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Probability Distributions
Binomial and Poisson
Probability Distribution
• Listing of all possible outcomes of an experiment
together with their probabilities
• Ex Toss of fair coin 2 times
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
TT ¼
TH ¼
HT ¼
HH ¼
What is Probability Distribution of number of heads
Probability Distribution
Number of Heads P(x)
0 ¼
1 ½
2 ¼
Sum of all probabilities =1
Random Variable
• Random variable is a real number ‘x’
associated with the outcome of a random
experiment
• Random Variable ‘x ‘ is of 2 types
- Discrete Random Variable
- Continuous Random Variable
Discrete & Continuous Random
Variable
• Discrete Random Variable – ‘x’ can take values
which are countable and can be denoted as a
‘number ‘ .
‘x’ is 0,1,2,3,4………..
ex number of defectives in sample of ‘k’ items
• Continuous Random Variable – ‘x’ can take any
values between 2 given numbers and can have
infinite number of possible values in that range
ex possible weights , heights , temperature ,
distance in a given interval
Discrete Probability Distribution
• A discrete random variable assumes each of
its values with a certain “probability”
• A table listing all possible values that discrete
random variable can take along with
associated probabilities is called “ Discrete
Probability Distribution”
Types of Discrete Probability
Distribution
Two types
• Binomial Distribution
• Poisson Distribution
Continuous Probability Distribution
• Normal Distribution
Binomial Distribution
• Experiments with only 2 outcomes are
“Binomial Experiments "and the two
outcomes are called ‘success (p)’ and ‘failure
(q)’
ex toss of a coin, throw of dice – either even
or odd number will come , either vote for a
candidate or don’t vote for that candidate
Binomial Distribution
1 . If one outcome appears , the other cannot appear – two outcomes
are ‘mutually exclusive’
2.Since there is no other possibility, these two outcomes are
‘collectively exhaustive’
3. Since two outcomes are ‘mutually exclusive’ and ‘exhaustive’ , the
sum of their individual probabilities is equal to 1
p+ q=1
p= probability of success
q=probability of failure
Probability distribution of success is called ‘Binomial Distribution”
Assumptions in Binomial Experiments
• Process in which each trial (experiment) can
result in one of 2 states is called “Bernoulli or
Binomial Process”
1 .Each trial has 2 possible outcomes called
‘success ‘ and ‘failure’
2.There is finite number of trials ‘n’
3.All trials are identical i.e. probability of each
trial is same
4.Trials are independent of each other
Constants of Binomial Distribution
• Mean = np
• Variance = npq
Problem
Solution
Solution
Solution
Solution
Problem
• If a new drug is found to be effective 40% of
the time , then what is the probability that in
a random sample of 4 patients , it will be
effective on 2 of them
Solution

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Class 12 Probability Distributions.pptx

  • 2. Probability Distribution • Listing of all possible outcomes of an experiment together with their probabilities • Ex Toss of fair coin 2 times OUTCOME PROBABILITY TT ¼ TH ¼ HT ¼ HH ¼ What is Probability Distribution of number of heads
  • 3. Probability Distribution Number of Heads P(x) 0 ¼ 1 ½ 2 ¼ Sum of all probabilities =1
  • 4. Random Variable • Random variable is a real number ‘x’ associated with the outcome of a random experiment • Random Variable ‘x ‘ is of 2 types - Discrete Random Variable - Continuous Random Variable
  • 5. Discrete & Continuous Random Variable • Discrete Random Variable – ‘x’ can take values which are countable and can be denoted as a ‘number ‘ . ‘x’ is 0,1,2,3,4……….. ex number of defectives in sample of ‘k’ items • Continuous Random Variable – ‘x’ can take any values between 2 given numbers and can have infinite number of possible values in that range ex possible weights , heights , temperature , distance in a given interval
  • 6. Discrete Probability Distribution • A discrete random variable assumes each of its values with a certain “probability” • A table listing all possible values that discrete random variable can take along with associated probabilities is called “ Discrete Probability Distribution”
  • 7. Types of Discrete Probability Distribution Two types • Binomial Distribution • Poisson Distribution
  • 9.
  • 10. Binomial Distribution • Experiments with only 2 outcomes are “Binomial Experiments "and the two outcomes are called ‘success (p)’ and ‘failure (q)’ ex toss of a coin, throw of dice – either even or odd number will come , either vote for a candidate or don’t vote for that candidate
  • 11. Binomial Distribution 1 . If one outcome appears , the other cannot appear – two outcomes are ‘mutually exclusive’ 2.Since there is no other possibility, these two outcomes are ‘collectively exhaustive’ 3. Since two outcomes are ‘mutually exclusive’ and ‘exhaustive’ , the sum of their individual probabilities is equal to 1 p+ q=1 p= probability of success q=probability of failure Probability distribution of success is called ‘Binomial Distribution”
  • 12. Assumptions in Binomial Experiments • Process in which each trial (experiment) can result in one of 2 states is called “Bernoulli or Binomial Process” 1 .Each trial has 2 possible outcomes called ‘success ‘ and ‘failure’ 2.There is finite number of trials ‘n’ 3.All trials are identical i.e. probability of each trial is same 4.Trials are independent of each other
  • 13. Constants of Binomial Distribution • Mean = np • Variance = npq
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 21. Problem • If a new drug is found to be effective 40% of the time , then what is the probability that in a random sample of 4 patients , it will be effective on 2 of them