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China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

 Berenice Aceves, MBA
 COTRI China Outbound Tourism Research Institute,
 Heide / Beijing




       China Outbound Tourism 2011:
       Arrival of the New Chinese Tourist



Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011                           Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

 • COTRI China Outbound Tourism Research Institute
   is the worldwide leading independent research institute for
   analysis, consulting and quality assessment relating to the
   Chinese Outbound Tourism market.

 • Headquarter in Heide/Germany, China office in Beijing.
   Director: Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Georg Arlt FRGS
   Active in P.R. of China since 1978
   Former owner of Inbound Tour Operator China->Europe
   COTRI founder and director since 2004
   Professor at West Coast University of Applied Sciences



Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011                        Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

Global Tourism 2010:
     6.7% increase of international tourism arrivals


                                                 Asia –Pacific region
                                                 20% increase year
                                                 by year

                                                 Forecast for global
                                                 tourism:
                                                 From 930 million to
                                                 1.6 billion travels
                                                 by 2020


Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011                         Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

            China´ Major Targets of the
                 s
                12th Five-Year Plan
                  for 2011-2015
                   Annual average GDP growth: 7%

GDP in 2015 (based on 2010 prices): 55 trillion Yuan (US$ 8.37 trillion)

Proportion of service industry's output in GDP: up by 4 percentage points

           Release of major pollutants: down by 8%-10%

                        Jobs created: 45 million

         Average growth of residents´income: more than 7%




                                                                   Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute


2010:
57.4 million
outbound trips

China is the No. 1
source market in
Asia even without
taking into account
trips to Hong Kong /
Macao

For the second time
in China: Outbound
tourism spending
higher than inbound
tourism income
                                                             Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

2000: Global market
share 1.5%

2010: Global market
share 5.8%

2000: One out of
67 international
travellers
originates in
Mainland China

2010: One out of
16 international
travellers
originates in
Mainland China

                                                             Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

Share of Chinese outbound travels during
three quinquenniums 1995-2009
(Source: CNTA / COTRI, no reliable data available before 1995)


More than 60% of all travels happening in last
quinquennium 2005-2009
                                   1995-1999
                                      12%



                                        2000-2004
                     2005-2009             27%
                        61%




                                                        Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

Chinese outbound travels projection for current
quinquennium 2010-2014

a) projected increase according to State Council planning
b) projected increase if growth rate equals 2000-04/2005-09
          500,0
          450,0
          400,0
          350,0
          300,0
          250,0
          200,0
          150,0
          100,0
           50,0
            0,0
                    1995-   2000-   2005-   2010-   2010-
                    1999    2004    2009    2014a   2014b
 Outbound Travels   40,6    88,3    199,8   309,9   451,5
                                                                Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

Market Segments
Segmentation of market in
    - low price/bad quality mass market
For the “Europe-from-the-Coach-Window” mass market there is still a queue of
at least 100 million Chinese waiting for their turn to get their photo in front
of the Eiffel tower.


and     - “FIT” / “Semi-FIT”, ”MICE” high-end market
"We didn't want to go on a group tour since these can be very rushed, taking in too
many countries over a short period of time. We think we handle independent travel
quite well since we were all in Singapore last Spring Festival when we also went to
Thailand. We think we will be able to get around Italy by ourselves.”
                                                               (China Daily 28- 01-2011)

January 2011: 456 million Internet users
32% Internet penetration rate.
                                                                           Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

 China Outbound Tourism 2011:

 Good news – not only because of quantitative growth
 but also because of qualitative developments:

 1.Political support for outbound tourism
 2.Greater interest in in-depth travels
 3.Easy access to passports and hard currency




Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011                        Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute


 China Outbound Tourism 2011:

 1. Political support for outbound tourism by
 Chinese Central Government:
 • On November 25th 2009, a State Council executive meeting
 chaired by Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao adopted the “Statement
 on Accelerating the Tourism Industry Development” which
 declared a planned annual increase of 9% for outbound tourism.

 • In the 12th Five-Year Plan for the first time the development of
 outbound tourism is actively promoted instead of being
 hindered by the Chinese government.


Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011                           Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

China Outbound Tourism 2011:

2. Greater interest in in-depth travels:
“… one of the remarkable characteristics of China tourism in 2010 was the detailed market
segmentation. When the normal tourism market was still the main component of tourism
section, special interest groups were forming as well. Some special attractive long-distance
and niche market focused tourism products which were offered by tour operators both
inside and outside China turned out to be very successful.”

                    Prof. Zhang Guangrui
                    Development of China's Outbound Tourism 2010
                    in: Green Book of China's Tourism 2011



          Niche market and special interest products
          offer opportunities to attract Chinese visitors
                                                                           Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

 China Outbound Tourism 2011:

 3. Less bureaucratic problems from the Chinese side:

 • 140 ADS agreements with all important destinations signed
 • Access to passports and hard currency relatively easy
 • Individual tourist visa agreements with Asian and some
 European countries
 • More choice of destinations and tours than ever



Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011                        Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

 China Outbound Tourism 2011:

 But complaints about many destinations:

 • Visa problems still existing
 • (Perceived) Safety problems given extensive media
   attention in China
 • Quality level often not according to Chinese
   expectations
 • Not enough visible dedication to Chinese market


Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011                        Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute




                                  Chinese Outbound Mass
                                  and New Tourists will
                                  continue to travel all over
                                  the world in growing
                                  numbers, but with
                                  specific demands and
                                  growing expectations.

                                  Are you ready?

www.patastore.com                                          Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute


                       Thanks

We are here to answer all your questions:

- Now

- COTTM 2011 COTRI Stand 2000

- www.china-outbound.com and
- www.chinatraveltrends.com

                                                     Powered by
China Outbound Tourism Research Institute

COTRI Events during COTTM 2011
               1) CTW Award 2011 Ceremony
             Thursday April 14, 10.00 to 12.00 h
                     COTTM 2011 Theatre
                      Language: English

                     2) Book Presentation
              Green Book of China’s Tourism 2011
      China’s Tourism Development Analysis and Forecast
              Thursday April 14, 13.30 to 14.15 h
                       COTTM 2011 Theatre
                  Language: English and Chinese


                3) Exhibitors Debrief Workshop
               Friday April 15, 10.00 to 12.00 h
                     COTTM 2011 VIP Room
                        Language: English

                                                          Powered by

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The New Chinese Tourists

  • 1. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute Berenice Aceves, MBA COTRI China Outbound Tourism Research Institute, Heide / Beijing China Outbound Tourism 2011: Arrival of the New Chinese Tourist Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011 Powered by
  • 2. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute • COTRI China Outbound Tourism Research Institute is the worldwide leading independent research institute for analysis, consulting and quality assessment relating to the Chinese Outbound Tourism market. • Headquarter in Heide/Germany, China office in Beijing. Director: Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Georg Arlt FRGS Active in P.R. of China since 1978 Former owner of Inbound Tour Operator China->Europe COTRI founder and director since 2004 Professor at West Coast University of Applied Sciences Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011 Powered by
  • 3. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute Global Tourism 2010: 6.7% increase of international tourism arrivals Asia –Pacific region 20% increase year by year Forecast for global tourism: From 930 million to 1.6 billion travels by 2020 Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011 Powered by
  • 4. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute China´ Major Targets of the s 12th Five-Year Plan for 2011-2015 Annual average GDP growth: 7% GDP in 2015 (based on 2010 prices): 55 trillion Yuan (US$ 8.37 trillion) Proportion of service industry's output in GDP: up by 4 percentage points Release of major pollutants: down by 8%-10% Jobs created: 45 million Average growth of residents´income: more than 7% Powered by
  • 5. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute 2010: 57.4 million outbound trips China is the No. 1 source market in Asia even without taking into account trips to Hong Kong / Macao For the second time in China: Outbound tourism spending higher than inbound tourism income Powered by
  • 6. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute 2000: Global market share 1.5% 2010: Global market share 5.8% 2000: One out of 67 international travellers originates in Mainland China 2010: One out of 16 international travellers originates in Mainland China Powered by
  • 7. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute Share of Chinese outbound travels during three quinquenniums 1995-2009 (Source: CNTA / COTRI, no reliable data available before 1995) More than 60% of all travels happening in last quinquennium 2005-2009 1995-1999 12% 2000-2004 2005-2009 27% 61% Powered by
  • 8. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute Chinese outbound travels projection for current quinquennium 2010-2014 a) projected increase according to State Council planning b) projected increase if growth rate equals 2000-04/2005-09 500,0 450,0 400,0 350,0 300,0 250,0 200,0 150,0 100,0 50,0 0,0 1995- 2000- 2005- 2010- 2010- 1999 2004 2009 2014a 2014b Outbound Travels 40,6 88,3 199,8 309,9 451,5 Powered by
  • 9. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute Market Segments Segmentation of market in - low price/bad quality mass market For the “Europe-from-the-Coach-Window” mass market there is still a queue of at least 100 million Chinese waiting for their turn to get their photo in front of the Eiffel tower. and - “FIT” / “Semi-FIT”, ”MICE” high-end market "We didn't want to go on a group tour since these can be very rushed, taking in too many countries over a short period of time. We think we handle independent travel quite well since we were all in Singapore last Spring Festival when we also went to Thailand. We think we will be able to get around Italy by ourselves.” (China Daily 28- 01-2011) January 2011: 456 million Internet users 32% Internet penetration rate. Powered by
  • 10. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute China Outbound Tourism 2011: Good news – not only because of quantitative growth but also because of qualitative developments: 1.Political support for outbound tourism 2.Greater interest in in-depth travels 3.Easy access to passports and hard currency Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011 Powered by
  • 11. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute China Outbound Tourism 2011: 1. Political support for outbound tourism by Chinese Central Government: • On November 25th 2009, a State Council executive meeting chaired by Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao adopted the “Statement on Accelerating the Tourism Industry Development” which declared a planned annual increase of 9% for outbound tourism. • In the 12th Five-Year Plan for the first time the development of outbound tourism is actively promoted instead of being hindered by the Chinese government. Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011 Powered by
  • 12. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute China Outbound Tourism 2011: 2. Greater interest in in-depth travels: “… one of the remarkable characteristics of China tourism in 2010 was the detailed market segmentation. When the normal tourism market was still the main component of tourism section, special interest groups were forming as well. Some special attractive long-distance and niche market focused tourism products which were offered by tour operators both inside and outside China turned out to be very successful.” Prof. Zhang Guangrui Development of China's Outbound Tourism 2010 in: Green Book of China's Tourism 2011 Niche market and special interest products offer opportunities to attract Chinese visitors Powered by
  • 13. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute China Outbound Tourism 2011: 3. Less bureaucratic problems from the Chinese side: • 140 ADS agreements with all important destinations signed • Access to passports and hard currency relatively easy • Individual tourist visa agreements with Asian and some European countries • More choice of destinations and tours than ever Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011 Powered by
  • 14. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute China Outbound Tourism 2011: But complaints about many destinations: • Visa problems still existing • (Perceived) Safety problems given extensive media attention in China • Quality level often not according to Chinese expectations • Not enough visible dedication to Chinese market Exhibitors Workshop April 12, 2011 Powered by
  • 15. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute Chinese Outbound Mass and New Tourists will continue to travel all over the world in growing numbers, but with specific demands and growing expectations. Are you ready? www.patastore.com Powered by
  • 16. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute Thanks We are here to answer all your questions: - Now - COTTM 2011 COTRI Stand 2000 - www.china-outbound.com and - www.chinatraveltrends.com Powered by
  • 17. China Outbound Tourism Research Institute COTRI Events during COTTM 2011 1) CTW Award 2011 Ceremony Thursday April 14, 10.00 to 12.00 h COTTM 2011 Theatre Language: English 2) Book Presentation Green Book of China’s Tourism 2011 China’s Tourism Development Analysis and Forecast Thursday April 14, 13.30 to 14.15 h COTTM 2011 Theatre Language: English and Chinese 3) Exhibitors Debrief Workshop Friday April 15, 10.00 to 12.00 h COTTM 2011 VIP Room Language: English Powered by