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Ganges Basin Development Challenge


Objective: Improve resource productivity and increase the resilience
of agriculture and aquaculture systems of brackish coastal areas of
the Ganges
Ganges Basin:




Ganges Basin Area
= 1,087,300 sq. km
Study Area:


Ganges Dependent Area
    in Bangladesh

Project Target Area:
Coastal Zone of the Ganges basin in
Bangladesh except the Sundarbans

Coastal Divisions:
Barisal: Patuakhali, Barguna, Jhalakati &
Pirojpur districts
Khulna:
Khulna & Satkhira districts
Problems and Challenges in the Coastal Region of Bangladesh
                                     Salinity intrusion
Sea level rise



                                                   Increase in precipitation in monsoon
       Salinity intrusion
            Salinity Intrusion                            Decrease in precipitation in dry season


                                            Water RelatedDevelopments: frequency of tropical cyclone
                                              Important Issues:
                                                               Increased


                                           •Water, land and ecosystem management
                                               •Coastal Zone Policy                Added siltation on the
                                           •Community participation in water management
                                               •Coastal Development Strategy drainage route
                                           •Equitable allocation of multi-purpose cyclone
                                               •Priority investment program
                                 Flood         •Community capacity to enhance livelihoods
                                           shelters
                                          Cyclone
                                               •Enabling institutional environment
                                           •Rationalization of coastal polders
                                               •Integrated knowledge base
                                           • Restoration of inflow to the Ganges distributary by
                                           basin wide management
                                           •Salinity intrusion             Water logging
                                           •Drainage congestions & Sedimentation
                                           •Climate change and climate variability
Drivers of Change: Participatory Approach
DRIVERS                                          PRESSURE/CONSEQUENCES
Demographic/Societal                             Water demand & use
Population growth, Land use change              Loss of biodiversity and
                                                 wetlands
Economic/Trade                                   Shift in land use
Economic develpopment (change in per            Water Demand, water
capiata income)                                  Pollution
Market value of agricultural products           Roads, railway & ports
Political/Institutional/Legal                    Improved Irrigation and
Water policy (national and regional)            drainage system, Water
                                                 availability in the dry season
Environmental/Climate Change                     Fresh water shortage,
Sea level rise due to Climate Change            Salinity intrusion, Flood
Changes in precipitation and temperature due    Sedimentation
to Climate Change , Subsidence                   More Cyclone & Storm
                                                 surge
Technological/Important Innovations              Enhanced knowledge and
 aquaculture and agriculture intensification,   use of HYV
Water infrastructure development                 Enabling environment
Community Consultation at Polder 30

                                    Place: Kismat-fultola, Batiaghata
                                    Participant: Fishermen (6 women, 9 men)


                          Priority Issue
                              1      Stop leasing the canals
                              2      Stop placing ‘net’, ‘pata’, ‘charu’ or obstruction in the canals/river
                              3      Increase depth and flow in canals
                              4         Place: Fultola, Batiaghata
                                     Stop catching mother fish carrying eggs
                              5         Participant: Farmers (3 women, 20 men)
                                     Reduce using pesticides for agriculture
Priority Issue                 6      Stop unnecessary catching of juvenile fish of other species
   1     Increase of water level & salinity intrusion, Polder needs to be raised, some of the
                               7      Stop complete drying of canals while irrigation so that some fish/e
         existing gates need to be repaired and new gates are required to be constructed
                                      survive/remain in the canals for future growth
   2     Need improvement in drainage and excavation of new drains/canals, new sluice
         gates/inlet-outlet
   3     WGMs want to be able to operate the gates themselves and to lease the ‘Khas
         lands’ near the embankment and gates to generate funds for their activities.
   4     Stop leasing of the canals
   5     Solve the problem of river siltation and improve navigation
   6     Water management through public representation and partnership
   7     Capacity building and training
Percentage
           Population Growth
                                                                                                             6.5%


        Changes in Water Mgt

                Sea level rise
                                                                                                 6.1% 5.9%




            Land use change

               Water Sharing
                                                                                       5.7% 5.7%




          Transboundary flow

    Aquaculture intensification

     Economic Develpopment

                  Urbanization

          Water infrastructure…
                                                                      5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4%




     Changes in precipitation
                                                                    5.2%




                 Water Policy
                                                              4.8%




              Industrialization

        Water Governance &…
                                                        4.6% 4.6%




           Water Use change
                                                                                                               Preliminary Results of Questionnaire Survey




Market Value of Agro Products
                                                  4.4% 4.3%




     Changes in temperature
                                                 4.2%




              Dietary patterns
                                          3.2%




    Water Pricing & Insurance
                                   2.8%
Hydrologic Trend Analysis in the Study Area:
Trend Analysis of Ganges River Discharge
                                     Hardinge Bridge on the Ganges                          • Increasing trend of
                   90000                                                                    annual maximum flow
                   80000
                                                                                            • Decreasing trend of
                   70000                                                                    annual minimum flow
                   60000
Discharge (m3/s)




                   50000

                   40000

                   30000

                   20000

                   10000

                       0
                       1930      1940   1950   1960   1970   1980   1990   2000   2010

                           Max Q                 Min Q                 Average Q
                           Linear (Max Q)        Linear (Min Q)        Linear (Average Q)
Hydrologic Variables:Trend Analysis in the
                                   Study Area:
Trend Analysis of Water Level
                                   Hiron Pointon the Pussur River
                                    Hiron Pointon the Pussur River                                 • Rising trend of water
                     4                                                                             level near the sea
                         4

                     3

                         3                                                                         The increase of maximum
                     2
                                                                                                   water level is 6 cm/yr at
Water Level (mPWD)




                                                                                                   Hiron Point in the last 10
                     12
                                                                                                   years.

                     0
                         1
                 -1


                 -2 0
                       1999
                     1980         2001
                                1985           2003
                                            1990          2005
                                                       1995        20002007 2005 2009 2010
                     Max of WL          Max of WL of WL
                                               Min               Linear (Max of WL)of WL
                                                                          Average
                     Linear (Max of WL)        Linear (Min of WL)         Linear (Average of WL)
Salinity (PPT)




             0
                 2
                      4
                           6
                               8
                                                        12

                                      10
 Jan/2005
 Jan/2005
Mar/2005
Apr/2005
May/2005
May/2005
Jun/2005
  Jul/2005
Aug/2005
Sep/2005




                                       Noapara Ghat
Oct/2005
Nov/2005
Dec/2005
 Jan/2006
Feb/2006
Mar/2006
Apr/2006
May/2006
Jun/2006




                                       Fultola Ghat
  Jul/2006
Aug/2006
Sep/2006
Oct/2006
Nov/2006
Dec/2006
 Jan/2007
Feb/2007
Mar/2007
Apr/2007
May/2007
                                       Charerhat Ghat




Jun/2007
  Jul/2007
Aug/2007
Sep/2007
Oct/2007
Nov/2007
Dec/2007
 Jan/2008
Feb/2008
                                       Rupsha Ghat




Mar/2008
Apr/2008
May/2008
Jun/2008
  Jul/2008
Aug/2008
Sep/2008
Oct/2008
                                                                                                             Salinity Trend in the Region




                                       Mollarhat




Nov/2008
Dec/2008
 Jan/2009
Feb/2009
                                                                       Monthly Salinity Monitoring




Mar/2009
Apr/2009
May/2009
Jun/2009
  Jul/2009
Aug/2009
Sep/2009
                                                             (Data Source: Department of Environment, DOE)




Oct/2009
Population growth
                                 140
                                 120
• One of the densely             100
  populated country                80
                                   60
• Projected population             40
                                   20
                                     0
  o 2025: 180million
  o 2050: 220 million                          Rural         Urban

                                         Cropped area
• Urban: 25 million (2001), 80           Population growth

  million (2025) & 140 million
  (2050)
• Reduction of agricultural
  land 1% annually
Coastal Polders in Bangladesh




 In the early sixties and seventies, 125 polders (of which 49
 are sea-facing) were constructed to protect low lying coastal
 areas from tidal flood & salinity intrusion.
G1   IRRI – IWM – LGED - SRDI                                                Trial sites
S elected Polder in coastal zone of Bangladesh and West Bengal
                                           Polder 30 trials and
                                           study watershed

                                Polder 3
                                trials


                                                                    Polder 43/2/F
                                                                    trials




           West Bengal                                            Bangladesh
Impact of SLR on Intrusion of 5ppt Salinity line
                  Dry Season



   Khulna

                                          Barisal




                                                     95 km
                                   Patuakhali
                             Barguna                 Bhola

                                       55 km
Sundarbans
                                                                   0 SLR
            Hiron Point
      Sea Level Rise      Affected area (ha)        Affected Population SLR
                                                                   60 cm
           (SLR)              due to SLR                 due to SLR120 cm SLR
          60cm                       512,590                   4,613,306
         120cm                     1,061,016                   9,549,144
Ganges Global Drivers by Zahirul Khan

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Ganges Global Drivers by Zahirul Khan

  • 1. Ganges Basin Development Challenge Objective: Improve resource productivity and increase the resilience of agriculture and aquaculture systems of brackish coastal areas of the Ganges
  • 2. Ganges Basin: Ganges Basin Area = 1,087,300 sq. km
  • 3. Study Area: Ganges Dependent Area in Bangladesh Project Target Area: Coastal Zone of the Ganges basin in Bangladesh except the Sundarbans Coastal Divisions: Barisal: Patuakhali, Barguna, Jhalakati & Pirojpur districts Khulna: Khulna & Satkhira districts
  • 4. Problems and Challenges in the Coastal Region of Bangladesh Salinity intrusion Sea level rise Increase in precipitation in monsoon Salinity intrusion Salinity Intrusion Decrease in precipitation in dry season Water RelatedDevelopments: frequency of tropical cyclone Important Issues: Increased •Water, land and ecosystem management •Coastal Zone Policy Added siltation on the •Community participation in water management •Coastal Development Strategy drainage route •Equitable allocation of multi-purpose cyclone •Priority investment program Flood •Community capacity to enhance livelihoods shelters Cyclone •Enabling institutional environment •Rationalization of coastal polders •Integrated knowledge base • Restoration of inflow to the Ganges distributary by basin wide management •Salinity intrusion Water logging •Drainage congestions & Sedimentation •Climate change and climate variability
  • 5. Drivers of Change: Participatory Approach DRIVERS PRESSURE/CONSEQUENCES Demographic/Societal Water demand & use Population growth, Land use change Loss of biodiversity and wetlands Economic/Trade Shift in land use Economic develpopment (change in per Water Demand, water capiata income) Pollution Market value of agricultural products Roads, railway & ports Political/Institutional/Legal Improved Irrigation and Water policy (national and regional) drainage system, Water availability in the dry season Environmental/Climate Change Fresh water shortage, Sea level rise due to Climate Change Salinity intrusion, Flood Changes in precipitation and temperature due Sedimentation to Climate Change , Subsidence More Cyclone & Storm surge Technological/Important Innovations Enhanced knowledge and  aquaculture and agriculture intensification, use of HYV Water infrastructure development Enabling environment
  • 6. Community Consultation at Polder 30 Place: Kismat-fultola, Batiaghata Participant: Fishermen (6 women, 9 men) Priority Issue 1 Stop leasing the canals 2 Stop placing ‘net’, ‘pata’, ‘charu’ or obstruction in the canals/river 3 Increase depth and flow in canals 4 Place: Fultola, Batiaghata Stop catching mother fish carrying eggs 5 Participant: Farmers (3 women, 20 men) Reduce using pesticides for agriculture Priority Issue 6 Stop unnecessary catching of juvenile fish of other species 1 Increase of water level & salinity intrusion, Polder needs to be raised, some of the 7 Stop complete drying of canals while irrigation so that some fish/e existing gates need to be repaired and new gates are required to be constructed survive/remain in the canals for future growth 2 Need improvement in drainage and excavation of new drains/canals, new sluice gates/inlet-outlet 3 WGMs want to be able to operate the gates themselves and to lease the ‘Khas lands’ near the embankment and gates to generate funds for their activities. 4 Stop leasing of the canals 5 Solve the problem of river siltation and improve navigation 6 Water management through public representation and partnership 7 Capacity building and training
  • 7. Percentage Population Growth 6.5% Changes in Water Mgt Sea level rise 6.1% 5.9% Land use change Water Sharing 5.7% 5.7% Transboundary flow Aquaculture intensification Economic Develpopment Urbanization Water infrastructure… 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% Changes in precipitation 5.2% Water Policy 4.8% Industrialization Water Governance &… 4.6% 4.6% Water Use change Preliminary Results of Questionnaire Survey Market Value of Agro Products 4.4% 4.3% Changes in temperature 4.2% Dietary patterns 3.2% Water Pricing & Insurance 2.8%
  • 8. Hydrologic Trend Analysis in the Study Area: Trend Analysis of Ganges River Discharge Hardinge Bridge on the Ganges • Increasing trend of 90000 annual maximum flow 80000 • Decreasing trend of 70000 annual minimum flow 60000 Discharge (m3/s) 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Max Q Min Q Average Q Linear (Max Q) Linear (Min Q) Linear (Average Q)
  • 9. Hydrologic Variables:Trend Analysis in the Study Area: Trend Analysis of Water Level Hiron Pointon the Pussur River Hiron Pointon the Pussur River • Rising trend of water 4 level near the sea 4 3 3 The increase of maximum 2 water level is 6 cm/yr at Water Level (mPWD) Hiron Point in the last 10 12 years. 0 1 -1 -2 0 1999 1980 2001 1985 2003 1990 2005 1995 20002007 2005 2009 2010 Max of WL Max of WL of WL Min Linear (Max of WL)of WL Average Linear (Max of WL) Linear (Min of WL) Linear (Average of WL)
  • 10. Salinity (PPT) 0 2 4 6 8 12 10 Jan/2005 Jan/2005 Mar/2005 Apr/2005 May/2005 May/2005 Jun/2005 Jul/2005 Aug/2005 Sep/2005 Noapara Ghat Oct/2005 Nov/2005 Dec/2005 Jan/2006 Feb/2006 Mar/2006 Apr/2006 May/2006 Jun/2006 Fultola Ghat Jul/2006 Aug/2006 Sep/2006 Oct/2006 Nov/2006 Dec/2006 Jan/2007 Feb/2007 Mar/2007 Apr/2007 May/2007 Charerhat Ghat Jun/2007 Jul/2007 Aug/2007 Sep/2007 Oct/2007 Nov/2007 Dec/2007 Jan/2008 Feb/2008 Rupsha Ghat Mar/2008 Apr/2008 May/2008 Jun/2008 Jul/2008 Aug/2008 Sep/2008 Oct/2008 Salinity Trend in the Region Mollarhat Nov/2008 Dec/2008 Jan/2009 Feb/2009 Monthly Salinity Monitoring Mar/2009 Apr/2009 May/2009 Jun/2009 Jul/2009 Aug/2009 Sep/2009 (Data Source: Department of Environment, DOE) Oct/2009
  • 11. Population growth 140 120 • One of the densely 100 populated country 80 60 • Projected population 40 20 0 o 2025: 180million o 2050: 220 million Rural Urban Cropped area • Urban: 25 million (2001), 80 Population growth million (2025) & 140 million (2050) • Reduction of agricultural land 1% annually
  • 12. Coastal Polders in Bangladesh In the early sixties and seventies, 125 polders (of which 49 are sea-facing) were constructed to protect low lying coastal areas from tidal flood & salinity intrusion.
  • 13. G1 IRRI – IWM – LGED - SRDI Trial sites S elected Polder in coastal zone of Bangladesh and West Bengal Polder 30 trials and study watershed Polder 3 trials Polder 43/2/F trials West Bengal Bangladesh
  • 14. Impact of SLR on Intrusion of 5ppt Salinity line Dry Season Khulna Barisal 95 km Patuakhali Barguna Bhola 55 km Sundarbans 0 SLR Hiron Point Sea Level Rise Affected area (ha) Affected Population SLR 60 cm (SLR) due to SLR due to SLR120 cm SLR 60cm 512,590 4,613,306 120cm 1,061,016 9,549,144