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Feeling Hopeful?
A Status Report on
Emerging Urban Policy
 Scott Bernstein, CNT
 June 12, 2009
 CNU 17, Denver
 http:/htaindex.cnt.org
 scott@cnt.org
Presentation Goals


    •! Review recent federal Administration and
       Congressional actions that might support
       urban policy
    •! Identify some resources you can use for
       near-term action
    •! Suggest a priority agenda for CNU
RETOOLING HUD
       for a Catalytic Federal Government:
      A Report to Secretary Shaun Donovan




HOUSING THE NATION
Facilitating Green Housing and Communities
         Report to HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan

         •! Scott Bernstein Center for Neighborhood
            Technology

         Task Force Members—

         •! Co-Chairs: John Cleveland, Innovation Network for
            Communities and Anne Evens, Center for
            Neighborhood Technology
         •! Members: Bracken Hendricks, Center for American
            Progress; Stockton Williams, Enterprise Community
            Partners; Jonathan Rose, Rose Companies; Ben
            Hecht, Living Cities, Joel Rogers, Center on
            Wisconsin Strategy
RETOOLING HUD
Assumptions and Opportunities

•! HUD has direct influence       •! Energy price spikes
   over 10% of nation’s housing      contributed to economic
•! It is the largest direct          crisis and energy/trans costs
   residential bill payer            will limit current solutions’
•! To help people, strategy          effectiveness
   must address both people       •! Economy is 18-36 mos.
   and places                        From next spike
•! Growth of population and       •! Green building retrofit is a
   housing ~1%/year> focus           $640 billion, 7 million job
   mostly on existing stock          market
                                  •! Work that needs doing is in
                                     the places that need work

 RETOOLING HUD
Strategies

          1.! Aggressively Green the HUD Portfolio
          2.! Make HUD a Leader in Developing the
              National Building Retrofit Market
          3.! Locate Housing to Create Transit-
              Oriented, Walkable, Accessible
              Communities
          4.! With White House Leadership, Organize
              a Cross-Department Strategy for Retrofits
              as an Economic Development Strategy


RETOOLING HUD
Strategy 1—
Aggressively Green the HUD Portfolio
•! Direct investments in Public         Early actions include—
   Housing, Sections 8/202/811/         MOU between HUD and DOE to
   HOPE VI, HOME Grants, and also          coordinate home retrofit activities
   Green Retrofit for Lead Hazard          for working families (ann. Feb 27)
   Homes                                $4.75 Billion in ARRA funds for public
•! Grants, loans, incentives, regs         housing ($4B), MF retrofit ($250M)
   (e.g. manufactured housing), green      + Native American ($510M) to
   standards, including increase in        match $11.5 billion at DOE
   allowable Total Development          Proposed reorganization to include
   Costs for green                         new Office of Sustainable Housing
•! Disclose energy costs and change        & Communities led by Deputy
   the way HUD pays for energy             Secretary
•! Lead demand-side strategies, e.g.    Major initiative to support Energy
   w/smart grid & advanced metering        Efficient Mortgages and home
   investments                             energy cost disclosure and local
                                           capacity building (FY2010 budget
                                           initiative, pending)


 RETOOLING HUD
Accomplishments and Opportunities

                ARRA Accomplishments                    Strategic Opportunities:
                     HUD Programs
                                                         •!Leverage energy efficiency investments
 $4 billion       PHA retrofits                            to stimulate the private retrofit market
 $250 million     HUD assisted retrofits                 •!Screen investment decisions to assure
 $510 million     Native American Housing                  that combined housing and
                                                           transportation costs are optimized
 $1.5 billion     HOME green units                       •!Collaborate across agencies on building
 $10 million      Non-profit housing retrofits             the energy efficiency economy
                    Related Programs                     •!Support the development of a national
                                                           network of regions investing in
 $5.0 billion     Low income weatherization                aggressive energy efficiency retrofitting
 $3.2 billion     Energy Efficiency & Conservation
                  Block Grants
 $3.4 billion     State Energy Programs
 $4.3 billion     Home energy efficiency tax credits
 $0.5 billion     Green Job Training
 $300 million     Energy Efficiency Appliance Rebates



RETOOLING HUD                                                        Facilitating Green Housing
Strategy 2—
Make HUD a Leader in the Building Retrofit Market
•! Create a $5 Billion Building   Early Actions Include—
   Energy Efficiency (BEEF)       •! Requested appropriations for
   Fund                              these activities in the HUD
•! Create a national capacity        FY2010 Budget request
   building network of public,    •! Proposed creating an Office
   private and community             of Sustainable Communities
   institutions to support           led by Deputy Secretary
   regional retrofit strategies   •! Budget proposal includes an
•! Create a HUD Office of            “Energy Innovations Fund”
   Sustainable Development        •! Budget proposal to boost
•! Invest in R& D to support         PD & R support beyond
   development of the housing        traditional functions
   retrofit market
 RETOOLING HUD
Strategy 3—
Locate Housing to Promote
Walkable, Transit-Oriented Communities
•! Reward location efficiency in       Early actions include—
   new construction and retrofit       •! MOU by HUD + DOT to
•! Raise Total Development                support transit & livable
   Costs for higher density, infill,      communities, regional
   TOD and brownfield                     planning, redefine
   redevelopment                          affordability, harmonize
•! Redefine “affordability” to            programs
   include both housing and            •! Proposed initiatives in FY2010
   transportation costs                   budget and in new OSHC
•! Utilize Location Efficient          •! Regular mentions by
   Mortgages
                                          President Obama and USDOT
•! Support local and regional             Sec. LaHood linked to “urban
   planning that advances these           policy” (e.g. April 16 HSR event)
   objectives
 RETOOLING HUD
Chicagoland MSA
      Housing Affordability at <30% of AMI vs
                Housing + Transport Affordability at <45%
                    Drop of 977,000 HHs from Affordability
                             When Transportation is Counted,
                                     = Drop of 29.6% of Total Stock
H = 13.25 to 72.07 Percent of AMI                  H + T = 34.68 to 119 Percent of AMI




                                    RETOOLING HUD
Ten Years of Foreclosures in
Metro Chicago
        1998                         2008




                     RETOOLING HUD
It’s Not Over Yet—
-Gas Costs Keep Climbing,
-12 month’s foreclosures
Up 5% in Cook County
-Up 70% in surrounding collar
counties
-Worst where income is low &
both sub-prime +VMT exposure
is high
Strategy 4—Retrofits as an Economic Sector
Development Strategy     Early actions include—
                                    •! EECBG funded in ARRA at $3.2
•! Fully fund the proposed Energy      B, inc. planning as “strategy
   Efficiency and Conservation         development”
   Block Grants and use to          •! EECBG funded from DOE, not
   support regional strategies         familiar with cities or with energy
•! Use HUD’s leadership in             planning, program desperately
   greening to create green,           needs to add a TA network
   higher wage jobs for public      •! ARRA included residential
   housing residents                   energy tax credits, & increases in
•! Expand residential energy           qualified energy bonds
   efficiency tax credits           •! Multi-agency and public-private
•! Build national capacity and         discussions under way to build
   supply chains to serve the          retrofit market support
   retrofit market                  •! HUD Secretary included in
                                       regular meetings of White House
                                       Office of Energy & Climate
                                       Change

 RETOOLING HUD
Other Supportive Actions
•! Supportive legislation—HR6078,        •! Ownership taken by President
   the GREEN Act, passed last year          Obama on green jobs, 21st century
   as part of HR6899, Energy Bill,          economy, and transit/livable
   about to be reintroduced, supports       communities
   standards, green retrofit, and both
   Energy Efficient and Location         •! Supportive press response to
   Efficient Mortgages and upgrading        HUD-DOT collaboration
   Consolidated Plans to include         •! Large networks of labor unions,
   sustainable development,                 community developers and cities
   transportation                           coming together around retrofit and
•! Supportive hearings—                     green jobs markets
   Transportation & HUD                  •! Innovative uses of Build America
   Appropriations, two supportive           Bonds and related tools aimed at
   hearings on coordinating housing         building retrofit
   and transportation
•! Supportive hearings—Senate
   Banking symposium on livable
   communities


 RETOOLING HUD
Possible Problems
•! While much of this can be      •! HUD’s federal partners, other
   implemented under current         than DOT, lack a focus on and
   authority, much cannot            experience with place
   without new legislative        •! Proposals that may ultimately
   authority for both budgetary      reduce risk are still seen as
   and non-budgetary items           risky for financial markets
•! Appointments process has       •! Assumes an unprecedented
   been slow                         level of regional and local
                                     capacity
•! Unprecedented amount of        •! Readiness to plan effectively—
   coordination required             only 12 states have planning
                                     statutes, these were the ones
                                     with most integrated stimulus
                                     proposals but most of America
                                     may not be ready


 RETOOLING HUD
Signs of Life in Congress
•! Recent reorganization puts      •! Nominations process is very
   HUD and DOT in same                slow
   appropriations subcommittees    •! Few hearings of substance,
   in both houses                     and overshadowed by
•! Modest increases over FY2008       economic situation and
   in FY2009 budget                   stimulus package
•! Supportive hearings on HUD      •! House Transportation and
   and DOT Coordination in            Infrastructure Chairman to
   Transportation/HUD                 introduce transportation bill
   Appropriations Subcommittee        shortly
   3/18 and 3/19
                                   •! No agreement on revenue
•! In-depth symposium on transit      sources, especially for
   and livable communities held       transportation, probably
   by Senate Banking on March
                                      means continuing resolution
   26
 RETOOLING HUD
Framing that Seems to Help
     •! Economic success requires both higher incomes and
        lower cost of living
     •! America is a nation of communities and regions and
        success requires place-based partnerships
     •! We cannot win on climate change and energy
        independence without deep retrofit and location
        benefits
     •! We’re running out of time—gas prices will spike again
        soon, no time to waste
     •! The “stimulus” was both the American Recovery AND
        Reinvestment Act, we’re doing the first, need the
        second
     •! Cities and metro areas are the solutions to climate,
        energy, and economic problems
     •! Transforming HUD into this kind of leader is essential to
        getting us where we need to be fast enough

RETOOLING HUD
Two Views of Chicago and CO2—
Location Efficiency Reduces Financial Risk AND
Per-Household Emissions, Changes “Cities are the
Problem” to “Cities can be the Solution”




                     RETOOLING HUD
9.7-1   Transport Carbon in Tons of CO2/HH/Year
                      4.6
                                5.8-
                                10.7                                 This Place
                                              3.9-6                  Has the
                                              .1      2.4-
                                                             0-2.4   Disappearing
                                                      4.4
                                                             3       Carbon
                                                                     Blues…!




    Source: Duany Plater-Zyberk and Company

Location Efficiency & the
Transect Reveals
Carbon Benefits of Good
Urban Form
Federal updates
•! Banking Committee          •! HUD – FY2010 budget
   symposium, dates              proposal includes several
•! Upcoming hearings next        hundred million dollars for
   week                          metro, TOD, mortgage
•! House FSC GREEN Act,          innovation, R&D in
                                 support of the HUD-DOT
   HR2336, Hearing June
   11, record open 30 days,      partnership agreement
   Senate to introduce        •! Nothing yet on DOT
   shortly
•! House FSC, HUD will
   testify June 16
Federal updates cont.
•! Much energy consumed by the     •! Transportation reauthorization
   climate bill (ACES)                —not likely to happen this year
•! Very little in it for spatial   •! Marker bills
   planning, Section 841 reqs      •! National transportation
   States and MPOs to submit          planning—Lautenberg/Rock in
   plans for achieving national       Senate, Carnahan/Inslee in
   GHG reduction goals from           House, latter has H/T
   transportation and land use     •! Support for H+T affordability—
   investments                        Blumenauer, pending
•! One small provision for MPOs    •! Federal “patch” on Trust Fund
•! Supreme Court has upheld           from General Fund of $8 B last
   right of EPA to regulate GHGs      year, $18 to $34 this year
   as pollutants under the CAAA
Stimulus provided some important
             openings
•! High speed rail--$8B, three rounds of funding
•! Green infrastructure set aside—20 percent of $
   into state revolving funds must be for green
   infrastructure
•! Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block
   Grant--$2.8 Billion entitlement for CDBG cities
   and balance of states—one-third States, two-
   thirds cities, +$400M competitive
Resources Available
•!   Re-Tooling HUD—www.upenn.edu
•!   EECBG Guide—www.cnt.org
•!   T4America—www.t4america.org
•!   STPP—www.transact.org
•!   Affordability Index—http://Htaindex.cnt.org
Possible CNU Actions
•! Form a policy agenda and partnerships
   with key coalitions
•! Market New Urbanism as a pathway to
   sustainable urban policy
•! Translate the networks project into a near
   term action agenda
•! Pick some States and metro areas and
   work them
Thank You!
 •! Scott Bernstein
 •! www.cnt.org
 •! scott@cnt.org




RETOOLING HUD

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CNU Legislative Strategy Session — Bernstein fed update CNU 17

  • 1. Feeling Hopeful? A Status Report on Emerging Urban Policy Scott Bernstein, CNT June 12, 2009 CNU 17, Denver http:/htaindex.cnt.org scott@cnt.org
  • 2. Presentation Goals •! Review recent federal Administration and Congressional actions that might support urban policy •! Identify some resources you can use for near-term action •! Suggest a priority agenda for CNU
  • 3. RETOOLING HUD for a Catalytic Federal Government: A Report to Secretary Shaun Donovan HOUSING THE NATION
  • 4. Facilitating Green Housing and Communities Report to HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan •! Scott Bernstein Center for Neighborhood Technology Task Force Members— •! Co-Chairs: John Cleveland, Innovation Network for Communities and Anne Evens, Center for Neighborhood Technology •! Members: Bracken Hendricks, Center for American Progress; Stockton Williams, Enterprise Community Partners; Jonathan Rose, Rose Companies; Ben Hecht, Living Cities, Joel Rogers, Center on Wisconsin Strategy RETOOLING HUD
  • 5. Assumptions and Opportunities •! HUD has direct influence •! Energy price spikes over 10% of nation’s housing contributed to economic •! It is the largest direct crisis and energy/trans costs residential bill payer will limit current solutions’ •! To help people, strategy effectiveness must address both people •! Economy is 18-36 mos. and places From next spike •! Growth of population and •! Green building retrofit is a housing ~1%/year> focus $640 billion, 7 million job mostly on existing stock market •! Work that needs doing is in the places that need work RETOOLING HUD
  • 6. Strategies 1.! Aggressively Green the HUD Portfolio 2.! Make HUD a Leader in Developing the National Building Retrofit Market 3.! Locate Housing to Create Transit- Oriented, Walkable, Accessible Communities 4.! With White House Leadership, Organize a Cross-Department Strategy for Retrofits as an Economic Development Strategy RETOOLING HUD
  • 7. Strategy 1— Aggressively Green the HUD Portfolio •! Direct investments in Public Early actions include— Housing, Sections 8/202/811/ MOU between HUD and DOE to HOPE VI, HOME Grants, and also coordinate home retrofit activities Green Retrofit for Lead Hazard for working families (ann. Feb 27) Homes $4.75 Billion in ARRA funds for public •! Grants, loans, incentives, regs housing ($4B), MF retrofit ($250M) (e.g. manufactured housing), green + Native American ($510M) to standards, including increase in match $11.5 billion at DOE allowable Total Development Proposed reorganization to include Costs for green new Office of Sustainable Housing •! Disclose energy costs and change & Communities led by Deputy the way HUD pays for energy Secretary •! Lead demand-side strategies, e.g. Major initiative to support Energy w/smart grid & advanced metering Efficient Mortgages and home investments energy cost disclosure and local capacity building (FY2010 budget initiative, pending) RETOOLING HUD
  • 8. Accomplishments and Opportunities ARRA Accomplishments Strategic Opportunities: HUD Programs •!Leverage energy efficiency investments $4 billion PHA retrofits to stimulate the private retrofit market $250 million HUD assisted retrofits •!Screen investment decisions to assure $510 million Native American Housing that combined housing and transportation costs are optimized $1.5 billion HOME green units •!Collaborate across agencies on building $10 million Non-profit housing retrofits the energy efficiency economy Related Programs •!Support the development of a national network of regions investing in $5.0 billion Low income weatherization aggressive energy efficiency retrofitting $3.2 billion Energy Efficiency & Conservation Block Grants $3.4 billion State Energy Programs $4.3 billion Home energy efficiency tax credits $0.5 billion Green Job Training $300 million Energy Efficiency Appliance Rebates RETOOLING HUD Facilitating Green Housing
  • 9. Strategy 2— Make HUD a Leader in the Building Retrofit Market •! Create a $5 Billion Building Early Actions Include— Energy Efficiency (BEEF) •! Requested appropriations for Fund these activities in the HUD •! Create a national capacity FY2010 Budget request building network of public, •! Proposed creating an Office private and community of Sustainable Communities institutions to support led by Deputy Secretary regional retrofit strategies •! Budget proposal includes an •! Create a HUD Office of “Energy Innovations Fund” Sustainable Development •! Budget proposal to boost •! Invest in R& D to support PD & R support beyond development of the housing traditional functions retrofit market RETOOLING HUD
  • 10. Strategy 3— Locate Housing to Promote Walkable, Transit-Oriented Communities •! Reward location efficiency in Early actions include— new construction and retrofit •! MOU by HUD + DOT to •! Raise Total Development support transit & livable Costs for higher density, infill, communities, regional TOD and brownfield planning, redefine redevelopment affordability, harmonize •! Redefine “affordability” to programs include both housing and •! Proposed initiatives in FY2010 transportation costs budget and in new OSHC •! Utilize Location Efficient •! Regular mentions by Mortgages President Obama and USDOT •! Support local and regional Sec. LaHood linked to “urban planning that advances these policy” (e.g. April 16 HSR event) objectives RETOOLING HUD
  • 11. Chicagoland MSA Housing Affordability at <30% of AMI vs Housing + Transport Affordability at <45% Drop of 977,000 HHs from Affordability When Transportation is Counted, = Drop of 29.6% of Total Stock H = 13.25 to 72.07 Percent of AMI H + T = 34.68 to 119 Percent of AMI RETOOLING HUD
  • 12. Ten Years of Foreclosures in Metro Chicago 1998 2008 RETOOLING HUD
  • 13. It’s Not Over Yet— -Gas Costs Keep Climbing, -12 month’s foreclosures Up 5% in Cook County -Up 70% in surrounding collar counties -Worst where income is low & both sub-prime +VMT exposure is high
  • 14. Strategy 4—Retrofits as an Economic Sector Development Strategy Early actions include— •! EECBG funded in ARRA at $3.2 •! Fully fund the proposed Energy B, inc. planning as “strategy Efficiency and Conservation development” Block Grants and use to •! EECBG funded from DOE, not support regional strategies familiar with cities or with energy •! Use HUD’s leadership in planning, program desperately greening to create green, needs to add a TA network higher wage jobs for public •! ARRA included residential housing residents energy tax credits, & increases in •! Expand residential energy qualified energy bonds efficiency tax credits •! Multi-agency and public-private •! Build national capacity and discussions under way to build supply chains to serve the retrofit market support retrofit market •! HUD Secretary included in regular meetings of White House Office of Energy & Climate Change RETOOLING HUD
  • 15. Other Supportive Actions •! Supportive legislation—HR6078, •! Ownership taken by President the GREEN Act, passed last year Obama on green jobs, 21st century as part of HR6899, Energy Bill, economy, and transit/livable about to be reintroduced, supports communities standards, green retrofit, and both Energy Efficient and Location •! Supportive press response to Efficient Mortgages and upgrading HUD-DOT collaboration Consolidated Plans to include •! Large networks of labor unions, sustainable development, community developers and cities transportation coming together around retrofit and •! Supportive hearings— green jobs markets Transportation & HUD •! Innovative uses of Build America Appropriations, two supportive Bonds and related tools aimed at hearings on coordinating housing building retrofit and transportation •! Supportive hearings—Senate Banking symposium on livable communities RETOOLING HUD
  • 16. Possible Problems •! While much of this can be •! HUD’s federal partners, other implemented under current than DOT, lack a focus on and authority, much cannot experience with place without new legislative •! Proposals that may ultimately authority for both budgetary reduce risk are still seen as and non-budgetary items risky for financial markets •! Appointments process has •! Assumes an unprecedented been slow level of regional and local capacity •! Unprecedented amount of •! Readiness to plan effectively— coordination required only 12 states have planning statutes, these were the ones with most integrated stimulus proposals but most of America may not be ready RETOOLING HUD
  • 17. Signs of Life in Congress •! Recent reorganization puts •! Nominations process is very HUD and DOT in same slow appropriations subcommittees •! Few hearings of substance, in both houses and overshadowed by •! Modest increases over FY2008 economic situation and in FY2009 budget stimulus package •! Supportive hearings on HUD •! House Transportation and and DOT Coordination in Infrastructure Chairman to Transportation/HUD introduce transportation bill Appropriations Subcommittee shortly 3/18 and 3/19 •! No agreement on revenue •! In-depth symposium on transit sources, especially for and livable communities held transportation, probably by Senate Banking on March means continuing resolution 26 RETOOLING HUD
  • 18. Framing that Seems to Help •! Economic success requires both higher incomes and lower cost of living •! America is a nation of communities and regions and success requires place-based partnerships •! We cannot win on climate change and energy independence without deep retrofit and location benefits •! We’re running out of time—gas prices will spike again soon, no time to waste •! The “stimulus” was both the American Recovery AND Reinvestment Act, we’re doing the first, need the second •! Cities and metro areas are the solutions to climate, energy, and economic problems •! Transforming HUD into this kind of leader is essential to getting us where we need to be fast enough RETOOLING HUD
  • 19. Two Views of Chicago and CO2— Location Efficiency Reduces Financial Risk AND Per-Household Emissions, Changes “Cities are the Problem” to “Cities can be the Solution” RETOOLING HUD
  • 20. 9.7-1 Transport Carbon in Tons of CO2/HH/Year 4.6 5.8- 10.7 This Place 3.9-6 Has the .1 2.4- 0-2.4 Disappearing 4.4 3 Carbon Blues…! Source: Duany Plater-Zyberk and Company Location Efficiency & the Transect Reveals Carbon Benefits of Good Urban Form
  • 21. Federal updates •! Banking Committee •! HUD – FY2010 budget symposium, dates proposal includes several •! Upcoming hearings next hundred million dollars for week metro, TOD, mortgage •! House FSC GREEN Act, innovation, R&D in support of the HUD-DOT HR2336, Hearing June 11, record open 30 days, partnership agreement Senate to introduce •! Nothing yet on DOT shortly •! House FSC, HUD will testify June 16
  • 22. Federal updates cont. •! Much energy consumed by the •! Transportation reauthorization climate bill (ACES) —not likely to happen this year •! Very little in it for spatial •! Marker bills planning, Section 841 reqs •! National transportation States and MPOs to submit planning—Lautenberg/Rock in plans for achieving national Senate, Carnahan/Inslee in GHG reduction goals from House, latter has H/T transportation and land use •! Support for H+T affordability— investments Blumenauer, pending •! One small provision for MPOs •! Federal “patch” on Trust Fund •! Supreme Court has upheld from General Fund of $8 B last right of EPA to regulate GHGs year, $18 to $34 this year as pollutants under the CAAA
  • 23. Stimulus provided some important openings •! High speed rail--$8B, three rounds of funding •! Green infrastructure set aside—20 percent of $ into state revolving funds must be for green infrastructure •! Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant--$2.8 Billion entitlement for CDBG cities and balance of states—one-third States, two- thirds cities, +$400M competitive
  • 24. Resources Available •! Re-Tooling HUD—www.upenn.edu •! EECBG Guide—www.cnt.org •! T4America—www.t4america.org •! STPP—www.transact.org •! Affordability Index—http://Htaindex.cnt.org
  • 25. Possible CNU Actions •! Form a policy agenda and partnerships with key coalitions •! Market New Urbanism as a pathway to sustainable urban policy •! Translate the networks project into a near term action agenda •! Pick some States and metro areas and work them
  • 26. Thank You! •! Scott Bernstein •! www.cnt.org •! scott@cnt.org RETOOLING HUD