

                                                                                                                                  quarters employment as
           Boston


                                                                                                                                      a percentage of total
      Philadelphia
          Chicago

                                                                                                                                     employment in major
           Atlanta
           Seattle
                                                                                                                                       U.S. markets. Once
      Los Angeles


                                                                                                                                    adjusted for scale, the
           Tampa
        San Diego

                                                                                                                                     Cleveland Plus region
          Phoenix
            Miami
                                                                                                                                      has the fourth largest
         Riverside

                                                                                                                                    concentration of head-
        Baltimore



                                                                                                                                     quarters employment,
                      0.2               0.6                    1.0                       1.4           1.8       2.2       2.6

                                                                                LQ Value
                                                                                                                                       60% more than the
                                                                                                                                         national average.
        Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Economy.com
ters in Northeast Ohio is a testament to the quality
s environment in Northeast Ohio and made
 ion's public and private entities.”
on his company’s decision to build a new headquarters for their 3,000 corporate and North America Tire employees.


         Cleveland Plus Strong in High Skill Headquarters Occupations
         This chart depicts Northeast Ohio’s position in the occupations that typically are associated with
         business headquarters. Northeast Ohio’s strong national position in corporate headquarters is
         supported by a higher than average share of the occupations that are most important to the
         operation of a business headquarters. This concentration of occupations makes existing
         headquarters successful and provides a strong labor pool for those looking to establish
         new headquarters in the region.


                                              Share of NEO Headquarters Occupations vs the US

                     1.8

                     1.6

                     1.4
             LQ




                     1.2

                     1.0

                     0.8

                     0.6
                                     Chief Executives         Accountants and Auditors   General and Operations   Sales Managers   Computer Programmers   Financial Managers
                                                                                               Managers

                                                                                            Occupation
                 Source: BLS, Occupational Employment Statistics




                                                                                            “We looked at the quality
                                                                                                   of labor force, the
        KEY:
                                                                                                         abundance
        Location Quotient (LQ), as used in the charts to the left
        and above, compares Northeast Ohio and other regions
                                                                                                    of labor and the
        to the U.S. as a whole. An LQ of 1.0 represents the
        national average. An LQ of 1.2 is 20% higher than the

                                                                                                            quality of
        national average. An LQ of 0.8 is 20% less than the
        national average.

                                                                                                       infrastructure.”
                                                                                                            -SP Data Chief Executive Dan Plashkes comments on why his
                                                                                                       company chose the Cleveland Plus region for their US Headquarters
Northeast Ohio Employment Mirrors
                                                                                                                                                     National Trends
                                   Northeast Ohio Total Employment                                                                                          This chart shows total
                                                            (Not Seasonally Adjusted)
                                                                                                                                                  employment in Northeast Ohio
                                                                                                                                                  without seasonal adjustments.
             2.08
                                                                                                                                                    By viewing employment on a
             2.06
                                                                                                                                                  quarter to quarter basis we can
             2.04
                                                                                                                                                 see the overall trend that occurs
(Millions)




             2.02
                                                                                                                                                      due to seasonal patterns of
             2.00
                                                                                                                                                    employment. Q3 of 2008 did
             1.98
                                                                                                                                                     not see the typical seasonal
             1.96
                                                                                                                                                   increase between the second
             1.94
                                                                                                                                                    and third quarter and lagged
                     2003
                     2004
                     2005
                     2006
                     2007
                     2008

                                                       2003
                                                       2004
                                                       2005
                                                       2006
                                                       2007
                                                       2008

                                                                                               2003
                                                                                               2004
                                                                                               2005
                                                                                               2006
                                                                                               2007
                                                                                               2008

                                                                                                                                 2003
                                                                                                                                 2004
                                                                                                                                 2005
                                                                                                                                 2006
                                                                                                                                 2007
                                                                                                                                                   employment of one year ago.
                                                                                                                                                    This is similar to the national
                     Q1                                    Q2                                   Q3                               Q4

                                                                                                                                                       picture. Total employment
                                                                                                                                                     remained just over 2 million
         Source: BLS, Occupational Employment Statistics

                                                                                                                                 workers in Q3, and is down approximately 1.5%
                                                                                                                                                                    from last year.
Demand for Industrial Space
Continues to Grow
                                                                                                            Northeast Ohio Occupied Industrial Space
This graph shows the total
amount of industrial space
occupied by quarter, from third                                                               395,000,000                                                                        10.0%


quarter of 2003 to third quarter                                                                                                                                                 9.5%
                                                                                              390,000,000

of 2008. Over this period,
                                                                                                                                                                                 9.0%
                                                                                              385,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                                 8.5%
total occupied industrial space
                                                                                                                                                                                         Vacancy Rate
                                                                           Occupied Sq. Ft.




                                                                                              380,000,000                                                                        8.0%
has grown significantly with
                                                                                                                                                                                 7.5%
ten consecutive quarters of                                                                   375,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                                 7.0%
growth since the first quarter of                                                              370,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                                 6.5%
2006. In addition, occupied                                                                   365,000,000                                                                        6.0%
industrial space is higher than
at any point in the previous five
years while vacancy rates of                                                                                                                     Occupied Space   Vacancy Rate

7.5% are also at their lowest
point in the past five years.
                                                                                               Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Economy.com
Growth Still                                                                           Northeast Ohio: Real GRP
Projected for                                                                                             Billions (2007 Dollars)


2008                                                      $190
                                                                                                                                                                               0.4%
                                                          $180                                                                                                         0.4%
                                                                                                                                                         0.5% (-.9%)
Modest growth is still projected for                                                                                                         1.8% 2.6%
                                                                                                                        0.3% (-1.9%) 1.2%
                                                          $170                                                   1.2%
Northeast Ohio’s 2008 Gross Regional                                                                      2.6%
                                                                                                   4.8%
Product, based on projections from                        $160
Moody’s Economy.com. Moody’s                                                                3.0%

                                                          $150                       3.8%
detailed models of regional economic                                          5.1%
                                                                  3.6% 0.3%
conditions are revised as actual data                     $140
is received. Reflective of soft condi-
tions in recent years, this updated                       $130
chart contains lower estimates for
                                                          $120
2006, 2007 and 2008 compared to                                  1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
previous reports.
                                                                                            Real GRP             Average Annual Growth = 1.6%
Moody’s estimates that the Northeast
Ohio economy has grown at an annual                                                                                                                         Source: Moody's Economy.com
rate of 1.6% over the past 15 years and has grown in 13 of the past 15 years.




About Team NEO
Team NEO markets Northeast Ohio to attract business investment in targeted industry clusters. The organization is a joint venture of the
largest metro chambers, representing 16 counties and their 4 million people. Team NEO serves as a central resource, informing and
serving those considering investment in Northeast Ohio and is a co-founder of the Cleveland Plus® Marketing Alliance, a coalition to drive
strategic, long-term marketing for Northeast Ohio. For more information, visit www.teamneo.org.
Data Sources: Team Northeast Ohio uses a number of data sources for the Regional Economic Review. One of the primary sources is the Moody’s
Economy.com (www.economy.com) Northeast Ohio modeling system. This firm is the leading independent provider of economic, financial and
industry research and data that specializes in national and metropolitan economic growth forecasts. Moody’s Economy.com county level                                        Ashtabula
                                                                                                                                             Lake
output, employment and payroll historical data are estimated from several publicly available sources and are summarized
into the Team NEO regional footprint. It is important to understand data provided by Economy.com are estimates of
                                                                                                                                   Cleveland Geauga
economic activity.
                                                                                                                                            Cuyahoga
Team NEO also uses data from federal and state sources as part of the report. As with Economy.com, the informa-                                                               Trumbull
                                                                                                                                Lorain
tion for the Team NEO footprint is derived from data reported at either the county or metropolitan level. We rely
                                                                                                                                                  Summit Portage
heavily on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov) and Ohio’s Labor Market Information
                                                                                                                                                                 Youngstown
                                                                                                                                         Medina       Akron
(www.lmi.state.oh.us) for information on wages, unemployment and both general and industry-specific
                                                                                                                                                                     Mahoning
employment. In addition, Team NEO uses data from the Census (www.census.gov) to track housing-
related activity including the number of single and multifamily permits, as well as their values.                           Ashland
                                                                                                                                         Wayne                              Columbiana
                                                                                                                                                              Canton
                                                                                                                 Richland
Due to market limits within the CoStar database, historic trend data for the Team NEO region is                                                     Stark
defined as 10 of the 16 counties forming the regional footprint. These counties include Ashtabula,
                                                                                                                                                                  Carroll
Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Lorain, Medina, Portage, Richland, Stark and Summit.
                                                                                                                            Cleveland Plus 16-County Region
737 Bolivar Road, Suite 2000, Cleveland, Ohio 44115
888.NEO.1411 • www.teamneo.org • www.clevelandplusbusiness.com

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December 2008 Cleveland Plus Quarterly Economic Review

  • 1. Our partners include: Greater Cleveland Partnership Greater Akron Chamber Stark Development Board Team Lorain County Youngstown-Warren Regional Chamber Medina County Economic Development Corporation Northeast Ohio Economic Review December 2008 Volume 2, Issue 4 Headquarters Sector Prominent in the Cleveland Plus Region. ®
  • 2. As we found in an earlier Northeast Ohio Regional Economic Review, the business headquaters sector continues to be particularly strong in the Cleveland Plus ® Region. This report takes a closer look at this sector’s role in driving the region’s economy. Economic Review Highlights for 2008 The Northeast Ohio Economic Review was established to provide an aggregate look at long-term trends in Northeast Ohio’s economy. In 2008, we continued our quarterly reports by taking a look at our mix of industries as compared to the U.S., reviewing a 10 year projection for industry and occupational growth, and reporting the overall climate of industrial and office commercial real estate in the 16 counties that comprise the Cleveland Plus Region. Cleveland Plus Mix of Industries Cleveland Plus has a higher share of output than the national average in many industries, including: Manufacturing, Finance and Insurance; Healthcare; and Management of Companies and Enterprises (Headquarters). Both Manufacturing and Headquarters have shares of the Northeast Ohio economy that are more than 50% higher than the national average. Manufacturing represents 22% of the region’s economy, compared to about 14% for the U.S. as a whole. 10 Year Projection: Growing Industry Sectors Northeast Ohio’s economy is expected to continue diversifying. The Information industry is expected to grow the fastest, at 34% over the next 10 years. Despite common misperceptions, manufacturing output is projected to continue growing as well. Other faster-growing sectors include: Professional and Technical Services; and Finance and Insurance sectors. 10 Year Projection: Higher Paying Jobs Will Grow Faster Projections for the next ten years show higher paying occupations account for all the expected growth in employment. Jobs with above average pay are projected to grow 7.5%. Expected high-growth occupations include: Computer/Math, Business/Finance, Education, Training and Library, Sciences, Legal and Management. Industrial Real Estate is Strong and Growing Northeast Ohio is the sixth largest industrial market in North America. Our industrial vacancy rate is among the lowest in the past 5 years, with the Manufacturing vacancy rate showing a significant decline since 2006. In addition, there are approximately 411 million total square feet of Industrial space in the region, larger than at any time since 2000. Office Space Market Continues to Thrive Even in the face of a soft national economy, the demand for space in the Cleveland Plus office market continues to grow. Occupied Class A space is up nearly 17% since 2003. In addition, there is more Class A, B, and C occupied space than any time in the past five years. Total occupied space has increased to almost 112 million square feet. Northeast Ohio’s vacancy rate of 12.1% is nearly on par with the U.S. average and notably lower than many other major U.S. markets such as Atlanta, Chicago and Phoenix. In Summary Even in the face of the current national economic decline, the Cleveland Plus Region continued to benefit in 2008 from its long-term trend of steady, moderate growth. We are diversifying and transitioning our economy to high-skill industries, indicating that education and workforce development will become even more valuable in the future. Our industrial and commercial real estate markets remain strong. By maintaining the course with Northeast Ohio’s advancements in biomedical, alternative energies, high-tech manufacturing, corporate management and entrepreneurship, the region will accelerate growth and ensure long-term vitality.
  • 3. “The decision by Goodyear to keep our headquar of available talent and the overall positive busines possible by the collaborative spirit between the reg -Robert J. Keegan, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, commenting Cleveland Plus Headquarters Employment Strong This graph looks at total Headquarters Employment: NEO and US Cities 2006 headquarters employment among the top 20 Metro- 120000 politan Statistical Areas 100000 (MSAs). The Cleveland 80000 Plus region ranks 10th in Employment terms of total employment, 60000 and is greater than larger 40000 regions such as Houston, 20000 Phoenix and Atlanta. 0 Source: County Business Patterns, 2006 “Headquarters are one of the core competitive advantages of the region.” -Edward W. (Ned) Hill, Professor and Distinguished Scholar of Economic Development, Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs, Cleveland State University Cleveland Plus Headquarters Employment Share Share of Headquarters Employment: NEO vs US Cities 4th Highest in Nation St. Louis New York This graph demonstrates San Francisco the proportion of head- NEO Detroit quarters employment as Boston a percentage of total Philadelphia Chicago employment in major Atlanta Seattle U.S. markets. Once Los Angeles adjusted for scale, the Tampa San Diego Cleveland Plus region Phoenix Miami has the fourth largest Riverside concentration of head- Baltimore quarters employment, 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 LQ Value 60% more than the national average. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Economy.com
  • 4. ters in Northeast Ohio is a testament to the quality s environment in Northeast Ohio and made ion's public and private entities.” on his company’s decision to build a new headquarters for their 3,000 corporate and North America Tire employees. Cleveland Plus Strong in High Skill Headquarters Occupations This chart depicts Northeast Ohio’s position in the occupations that typically are associated with business headquarters. Northeast Ohio’s strong national position in corporate headquarters is supported by a higher than average share of the occupations that are most important to the operation of a business headquarters. This concentration of occupations makes existing headquarters successful and provides a strong labor pool for those looking to establish new headquarters in the region. Share of NEO Headquarters Occupations vs the US 1.8 1.6 1.4 LQ 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 Chief Executives Accountants and Auditors General and Operations Sales Managers Computer Programmers Financial Managers Managers Occupation Source: BLS, Occupational Employment Statistics “We looked at the quality of labor force, the KEY: abundance Location Quotient (LQ), as used in the charts to the left and above, compares Northeast Ohio and other regions of labor and the to the U.S. as a whole. An LQ of 1.0 represents the national average. An LQ of 1.2 is 20% higher than the quality of national average. An LQ of 0.8 is 20% less than the national average. infrastructure.” -SP Data Chief Executive Dan Plashkes comments on why his company chose the Cleveland Plus region for their US Headquarters
  • 5. Northeast Ohio Employment Mirrors National Trends Northeast Ohio Total Employment This chart shows total (Not Seasonally Adjusted) employment in Northeast Ohio without seasonal adjustments. 2.08 By viewing employment on a 2.06 quarter to quarter basis we can 2.04 see the overall trend that occurs (Millions) 2.02 due to seasonal patterns of 2.00 employment. Q3 of 2008 did 1.98 not see the typical seasonal 1.96 increase between the second 1.94 and third quarter and lagged 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 employment of one year ago. This is similar to the national Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 picture. Total employment remained just over 2 million Source: BLS, Occupational Employment Statistics workers in Q3, and is down approximately 1.5% from last year. Demand for Industrial Space Continues to Grow Northeast Ohio Occupied Industrial Space This graph shows the total amount of industrial space occupied by quarter, from third 395,000,000 10.0% quarter of 2003 to third quarter 9.5% 390,000,000 of 2008. Over this period, 9.0% 385,000,000 8.5% total occupied industrial space Vacancy Rate Occupied Sq. Ft. 380,000,000 8.0% has grown significantly with 7.5% ten consecutive quarters of 375,000,000 7.0% growth since the first quarter of 370,000,000 6.5% 2006. In addition, occupied 365,000,000 6.0% industrial space is higher than at any point in the previous five years while vacancy rates of Occupied Space Vacancy Rate 7.5% are also at their lowest point in the past five years. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Economy.com
  • 6. Growth Still Northeast Ohio: Real GRP Projected for Billions (2007 Dollars) 2008 $190 0.4% $180 0.4% 0.5% (-.9%) Modest growth is still projected for 1.8% 2.6% 0.3% (-1.9%) 1.2% $170 1.2% Northeast Ohio’s 2008 Gross Regional 2.6% 4.8% Product, based on projections from $160 Moody’s Economy.com. Moody’s 3.0% $150 3.8% detailed models of regional economic 5.1% 3.6% 0.3% conditions are revised as actual data $140 is received. Reflective of soft condi- tions in recent years, this updated $130 chart contains lower estimates for $120 2006, 2007 and 2008 compared to 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 previous reports. Real GRP Average Annual Growth = 1.6% Moody’s estimates that the Northeast Ohio economy has grown at an annual Source: Moody's Economy.com rate of 1.6% over the past 15 years and has grown in 13 of the past 15 years. About Team NEO Team NEO markets Northeast Ohio to attract business investment in targeted industry clusters. The organization is a joint venture of the largest metro chambers, representing 16 counties and their 4 million people. Team NEO serves as a central resource, informing and serving those considering investment in Northeast Ohio and is a co-founder of the Cleveland Plus® Marketing Alliance, a coalition to drive strategic, long-term marketing for Northeast Ohio. For more information, visit www.teamneo.org. Data Sources: Team Northeast Ohio uses a number of data sources for the Regional Economic Review. One of the primary sources is the Moody’s Economy.com (www.economy.com) Northeast Ohio modeling system. This firm is the leading independent provider of economic, financial and industry research and data that specializes in national and metropolitan economic growth forecasts. Moody’s Economy.com county level Ashtabula Lake output, employment and payroll historical data are estimated from several publicly available sources and are summarized into the Team NEO regional footprint. It is important to understand data provided by Economy.com are estimates of Cleveland Geauga economic activity. Cuyahoga Team NEO also uses data from federal and state sources as part of the report. As with Economy.com, the informa- Trumbull Lorain tion for the Team NEO footprint is derived from data reported at either the county or metropolitan level. We rely Summit Portage heavily on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov) and Ohio’s Labor Market Information Youngstown Medina Akron (www.lmi.state.oh.us) for information on wages, unemployment and both general and industry-specific Mahoning employment. In addition, Team NEO uses data from the Census (www.census.gov) to track housing- related activity including the number of single and multifamily permits, as well as their values. Ashland Wayne Columbiana Canton Richland Due to market limits within the CoStar database, historic trend data for the Team NEO region is Stark defined as 10 of the 16 counties forming the regional footprint. These counties include Ashtabula, Carroll Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Lorain, Medina, Portage, Richland, Stark and Summit. Cleveland Plus 16-County Region 737 Bolivar Road, Suite 2000, Cleveland, Ohio 44115 888.NEO.1411 • www.teamneo.org • www.clevelandplusbusiness.com