Political drivers (CPWF-GD workshop, Sept 2011)

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International Water Management Institute (IWMI)

By Louis Lebel. As part of a CPWF September 2011 workshop in Thailand regarding global drivers. We have divided driver types into five categories: 1. Demographic/Social, 2. Economic, 3. Political/Institutional/Legal, 4. Environmental/Climate change, 5. Technological/ Innovations

Technologie

Scoping definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Dynamics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Political drivers – an initial classification ,[object Object],Drivers Institutional indicators Regionalization International agreements Standardization Private Voluntary Standards Democratization Laws and policy commitments to transparency, accountability and participation Integration IWRM principles adopted in legislation Decentralization Re-allocation of authority, responsibilities and budgets Globalization or ‘norm’alization Sharing of political norms and principles through discourses Adaptation Policy monitoring and review

Tensions and reconciliation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Policy actors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What is the evidence? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Political drivers ,[object Object],[object Object],Drivers Institutional indicators Regionalization International agreements Standardization Private Voluntary Standards Democratization Laws and policy commitments to transparency, accountability and participation Integration IWRM principles adopted in legislation Decentralization Re-allocation of authority, responsibilities and budgets Globalization Sharing of political norms and principles through discourses Adaptation Policy monitoring and review

Evidence: Twin2Go Project ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Coordinating Twin ning partnerships to wards more adaptive Go vernance in river basins Brahmaputra/India Paute/Ecuador Olifants/SouthAfrica Brahmaputra/Bhutan Guayas/Ecuador RedRiver/Vietnam Volga/Russia Cuareim/Uruguay Orange/SouthAfrica BangPakong/Thailand Baker/Chile Amudarya/Uzbekistan Niger/Mali Cocibolca/Nicaragua Rhine/TheNetherlands Kyoga/Uganda Quaraí/Brasil Elbe/Germany Thames/UK Cauca/Colombia Guadiana/Spain Okavango/Namibia Catamayo/Ecuador Tisza/Hungary Nura/Kazahstan Catamayo/Peru Brahmaputra/Nepal Norrström/Sweden Biobio/Chile

Examples of indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Design

Derived Measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Design Questions 81-86 ((4-q81)/3+(5-q82)/4 +(3-q83)/2+(4-q84)/3+(5-q85)/4+(3-q86)/2)/6 Responsiveness to climate change or ‘adaptation policies’ P4

Indicators used for P4 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Associations adjusting for Context Findings + + R9 Adaptive capacity + + R10 IWRM + + - R8 Knowledge + + - R12 Good governance principles in legislation C1 C3 C1 C1 & C4 C1 Context variables + + - R4 Polycentricity + + R5 Econ. instruments + R3 Informal-formal + R2 Basin principles + + - R1 Legal frameworks P5B Environmentalmanagement P5A Environmental conditions P4 Adaptation Policies P2 Good governance P1 MDG goals Performance Regime

Findings 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Findings 2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Polycentric arrangements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Policy implications > regimes

Limitations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Limitations & conclusions

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