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Amtrak Ridership Growth
                 &
Intercity Passenger Rail Development




              Ray Lang

       Amtrak Government Affairs
      & Corporate Communications
Amtrak Then and Now




                                     • On our opening day in 1971,
                                       Amtrak operated 184 trains

                                     • Today, even after numerous
                                       route closures and system
                                       cutbacks, we operate

 Daily train densities on Amtrak’s      305 daily trains
      national system, 2010
Every day on Amtrak:




                       We run trains over a 21,000
                       mile system – 60% of them at
                       90+ mph
We carry more than 82,000
passengers per day
And we operate and maintain a
railroad that carries about a quarter
of a million riders – every day!
Amtrak Ridership Growth Record
   Another Amtrak Ridership

                      44% increase in Amtrak ridership from FY 2000 - FY 2011
                  • In FY 2011, Amtrakrecord of nearly 30.2 million passengers in FY 2011 passengers
                                •All-time carried an all-time record of 30,186,733
                    (up 5.1 percent vs. annual routes setrecord set recordsthe FY 2011
                                  •New
                                       •26 of 44
                                          FY 2010)
                                                 ridership
                                                           ridership
                                                                     in 8 of
                                                                             in
                                                                                last 9 years

                  • 31,000,000 is the best ridership performance by Amtrak in its 40 year
                     FY 2011
                    30,000,000 The previous record was set in FY 2010 at 28.7 million million
                     history.                                                         30.2


                     passengers.
                    29,000,000
                  28,000,000
Total Ridership




                  • 27,000,000 has now set new ridership records in eight of the last nine years.
                     Amtrak
                  26,000,000
                  • 25,000,000 ridership is up 44 percent since FY 2000.
                     Amtrak
                  24,000,000
                  • 23,000,000
                     In FY 2011, 26 of 44 Amtrak routes set new ridership records.
                  22,000,000
                  • 21,000,000
                     In FY 2011, the number of Amtrak routes with ridership of more than one
                    20,000,000passengers grew to seven (up from five in FY 2010)
                     million      20.9 million
                            00


                                   01


                                          02




                                                                       06


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                                 20




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                                                                                               20


                                                                                                      20


                                                                                                             20
                                                                    Fiscal Year
                                                                    New ridership record set

                                                                                                                    Revised October 2011
Amtrak Ridership Growth


  • In FY 2011, the state-supported and short distance routes had their best
    year ever with 14.8 million passengers (up 6.5 percent vs. FY 2010)
        - Specifically, 20 of 27 routes in this category set new ridership
          records

  • In FY 2011, the long-distance trains had their best ridership in 16 years
    with 4.5 million passengers (up 1.1 percent vs. FY 2010)
        - Specifically, 5 of 15 routes in this category set new ridership records

  • If not for several significant weather-related and construction-related
    service disruptions, the Amtrak ridership numbers would likely have been
    even better

  • In FY 2011, Amtrak collected an all-time record of nearly $1.9 billion in
    ticket revenue (up 8.5 percent vs. FY 2010)
Amtrak Ridership and Funding
Intercity passenger transportation in the United States
                                                                           Federal Investment in Transportation, 1949-2008
                             70
                                                                                                             (2009 Constant Dollars. Time Axis Not to Scale.)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Since WWII, Federal
                             60                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           government has vastly
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          expanded investment in
                                                                        Highway
                                                                        Air
                             50


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          aviation and highways
                                                                        Intercity Passenger Rail
               $ Billions




                             40




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • Since Amtrak was created to
                             30



                             20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          take over rail passenger
                             10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          service in 1971, Federal
                             0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            investment in intercity
                                                          1955

                                                                    1957




                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1991
                                  1949

                                          1951

                                                 1953




                                                                             1959

                                                                                    1961

                                                                                           1963

                                                                                                    1965

                                                                                                                  1967

                                                                                                                           1969

                                                                                                                                  1971

                                                                                                                                         1973

                                                                                                                                                 1975

                                                                                                                                                               1977

                                                                                                                                                                        1979

                                                                                                                                                                               1981

                                                                                                                                                                                      1983

                                                                                                                                                                                              1985

                                                                                                                                                                                                        1987

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1989



                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1993

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1995

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1997

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1999

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2001

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2003

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2005

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2007
  1,200
                                                                                                                                                                  Fiscal Year
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          passenger rail has been
                                                                                                     U.S. Intercity Travel Trends by Modal Share, 1929-2004
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          dwarfed by investment in
  1,000
                                                                                                   Airport &
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          competing modes
                                                            B-707                                 Airway Trust
                                                          in Service                              Fund Created

                   800
                                                                                                                                   Interstate System
                                                                                                                                    80% Complete                                                                                                                                                        • For every dollar Federal
Passenger Miles (billions)




                   600

                                                  Interstate
                                                                                                                         Amtrak
                                                                                                                         Created
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          government spent on rail
                   400
                                                   System
                                                   Started                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                between 1956 and 2006, it
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Bus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Auto
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          spent:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Air

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          – $6 on aviation
                   200
                                         WWII
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Rail




                             0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          – $16 on highways
                                          1944

                                                   1951




                                                                                             1967




                                                                                                                                          1975

                                                                                                                                                        1977




                                                                                                                                                                                                 1985




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1993

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1995




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2003
                                 1929




                                                                 1961

                                                                           1963

                                                                                    1965




                                                                                                           1969

                                                                                                                         1971

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                                                                                                                                                                      1979

                                                                                                                                                                               1981

                                                                                                                                                                                       1983




                                                                                                                                                                                                               1987

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1991




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1997

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1999

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2001
Long Distance trains are an important public service

                                       States served only by Long Distance
  • On half of our system, the only                   Trains

    form of service                   Idaho             Arkansas
                                      Montana           Louisiana
    – 23 of 46 states
                                      North Dakota      Mississippi
    – 223 of 500+ stations            Minnesota         Alabama
                                      Iowa              Georgia
  • Major generators of revenue       Nebraska          Florida
    and passenger mileage in FY       Kansas            Tennessee
    2011                              Colorado          South Carolina
                                      Utah              Kentucky
  • Since 2006, LD ridership and      Nevada            Ohio
    ticket revenue have grown         Arizona           West Virginia
    substantially                     New Mexico
Amtrak trains provide vital service to rural communities


                                                   States with least
• Amtrak serves about 40% of America’s           comprehensive rural
  rural population                               population coverage

                                                  North
                                                                Nebraska
• Percentage of rural population without          Dakota

  access to scheduled intercity                   South
                                                                 Kansas
  transportation (rail, air, bus) rising          Dakota

                                                                 West
• Sharp reductions in intercity bus service      Alabama
                                                                 Virginia
  have cut rural coverage
                                                Wyoming         Montana

• Rural coverage is highly uneven
                                                Kentucky        Arkansas

                                                Green indicates Amtrak
                                                serves the state; red
                                                indicates Amtrak does not

                                                Source: BTS
The Amtrak system today…
…and as it would look without the long distance trains
Long Distance Network as a Foundation for Corridors


  • Being studied now in Texas, Louisiana, Minnesota and Kansas
    – East Texas Corridor, Ft. Worth to Shreveport/Bossier City (Texas
      Eagle route addition/frequency increase)
    – Minneapolis/St. Paul to Chicago (Empire Builder frequency
      increase)
    – Kansas City/Newton to Oklahoma City/Ft. Worth (Southwest
      Chief/Heartland Flyer route addition/frequency increase)

  • Leverages existing Amtrak stations/infrastructure and frequencies
    – Significantly less cost than adding all-new or restoring previous routes
    – Historically successful in California/Pacific Northwest, Chicago Hub,
      Northeast
    – Improves financial performance of current Amtrak services

  • Partnerships with State DOT’s and local entities
    – Fastest growing part of our business
One Size Does NOT Fit All

  • Amtrak has contracts to operate services in 15 states

  • Some are individual contracts with state DOT’s for services that
    operate across state lines, such as
                                           200,000 passengers
    – Blue Water and Pere Marquette in Michigan (to/from Chicago without
      Indiana stops and without funding from Indiana and Illinois)
                                                               77,000 passengers
    – Vermont (Vermonter to/from New York City with stops in New Hampshire,
      Massachusetts and Connecticut but without funding from those states)

  • Some are across state lines with shared state DOT funding
    – Hiawatha Service shared between Illinois and Wisconsin   800,000 passengers

    – Cascades shared between Oregon and Washington      200,000 passengers

    – Heartland Flyer shared between Texas and Oklahoma    84,000 passengers


  • Some are across state lines with a regional entity
    – Downeaster between Portland, Maine, and Boston 520,000 passengers
       - Northern New England Passenger Rail Authority (NNEPRA) created by
         Maine and funded with state and federal DOT funds with stops in New
         Hampshire and Massachusetts but without funding from those states
One Size Does NOT Fit All
  • California
    – Capitol Corridor Joint Powers Authority contracts with Amtrak for train
      operations and with Bay Area Rapid Transit with funding from California DOT
      for Capitol Corridor trains between the Bay Area and Sacramento/Auburn
       - Six local transit agencies in eight counties 1.7 million passengers
       - Two metropolitan planning organizations
                                                      2.8 million passengers
    – San Luis Obispo-Los Angeles-San Diego (Pacific Surfliner service) corridor
      and Oakland-Sacramento-Bakersfield corridor (San Joaquin service)
       - Controlled directly by California DOT (Caltrans) 1.1 million passengers
       - Pending legislation creates new Joint Powers Authorities for these corridors

  • Minnesota
    – Chicago-Twin Cities service being studied by Minnesota DOT with additional
      funding from the City of LaCrosse, Wisc., without active participation by
      Wisconsin DOT
    – Twin Cities-Duluth being studied by Northern Lights Express, a joint powers
      board of six counties that contributes as an alliance with funds from property
      or sales taxes and grants, without active participation by Minnesota DOT.
      State law gives counties authority to form regional railroad authorities and
      levy local taxes for them.
What does the future hold?




                38% population growth                                      • Population
                by 2050
                                                          18% population
                                                          growth by 2050     – 2000: 281M
         36% population growth      17% population
         by 2050                    growth by 2050                           – 2050: 420M

                 31% population growth                                     • Distribution:
                 by 2050
                                                                             – 2000: 60% in
                         38% population                                        single-detached
                         growth by 2050
                                                                               houses
                                         46% population
                                         growth by 2050                      – 2050: 70% will live
              62% population
              growth by 2050                                                   in “megaregions”
                                                          45% population       surrounding
                                                          growth by 2050       urban areas
                                35% population
                                growth by 2050
Source: Regional Plan Association
What are the implications?


  • People are moving to areas where
    – Transportation network is stressed
    – Taxes and cost of living are high
    – Infrastructure and energy networks are already burdened –
      and it’s hard to build more

  • Demand for everything is growing in areas where it’s hardest to
    satisfy

  • Cheap and readily available oil underpins everything
    – Transportation
    – Economy
    – Daily life
Passenger rail is a better travel choice
        Share of CO2 Emissions, by mode                                                                                                   Passenger capacity per meter
                                                                                                                                              of infrastructure width
                     2.4%
                                                                        Passenger cars

                2.7%                                                    Light-duty                                              10000
                                                                        trucks                                                  9000
              2.3%                                                      All other trucks
                                                                                                                                8000
       9.1%




                                                                                                             Persons per hour
                                                                        Busses                                                  7000
    0.6%                                 33.9%
                                                                                                                                6000
                                                                        Aircraft
                                                                                                                                5000
                                                                                                                                                                                      9000
   21.4%                                                                Ships and                                               4000
                                                                        boats                                                   3000
                            27.5%                                       Rail                                                                                            5200
                                                                                                                                2000
                                                                        Other                                                   1000       200            1500
                                                                                                                                   0
Source: US DOT, 2008 Trans Stats Annual Report                                                                                             Auto           Bus         Bus lane         Rail
                                                                                                                                                                                              Source: UIC
                                                                                                                                                                     (separate)
                                                                       Energy Intensity of competing modes
                                                                       4000
                                                                       3500
                                                 BTUs/passenger mile




                                                                       3000
                                                                       2500
                                                                       2000
                                                                                                                                        3437
                                                                       1500         2995
                                                                                                      2398
                                                                       1000
                                                                       500
                                                                         0
                                                                                   Aviation          Amtrak                             Auto
                                                                                              Mode of transportation
                                                                                                                                               Source: U.S. DOE, Transportation Energy Data Book
Operating Efficiency
                                                             Farebox Recovery Ratio
                              TRE (Dallas)
                            NM Rail Runner
                           TRE (Ft. Worth)
                                 CONNDOT
                    Utah Transit Authority
                Music City Star (Nashville)
                        Tri-Rail (South FL)
                             Sound Transit
                                     MARC
       Altamont Commuter Express (ACE)
                        NCTD - San Diego
                                 Alaska RR
                          Metra (Chicago)
                             VRE (Virginia)
                                    Caltrain
                                       LIRR
                     South Shore (NICTD)
                             Metrolink (LA)
                           MBTA( Boston)
                                  NJ Transit
                                     SEPTA
                          VIA Rail Canada
           Metro-North Commuter Railroad
                                     Amtrak


                                                 0          10    20    30     40        50   60          70
Source: APTA, VIA, NMDOT and Amtrak
All data calendar year 2008, except NM Rail Runner (2009)               Recovery Ratio

                  We are the American rail industry’s authority on getting the most from of our service
Equipment utilization

                                   Average annual car miles, In thousands
                            Alaska RR
                            CONNDOT
                                  VRE
                         TRE (Dallas)
                        Sound Transit
           Music City Star (Nashville)
                                MARC
                   NCTD - San Diego
  Altamont Commuter Express(ACE)
                                 Metra
                      MBTA (Boston)
                               SEPTA
                               Caltrain
                             NJ Transit
                        Metrolink (LA)
                      TRE (Ft. Worth)
                 South Shore NICTD
      Metro-North Commuter Railroad
               Utah Transit Authority
                                  LIRR
                   Tri-Rail (South FL)
                               Surfliner
                               Horizon
                              Amfleet I
                              Heritage
                      Amtrak All cars
                             Amfleet II
                              Viewliner
                             Superliner


                                           0         50          100         150          200
                                               Average Annual car mileage, in thousands

         No other North American passenger operator gets as much out of their equipment
What can we do?


  • A new surface transportation policy must break the funding silos
    and must be revolutionary – so that we can address these
    problems:
    – Environmental and land acquisition processes are time-consuming
    – Regulatory burdens are formidable – and ironically, some are products
      of the Interstate highway development process

  • Federal government must take a more active role (and the FRA is
    off to a good start)

  • Without rail, we will get a highway bill – but it won’t be a surface
    transportation policy
Key Concepts

                                        • Existing system serves as a foundation for
                                          development
                                              – Terminal facilities
                                              – Suitable segments are upgraded
                                              – Existing network feeds high speed operations

                                        • Most foreign systems have developed in this
                                          incremental fashion
                                              – France
                                                - LGV lines use major terminals at endpoints
                                                 - Speeds gradually upgraded as technology
                                                  permitted
                                              – Germany
                                                 - High speed equipment preceded high speed lines
                                                 - Gradual introduction of faster track segments
St. Pancras Station, London – then, and now       allowed ICE trains to realize their capabilities


                                                                                               23
What should we resist?


   • The temptation to resort to 1960s solutions
     – Build a lane
     – Add an interchange

   • Investing in infrastructure with a 30 year lifespan

   • Planning for short-term growth

   • Funding by mode – rather than developing a flexible, resilient,
     and connected system
A 1960s
                          solution –
                          That doesn’t
                          work today


                                                 A New Surface
                                                 Transportation
                                                  Act
                                                 Can Lead To
                                                 Smart Choices




Rail is the solution we need – safer, greener, healthier!

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Rbl louisiana presentation

  • 1. Amtrak Ridership Growth & Intercity Passenger Rail Development Ray Lang Amtrak Government Affairs & Corporate Communications
  • 2. Amtrak Then and Now • On our opening day in 1971, Amtrak operated 184 trains • Today, even after numerous route closures and system cutbacks, we operate Daily train densities on Amtrak’s 305 daily trains national system, 2010
  • 3. Every day on Amtrak: We run trains over a 21,000 mile system – 60% of them at 90+ mph
  • 4. We carry more than 82,000 passengers per day
  • 5. And we operate and maintain a railroad that carries about a quarter of a million riders – every day!
  • 6. Amtrak Ridership Growth Record Another Amtrak Ridership 44% increase in Amtrak ridership from FY 2000 - FY 2011 • In FY 2011, Amtrakrecord of nearly 30.2 million passengers in FY 2011 passengers •All-time carried an all-time record of 30,186,733 (up 5.1 percent vs. annual routes setrecord set recordsthe FY 2011 •New •26 of 44 FY 2010) ridership ridership in 8 of in last 9 years • 31,000,000 is the best ridership performance by Amtrak in its 40 year FY 2011 30,000,000 The previous record was set in FY 2010 at 28.7 million million history.  30.2 passengers. 29,000,000 28,000,000 Total Ridership • 27,000,000 has now set new ridership records in eight of the last nine years. Amtrak 26,000,000 • 25,000,000 ridership is up 44 percent since FY 2000. Amtrak 24,000,000 • 23,000,000 In FY 2011, 26 of 44 Amtrak routes set new ridership records. 22,000,000 • 21,000,000 In FY 2011, the number of Amtrak routes with ridership of more than one 20,000,000passengers grew to seven (up from five in FY 2010) million 20.9 million 00 01 02 06 07 08 09 10 11 03 04 05 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Fiscal Year New ridership record set Revised October 2011
  • 7. Amtrak Ridership Growth • In FY 2011, the state-supported and short distance routes had their best year ever with 14.8 million passengers (up 6.5 percent vs. FY 2010) - Specifically, 20 of 27 routes in this category set new ridership records • In FY 2011, the long-distance trains had their best ridership in 16 years with 4.5 million passengers (up 1.1 percent vs. FY 2010) - Specifically, 5 of 15 routes in this category set new ridership records • If not for several significant weather-related and construction-related service disruptions, the Amtrak ridership numbers would likely have been even better • In FY 2011, Amtrak collected an all-time record of nearly $1.9 billion in ticket revenue (up 8.5 percent vs. FY 2010)
  • 9. Intercity passenger transportation in the United States Federal Investment in Transportation, 1949-2008 70 (2009 Constant Dollars. Time Axis Not to Scale.) • Since WWII, Federal 60 government has vastly expanded investment in Highway Air 50 aviation and highways Intercity Passenger Rail $ Billions 40 • Since Amtrak was created to 30 20 take over rail passenger 10 service in 1971, Federal 0 investment in intercity 1955 1957 1991 1949 1951 1953 1959 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 1,200 Fiscal Year passenger rail has been U.S. Intercity Travel Trends by Modal Share, 1929-2004 dwarfed by investment in 1,000 Airport & competing modes B-707 Airway Trust in Service Fund Created 800 Interstate System 80% Complete • For every dollar Federal Passenger Miles (billions) 600 Interstate Amtrak Created government spent on rail 400 System Started between 1956 and 2006, it Bus Auto spent: Air – $6 on aviation 200 WWII Rail 0 – $16 on highways 1944 1951 1967 1975 1977 1985 1993 1995 2003 1929 1961 1963 1965 1969 1971 1973 1979 1981 1983 1987 1989 1991 1997 1999 2001
  • 10. Long Distance trains are an important public service States served only by Long Distance • On half of our system, the only Trains form of service Idaho Arkansas Montana Louisiana – 23 of 46 states North Dakota Mississippi – 223 of 500+ stations Minnesota Alabama Iowa Georgia • Major generators of revenue Nebraska Florida and passenger mileage in FY Kansas Tennessee 2011 Colorado South Carolina Utah Kentucky • Since 2006, LD ridership and Nevada Ohio ticket revenue have grown Arizona West Virginia substantially New Mexico
  • 11. Amtrak trains provide vital service to rural communities States with least • Amtrak serves about 40% of America’s comprehensive rural rural population population coverage North Nebraska • Percentage of rural population without Dakota access to scheduled intercity South Kansas transportation (rail, air, bus) rising Dakota West • Sharp reductions in intercity bus service Alabama Virginia have cut rural coverage Wyoming Montana • Rural coverage is highly uneven Kentucky Arkansas Green indicates Amtrak serves the state; red indicates Amtrak does not Source: BTS
  • 12. The Amtrak system today…
  • 13. …and as it would look without the long distance trains
  • 14. Long Distance Network as a Foundation for Corridors • Being studied now in Texas, Louisiana, Minnesota and Kansas – East Texas Corridor, Ft. Worth to Shreveport/Bossier City (Texas Eagle route addition/frequency increase) – Minneapolis/St. Paul to Chicago (Empire Builder frequency increase) – Kansas City/Newton to Oklahoma City/Ft. Worth (Southwest Chief/Heartland Flyer route addition/frequency increase) • Leverages existing Amtrak stations/infrastructure and frequencies – Significantly less cost than adding all-new or restoring previous routes – Historically successful in California/Pacific Northwest, Chicago Hub, Northeast – Improves financial performance of current Amtrak services • Partnerships with State DOT’s and local entities – Fastest growing part of our business
  • 15. One Size Does NOT Fit All • Amtrak has contracts to operate services in 15 states • Some are individual contracts with state DOT’s for services that operate across state lines, such as 200,000 passengers – Blue Water and Pere Marquette in Michigan (to/from Chicago without Indiana stops and without funding from Indiana and Illinois) 77,000 passengers – Vermont (Vermonter to/from New York City with stops in New Hampshire, Massachusetts and Connecticut but without funding from those states) • Some are across state lines with shared state DOT funding – Hiawatha Service shared between Illinois and Wisconsin 800,000 passengers – Cascades shared between Oregon and Washington 200,000 passengers – Heartland Flyer shared between Texas and Oklahoma 84,000 passengers • Some are across state lines with a regional entity – Downeaster between Portland, Maine, and Boston 520,000 passengers - Northern New England Passenger Rail Authority (NNEPRA) created by Maine and funded with state and federal DOT funds with stops in New Hampshire and Massachusetts but without funding from those states
  • 16. One Size Does NOT Fit All • California – Capitol Corridor Joint Powers Authority contracts with Amtrak for train operations and with Bay Area Rapid Transit with funding from California DOT for Capitol Corridor trains between the Bay Area and Sacramento/Auburn - Six local transit agencies in eight counties 1.7 million passengers - Two metropolitan planning organizations 2.8 million passengers – San Luis Obispo-Los Angeles-San Diego (Pacific Surfliner service) corridor and Oakland-Sacramento-Bakersfield corridor (San Joaquin service) - Controlled directly by California DOT (Caltrans) 1.1 million passengers - Pending legislation creates new Joint Powers Authorities for these corridors • Minnesota – Chicago-Twin Cities service being studied by Minnesota DOT with additional funding from the City of LaCrosse, Wisc., without active participation by Wisconsin DOT – Twin Cities-Duluth being studied by Northern Lights Express, a joint powers board of six counties that contributes as an alliance with funds from property or sales taxes and grants, without active participation by Minnesota DOT. State law gives counties authority to form regional railroad authorities and levy local taxes for them.
  • 17. What does the future hold? 38% population growth • Population by 2050 18% population growth by 2050 – 2000: 281M 36% population growth 17% population by 2050 growth by 2050 – 2050: 420M 31% population growth • Distribution: by 2050 – 2000: 60% in 38% population single-detached growth by 2050 houses 46% population growth by 2050 – 2050: 70% will live 62% population growth by 2050 in “megaregions” 45% population surrounding growth by 2050 urban areas 35% population growth by 2050 Source: Regional Plan Association
  • 18. What are the implications? • People are moving to areas where – Transportation network is stressed – Taxes and cost of living are high – Infrastructure and energy networks are already burdened – and it’s hard to build more • Demand for everything is growing in areas where it’s hardest to satisfy • Cheap and readily available oil underpins everything – Transportation – Economy – Daily life
  • 19. Passenger rail is a better travel choice Share of CO2 Emissions, by mode Passenger capacity per meter of infrastructure width 2.4% Passenger cars 2.7% Light-duty 10000 trucks 9000 2.3% All other trucks 8000 9.1% Persons per hour Busses 7000 0.6% 33.9% 6000 Aircraft 5000 9000 21.4% Ships and 4000 boats 3000 27.5% Rail 5200 2000 Other 1000 200 1500 0 Source: US DOT, 2008 Trans Stats Annual Report Auto Bus Bus lane Rail Source: UIC (separate) Energy Intensity of competing modes 4000 3500 BTUs/passenger mile 3000 2500 2000 3437 1500 2995 2398 1000 500 0 Aviation Amtrak Auto Mode of transportation Source: U.S. DOE, Transportation Energy Data Book
  • 20. Operating Efficiency Farebox Recovery Ratio TRE (Dallas) NM Rail Runner TRE (Ft. Worth) CONNDOT Utah Transit Authority Music City Star (Nashville) Tri-Rail (South FL) Sound Transit MARC Altamont Commuter Express (ACE) NCTD - San Diego Alaska RR Metra (Chicago) VRE (Virginia) Caltrain LIRR South Shore (NICTD) Metrolink (LA) MBTA( Boston) NJ Transit SEPTA VIA Rail Canada Metro-North Commuter Railroad Amtrak 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Source: APTA, VIA, NMDOT and Amtrak All data calendar year 2008, except NM Rail Runner (2009) Recovery Ratio We are the American rail industry’s authority on getting the most from of our service
  • 21. Equipment utilization Average annual car miles, In thousands Alaska RR CONNDOT VRE TRE (Dallas) Sound Transit Music City Star (Nashville) MARC NCTD - San Diego Altamont Commuter Express(ACE) Metra MBTA (Boston) SEPTA Caltrain NJ Transit Metrolink (LA) TRE (Ft. Worth) South Shore NICTD Metro-North Commuter Railroad Utah Transit Authority LIRR Tri-Rail (South FL) Surfliner Horizon Amfleet I Heritage Amtrak All cars Amfleet II Viewliner Superliner 0 50 100 150 200 Average Annual car mileage, in thousands No other North American passenger operator gets as much out of their equipment
  • 22. What can we do? • A new surface transportation policy must break the funding silos and must be revolutionary – so that we can address these problems: – Environmental and land acquisition processes are time-consuming – Regulatory burdens are formidable – and ironically, some are products of the Interstate highway development process • Federal government must take a more active role (and the FRA is off to a good start) • Without rail, we will get a highway bill – but it won’t be a surface transportation policy
  • 23. Key Concepts • Existing system serves as a foundation for development – Terminal facilities – Suitable segments are upgraded – Existing network feeds high speed operations • Most foreign systems have developed in this incremental fashion – France - LGV lines use major terminals at endpoints - Speeds gradually upgraded as technology permitted – Germany - High speed equipment preceded high speed lines - Gradual introduction of faster track segments St. Pancras Station, London – then, and now allowed ICE trains to realize their capabilities 23
  • 24. What should we resist? • The temptation to resort to 1960s solutions – Build a lane – Add an interchange • Investing in infrastructure with a 30 year lifespan • Planning for short-term growth • Funding by mode – rather than developing a flexible, resilient, and connected system
  • 25. A 1960s solution – That doesn’t work today A New Surface Transportation Act Can Lead To Smart Choices Rail is the solution we need – safer, greener, healthier!

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. FY 13 Grant Requests (and FY 12 Actual Funding) $1.435 million for Capital ($681 million in FY 12) $450 million for Operating ($466 million in FY 12) $212 million for Debt Service ($271 million in FY 12) Total is $2.167 million ($1.418 in FY 12) Current Approps Status Senate has marked Amtrak up for $1.45B A passenger rail grant program will be funded at $100 million TIGER likely to be funded at $500 million
  2. Amtrak operates 15 long distance trains In many areas, only Amtrak service, in some areas, only form of scheduled intercity transportation Travel as far as 2,400 miles, pass through as many as 12 states In many rural areas, the only scheduled intercity travel choice Major generators of revenue and passenger mileage in FY 2011 Generated 14.9% of Amtrak’s ridership, but 25% of ticket revenues LD trains carried 42% of passengers with disabilities who used Amtrak (total of 130,004) Sleeping cars generated 15% of LD passengers, but 36% of LD ticket revenues Since 2006, LD ridership and ticket revenue have grown substantially Significant improvements in on-time performance since 2006 LD ridership has grown by more than 21% LD ticket revenue has grown more than 34%
  3. Amtrak serves about 40% of America’s rural population Percentage of rural population without access to scheduled intercity transportation (rail, air, bus) rising 4% of America’s rural population lost their access in 5 years (2005-2010) 152 of 528 Amtrak stations serve rural areas Sharp reductions in intercity bus service have cut rural coverage Busses serve 11% fewer rural Americans in 2010 than 2005 About 15.7% of rural residents enjoy access to only one mode Number of Americans who are served only by Amtrak has tripled since 2005 (~300K to ~900K) Rural coverage is highly uneven In 26 states, 90+% of rural residents live within 25 miles of at least 1 mode In the average state, 78% of rural residents live within 25 miles of at least one mode In ten states, fewer than 78% of rural residents have access to any scheduled intercity transportation Coverage has fallen since 2005 in 8 of these 10 states